Was the Great War a watershed ? The economics of World War One in France
France, economics in (after 1870)
Transcript of France, economics in (after 1870)
France, economics in (after 1870)
After 1870, classical liberals gradually lost their
influence. Political economy began to be taught in
university faculties of law, and also in some of the
engineering schools. This laid the foundations for a long-
standing divide between two groups of economists.
Professors of political economy in the law faculties often
inclined to an institutionalist approach, and opposed the
mathematical approach to political economy that economic
engineers and some mathematicians adopted. This antagonism
abated after the Second World War as French economists
strengthened their relations with foreign colleagues.
The publication of Léon Walras’s Éléments d’économie politique pure
in 1874 marks an important turning point in the history of
economic analysis. But for many years his ideas remained
misunderstood. Recognition of the importance of his work on
the part of French economists followed a lengthy and difficult
period, in which the publication of Maurice Allais’s À la
recherche d’une discipline économique, l’économie pure in 1943 marks a
vital stage. Allais introduced the analysis of risk and
intertemporal choice to the theory of general equilibrium and
in this way posed new questions to which Gérard Debreu, Marcel
Boiteux, Edmond Malinvaud and many others would respond.
Nonetheless, many French economists had considerable
reservations about the theory of general equilibrium. They
favoured an emphasis upon the role of institutions, and the
need to integrate the various elements of the social sciences
– economics, sociology and history – if economic phenomena
were to be understood.
From 1870 to 1943
In the years after 1870 the domination of the liberal
school was increasingly questioned, and this was largely the
consequence of institutional developments (Le Van-Lemesle,
2004). The teaching of political economy was introduced into
the faculties of law in 1877, but the professors in law in
charge of this teaching progressively became scientifically
independent. In 1887 they founded the Revue d’Économie Politique so
that the new political economy might be more widely diffused,
and this quickly became far more influential than the liberal
Journal des Économistes.
Classics liberals and institutionalists
The best known of the last classical liberals, Gustave de
Molinari and Paul Leroy-Beaulieu, sought to defend very
different positions. Liberals had maintained that the state
should limit itself to the provision of individual security
but de Molinari (L’évolution politique et la révolution, 1884) argued that
it was necessary to go much further. All branches of
production, including the judiciary, the police and defence,
should be freed from state control. If a need for security
exists and if the state does not foresee it, then this need
will be met by private initiative, and so much the better.
Leroy-Beaulieu did not challenge the principle that a state
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had its prerogatives and that it would exercise them. However,
while Molinari defended the classical theory of distribution,
Leroy-Beaulieu (Essai sur la répartition des richesses, 1881) thought it
necessary to abandon this theory. The consequences which it
foresaw – a fall in the rate of profit, an increase in the
rate of rents, and a reduction of wages to subsistence levels
– were refuted by factual evidences: wage rates were
increasing, and rents were diminishing in proportion.
Institutionally Leroy-Beaulieu belonged to the group of older
classical liberals, but he abandoned the propositions basic to
this school.
Charles Gide occupied a leading place among the professors
of the law faculties. He was a staunch eclectic, which led him
to reject extreme theses in favour of an intermediate
synthesis. In studying prices and distribution he made use of
ideas borrowed from Jevons and Walras, but played down their
contribution. If Jevons’s analysis of value was ingenious, it
was nonetheless not new; Condillac had long before made clear
that the utility of an object determined its value. Gide was
somewhat reluctant to make use of the notion of marginal
productivity, since he did not consider that the distribution
of revenues to be solely determined by economic factors, and
he argued (Principes d’économie politique, 1901) that social relations
among agents also played a part.
Adolphe Landry and François Simiand were part of a very
small group of philosophers educated at the École Normale who
chose to become economists. In his Révolution démographique (1934)
Landry distinguished three types of regulation as of
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importance to the study of demographic development. First,
under the ancien régime, parents did not concern themselves with
the consequences of the birth of children. Mortality played
the principal role in regulating the population. Second,
during the transitional phase, men and women chose their age
of marriage so that they might maintain the standard of living
to which they had become accustomed, and there was no
voluntary birth control in marriage. Third, in modern times,
on the contrary, the timing and number of births had become a
matter of choice. Landry used this argument to persuade
parliament to vote through, in 1932, 1939 and 1946, the three
laws which determine the allocations of family support: for if
the birth rate is the product of choice, then one can hope to
end demographic decline with the aid of a system of financial
incentives.
French positive economics developed with the work of
François Simiand (La méthode positive en science économique, 1912). He
rejected both the approach of the German Historical School as
well as what he termed ‘orthodox’ economics, referring in this
way to French liberals, the Austrian School and mathematical
economics. The German Historical School, he suggested, lacked
principles and had produced nothing but an empty accumulation
of knowledge. ‘Orthodox’ economists constructed theories that
were poorly founded, since they drew upon incomplete or
implicit observations. Simiand, by contrast, made use of long
statistical series, analysing them in terms of models that
described the behaviour of social groups. He applied this
method to the study of the development of wages and prices in
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his major works of the 1930s (Recherches anciennes et nouvelles sur le
mouvement des prix du 16ème au 19ème siècle, 1932, et Le salaire, l’évolution
sociale et la monnaie, 1932). In these works he argued that
variations in the money supply drove the cycle and that
cyclical fluctuation was a necessary part of economic
progress. This approach influenced Ernest Labrousse (Esquisse du
mouvement des prix et des revenus au 18ème siècle, 1933) who, on the basis
of meticulously constructed statistical series, put forward a
simple theory of the crisis of the ancien régime as engendered by
the agricultural cycle: bad harvests brought about a rise in
the price of wheat, consumers spent an increasing proportion
of their revenues on agricultural goods and so the crisis was
transmitted to industry.
Albert Aftalion (Les crises périodiques de surproduction, 1913) and
Jean Lescure (Des crises générales et périodiques de surproduction, 1906)
took their inspiration from Say and their analysis of crises
from Juglar. They retained Say’s Law of Markets. From Juglar
they drew three lessons. Their analysis rested upon study of
empirical data. They used price movements to determine the
phases of the cycle. The crisis was defined as the point at
which prices ceased rising, inevitably followed by a fall in
prices – it was only one phase of the cycle. But whereas
Juglar put forward a monetary theory of crises, Aftalion and
Lescure proposed a real theory. At the bottom of a recession
production had difficulty satisfying needs. The marginal
utility of consumer goods and their prices would thus rise. To
meet this demand, machinery is needed. The price of machinery
rises and in turn stimulates production. However, when the new
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production goods come into service consumer goods become over-
abundant. Their final utility and value collapse and this has
repercussions for the price of machinery. The crisis becomes
almost, or entirely, general. Lescure placed the emphasis on
the role of profits and on the interdependence between
activities. At the end of an expansionary phase, costs rise
faster than prices and new enterprises that have paid a high
price for their means of production face losses. Their
insolvency brings about the crisis, which spreads from one
branch to another. The crisis is not general, but generalized.
Over a lengthy period, French economists had criticized the
version of the quantity theory of money advocated by partisans
of the Currency School, and this continued after 1870.
Bertrand Nogaro (Contribution à une théorie réaliste de la monnaie, 1906)
noted that money was the object neither of demand nor supply;
the general price level is not determined, as the quantity
theory supposed, by the relation between the money stock and
desired cash holdings, but by global demand for goods, or as
argued by Aftalion (Monnaie, prix et change, 1927), by the
relationship between monetary revenue and the volume of
production. The consequences of a variation in the stock of
money depended for its effect upon the demand and supply of
goods, and hence on the way that it is introduced into the
system. Nogaro and Aftalion rejected the idea that variations
in the price of goods explained variations in the exchange
rate. The direction of causality was not necessarily from
prices to exchange rates. The current exchange rate depended
upon the expected future rate and, since it affected producer
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costs and agents’ revenues, domestic prices are determined by
psychological factors.
Walras, the mathematicians and the statisticians
For many years both mathematicians and engineers had
reservations about the idea of general equilibrium. They
considered partial equilibrium quite adequate for the study of
most problems. Walras’s use of mathematics seemed quite
superfluous. Even when the importance of Walras’s work
gradually became more generally accepted, his successors
remained critical of his methodology. Instead they shared
Pareto’s view that the criterion of a theory’s truth lies in
its correspondence to reality. They did not attempt to resolve
the theoretical difficulties presented by the Walrasian
construct. Instead, they were interested in understanding the
instruments which permitted the analysis of facts while using
economic theory. The procedure followed by Albert Aupetit, the
leading disciple of Walras, is quite typical. His
dissertation, Essai sur la théorie génerale de la monnaie (1901), presents
itself both as a development of Walrasian monetary theory and
as verification of its empirical relevance.
The tradition of engineer–economists continued with Clément
Colson. His works (Cours d’économie politique, 1901–7) drew more on
Dupuit’s analysis than on Walras’s, but he encouraged François
Divisia, René Roy and Jacques Rueff to study Walrasian theory
since he was aware of the importance of the interdependence of
markets. It was not possible to study the determination of
wages independently of that of the rate of interest. Since
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labour and capital are substitutes, the proportions in which
they should be employed depended both upon the wage rates and
interest rates. Here one can see at work the fundamental idea
that had driven Walras to use mathematics and make use of
models of general equilibrium.
Divisia’s analysis of monetary phenomena illustrates this
connection of theory to empirical research. It had sometimes
been thought that the quantity equation implies that prices
vary with the quantity of money. Divisia rejected this idea,
arguing that the transactions equation is an identity.
Appealing to statistical observation for verification is an
absurdity, but it does allow the definition of what should be
an indicator of prices. Weights are quantities of goods and
services exchanged, not quantities produced or consumed.
Divisia (L’indice monétaire et la théorie de la monnaie, 1925–6) explained
that it is not possible to set these weights; the index should
be a chain index. In order to determine the value of money in
1900 relatively to its value in 1800, it is not enough to know
the quantities of goods and services bought in 1800 and 1900,
all the intermediate values should also be known. René Roy
followed the same line of argument. He introduced (De l’utilité,
contribution à une théorie des choix, 1942) the idea of the indirect
utility function to demonstrate that the consumer price index
is the number by which primary prices have to be multiplied to
render the satisfaction of an individual (under the assumption
of constant monetary income) equal to his satisfaction at
current prices.
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Even while invoking Walras, Rueff appeared above all to be
the defender of classical arguments against attack by
Institutionalists and by Keynes. Contrary to Nogaro, he argued
(Théorie des phénomènes monétaires, 1926) that price variations are
determined by effective holdings of cash relative to desired
holdings. He based his arguments on a reformulation of the
theory of purchasing power parity in dealing with the problem
of transfers. Contrary to Keynes, he maintained that the sole
levy that would enable the Germans to pay reparations to
France would be a rise in taxes. Of course, in the flexible
exchange rate regime that was then prevailing, the D-Mark
would depreciate and the wage rates of German workers
expressed in foreign currency would diminish; but the price of
German products would diminish in proportion, so that real
wages remained unchanged. It was, however, his analysis of
unemployment that made him famous. Following the First World
War, unemployment rose in Great Britain and changed in nature:
instead of being cyclical, it became permanent. Drawing upon
the relation he had put forward between unemployment and the
real wage rate, Rueff suggested that this development followed
from the emergence of a system of unemployment relief which
checked the fall in the money wages despite the existence of
an excess labour supply.
The establishment of a more direct link between theory and
empirical research involved the development of statistics.
Lucien March was the first Frenchman to make Karl Pearson’s
work known, and he took (Les principes de la méthode statistique, 1930)
from Pearson three fundamental techniques: the method of
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moments, the system of curves, and correlation analysis.
Marcel Lenoir’s 1913 doctoral dissertation (Etudes sur la formation
et le mouvement des prix), which dealt with price formation and
price movements, marked the beginning of econometrics. He not
only made careful use of correlation and regression, but he
posed, and resolved, the problem of identification. If one had
a time series of quantities exchanged and their prices it was
possible to plot a path on a graph, but not to interpret this
graph as a supply or a demand curve. Lenoir, using moving
averages, plotted the long-run trend of cyclical fluctuations.
He then calculated regression coefficients and interpreted his
results by introducing the idea that short-run variations in
prices reflected shifts of the demand curve, while long-term
variations were more indicative of shifts in the supply curve
and the influence of monetary factors.
Apart from the engineers, French mathematicians took hardly
any interest in political economy. Two of them however, Louis
Bachelier and Émile Borel, did, at the beginning of the 20th
century, make fundamental contributions to the development of
economic science. The arguments advanced in Bachelier’s Théorie
de la speculation (1900) lie at the origins of the mathematical
analysis of finance: here can be found the essentials of the
theory of efficient markets and the premises of the notion of
Brownian motion which he developed in 1913. Borel’s point of
departure is the analysis made by Joseph Bertrand of the game
of baccarat in his Calcul des probabilités (1889). Bertrand
highlighted the existence of a strategic interdependence
between the players similar to that which, he suggested,
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Cournot had wrongly ignored in his analysis of duopoly. But
Borel in turn accused Bertrand of overlooking the case where
players determined their strategy by drawing lots. He argued
that, if one were to reveal the psychological mechanism
governing choices, then it had to be connected to the notion
of probability: at each moment, each player chooses his or her
strategy with a given probability. The player’s mathematical
hope of gain depends on the way in which the probabilities are
allocated to each alternative. In a symmetric game no
information can provide one of the players with the certainty
of the gain advantage. The best strategy is to distribute
probabilities so that one does not lose whatever the opponent
does. Borel demonstrated in La théorie du jeu et les équations intégrales à
noyau symétrique (1921) that a solution exists for a game in
which two players could choose between three ways of playing.
Nonetheless, it was von Neumann who in 1928 demonstrated at a
general level the theorem of the minimax. Jean Ville suggested
in 1938 a more simple demonstration, and showed that the
result applied to continuous variables.
From 1943 to the present day
The publication in the early 1940s of books by Robert
Marjolin (Prix, monnaie et production, 1941), Maurice Allais (À la
recherche d’une discipline économique, 1943), François Perroux (La
valeur, 1943) and by Jacques Rueff (L’ordre social, 1945) all
testify to a shift in the analyses of French economists. But
if they were all certain of the need for a break with
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traditional liberalism, their work led in different, even
contradictory, directions.
Liberals, Keynesians and Institutionalists
If, despite the efforts of Daniel Villey and Louis Baudin,
the heritage of French classical liberalism was fading, after
1940 liberalism experienced a renaissance, but it was a
liberalism quite different from that of Molinari and Leroy-
Beaulieu. Its most typical representatives, Rueff and Rist,
admired Walras for the manner in which he showed that
variations in prices always led to equilibrium, since they
continued up to the point where they stabilized. René Courtin
took up exactly this point in his Cours de théorie économique (1950)
when he accused Keynes of having assumed absolute rigidity of
prices, and of nominal wages in particular. If such a rigidity
exists (a doubtful interpretation of Keynes’s book), it is
never absolute, for while it is capable of explaining
unemployment in the short run, it cannot explain its
persistence. According to Rueff, the modern social order rests
on two institutions: property rights which prevent
appropriation by violence, and the market, with its
characteristic flexibility of prices which mutually adjust to
the point where equilibrium is reached. A property right
should be understood as a pool of value, of known volume,
which can be filled with whatever wealth offered on the market
at the behest of its owner. In so far as the value of this
pool corresponds to the value of the goods that it contains,
one can say that the right is a real one. But if this is not
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so, then the right is false. Rights of this sort can be
introduced in a number of ways. The simplest example is that
of a budget deficit financed by the creation of money. The
state, by buying goods or leasing services, creates rights for
its creditors. When these expenditures are covered by taxes
the rights are real; but if they are not so covered then they
are false rights – state creditors hold paper claims to wealth
which does not exist. Inevitably, policies of this kind lead
to inflation. And in so conducting itself the government
weakens the judicial system that protects the social order.
Some individuals are not able to provide the rights which they
hold with the volume of their choice. The unconditional
character of the law is irremediably compromised.
Soon after the publication of the General Theory, several
works inspired by Keynes appeared, in particular the works of
Marjolin (Prix, monnaie et production, 1941), Claude Gruson (Esquisse
d’une théorie générale de l’équilibre économique, 1949) and Alain Barrère
(Théorie économique et impulsion keynésienne, 1952). They touched on
Keynes’s work in a very specific manner. Their common problem
was the construction of dynamic analysis. They had doubts
about the analysis that Keynes had developed in the General
Theory, but his book had the merit of addressing – even if not
fully consciously – the economic problems of growth, and the
most fundamental economic policy issue, that of growth
coordinated by deliberate and conscious policy. They showed
little interest in the models that Modigliani and Hicks had
introduced to analyse short-term monetary and budgetary
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policy. The IS–LM model was for many years neither taught nor
discussed in France.
The majority of university economists remained distanced
from both liberal arguments and Keynesian ideas. They argued
that it was barely possible to understand economic choices
without studying its social, cultural and institutional
determinants. They argued for a concrete and positive
economics closely linked to other social sciences such as
sociology and history. The will to renew the link to positive
economics was expressed with the foundation in 1950 of the
Revue Économique, which quickly became the most important of
French academic journals. Aftalion was among the founders,
alongside historians such as Braudel and Labrousse. This
conception of economic science led them to place the study of
structure, defined as an ensemble of relations characteristic
of a social and economic system – following the example of
André Marchal’s Systèmes et structures (1959) – at the centre of
their studies. This method was applied in particular to the
analysis of distribution (as in Jean Marchal and Jacques
Lecaillon, La répartition du revenu national, 1958–70), production
structures, spatial organization and the relationships between
national economies.
François Perroux played an important role after the Second
World War. He created and directed the Institut de Sciences
Économiques Appliquées, which for many years was the leading
centre for economic research in France. He became a professor
at the Collège de France, the most prestigious French
scientific institution. Perroux was open to different
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influences, and which sometimes appeared to conflict. His
first works, in particular his book La valeur, revealed the
influence Austrian marginalists had played in his thinking.
Économie appliqué, the journal that he edited, was one of the
important channels for the diffusion of Keynes’ thinking in
France. But his masters were Chamberlin and Schumpeter. He
admired Schumpeter as the theorist of innovation, and of
creative destruction. What interested him about Chamberlin was
the detailed criticism of hypotheses regarding pure and
perfect competition. He proposed a general theory of the
impact of domination at the level of enterprise, industry and
national economy. He saw in this analysis a first and
indispensable step towards a much larger synthesis between a
theory of the economy and a theory of force, power and of
constraints.
And so following the Second World War French economists
sought to reconnect with the tradition of positive economics
founded with Aftalion and Simiand. This institutionalist
project collapsed at the end of the 1960s when the new
generation turned either to Marxism or the theory of general
equilibrium. Nonetheless, institutionalism has remained an
active force within French political economy up to the present
day with the Convention School (André Orléan, Analyse économique
des conventions, 1994) and the theory of regulation (Robert
Boyer, La théorie de la régulation: une analyse critique, 1986; Boyer and
Saillard, Théorie de la régulation: l’état des savoirs, 1995). In both
schools there is agreement that political economy has to
collaborate with other social sciences, history and sociology.
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The conventionalists are interested in situations where
existing prices are insufficient to coordinate the activity of
agents on account of uncertainty concerning the future and the
quality of products. It is necessary to take account of
conventions, understood as legitimate routines of
interpretation on the part of agents. The theory of regulation
has much larger ambitions: the development of an economic
theory which presents an alternative to orthodox theory. Its
key concept is the mode of regulation, that is, the manner in
which several institutions (the financial system, the wage
relation, forms of competition) join together to form a
system. Hence the Fordist mode of regulation is characterized
by oligopolistic competition, the development of credit, the
growth of productivity in mass production and the indexation
of wages to gains in productivity. The theory of regulation
addresses itself to the description and explanation of
different forms of regulation and the specificity of the
crises which characterize it.
Reformulations of general equilibrium theory
Divisia and Roy had not profoundly modified the basic
framework of Walrasian analysis. In 1943 Allais had put
forward some new directions for research by introducing
intertemporal economies, where each good is defined by the
location and date at which it becomes available, and in which
there exist markets for all future goods. He demonstrated,
making use of Walrasian tâtonnement, that the equilibrium was
stable. He established the two propositions fundamental to the
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theory of welfare. In 1947, in Économie et Intérêt, he developed a
synthesis combining the theory of interest, prices and money.
He put forward the first proof of the golden rule. He noted
that the existence of transaction costs explained why agents
hold money rather than stocks and shares. On this basis he
showed that the demand for money is a function of income and
of the rate of interest. To illustrate the influence of basic
elements of the theory of interest, he introduced a model of
overlapping generations. The third fundamental contribution by
Allais was the development of a theory of decisions in a state
of uncertainty. He showed in Le comportement de l’Homme rationnel
devant le risque (1953) that, if one wants to account for the
behaviour of agents, it is necessary to take account of
characteristics of the index of utility other than its
average. Finally, in his La théorie générale des surplus (1981),
Allais put forward a complete modification of the frame of
reference: in place of the Walrasian market model he put
forward a model of markets founded upon the decentralized
search for realizable surpluses.
Debreu was trained as a mathematician; he had been the
pupil of Henri Cartan and, through him had come under the
influence of the Bourbaki group which had an axiomatic
approach to mathematics. It was through the study of Allais’s
book À la recherche d’une discipline économique that he was initiated
into the theory of general equilibrium. If Debreu found in his
reading of Allais the point of departure for his own studies,
the reorientation is significant. Up to that point economic
analysis consisted in maximizing differentiable functions and
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deriving the characteristics of maxima from first-order
conditions. Debreu abandoned this approach; differential
calculus gave way to topological arguments which quite clearly
increased the generality and simplicity of theory. But it was
not only the mathematical tools that changed. Allais had
maintained that ‘in the last analysis it was experience, and
only experience, which could determine whether a theory had
merit or whether it must be rejected’ (Allais, 1943, p. 116).
In the work of Debreu, the concern for rigour dominates: he
stipulated that the axiomatic form of analysis or of theory
was, strictly speaking, logically entirely disconnected from
its interpretations. In his Théorie de la valeur (1954) Debreu took
up the analytical framework employed by Allais in 1943. He
demonstrated the existence of an equilibrium and establishes
the two theorems of welfare through the use of convex sets.
But he refrained from discussing the problem of stability
which was central to Allais’s preoccupations. The uniqueness
of equilibrium posed a problem. At the end of the 1960s it
became evident that the hypotheses under which the uniqueness
of equilibrium could be established were too restrictive and
that it was necessary to make do with an analysis of local
equilibrium. Debreu (1970) demonstrated that, using the
hypothesis of differentiability, the number of economies that
did not have a local equilibrium was ‘negligible’, that is,
‘contained in a closed set of Lebesgue measure zero’. This
result, gained by using the concepts and techniques of
differential topology, was the origin of the theory of regular
economies that Yves Balasko in particular developed.
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Following the Second World war the problems of
reconstruction, of developing a system of indicative planning,
and the management of public enterprises lent Allais, Pierre
Massé and their pupils occasion to apply the theoretical
propositions that they had elaborated. Among the contributions
that French economists made during this period to the theory
of the efficient allocation of resources and to the study of
public policy, Jacques Drèze (1964) underlined the importance
of two themes: the management of public enterprises and the
analysis of the conditions under which the accumulation of
capital is socially effective.
Edmond Malinvaud explicitly introduced (Capital Accumulation and
Efficient Allocation of Resourcestime into the model of general
equilibrium. From this he derived an analysis of the
determination of the rate of interest and the meaning that it
gives to the proposition that the rate of interest is equal to
the marginal productivity of capital. One can only regret that
the economists who became involved in the controversy that led
to the theory of capital did not always record the results
that they arrived at.
Marcel Boiteux (Sur la gestion des monopoles publics astreints à l’équilibre
budgétaire, 1956) suggested a new approach to the management of
public monopolies constrained by budgetary equilibrium. He
sought to define a rule for the management of public
monopolies by adding to natural connections a new constraint:
the budgetary equilibrium. He then defined the shadow prices
which were the solution to the problem. Public monopolies
should maximize their profits in terms of these shadow prices.
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The gap between real prices and shadow prices is proportional
to the inverse of the price elasticity of compensated demand.
While Dupuit and Colson referred to marginal costs, Boiteux
took account of shadow marginal costs and prices.
What remains to be determined is whether the enterprise or
the regulator is the better at determining tariffs. Jean
Tirole and Jean-Jacques Laffont analysed systematically this
type of problem by using the theory of contracts. The central
idea is that information at the disposal of the managers of a
public monopoly is greater than that available to the
regulator. It is therefore necessary to determine the nature
of the contract which the regulator is able to propose to the
enterprise to minimize the costs of production of the good
which it produces, while explicitly taking account of the
capacity of the agent to manipulate the information.
In Debreu’s model, all agents have, ab initio, access to a
complete system of forward markets and adjustments are made
solely by price. All contracts are concluded on the starting
date; there is no incentive to reopen markets at a later date.
The model is essentially atemporal; the role of money cannot
be explained, nor the existence of a market for stocks nor the
underemployment of resources. Lindahl and Hicks suggested that
a partial equilibrium framework was appropriate for dealing
with this kind of problem. Michel Grandmont, in a series of
articles published in the course of the 1970s, took up and
then systematically developed this notion by assuming that
agents formed, at every moment, expectations of the future
states of the economy that were not necessarily realized. It
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was in this framework that, in the 1970s, Jean-Pascal Benassy,
Drèze, Malinvaud and Yves Younès built their theory of
disequilibrium. More recently, this framework was used to
study the relations between value and money (Grandmont, Money
and value, 1983), between competition and underemployment
(Claude D’Aspremont, Louis Gérard-Varet, Rodolphe Dos Santos,
On Monopolistic Competition and Involuntary Unemployment, 1990, and
Benassy, The Economics of Imperfect Competition and Underemployment, 2002)
and rational expectations (Roger Guesnerie, Assessing Rational
Expectations, 2001).
Until the 1970s, French economics had a flavour of its own
with engineer–economists interested in planning and the
management of public enterprises, and with many professors
still following the French institutionalist tradition.
Thereafter, this distinctiveness disappeared and, with the
exception of the Regulation School, French economists became
thoroughly integrated into an international economics
profession.
Alain Béraud & Philippe Steiner
See also Allais, Maurice; Allais paradox; Aupetit, Albert;
Bachelier, Louis; Bertrand, Joseph Loukis François; Braudel,
Fernand; Debreu, Gérard; Divisia, François Jean Marie; Divisia
index; Gérard-Varet, Louis-André; Gibrat, Robert Pierre Louis;
Juglar, Clément; Laffont, Jean-Jacques; Leroy-Beaulieu,
Pierre-Paul; Massé, Pierre; Perroux, François; Roy, René
François Joseph; Sauvy, Alfred; Walras, Léon.
21
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Paris: Economica.
22
Index terms
Aftalion, A.
Allais, M.
Aupetit, A.
Austrian School
Bachelier, L.
Balasko, Y.
Barrère, A.
Baudin, L.
Benassy, J.-P.
Bertrand, J.
birth rate
Boiteux, M.
Borel, E.
Boyer, R.
Braudel, F
Brownian motion
budgetary equilibrium
Cartan, H.
Chamberlin, E.
classical liberalism
Colson, C.
Condillac, E.
consumer price index
contract theory
Convention School
correlation analysis
23
Cournot, A.
Courtin, R.
creative destruction
Currency School
D’Aspremont, C.
Debreu, G.
decisions under uncertainty
demand for money
differentiability
disequilibrium theory
Divisia, F.
Dos Santos, R.
Drèze, J.
econometrics
economic growth
efficient markets
excess labour supply
existence of equilibrium
expectations
family planning
general equilibrium
Gérard-Varet, L.-A.
German Historical School
Gide, C.
golden rule
Grandmont, J.-M.
Gruson, C.
Guesnerie, R.
24
Hicks, J.
identification
indicative planning
inflation
innovation
Institut de Sciences Économiques Appliquées
institutionalism
intertemporal choice
IS–LM model
Jevons, W.
Juglar, C.
Keynes. J. M.
Labrousse, E.
Lacaillon, J.
Laffont, J.-J.
Landry, A.
Lenoir, M.
Leroy-Beaulieu, P.
Lescure, J.
Lindahl, E.
local equilibrium
Malinvaud, E.
March, L.
Marchal, A.
Marchal, J.
Marjolin, R.
Marxism
Massé, P.
25
mathematical economics
method of moments
minimax theorem
Modigliani, F.
Molinari, G. de
monetary theory of crises
money supply
mortality
Nogaro, B.
oligopolistic competition
Orléan, A.
overlapping generations model
partial equilibrium
Pearson, K.
Perroux, F.
probability
purchasing power parity
quantity theory of money
regulation
Regulation School
risk
Rist, C.
Roy, R.
Rueff, J.
Saillard, Y.
Say, J.-B.
Say’s Law
shadow prices
26