Prospects and challenges for an ASEAN energy integration policy

14
4.V GroFr|.- ltntu,tn3^. F fi*l Lr^-l V-+-r'orf \, Q, r a{r+tc- Lleau^'- ''rr tl Ly;-'"'^"L t^Jltttfri ) t c '/ '^1'1s) } 'DT ,/ tut / d ':'J ftt's 'zr'to i,. i tra t o1 to t( tttrt{t$ CV a4^ \ t, (eragrLc 0 tralaL (nnacwVv'eh'uv'r Le,r, qr >) Cf, r "-'L4) r34.E L"^n^ \*r ) X" o-a1cV bil"^/# Cpo^'el-f artL''tr ' ) ,J r cza 'e ' tL'A ) r[ r :I I \ fi (; ro5 ,B ,a- ) ? ts L 3,t L t lo ti tO 1-g* t r, *t*X )

Transcript of Prospects and challenges for an ASEAN energy integration policy

4.V GroFr|.- ltntu,tn3^. F fi*l Lr^-l V-+-r'orf

\, Q, r a{r+tc- Lleau^'- ''rr tl Ly;-'"'^"L t^Jltttfri )

t c '/ '^1'1s)} 'DT ,/tut /d ':'J ftt's 'zr'to

i,. i tra t o1 to t( tttrt{t$CV a4^ \

t, (eragrLc 0 tralaL (nnacwVv'eh'uv'r

Le,r, qr >)

Cf, r "-'L4)

r34.EL"^n^ \*r )

X" o-a1cV bil"^/# Cpo^'el-f artL''tr ' )

,J r cza 'e ' tL'A )

r[ r:I I \

fi (; ro5 ,B ,a- )?

tsL

3,tL

t

lo ti tO 1-g*

t r, *t*X )

4 " {. fi-r,.;'1*5a. Gor.a't< . r

Q ra4tue- ta.,.^.s lzty "lao-i q da-oa l-. trrarg 1[a

tu,rU. r^5a"^ ?Ml;^X &a"^ FutL t-t\ [tca'x '"ttq.Lr.-b).F &d.^ ul-^h-3 {le'l^ ' C ra{r-t6 h'^t' t,th'tat'l^

Pa+1y"3 fa.-ur L{.r-A* lLc-a-,. vtt tq Corcoc@^u rr.tLshcuf,)

&a4^* &-L.++..1 -,-i t-rthr,rra- gca"-"r.ta<i lce-pi-!- T L.^^rrl.qW Y-f^ Lcr.c;t* - 1{-a-L tt^'i v\-c*^l^A^qVau,r

Va/\ l^4 t ^ l.r,tt\"r-her^ 1,\ F ^ h ) rr,,tn.1 e'-a'rv\ Lror+ 1le-att't

lru c trr ,.-L-a.-La-\ L^ta" c,*a*t UrL^*rA*\ t r,rrr,rg.

Gn a.g1g L^rt^,.r,T^," y ^^l*3 d-.q,^ L4/ra\+h-{l..-{* Cf L 1^*t* I 6.a,i **u^6.to-l1r. f L da hW

|M\*XTL tan-a\aa ,^ltai W gunqk--tr,. Lc4"^-h.

tc,rtcr tv--v^4U t^^", ) AM*- .,^^ e€ -tr

{" {-u-^1^"^ r^,,-rLLar\ h, Ce,v,,La.Lr-L^ fu*^:^le-Lttr VabJ

G, *S t t'- [rr.tt' ^^g-4^ ?"-.1.r^1 .[-^... L,*r"r-fV L"r^^X 7,rA*\ (,r-r u iror-c.htar.^ ; C ?rx ' \r- r^,^,.,r L^.^-.- 'tt-''l )*l*lo

}:.'Q,i ffi,rr ffil"-.-. l- . ll i r -

Trrr\,th;*utran

\r;.b*--Vot - zL ,Wn

ttr1 h, fLalLL L"f L)*

z tot rar)C Lo4uLur'j )' I ttrt a\ a Lf

- trbl x t. \{ -. [r1{a

sr x L(L5L):

roJL xt$v ryr)LL L)a

f *,r Y ar4trz) (r-,:-v ],41)

= ot oo 03L + l,Ct- o rw64

b , 2-t5W *(Hs'

t toeaJ

L lo6 r-

= 3,1 F- C**\'fs)2ra

i,l-j,l2tL

),sr11ut44O4A- 4tE4

U&anj 3ata"h

\. \ogwK to3t 6r4o X OrB( = O,344o LGrgorlt-rO163 = btLA I

ot4y62.

L[o t L)'\43 ttl 1 to1 L

L., r L)'

\ os o(etoawxato4L")-(tt Lx{.to3L* \ogr)

t- or6,tt-o,o+ts-.---2,t64 *tr?r

a (r,ooLf, = Or(ot

o ro\A

b) L losw \(**toga)L.Lolt*

a- o,Pr-{LYotlO?)

[N t *- tot La - (ttog u) L

Or?ltX tr132 * \'tr (,tt ?-$

\rI0tlS- - Of "-t4 B 0 rlr?

trC

D&r^ l- L:*o^rvVtrl'*t atl"'uj )

1. t 'tLx \orlv" (- t'tLf

?. \o3Lx Lt3dLLo r riyLo a1 ". , (at" 3

troa . \t trl4>

o,Sq = \.tr-.t)"Ll.3o

)-t\oXuxL (t", Lx \"3d

. ["totr xL [,41"r*,

". \rloxIt.r-L

wxa t 5t"Csr x a(-tolLY) - (ttog r-)t

" f:,", "=", ri=J",** x +l)

("ey 1rc? ) - t+ ro}zn)G-- ?r ?ta-!_- F.SE!

---= ocor{O tLt LP* O l0tr-J

: - lt ,41r.

b : € t%w (ru xlo3<-)

-

log L-

- ( 'z-x C-h ,4sL)/

2 LtO\?r??

arl?

lLt L I

*f^^* & tt ":l F<^_taa-nar^

l - tu{-r E^^ ha-r^-je-$-e.r-r-r.i t-^L.*, 1ar-" V*^*l f^^

?--- p4d-^ Lto.a-w.. ,r.^-a.Lc-.a [,'i,.1;{atftff}*L^a evl-tr' at J-^{,'^Hl:"*

tl}ffi l@^!^ t*'--o4[L'a"'. r^.^,-+s- [r-,,t . :]** ^ v<a-*' b3^

JzqLtte-a-'^ .

: - * I^1^ d-.r-"-+

{u_ar.\o\ tta^*r^

l;: iil,:" t-^'^rt"^r att-a.,-, +^&ou 1r,.vaa^^'rffiHt;v*r=N4-cu.{x

f ?n ^,, Ii* ualtte$ C,4La \ d^b,^^ r^ 4-^\a

\a.svmpul*a da-n fiat-pltl. .

5. t tec-rtr*,rnalArr "b*lsqal.V"a" h,*P;L frafiauh^ iertl'd/'J lhluLut"Y. pan!%

A-an t <.na# d.tp"cro t ch ld4{trlfruLa,,m %t"egAt' t{-o{tc.rr+ : "

l) f,rh*t*\^oo" &a+htca*t 9')'^"t*: ?$ua"a'l^ar.\ lr<ra*WfiV

Wfurpd+ ,?ndnwailu tmhvd* 'a..ha-ta ftryo"' M

J}{ar\rydiqol*t W%ar?M a*apr f€I joa Fe-nl.tatda * yt tl*l*rr^

s) W *rW#*r^,,,hk.'4r*p $,^*ir*t^a,-a Jo,tp*,,- e ro lrr;3) \M^ lrri"sl"*,^t-, \r-, yft* oJJ-o,ae16-rp f"6a'f

a) 7a^ vLean. ntla (g"*{.**, *{fesr*{J Wr,+- .d^€wvt

Ptu*tr1 Wlut*- r,a^t^a "+*; fi;-i" i \ ,tu

,) y"M Uf,ary ga.Lala Cvrnar*orh4.e4rr4^ rse*n$-d , \

, ryy*ywt*^;ffiffi)b*a) P,ao'vd^* @er" a@ t."rh t^n g^,J4,n1

lerLrea" a<olrrrh\a r\ntr &4^41A,ae,r*, ,

5)m^.fuls A pt'*lc-h"taan^ wob*+ po,'*eaaau r4/LAft-^r 1,.,,^Du,nqa*

W"trtrW:,ffff:*y,TtrrVd^ c.roafctr+ \^ ,l^,h-fu, Wrf? ,)-r\.aL-, l***rtq Wl iu*lVs o trw*nt,^y,|. yrr.^h-ht"-i,- ti;i';; u*ta t L^Lan vw66hatfca,l^ y fvbhbetUrr,,

t

3.t AL^t Aa^^ [ur,^qs-

Ato.t- ;J^\ f,tolvaalr-ar- L ta u f rorLh lct'tttm lnotegi

[4lr.tteano" r^ eT lood at-., f"*T V^L$ ^Aa,{a6 :

, i\q_s,^^ r,^-?"J^-is , f_fr*c;ffi: v*y^1

b. bteropoLo6l

l) g<-.:\,4Jr = Uc^-ta[c [er-.p*+ ltc-o-, * 1[c-ar-aa Sa.-aL/u ?c*'rhAalrt

4) Vlgsac-[-Lh3 D<+ ' U,,.kutc- u,ra-r,rzr U)al^,t l^ b*3

a) (t"*^r, *X* A^"l,,[.t" = 9"tnt" v'<t^t,vnL*',.l "tlelc [ry""fc"r.-ri-a^^ L Til* ,

?) f,rr,^*1*

8) r,,rtterorhop

$o.kat*r : $o*u[.- ,,,*Yr,,nt,^,^o [*^}.,+g^t'l^q . lorr VbtJ^q 1lc'a"a-A^"d

> Uu*uti- lr,^s.U,lL,,\* ,}Y:;?@d"-l-hen d,-# t*gt,,top,-

W ^J'a- ?^Aq L*1^u"'^d ttco"^

t l)nlo't- tc'*'^?41 **d*Yr"*^-u (t^ r"* t,t7)

, (J^r*k @ av\;'Wt'^s

]-a. h-.u"-^^._ M F*^f a

V^usb' Yl &ry'A^-Jaa^ V*A'@L"w.o1,i \e,ur-L}2p.4"w t-*-^ l trorJ ,,kCL Pryk^At"l- a-La't-a'A :

t) rtc-^^ ^tla. Cf""yr,.^g ryPtzca4 >'2;4Ay; er'*PL

") h.,r*" o-^., i1llqLf,,p^r- \a-^L, o\ilc v+acXa'**

J) otXcrt' 4*r

\r) Lo{c altc'-r f

t) htrr,,rt

't ) b"-

+-

S \eu^a. tcar.1a,

tlCar,^ *,to LE"cln:s,-I r^rtoheu'n )^ d4tuJ r^ l"- rr,."r--il,rtto, Obtov(q"r-l-at '- &tr w,Lzo',,*3 tr.^olF l:.;,>.rt. Iry \ Juta'l^ 1*

L.e**rl.^ i,r--v^*to"n a1"'o'\thjEJ J - r rnt t l-t^*,^ cnzr r[arr tL'

U:^';6L;C *rr a""^orn^*Q'* |

- d,tt.a.tea, vtunta*- d,*rX^-'i"* geuhb

- drFtlhO-TI"; &za^ lL,.'*l';,L l*bl.

urJG e€Dngtnru.- A+ca-ca'L A-'r^ At-^o,l-

& rw*a,t-t t''a-tter* $9?-oc,yte.an[o]un &t

- Ju.,-r-o&^Letc+r-

u\a* ?r*+r*#*? A4,*.. a'U^*^j,^ f.*, qt^r^tc.T.s - .

%a

$+rr,* .

larrdt"tl^

YA

He,flL

A' B e,'*Vail>agq-a'I

i <" t aJ^awL'^gA P r-vdeail^-"^ , -,-^^ $-a./-.-or L^.-o,rr,, E d',J-nLo"

1 t ^,^"[aa'\^' P'alo"*ta \*-1', 1.,o,.A rr-u;:;'-*L^t*ot"

r't"o*''1*^+ ls-a>- oJ-s"t*

e-r -r^ V,'Lo'u' [^*-. Aaa -^L'^I 1la"a'ta t'^'-r Lql'"qqq!fo-t{

tauloh'uS ) ,b";;(yggnt"'^9. 3t48 \ l^'-' wLT)

?^{*} i)tee'\'4'\A-^^' Li-

L[c-a,-n .. t,-r- Lo. q or'-odFulcj - ^ftr'! "1f \ &'o, \"')"^l

@), [rrt-., d,-vt*yt ty' t-^ryra'vt' v\'\,'t*.-Lq

OtLo rrqct [-ol e*Xd^'2v\ l^ rLw *"tV ^-'X^ Y'4-*VIJC'L-? 'n-1.

U;ff^,^ L - i \*)" "a* ?o\Lc^ v :ry',*- YYY,*-'-.\H\ LS 'l \--a,^-ea o Fat lt aL-e+-L- o,-l<

P4 fo.7c^zt c>t-at tc- , Ya 6'\'ttw

.v*<* "Jm. 3aLo,\ L"w!*oro vrnoL w,nn r+ry4

\\c-a-n v,-ul-.. @lIlgtr4lt),W Cygvrorttrut

!b9 J,tv-u,*u^,^-"; o f ,u*l ( Y t r,^^*,7 -::\l

-\r:a-tn L&Jr.\'\r1 1n* L"^"f ^"'* I t't<b'''^3n1^ *^-'J,-hkJi

let!q-t-t-Vt-o.r^ t O"" (zf<.l't U ukra &tvLo'<*o y **'71

fuuun CrU ) l-.t-ey',. o\;uv^ d*1f Y * P^l Ptug7a"it<4-r.tG\- t-&urc1 lca-t- ?tvV-utU CC"rr^ft 1 L^t-^,*.., t-** d-rr.^q;,*iffitr;tr^W,::z*;^\can 1s,slo+La-+ Co.rn^ dI-u-at,^ p-p^u/q^Ibx o =-t3fu-€ t z t%wxr{r o3 L n -Fh,1 u-rrftog L x lasd)

( N \z(L% ,J'* (sr-ry 1li--\ -r L L%w* Cxrrcto.la)

eLt^^sTlo U&ffii y*s p,hr* i-<tt^a,-

?n* [".t -.^-..q-ota.n \z \ al--o.r^ VzZ*qtlawel"ttLa,rn,L . ? a.&otle.t^ tfow.etsntt<-

Laxo< p.<.-v-qu[cr no,^ V;^i;=. l-e t^. t ( tu )d,,-nt rtcaut vtt to,- ( o rc oc-t'ire_ra,. t: d:-lgtlLr ) J"" -WLrtV Ln^"no?W"^- flunalaau

lpAfa,a Y"^qlo.iS. 1,rV-",r^" i6 on A,lto-I-e,r\c-a'a {l".Fa:i PoVo"

' t>"-gt6tv-t\ ,'rrl^utptF tLL6"( V*o/^-'^ e)4

,

| &t -".^.pL[ htrl^ potJo &l^)twg V^-Vnb, ?-*gjatr t-3

lA-ar^ & [.t^a.t- C^1(-{S r-[c_6roau(e urr,. lttLc-rt,r,i a.-qt"nr ie cr{pc,r. A_^d & C-61}-o+:' 17

ath* [a,r.nq - Fo Fe\14-Vr?,^

J*^'A*,.X",. YquLc'ur c

4."A. Av*lvx t+AslL

- A -\ -r gnatrc d w,'etl lt"'Jo t'nPo L

P^&o r Ybl**,*-! t i ^ff it!fftr' ̂ M

Vrtkrit ) qL,y' ?+t4il*q Yvu^V*L r*Pnt !?u-D 14 o , ri* F*L,,th (w)' Aq' tr 6n

\'^r *:,y'

Lrrirrl:;-;,6ct'^ ' l>at.'e'- t'eath t" a ' P-"^d,,-a t-.L,'l"

(:v) > Ll,qo,r* ,\*-ro'L Y,.L'^u Cd > 29'78 ert ,*,TL) ) l"l,q ovvl t ww (-YY ' ^; -,U'.-r,!t\rrt-h) -- g ovr\ . la,'&otb*)'$ ( un.so^oftt{Y

-'= )

u(-Va.w\o\ rt'rwvvtl't"-tf f ;7A'$ eatw W= t1:'l ?': Y?{tr ;;. b<lttv lcoltA^v trwttt't'; ft:t)-- L4,

il,). A OLqr d,-s,n Ql'"|-l^) ? g,g a/-1 - *: f^dA

'J &.rr*-f 3a,.la.\, (1,qoc-v-ov..acLu*w ?tQJ^Lq-?4t ) Ful"*lr.t.nnrtrte r f L -- .b tc W z rt rT qr,, 1t"fr ,4 n2 on,

I

F^d-.. $aY la l -r,tn Way : $ti r"+' t U- -S o.*, j

VV '- f,VZt -q."r,r* , l-a,,lr\ ltrl^h - 1s4 a'na

pa.r.t'' LJ^ A*a-/J*s vrn'alc-ot t lc-orm vultat ta ttc-r,..g ) V-Vzuvtot - v^\*1 V"^Wl" C L ) = t, e d^)_arplfco^,^ U-e.rV.^n),F,Lt,t--wts t%L ,lo"SW tu-3 Lrc togW: t , tA , \,b5 , t,lr- .. Ve? ,rW: ^ttitlfj . I?:

fiTffi.HH"-liY:iHi#tt ,1tat) , ! . \..a ^, - r --1,.1\ o|^.i A-o,,.,r--. UclL-*. rut*v',,wa, \u1a >\tFtd"'j1ntlat b t-() ,\e-a-Folzr--o.r LA> V-qLaot *V-r*rlt^tr^4tl;?f"t^- ) t"-'-'"^-^.' ^t' **i

l

zl . r . r-. A**h ga ha. rt I gz),snu\ [c.-Lo t'u' y, o l<

tta-f rl p+-r^1a.,^'.*^'"' e"-^l Lol'Lo'tvt-po l' 43rLcat, vurLa. ;:) t dr) tt ,ga't-t ,\Lc-'\ tn'-uit Lri)ro a,^.r r C *1) tl t 3 1> \r<a^,(6,1)'l ,G1 ") lu;,lLwq0roB !r tefw'r-LruL)O

'1r L.<uJt Z6oy1a*r!po""(U)7 ph{l^oela*,te-Ftcu. C ^} >t .!*,w,L. -r^ y(*{L I "Ag(La,t Y n ?t"/, ,XB zso/, . ?& tla-a,,u, lc-e-c,;g. z-ooptowr

Wsas- Ltf \ tt ri c,,,,-, , ttco,.vt n-4.t. ar li-il- Lft_) tt.*r^-t^rt) O,La 1: fu* (_wq ) O,,.r, r let+tLLrut_) O,ffirt-e1 o\.r L*, l*) Ol Ce 1r tce4& aooltawvta-41U G) lo

v '

€L) l , PVlto ot^a t*tu^ Co I 3 3. k*la u, { Ca*) 461D1^r,, lf A g4 co 16 , XB

't r , t7.

l+'<-t4 F4Mn44r,^^-+ar^ d^t,nt t*lot-rr-rz- at ltfutt"it,, L>e-cn*L'T-L\i4 tu,1.c-at< ualar tce-eL!- ArL) r,, d a,_,(,", t ) o ,t.o 1yl4z4a-r- Lw1, ) a,tl 7r L<.o_Lt St^tt_) u ,TL1r\4,.,r (r--.t c) o tTo 3r \ee4i* - ;o"rL*,L+*, ( bl t t

d

?w\"plov.,te-++r^ Ca ) a , 4.t,u-,Le1+ y CoJ-+,) c1 U)-\rr,,"^yvtla V * [r,toolo r y I B4,zt c/-

t+4{it fr!1e lrjir"*f o k zL llzata wAq

Pkt ktpcavnL4"@lv1 UA ) Z g, luwwLa+ X ALLL ) C re^,"*tT 1tta..i X 4 59"/o ,Ke 462l+Ail l*a^.^-,-r.^,r), *u-e t-zlteu--f-ol< 4i, /l

Ijr^ ^U,a,--CrL) tr_r,

f -r!t*u ttt ta ?* ./ f t 1,",lil o tot 4r ry.o- Crq ) o ro. qr t.n,j L*tj ;7;;

w:' ?:r;,,' ^.'*;' ;ffu' * f" +s) i^l+e+4 W1*at+.atq Az\r.r ldaJ.

rx trtrj:!.f' l";i': :: ^^o-' ̂

;X " 6[; .? a,,., L*q ) o, "" ji',J-^,; L:r, ".; ;^;,Tr;r'/;,

a I I I g r cz*-so,t''r(wc ) o, Lo 1 t la*e-it'. L(pb fa'uu_*^,otll gr c*s^^-r@a ) orlorr le*e-it, .rdpr;,;;;b) 4f t Dhtttoptc^^i"-u7"ojr^,^1; ^i,7,',i-'tr;L2:E:#;ff x (^th) f,-4

H q U-l f-L4/\eX4,t+'a.-* a,^ 44^-v-,; /Cr,{g"^ pole n0,(9a^,ntla *ilt^t-TL) lAef^ .a,"7 /1ta-au^ a-tlakeaal,(tf ) s,s aa* (wg ) oroAt gr Lztatn , Cw1 I 1ilstgle;.ez.l . (ru L) O. t,tt y htsa ; .(U L) o t t 1 r {i.r*tla.-b..| . ((!L) 6.t,ll 5r tel|,si r,Qru L) O t I 1r [ezcil "1-oroyiaaz.te.Ftst^ LV )49 ctr\"r51-o1,Ia,vttafoa { a) 1, yt*u,tatLy ( ahb ) sq u)^1^^ rar[a-f, V ,* lr.,,fh ,yry (o 4 tz"/o

.Yrl W ;-,rr-1 tne_,ota.,,rcoe lll , lk-orn

*^ L*t-a,r-" 9rt) 4L,0a*, tla^*, ^nti t*"a'g4.l\.*^ C*i) oloe Jr V*,Lwll er6" i. ,..ita,.) O ta9 $. t-<zant

^l) u, ,6 ir* tq_cr.lczooptct*..l,e't=^ Lb) r, , ph^dlaptq*,L*^ C^) .l

ffi:,::;* ) in !*r* wtLaa' \ n 4 6,r r u,

T

p^L^ talwF @o Slh'*s ) ,Yada Ud'^t-

1-4p\4-raa.-ar v^\*^Xt*t' ; Crl) '- tA',Uy.' t*r,l;

" ;1"';';, (o3 w = o,na L"; ; i 1' rtr )n"t " rL'-- l.-3u . wtto.t tog'r - 'tL , \tG r !^tt^i t[L .& 4 . ta.,4-r-t-r.\-'a Lo z Y *"-a'V.a' !

' ,/.-J-,'* [ tnn'-o no f krul

^tl"*-O \ W v*a-U-tLt- fz<*1t'w-*1"-t,r\"-a.n t'tl ota"a-Fr"t [<

-)?oe-t1f '

e1l."togWr O,\L4 L^^ CLoIL)\- OTACG"F(d

4\ce-&,r-a. tL =f L:: * \ o, ) [* to3 u :- og3(r 1 t- x. I oj W . Or LrLl L--..," L o3 LL : 6,-ltq ,nr[qf[o3 o : o.t0[ L^,^.^lla,r' U, o tl.]st- laa.re-rnc4 E 4 ]t,K-A. ta-a ud=a^a {,r-L.a,-\ C.f^ *t"".L.*-r. .roe4n!t rr^^-a+r^ t< 7.*i^iV^La'. ,.tto,aaa;nr tc uX<.^t-t6

r)