Beyond Intention to Treat Analysis in Welfare-to-Work Studies
Transcript of Beyond Intention to Treat Analysis in Welfare-to-Work Studies
This article was downloaded by: [Rutgers University]On: 19 February 2015, At: 15:14Publisher: RoutledgeInforma Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH,UK
Journal of Social ServiceResearchPublication details, including instructions forauthors and subscription information:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/wssr20
Beyond Intention to TreatAnalysis in Welfare-to-WorkStudiesRadha Jagannathan PhD a & Michael J. Camasso PhDb
a Rutgers University, Bloustein School of Planningand Public Policy , 33 Livingston Avenue, Suite 100,New Brunswick, NJ, 08901-1958, USAb Rutgers University Center for Urban PolicyResearch and School of Social Work , 33 LivingstonAvenue, Suite 400, New Brunswick, NJ, 08901, USAPublished online: 23 Sep 2008.
To cite this article: Radha Jagannathan PhD & Michael J. Camasso PhD (2006) BeyondIntention to Treat Analysis in Welfare-to-Work Studies, Journal of Social ServiceResearch, 31:4, 43-60
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/J079v31n04_03
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TABLE 1. Comparison of Program Components Under Family DevelopmentProgram’s Enhanced JOBS and JOBS Under the Family Support Act
Family Development ProgramEnhanced JOBS
Family Support ActJOBS
Recipient with child under 2 must participate incounseling and vocational assessment.
Exempt if child is under 2, but may volunteer.
Recipient with child 2 years or older mustparticipate in FDP activities.
Recipients who have a child 3 years or older andare in a federal target group must participate.
Participants must complete a Family Plan,including a written contract, outlining theparticipant and each family member's educationaland job goals.
Participants complete an Employability Plan and asigned agreement.
The Family Plan includes support services (childcare, transportation, Medicaid for up to two yearsif eligibility lost due to earned income). Post AFDCfamilies must have been on AFDC for 3 out of 6months prior to loss of benefits to receiveextension.
Provides same support services, however,Medicaid benefits extended only for one year andfamilies are required to have been on AFDC forone month prior to loss of benefits.
Job development and placement, counseling,vocational assessment, intensive remedialeducation, job search assistance, community workexperience, job-specific employment skills training,on-the-job training. Services are provided to allfamily members.
Services are the same except they are notextended to family members.
High School diploma or equivalency for eachparticipant and family member before assignmentto vocational activity. Exemptions granted if thereis a legitimate inability to complete. If exempt,referred to alternative educational programs,employment, job training, job search.
High school diploma or equivalency mandatedonly for custodial parents under age 18. Needsassessment and individual employment goaldetermine education requirements. Onlyparticipants under 25 must acquire a high schooldiploma regardless of whether or not employmentgoals require it.
Case management must conduct an assessmentof health-related, educational, social, andvocational needs for the participant and familymembers.
Participants are eligible for determined servicesand activities.
Services to the participant and the family mustinclude remedial education and/or training andparent skills training.
Services extended to family members are lesscomprehensive.
A Family Resource center must be established ineach county. Services will be collocated to themaximum extent possible.
Is not required.
Failure to participate without good cause will resultin a reduction in benefits of at least 20% orineligibility for at least 90 days.
Failure to participate without good cause will resultin a reduction in grant by per capita share for thatperson for 1) a minimum of 30 days, 2) for 6months or longer, or 3) based on the number ofnoncompliances.
Source: New Jersey Department of Human Services, Division of Family Development, October 1992
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TABLE 2. Four-Year Impact of the Family Development Program on Employ-ment and Earnings for Non-Exempt Ongoing Cases (N of cases in parentheses)
Percentage Employed at Least One Quarterin the Year Average Annual Earnings
YearExperimental
(%)Control
(%)Difference
(Impact)Experimental
($)Control
($)
Difference(Impact)
($)
1993 11.7 (218) 11.6 (109) .1 2291 2774 �486
1994 28.6 (535) 28.1 (263) .5 3001 3061 �60
1995 33.7 (630) 32.3 (303) 1.4 3204 3255 �51
1996 46.6 (869) 47.7 (447) �1.1 2692 2929 �237
Total �831
Notes: None of the differences are significant at the 95 percent confidence level based on a chi-squaretest (employment) or t-test (earnings).The number of women represented in this Table is 2803 who were non-exempt from either FDP (N = 1866)or FSA (N = 937) regulations in at least one of the four years displayed.
Source: New Jersey Department of Labor, Wage Reporting System (WRS)
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TABLE 3. Sample Characteristics by Experimental Status for All and Non-Ex-empt Cases at Time of Random Assignment
Sample Characteristics
All Ongoing Cases Non-Exempt Ongoing Cases
Experimental Control Experimental Control
Percent
Race/Ethnicity
White 14.59 15.96 15.27 17.79
Black 50.67 53.10 54.61 54.32
Hispanic* 33.46 29.33 30.12 26.89
Education
Less than HS 40.10 40.70 38.68 31.60
HS graduate 38.81 38.05 39.74 39.25
Some college 8.97 9.60 9.42 9.92
Other, post HS 7.77 8.83 8.75 9.59
Marital status
Never married 64.52 67.73 66.37 65.58
Married/widowed/divorced
35.48 32.27 33.63 31.42
Employed 14.46 14.39 15.25 14.88
Mean (Std. Dev)
Age of mother 32.47(8.30)
31.75(8.72)
30.86(8.13)
31.02(8.51)
Number ofeligible children
1.88(1.16)
1.82(1.14)
1.77(1.15)
1.80(1.19)
Number of cases 3268 1607 1866 937
*indicates statistical significance at .05 level.Dow
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TABLE 4. Pattern of Participation for Non-Exempt Welfare Recipients in LaborForce Attachment, Human Capital Investment and Mixed Strategies Over theFour-Year Study Period
Labor Force Attach-ment
Human CapitalInvestment Mixed
Total Number ofParticipants
Year
Experi-mental
(%)Control
(%)
Experi-mental
(%)Control
(%)
Experi-mental
(%)Control
(%)Experi-mental Control
1993 43 46 49 42 8 12 365 189
1994 47 43 42 44 11 13 404 209
1995 48 45 36 39 16 16 470 228
1996 51 53 33 30 16 17 514 246
Notes: The number of women represented in the Table is 2,803 who were non-exempt from either FDP (n =1,866) or FSA (n = 937) regulations.
Source: New Jersey Department of Human Services, Division of Family Development, On-Line Managementof Economic Goal Achievement (OMEGA) System.
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TABLE 5. Relative Impact of Labor Force Attachment (LFA), Human Capital In-vestment (HCI) and Mixed Strategies on Employment and Earnings with andWithout Adjusting for Selection
Predictions
Unadjusted (a)
EmploymentModel
AdjustedEmployment
ModelUnadjusted (c)
Wages ModelAdjusted
Wage Model
Years in LFA �0.431*(0.028)
0.131*(0.038)
1.41(70.95)
�27.20(71.04)
Years in HCI �0.541*(0.027)
�0.042(0.032)
�142.52*(77.05)
�162.93*(77.17)
Years inMixed
0.301*(0.069)
�0.010(0.062)
�63.37(188.76)
�49.81(188.30)
Hazard Rate - 0.626*(0.070) - �609.03*
(124.10)
Intercept 0.482(0.020)
�1.00(0.061)
2950.55(40.24)
3380.07(90.91)
Selection Model (b) Selection Model (d)
AssignedExperimental - 0.007
(0.035)- 0.042
(0.035)
Black - 0.449*(0.054)
- �0.233*(0.053)
Hispanic - 0.464*(0.056)
- �0.223*(0.055)
Age (inYears) - �0.021*
(0.002)- �0.019*
(.002)
HS Graduate - �0.133*(0.037)
- 0.298*(0.038)
SomeCollege - 0.092
(0.058)- 0.376*
(0.061)
Other, PostHS - �0.103
(0.066)- 0.044
(0.066)
NeverMarried - 0.143*
(0.040)- �0.186*
(0.041)
County ofResidence
Atlantic - 0.795*(0.084) - �0.201*
(0.080)
Camden - 0.770*(0.066) - �0.376*
(0.062)
Cumberland - 0.856*(0.087) - �0.374*
(0.084)
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TABLE 5 (continued)
Predictions
Unadjusted (a)
EmploymentModel
AdjustedEmployment
ModelUnadjusted (c)
Wages ModelAdjusted
Wage Model
Essex - 0.336*(0.058) - �0.306*
(0.057)
Hudson - 1.09*(0.064) - �0.624*
(0.061)
Mercer - 0.648*(0.085) - �0.265*
(0.083)
Passaic - 0.797*(0.078) - �0.430*
(0.097)
ParticipationYear
Dummies
1994 - �0.440*(0.053) - 0.608*
(0.054)
1995 - �0.451*(0.052) - 0.634*
(0.053)
1996 - �0.664*(0.054) - 0.908*
(0.053)
Intercept - �0.132(0.115) - 0.591
(0.114)
Notes: Standard errors are in parentheses
(a) Probit regression results (b) Heckman Probability model for Participation in JOBS (c) OLS regressionresults (d) Heckman Sample Selection model for employment
* indicates significance at the .05 level.
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