Oxford Fajar, Mathematics T STPM, Full Worked Answer Chapter 15, Probability Distributions

19
© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014 Focus on Exam 15 1 (a) P( x ) = 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 21 1 21 k k k ( ) + + + + + = = = (b) E( ) ( ) ( X x X x x k = + + P 1 1 21 3 1 2 3 2 2 2 + + + = = 4 5 6 91 21 4 2 2 2 ) Var P 21 91 21 21 ( ) ( ) ( X X x =∑ - =∑ - = + + + x x 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 1 1 2 3 4 m + + - = 5 91 2 9 3 3 2 6 21 2 ) 2 (a) Total number of different pairs = 4! = 24 (b) (i) P( ) X = = 2 6 24 (ii) P( ) X = = 1 8 24 CHAPTER 15

Transcript of Oxford Fajar, Mathematics T STPM, Full Worked Answer Chapter 15, Probability Distributions

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Focus on Exam 15

1 (a) P( x) = 1

11 2 3 4 5 6 1

211

21

k

kk

( )+ + + + + =

=

=

(b) E ( ) ( )

(

X x X

xx

k

= + +

P

1

1

21

3

1 2 32 2 2 ++ + +

=

=

4 5 6

91

21

4

2 2 2 )

Var P

21

91

21

21

( ) ( )

(

X X

x

= ∑ −

= ∑

= + + +

x

x

2 2

2

2

3 3 3 311 2 3 4

m

++ + −

=

591

2

9

3 3

2

621

2

)

2 (a) Total number of different pairs = 4!

= 24

(b) (i) P( )X = =26

24

(ii) P( )X = =18

24

CHAPTER 15

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term2

(c) X 0 1 2 3 4

P(X = x)9

24

8

24

6

240

1

24

(d) E P

( ) ( )

[ ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )]

X x X= ∑

= + + + +1

240 9 1 8 2 6 3 0 4 1

= 1

3 (a) x = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 15 30 100, , , , , , , , ,

(b) Y X= −15

(c) E E

( ) ( )

(

Y X= −

= + + + + + + + + +

15

1

101 2 3 4 5 6 7 15 30 1000 15

17 3 15

2 3

)

.

.

= −=

The expected gain of a player is RM2.30 (profit)

4 (a) P(X = 1) = P(X = 2)

= 2p

P( X = 3) = P( X = 4)

= P( X = 5)

= p

P(x) =1∑

2(2 p) + 3p = 1

p = 1

7E(X ) = x P(X )

= 1

7+ 4

1

7+ 3

1

7+ 4

1

7+ 5

1

7

= 17

7

(b)

2(2 p) + 3p = 1

p = 1

7E(X ) = x P(X )

= 1

7+ 4

1

7+ 3

1

7+ 4

1

7+ 5

1

7

= 17

7

Var(X) = x2P(X)17

7

2

= 1

7+ 16

1

7+ 9

1

7+16

1

7+ 25

1

7

17

7

2

= 67

7

289

49

= 3.673

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 3

5 (a) X 0 1 2 3

P(X) 2k k 0 k

∑ ===

P

( )

.

X

k

k

1

4 1

0 25

(b) E P

( ) ( )

( )( . ) ( )( . ) ( ) ( . )

X x X= ∑= + + +0 2 0 25 1 0 25 2 0 3 0 25

= 1

Var( ) ( )

( . ) ( . ) ( ) ( .

X x X= ∑ −= + + +

2 2

2 2 2 2

1

0 0 25 1 0 25 2 0 3 0

P

225 1

2 5

2)

.

−=

6 (a) X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

P(X = x)1

16

1

8

3

16

1

4

3

16

1

8

1

16

(b) Y 0 1 2 3 4 6 9

P(Y = y)7

16

1

16

2

16

2

16

1

16

2

16

1

16

(c) E P

E P

( ) ( )

( )

( ) ( )

(

X x X

Y y Y

= ∑

= + + + + + +

== ∑

=

1

160 2 6 12 12 10 6

3

1

1600 1 4 6 4 2 9

1 625

+ + + + + +

=

)

.

(d) Var Var( ) ( )Y X>

7 (a) X m

X r X r

~ ( )

( ) ( )

Po

P P = = = +1

e m mr

r!= e m mr+1

(r +1)!

1= m

r +1 r +1= m

r = m 1

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term4

(b) 2P P

2e e

( ) ( )

( )! !

X r X r

m

r

m

rm

rm

r

= + = =

+

=

−+

1

1

1

2 1

2 1

m r

r m

r

= += −

∴ must be an oodd integer.

8 (a) X

X

~

( )

B

P

10 0001

10 000

010 000

0

1

10 000

99990

= =

110 000

0 3679

10 000

= .

(b) P P P( ) ( ) ( )

. ( . )( . )

X X X�1 0 1

0 36791000

10 0001 0 9999 9

= = + =

= +

9999

0 3679 0 03679

0 4047

= +=

. .

.

9 (a) (i) X

X

~ ( )

( )! !

.

Po

P e

3

3 1 33

2

3

3

0 6472

32 3

� = + + +

=

(ii) P P( ) ( )

.

.

X X� �4 1 3

1 0 6472

0 3528

= −= −=

(b) P e

P e

P e

( )

( ) ( )

( )

X

X

X

= == =

= =

0

1 3

29

2

3

3

3

= =

= = − + + +

P e

P e

( )

( )

X

X

39

2

4 1 1 39

2

9

3

3

22

= 1 − e−3(13)

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Fully Worked Solutions 5

Y = Number of rented out customers

Y 0 1 2 3 4

P(Y ) e−3 3e−39

23e− 9

23e−

1–13e−3

E e e

e

( )

.

.

.

Y = + + +

+ −

= −= −=

− −

3 3

3

0 3 927

24 52

4 26 5

4 1 319

2 681

10 (a) Xt

X X

X X

~

~ ~ ( . )

( ) ( )

Po

Po Po

P P

e

80

20

800 25

3 1 2

1

= −

= − −

� �

00 252

1 0 250 25

2

0 00216

. ..

!

.

+ +

=

(b) Xk

X

~

( ) .

Po

P

80

0 0 9

= =

ek

80 = 0.9

k = 80 ln 0.9

k = 8.429

11 Area under f(x) for −1 x 1 B not equal to 1 g(x) cannot be negative for any value of x.

12 (a)

01

1

2

f(v )

v

(b)

01

1

2

f(w)

w

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term6

(c) f

f d

d

( ),

,

( ) ( )

uu u

u u u u

u u

=−

=

= −( )∫

2 2 0 1

0

2 2

2

0

1

2

� �

otherwise

Var

uu

u u

0

1

3 4

0

12

3 2

2

3

1

21

6

= −

= −

=

13 (a) ( )6 18 10

− =∫ x xk

d

[6x 9x2]

0k = 1

6k 9k 2 = 1

9k 2 6k +1= 0

(3k 1)2 = 0

k = 13

(b) Mean f d

d

=

= −

=

x x x

x x x

k

k

( )

( )

0

0

6 18

33 6

3

9

6

271

9

2 3

0

1

3x x−

= −

=

Variance f d

d

= −

= − −

x x x

x x x

k

k

2

0

2

2

0

6 181

9

( )

( )

µ

= −

= −

2

3 4

0

1

3

29

2

1

81

2

27

x x

99

2

1

81

1

81

1

162

=

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Fully Worked Solutions 7

(c) When x < 0, F(X ) = 0

When 0 x <�13

F( X ) = f (t) dt0

x

= (6 18t)0

xdt

= 6t 9t20

x

= 6x 9x2

When x �1

3, F( x) = 1

F( )

,

,

,

x

x

x x x

x

=

<

− <

0 0

6 9 01

3

11

3

2 �

(d)

13

x

F(x)

o

1

14 (a) kx dx = 11

5

kx

k k

k

2

1

5

21

25

2

1

21

1

12

=

− =

=

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term8

(b)

1 5

112

512

x

f(x)

(c) P( )x > +41

2

4

12

5

12

9

243

8

=

=

=

(1)

(d) P( )2 31

2

2

12

3

12

5

24

< < = +

=

x (1)

15 a x x x( )2 12

0

2

− =∫ d

a x2 1

3x3

0

2

= 1

a (483

) 0 = 1

a = 34

When x < 0, F(X ) = 0

When 0 x < 2, F(X ) = f d( )t tx

0∫

= −

= −

= −

= −

∫3

42

3

4

1

3

3

4

1

3

3

4

1

4

0

2

2 3

0

2 3

2

x

x

t t t

t t

x x

x x

( ) d

33

When x 2, F(X ) = 1

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 9

F( )

,

,

,

x

x

x x x

x

=

<

>

0 0

3

4

1

40 2

1 2

2 3 � �

16 (a) k x x

k x x

k

( )

( ) ( )

− =

=

− − −[ ] =

∫ 2 1

1

22 1

8 8 2 4 1

2

4

2

2

4

d

k = 1

2

(b) When x < 2, F(X ) = 0

When 2 < x < 4, F(X ) = f d( )t tx

2∫

= −

= −

= −

− −

∫1

22

1

2

1

22

1

2

1

22 2 4

2

2

2

2

( )

( )

t t

t t

x x

x

x

d

= − +1

412x x

F when

F

( ) .

( )

,

,

,

X x

X

x

x x x

x

= >

=

<

− +

>

1 4

0 2

1

41 2 4

1 4

2 � �

(c) P F( ) ( )X < =3 3

= 94

3+1

= 14

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term10

(d)

E f d

d

( ) ( )

( )

X x x x

x x x

x x

=

= −

= − +

∫2

4

2

4

2 3

1

22

1

2

1

3

= − +

− − +

=

2

4

1

216

64

34

8

3

10

3

Var( X ) = x2f (x) dx103

2

2

4

= 12

x2(x 2) dx100

92

4

= 12

14

x4 23

x3

2

4100

9

= 12

64128

34

163

1009

= 29

17 (a) f

otherwise

( )

,

,

,

x

x

x=

2

31 0

1

60 2

0

� �

� �

16

23

x

f(x)

−1 20

(b) For

P P P

0 2

0 0

2

3

1

6

<= + < <

= +

x

X x X X x

x

� �( ) ( ) ( )

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 11

(c) For

d

=

=

1 0

2

3

2

3

1

1

� �

x

X x

t

x

x

,

( )P

t

= +2

3

2

3x

(d) E d d

( )X x x x x

x x

= +

=

+

∫ ∫2

3

1

6

2

3 2

1

6 2

1

0

0

2

2

1

0 2

= −

+ −

= − +

=

0

2

2

30

1

2

1

62 0

1

3

1

30

( )

(e) P

B

P C

( )

~ ,

( )

X

Y

Y

< = +

=

= =

12

3

1

65

6

105

6

8 105

68

=

8 21

6

0 2907 .

18 (a) F

F

( ),

( ),

,

( )

( )

Xx

b x x x

x

b

=<

−>

=× − =

0 0

6 0 4

1 4

4 1

6 16 64 1

2 3 � �

b = 1

32

(b) fd

dF

otherwise

( ) ( )

( ),

,

xx

X

x x x

=

= −

1

3212 3 0 4

0

2 � �

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term12

(c) E d( ) ( )X x x x x

xx

= −

= −

=

∫1

3212 3

1

324

3

4

2

2

0

4

34

0

4

(d) Var d( ) ( )X x x x x

xx

= − −

= −

=

∫ 2 2

0

4

45

0

4

1

3212 3 4

1

323

3

54

4

5

19 (a) P

, < 3

3 4 ( ) ,

,

X

x

ax ax b x

x

> = − +

x

1

8

0 4

2 � �

P P

F

P

( ) ( )

( )

,

( ),

,

(

X x X x

X

x

ax ax b x

x

X

� �

= − >

= − − +

1

0 3

1 8 3 4

1 4

2

�� 3 1 9 24

0

1 15 0

) ( )= − − +=

+ − =

a a b

a b

(b) P( ) ( )X a b

a b

a

a

b a

� 4 1 1 32

1

16 0

1 0

1

16

16

= − − +=

− =− =

===

6a

(c) P

1 0.25

( . ) ( . ( . ) )X � 3 5 1 3 5 8 3 5 162= − − +−=

= 3

4

P( ) ( )X a b

a b

a

a

b a

� 4 1 1 32

1

16 0

1 0

1

16

16

= − − +=

− =− =

===

6a

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 13

(d) fd

dF

otherwise

othe

( ) ( )

,

,

,

,

xx

ax a x

x x

=

=− +

=− +

X

2 8 3 4

0

2 8 3 4

0

� �

� �

rrwise

(e) E f d

d

( ) ( )

( )

x x x x

x x x

xx

=

= − +

= − +

= − +

∫∫

3

4

3

4

32

3

4

2 8

2

34

128

364

− − +

=

54

336

10

3

(f) Y

Y

Y

=

= =

Number of values less than 3.5

P

~ ,

( )

B 33

4

2 33

4

12

44

39

16

1

4

27

64

=

=

20 (a) f

When F

When

( )

,

,

,

, ( )

x

x

x x

xx

x X

x

=

<

>

< =

0 0

5

40 1

1

41

0 0

0

2

� �

� ��1

5

4

5

4

1

2

5

4

1

2

0

0

2

0

,

( ) ( )F f d

d

X t t

t t

t t

x

x

x

x

=

= −

= −

= −

xx

x

X t tt

t

t t

x

2

0

1

21

2

0

1

5

4

1

4

5

4

1

2

When

F d d

>

= −

+

= −

∫ ∫

,

( )

11

1

1

4

1

5

4

1

2

1

4

11

11

4

0 0

= −

− −

= −

∴ =

<

t

x

x

X

x

x

F ( )

,

55

4

1

20 1

11

41

2x x x

xx

− >

,

,

� �

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term14

f

When F

When

( )

,

,

,

, ( )

x

x

x x

xx

x X

x

=

<

>

< =

0 0

5

40 1

1

41

0 0

0

2

� �

� ��1

5

4

5

4

1

2

5

4

1

2

0

0

2

0

,

( ) ( )F f d

d

X t t

t t

t t

x

x

x

x

=

= −

= −

= −

xx

x

X t tt

t

t t

x

2

0

1

21

2

0

1

5

4

1

4

5

4

1

2

When

F d d

>

= −

+

= −

∫ ∫

,

( )

11

1

1

4

1

5

4

1

2

1

4

11

11

4

0 0

= −

− −

= −

∴ =

<

t

x

x

X

x

x

F ( )

,

55

4

1

20 1

11

41

2x x x

xx

− >

,

,

� �

(b) Probability at least two independent values of X is greater than 3

= −= −

= −

= −

=

1 3 3

1 3 3

111

12

1121

14423

144

2

P P

F F

( ). ( )

( ). ( )

X X� �

21

(b)

f

otherwise

E f d

( ),

,

( ) ( )

x b aa x b

X x x x

b a

x

a

b

= −< <

=

=−

1

0

21

2

2

=−

= +

+ =

< =

−−

=

a

b

b a

b a

a b

a b

X

a

b a

1

2

1

24

35

83 5

824 8

2 2

( )

( )P

aa b a

b a

b b

b

b

= −= += + −= −=

5 5

24 5 3

5 3 4

8 12

36 8

( )

b

a

=

=

= −

= −

36

89

2

49

21

2

(a)

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 15

f

otherwise

E f d

( ),

,

( ) ( )

x b aa x b

X x x x

b a

x

a

b

= −< <

=

=−

1

0

21

2

2

=−

= +

+ =

< =

−−

=

a

b

b a

b a

a b

a b

X

a

b a

1

2

1

24

35

83 5

824 8

2 2

( )

( )P

aa b a

b a

b b

b

b

= −= += + −= −=

5 5

24 5 3

5 3 4

8 12

36 8

( )

b

a

=

=

= −

= −

36

89

2

49

21

2

22 (a) k

xx

kx

k

k

210

15

10

15

1

11

1

15

1

101

10 15

150

d∫ =

=

− −

=

− −

=

=

1

30k

(b) E d

ln

ln ln

ln

( )

( . )

. (

X xx

x

x

=

= [ ]==

∫30

30

30 15 10

30 1 5

210

15

10

15

SShown)

(c) 30

0 5

301

0 5

301 1

100 5

1 1

10

210

10

xx

x

m

m

m

m

d =

=

− −

=

− =

∫ .

.

.

−−

= −

=

=

1

601 1

10

1

605

6012

m

m

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term16

23

1150

x

f(x)

0

(a) E(X ) = 75

(b) Var( )X x x

x

=

=

=

∫ 2 2

0

150

3

0

150

2

2

1

15075

1

150 375

150

3

d

−−

=

=

75

1875

1875

2

Standard deviation

= 43 3.

24

P

P

P

( ) .

.

( . ) .

X

z

z

< =

< −

=

< − =

13 0 1151

130 1151

1 2 0 1151

ms

∴ − = −> =

< −

=

13 1 2

36 0 1357

36

m s

ms

.

( ) .P

P

X

z 00 8643

1 1 0 8643

36 1 1

2

.

( . ) .

.

(

P z < =− =m s

)) ( ) : .− === −

1 23 2 3

10

36 11

ssm

= 25

25 X ~ N(303, 42)

P(295 < X < 305) P

P

= − < < −

= − < <=

295 303

4

305 303

3

2 0 5

0

Z

Z( . )

.66687

.... 1

.... 2

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 17

26 X ~ N( m, 1002)

P

P

P

( ) .

.

X

Z

Z

>

> −

< −

1169 0 117

1169

1000 117

1169

100

m

m00 883

1 19 0 883

1169

1001 19

.

( . ) .

.

P

Z < =

∴ − >m

1169 119

1050

− ><

mm

P( X > 879) 0.877

P Z > 879100

0.877

P

( . ) .

.

Z < =

∴ − < −

1 16 0 877

879

1001 16

m

879 116

995

995 105

− < −>

∴ < <

mmm 00

27 (a) (i) X

X Z

Z

~ ( , )

( . )

.

N

P P

P

P

475 20

500500 475

20

1 25

0 10565

2

>( ) = > −

= >=

rroportion 10.6%=

(ii)

X

X

Z

~ ,

.

.

.

N

P

P

m

m

m

20

500 0 001

500

200 001

500

203 09

2( )>( ) =

> −

=

− = 00

500 20 3 090

438 2

m = − ( )=

.

.

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

ACE AHEAD Mathematics (T) Third Term18

(b) P

Probabilityof nooverflow for 2cups

( ) .

.

X < = −=

=

500 1 0 10565

0 89435

00 89435

0 79986

2.

.

( )=

28 (a) X

X Z

Z

~ , .

.

.

N

P P

P

2 0 4

11 2

0 4

2 5

2( )<( ) = < −

= < −( ) dp

P

= ( )= ( )

>( )

0 00621 5

0 99379

1

2

.

.

X =2

0 98762.

(b) Y

Y Y

~ ( , . )

( ) ( )

. ( . ) ( . ) (

B

P P

10 0 5

4 1 3

1 0 5 10 0 5 45 0 5 2010 10 10

� �= −= − + + + 00 5

1 0 0742

0 9258

10. )

.

.

= −=

29 X

X

Z

Z

~ ( . , )

( . ) .

. ..

( .

N

P

P

P

1 00

1 05 0 01

1 05 1 000 01

1 28

2s

s

> =

> −

=

> 22 0 01

0 051 282

0 039 3

200 0 01

) .

..

. ( )

~ ( , . )

=

=

=s

s d.p

BY

© Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2014

Fully Worked Solutions 19

30 (a) X

X

Z

Z

~ ,

.

.

. .

N

P

P

P

5

3 0 123

3 50 123

1 16 0 123

2

2s

s

( )<( ) =

< −

=

< −( ) =−ss

s

= −

== ( )

1 16

1 724

1 72 2

.

.

. d.p

(b) P P

P

d.p

X Z

Z

>( ) = > −

= >( )== ( )

99 5

1 72

2 32

0 01017

0 0102 4

.

.

.

.

(c) Y

Y Y

~ , .

. . .

.

B

P P

5 0 123

2 1 1

1 0 877 5 0 877 0 123

0

5 4

( )( ) = − ( )

= − ( ) − ( ) ( )=

� �

11174

(d) Y

Y

Y Y

~ , .

~ .

B

Po approximation

P P

e

100 0 0102

1 02

3 1 2

1

( )( )

( ) = − ( )

= − −

� �

11 022

1 1 021 02

2

0 0840

. ..

.

+ +

=