Abstentionism, Blank Vote and Invalid Ballot Papers. Evidences from Brazil and E.U.
Transcript of Abstentionism, Blank Vote and Invalid Ballot Papers. Evidences from Brazil and E.U.
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Abstentionism, Blank Vote and Invalid Ballot Papers
Evidences from Brazil and E.U.
Adriano Gianturco Gulisano*
Isadora Brasileiro Darwich**
* Adriano Gianturco Gulisano is Professor of Political Science at IBMEC University, Belo
Horizonte, Brazil. He is PhD in Political and Economic Theory at University of Genova, Italy.
Address: Rua Rio Grande do Norte 300, Belo Horizonte, 30130130, Brazil. He published
scientific articles on Abstentionism, on Bruno Leoni and on Israel Kirzner. He is author of the
book "L´imprenditorialitá di Israel Kirzner", Rubbettino, 2012.
+55(31) 3247 5768; Fax +55(31) 3247 5777
** Isadora Brasileiro Darwich is graduating in International Relations at IBMEC University, Belo
Horizonte, Brazil.
Address: Rua Rio Grande do Norte 300, Belo Horizonte, 30130130, Brazil.
+55(31) 3247 5757; Fax +55(31) 3247 5777
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Abstract
Abstentionism, blank vote and invalid ballots are electoral phenomena that are statistically
growing in many Countries but don´t receive much attention and when they do, they are usually
treated with a strong negative bias. This article explore this issue and it is divided in three part:
In the first part we analyze how the literature currently defines and treats abstentionism, blank
vote and invalid ballot. We find out they are usually treated as a single and unique “non-vote
area” and we propose a different approach based in a more detailed view, combining
methodological individualism and imperfect rationality. In the second part we show the empirical
relevance of this three types of electoral outcomes in EU parliamentary elections and in
Brazilian presidential ones. In the last part, we notice a negative bias toward these electoral
behaviors to which we oppose a different point of view. In this line, at the end, we propose some
possible changes in electoral systems in order to better intercept voters will.
Keywords: Abstentionism; Blank Vote; Invalid Ballot Papers; None of the above, Brazilian
election; European Election.
JEL Z00
What if a large amount of people, let's say 15-40% of people, did not show up to sign the
Social Contract? Well, that is what usually happens in general elections all around the
democratic world. In many Countries, voting is compulsory and even in this case, abstentionism,
blank vote and invalid ballot papers are common. Many authors affirm abstentionism should be
fought. In any way, all around the world, the large amount of abstentionism, blank vote and
invalid ballot papers is simply ignored. Elections are still considered valid and all this area is not
represented. In the scientific literature, three different types of electoral behaviour are putted all
together in the set called “non vote area” or “unexpressed vote”. For a better understanding of
the subject it is useful to have the concept of all three variables well-defined. Abstentionism is
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usually perceived and shown as an exception. Not only and not limited to a statistical exception,
since usually in West, most people go to vote; but more in a logical level, rising the idea that
voting is natural, that people anthropologically tend to be interested in politics and voting,
imagining a sort of homo electoralis. From this point of view, abstentionism seems to appear as
a logical exception1. It is the “mystic of participation” (Ferrarotti 1989, pp, XX), that sees
electoral abstentionism as “alienation”, "disaffection”, “apathy”, “pure abstentionist” (Tuorto
2006, p. 62), “abstentionism by detachment" (Tuorto 2006, p. 106), “abnormal behavior” (Tuorto
2006, p. 65), “electoral pathology”, “go” towards the private and so on.
Moreover, from a logical point of view, another undiscussed hypothesis is that people
are self-oriented, interested in their business, and only after having solved more personal
issues, would turn their attention to the public sphere and in a third stage towards the political
one. In this mindset, electoral participation is a countercurrent force that needs some incentive
to put down roots. This other perspective also helps answering the central “voting paradox”:
why do some people vote even if based on a cost\benefit analysis they shouldn't? The decision
to, and the act of voting is a particularly aspect of the general law of human action. A sort of
syllogism between action-decision-preference. Every action always implies a previous decision,
a choice, at least between performing the action or not; we choose as a result of preferring an
alternative to another. Therefore every time we act in a certain way it is because we rather
doing that than doing something else.
Abstentionism has been studied through distinctive perspectives and diverse schools of
thought: the functionalist theory of “social integration”; the “socio-determined voter” view (with
some internal differentiation: model of resource, mobilization, social capital and party
identification); and by the Individual Rationality theory, with the Rational Choice and the
Cognitive Mobilization.
The Functionalist paradigm of Gosnell, Merriam and Lipset, started with the “Michigan
model” where the “dependent voter” was determined by external information, society, family,
socio-cultural aspects. In the 70's this strong matrix was attenuated and the dependent voter
became the “responsive voter”2. It remains the vision of abstentionism as “constant in time and
rarely modifiable, depending on a choice that, even if voluntary, can be considered passive - to
use a terminology proposed by Jean Blondel (1981) - since it refers to objective conditions of
1 Authors generally speak of abstentionism for “alienation” or for “apathy”. Abstentionism for a simple not
interest is never considered. 2 See Pomper G. M., 1975; and Nie N.H., Verba S., Petrocik J.R., 1976.
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the citizen and not to subjective choices, actively performed”3. In this perspective, abstentionism
is not an intentional action but a rebound effect of external causes, it is depoliticized and
liquidated as consequence of imperfect political socialization and\or of cross pressure
processes. The Rational Choice approach to this issue is usually splitted in two lines. The
mainstream view is the “instrumental” one, that sees voting as the revelation of the preference
on all different possible electoral outcomes, similarly to market choices. The second view is the
“expressivism”, that sees the act of voting as an expression of identification and as the support
of a certain party/candidate, the same way one supports a football team4. But epistemologically
this divergence seems actually groundless. It seems that instrumentalism sees individuals as
perfectly rational human beings that make a cost\benefit analysis (CBA) on a hypothetical
expected utility. Behind this interpretation are implied the ideas of perfect information; perfect or
strong rationality; a materialistic concept of CBA and utility.
Actually Anthony Downs holds that “every rational individual decides voting in the same
way he decides about other issues: if benefits overcome costs, he will vote, otherwise he will
abstain” (1988, p. 260). As Schuessler has correctly noted, Downs himself notes that “voters´
choices of political candidates could be motivated by factors other than the desire to determine
the outcome of an election. Downs was exceptionally careful to stress that such alternative
motivations were not inherently 'irrational' [...]” The very act of voting could serve purposes other
than to elect a preferred candidate, and these included the voter´s desire to express his or her
political preference5. It seems that the expressivism current supports that people decide to vote,
not only based in a CBA, but also to manifest and express something, for identifying themselves
with an ideology and/or a party, for a sense of duty, for a sense of belonging to a community, to
appear to be good citizens, to support the democratic procedures6. According to this
perspective, those reasons (to vote) are immaterial and not related to the economic logic of
utility, benefit and profit. The expressivism current is more appreciated among the non-Rational
Choice community because by itself it does not imply a view of strong rationality and
furthermore because it carries a more enchanted vision, a broader consensus on electoral
democratic process, in addition to an acceptance of civic values.
As a matter of fact, from an epistemological (and not psychological) point of view, there
is no difference between voting to support a candidate, to approve a bill, or on the pretext to be
a virtuous citizen. In the act of voting, as in every other action, there is always a reason and a
3 Fruncillo D., 2004, p. 91.
4 Brennan G. and Hamlin A., 1998.
5 Schuessler A., 2000, p. 87.
6 Riker and Ordeshook (1968), get a bit close to utilitarianism and psychologism.
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goal. The act of voting, the choice to vote or not, and what/whom to vote is domain of the
psychology and not social science. Motives as ideological identity, strategy, expected utility,
sense of duty etc. are just subjective reasons, all incomparable among them, since they are
qualitative and cannot be judged scientifically7. If it is an instrumental or an expressive vote, and
if the goal is material or immaterial it is all irrelevant for social sciences. The risk involved is an
epistemological sterile and fragile psychologism that does not refers to the sciences of the “man
who lives in society”8. Once the probability that an individual affects the electoral outcome is
extremely low, it seems that voting is irrational, but the paradox of voting shows that still many
people do it. Actually there is no paradox at all. It is the confusion between perfect-strong-
objective and limited-subjective rationality. The Austrian School already solved this dilemma
showing that perceptions are always subjective, information is always imperfect and despite
that, individuals immersed in this structure choose to (and how to) act. The concept of rationality
does not apply to subjective ends, but on the means used to try to reach personal and different
goals.
Another rational choice hypothesis is the one elaborated by Ferejohn and Fiorina about
the so called "regret calculation". For these authors there are two kinds of voters: “maximizers of
expected utility” the ones who decide “under risk” and “minimax regret decision makers” that
decide “under uncertainty” and calculating possible regrets in a min-max scheme. Maximizers
go vote only calculating the probability that their vote can influence the result, while minimizers
decide intending not having future regrets over the possibility of the defeat of their favorite
candidate for a single vote, their own. This simple logical possibility, even if is unlikely to
happen, statistically speaking, is enough to persuade them to vote. Like the Pascal's wager
model, where the probability is low, but the individual cost of acting is small and the possible
gain is very big. Actually the two hypotheses (maximizers and minimizers voters) are not
different and there is no difference between them and others Rational Choice perspectives.
They both follow the CBA model or more precisely the subjective system of preferences.
Also Whiteley and Seyd (1996, 2002) aim to reformulate the rational choice theory in a
softer version, maintaining that individuals vote because they are influenced by “general
incentives” that comes from the participation itself: individual incentives (similar to the “direct
utility” theorized by Riker and Ordeshook), group incentives, systemic incentives and expressive
incentives. There is nothing new here if we consider the Methodological Individualism that
7 F. Hayek (1997) affirms “outside of private sphere, good and evil have no sense”. See also B. Leoni,
(1957), now in Leoni B., 1997. 8 With this definition, Leoni (1952) distinguishes between social but not human sciences (like ethology)
and human but not social ones (like psychology), now in Leoni B., 1997.
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always considers individuals as the only agent yet always imbued in in social interactions.
Furthermore, following Lipset (1960) and Burnham (1980) we can consider the “satisfied
abstentionist” who tacitly agree with the status quo, and stop reading the phenomenon in a
problematic way. In this sense, abstentionism can be seen as consensus, a sort of electoral
silent consent9. From this point of view we can read differently the systematic higher
abstentionism of United States of America (compared to the old continent). In a system where
government is less pervasive, subtracts, and forces to redistribute less resources, it is
understandable that people have less incentives to vote, or that they perceive a need to vote.
Where the life depends less on state intervention, it is likely that less people shall vote. In this
case, it is not a protest, nor alienation, nor apathy, since people don't go to private, they stay in
the private sphere, they don't stay far away from politics, it is politics that stay far apart from
them. Participation is correlated with dependence from the government10.
After this necessary general framework, we can analyze abstentionism in the narrow
sense. Causes and correlations are many and quite often are misunderstood11. Someone
cannot and someone don´t want to vote. The “forced abstentionism” is described as the
situation in which someone cannot vote due to illness, transport restriction and so on, but none
specify that restrictions are a normal feature of life and that, in this case, coercion is not
exercised by others. Even this kind of abstentionism should be included in the normal category
of those people who, after all, decide not to vote. It is also true that part of abstentionism is
apathy and part is protest. Usually abstentionism is included in the category of “non vote”,
together with blank vote, and invalid ballot papers. Actually these three phenomena are very
different. Let's analyze them.
1. Invalid ballot papers and blank votes: “non-vote” or vote no?
Voters can cast an invalid ballot papers intentionally or not. We do not consider the
second possibility since it is not conscious, since there is not a political intention and it has little
statistical relevance. The intentional invalid ballot paper is a vote, it is an intentional and action
active, it is loaded in the ballot box, it has an aim. It definitely cannot be considered a “non
vote”, it is a vote no. Sometimes called “unexpressed vote”, despite been well expressed, it has
9 But both authors use this theory to affirm that, basically, abstentionism lacks an element of protest and
that it is a physiological and residual phenomenon. 10
Crozier M.J., Hungtinghton S., Watanuki J., 1975 show how high political participation can also create
some problems as shown by the “overload theory”. See also Di Palma G., 1970. 11
Rosenstone S.J., 1982, sees a positive correlation between abstentionism and economic crises.
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a declared intention sent to the addressee. It is an intentional and disclosed vote, with a specific
purpose, that is not considered by politics and its legal code. Indeed invalid ballot papers and
blank vote have an expressive value stronger than abstentionism since the individual entitled to
vote decide to be a voter, he goes to the polls bearing its costs, to send a message.
Distinguishing between the two kinds of invalid ballot papers (intentional or not) it´s not
easy, but it doesn't justify any conceptual compression. Even because the challenge depends
only on the means used to calculate and categorize the votes, as established by the legislation.
Actually, it would be very simple organizing two different statistical categories. Such a clear
distinction would be useful for epistemological and scientific purposes and to send clear signals
to the political authority. Blank votes are not “active abstentionism”12, simply because they are
not abstentionism at all. Therefore it is self-evident that blank votes are to be included in the
vote no category.
At this point it is important to analyze some empirical data.
2. Outlook of the elections for the Parliament of the European Union
In this kind of election abstention rate is very high. In the four past elections the number
of voters is less than 50%. The trend is continuous and clear since 1979. There are no
exceptions nor oscillations, not even with the admission of new member states.
In particular, there has been a big gap between the 1994 and the 1999 elections, when voters
diminished of 7,16 percentage points, with for the first time, a total of less than 50% of voters.
The trend continues in successive elections even if it was expected a stronger enthusiasm from
new Members Countries.
During the last elections of may 2014 we still notice a decrease in the number of
participants, but is not very significant reduction, from 43.1% to 42.54%. Possibly the major
campaign sponsored by the European Commission (EC) in 2013 stressing the importance and
relevance of the vote of each European citizen, had an influence on this result. The EC had a
clear goal of increasing voter participation. This has been done through the dissemination of
electoral platforms, showing the affiliation of European parties with national ones (in an attempt
to bring private interests to the Community level), as well as the involvement of groups that have
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Schepis G., “Analisi statistica dei risultati”, in Spreafico A., La Palombara J., (acura di ) Elezioni e comportamento politico in Italia, Edizioni di comunitá, 1963.
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lower voter turnout, such as young people13.
Another relevant aspect regarding the attendance to the polls is the compulsory vote
system, possibly this causes distortions in the real numbers of abstention. Currently 31
countries in the world adopt this system, in the European Union (EU) the members that have or
use to have a compulsory system14 are: Belgium since 1919 (for men and since 1949 for
women), Cyprus since 1960, in France it was introduced in 1950' or 60' nowadays remains only
for the Senate, Greece has abolished it fully in 2000 and it was used since 1926, Italy used it
from 1945 to 1993 only, Luxembourg still adopts this system, Spain practiced it from 1907 to
1923 and finally Schaffhausen one of Switzerland's cantons still endorse (since 1904) it while all
others have practiced the compulsory voting from 1904 to 197415.
Graphic n° 1 Voters at the European Union Parliament elections
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Pammet J. H. and Leduc L., The nature of European electorate: who votes and who doesn´t,
http://carleton.ca/ces/wp-content/uploads/Nature-of-European-Electorate-Pammett-Leduc.pdf
14 FRANK, E. (2005, 4 July). Compulsory voting around the world. The Guardian. Avaliable at:
<http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2005/jul/04/voterapathy.uk>. Access in 30th october 2014. 15
Compulsory Voting. International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA). Avaliable at: <http://www.idea.int/vt/compulsory_voting.cfm> . Access in 30th October, 2014.
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Source: TNS opinion in collaboration with PE
3. Presidential Elections in Brazil
Brazil is a recent democracy of major proportions legally divided as a federation, yet the
power is de facto quite centralized. Presidential elections are an extremely relevant event.
We've analyzed elections between 1998 and 2014. Voting is compulsory for brazilians citizens,
and facultative for those under 18 and over 16, over 70 or illiterate16. Likely, if people were not
force to vote, there would be different effects on abstentionism, blank vote and invalid ballot.
Abstentionism, blank vote and invalid ballot suffered reductions until 2006, but lately, in
the past (2010) and present (2014) elections, the phenomena started growing, as it is displayed
in the chart below.
16
B.R. Const. art. 14 § 1º, cl. 1 and 2
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Graphic n° 2 Abstentionism, invalid ballot papers and blank votes at the Brazilian
presidential elections 1st round
Source: TSE - Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (Superior Electoral Court of Brazil).
It should also be noticed that the percentage of abstentionism increases from the 1st to
the 2nd round, as blank votes and invalid ballot papers reduces. This could occur due to the fact
that electors whose favorite candidate is no longer running, feel less motivated to attend the
polls what elevates the rate of abstentionism, meanwhile those who decide to attend, 1) believe
their vote could mean more (once there are less candidates running for the position) and
calculate that rather than voting no (blank or invalidating the ballot) would better to choose the
least worst candidate; 2) have now less chance to err and to cast an invalid ballot
unintentionally.
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Graphic n° 3 Abstentionism, invalid ballot papers and blank votes at the Brazilian
presidential elections 2nd round.
Source: TSE - Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (Superior Electoral Court of Brazil).
The voting system is electronic and at the moment of casting the vote the elector that
wants to vote blank, has the option of pressing a blank button, and this support the idea, that
who casts a blank vote (as much as an intentional invalid ballot paper) is actively voting no.
4. Negative and positive biases
According to a research conducted by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE) "voter
abstention (non-attendance to the polls) causes financial losses to the Country", considering
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the expenses for holding the first and second round in the 2010 elections17. This statement is a
fallacy for various logical and self-evident reasons. First, if someone forces you to finance an
event (ie. the elections), you pay but you don´t go, don´t go participate, don´t legitimate, how
could you possible be the responsible for the cost? The responsible is who decide to organize
such event, who decide its magnitude, how to allocate concretely the money and not the
individual who abstains from participating; Second the "Country" is a collective, abstract, vague
and political concept and it is not a unit of scientific analysis; Finally the TSE calculation ignores
the costs to go to the polls and those they’ve afforded prior to the polls, as if elections had no
cost.
The report concludes stating that besides the financial losses mentioned there is also a
non-compliance of a civic duty, once according to the president of the TSE "society often feels
like a victim of the bad politicians, but that is actually the perpetrator, since it decides who wins
the elections"18. While it is not even considered the possibility that who cannot complain is who
vote since he legitimized and supported the political electoral system, as once famously stated
Herbert Spencer in Social Statics: Let´s say a man votes for a candidate who wins. The voter is
then “understood to have assented” to the acts of his representative. But what if he voted for
another guy? Well, then, the argument goes, “by taking part in such an election, he tacitly
agreed to abide by the decision of the majority.” And what if he abstained? “Why then he cannot
justly complain [...] seeing that he made no protest.” Spencer concludes: “Curiously enough, it
seems that he gave his consent in whatever way he acted—whether he said yes, whether he
said no, or whether he remained neuter! A rather awkward doctrine this.” Jason Brennan in The
ethics of voting shares the same opinion.
Declarations like the ones coming from TSE seem to represent a general negative bias
toward abstentionism that exist in the literature. Fruncillo admits that abstentionism “is a
phenomenon imbued with value judgments and neutrality is impossible” and about voters, he
states “the presence and the role of political forces could be decisive [...] if from one side they
succeed at giving them such a quantity of information to improve their political competence and
to improve their sense of effectiveness, and from the other side give them a principle of
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Reported by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil TSE. Available at: <http://www.tse.jus.br/noticias-tse/2014/Maio/tse-abstencao-dos-eleitores-causa-prejuizo-ao-contribuinte>. Access in 31th October 2014.
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Affirmed by the TSE president Marco Aurélio, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil it self. Available at: <http://www.tse.jus.br/noticias-tse/2014/Maio/tse-abstencao-dos-eleitores-causa-prejuizo-ao-contribuinte>. Access in 31th October 2014.
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identification to let them perceive the duty to participate in the elections beyond their own so
called personal conveniences”19. The author doesn't give a definition of which identification
principle should be given, nor who should give it, nor how it should be decided these issues, but
maybe we can assume he automatically means the State (politicians and bureaucrats) should
do that. Yet, he seems to forget that information are never neutral, they always bring a specific
meaning, a bias, an orientation in one sense and not in another one, that in this case seems to
be the politicians´ one to persuade individuals, abstentionists and voters and not vice versa.
Fruncillo, then, defines “supposed” personal conveniences, supposing himself that some
individuals (politicians and bureaucrats?) could suppose better conveniences for others
individuals, better than themselves. Beyond this, Fruncillo, Lijphart (1997), Feeley (1974) and
Wertheimer (1975) consider that abstentionism is a form of free riding. They are logically wrong
since it should be shown that abstentionists don´t pay elections costs that are usually paid by
general taxation. On the contrary, it is likely that free riders be people who vote, when they try
and\or succeed at redistribute money and resources in their favor, through the electoral support
of some party\candidate. In general, the scientific literature seems to have a negative bias
toward abstentionism, blank vote and invalid ballots, it´s maybe true that axiological neutrality is
difficult or impossible, therefore being transparent, instead of an empty attempt of being neutral,
is a good choice. In this line, Fruncillo explicitly states that “when abstentionism comes from the
refusal of politics [...] and coincides with the action of so called free riders, - we cannot disagree
with Lijphart (1997) - it has to be contrasted since it is morally unacceptable”20. On the contrary,
thinking that morality is outside of the scientific realm, we explicit that we don't see any political
or moral problem in these electoral behaviors. Especially for those who are in favor of basic
individual liberties, civil liberties, those who believe democracy is and should be a process of
delegation and representation, abstentionism, blank vote, and invalid ballot should be analyzed
as possible, free and subjective individual choices, nothing more, nothing less.
5. Conclusions
Statistically, abstentionism, blank votes and invalid ballot papers constitute a relevant
phenomenon, it has been under a gradual increase and it should receive more attention, a more
accurate scientific description and more political respect.
19
Fruncillo, p. 194. 20
Tanasso E., (2006), affirms that “if the vote is an expression of will, thinking that it exist only when expresses a consensus, creating a physical representation, isn't it maybe a diminutio of voter´s democratic power of judgment?”, p. 4.
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Scientifically, we can suppose that abstentionism, blank votes and invalid ballot papers
are due to 1) apathy; 2) protest; 3) satisfaction21. All these three hypotheses are difficult to
refute, since we should investigate personal motives that are always subjective and obscure.
We remain on the field of social science22. The “pretense of knowledge”23 can bring to the peril
of psychologism24. Through methodological individualism what we can state is that every action
imply always a choice, at least, between to do and not to do, and we choose because we prefer
an alternative to the other. Therefore every time we act, it is because we prefer that action
rather than any other action. All this refers, of course, to the descriptive\positive aim to analyze
the phenomenon and area of abstentionism, blank votes and invalid ballot and not to a
prescriptive\normative attempt. We believe it is better to keep separated this two function and to
be prescriptive only at the of the chapter. Some scholar mix them, as we can notice in the use of
term such as “unexpressed vote”, “no vote”, “physiological phenomenon”, “anomaly”. We
discussed this bias and we expressed our descriptive position, it´s now time to turn to the
prescriptive part. We make three proposals:
1) Listing a specific space to mark (or press) for blank vote.
2) Subtracting the percentage of abstentionism, blank votes and invalid ballots to the
campaign fund and to public subsidies to parties.
3) Leaving empty seats in the Assembly in correspondence to the percentage of
abstentionism, blank votes and invalid ballots.
Let´s see in detail.
Similar systems already exist in Brazil, Nevada, India25, Greece, Ukraine, Bangladesh, Spain,
Colombia and Canada. Russia had it until 2006, Pakistan kept it just for an election in 2013.
Names can varies: “blank vote”, “none of the above” (NOTA), "against all" or a "scratch" vote,
“empty seat”, “blank seat”, but the concept is the same. When this procedure is permitted there
are different possible consequences: a) the seat can remain vacant; b) re-opening nominations
or holding another election; c) or it may have no effect whatsoever, as in Brazil, Greece, India
and Nevada, where the next highest total wins regardless.
21
As for the Lipset (1960) and Burnham (1980) hypothesis of “satisfied abstentionist”. 22
Leoni B., speaks about “science of man living in society” distinguishing between human but not social sciences (like ethology) and social but not human science (like ethology), Il problema metodologico nelle scienze sociali, “Il Politico”, nº 3, 1952, pp. 350-358. 23
Hayek F. V., 1988. 24
Infantino L., 2008. 25
In the 2014 Indian general election, NOTA polled 1.1% of the votes, counting to over 6 million.
15
In 1992, some Italian politician propose to give empty seats to abstentionism and n 2006,
Tanasso made a similar proposal26.
We suggest to keep empty seats for legislative bodies (locals and nationals). This wouldn´t
prevent the assembly to work, but when a qualified majority is required, politicians would have
more difficulties. This aim is usually sought by many little parties that run under names as
“NOTA” in UK, Serbia, Ukraine, Tennessee, Australia that run for elections with the commitment
to leave the seat empty. As consequences, we can attempt to forecast that 1) abstentionism
would decrease since who doesn't vote for protest now would have the incentive to protest by
marking NOTA. Some of abstentionism for protest would become NOTA, we still would have
abstentionism for apathy; 2) Blank vote would increase; 3) Media and politician could give more
attention to this phenomenon, to this form of protest. They could try to understand people
reasons and desires. 4) Politicians could try to better attend these demands and inputs. It
creates a new market for unsatisfied demands, new politicians, new parties, etc. 5) For these
same reasons we are perfectly conscious politicians would oppose this reform.
In the words of Sathasivam (judge of the Indian Supreme Court) that approved such a measure,
it "would lead to a systemic change in polls and political parties will be forced to project clean
candidates". "Democracy is all about choices and voters will be empowered by this right of
negative voting"27.
26
Pierluigi Storti, Gianfranco Ciaurro, Gianfranco Viglietta, TIna Loagostena Bassi, Aldo Carotenuto and others created an association to propose a referendum on this issue. Tanasso E. wrote the short article “La rilevanza delle schede bianche nel computo elettorale: il valore del dissenso”, in Forum di Quaderni Costituzionali, 2006. 27
Affirmed by Chief Justice P Sathasivam, as reported by BBC, 2013.
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