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Global insurgency in nigeria
Transcript of Global insurgency in nigeria
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
Terrorism and insurgencies are increasingly identified
as a growing source of conflict in the post-Cold War world.
Most of the conflicts today are between peoples and races and
these mainly afflict the developing world. Furthermore,
insurgent movements are generally able to find external
sponsors. Insurgency has, therefore, again become part of
inter-state conflict, a form of indirect aggression made
attractive by the inability of states to use conventional
military power and weapons of mass destruction. The use of
violence in insurgency sets it apart from movements of
political protest like Gandhiji's in India, Khomeini's in
Iran, Solidarity in Poland and the civil rights movements in
the US. Insurgent movements use political resources and
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instruments of violence against the ruling authorities to
accomplish their goals. Political activities include such
things as propaganda, arranging protest demonstrations,
recruiting cadres, training and infiltrating agents into the
official establishment, seeking external support, raising and
managing finances, creating supportive groups--workers,
farmers, writers, youth associations and the like--and
devising and implementing strategies and plans.
Insurgency is primarily a political phenomenon. Unless
an insurgent movement directs all its efforts towards
maintaining close links with the people it can have little
chance of eventual victory. Insurgency is the war of the
whole people and as such demands that the closest attention
be paid to those matters which concern the people. Military
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considerations are secondary to political, social and
economic policies. In the end, confrontation may be on the
military level, but the insurgent's capacity to be adequately
equipped for that eventuality is a direct function of the
duration and intensity of the political effort. Power may
grow out of the barrel of a gun but one must first persuade
people to take up that gun, care for it, hump it around for
years in the most difficult terrain and then to stand firm
and use the weapon. The successes of Shivaji, Mao and Ho Chi
Minh clearly show that to achieve this needs much more than
mere military expertise.
Success in marshalling and utilising resources depends
on effective organisation which could be mobilisational as in
the case of these leaders. They used their insurgent elites
to actively involve large segments of the population on
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behalf of their cause. On the other hand, the Red Brigades in
Italy, the Red Army in Japan, and the Muslim Brotherhood in
Syria are examples of selective organisation where small
elite groups threaten to carry out violent acts. Some
selective groups gradually evolve into mobilisational
movements, hence these are two ends of a continuum, with many
cases falling between them. One of the shortcomings of
Nigeria’s security management is its pro-realist orientation
that accords the deployment of force preeminent position.
Thus, the strategy of choice among national security managers
is the use of force in various guises to subdue those
identified as threatening national security. But the
government’s supposed superior force has not rolled back the
menace of insecurity which creates the impression that the
government is not doing enough to secure the people. This
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mindset led to attribute Nigeria’s intractable security
challenges to government’s apathy towards exterminating the
terror group and inefficiency on the part of the security
agencies. The Boko Haram sect poses a security challenge that
is alien to Nigeria’s regular security problems. While the
use of force might have worked in the past, it has proved
inefficient in the case of Boko Haram. This is so for four
major reasons: one, the Boko Haram uses al-Qaeda-style terror
strategies, which combine suicide bombing, targeted
assassination and guerrilla strategies to unleash violence on
the polity; two, the sect has diffuse leadership system,
making it impossible to initiate dialogue; three, its
ideology is anchored on irrationality driven by utopian
anarchism; and lastly, it has shifting membership that is
patently faceless. The anarchist bent of the Boko Haram
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worldview is validated by its bomb attacks on Christian
worship centres as well Muslims considered as not practicing
orthodox Islam.
One issue on which Nigerians are in agreement is that
their nation is going through a period of unprecedented
security challenges. However, there is lack of consensus on
how to deal with the problems. Hence, the problems are
degenerating. This is a worrisome revelation as it readily
suggests that the nation is under siege and that the police
no longer have the capacity to deal with the rising
insecurity in the land. By the end of this write-up, the
following questions will be attempted and explained; what are
these security challenges? What are their impacts? What are
we doing about the problems and how should we be responding
to them? The major challenge of Nigeria’s national security
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is the containment of diverse manifestations of violence
spearheaded by various rogue groups. The major group in
contemporary Nigeria that has stretched the resources,
expertise, patience and even the competence of Nigeria’s
security apparatuses to the limit, both individually and
collectively, is the Boko Haram sect. The sheer number of
deaths arising from bomb attacks orchestrated by the Boko
Haram far outstrips any other cause of death in Nigeria,
including epidemics.
CHAPTER TWO
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ISSUES CHALLENGING NIGERIAN’S NATIONAL SECURITY
Internationally and domestically, the issue of national
security is constantly on the front burner. Irrespective of
the regime type that is in control of governmental powers
within states or the configuration of powers in the global
arena, the preoccupation with national security has not
diminished in importance since the emergence of state system.
Within nation-states, whether it is military authoritarian
regimes or civil democratic governments, considerations
surrounding national security sit at the apex of the
hierarchy of states’ national interest. At the core of these
considerations are the twin issues of regime survival and the
preservation of the territorial integrity of the state
system.
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Overtime, especially in the cold war era, the
preoccupation of states with national security defined within
the parametric confines of regime and state survival made its
pursuit an end by itself rather than a means to an end. The
effect was that states became fixated with developing the
necessary capacity to ensure the survival of the government
in power as well as preserve the state system from collapse
arising from both internal and external threats and sabotage.
National security in Nigeria is still conceived from the
prism of the realist paradigm. Thus, the strategy often
adopted by the Nigerian state to tackle insecurity consists
of, and is anchored on, the deployment of superior fire power
to contain what the state has identified as threats to it,
which often coincide with the interest of the ruling elite.
As a result of the realist orientation and mindset of
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Nigerian security thinking, the Nigerian government
perennially earmarks larger and larger portions of state
funds for security. In the 2012 federal budget, the Nigerian
government allotted 19.4 percent of the total budget to the
security sector.
This traditional realist mindset underpinned the
equation of national security with the absence of threats to
governmental authority or the presence of domestic capacity
to contain centrifugal forces within the polity. Thus, under
this paradigm, national security was conceptualized within
the parametric context of innate and acquired capacity of
governments to ensure the protection of their countries from
external attacks or internal subversion, as well as the
preparedness of the military to protect state territories. It
also was interpreted as diligence in matters of intelligence
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gathering and secrecy, and the protection of resources and
rights considered critical to the functioning of states.
The core essence of this conceptualization is that
national security is motorized by the possession of the
ensembles of warfare as well as the existence of military
formations to deploy them. The implication, therefore, is
that threats to national security are mainly external rather
than internal. Thus, the whole essence of the apparatuses of
force is to rebuff and defeat any form of threat to the
state. As such, the achievement of national security falls
under the exclusive domain of the military and paramilitary
formations across the state. The shortcoming associated with
this conceptualization is its seeming restrictive boundaries
and analytical inadequacy.
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The concept of national security has mutated from its
static preoccupation characterized by narrow, restrictive,
militaristic and strategic perspective to dynamic, broad-
based incorporation of ensembles of various factors. The
shift and expansion in the paradigmatic preoccupation of
national security from traditional realist orientation to
multilayered and broad perspective draws from deeper insights
generated from other schools of thoughts. The various inputs
from diverse intellectual traditions in the attempt to
elucidate and expand the traditional frontiers of national
security have imbued the concept with certain mystique. But
attempts by various scholars to add quality and dynamism to
the concept of national security are principally concerned
with the issues of whose security is paramount and how to
provide it.
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The expansion in the constituent elements that shape
national security has produced a paradigmatic shift in
contemporary definitional criteria of the concept.
CHAPTER THREE
FORMS OF INSURGENCY, WARFARE AND SECURITY CHALLENGES
A form of warfare may be viewed as one variety of
organized violence emphasizing particular type of armed
forces, weapons, tactics and targets. Three forms of warfare
have been associated with insurgent conflicts.
a. Terrorism.
b. Guerrilla warfare.
c. Conventional warfare.
TERRORISM
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Although predating World War II, terrorism is very much
a feature of contemporary political conflict. Political
terrorism has been defined as the deliberate creation of a
state of terror which involves either the use of, or the
threat of use of, force in an attempt to influence groups or
individuals for political purposes. This excludes terrorism
for criminal purposes. However, modern developments in the
nature of political terrorism in some parts of the world have
blurred the boundaries between the strictly political and the
strictly criminal.
Terrorism involves several factors: it is indiscriminate
(though it may have specific targets, it is the nature of the
threat that is indiscriminate); its effects are out of
proportion to the physical results; it is unpredictable; and
it is arbitrary. It is marked by a sense of amorality; the
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terrorists operate outside the moral codes of society. The
means are viewed as being justified by the ends. It is the
ideal weapon of the small or weak groups; they are able to
extract the maximum amount of influence from the minimum
expenditure of force.
Terrorism and guerilla warfare are two different aspects
of violence. The guerilla recognises some of the conventions
of warfare, particularly those that differentiate between the
civilian and the armed combatant. Terrorism recognises no
such distinction although the boundary is not fixed. Many
terrorist groups have developed into guerilla bands while
many guerilla organisations have carried out acts which may
properly fall under terrorism.
POLITICAL TERRORISM
The main sub-groups of political terrorism are:
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(a) Revolutionary terrorism.
(b) State terrorism.
(c) International terrorism.
(d) Revolutionary Terrorism
In sum, therefore, though the general purpose of
terrorism has been to alter the behaviour and attitudes of
specific groups, this has not excluded the simultaneous
pursuit of one or more proximate objectives such as
extracting particular concessions (e.g. the payment of ransom
or the release of prisoners), gaining publicity, demoralising
the population through the creation of widespread disorder,
provoking governmental repression, enforcing obedience and
cooperation from those inside and outside the movement, and
enhancing the political stature of specific factions within
an insurgent movement.
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GUERILLA WARFARE
The upsurge in terrorism since the late 1970s
notwithstanding, the most familiar form of violence used by
insurgents has been guerilla warfare. In guerilla warfare the
primary targets are the government's "armed forces", police,
their support units, and, in some cases, key economic
targets. In terrorism, it is the unarmed civilians. As a
result, guerilla units are larger than terrorist cells and
tend to require proper logistical structure as well as base
camps. Their focus of activity is almost exclusively in the
rural areas.
The security challenges faced by the Nigeria will be
discussed briefly. They are;
Communal violence: (e.g. Jos crisis and the conflict
between farmers and herdsmen);
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Political Assassination: Odunayo Olagbaju in December
2001; Chief Bola Ige in 2001; Barrnabas Igwe and his
wife in 2002; Dr. Harry Marshal; a Senior Advocate of
Nigeria, Chief Ajibola Olanipekun; P.D.P. Vice Chairman
in the South-South, Aminosari Dikibo; Engineer Funso
Williams.
Electoral violence: 2003, 2007, and 2011. The violence
took place before and during elections except that of
2011 which was post-election. Adedidubu boys in Oyo
state; “Gbosa boys” in Kwara; Yan tauri and Yan banga in
Kano; Yan Kalari in Gombe; Sara Suka in Bauchi. All of
these youth gangs were formed and funded by politicians.
Youth militancy in the Niger Delta: Odi crisis of 1999
and “creek wars” since 2003 to the 2010 amnesty
programme. NDPVF, NDV, MEND etc.
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Oil theft, illegal oil bunkering and sea piracy.
Kidnapping and hostage taking: Started in the South
south but has now spread everywhere with the South east
and Delta State in the Niger Delta being the most
notorious;
NURTW crisis in the Southwest. The leadership crisis in
Oyo State took many lives and still threaten to take
more lives.
Sharia crisis in the North most especially in 2000 and
2001
The Boko Haram crisis: Ongoing. Most Nigerians focus on
this problem whenever the issue of insecurity is raised.
However, it is not the only problem we have to contend
with. It is interesting to note that in terms of loss of
lives Boko Haram crisis is not as explosive as the Jos.
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The number of people killed in military operations
against the Niger Delta militants equally surpass what
is now witnessed in the North in respect of the Boko
Haram crisis.
CHAPTER FOUR
INSURGENT STRATEGIES, APPROACHES AND SOLUTIONS
Relating ends and means brings us to the crucial aspect
of strategy--the coordinated use of various means to achieve
goals. Strategies vary because of:
(a) The kind of goals chosen.
(b) The means emphasised.
(c) The type of plan made-systematic or otherwise.
(d) Conceptual sophistication--ranging from the clearly
articulated to the vague.
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(e) The interplay of conflicting political interests,
limited material resources and unanticipated events.
(f) The adoption of strategies which others have
successfully used but that are inappropriate for the
existing environment. (Successful insurgent leaders have
been able to convince others that their strategy had
universal applicability).
STRATEGIC APPROACHES
Recent and contemporary insurgent leaders have used four
broad strategic approaches.
(a) The Conspiratorial Strategy. It emphasizes an elite
small scale organization and low level violence.
(b) The Strategy of Protracted Popular War. This
stresses political primacy, mass organization and
gradually escalating violence.
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(c) The Military Focus Strategy. This strategy
emphasizes military primacy and concentrates on either
guerilla or conventional war.
(d) The Urban Warfare Strategy. It involves small scale
organization and low to moderate terrorist or guerilla
attacks in urban centers, with some proponents
envisaging an eventual transition to warfare in the
rural areas.
THE CONSPIRATORIAL STRATEGY
Perhaps the oldest and least complicated insurgent
strategy is the conspiratorial one. It seeks to remove the
ruling authorities through a limited but swift use of force.
Conspiracies are basically coups led by military officers who
are part of the ruling elite, or civilians. In many cases the
removal of the authorities is considered necessary to achieve
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the real goal, which is to change policies and/or a political
system that insurgents consider illegitimate. In other
situations the aim may be to replace the authorities to
prevent major policy initiatives that will upset the existing
distribution of social, economic and political privileges
(preservationist insurgents) or because the leaders are
perceived to be corrupt and inefficient (and thus opposed by
reformist insurgents).
CHAPTER FIVE
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
From the study above, it is found that the following
points could help tackle insurgency and terrorism. The cause
provides the motivation for insurgency. Whether real or
artificial, whether inspired by Communism or by virulent
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nationalism, the political goal is fundamental in motivating
people to action. Without a political goal, insurgency must
fail, as it must if its political objectives do not coincide
with the aspirations of the people and their sympathy,
cooperation and assistance cannot be gained.
Insurgency has no chance of success unless the rebels
have the complete and unresolved support of the majority of
the country's inhahitants. Popular support may be passive or
active. Passive support includes individuals who quietly
sympathise with the insurgents but are unwilling to provide
material assistance. Active support encompasses those who are
willing to make sacrifice and risk personal harm either by
joining the movement, or by providing information, hiding
places, medical assistance, guides and the like.
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No analysis of an insurgency can be complete or
meaningful without an assessment of the scope, complexity and
cohesion of an insurgent movement. Insurgents who subscribe
to conspiratorial and urban warfare strategies stress small,
closely knit and secretive organizations. Those who adopt
military focus or protracted popular war strategies require
more sophisticated organizational structures because of the
long struggle that is anticipated and the requirement for
substantial military activity.
CONCLUSION
Insurgencies will continue to pose important domestic
and foreign policy challenges for many nations. Apart from
the participants, insurgencies will be of interest to
decision makers, analysts, scholars, students, journalists
and many others. The understanding of insurgency is a complex
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and challenging process which calls for a systematic approach
and an open mind. Conflict and insecurity affects us all, we
all need to carve a role for ourselves in dealing with the
ugly situation. As Colleen C. Barrett observed, “When it
comes to getting things done, we need fewer architects and
more bricklayers”. The work starts with YOU and ME!
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