2010 Intelligence for Earth - Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability (Book)

Robert David Steele

INTELLIGENCE for EaRTh

EIN

Robert David Steele

Companion and Sequel to COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace

Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability

INTELLIGENCE for EaRThClarity, Diversity, Integrity, &

Sustainability

Earth Intelligence NetworkPost Office Box 369 Oakton, Virginia 22124 USa www.earth-intelligence.net

available by Box of 20 at 50% Retail Facsimile Orders at 80% Retail: (703) 281-0888

Prior Praise for the Work of Robert David SteeleRobert Steele is unusual for an American…he is clearly internationalist in his orientation. He has written a book that can bring us together in facing our greatest enemies: ignorance, poverty, and mistrust.

Rear Admiral Hamit Gulemre Aybars, Turkish Navy (Retired)

Robert Steele’s vision for the future of intelligence is clearly “internationalist” in nature. It focuses on regional partnerships…and on the value of open source intelligence collection.

Rear Admiral Dr. Sigurd Hess, DE N(Ret), Former Chief of Staff,

Allied Command Baltic Approaches

Constantly committed to truth and honesty, [his work] demonstrates his ability to grasp the real issues and to take into account the views and concerns of men of good will from all nations and all cultures.

Admiral Pierre Lacoste, French Navy (Ret), Former Director of Foreign Intelligence (DSGE)

Robert Steele goes well beyond the original visions of the best of the Directors of Central Intelligence, and has crafted a brilliant, sensible, and honorable future for the intelligence profession.Major General Oleg Kalugin, KGB (Ret), former

Elected Deputy to the Russian Parliament

Over a broad canvas reflecting the changing nature of information and information technolo-gies, Robert Steele lays the foundation for the future of e-intelligence.

Commodore Patrick Tyrrell, OBE, Royal Navy, United Kingdom

Few have thought as deeply or imaginatively about such questions as a super-smart [now fifty-seven]-year old former Marine and intelligence officer named Robert D. Steele…

Alvin & Heidi Toffler, War & Anti-War: Survival at the Dawn of the 21st Century

Steele consistently has been well ahead of the pack in his appreciation for everything from open source research to the implications of technology…his work thrills with its insights and ideas.

Ralph Peters, Fighting for the Future: Will America Triumph?

Robert Steele is about 100 times as smart and 10,000 times as dangerous as the best of the hackers, for he is successfully hacking the most challenging of bureaucracies…for the right reasons.Bruce Sterling in Hacker Crackdown: Law and

Order on the Electronic Frontier

Steele’s concept is simple: Empower the citizen and private sector to gather and analyze intel-ligence so that we can make informed decisions [using] Open Source Intelligence gathering [that] is faster, smarter, cheaper…

Robert Young Pelton, author, World’s Most Dangerous Places,

producer, Come Back Alive

Robert Steele deserves our admiration and our focused attention for bringing the idea of open source information to the fore. His pas-sion to serve the nation by developing this new approach...is exemplary.

Lieutenant General Patrick Hughes, U.S. Army (Retired),

Former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency

Robert Steele storms into the core of intelligence issues without fear. The scope of his work is impressive and whether you agree with him or not, you cannot ignore what he says.

The Honorable Richard Kerr, Former Deputy Director of Central Intelligence

(Continued on back flap)

(Continued from front flap)

Books and much more free onlineat Public Intelligence Bloghttp://www.phibetaiota.net

A massive cultural tsunami is sweeping round the world as the five billion poor acquire Information and Communi-cation Technologies (ICT), and the one billion rich realize that the era of Empire—Rule Of, By, and For the Few—is over. Happily, this is a revolution in human affairs that will be non-violent for the simple reason that no redistribution of existing wealth can match the infinite new wealth that the entrepreneurial poor can create for themselves when empowered with ICT.

We are entering an era in which global networks and the sharing of information can create revolutionary wealth at the micro-level, while enabling the harmonization of invest-ments at the macro-level. This is an era in which trans-parency of cost and effect will eradicate corruption, fraud, waste, and abuse at the same time that it makes possible global to local engagement and collaboration such that we can create a prosperous world at peace. This is an era in which we will see a bottom-up conscious evolution of humanity that liberates and leverages the one inexhaustible resource we have: the human brain.

In 2004 the Secretary-General’s High-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges, and Change published its findings as A more secure world: our shared responsibility. Unlike other extraordinary books this remarkable endeavor not only achieved consensus among diverse contributing Members, but actually prioritized the ten high-level threats to human-ity as follows:

01 Poverty02 Infectious Disease03 Environmental Degradation04 Inter-State Conflict05 Civil War06 Genocide07 Other Atrocities08 Proliferation09 Terrorism10 Transnational Crime

Robert David Steele, CEO of OSS.Net, Inc. and the pro bono CEO of EIN, is a recovering spy and the founder of the Marine Corps Intelligence Center as well as the cre-ator of its analytic model for study-ing planning and programming factors for Expeditionary Opera-tions in the Third World. For the past twenty years he has been the

foremost international proponent for Open Source Intelli-gence (OSINT), and more recently has embraced the Swed-ish concept of Multinational, Multiagency, Multidisciplinary, Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making (M4IS2). Also the #1 Amazon reviewer for non-fiction, he holds advanced degrees in International Relations and Public Administration, and is a distinguished graduate of the Naval War College. Among his earlier analytic accomplishments are a model for the remediation of revolution across political-legal, socio-economic, ideo-cultural, techno-demographic, and natural-geographic domains.

Inspired by this analytically-robust identification and prioritization of the ten high-level threats to humanity, the author funded and organized Earth Intelligence Network (EIN), a 501c3 Public Charity, to provide the United Na-tions (UN) and its Member states, all private sector and civil society organizations, and the public at large, with a strate-gic analytic model suitable for creating public intelligence in the public interest.

This book is intended to be a catalyst for the creation of the United Nations Open-Source Decision-Support In-formation Network (UNODIN), and the establishment of the Office of the Assistant Secretary General for Decision-Support (ASG/DS). Should a sufficiency of the Member na-tions concur, this book also provides a model for creating a Multinational Decision-Support Centre (MDSC) using the military as a “hub” for global access to unclassified informa-tion from the other seven tribes of intelligence [academia, civil society, commerce, government, law enforcement, me-dia, and non-profit or non-governmental] combined with multinational sense-making and unclassified decision-sup-port for stabilization & reconstruction, humanitarian assis-tance, and disaster relief operations.

EIN has achieved several modest breakthroughs that are outlined within this book, which is a capstone work, com-pletely original but deeply rooted in thirty years of profes-sional experience and intellectual reflection. The ideas in this book are implementable today.

Companion and Sequel to COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace

Robert David Steele

INTELLIGENCE for EARTH

Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability

Earth Intelligence NetworkOakton, Virginia

Copyright © 2010, Earth Intelligence Network (EIN)

This work is licensed under the Creative CommonsAttribution-Noncommercial 3.0 Unported LicenseFor details go to http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/us/

EIN retains commercial and revenue rights. Authors retain other rights offered under copyright. Entire book and individual chapters free online at www.phibetaiota.net

Available by Box of 20 at 50% Retail Facsimile Orders at 80% Retail: (703) 281-0888

Published by Earth Intelligence Network February 2010Post Office Box 369, Oakton, Virginia 22124www.earth-intelligence.net

Cover graphic combines two photographs from the National Aeronautical and Space Administration (NASA). The Earth by itself is available in a round color sticker as Item Apollo 17(E) from EarthSeals, POB 8000, Berkeley, CA 94707.

Jacket design and interior layout by Deb Tremper, www.sixpennygraphics.com

Printed and bound in the United States of America

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2

LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOGING-IN-PUBLICATION DATA

STEELE Vivas, Robert David, 1952- INTELLIGENCE for EARTH: Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability/by Robert STEELE Vivas (Author) p. cm.Includes bibliographical references and free online searchable “virtual” index.ISBN 13: 978-097-15661-7-0 (alk. paper)ISBN-10: 0-971-5661-7-8 (alk. paper)1. Collective intelligence. 2. Cognitive science. 3. Mass collaboration. 4. Distributed cognition. 5. Macrocognition. 6. Open source. 7. Peer production. 8. Internet. 9. Decision-support. 10. Public intelligence. 11. Organizational intelligence.12. Commercial intelligence. 13. Peace intelligence. 18. Information science—social aspects. 19. Collaboration. 20. Cognitive bias. 21. Distributed problem solving.I TitleJK-468-16574 2010 1327.1273—dc21 00-029284

INTELLIGENCE FOR EARTH: CLARITY, DIVERSTY, INTEGRITY, & SUSTAINABILITY

ii

Table of Contents

Preface vii

I STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE—SUSTAINABILITY 1 CreatingaProsperousWorldatPeace

1 Strategic Intelligence and the Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity 5

2 TheUnitedNations(UN)System—AStartingPoint 13

3 TheBrahimiReport:PanelonUnitedNationsPeaceOperations 23

4 FirstSteps:JointCentersforOperationsandAnalysis 29

5 TheFragmentationofKnowledgeAmongEightIntelligenceTribes 37

6 UNOpen-SourceDecision-SupportInformationNetwork 43

7 Conclusions&Recommendations 55

II OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE—INTEGRITY 57 MultinationalMultifunctionalRegionalCenters&Networks

8 OperationalIntelligenceandRegionalPolicyHarmonization 59

9 StateoftheRegionalUnions 71

10 CulturesofCatastrophe,Cheating,Conflict,&Conspiracy 77

11 InformationAsymmetriesandDataPathologies 87

12 Rebalancing&RevitalizingtheInstrumentsofNationalPower 95

13 RegionalCenters&Networks 111

14 ConclusionsandRecommendations 117

TABLE OF CONTENTS

iiii

III TACTICAL INTELLIGENCE—DIVERSITY 119 AllHumans,AllMinds,AlltheTime—theWorldBrain

15 TacticalIntelligenceSourcesandMethods 123

16 IndigenousPeoples—DemographicPoverty&Power 129

17 TheNewCraftofIntelligence(Collection&Processing) 137

18 TheNewCraftofIntelligence(Analysis&Decision-Support) 149

19 HumanIntelligence(HUMINT):AllHumans&Minds,AlltheTime 163

20 21stCenturyCounterintelligence:EvaluatingHealthoftheNation 179


IV TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE—CLARITY 207 OpenEverything,Global-to-LocalNeedsTable

22 TechnicalIntelligenceEnablers 209

23 ParticipatoryBudgetTransparency&PanarchicOutreach 223

24 EarthIntelligenceNetwork&TheGlobalGame 235

25 “TrueCosts,”EcologicalEconomics,&MoralCapitalism 247

26 ConsciousNon-ZeroEvolution&GlobaltoLocalNeedsTable 253

27 OpenEverything 261


Epilogue 269 Glossary 271 Annotated Bibliography 277

An index is not provided because this is a hybrid book with all notes and many key persons or ideas hyper-linked to their original source. The easily searched

digital book is free online at http://www.phibetaiota.net/?p=19357.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

iiiiii

Figures

I STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE—SUSTAINABILITY 1 CreatingaProsperousWorldatPeace

1 Figure 01. Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity 51 Figure02.TheUNandtheEightTribesofIntelligence 91 Figure03.StrategyforCreatingaProsperousWorldatPeace 112 Figure04.UNSystemFunding 132 Figure05.UNPeacekeepingDeploymentBudgets 182 Figure06.UNThematicIndex 193 Figure07.StrategicRecommendations 253 Figure08.Operational&TacticalRecommendations 263 Figure09.TechnicalRecommendations 274 Figure10.UNJointMilitaryOperationalCentreinHaiti 334 Figure11.Information-GatheringfromPermittedtoProhibited 344 Figure12.ExpeditionaryRequirementsDefinition 365 Figure13.WebofFragmentedKnowledge 395 Figure14.InformationOperationsCube 405 Figure15.OriginalToffler-SteeleReactiontoDIALunch 416 Figure16.RevolutioninHumanAffairs&HumanLeadership 446 Figure17.OpenSourceAgency(OSA)DocumentedasaNeed 516 Figure18.MultinationalDecision-SupportCentre(MDSC) 52

TABLE OF CONTENTS

iviv

II OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE—INTEGRITY 57 MultinationalMultifunctionalRegionalCenters&Networks

8 Figure19.AnalyticMatrixforRegionalPolicyHarmonization 608 Figure20.SixCirclesofInformation-Sharing&Sense-Making 698 Figure21.UsingInformationtoHarmonizeMajorPlayerSpending 709 Figure22.AfricanUnion(AU) 729 Figure23.ShanghaiCooperationOrganisation(SCO) 749 Figure24.UnionofSouthAmericanCountries(UNASUR) 7611 Figure25.DataPathologies 9111 Figure26.MissingGeneralInformation 9311 Figure27.MissingTrueCostInformation 9412 Figure28.WhattheMarinesKnewin1988 10212 Figure29.DifferentThreatClassesRequireDifferentApproaches 10412 Figure30.RebalancingtheStrategicBudget—FourForces 10512 Figure31.OldWarParadigmversusNewPeaceParadigm 10612 Figure32.EssentialRestructuringofUS“Intelligence”Community 10913 Figure33.RegionalMultinationalDecision-SupportCentre(RMDSC) 11413 Figure34.HomeCountryMilitaryHubforM4IS2 115

III TACTICAL INTELLIGENCE—DIVERSITY 119 AllHumans,AllMinds,AlltheTime—theWorldBrain

15 Figure35.ManasAnemicFailure 12415 Figure36.RadicalManFulfilled 12515 Figure37.FrameworkfortheAnalysisofRevolution 12615 Figure38.LevelsofAnalysis&VerticalAnalyticDomains 12715 Figure39.Threat(orFactor)ChangesatEachLevelofAnalysis 12816 Figure40.ThePovertyZone 12916 Figure41.PovertyintheUSA 130

TABLE OF CONTENTS

vv

17 Figure42.FourQuadrantsLeadingtoOrganizationalIntelligence 14517 Figure43.TwitterasaCollectionTool 14618 Figure44.Keep20%oftheOld,GetaGriponthe80%We’veIgnored 15218 Figure45.StandardOpenSourceIntelligenceCell 15618 Figure46.HerringPyramidofAnalyticFocusandCost 15718 Figure47.HolisticAnalysis:AllThreats,AllPolicies,AlltheTime 15819 Figure48.CoreForcewithEightHumanFunctions 16519 Figure49.WarandPeace:TheSeventhGeneration 16619 Figure50.HumanGenerationalDifferences 16719 Figure51.LinearversusDiamondIntelligenceProcess 16919 Figure52.PuttingthePresidentinTouchwithHumanityandReality 17019 Figure53.IntegratedFull-SpectrumHUMINTManagement 17219 Figure54.HUMINTField—Sources,Targets,andConsumers 178

IV TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE—CLARITY 20722 Figure55.NeededF/OSSFunctionalities 21122 Figure56.StateoftheAnalyticToolkitMarketplacein2001 21422 Figure57.OSINTasaHybridDisciplineRelevanttoALLMissionAreas 22023 Figure58.InfinitePossibilitiesinBottom-UpConsensus 22723 Figure59.ConceptforBroadOnlineParticipatoryBudgeting 23024 Figure60.PublicIntelligence&BudgetHarmonization 23824 Figure61.Citizen-CenteredSelf-Representation 24426 Figure62.IntelligenceMaturityScale 25526 Figure63.RelativeCostofWarversusPeaceandProsperityforAll 25726 Figure64.FalseOfficialMilitaryBudgetShareversustheRealShare 25826 Figure65.RejectingtheWarParadigminFavorofthePeaceParadigm 25926 Figure66.GlobaltoLocalNeedsTableOnline 26027 Figure67.OpenEverything 26127 Figure68.OpenMoneyWealth-AcknowledgmentSystem 264


vii

Preface

Thetruthatanycostreducesallothercosts.Iamarecoveringspywhoin1988discoveredthatvirtuallyallofourveryexpensivesecretsourcesandmethodswerelargelyworthlessintermsofdecision-supporttopolicy-makers,acquisitionmanagers, and operational field commanders. Today theUS taxpayer fundsa$75billionayear intelligence-industrial-congressionalcomplex(alongsidea$750billionayearmilitary-industrial-congressionalcomplex),andtheverdictisin:thesecretworldprovides,“atbest”4%ofatopcommander’sknowledge;and inmyownfindingsandthoseof theUSArmyStrategicStudies Institute(SSI)andothers,thePentagonisoptimizedfor10%ofthethreat—stateonstatehigh-intensityconflict.TodayinbothAfghanistanandIraq,ourearnestwarriorsare turning to open sources of information, and striving to create humancapabilitiesthatyieldnoprofittothebeltwaybanditsbutactuallyaccomplishthemission.WewagewarbadlywhiletheChineseandotherswagepeaceveryeffectively.

Thisweek(of23February2010)theSecretaryofDefenseDr.RobertGateshaslambastedtheEuropeans,andTheNetherlandsinparticular,forbeingaversetowar,callingtheirdemilitarizationandtheir“mood”a“dangertopeace.” Iamnotmakingthisup—thisishowinsaneaworldpowerwithoutresponsibleintelligence (decision-support) can get. Dr. Gates, like all professional civilservantsandmost seniorpoliticalappointees, is agoodperson trapped inabad system—a badly broken system that cannot connect means (revenue),ways (force structure), and ends (desired outcomes) because it has becomesocorrupt, sovested in thespecial interestswhoreceivethetaxpayer fundsrather than in the public interests of thosewho pay the taxes, that it is anabomination—anoutrage,ascandal,acrimeagainsthumanity,notjusttheUStaxpayer,butagainstallhumanswhosuffertheignorant,ideologicaldecisionsof theAmericanpolitical andpolicy apparatus acting “inourname”butnotinourbest interests. Thisbook ismypersonal effort toofferanalternative

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viii

paradigm,vastlyupdatedsinceIfirstdidso inanarticle,E3i:Ethics,Ecology,Evolution, and Intelligence (An Alternative Paradigm for National Security),publishedintheWhole Earth Review(Fall1992).SandraCruzman,myformerbossandthentheseniorfemalefortheentireCentralIntelligenceAgency(CIA)is reportedbyRossStapleton-Gray,ourmutual colleague, tohave said “ThisconfirmsSteele’splaceonthelunaticfringe.”

IcitethatignorantandarrogantcondemnationofmyworkthenbecauseIandotherslikemecontinuetobeignoredbythe“establishment”thatissodeeplyrootedinitsbadpracticesanditscorruptfeed-backloopsthatfromtheirpointofview, I remainonthe lunaticfringe,atbestacrankandatworstatraitor.SuchviewsshametheRepublic—AmericatheBeautiful.

Thereissomethingterriblywrongwhenthoseinpoweraresoinsulatedfromrealitythattheycansendtowarhundredsofthousandsofthecitizen-soldierswhoaresupposedtobesovereignovertheadministrativegovernment;killwithimpunityacrossmanysovereignborders,murderingciviliansata10to1ratioforeveryostensiblebutgenerallyunconfirmedterrorist“target”theyhitwithveryexpensivedronemunitions—andtheycancontinuetodothiswithoutregardtowhichpartyofthetwo-partytyrannyisinpower.Americaiscommittingsuicidebyallowingthetwo-partytyrannyandWallStreettocontinuetodictatehowtaxpayerrevenueisspent.ENOUGH!

Idonotfavoraviolentover-throughoftheadministrativegovernment,andamtroubledbythehangingofcensusworkersbyvigilantemobs,thecrashingofanairplaneintoanInternalRevenueService(IRS)office,andmanyothersignsof deepanger that I first began tounderstandwhen I readHarvest of Rage followedbyDeer Hunting With Jesus

Myproposedsolutionforcreatingaprosperousworldatpeaceistoactualizethevisionandunderstandingofsomanyothers,creatingtheWorldBrainwithan embedded Global Game; creating an informed public and as quickly aspossibleamongthefivebillionpoor,aconnectedpublicarmedwithcellphonesandabletoaccesseducationandinformation“onecallatatime.”

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Five sentences summarize my knowledge as of today:

1.ThereisPLENTYofwealth—money,knowledge,everything—withwhichtocreateaprosperousworldatpeace.

2.Weknowallweneedtoknow,buttheknowledgeisfragmentedwhilethewealth isconcentrated,andthosearethetwoobstaclestoachievinghumanconsciousnessandaprosperousworldatpeace.

3.Confiscatingill-gottengainsisnottheanswerforitwillnotmeettheneed.Onlythecreationofinfiniterevolutionarywealthwillcreateaprosperousworldatpeace.

4. The only meansbywhichwecancreateinfiniterevolutionarywealthisbyleveragingtheoneinexhaustibleresourcewehave,thehumanmind,spirit,andimagination.

5. The only meansbywhichwecanactualizethefullconsciousnessofhumanityis by connecting the five billion poor to knowledge “one cell call at a time”becauseintheaggregate,weonlyachieveourCollectiveIntelligencewhenweareWhole.

Mypathtotheabovesimpleideasisinthepagesthatfollow.

Ibegofthereaderpatience.Ireadin98non-fictioncategories,andthisbookis a hybrid book that instead of endnotes offers active links throughout thebook.Whilesoldatcostandrecommendedforreadingfirstinhard-copy,thebookisalsofreeonlinewithalllinksactive,andisthebestofferingIcangivetohumanity—aportalintoover1,500non-fictionworksthatintheaggregatemakeitclearthattheonlythingstandingbetweenusandaprosperousworldatpeaceisourownignorance,ourownlethargy,andourremarkabletolerancefor corruption across all governments, corporations, and non-governmentalorganizations. By withdrawing our financial support from political parties,governmentsandcorporations,wecanrestorethecommons.

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Therearefourbooks,oneofthemaUnitedNationsreport,whichchangedmylife,eachofthemin isolationatfirst,andmostrecently, intheaggregate,asTomAtlee’s latestbook introducedmeto the fourthbook,whichbrought toclosuremytwoyearstruggletodefinethisbook

Of course Ihavebeen influencedby themanyothersbooks Ihavereviewedat Amazon and at Phi Beta Iota, the Public Intelligence Blog, but these fourare rather special, and there is no finerway to introduce this book than bygivingcreditwhereitisdue,tothreeindividualmindsandonegroupthathaveinspiredmetobecomeintelligenceofficertothepublic.

2003 TheTaoofDemocracy–UsingCo-IntelligencetoCreateaWorldThatWorksforAll

Myreviewof30November2003describedthisbookasUtterly Sensational—Basic Book for Humanity.Myfullreviewneednotberepeated,IwilljustsaythatitwasthisbookthatopenedmyeyestohowtheInternethasopenedthedoorforacross-fertilizationofknowledgeandemotionandconcernacrossallboundariessuchastheworldhasneverseenbefore,andithasmadepossibleanewformofstructuredcollectiveintelligence.

Itwasalso thisbookthatmade itclear tomethat the Internetwasnothingmorethanameansofconnectinghumanminds,itisnotnowandneverwillbeasubstituteforhumanitycomingtogetherfacetofaceandasacommunityofspiritandimagination.InadditiontothisbookwasTom’sgentleoutreachintheformofhisDVDGroup Wisdom: Making Magic,(stillavailableforadonationof$110 to the Co-IntelligenceInstitute,mentiontheDVD)thatintroducedmetowhatsurelymustbethediametricoppositetotheworldofspies,theworldofOpenEverything.

Most recently Tom has been called to publish Reflections of Evolutionary Activism, a capstonework to whichmy own book now is intended to be acompanion.

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2004 AMoreSecureWorld–OurSharedResponsibility–ReportoftheSecretary-General’s

High-levelPanelonThreats,ChallengesandChange

AlthoughIreadthisreportwhenitfirstcameoutin2004freeonline(Isentittobeprinted),itwasnotuntil2008thatIreviewedtheforsaleversionatAmazon,entitlingmyreviewof8May2008Seminal Work that Redirected My Life. I meantitthenandImeanitnow.Thisreportisaworld-changingone.

Thisbook literallyblewmymind into smithereens inpartbecauseLtGenDr.Brent Scowcroft, USAF (Ret) was the American representative, and in partbecauseforthefirsttimeinmodernhistory,thehigh-levelthreatstohumanitywereplacedinpriorityorder:

01Poverty 06Genocide 02InfectiousDisease 07OtherAtrocities 03EnvironmentalDegradation 08Proliferation 04Inter-StateConflict 09Terrorism 05CivilWar 10TransnationalCrime

Icannotover-statetheforcewithwhichthislisthitme.IsuddenlyrealizedthatthePanelhaddeliveredonesideofastrategicmatrixforcreatingaprosperousworldatpeace—Iandtheother23co-foundersofEINwentontoidentifythetwelvecorepolicies (moreonall this later) thatmustbeharmonizedamongnations,corporations,organizations,andcommunities. Despite the existence of other superb books, such asHigh Noon 20 Global Problems, 20 Years to Solve Them; The Future of Life;andPlan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization, Third Edition,noone—noone—hadcreatedalistinpriorityorderthatcallsintoquestioneverynationalsecuritybudgetontheplanet,butespeciallythatoftheUSA.

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2005 TheFortuneattheBottomofthePyramid–EradicatingPovertyThroughProfits

Writing on 9 December 2005, I summarized: Nobel Prize Material–Could Transform the Planet. Here’sthemaththatIwassurprisedtonotseeinthebook:thetopbillionpeoplethatglobalbusinessesfocusonareworthlessthanatrillionayearinpotentialsales.Thebottomfourbillion,withlessthan$1000ayearindisposableincome,areworthfourtrillionayearinpotentialsales.

Driving the point home the author observes that the top billion can afforddisposable sub-zero refrigerators,while the bottom four billion need a two-dollarceramicrefrigeratorconsistingoftwolong-neckedcontainerswithanairgapbetweenthem;buriedinthegrounditwillkeepmeatfreshforfivedays.

As theUSDepartmentofDefense isnowdiscovering, its$750billionayearbudget isbeingspentonaheavymetalmilitaryusefulonly10%ofthetime.StabilizationandReconstructionareamuchmoreconstructiveformofnationaldefense,because ifwedonotaddresspovertyand instabilityglobally, itwillinevitably impact on the home front. This author has presented the mostcommon sense case for turning business upside down. He can be creditedwithaparadigmshift,thoseshiftsthatThomasKuhntellsusinThe Structure of Scientific Revolutionscomealltooinfrequently,butwhentheycome,theychangetheworld.Itmaytakeyearstoseethisgeniusimplementedintherealworld,buthehas,withoutquestion,changedtheworldforthebetterwiththisbook,andmadeglobalprosperityapossibility.

See also The Bottom Billion–Why the Poorest Countries are Failing and What Can Be Done About It;Creating a World Without Poverty–Social Business and the Future of Capitalism; and Capitalism at the Crossroads–The Unlimited Business Opportunities in Solving the World’s Most Difficult Problems.

Finallyin2009,andhereIagaincreditTomAtleeandhismostrecentbook,Iwasintroducedtotheconceptsofculturalandnon-zeroevolution.

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2009 Nonzero–TheLogicofHumanDestiny

Publishedin2001,Ireadandreviewedthisbook28November2009,summingitupasBeyond 6 Stars–Nobel Prize (Of Old, Before Devalued).

QUOTE:“Non-zero-sumnessisakindofpotential–apotentialforoverallgain,orforoverallloss,dependingonhowthegameisplayed.”

Thisbookisoneofthemostsophisticated,deep,documented,andinfluentialI have ever read, right up there with Consilience: The Unity of Knowledge. Publishedin2000,thisbookhasNOTreceivedthemarketingpromotionorthepublicattentionitmerits.This book has substantially altered my perception.

Historicallyrooted,thisbooktakesavery longview,anddiscernspatterns inhistorythatIfindcredible.Inbrief,culturalevolutionistheadvanceinsocialcomplexity and themeans of dealingwith complex challenges facing densecomplexsocialsystems.Itisrootedintheadvanceoftechnologywithparticularrespecttothetechnologiesofcommunication,transportation,andenergy,butculture is itselfa“technology”that is“atbottomawayof learning fromthelearningofotherswithouthavingtopaytheduestheypaid.”

Theauthor teachesmeanewunderstandingofwar and conflict andanewappreciation for “barbarians” that arenotbarbarians at all,merelydifferentcultures that sense weakness or injustice in “our” culture and exercise acleansingaspect.BinLaden,withhisoppositiontothepathologicallycriminal“royal”familyinSaudiArabia,andtheUSmilitarypresenceinSaudiArabia–andthemanyotherswhoopposetheUSGovernment’sbi-partisanaffectionfor42 ofthe44dictatorswillingtodorenditionandtortureatourbehest,caneasilybeperceivedbythosewhoareideologically-blindedtobesucha“barbarian,”whilebillionsofothersseehimasa“freedomfighter.”

See my much longer review at Phi Beta Iota, and also Holistic Darwinism: Synergy, Cybernetics, and the Bioeconomics of Evolution.

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AlthoughIhadunderstoodtheconceptsofInfinite Wealth(BarryCarter),Wealth of Networks (Yochai Benkler), Wealth of Knowledge (Thomas Stewart), andRevolutionary Wealth (AlvinToffler,whoalsogaveusPowershift–Knowledge, Wealth, and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century)priortoreadingNon-Zero,thislastbookwasthebookthatfinallymademyownnewbookpossible.ThiswasthebookthatpersuadedmeImuststopwastingmytimetryingtoeducategovernments,andinsteadgodirectlytothepeople.

Industrial-Era organizations—governments, corporations, foundations, non-profits—arerepletewithfraud,waste,andabuse.Theyareignorant,inefficient,andmoreoftenthannottheyareoperatingonbehalfofspecialinterestsratherthaninthepublicinterest.

It’stimeWethePeoplegotbackintouchwithThe Compassionate Instinct–The Science of Human Goodness—andcreatedaprosperousworldatpeace.

Lestthisbookbeconsideredtooidealistic,IrespectfullyrecommendthatitbereadtogetherwiththefirstbookorganizedbyEIN,COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace. The55authors represent theclarity,diversity,integrity,andsustainabilitythatIbelieveisimminentlyachievable.

FreeOnlineCopyofThisBook

http://www.phibetaiota.net/?p=19357

withalllinksactivetherein…


1

Part I

STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE—SUSTAINABILITY

CreatingaProsperousWorldatPeace

Part I consists of seven chapters addressing theUnitedNations (UN) as theinterimfoundationforcreatingtheWorldBrainoriginallyenvisionedbyH.G.Wellsin1936andalsoexploredinthe Encyclopédie française in1937.PriortotheimaginingoftheWorldBrainPierreTielharddeChardinintroducedtheconceptofnoosphereastheessenceofhisLawofComplexity/ConsciousnessinwhichsocialnetworksevolvedtowardtheOmegaPointofperfectintegrationandharmonization.

Inmorerecenttimes,theideahasbeendevelopedfurther,bothinthesenseofatotalconstructsuchasGlobal Mind or Global Brain,and inthesenseofOne from Many,Conscious Evolution,Collective Intelligence,andEvolutionary Activism.

A virtual flood of books inspired by the potential of humanminds workingtogether in the aggregate is also emerging, along two lines: those booksexploringThe Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramidandthepotentialwealthcreation associated with empowering the five billion poor with Informationand Communication Technologies (ICT); and those examining theWealth of NetworksandtherolethatsocialproductiondivorcedfromtraditionalmoneymightplayincreatingRevolutionary Wealth or Infinite Wealth.

Atthesametime,thelong-standingliteratureonthepowerofthepublicsuchas A Power Government Cannot Suppress and The Power of the Powerless has been followed by a new form of emphasis on collective intelligence or the


2

aggregatecapacityofhumanity,addressedinsuchbooksasSmart Mobs,Army of Davids,Wisdom of the Crowds,Smart Nations,andPublic Intelligenceaswellas Here Comes Everybody–The Power of Organizing Without Organizations,Mobilizing Generation 2.0–A Practical Guide to Using Web2.0 Technologies to Recruit, Organize and Engage Youth;andGroundswell–Winning in a World Transformed by Social Technologies.

NothingaboutthisbookisintendedtosuggestthattheUNisnoworevershouldbeanykindofWorldGovernment.Rather,theproposalisputforwardthattheUN,asthemostglobalandmulti-functionaloftheIndustrial-Eraenterprises,iswell-suitedtobeinganintermediateenablerofthetransformationfromapastinwhichorganizationssoughttocontrolinformationforselfishadvantage,toafutureinwhichweactuallyachievethevisionsofPierreTielharddeChardinandH.G.Wells,amongothers,andfindthattheOmegaPoint connects all humans with all information in all languages all the time, and furthermoremakes itpossibleforPanarchyinsteadofAnarchytobetheconditionofhumanity.

Thepurposeofthisbookissetforththemeans,ways,andendsforcreatingaWorldBrainInstitutewithanembeddedGlobalGame such that governments and corporations become—over time—largely disembodied, replaced by aninfinitenumberofself-organizinghumansocialnetworksthatarecharacterizedbyclarityofpurpose,diversityofview,integrityofexchange,andsustainabilityof process. J. F. Rischard, at the timeVice President of theWorld Bank forEurope,inspiredmewithhisconceptofGlobalIssueNetworksassetforthinHIGH NOON: 20 Global Problems, 20 Years to Solve Them.

Chapter 1, Strategic Intelligence and the Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity,summarizesthefindingsoftheUNHigh-LevelPanelonThreat,Challenges,andChange, discusses the eight tribes of intelligencenow separatedby the ironcurtainsofbureaucracy,andoutlinesastrategyforachievingMahatmaGandhi’svisionofaprosperousworldatpeace.


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Chapter 2, The United Nations (UN) System—A Starting Point, provides aconciseandbluntdescriptionoftheUN“System”thatisnotasystematallastheSecretaryGeneralhasvirtuallynoauthorityovermostofthepieces.Thechapter concludeswithadepictionof theglobalmultinational engagementsthattheUNis failingtoaddressadequatelyfor lackof intelligence(decision-support)aswellaslackofresources(bothdirectandindirect),andasummaryoftheninepillarsofpeaceengagementthatthisbookstrivestosupport.

Chapter 3, The Brahimi Report: Panel on United Nations Peace Operations,summarizes the general findings of this vitally important and very criticalreviewofhowtheUNisnotabletobeeffectiveforlackofaninformationandintelligence (decision-support) infrastructure. Amajor premise of this bookisbroughtforwardhere,towit,theUNwouldbemoreeffectiveif itfocusedon becoming a truly global information-sharing and sense-making network,instead ofseekingtoacquirephysicalandotherresourcesfromMemberstates.I believe the UN should leverage open public information and intelligence(decision-support) to influence how all others—not just governments butcorporations,foundations,non-governmentalorganizations,andindividuals—plan,program,budget,andspendtrillionsofdollars.WecallthisInformationPeacekeepingandaddresstheideainmoredetailinChapter6.

Chapter 4, First Steps: Joint Centers for Operations and Analysis, providesa summary of the very good efforts of various UN elements, notably theDepartment of Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO) and with amajor personalcontributionfromMajGenPatrickCammaert,RNNL,thentheMilitaryAdvisorto theSecretaryGeneraland later theForceCommander forEasternCongo,in the creation of Joint Operations Centres (JOC) and JointMilitary AnalysisCentres (JMAC). While still in their infancy and lacking the robust globalinformationcollection,processing,analysis, anddecision-support capabilitiessodesperately-needed,oneimportantstephasbeentaken:intelligenceisnolonger a “dirty word” associatedwith espionage, but is nowmore properlyunderstood as decision-support such as the UN needs to get the mandateright (strategic intelligence); devise the correct force structure (operationalintelligence); manage the mixed civilian-military forces in the field to goodeffect (tactical intelligence); andpursue suchmodern initiatives inpersistentmonitoringandpeaceenforcementasareneeded(technicalintelligence).


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Chapter 5, The Fragmentation of Knowledge Among Eight Intelligence Tribes,presentstheproblemthatunderliestheineffectivenessoftheMemberstatesthemselves. Completelyapart from thepoliticizationof intelligenceand theexcessiverelianceonsecretsourcesandmethodsamongMemberstates,suchthat theUN, like theNorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization (NATO)and regionalorganizationssuchastheAfricanUnion(AU)canbeeasilydeceived,mis-led,andliedtobyMemberstates,thelargerproblemisthatofthefragmentationofknowledgegenerally.

Chapter 6, An Alternative Construct: UN Open-Source Decision-Support Information Network (UNODIN),bringstogetherideasthathavebeenunderdiscussionwithselectedUNofficialsforoveradecade,butonlynowarefindinga broader receptive audience amongMember states realizing that the onlyaffordablemeansofachievingmultinationalandmultifunctional information-sharing and sense-making is by embracing the proposition, now 21 yearsin gestation, that Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) should be the source offirst resort and allow for 80%-90% of all decision-support needs to bemetinexpensively,legally,andethically.

Chapter 7, Conclusions and Recommendations, provides a synopsisofwhatneedstobedoneatthestrategiclevelinordertocreateaprosperousworldatpeace.Brazil,China,India,Indonesia,Iran,Russia,Venezuela,andWildCards—theeightdemographicpowersofthefuture—haveaspecialroletoplay,asdotheregionalorganizations.TheUnitedStatesofAmerica(USA),willfullydeaf,dumb, andblind thesepastfifty years, could—if itwere to choose thepathoftruth&reconciliation—playavitalroleinfunding,training,equipping,andorganizingtheWorldBrain. AssistancefromtheUSAshouldbeacceptedononecondition:OpenEverything.


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Chapter 1Strategic Intelligence and the

Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity

Secretary-General Kofi Annan named Anand Panyarachun, former PrimeMinisterofThailand,tochairahigh-levelpanelonglobalsecuritythreatsandreformoftheinternationalsystem,on3November2003.

A more secure world: our shared responsibility(UnitedNations,2004)isfreelyavailableonlineinmultipleformsincludingwithandwithoutfootnotes,andasstatedinthePreface,isoneoffourworksthatliterallychangedmylife.

Belowarethetenthreatsinpriorityorder,followedbyaveryconcisesummaryofeach.

01Poverty 02InfectiousDisease 03EnvironmentalDegradation 04Inter-StateConflict 05CivilWar 06Genocide 07OtherAtrocities 08Proliferation 09 Terrorism 10TransnationalCrime

Figure 01. Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity


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IprovidealistofallofthedistinguishedmembersoftheHigh-LevelPanelattheendofthischapterbecauseincombinationwiththeBrahimiReport,addressedin Chapter 3, this newer report, published in 2004, is without question thesingle most authoritative, well-intentioned, actionable guide for mobilizingthe distributed intelligence of theWhole Earth. It is not sufficient of itself,butwhenusedasthefoundationforallthatfollowsinthisbookoffourparts,twenty-eightchapters,itservesasacatalystforcreatingtheWorldBrainwithembeddedGlobalGame,whichwill inturnallowustoachieveaprosperousworldatpeacebyconnectingallhumanmindswithall relevant information.OnlyMemberstatescansuggestnewinitiativestotheGeneralAssembly,thepurposeofthisbookistoinspiremanyMemberstodoso.

Below are “snapshots” of the ten high-level threats from my perspective,not fromthe referencesource,whichshouldbeconsulteddirectly. Ineveryinstance,corruptionandfraud(withattendantenablingsecrecyanddeceptionofthepublic)playamajorroleinnurturinganygiventhreat.Everythinghereiseitherfactorcommonsense,yetnoneofthis isbeingdiscussedbyanyoftheworld leaders,whowould prefer to talk about carbon trades, a formofphantomwealth that ismerely a scam at the highest levels, not somethingactuallyintendedtohelpthefivebillionpoor.

1. Povertyispandemic,5billionglobally,(1billionextreme,increasingintheUSA),foundationforallelse—wecannotbuyorgiveourwayoutofpoverty,wemustempowerthepoortocreateinfinitewealthbyconnectingthemtooneanotherandtoinformation.

2. Infectious Disease without borders, kills leaders and wealthy,preventioncritical,low-costmedicineworks—USApays$600aunitforsomethingthatsellsfor$6overseas.

3. Environmental Degradation ispoisoningair,water,and landwhilealso accelerating—changes that took 10,000 years, now take 3years—it isnot justGlobalWarming—freshwatervanishing,earthtoxifying. Whenanaquifer (droppingameterayear)takes insaltwateritislostforever.

STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE AND THE TEN HIGH-LEVEL THREATS TO HUMANITY

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4. Inter-State ConflictismadepossiblebyUNSecurityCouncilmemberswho sell the guns instead of banning exports. We should createregional peace networks, use planned giving to negotiate peaceterms,andinvestinpeaceatonethirdthecostofwar.

5. Civil War is amanifestationof corruption—USAsupports42of44dictatorslootingtheirrespectivecommonwealths,astorymostablydocumentedbyAmbassadorMarkPalmerinBreaking the Real Axis of Evil–How to Oust the World’s Last Dictators by 2025(Rowman&Littlefield,2003).

6. Genocide coincideswith resource scarcity and lifetimes of sharedhatreds—it can be anticipated and prevented. Israelmust adapt,insteadofarmingArabsandIsraeltheUSAshouldinvestinafifty-yeareducation&prosperityregimethatraisesanentirenewgenerationinpeace.

7. Other Atrocitiesincludechildandadultslaveryandprostitution,“byname”kidnappingofmovie starletsandgirls that catchawealthyforeignpredator’seye,andmurderforbodyparts.

8. Proliferation definedasNuclear,Radiological,Biological,&Chemical(NRBC), should also include cluster bombs and small arms whilecontinuingthecampaigntonotonlyeliminatelandmines,butclearallexistinglandminesthatcontinuetomaimindigenouspopulations.UNSecurityCouncilmembersaretheproliferators!

9. Terrorism is a tactic, not a threat, but included by the Panelto recognize the potential for catastrophic consequences, e.g.radiologicalpoisoningofanentirecity. Lawenforcementcanandshould resolve this providing thatUSAandotherswagepeaceinsteadofwar.

10. Transnational Crimeisseriouslyunder-estimated.Itisatleast$2trillionayear.TheMafia,theVatican,WallStreet,andelementsoftheUSGovernmentareentwined.DrugcashisWallStreet’sliquidity.


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TheHigh-LevelPanelreportmakesthefollowinggeneralcomments:

A threat to one is a threat to all. Globalization, complexity, our relativelyunsophisticated mechanisms for sharing information and making sense outofchangesthatwebarelyperceive,muchlessunderstand,allassurethatanymajorthreat—andespeciallynon-statethreatssuchasinfectiousdisease—willcrossborderswithimpunity.

We must get serious about prevention. I encourage one and all to read GeneralAlGray,USMC,“GlobalIntelligenceChallengesofthe1990’s,”American Intelligence Journal(Winter1989-1990)inwhichhecallsforaredirectionfromthe Soviet Union to the ThirdWorld; amassive investment in Open SourceIntelligence(OSINT);andtheuseofOSINTtojustifyandguidewhathecalled“peacefulpreventivemeasures.Noonewantedtolistenthen,andtheystilldonotwishtotakethisrecommendationseriously.

The report exaggerates the threat to humanity fromnuclear, biological, andchemical weapons,while completely ignoring themuchmore pervasive andmoredeeplyharmfuleffectsoftheIndustrialErawithitsmanypoisons,toxins,andotherloosely-managednuclear,biological,andchemicalmaterials.

Thereportalsospeakstotheimportanceofbeingmorepro-activeinthefuture,which I take tomeanbeing lessaboutpreventionandmoreabout fosteringopportunityforthefivebillionpoor.Finally,thereportcallsformuchenhancedpost-conflictpeacebuildingsuchashasnotbeenseeninIraqandAfghanistanintheaftermathofthetwoUSinvasionsandoccupations.

KEY POINT: Every objective of this superb report requires a strategic intelligence (decision-support) capability that does not exist. Atthestrategiclevel, it isvery importanttohavearealisticunderstandingofwhothemajorplayers arewith respect to the collection, processing, and analysis ofmajorflowsofinformation.WeareintheInformationEra,yetmostgovernmentsandcorporationsandfoundationsandnon-profitorganizationsareextraordinarilyoutoftouchwithreality.TheUNneedsaWorldBrainwithembeddedGlobalGame.


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Mysecond graduate thesis examined threeCountryTeams (the inter-agencycombinationofpersonnelworkingoutofanygivenEmbassy)andboth theiraccess to, and ability to collect and transfer home all relevant information.My conclusion: the average Embassy collects at best 20% of the relevantinformation,andinsendingmostitbackinhard-copy,spills80%ofthat20%—henceWashingtonisrunningon2%oftherelevantinformation.

BenGilad,atopcommercialintelligencescholar-practitioner,reachesasimilarconclusion in his book Business Blindspots: Top manager’s information is invariably either biased, subjective, filtered, or late.

These eighttribes(originallyseven)arenotbeingharnessedbytheUN.

Figure 02. The UN and the Eight Tribes of Intelligence


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Ifirstdiscussedtheeighttribes(atthetimeseven)inmybriefingtotheSwedishconferenceonpeacekeepingintelligenceinDecember2004,laterpublishedas2006IJIC19/3PeacekeepingIntelligence&InformationPeacekeeping.

Iwilldiscussspecificsofengagingalleighttribesinanyinformationchallengethroughout the book. It is not possible to achieve a holistic view withoutleveragingalleighttribes,inallpossiblelanguages,allofthetime.

It isessential that theUNand itsMemberstatesalso recognize that80%ormoreoftheusefulinformationneededtomakegooddecisionsaboutglobaltolocalgovernance—decisionsintendedtoeradicatethetenhigh-levelthreatstohumanitybyharmonizingbehaviorandbudgetsacrossthetwelvecorepolicies(itemized and discussed in Chapter 12)—is owned by non-governmentaltribes,andisalsonotsecret.Itcanbeshared,butfirsttheremustbeaglobalarchitecture for constructive multinational information-sharing and sense-making.TheInternetistoolforthatendeavor,notasubstituteforhumanandorganizationalandnationalagreements.

InChapter5Idiscussthefragmentationofknowledgeamongandwithintheeighttribes,herebelowIsimplyitemizeanddescribethem:

Academic.Includesallschoolsandcontinuingeducationbyallorganizations.

Civil Society.Citizenadvocates,laborunions,andreligionsareincluded.

Commercial.Sharingbetweensmallbusinessesandmultinationalsisneeded.

Government.Wecanignorethespies(10%),focusontheopenMinistries.

Law Enforcement.Intelligence-ledpolicingandpreventiongrowingfast.

Media.Nichejournalismoneverytopic,andcitizenjournalism,aregrowing.

Military.Theyareadisciplinedforce,under-utilizedforstabilizationmissions.

Non-Governmental.Agreatdealoffraudandwasteneedstobeeliminated.


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Atthestrategiclevelweneedmakeonlyoneotherhigh-levelobservationmosteasilyunderstoodbyexaminingtheillustrationbelow.Climbthestepsfromthebottom.MeetMahatmaGandhiatthetop.

Figure 03. Strategy for Creating a Prosperous World at Peace

Theheartofthisbook,repeatedfromthePreface:

Thetruthatanycostreducesallothercosts


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NOTE:Theother15membersofthePanelwere,inalphabeticalorderRobertBadinter(France),MemberoftheFrenchSenateandformerMinisterofJusticeof France; João Clemente Baena Soares (Brazil), former Secretary-Generalof the Organization of American States; Gro Harlem Brundtland (Norway),former PrimeMinister ofNorway and formerDirector-General of theWorldHealth Organization; Mary Chinery-Hesse (Ghana), Vice-Chairman, NationalDevelopment Planning Commission of Ghana and former Deputy Director-General,InternationalLabourOrganization;GarethEvans(Australia),Presidentof the International Crisis Group and former Minister for Foreign Affairs ofAustralia;DavidHannay(UnitedKingdom),formerPermanentRepresentativeof the United Kingdom to the United Nations and United Kingdom SpecialEnvoy toCyprus; Enrique Iglesias (Uruguay), Presidentof the Inter-AmericanDevelopmentBank;AmreMoussa(Egypt),Secretary-GeneraloftheLeagueofArabStates;SatishNambiar(India),formerLt.GeneralintheIndianArmyandForceCommanderoftheUnitedNationsProtectionForce(UNPROFOR);SadakoOgata(Japan),formerUnitedNationsHighCommissionerforRefugees;YevgenyPrimakov (Russia), former Prime Minister of the Russian Federation; QianQichen(China),formerVicePrimeMinisterandMinisterforForeignAffairsofthePeople’sRepublicofChina;NafisSadik(Pakistan),formerExecutiveDirectorof theUnitedNationsPopulationFund (UNFPA); SalimAhmedSalim (UnitedRepublicofTanzania),formerSecretary-GeneraloftheOrganizationofAfricanUnity; andBrent Scowcroft (UnitedStates), former Lt.General in theUnitedStatesAirForceandformerUnitedStatesNationalSecurityAdviser..


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Chapter 2The United Nations (UN) System

—A Starting Point

AccordingtotheGlobalPolicyForum,“TheUnitedNationsandallitsagenciesandfundsspendabout$30billioneachyear,orabout$4foreachoftheworld’sinhabitants.This isaverysmall sumcomparedtomostgovernmentbudgetsanditislessthanthreepercentoftheworld’smilitaryspending.“

TheUNSystem isnot reallya“system”asmuchasanarchipelagoof largelyindependent elementswithin five large constructs: the Security Council, theGeneralAssembly,theEconomicandSocialCouncil,SpecializedAgencies(SA),andPeacekeepingOperations(PKO).Belowisagraphthatextrapolatedfromthe known2007numbersto2009usingknownregularandpeacebudgetsinthelatter,thenassumingsimilarpercentageincreasesfortheotherelements(inbillionsofdollars)—Astandsforassessments,Vforvoluntarycontributions.

REG PKO SA (A) SA (V) Programs TOTAL

2007 2.054 5.148 2.198 3.281 12.289 24.970

2009 2.424 7.750 2.594 3.872 14.501 31.141

Known 18%increaseinregularandagencies(assessed)Known 33%increaseinpeacekeepingoperationsAssumed 18%foragencies(volunteered)andprograms

Figure 04: UN System Funding


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OnthenextseveralpagesthevariedUNelementsareitemized(withlinksintheonlineversionofthebook)fortworeasons:first,toshowboththediversityoftheelementsandalsotheinconsistencyoftheelementsinrelationtothetenhigh-levelthreatstohumanityandthetwelvecorepolicies;andsecond—takingintoaccountalltheotherregionalandspecializedorganizationsaroundtheworld—tosuggestthemagnitudeofboththeinformationfailuresoftheUNandallotherorganizations,andtheopportunities inherent increatingglobaldigitalmultinationalinformation-sharingandsense-makingnetwork.

1. Secretary General (SG) & Major Functional Departments• ExecutiveOfficeoftheSecretary-General(EOSG)• DepartmentofPoliticalAffairs(DPA)• OfficeforDisarmamentAffairs(ODA)• DepartmentofPeacekeepingOperations(DPKO)• DepartmentofFieldSupport(DFS• OfficefortheCoordinationofHumanitarianAffairs(OCHA)• DepartmentofEconomicandSocialAffairs(DESA)• DepartmentforGeneralAssemblyandConferenceManagement

(DGACM)• DepartmentofPublicInformation(DPI)• DepartmentofSafetyandSecurity(DSS)• DepartmentofManagement(DM)

InadditiontheSecretaryGeneralhasdirectoversightof four internal justiceelements;twointernationalcriminaltribunals;fivespecialrepresentativesorenvoys; five regional economic commissions; three “away” offices (Geneva,Nairobi,Vienna);andotheroddsandends.

2. The General Assembly oversees—and hence the Secretary General doesnotdirectlycontrol—committees,commissions,boards,councils,andworkinggroups,theUnitedNationsPeacebuildingCommissionandthefollowing:

General Assembly Programmes and Funds: • InternationalTradeCentre(ITC)• OfficeoftheUnitedNationsHighCommissionerforRefugees(UNHCR)

THE UNITED NATIONS (UN) SYSTEM —A STARTING POINT

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• UNChildren’sFund(UNICEF)• UNConferenceonTradeandDevelopment(UNCTAD)• UNDevelopmentProgramme(UNDP)• UNCapitalDevelopmentFund(UNCDF)• UNDevelopmentFundforWomen(UNIFEM)• UNVolunteers(UNV)• UNDrugControlProgramme(UNDCP)• UNEnvironmentProgramme(UNEP)• UNHumanSettlementsProgramme(UN-HABITAT)• UNPopulationFund(UNFPA)• UNReliefandWorksAgencyforPalestineRefugeesintheNear

East(UNRWA)• UNWorldFoodProgramme(WFP)

General Assembly Research and Training Institutes• UNInstituteforDisarmamentResearch(UNIDIR)• UNInstituteforTrainingandResearch(UNITAR)• UNInterregionalCrimeandJusticeResearchInstitute(UNICRI)• UNInternationalResearchandTrainingInstitutefortheAdvancement

ofWomen(UN-INSTRAW)• UNResearchInstituteforSocialDevelopment(UNRISD)

General Assembly Other UN Entities)• InternationalComputingCentre(ICC)• JointUnitedNationsProgrammeonHIV/AIDS(UNAIDS)• UnitedNationsOfficeforProjectServices(UNOPS)• UnitedNationsSystemStaffCollege(UNSSC)• UnitedNationsUniversity(UNU)

3. The Security Council, arguably the real powerwithin theUN, is primarilyadecisionpowerratherthananactionoradministrativepower. However, itbearsmentionthatthedecisionsreachedbyboththeSecurityCouncilandtheGeneralAssemblyarelargelyuninformed,subjecttoboththetendencyoftheMembernationstowithholdinformationoractivelymisrepresentinformation(astheUSdidwhenSecretaryofStateColinPowellbriefedknownfalsehoods


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seekingtojustifytheelectivewaronIraq);andtheabsolutelackofanyorganicdecision-support capability within the UN, the major shortcoming that washighlightedbytheBrahimiReport.

4. The Economic and Social Council is the fourth major element, with thefollowingbodiesreportingtoit.

Functional Commissions: CommissiononCrimePreventionandCriminalJustice;CommissiononNarcoticDrugs;CommissiononPopulationandDevelopment;Commission on Science and Technology for Development; Commission forSocial Development; Commission on the Status of Women; Commission onSustainable Development; Statistical Commission; United Nations Forum onForests.

Regional Commissions: Economic Commission for Africa (ECA); EconomicCommission for Europe (ECE); Economic Commission for Latin America andthe Caribbean (ECLAC); Economic and Social Commission for Asia and thePacific(ESCAP);EconomicandSocialCommissionforWesternAsia(ESCWA).

Standing Committees: Committee on Negotiations with IntergovernmentalAgencies; Committee on Non-Governmental Organizations; Committee forProgrammeandCoordination.

Ad hoc bodies:AdhocOpen-endedWorkingGrouponInformatics.

Expert Bodies composed of governmental experts: CommitteeofExpertsonthe Transport of Dangerous Goods and on the Globally Harmonized SystemofClassificationandLabellingofChemicals;UnitedNationsGroupofExpertson Geographical Names; Intergovernmental Working Group of Experts onInternationalStandardsofAccountingandReporting.

Expert Bodies composed of members serving in their personal capacity: Committee for Development Policy; Committee on Economic, Social andCultural Rights; Committee of Experts on International Cooperation in TaxMatters;CommitteeofExpertsonPublicAdministration;PermanentForumonIndigenous Issues.


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Other related Bodies: ExecutiveBoardoftheInternationalResearchandTrainingInstitutefortheAdvancementofWomen;InternationalNarcoticsControlBoard;CommitteefortheUnitedNationsPopulationAward;ProgrammeCoordinatingBoardoftheJointUnitedNationsProgrammeonHIV/AIDS.

5. And now, the final part, the Trusteeship Council, International Court of Justice; Secretariat; and Specialized Agencies, Related Organizations, Funds, and other UN Entities,allofthemrelativelyautonomousfromtheSecretaryGeneralandhisstaff.

Specialized Agencies: Food and Agriculture Organization of the UnitedNations (FAO); International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO); InternationalFund for Agricultural Development (IFAD); International LabourOrganization (ILO); International Maritime Organization (IMO); InternationalMonetary Fund (IMF); International Telecommunication Union (ITU);United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO);United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO); Universal Postal Union (UPU); World Bank Group [includes International Bank forReconstructionandDevelopment (IBRD); InternationalCentre forSettlementof InvestmentDisputes (ICSID); InternationalDevelopmentAssociation (IDA);International Finance Corporation (IFC); Multilateral Investment GuaranteeAgency(MIGA)];WorldHealthOrganization(WHO);WorldIntellectualPropertyOrganization (WIPO); World Meteorological Organization (WMO); WorldTourismOrganization(UNWTO).

Related Organizations: International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA);PreparatoryCommissionfortheNuclear-Test-BanTreatyOrganization(CTBTO);Organisation for theProhibitionof ChemicalWeapons (OPCW);World TradeOrganization(WTO).

Secretariats of Conventions: Convention on the Rights of Persons withDisabilities; United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD);UnitedNationsFrameworkConventiononClimateChange(UNFCCC).

UN Trust Funds: United Nations Democracy Fund (UNDEF); United NationsFundforInternationalPartnerships(UNFIP).


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6. Finally, administratively overseen by the Secretary General and theDepartmentofPeacekeepingOperations,wehaveUNforcedeployments in the fieldinthisinstancewithpreciseauthorizedbudgets:

Mission AmountMINURCAT(MissioninCentral African Republic and Chad) $690.75millionMINURSO(MissionforReferenduminWestern Sahara) $53.53millionMINUSTAH(StabilizationMissioninHaiti) $611.75millionMONUC(OrganizationMissioninDem. Repub. of the Congo) $1.35billionUNAMID(HybridOperationinDarfur) $1.6billionUNDOF(DisengagementObserverForce) $45.03millionUNFICYP(PeacekeepingForceinCyprus) $54.41 millionUNIFIL(InterimForceinLebanon) $589.8millionUNMIK(MissioninKosovo) $46.81 millionUNMIL(MissioninLiberia) $561 millionUNMIS(MissioninSudan) $958.35millionUNMIT(IntegratedMissioninTimor-Leste) $205.94millionUNOCI(OperationinCôte d’Ivoire) $491.77millionUNOMIG(ObserverMissioninGeorgia) $15 millionSupportofAMISOM $138.8millionBrindisi $57.95millionSupportAccount $294.03millionTotal $7.75 billion

Figure 05: UN Peacekeeping Deployment Budgets

It is not possible in the context of this brief book to look at all the otherorganizations around the world, both military (e.g. North Atlantic TreatyOrganization) and regional (e.g. African Union) or non-governmental (e.g.InternationalCommitteeoftheRedCross),butthereadercanjustimagine,iftheUNhasabudgetof$30billionayear,multiplythistimes100—or300—anditiseasytoseethatwearespendingperhapsuptoatrilliondollarsayearonvariousorganizationsintendedtosolvetheproblemsoftheworld,atthesametimethatwespend$1.3trillionayearwagingwar.Inshort,thereisplentyofmoneyforpeaceandprosperity,itissimplynotwellmanaged.


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LookingattheUNfunctionally,usingitsThematicIndex,belowisalistoftheUN-defineddomainsinwhichtheyseethemselvesasactive.

AgingAgricultureAtomicEnergyChildrenClimateChangeCultureDecolonizationDeminingDevelopmentCorporationDisarmamentDrugControl&CrimePreventionEducationElectionsEnergyEnvironmentFamilyFoodGovernanceHabitatHealthHumanRightsHumanSettlementsHumanitarianAffairs,Aid,&ReliefIndigenousPeopleIndustry

IntellectualPropertyInternationalFinanceInternationalLawInternationalTradeLabourLawoftheSeaandAntarcticaLeastDevelopedCountriesOrganizationalQuestionsOuterSpacePeace and SecurityPersonswithDisabilitiesPopulation&ReproductiveHealthProjectServicesRefugeesRegionalCommissionsScience&TechnologySocialDevelopmentStatisticsSustainableDevelopmentTelecommunicationsTrade&developmentTransport&CommunicationsVolunteerismWomenYouth

Figure 06: UN Thematic Index

Whatisutterlyfascinatingabouttheabovethematicindex,copiedfromtheUN’sownwebsite,ishowfarremoveditisfromthetenhigh-levelthreatsdepictedinFigure01onpage5.ThefiveitemsinboldcorrespondtocorepoliciesthatwillbeaddressedinPartII,Chapter8,“OperationalIntelligenceandRegionalPolicyHarmonization.”TheaboveUNlistisincoherent and incomplete.


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Toconcludeourveryconciseoverview,belowarebrieflydiscussedwhatUNemployeescallthe“Nine Pillars of Peace.”TheseareasdevelopedwithmyUNhostinslides60-68oftheUN“ClassBeforeOne”astaughtinBeirutinAugust2007.TheyareheavilybiasedtowardtheconcernsoftheDepartmentofSafetyand Security(DSS)whichisnotonlyresponsibleforthesecurityoftheentireUNSystem,butalsoforitsefficiency.Everythingbelowhasverystronginformationand intelligence(decision-support) implications,aswellas larger InformationOperations(IO)implications.

Political Compromise. Implications for safety and security; forget about“national”analysis;focusonregions,tribes,clans,families;grasphistoryasafoundation;visualizecompetingequities;valuetransparencyandintegrity;theUNSystemmustalwaysbeperceivedasmoralandfreeofbias.

Media Management. Mediaisnotjustthebroadcast“main”mediabutalsotheInternet,sermons,andotherformsofnarrowcast;monitoringthemediais an essential aspect of situational awareness; “spin” is misunderstood asmanipulation;theUNSystemmustfocusongettingitsmessageintoallformsofmedia,thisisavitalaspectof“intangible”security.

Mandate & Mission. TheUNmandates andmission are inherently flawedfor lack of adequate decision-support, inclusive of a grasp of history and anuancedunderstandingofallregionalactors;securitycomesfromaccuracyofunderstanding,beforeandduringthemission.

Posture & Perception. Posture defines perception. A lack of clearcommunicationtoeveryactorofrelevancetotheUNSystemisadeathwish.Postureisamessage.Perceptionisthemission.EveryactiontheUNSystemtakestocommunicateitsgoodness,itsgoodworks,isonelessbullet,onelessbomb.

Information Management. TheUNSystem is operatingat less than20%ofcapacityfortwosimplereasons:Lackof100MBInternetaccessforeveryUNemployeeatworkandatrestandlackofaccesstothe80%oftheopensourceinformation needed to be effective at the strategic, operational (regional),tactical,andtechnicallevels.Informationissecurity.Informationisefficiency.


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InformationwilldefinetheUNSystemofthefutureandintelligence(decision-support)willdeterminethesustainabilityandefficacyoftheUNSystem.

Operational Procedures. Inmy opinion, the threat to the UN System is asfollows,withtheobservationthatproperinformationmanagementcanresolveallofthesedeficienciesatverylowcost:

• Internalbureaucracyandbigegos/smallminds

• Lackoffullaccesstoallrelevantinformation

• RecalcitrantMemberNations

• Organizedoppositiongroups

• InternalespionagefromMemberNations

• Lackofemployeetrainingandsituationalawareness

• Lackoffocusbymanagersatalllevels

• Lackoffundingforintelligence(decision-support)

Physical Security. Physical securityoffixed installations is themost tangiblemissionofDSS, andalso the least important. Virtual security ismuchmoreimportant and demands total situational awareness and total efficiency.Morality,andtheperceptionoftheUNSystemasunbiasedandtotallyforthegoodofthecommunitybeingserved,istheultimatesecurity.

Technical Security. Defensive surveillance detection, and especially alerthuman intelligence able to observe and detect hostile surveillance of UNSystem sites and individuals, is the single most essential function of DSS.Technicalsurveillancedetectionrequiresbothconstantaudio-visualcoverage,andconstanthumanandtechnicalreviewofthecapturedimagesandsounds.

Human Intelligence. DSS is best served by having the most intelligent,dedicated,andintuitivehumansontheplanet.ThereisnohighermoraldutythantoservetheUNSystembyprotectingitsmissions,facilities,movements,andindividuals.Securityisnotaboutguns.Securityisaboutmindsinconstantaction.


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ThebalanceofthisbookwillfocusonhowbesttocreateaWorldBrain,usingtheUNasastartingpoint,withtheintentofultimatelybeingabletoeradicatealltenhigh-levelthreatstohumanitybyharmonizingallpoliciesandspendingwithclarityandintegrity,appreciatingdiversitytoachievesustainability.

WecanindeeduseourCollectiveIntelligencetocreateaprosperousworldatpeace,wejustneedtocreateIntelligenceforEarth.


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Chapter 3

The Brahimi Report: Panel on United Nations Peace Operations

DagHammarskjöld,althoughthesecondSecretaryGeneral(1953-1961)oftheUNratherthanthefirst,iswidelyperceivedasthetruepioneerinpartbecausehis first order of business was the creation of a 4,000 person SecretariatintendedtoplacetheUNonapropermanagementandbusinessfooting.HeisalsotheonlySecretaryGeneraltohavediedinoffice,inanaircraftcrashwhileonamissioninAfrica.

HewassucceededbyU Thant(1961-1971),KurtWaldheim(1972-1981),JavierPérezdeCuéllar(1982-1991),BoutrosBoutros-Ghali(1992-1996),KofiAnnan (1997-2006),andthenowservingBanKi-moon(2007-)

While all of the above are creditedwithmany accomplishments—and a fairshare of scandals—the next “towering figure” in UN history is, in my view,LakhdarBrahimibecauselikeDagHammarskjold,whengiventheopportunityhe focusedon the shortcomingsof theexisting systemofpeacekeepingandmadespecificrecommendationsforchange,focusingonpolitics,strategyandoperationalandorganizationalareasofneed.

The Brahimi Report, produced in 2000 by a panel chaired by Brahimi in hiscapacityasUnder-Secretary-GeneralforSpecialAssignmentsinSupportoftheSecretary-General’sPreventiveandPeacemakingefforts,marksthedefinitionoftheUNasa 20th Centuryorganizationbadlyinneedofmodernizationintheareaofdecision-makingatalllevels,andconsequentlyintheareaofdecision-support,thetwotogetherbeingorganizational intelligence.


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Easily accessible online are the Executive Summary, a Summary ofRecommendations, the Full Report, Panel Member Biographies, MediaCoverage,andFact Sheets.ForthepurposesofIntelligenceforEarth,whatisimportantabouttheBrahimiReportisthatthreeofthefiveareasofconcernaredirectlyaddressablebycreatingpermanentandrapid-responsestrategic,operational,tactical,andtechnicalintelligencecapabilitiesthatareorganictothe UN and not ad hoc kludges ofMember nation “contributions” ofmixedvalueandreliability.

TheBrahimiReportwastheunderlyingfoundationfortheinitiativesundertakenbyMajGenPatrickCammaert,RNNL,addressedinthenextchapter.Thebook,PEACEKEEPING INTELLIGENCE: Emerging Concepts for the Future (OSS,2003)waspublishedtosupporttheinitiativesbyGeneralCammaert,andwashonoredfromitsdayofpublicationbybeingondisplayinthelobbyof1UNPlaza,andonsaleintheUNBookstore.PhiBetaIotathePublicIntelligenceBlogprovidesshortonlinebiographiesandlinkstotheindividualchaptersintheWho’sWho sectiononPeaceIntelligence(28).

Speaking to the international conference on open source solutions in 2003,andthentotheSwedishConferenceonPeacekeepingIntelligenceinDecember2004, General Cammaert pointed out that every UN Mission, whether apeacekeepingmissionoradevelopmentmissionorafact-findingmission,waslargelydependentforitssuccesson:

• StrategicMandate• OperationalForceStructure• TacticalSituationalAwareness• TechnicalCompetenceinCommunicationsandIntelligence

Eachofthese,howevertalentedtheindividualsmakingthedetermination,issubstantiallydependentontheavailabilityofintelligence—decision-support.Intheabsenceofafullunderstandingsuchascanonlybeachievedbyanintegratedand“fullspectrum”intelligencenetwork,themandatewillbeflawed,theforcestructurewillbewrong,thetacticalforceswillbedeafandblind,andmodern

THE BRAHIMI REPORT: PANEL ON UNITED NATIONS PEACE OPERATIONS

25

technologies will not be brought to bear. These presentations augmentedhis earlier provision, based on his extensive field experience commandingpeacekeeping operations, of the core chapter Intelligence in Peacekeeping Operations: Lessons for the Future.

Othershavemadesignalcontributions—DeputySecretaryGeneraloftheUNLouiseFrechette(formerCanadianDeputyMinisterofDefenceandDr.PatriciaLewis,thenDirectoroftheUnitedNationsInstituteforDisarmamentResearch(UNIDIR)—cometomind,butbetweenthem,BrahimiandCammaertarethetrue pioneers for modern UN Information Operations (IO) and Intelligence(Decision-Support).

Belowarelistedthestrategicrecommendations(severelytruncatedwiththeiroriginal numbering) that bear on this book’s vision for a central UN role increatingaWorldBrainwithanembeddedGlobalGame.AfullreadingofthevariouselementsoftheBrahimiReport is recommended.

1. Preventive action—more fact-finding missions.

2. Peace-building strategy—quick interventions, post-conflict integration.

3. Peacekeeping doctrine and strategy—professionalization.

4. Clear, credible and achievable mandates—The Secretariat must tell the Security Council what it needs to know, not what it wants to hear.

5. Information and strategic analysis—The Secretary-General should establish an entity, which would support information and analysis needs of all.

16. Other structural adjustments in DPKO—The current Military and Civilian Police Division should be restructured, moving the Civilian Police Unit out of the military reporting chain; upgrading the rank and level of the Civilian Police Adviser; The Military Adviser’s Office in DPKO should be restructured to correspond to the way in which the military field headquarters in United Nations peacekeeping operations are structured; Increasing Assistant Secretaries-General in DPKO from two to three.

18. Peace-building support in the Department of Political Affairs

Figure 07. Strategic Recommendations


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Belowaretheoperationalandtacticalrecommendations.6. Transitional civil administration— evaluate the feasibility and utility of developing an interim criminal code.

7. Determining deployment timelines—the ability to fully deploy traditional peacekeeping operations within 30 days after the adoption of a Security Council resolution [90 days for complex operations].

8. Mission leadership—systematize the method of selecting mission leaders.

9. Military personnel—ready for effective deployment within 30 days; a revolving “on-call list” of about 100 military officers be created in UNSAS to be available on seven days’ notice to augment nuclei of DPKO planners.

10. Civilian police personnel—national pools of civilian police officers; regional training partnerships for civilian police; single point of contact; evolving on-call list of about 100 police officers and related experts be created in UNSAS to be available on seven days’ notice.

11. Civilian specialists—a central Internet/Intranet-based roster of pre-selected civilian candidates; attract the most highly qualified candidates; formulate a comprehensive staffing strategy for peace operations, outlining, among other issues, the use of United Nations Volunteers, standby arrangements for the provision of civilian personnel on 72 hours’ notice to facilitate mission start-up.

13. Logistics support and expenditure management—prepare a global logistics support strategy; maintain at least five mission start-up kits; review of the entire procurement policies and procedures; draw up to $50M per mission; authorize missions up to $1M in local procurement.

14. Funding Headquarters support for peacekeeping operations— Headquarters support for peacekeeping should be treated as a core activity of the United Nations, funded through the mechanism of the regular budget.

15. Integrated mission planning and support—Integrated Mission Task Forces (IMTFs).

17. Operational support for public information—unit for operational planning and support of public information in peace operations.

19. Peace operations support in OHCHR (Human Rights)—create an office

Figure 08. Operational & Tactical Recommendations


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12. Rapidly deployable capacity for public information—Additional resources should be devoted in mission budgets to public information and the associated personnel and information technology required to get an operation’s message out and build effective internal communications links.

20. Peace operations and the information age:

(a) Headquarters peace and security departments need a responsibility centre to devise and oversee the implementation of common information technology strategy and training for peace operations, residing in EISAS. Mission counterparts to the responsibility centre should also be appointed to serve in the offices of the special representatives of the Secretary-General in complex peace operations to oversee the implementation of that strategy;

(b) EISAS, in cooperation with the Information Technology Services Division (ITSD), should implement an enhanced peace operations element on the current United Nations Intranet and link it to the missions through a Peace Operations Extranet (POE);

(c) Peace operations could benefit greatly from more extensive use of geographic information systems (GIS) technology, which quickly integrates operational information with electronic maps of the mission area, for applications as diverse as demobilization, civilian policing, voter registration, human rights monitoring and reconstruction;

(d) The IT needs of mission components with unique information technology needs, such as civilian police and human rights, should be anticipated and met more consistently in mission planning and implementation;

(e) The Panel encourages the development of web site co-management by Headquarters and the field missions, in which Headquarters would maintain oversight but individual missions would have staff authorized to produce and post web content that conforms to basic presentational standards and policy.

Figure 09. Technical Recommendations

TheBrahimiReportdidnotseektoaddresstheorganicintelligencecollection,processing,andanalysisneedsofthedeployedforces,thesewillbediscussedinthenextchapteringeneralterms.

The Brahimi Report recommendations have not been implemented to thefullestextentpossible.Thisreportcontinuestodemandmoreattention.


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A concise but supplementary treatment of selected Brahimi Reportrecommendations from an intelligence (decision-support) perspective isprovided at The Brahimi Report: Extracts from the Executive Summary, inPEACEKEEPING INTELLIGENCE: Emerging Concepts for the Future.

HerearesomeconclusionsthatdrawontheearlierandthelargebodyofworksbyotherssummarizedatPhiBetaIota under Reviews:

1. UNRESPONSIVE. The larger parts of the UN—as little as two thirds, asmuchas fourfifths,arenotreallyresponsivetodirectionfromtheSecretaryGeneraloranyofthebodies(GeneralAssembly,SecurityCouncil,EconomicandSocialCouncil)exceptintheremotesenseofbudgetaryapprovalsandgenericmandate.

2. UNINFORMED.TheinformationcollectedbymostifnotalloftheUNhasnocentralizedplacewhere itcanbemadesenseoforsharedacrosstheUNSystem,withotherorganizations,orwiththeMembergovernments.

3. DISENGAGED. TheUN appears to be operating on automatic pilot rightnow,withMembers—andamongthem,atinyhandfulofthelargernations—controllingwhatissuesandconcernsareplacedbeforethebody.TheUNanditselements,despiterelationshipswithvariousstakeholders,areinnosenseoftheword“connected”totheEightTribes or the Internet or Humanity at large.

4. INCOHERENT.Betweentoomanyspiesfillingjobstheyarenotqualifiedfor,andtoomuchcronyism,ontopofacompleteabsenceofacoherentdecision-support infrastructure such as the Brahimi Report recommends, the UN isincoherentatthestrategic,operational,tactical,andtechnicallevels.

Now,havingsaidallthat, IstillconsidertheUNthesinglebeststartingpointforseekingtocreatewhatH.G.Wellsdescribedin1936asaWorld Brain;whatQuincyWrightcalledforin1957,aWorldIntelligenceCenter;andwhatwehaveprovided to the Secretary General for discussion amongMembers, aWorldBrainInstitutewithanembeddedGlobalGame.


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Chapter 4First Steps:

Joint Centers for Operations and Analysis

The strategic aims of peace operations have changedfundamentally in recent years, and UN Security Councilmandatesareincreasinglymulti-dimensionalinpurpose.Thischallengesallstakeholderstorespondinkind.Ithasbecomeever clearer that the complex range of approaches andinstruments that are employed in peace operations requiresome form of integration if lasting peace is to be secured.Although the UN has taken important steps by adoptinginnovativepolicies,mechanismsandprogrammes,significantchallenges remain in relation to improving the integrationandcoordinationofbothmultilateralandbilateraleffortsincountriesaffectedbywar.

TheabovestatementiscopiedfromtheNorwegianMinistryofForeignAffairs,typicallyaleaderwiththeotherNordiccountries,inthepeacearena.Thepostgoesontodescribehowintegratedpeaceoperationscan

• Improve the coherence and impact of the UN response inconflicts;

• Beimprovedwiththeconception,planningandimplementationofamultidimensionalandintegratedpeaceoperation;

• Improvethealignmentofmandates,resourcesandpractices;• Enhance effective protection of civilians, while safeguarding

theindependenceandimpartialityofhumanitarianefforts;and• Augmentademographicallyandgendersensitiveapproach.


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Thepointofopeningthischapterwiththeaboveinnovationthatisemergent—itisbynomeanspastelementary—istostressthatwhiletheemergenceoftheJointOperationsCentre(JOC)suchasfoundinBeirut,whereallUNelementshaverepresentation;andtheemergenceoftheJointMilitaryAnalysisCentre(JMAC)suchasbestexecutedinHaitibytheUnitedNationsStabilizationMissionInHaiti(Mission des Nations Unies pour la stabilisation en Haïti),alsoknownasMINUSTAH)isagoodthing, it isnotnearlyenoughinthewayofintelligence(decision-support)innovationtomeettheneedsformulti-dimensionalpeaceoperations, i.e. those that have substantive Disaster Relief, HumanitarianAssistance,orStabilization&Reconstructionelements.

Bassey Ekpe’s contribution, The Intelligence Assets of the United Nations:Sources,Methods,andImplications,intheInternational Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence (20/3 Fall 2007) continues to be the most currentoverview of UN information and intelligence capabilities. He makes thefollowingpoints:

1.UNHeadquartersincapacityisoftentherootcauseofallsubsequentfailuresofintelligenceattheoperationalandtacticallevels.

2.Despiteamultiplicityofinformationunitsacrossallthemajordepartments,internal audits have reported deliberate reluctance to share, mistrust, lackofunderstandingofoneanother’sneeds,anda lackofaconsolidated listofindicators (or Essential Elements of Information—EEI) needed to establish amultinationalmultifunctionalpeaceoperation.

3.AmongthebrightspotsthatdosuggesttheUNcouldyetbecomeaplatformformultinationalmultifunctionalinformation-sharingandsense-making:

a.ArriaFormula(AF)bringsNon-GovernmentalOrganizations(NGO)tobriefoff the record, thisoftenbrings forth informationMemberstateshaveheldbackormisrepresented.

b.PasteffortssuchastheOfficeforResearchandtheCollectionofInformation(ORCI)andtheStrategicPlanningUnit(SPU)aswellasfact-findingmissionsrepresentinadequatebutimportantappreciationfortheroleofinformationatthestrategiclevel.

FIRST STEPS: JOINT CENTERS FOR OPERATIONS AND ANALYSIS

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c.DPKOhastheMilitaryPlanningService(MPS)androughly100deskofficers.

d.OfficefortheCoordinationofHumanitarianAffairs(OCHA)hasanumberofremarkableunitsthatbearspecificitemization:

(1)HumanitarianEarlyWarningSystem(HEWS)

(2)EmergencyReliefCoordinator(ERC)

(3)EarlyWarningandContingencyPlanningUnits(EWCP)

(4)FieldInformationUnit(FIU)

(5)HumanitarianInformationCapability(HIC),essentiallyanFIUinadeployablebox.

TheSituationCentrecontinues tobeavery smallelement, justahandfulofindividuals,whilereplicatedacrosstheUNSystemarecountryandregiondeskofficerswhomixfunctionalexpertisewithareamonitoring.

Summingup,atthestrategicleveltheUNisexcessivelydependentonMemberstates, on information briefings from NGOs, and on a wide variety of deskofficersacrossmultiple functionalities. TheUNdoesnothaveaprofessionalintelligence(decision-support)cadreinanysenseoftheword,nordoesithavea tableoforganization forassuring thatall relevant information is collected,processed,analyzed,anddisseminatedtoallthosewhohaveaneedforbothfocused information and tailored intelligence (decision-support). A 2006summaryfromaDPKOperspectiveisonline.

TheSwedishmilitaryandIspeakofMultinational,Multiagency,Multidisciplinary,Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making (M4IS2). The Nordiccountrieshavelongpracticedfully-integratedNordic(fourcountry)operationalandintelligencecenters,andinrecentyearsbothBelgium,theNetherlands,andLuxembourg(BENELUX)andsomeoftheCentralAmericancountrieshavegiventhoughttoredirectingtheirtraining,equipping,andorganizinginamultinationaldirection.IntheUSA,whichisthemostover-extendednationaroundtheworld,therewasdiscussionin2008abouttheneedtorebalancetheinstrumentsofnationalpower,andmuchhasbeenmadeofthefactthatthemilitarycannotdo


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everythingalone,butnosubstantiveactionordecisionhasbeenforthcomingfromwithinCongressortheWhiteHouse.Therealityisthatnoneofthecivilianagencies less the US AgencyforInternationalDevelopment(AID)aredesignedto“surge”overseas,noneofthemreceiveproperintelligencesupportfromtheUS Intelligence Community, and hencewemust in one breath acknowledgeboth the need formultinationalmultidimensional peace operationsand the completeabsenceofany suitable tableoforganization,equipment, training,andfunding.

Theseminalpublicdocumentontheoriginof theJMAC isonline,and is thetext as planned for the remarks ofMajGen Patrick Cammaert, RN NL, thentheMilitary Advisor to the Secretary General, speaking to the internationalconferenceonpeacekeeping intelligenceat theSwedishMilitaryAcademy inDecember2004.Anumberofrelateddocumentsareavailableintheworkingfolder for a work in progress, INTELLIGENCE FOR PEACE: Multinational, Multifunctional Information-Sharing and Sense-Making.

The first reference we can find to JOC/JMAC being briefed to the GeneralAssemblyiswithintheremarksbyMr.Jean-MarieGuehenno,Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, on 20 October 2005. He says: “InresponsetoarequestbytheSpecialCommitteeforPeacekeepingOperations,acomprehensivepolicyonJointOperationsandJointMissionAnalysisCentres(JOC/JMAC)-isbeingdeveloped,buildingonbestpracticesfromthefieldandincoordinationwiththenewDepartmentforSafetyandSecurity.”

ThebestavailablepublicreferenceonaJMACinoperationasintendedisDr.WalterDorn’s Intelligence-ledPeacekeeping:TheUnitedNationsStabilizationMissioninHaiti(MINUSTAH),2006-07,aspublishedinIntelligence and National Security(24/6,December2009).

ThebelowappearsasFigure1inthatwork.Dr.Dornhasconfirmedthat“Cell”(intheoriginal)wasaneditingoversight,allJMACsareCentres.


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Figure 10. UN Joint Military Operational Centre in Haiti

Thedistinctionbetween JOCand JMAC isemergent, thefirstbeingcommonto those information-coordination units that serve a UNMission comprisedpredominantlyofspecializedagencies,whilethelatterismoreoftenassociatedwithpredominantlymilitarypeacekeepingoperationssuchasintheCongoandHaiti.Earlierexperiments,suchastheCivil-MilitaryOperationsCenter(CMOC),alsoinHaiti,shouldalsobestudied.Dr.Dornhasconfirmedtheyare“standard”forallUNmissions,andthepolicearewellintegrated.


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AJOCorJMACisnothingwithoutcollectionandprocessingcapabilities,solidmulti-lingualandmulti-culturalanalytictalent,andinsightfulleadershipabletoassurethetimelycreationandpresentationofdecision-support.

Figure 11. Information-Gathering from Permitted to Prohibited

The above first appeared in The Cloak and the Blue Beret: Limitations onIntelligenceinUNPeacekeeping,chapter19inPEACEKEEPING INTELLIGENCE: Emerging Concepts for the Future. His earlier article Intelligence and Peacekeeping: The UN Operation in the Congo, 1960-1964 remains the best exposition of how to use intelligence as the foundation for successfulpeacekeeping.Dr.DornupdatedtheabovefortheforthcomingOxfordHandbook on National Security Intelligence(LochJohnson,Ed.,March2010release)andshared theupdated version above via electronicmail. Beforemovingon to


35

addressthelargerstrategicchallenge(thefragmentationofknowledgeamongthe eight intelligence tribes) and the proposed solution (a UNOpen-SourceDecision-Support InformationNetworkorUNODIN), IwanttoemphasizetherolethatRequirementsDefinitionplaysinassuringearlywarningthatenablespeaceful preventive measures, and 360 degree situational awareness thatoptimizestheapplicationofbothstabilization&reconstructionassistance,andpeaceenforcementattheneighborhoodlevelofgranularity.

Requirements Definition is easily one-third of the process and formula forgetting it right in the intelligence (decision-support) arena. The other two-thirdsareCollection&ProcessingManagement,andtheintegrationofAnalysis&Decision-Supportashuman-to-humanengagement.

Wearewasting$75billiondollarsayearintheUSA—moneythatcouldbeusedtomuchgreatereffectcreatingUNODINandharmonizinghowtheWestandNorthofferonetrillionayearinaidtothefivebillionpoorattheitemlevelofgranularity—becausetheUSsecretworlddoesnotdorequirementsdefinition,isnotheldaccountableforitsignorance,andisbeingallowedtogetawaywithspendinginputsratherthanprovidingoutputs.

RequirementsDefinitionisfundamentalateverylevelofanalysis,asisintegrity.ThestarkestexampleofthisinrecentmemoryisthejuxtapositionoftheBush-CheneyWhiteHouseandtheneo-conservativeideologuesnotunderstanding the Sunni-Shi’ite divide in Iraq, or the regional implications of the PakistaninuclearSunnicombinedwiththeSaudiArabianWahhabiSunnibeingagainsttheIranianShi’ites;withtheirtotallackofintegrityintelling935documentedliestothepublic,Congress,theUN,andtheworldintheirmarchtoanelectivewarandlong-termoccupationofIraq.

Perhapsmoretothepoint—andamajorreasonwhytheworldneedsapublicintelligencecapability—istobeabletomusterthecombinationofpublicethicsandpublicknowledgetoputacompletestoptothismadnessthathascostoverthree trillion dollars.Stoppingwarandwagingpeacestartswithrequirementsdefinition.


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Below are themajor domains included in the Expeditionary AnalysisModel developedby theMarineCorps IntelligenceCenter (MCIC)when theMarineCorps found that it could not get what it needed from either the nationalintelligence community or the other military service intelligence centers.

Environment:5FathomLine

Environment:Culture

Environment:KeyFacilities

Environment:Maps&Charts

Environment:NEORange

Environment:Terrain

Environment:Weather

Threat:Air

Threat:CNBC

Threat:Drugs

Threat:GrayArms

Threat:Ground

Threat:Naval

Threat:Terrorism

Figure 12: Expeditionary Requirements Definition

Allofthis iseasilyunderstoodinthedocumentation,andintwoarticlesthatexplorewhat reality means to the MarineCorps and to the US Navy. Whatisworth noting above, as simple as thismodelwas, is that fully half of therequirementshadnothingtodowiththe“threat”butinsteadfocusedontheenvironment—onactuallyunderstandingthetotality ofthechallenge.

AlthoughweincludedCultureandusedLanguageandReligionassub-sets,wedidnot focusonHistorynordidwedowhat I andothers learned laterwasvitallyimportant,whichistomaptheTribesintime(history)andspace.

Arecurrentthemethroughoutthisbookistheurgencyofclarity,diversity,andintegrityifwearetoachievesustainability.

Wemustaspiretoclarityratherthanobscurityandtheliesthatkillourown;wemustrevelin—deeply,earnestlyappreciate—diversityofviewandform;andwemustaspiretointegrityinallthings—notjustintegrityofhonorbutintegrityofattentiontodetailandeveryaspectofassuringthattheWholeSystemfeedbackloopsarerunningclean—allofthem,allofthetime.


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Chapter 5The Fragmentation of Knowledge Among Eight Intelligence Tribes

We will begin with a short overview of System Dynamics, the essentialfoundationforinteractingwithanyWholeSystemsuchastheWholeEarth.

FirstOrderSystemsare“root”fortheWholeSystem.Thefirstchallengeistoidentifythediscretefirstordersystem;thesecondchallengeistoanalyzeitintermsoftime,energy,consumption,andreactions.

FirstOrder Systems consume and react—what Buckminster Fuller called thetime-energy calculation or Critical Path. How long it takes for a FirstOrderSystemreactiontobegin,peak,andcompleteisveryimportant,asisthematterofhowmuchenergyitconsumesorcreates.

SecondOrder Systems are the simplest systems that exhibit oscillations andovershoot.Secondorderbehaviorispartofthebehaviorofhigherordersystemsandunderstandingsecondordersystemshelpsyoutounderstandhigherordersystems.Atthispointthesystemelementisnotisolated.

SystemModelsarethemeansbywhichwerelateobservedanddeliberatelycollecteddatatoassumptionsandhypothesesaboutthesystem.Thepurposeof modeling is to be able to convert a mix of data inputs and contrivedrelationshipssoastopredicttransformations among systems.

Tobeeffectivestewardsofanything,wemustunderstandallsystemsinrelationtooneanother,allofthetime.


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ThesimplestWholeEarthmodelthatisbothunderstandableandusefulisthatprovidedbyDonellaMeadows,JorgenRanders,andDennisMeadowsinLimits to Growth.

Thevariablestheyexaminedwereworldpopulation,industrialization,pollution,foodproductionandresourcedepletion.

Itisimportanttoemphasizethattheirfocuswasonthesustainabilityofhumanitywithin the largerWholeEarthcomplex thatwestilldonotunderstand. The Resilient Earthdoesnotneedus,buttheCosmosmightappreciateourcomingofagewithIntegral Consciousness achieved through Conscious Evolution aided byRevolutionary Activism.

This book accepts as a premise that humanity is intended to evolve alongcultural lines so as to achieve Non-Zero“win-win”solutions,thatweinhabitaLiving Universe,andthatthereisamarvelousemergenceoneauthordescribesas Holistic Darwinism: Synergy, Cybernetics, and the Bioeconomics of Evolution.

Morerecently—andourfinalpreliminarybeforegettingintothefragmentationof knowledge andwhy itmatters—two seminal works have been publishedthatareofthemostextraordinaryimporttoourfuturepreciselybecausetheyprovidethebeginningofaStrategicAnalyticModelthatwillallowusto“get a grip.”

Thefirst,discussedinChapter1,isthe2004contributionoftheUNHigh-LevelPanel on Threats, Challenges, and Change, and their report,A more secure world: our shared responsibility.

Thesecond,apersonaleffortbyagiftedinternationalist,J.F.Rischard,isHIGH NOON: 20 Global Problems, 20 Years to Solve Them. Published in 2002, itemphasizessix issuesrelatedtoourplanet;sixrelatedtohumanity’ssurvivalandsustainability;andeight issuessurroundinghowwecreateasharedrulebookorgovernancesystem—herecommendsglobalissuenetworks.

Withthatpreamble,wewillnowexaminethefragmentationofknowledgethathasmadeitimpossibleforhumanitytoachieveitsfullpotential.

THE FRAGMENTATION OF KNOWLEDGE AMONG EIGHT INTELLIGENCE TRIBES

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BelowisamapcreatedbyDickKlavensandBradAshton,alsoauthorsofKeeping Abreast of Science and Technology: Technical Intelligence for Business.

In 2002 they addressed the how (Technology Mapping) and the future(Hotspots).Thebelowillustrationwasprovidedinpersonalcommunications.Theirwebsite,MapsofScience,iswellworthvisiting.

Figure 13. Web of Fragmented Knowledge

Theabove includestheHumanities. This renditionwascreatedfora lecture in British Columbia. Completely apart from the fragmentation of knowledgeduetotheconstantdemandfordifferentiationthatdrivesmicro-specialization,there is also the politicizationofscience and the politicizationofreligion.


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Cultural Intelligence is in its infancy, in part because science buried thehumanities and social science remained an intellectual runt in the litter ofacademia.WhiletheWesthasstudieditscore“great ideas,”theWesthasnotstudiedthosesameideasintheEast,andhasnoideawhattheculturalidentityisofthethousandsoftribesthatcrossartificialboundarieswithease.

Below is an Information Operations (IO) cube constructed for use in theclassroom.WholeSystemscannotbeunderstoodbysciencealone,humanitiesalone,orreligionalone.

Figure 14. Information Operations Cube

THE FRAGMENTATION OF KNOWLEDGE AMONG EIGHT INTELLIGENCE TRIBES

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Itmeritsemphasisthattoday,despitespending$75billionayearonall thatitdoes,theUSIntelligenceCommunity(USIC)isincapableofprocessingmorethan5%ofwhatitcollects,andincapableofcollectingthe85%orsothatisnotsecret,notexpensive,notonline,andnotinEnglishbutratherin183languageswedonotspeak.

Thefragmentationofknowledgeisoneobstacle,whileanotheristheisolationof the eight tribes of intelligence, depicted in the figure below. This wascreatedbytheauthorindiscussionwithAlvinTofflerwhiledrivingawayfromalunchwithDefenseIntelligenceAgency(DIA)seniorofficers.StartingwiththerealizationthattheDIA“leaders”wantedtostayrootedinsidetheirlittleolivedrabgreenbox,wethenaddedtheotherpiecestoillustratefragmentation.

Figure 15. Original Toffler-Steele Reaction to DIA Lunch


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ItismyviewthattheUNcanandshouldaspiretobetheserviceofcommonconcern for multinational multifunctional information-sharing and sense-makingacrossallboundaries.

The fragmentation of knowledge, and the gap betweenpeoplewith power andpeoplewith knowledge, is the rootcauseofouruniversalfailuretodealresponsiblywiththetenhigh-levelthreatstohumanity.

Isaidthisin1997,writingfortheUSInstituteofPeaceConferenceonVirtualDiplomacy, inVirtual Intelligence: Conflict Avoidance and Resolution through Information Peacekeeping

In an age characterized by distributed information,where themajority of the expertise is in the private sector, the conceptof “central intelligence “ is an oxymoron, and its attendantconcentration on secrets is an obstacle to both nationaldefense,andglobalpeace.Theunderlyingthreattopeaceandprosperity—the cause of causes—is the ever-widening chasmbetween policymakers with power, and private sector expertsandparticipantswithknowledge.Neitherclassifiedinformationnor information technology alone can bridge this gap—butboth can make a positive contribution if they are managedwithin a larger information strategywhich focuses on contentaswellasconnectivity,andenablespolicymakerstodrawuponthe expertise available in the private sector. We thus requirea strategy to create a “virtual intelligence community” ableto both inform governance, and also carry out a new kind ofvirtual diplomacy, “information peacekeeping”. Informationpeacekeepingcanhelpavoidandresolveconflict,andrepresentstheconceptual,technical,andpracticalfoundationforsuccessfulvirtualdiplomacy—virtualintelligence“is”virtualdiplomacy.

The next chapter addressesmy strategic vision of how theUN can leverageinformationasasubstituteforwealth,violence,capital,labor,space,andtime,an understanding inspired by Alvin Toffler’s book, Powershift–Knowledge, Wealth, and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century(Bantam,1991).


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Chapter 6An Alternative Construct:

UN Open-Source Decision-Support Information Network (UNODIN)

Atthestrategiclevelthesinglemostimportantconcepttounderstand—onethatJ.F.RischardclearlyarticulatedinhisdiscussionofGlobalIssueNetworkswithinHIGH NOON: 20 Global Problems, 20 Years to Solve Them—istheterminationoftop-downcommand&control(C2)asthepredominantmodeoforganizinghumanactivity.

The two concepts of organization that replace Industrial-Era or Weberian“bureaucracy”areEpochBLeadership,aconceptdevisedbyJonasSalkinhisbook,World Population and Human Values—A New Reality;andOpenSpaceTechnology(OST),aconceptdevisedbyHarrisonOwen.

ThethirdconceptisthatofOpenSourceIntelligence(OSINT).

ThefirsttwoabovecametogetherformeinthecontextofreadingTomAtlee’sThe Tao of Democracy–Using Co-Intelligence to Create a World That Works for AllandthenexploringawiderangeofbookonCollectiveIntelligence.Tomhasbeenthesinglemostimportantinfluenceinmyevolutionawayfromtryingtohelpspiesmakebetteruseofopensourcesofinformation,andtowardfocusinginsteadonhelpingthepubliccreatepublic intelligence inthepublic interest.ItwasTomwhohelpedmeunderstand thatourNativeAmerican forbearerspracticed what they called “Seventh Generation” decision-making—to wit,actively considering how any decision might impact seven generations into


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thefuture.ThebookCOLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace laidthefoundationforthisbook,alongwithmyearlierworks,bothpublished in2006, THE SMART NATION ACT: Public Intelligence in the Public Interest(2006);andINFORMATION OPERATIONS: All Information, All Languages, All the Time.

Belowismyownconstructcreatedinthe1990’sasIstudiedwhatmightbetheoppositeofthedysfunctionalsystemnowusedbymostcountries,corporations,internationalorganizations(IO),andnon-governmentalorganizations(NGO).

Figure 16. Revolution in Human Affairs & Human Leadership

AN ALTERNATIVE CONSTRUCT:UN OPEN-SOURCE DECISION-SUPPORT INFORMATION NETWORK (UNODIN)

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A concept that I have encountered only recently is that of Panarchy–Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems, which boilsdown to everyone representing themselves all the time, and being a fullparticipant in an infinite number of local to global information-sharing andsense-makingnetworks. Imagineahumanmosaic inwhichallhumanshaveaccesstoallinformationallthetime,andcomprise,intheaggregate,aWorldBrain.

Theessenceoftheprecedingisthatofbottom-upconsensualleadership,i.e.instead of top-down command & control we substitute universal suffrage,universalparticipatorybudgeting(moreonthatinChapter23),andcompletelytransparentaccesstoallrelevantinformationallthetime.Thisnotonlyallowsforinformeddecisions,butforsustainabledecisionsaswell.

There is urgentneed for anewmeansof self-governance that can fully andcontinuouslyharnessthediversityofhumaninterestsandcapabilities.WeareintheInformationEra,buttheUNanditsMemberStatesarestill“dumb”andunabletoharnessthedistributedintelligenceoftheWholeEarth. Humanityurgentlyneedssomeformofglobalunifiedarchivesystemwithoutthecurrent“topdown”partitioningandaccessrestrictions,suchthatallorganizationsandindividualscancontributetheirknowledgetoacreativecommonsthatleavesnoknowledgesidelines,andnofraudundiscovered.

WorldInformationSummitsandGlobalKnowledgeSummitshavenotaddressedthe core need: to connect all human minds with one another and with allinformationinalllanguages.TheUNanditsMemberscannotbeeffectiveinthisnewerawithoutcreatingaUnited Nations Open-Source Decision-Support Information Network (UNODIN)thatis“Open”ineverypossiblesenseoftheword (usingopensourcesoftwareandopenspectrum,creatingopensourceintelligence), and that allows the harmonization of what the public knows,does,andfunds.

DespitethepassionatedesireofsometoturntheUNintoa“WorldGovernment”the reality is that Copenhagenwasafatalstakeintheheartofboththeconcept


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oftheUNasamanagerofanything,andtheconceptofUNscienceasanythingotherthananoxymoron.

Recognizingmuchofthisinthe2006timeframe,IfundedthecreationoftheEarthIntelligenceNetwork(EIN),todayacertified501c3PublicCharity.Atthesametime,buildingonlegislativeconceptsdiscussedwithbothCongressmanRobSimmons(R-CT-02)andtheUSSpecialOperationsForcesandmostespeciallytheCivilAffairselementof Special Forces, a SmartNation– SafeNationActoutlinewasdeveloped,andabookbuiltaroundit,THE SMART NATION : Public Intelligence in the Public Interest

TheintentofthedraftlegislationistofacilitatetheemergenceofUNODIN.

Twenty-three others joined me refining my earlier reflections and devisingimplementationideasthatIpresentinthisbook.WehavealreadyofferedthisinformationtotheSecretaryGeneral(SG)oftheUNintheformofaletterandtwo-pagememorandum.

A singleWorld Brain Institutewith an infinitely-scalable onlineGlobalGame(actually a Participatory Planning and Budgeting System at all levels ofgovernance) can be implemented immediately at a cost of under Euro $12millionayear,withthealmostcertainprospectofbeingself-fundedwithinthreeyearsbysellingverylow-costsubscriptionstotheonebillionrich,enablingfreeaccess to thefivebillionpoor. TheWorldBrain andaGlobalGamearenotnewideas—whatisnewisthecombinationofthedesperateneedforreliable“wholesystems”analytics,andthe immediateavailabilityof informationandcommunicationtechnologies(ICT)tomeetthatneed.

This program, under UN auspices, would encourage regions to establishRegional Information-Sharing and Sense-Making Networks, andMembers tocreatenationalcallcentersharnessingtheeighttribesof intelligenceineachcountry (academic, civil society, commerce, government, law enforcement,media,military,andnon-governmentalornon-profit)andabletoeducatethepoor“onecellcallatatime.”


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TheUN could ask for US funding of anOffice of the Assistant Secretary forDecision-Support, and create an Office of Information-Sharing Treaties andAgreementsat thesametime. AStrategicAnalyticModelhasbeendevisedalongwithaconceptforextendingtheprovenconceptofParticipatoryBudgetingwhileharnessingallinterestedhumanstodigitize“truecost”informationonallproducts,services,andbehaviors.

This isa self-healingself-learningsystemwithanopenethic thatguaranteesintegritywithtransparency.WithintheGlobalGame,aGlobalRangeofNeedsTable can connect the one billion richwith the item-level needs of the fivebillionpoor,toincludefreecellsphonesconnectingthepoortoknowledge.

A(UN)WorldIntelligenceCentrewasfirstproposedbyQuincyWrightin1957,this now-achievable program will ride the emergent wave of evolutionaryactivismthatcanpotentiallybypassblockingindustrial-erabureaucraciesandenablethepoortocreateinfinitestabilizingwealth.TheUNcanbecometheadministrator of theWorld Brain andGlobalGame, and in thiswayharnessthedistributedintelligenceoftheWholeEarthwhilehelpingallachievegloballearning.

ClimateGateandIraqarethetwomostrecentexampleswherethelackofworldaccesstopublicintelligenceembarrassedtheUNleadershipandMembers.Inthefirstcaseasmallminorityofscientists,roughly50innumber,hijackedtheissue,manipulatedthedata,suppresseddissentingopinion,andhelpedcreateafraudulentmarketplaceforCarbontrades.

ItishelpfulatthispointtooutlineinconcisetermsthenatureofOSINTandthedifferencebetweenOSINTand themuchbroaderplayingfield,OpenSourceInformation(OSIF)thatmostmis-representatOSINT.

OSINT isdecision-support: tailored intelligencerelevanttoaspecificdecisionbyaspecificdecision-makerordecision-makingbody.OSIFiseverythingelse,broadcast,broadlyshared,genericinnature.


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OSIFisanyinformationthatcanbeobtainedlegallyandethically.Itisnotlimitedto published information, indeed a great deal of the historical, cultural, andcontextualknowledgethatweneedtoaccessmustbeelicitedfromhumans,bothdirectobserversandsubject-matterexperts.

There are a number of core referencesonOSINT andOSIF that capture theessenceformanagersandleaders,Ilistthemhere.

• TheFutureofOSINT[isM4IS2-Multinational]• 2008OpenSourceIntelligence(Strategic)• 2008OpenSourceIntelligence(Operational)• 2004SpecialOperationsForcesOSINTHandbook(Strawman)• 2000-2002NATOOSINTHandbooks

IfaWorldBrainInstitutewithanembeddedGlobalGameexisted,theSGwouldbeabletoseeonalargedisplayavisualizationofallscientistsaswellaspublicleadersand their relativeposition—asingle institutionwouldnotbeable tomisleadtheSG.AtthesametimetheSGandMemberswouldhavetwootherbenefits:

ClimateChangewouldbepresentedinrelationtoALLtenthreatstohumanityand in relation to all twelve core policies (Agriculture, Diplomacy, Economy,Education, Energy, Family, Health, Immigration, Justice, Security, Society,Water).Itwouldbeunderstood,inthiscontext,thatthesocialharmtotheUNgoalsoferadicatingpovertyandinfectiousdiseaseisgreaterthanthebenefitofreducingcarbonemissioninthepoorestofcountries,andthemisrepresenteddatacouldbeseen.

Inthesecondinstance,itisnowclearthattheUSandUKdecisionstoinvadeboth IQ andAFwere based on ideologically-defined policy preferences, andcompletelyrefutedbybothsecretandpublicdecision-support.IntheUSthoseofuspreparedtopay$100,000forfull-pageinformationadvertisementsagainstthewarsawourmoneyrefusedbyacaptivepress.WithintheUN,therewasno


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competingvoicearmedwithpublicinformationtorefutetheliespresentedtotheUNbytheUSAdministration.

IfaWorldBrainInstitutewithanembeddedGlobalGameexisted,theSGwouldbeabletoseeonalargedisplayavisualizationofallleaders(notjustpoliticalbut religious, economic, and academic) and their relative position—a singlegovernmentwouldnotbeabletomisleadtheSG.AtthesametimetheSGandMemberswouldhavetwootherbenefits:

1. The “true cost” of both the Iraq and the Afghanistan invasions could beproperlypresentedtoallMembersandtheirpublics,andarichharvestofmulti-culturalperspectivesfactoredin—theUSleadersforexample,wereunawareoftheSunni-Shi’itesplitinIraq,ortheimplicationsofthePakistanSunninuclearbomb in relation to the Iranian effort to create a nuclear deterrent againstSunnis,nottheUSorIsrael.

2. The legitimate planning concerns of the diplomats and the commercialspecialists,aswellastheUSmilitaryofficerssuchastheChiefofStaffoftheArmywhoknew fullwell the instability that canoccur fromgoing in “light,”could have been properly acknowledged, and amulti-nationalmulti-culturalcampaignplandeveloped to leverage theGoldenHour so as not to lose the peace.

TheWorld Brain Institute andGlobalGame are themeans bywhich the SGleveragesthemoralandpracticalvalueofOpenEverything,makingitpossibletohearallvoices,tonurtureappreciativeinquiryanddeliberativedialogatalllevels, and to achieve truth& reconciliation across failed stateswhosepoorcanbeempoweredwithcellphoneconnectivityandeducation“oncellcallatatime,”soastocreateinfinitestabilizingwealthin situ.

HereweoutlinethethreeelementsthattheUNcaninspire—iftheUSAwillnotpayforitbypassingtheSmartNation–SafeNationAct—weasagroupbelievethatBrazil,China,India,Indonesia,Russia,Venezuela,andWildCardssuchas


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Malaysia,SouthAfrica,andTurkey—couldbeengagedintheoneinitiativelikelytoassuretheirfutureprosperityaswellasgeneralpeace.

TheWorld Brain Institute (WBI) is envisioned as a single international non-governmental organization that is responsible for promulgating standards,sources,andmethodsnurturingofConscious Evolution,Integral Consciousness,Holistic Darwinism, and Non-Zero Development. Below are elements of aproposedPhDprogramwiththeintentionofachievingwhatE.O.WilsoncallsConsilience–the Unity of Knowledge.

• Accounting,Statistics,&TrueCostForensics• Administration&OrganizationalDesign• Anthropology&Sociology• Co-Creation&Co-IntelligenceMethods&Tools• CollectiveIntelligence&CognitiveScience• CommercialIntelligenceSources&Methods• CulturalIntelligenceSources&Methods• Decision-SupportSources&Methods• GlobalGame&SeriousGamesforChange• EarthSciences&Economics• EmergingMarkets&Bottom-UpCapitalism• Ethnobiology&ForeignStudies• Faith-BasedDiplomacy• GeospatialDesign,Science,&Technologies• GlobalGiftIntelligenceSources&Methods• HealthIntelligenceSources&Methods• HumanCognition&EvolutionaryPsychology• InformationOperations• Innovation&AppliedTechnologies• PeaceIntelligenceSources&Methods• TheoryofChange,Paradigms,&Revolution


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TheWorld Brain Institute serves as ameans of achieving voluntary genericcompetencyamongallindividuals,organizations,andMemberStatesthatwishtoparticipateinstrivingtoachieveaprosperousworldatpeace.

The secondelementofouralternativeconstruct is aMultinationalDecision-SupportCentre(MDSC),ideallyembeddedwithinwhatIhopewillonedaybeanationalOpenSourceAgency(OSA)suchasrecommendedonpages23and413ofthe9-11CommissionReport.

Figure 17. Open Source Agency (OSA) Documented as a Need

Underdiplomaticandcivilaffairsauspicesinsteadofwithinthesecretworld,theOSAisanessentialfoundationforthepracticeofM4IS2.


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TheNordicCommunity(Denmark,Finland,Norway,Sweden)hasdisplacedtheCanadiansasthethirtypartyofchoicefordirectsupporttoUNpeacekeepingintelligence. Thismaybe inpartbecause theCanadians are toodependentonUS secret intelligence and have no global capability of their own; and inpart because the Nordics combine two essential perceptions: first, a deepappreciation for OSINT, and second, a deep appreciation and long-standingpracticeofparticipatinginmultinationaloperationsandintelligencecenters.

TheUSAlostamajoropportunitywhenitallowedtheCoalitionCoordinationCenter (CCC) within the US Central Command (USCENTCOM) to evaporate.Although all were briefed on the opportunity to convert this logisticscoordinationcenterintoanM4IS2facility,theUSchainofcommand did not at thetimehaveanappreciationforthepossibilities.BelowisadepictionofhowanMDSCwouldsupporttheUNandallothers.

Figure 18: Multinational Decision-Support Centre (MDSC)


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TheCentre,leveragingboththefinancialandtheglobalreachcapabilitiesoftheOSA,whosefundingisanticipatedtobebetweenUS$2billionandUS$4billionayear,allowstheCentretoaddress,inoneholisticcapability,theneedsoffourimportantconstituencies,threeofwhomofferquid pro quopossibilities:

US (Secret) Intelligence Community. Seven “rules”havebeenset forth, themostimportanttwoofwhichare1)thesecretworldgetseverythingfromtheopensourceworldinstantly;and2)inreturnforwhich,thesecretworldhasnoauthorityoverwhatwedowiththeoriginalopensourceinformation.

US Government. Although “Whole of Government,” “Rebalancing theInstruments of National Power,” and “soft power” have come into voguesince2008,nooneisactuallyprovidingtheunclassifiedintelligence(decision-support) needed to realize these concepts in practice. Although the non-militarized elements of theUSGovernmentwould receive priority from theOSA,byextensionthiswouldalsosupportallothergovernmentsparticipatingineachmultinationalplanning,programming,andbudgetingdomain.

National Hubs. Bothbecause the fundingwouldbe redirected from theUSmilitary, and because themilitary inmost nations, including theUSA, is themostorganized,disciplined,and responsiveelementof thegovernment,EINhasproposedthat theMDSCfundamilitary-centered“hub” ineachcountrywith the intent of establishing two-way reach-back that embraces the eightintelligence tribes in each country—themilitary and academia, civil society,commerce,government,lawenforcement,media,andNGOs.

UN/NGO. Finally, and addressing the now established needs for creating arobustglobalcapabilitytodoStabilization&Reconstruction(S&R)Operations withamultiplicityoforganizations,manynotmilitaryandmostnotatallabletoreceiveclassifiedintelligence(decision-support),theMDSCwouldbecomethe globalmultinational operations and intelligence center for providingon-demandstrategic,operational, tactical,and technical intelligencetoanyS&Rmissionanywhere.Thiswouldbothincreasethechancesofsuccessforsuchendeavors,anddramaticallyreducetheneedfordirectUSintervention.


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FinallywecometotheideaofaCenterforPublicIntelligence(CPI)dedicatedtocreatingpublicintelligenceinthepublicinterest.WhereastherewouldonlybeoneWBI,therecanbeaninfinitenumberofcentersforpublicintelligence.

The operational, tactical, and technical details are discussed throughout thebalanceofthisbook.HereweonlyneedtosaythattheconceptofUNODINisexplicitlyuniversal,seekingtoembraceandexploitthedistributedintelligenceoftheWholeEarth,withaparticularappreciationfordiversitysoastoachieveholisticappreciationsthataresustainable.

ThehumanbrainistheoneinfiniteresourcewehaveandthereforeUNODINvia the WBI will promulgate Free/Open Source Software (F/OSS); OpenSource Intelligence (OSINT) training, standards, and help desk facilities; andenableOpenSpectrumexploitationsuchthatlocalcommunicationsandlocalinformation-sharingandsense-makingcanbeinfrastructureindependent,thusassuringresilienceofthewhole.

WithintheUN“System”therewouldbenochangeinpersonnel,procedures,orfundinguntilUNODINisfullyestablishedandalloftheUNSystemelementsarebothfullparticipantsintheinformation-sharingaspectsofUNODIN,andalsofullysatisfiedbeneficiariesoftheUNODINofferings

Hence,eachoftheUNelements,suchastheDPKOandOCHAaswellasthevaried specialized agencies, would retain their varied country or thematicactionofficers,butovertime,astheintelligence(decision-support)createdbyUNODINisabsorbedandleveraged,thoseactiveofficerswouldspendlesstimecollecting and analyzing information, and more time engaging in pro-activemultinationalcoordinationofplans,programs,budgets,andbehavior.


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Chapter 7Conclusions & Recommendations

Conclusions Recommendations

Forthefirsttimeinhistory,aHigh-LevelPaneloftrulyexpertindividualshasidentified,inpriorityorder,theten high-level threats to humanity.

Weshouldalladoptthisspecificsetoffindingsforuniversalaction.

TheUNhasthepotentialtoharnessthedistributedintelligenceoftheEightTribesandithasthepotentialto create a universal strategy that usesmultinationalinformation-sharingandsense-makingtocreateaprosperousworldatpeace.

TheUNneedstocreatetheOfficeoftheAssistantSecretaryGeneralforIntelligence(Decision-Support)assoonaspossible,evenifonlyoneperson,toprovideafocalpointforpursuingthisbook’ssuggestions.

TheUnitedNations(UN)Systemisnotasystematall,butitistheoneuniversally-acknowledgedglobalnetwork.

WecannotrelyontheUNtoleadus,butwecansupporttheUNandtreatit,withrespect,asastartingpoint.

TheUNlacksaStrategicAnalyticModel;itlacksastrategyforinformation-sharingandsense-making,andithasnointelligence(decision-support)capabilities.

Thereareeasilycorrectabledeficienciesprovidedthattheemphasisisonopensourcesandmethods,notonsecretsourcesandmethods.


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TheUNhasrecognized—butnotresolved—itsintelligence(decision-support)deficiencies.TheBrahmiReport,incombinationwiththeJOCandJMACindicativesinrecentyears,bodewellforthefuture.

TheUNshouldconveneaplanningforumtodiscusshowbesttoimplementalloftheBrahimiReportrecommendationsincombinationwiththerecommendationsinthisbook.

IftheUNfailstoaddressitsintelligence(decision-support)deficiencies,itwillcontinuetobeineffectiveatdevisingstrategicmandates,forcesstructures,andallotherprogramsofinterest.

TheUNleadershipshouldinviteallMembersStatesandUNelementstoconveneplanningforumstodiscusshowbesttocreateaUNOpen-SourceDecision-SupportInformationNetwork(UNODIN)

Therealityisthatknowledgeisdesperatelyfragmentedacrossmultipledisciplinaryanddomainboundaries,whileatthesametimethereareeighttribesofintelligence(decision-support)thatdonotshareinformationwithoneanother.

TheUNmustacquireanunderstandingoftheinformationterrain,appreciatethefragmentationofknowledge,anddeviseaplantounitetheeighttribesofintelligencesoastocreateacommonwealthofinformation.

Arevolutioningloballeadershipisunderway,onethatdisplacesthetop-down“command&control”structuresofthepast.

The UN should strive to understand andthenadapttothe2.0,3.0,and4.0socialchangenetworksthatareemergentandgrowing.

Arevolutioninintelligenceaffairshasbeenemergentfortwenty-oneyears.The9-11CommissionrecommendationofanOpenSourceAgency(OSA)istheculminationof21yearsofeffort—butOSAmustbediplomatic,notpartofthesecretworld.

TheUN—anditsMemberStates—woulddowelltounderstandtheundercurrentsinUSintelligence—anenormousadvantageforpeaceandprosperitycanbeachievedifUNODINandtheOSAproceedsidebysidetocreatepublicintelligenceinthepublicinterest.


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Part II

OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE—INTEGRITYMultinationalMultifunctionalRegional

Centers&Networks

Part II consists of seven chapters addressing the global operational contextwithinwhichIproposethattheUNanditsMemberStates—andallEightTribesofintelligence—creatingregionalnetworkswithinwhichtoshareinformationandcontributethediversityofviewthatisessentialtogettingagrasponthetruthatanycost—doingsoreducesallothercostsand createsaprosperousworldatpeace.

This part of the book emphasizes INTEGRITY in the sense that BuckminsterFullerintended—thepurityofinformationfeed-backloopsamongallelementsso thatwe can avoid overshoot and over-reaction (a typical problemwithinIndustrial-Erastove-pipedorganizationswherethechiefexecutiveofficersarebufferedfromrealitybyspecialinterestsandsycophantsaroundthem).

In my view, regional information-sharing integrity is easier to achieve thatglobalinformation-sharingintegrity,andlogically,nationalinternalinformation-sharing integrity is easier toachieve than regional.Hence,while the stratgicconstruct or architecture is that of UNODIN, the substance of information-sharing is“bottom-up.”Thefirstcountrytobecomea“SmartNation”willbea “spike” whose immediate increased internal peace and prosperity will benoticedbyandspuronallothers.

While the top ten high-level threats to humanity have been identified, nooneotherthanEINhastakenthetroubletoblendfromamonganumberofpresidential-levelendeavorsthetwelvecorepoliciesthatmustbeharmonized,ortodeviseindetailtheinformation-sharingandsense-makingconstructsthat

OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE—INTEGRITY

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allowall stakeholders inanygivenregionto“getagrip”onrealityandworktogethertoeliminatecorruption,waste,andfraud.

Inthisportionofthebookweexamineoperational-levelconceptsintendedtofacilitateappreciativeinquiryanddeliberativedialogamongallstakeholders.

Secretsareafactoflife,sometimestheyareneeded,andasFigure2onpage9ofChapter1illustrates,IanticipatetheneedfortheUN,theregionalassociations,andotherstofocusaslittleas5%andasmuchas20%oftheirtime,attention,andresourcesonsecretsourcesandmethods.However,thedefaultisOpenEverything,andarelianceonopensourcesandmethodstothefullestextentpossible—andsothisbookconcludesinthefinalchapter.

Chapter 8. Operational Intelligence and Regional Policy Harmonization, inkeepingwith theover-all themeof this book, that theWorld Brainmust bean Epoch B or bottom-up convergence, discusses how the existing regionalorganizations can harmonize their policies and spending with a completelyvoluntaryapproachtomultinationalinformation-sharingandsense-making.

Chapter 9. State of the Regional Unions,focusesonthreeofthemostimportantregional organizations, the African Union (AU); the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation(SCO);andtheUnionofSouthAmericanCountries(UNASUR).

Chapter 10. Cultures of Catastrophe, Cheating, Conflict, & Conspiracy,addressesthesignificantobstacletoprogress,ourpathologicalcultures.

Chapter 11 Information Asymmetries and Data Pathologies, discusses asecondmajorobstacletoprogress,butonethatisimmediatelyaddressable.

Chapter 12. Revitalizing the Instruments of National Power,examineshowwemustmove fromexcessiveunilateral investments inwar to collaborativeinvestmentsinpeaceandprosperity,peacecostingonethirdthecostofwar.

Chapter 13. An Alternative Construct: Regional Centers & Networks,outlinesthespecificsofneededregionalnetworks,withanemphasisonAfrica,CentralAsia,andSouthAmerica.

Chapter 14. Conclusions and Recommendations,sumsupthispart.


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Chapter 8Operational Intelligence and

Regional Policy Harmonization

Thisbookrecognizestherealityoftheenormousdividesthatexist.InPartIIIwewilladdressTacticalIntelligenceandparticularlyDiversity.ThispartofthebookfocusesonthemiddlegroundbetweenstrategicrecognitionthatWemustbeOneifwearetoprosperwithintheclosedcirclecalledEarth;andthetacticalrealityofimperfectunderstandingandimperfectmotivesinconflict.Hereweseektounderstandtheartandscienceof thepossibleat the intersectionofregions,culture,information,andinstrumentsofnationalpower.

Apart from theUNandmajor global international organizations such as theInternationalCommitteeoftheRedCross(ICRC),thenextsignificantunitofbothoperationsandanalysisistheregionalpoliticalorganization.Ourobjectiveistoputforwardthreesimpleconceptsthatcanbeactualizedatthenationallevel,attheregionalorsub-regionallevel(e.g.NorthAfrica),andatthetrans-regionallevel(e.g.SouthAmericaandAfrica,CentralAsiaandCaucasiaortheCaucasus,aswellasbi-laterally—theTurkey-Iranaxislooksenormouslyinterestinginthenear-term,andhasnotbeenproperlystudiedbytheWest.

The essence of our approach to the operational challenge of harmonizingregionalpoliciesistobeginwithananalyticmodelthatisneutral—nothingmorethanaframeworkwithinwhichtoassociatedata;withaconceptforaccessingall relevant informationandbeingabletoshare itandmakesenseof it;andfinally,withavoluntaryregionalfinancialinformationframeworkforoptimizingspending,reducingwaste,andenhancingregionalpeaceandprosperity.


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The contribution made by the UN High-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges,andChange in identifying andprioritizing the tenhigh-level threats to all ofhumanitycannotbeover-stated.Withoutthatasastartingpoint,nothingelseinthisbookwouldhavebeenpossible.

InspiredbytheHigh-LevelPanel’scontribution,IfundedEIN’sstart-upandwith23otherscreatedtheanalyticmodelthatisdepictedbelow.

Figure 19. Analytic Matrix for Regional Policy Harmonization

OnthenextpageIexplainhowwearrivedatthetwelvepoliciesandeightmajorplayersthatwilldeterminethefutureofhumanityonEarth.

Withthethreatsestablished,intheorythewisemenandwomenoftheentityresponsibleforprotectingthegivencommonwealthwoulddevisea“strategy”

OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE AND REGIONAL POLICY HARMONIZATION

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thatintheorytakesintoaccountthemeans(revenues),thenorchestratestheways(ordefinesnewwaysthatmustbedevisedatcostovertime),andfinallydirectsa“campaign”inwhichalltheinstrumentsofnationalpower—andalliedpower—areusedtoachievetheendsbeingsought.

With considerable influence from the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) of theUSArmy,whichholdsanannualUSArmyStrategyConference,Irealizedthatnooneisdoingstrategyproperly,inpartbecausetheysimplydonothaveananalyticmodeloraninformation-sharingandsense-makingcapacity.Irealizedwehadtocreatethat,startingwiththeidentificationof“core”policydomains.Weusedthe“MandateforChange”volumes,bothpublishedandonline,fromthepastfivepresidentialtransitionstomakeourselection.Putclearly,isolatingcorepolicydomainscomesbeforestrategydevelopment.

Twelve Core Policy Domains

There are twelve policies that must be managed together. It makes nosensetoallowlandownerstosellwateraquifersthatarepartofournationalcommonwealth,ortousewaterwedon’thavetogrowgrainwedon’tneedtocreatefuelwhenwehavenaturalgasrighthere,rightnow.Belowaresnapshotsofeachofthetwelvepoliciesandwhytheymatter,butfirstwemustemphasizethat thedebt, not just thedevaluationof the currency and the total lossofallqualityof lifegains fromthemiddleclassdownto theverypoor,but thehuge$8trilliondollardebtandthe$40trillionandupknownfutureunfundedobligations,isa“policy”decisionthatisirresponsibleandmustbeoverturned.While couched in terms specific to theUSA (this informationappears in thechapteron“TheSubstanceofGovernance”inELECTION 2008: Lipstick on the Pig),itisinherentlyinternationalistinnature.

01 Agriculture is historically the most Jeffersonian foundation for ourcommunitiesandoursociety.Weneedtoreturntolocalandorganic,familyandcommunityownedfarming,andwemustlearnfromourancestorsacrossthe Americas and practice deep root farming without pesticides. It meritscommentthatonlytwosustainableagriculturalmodelsexisttoday:theAmishmodel,andtheCubanmodel,bothwithoutpesticides.


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02 Diplomacy in the past sixteen years has disappeared as a profession.Betweenpolitically-appointedAmbassadors(ourAmbassadortoSwedenunderPresident Bill Clinton paid amere $15,000 for the job), and the conversionofourprofessionals intotimidmessengers rather than skilledobserversandinterpretersofforeignhistory,culture,andreality,wehavelostourabilitytounderstand,much less influence, the restof theworld. Weneed to restorediplomacy, restore the US Information Agency (USIA), and create a globalinformation-sharing and sense-making network that is multinational andcompetentinalllanguages.

03 EconomyisinseveredistressfromacombinationofChiefExecutiveOfficer(CEO)greed;irresponsibletradinginderivatives;financialmanagersskimmingafifthofthevaluefromthestockmarket;andthedestructionofunionsandexport of jobs. Wemust demand full employment of citizens, local supplychains,disclosureoftruecosts,andhigheror“living”wages.

04 Educationisbothdysfunctional,andinsufficient.TheChinesegraduatemorehonorstudentsthanourtotalhighschoolgraduationpopulation.Generation2.0isthefirstthatisnotlikeus,with“digitalnative”understandingwelack.Weneedteamlearning,learningtolearn,self-pacedonline,andapprenticeshipsinthetradesandprofessions.

05 Energy iscentral.We’veknownthissincethe1970’s,butCongress—andour Senators inparticular—chose to ignorebothPeakOilwarnings, and thereadyavailabilityof alternativeenergies includingwind, solar, hydrogen, sapethanolandmore recently,amoeba,bacteriaand termites. A two-waygrid,naturalcapitalism,biomimicry,andzerowasteareallachievablenow.Citizensneedtodemand,however,thatenergypolicynotbecreatedinisolationfromalltenthreatsandtheotherelevenpolicies.Asweshallseeinthenextsection,wemust,asaNationandasaplanet,makepolicythatrespectsthemassivedemographicinfluenceoftheEightChallengers.

06 Familyisthefoundationforanysocietyoffaith.WehavekilledthefamilyinourRepublicbyallowingtheindustrialeratodestroycottageindustry,familyfarms,andsmallshops—aWal-Martanywheredestroysallsmallshopsfor100to200milesaround.That’ssimplynotright.Ourfamilypolicyshouldenable


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one job (or twohalf-time jobs) to supporta family,andweshoulddovastlymore to build family-friendly neighborhoods with community centers. Likeenergy,familyshoulddemandarigorousevaluationofeverythreatandeverypolicyinrelationtoitsimpactonthefamilynowandsevengenerationsintothefuture.Familyiscentraltotheneighborhood,thecommunity,thechurch,andandthecountry.Itisanon-negotiablefirstplankthatimpactsonpopulationpolicy,healthpolicy,allofourinfrastructureandenergyarrangements,andsoon.Asgoesthefamily,sogoestheRepublic,andtheEarth.

07 Health isapublicgoodandalongwithFamily, thecore foundation forastrongpolitythatcannurtureandsustainastrongpopulationthatisbalancedacrossageandcapacity.Inmyview,andtightlyconnectedtothecollapseofeducationandthemediaaswellasthefamilyasahealthyunit,thehealthofourpopulationhas collapsed. Notonly is it nowdemonstrated that50%ofourexpendituresonhealthgotowaste,butthecosttosociety,tothefamily,and to the individual of poor health is well-neigh astronomical. Health is a4-partendeavor:healthylifestyle;healthyenvironment;naturaloralternativemedicine; and last, remedial hospitalization and pharmaceuticals. At aminimum, government canmandate the publicationof true costs to societyandtruecoststoheal,and imposetaxationwhilealsoofferingormandatinginsuranceincentives.Iwillnotarguehereforeitheruniversalhealthcoverageoruniversalservice,butdowanttomentionthreefacts:

a)Medicarefutureunfundedobligationsaswellascurrentcostscanbereducedtoonepercent(1%)oftheexistingtariffsbecausewecanlegallybuyallofthedrugswholesaleoverseasfor1%ofwhatwearepayingnow(atbest—10%ofwhatwepaynowisaworstcase).

b)Evidence-basedmedicine is coming to the foreat thesametimethatoursocietyisbeginningtoappreciatethesensibilityofTraditionalChineseMedicine(TCM)anditsIndia-basedcounterpart.

c)Universalservice,forbothnatural-borncitizensandimmigrantsofanyage,isasuperbmeansofbaseliningthehealthofthepopulationinmultipleways.Ataminimum,itwillensurethatthepoorreceiveacompletephysicalexamination


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includingbloodworkthattheywouldnotnormallyhaveaccessto;anditputsalladultsataconditionofphysicalfitnessthatcannotbeachievedefficientlyinotherways.Theculturalbonding,civicduty,andsocialresponsibilityoutcomesarenaturallyveryvaluablealso.Inmyview,everybodyshoulddobootcamptogether both after high school or college, and atmid-career, followedby avoluntarilychosenpathintotheArmedForces,thePeaceCorps,ortheAmericaCorps.Twoyearsofuniversalserviceafterhighschoolorfouryearsaftercollege,andamid-careerfully-funded“sabbatical”,willbringusallbacktogether.

08 Immigrationisaproblemtodayfortworeasons:

a) first, our federal government refused to follow its ownprescriptionswithrespect to theurgentneed forapopulationpolicyasoutlined inStephenD.Mumford,The Life and Death of NSSM 200: How the Destruction of Political Will Doomed a US Population Policy(CenterforResearchonPopulation&Security,1994);and

b)second,ourfederalgovernmentisincompetentatbothbordercontrolandattheenforcementofvisastaylimits.Latinos(andIamaLatinoonmymother’sside)arenot theproblem. Byaccepting“free trade”and ignoring the truecostsofexportingjobsandimportingtwiceasmuchoilasmostrealize(halftousehere,halftogetWal-Martcraphere),wehavehurtourearnestbluecollarand lowermiddleclassworkers twice—first sending their jobsoverseas,andthenmakingitpossiblefornon-citizenstofilllower-payingjobshereintheUSA,immunetoeitheremployerresponsibilityorgovernmentintervention.

09 Justice cannot be addressedwithout understanding that we have threemajorfailuresembeddedintooureconomy:weneedtoreleaseallmarijuanaoffenderstotimeservedandbalanceinnationalservicewithafullpaycheck;wind down the prison-slave complex; and eliminate corporate avoidance ofliabilitythroughthepersonalityclause.

10 Security is now a global, total, and permanent challenge—there is nohidingfromdisease,ortoxicfumesorpoisonedwaterorfood.TheUSAneedsto sharply redirect funding away fromwagingwar and creatingmonstrously


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expensive technical systems (both military and for secret intelligence) andinsteadmovebacktowardtheCommonSecurityparadigmthatwagespeace,fundspreventivemeasures, andempowers the5billionpoorwithaccess tofreeeducationandcellphones.Suchaparadigmwouldonlybesuccessfulifallnationsandorganizationsagreeto:

a)Shareinformation—96%ofwhatweneedtoknowisnotsecret,notonline,notinEnglish,andnotknowntothefederalgovernmentasitisnowtrained,equipped,andorganized(forRulebySecrecy&ColdWar)

b) Share the sense-making burden (including historical and cultural) inpartnershipwithallnationsandallorganizationsfromalleighttribesthatIhavebeenwritingaboutsince the1990’s:government,military, lawenforcement,academia,business,media,non-profit,andcivilsocietyincludinglaborunionsandreligions;

c) Harmonize policies and investments on a transparent basis—this meansBOTH the policies and investments that are made on our behalf with ourtaxes, AND the policies and investments of all other stakeholders—foreigngovernments,corporations,internationalandnon-governmentalorganizations,andfoundations:wedothiswithsharedinformationandtheGlobalRangeofNeedsTablediscussedinChapter26.

11 Society intheUSAhasfragmented. WethePeople,regardlessofwhoiselectedtohighoffice,mustdemandEnglishasthecommonlanguage;federally-fundedhigh-qualityeducationacrosstheNation;universalservicewithcommonfitnesstrainingandthenthreechoices:ArmedForces,PeaceCorps,orAmericaCorps.;andanendtoreligiousincursionsintoseculargovernancematters.

12 Water!MostofEarth’swaterisseawater,andmostofthefractionthatisfreshwaterislockedupinice.Lessthan0.1%ofEarth’swaterisavailableforhumanuse.Theprimaryobstacletowaterdesalination,apartfromexpense,hasbeenenergy,butwithnewsourcesof renewableenergy, includingdeepwaterthermalsandcost-effectivewindandsolar,itbecomespossibletoaddressthisasaglobalproject.Thinkaboutwhat$100millioncanbuy:itcanbuyaNavybattleshipwithammunitionandcrew; itcanbuyanArmybrigadewithtanksandartillery;itcanbuy1,000diplomatsor10,000PeaceCorpsworkers;


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itcanbuyonedayofwaroverwater....or….itcanbuyawaterdesalinationplantabletoproduce100millioncubicmetersofpotablewaterayearfromthesea,preventingwar.

Eight Major Players—Demographic Challengers

Identifying themajor players for the futurewas simple—in the 21st Centurydemographicpowerrulesfortworeasons:

1.TherearenotenoughgunsontheplanettooverwhelmaresistantpopulationthatfindsitsCollectiveIntelligence;and

2. Thehumanbrain is theonerenewable infiniteresourcewehavetoworkwith.

AsmuchastheUSAandtheEuropeanUnion(EU)maywishtokeeptheirheadsin thesandandallow ideology toshapedecisionscompletely removed fromreality,Ibelievethatrealitycannotbeignored.

ThehardrealityisthatBrazil,China,India,Indonesia,Iran,Russia,Venezuela,andWildCardssuchastheChile,theCongo,Malaysia,SouthAfrica,andTurkeyenjoysuchoverwhelmingdemographicpower—andinmostcasessuchlargegeographicterritoriesallbutoneadjacenttothesea—thattheyaregoingtobetheprimedeterminantsofthefutureofhumanity.

Thisisrealsimple:NOTHINGtheUSAdoesinthenexttenyearsisgoingtoberelevanttothefutureofourchildrenandgrandchildrenUNLESSwecreateacompellingstory,model,orprocessthattheeightdemographicchallengerscanadoptastheirowntoprosperwithoutmakingourIndustrialEramistakes.

Herearesnapshotsofeachofthesemajorpowers.

01 BrazilisamajordemographicpowerthatisenergyindependentandhasagrowingconnectiontoChinathatisbeingmanagedoutofMacauatthesame


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time that the Chinese are pressing very aggressively to embrace all formerPortuguesecolonies.

02 Chinaisdeepintotwomajorcrisesthatwillbesustainedtimebombs;thefirstisEnergyandthesecondisWater.Allinvestmentsthereareatrisk,andif Chinahas a plaguebreakout such as is common in India, it could spreadlikewildfire. TheChinesearedoingwellatcombatingpoverty,andtheyareexportingtheirsurplusmen—ArgentinawillbemajorityChineseby2025.TheyarewagingpeaceacrossAfricaandSouthAmerica—betweentheChineseandRussians,betweenBrazilandVenezuela(numbersevenonthislist)—theUSAcouldfinditselfshutoutoftheSouthernHemisphereasamajorplayer,inlargepartbecausetheUSAhasbeeninept,predatory,andinattentive,takingbothAfricaandSouthAmericaforgranted.

03 India, likeChina, has amajorwater crisis, and in any given year can see2,000 poor farmers commit suicide due to draught and debt. It representsthemost complex, diverse, and potentially conflict-riddenmix of languages,tribes, ethnicity, and religions,most of themvery very poor,with the “rich”informationtechnology(IT)sectorbeingaverysmallsegmentoftheeconomy.ItmeritscommentthatIndia’sITwealthstemsfromgovernmentinvestmentsinregionaluniversitieswhosegoalwastoproducethemostversatileandskilledITengineersandprogrammersontheplanet,allofthemfluentinEnglish.India,withtheIndianOcean,willbearelativeequaltoChina,Europe,andtheUSAinAsianaffairsspecifically,andglobalaffairsgenerally.

04 Indonesiacouldbecomeamajorpowerbeyonditsownterritorialwaters.Itisprovingresilienttointernalturmoil,anditsseculargovernment,withtheChinesebusinessDiasporalurkinginthebackground,isnotonlycontinuingtoeducatewomenapace,butwith thehelpof thesecularizedwomen,dealingeffectivelywithreligiouszealotsandhome-grownterrorists.Theyarethekeyto the anti-piracy program in the Malacca Straits, a critical passageway forinternationalshipsbearingenergyaswellasothercriticalcargoes.

05 Iran is what is left of Persia. We overturned their democratic election,restoring the Shah and his secret police to power. They are an extremelysophisticated nation-state, and feel besieged because they are the Shi’ite


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minoritynationinanoverwhelmingSunniworldthatisfundedbySaudiArabia.IranisalsoparanoidaboutPakistan,aSunnination,havingtheSunninuclearbomb.Importantnote:ThePakistaninuclearprogramowesitshealthtoboththedeliberateoverturningofUSproliferationcontrolsbyDr.ZbigniewBrzezinski,thenNationalSecurityAdvisorforPresidentJimmyCarter,andtothefloodofmoney—billions and billions of dollars—from the US secret agencies to thePakistaniInter-ServicesIntelligence(ISI)thatmostofusbelieveappropriatedatleasthalfifnottwothirdsofallfundsforthemselvesandselectiveinvestmentsinthePakistaninuclearprogram,includingtheacquisitionofFrenchsubmarinescapableforfiringnuclearmissiles.IranisafraidofPakistanandSaudiArabia,nottheUSA.

06 Russiaisontherebound.Theyareenergyindependent,andastheirrecentforayintoGeorgia(andthelesspublicizedsimultaneousattackonthesouthernend of the pipeline in theMiddle East)makes clear, they can cut Europeanenergysupplieswhenevertheywish.Russiahasenormouspotentialandmeritscompleterespect—theUSAhasmadeaveryseriousmistakethesepastsixteenyearsinnotunderstandingthevitalimportanceofRussiaasbothaEuropeanally, and a Caucasian bulwark against Chinesemovement north into easternRussia (Siberia,which, like the EmptyQuarter in Canada,will be prime realestateasGlobalWarmingprogresses).

07 VenezuelaisundertheruleofitsPresidentHugoChavez,whostrives—withsomesubstantivesuccess—torecreatethevisionofSimonBolivar.WithitsoilwealthandothernaturalresourcesincludingasignificantshareoftheAmazoniaregion, Venezuela must be taken very seriously. Chavez has succeeded increating the South American Union, and enjoys a populist popularity, aidedby Cuban intelligence and its extraordinary competence at regional covertoperationsincludingmediainfluenceandagentsofinfluence.

08 Wild Cardsaremany,mypersonalfavoritesareChile,Denmark,theCongo,Greenland,Malaysia,SouthAfrica,andTurkey,butvirtuallyanycountry thatcommitstobecomingaSmartNationcanbeitsownWildCard.


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Global and Regional Information Exploitation Architecture

The24co-foundersofEIN(WinstonMaikenowdeceased,replacedbyRobertHornofInformationMappingrenown)spentthefirstsixmonthsthinkingandindialogwithoneanother.Whiletheoriginalten-pagemissionsummary remains online and useful, below is the core concept relevant to this book’s goal ofinspiring regionalaswellasglobal information-sharingandsense-making foruniversalopenexploitation.

Figure 20. Six Circles of Information-Sharing & Sense-Making

Each of these circles merits deeper discussion among those who wouldimplementtheideasthatthisbooksummarizesforotherstoactualize.


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FurtheroninthebookIdiscusstacticalandtechnicalimplementationconcepts.The illustrationbelow is the culminationof over adecadeof thinking aboutInformationPeacekeepingasinspiredbyAlvinToffler’sconclusioninPowershift–Knowledge, Wealth, and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century (1991)towit,thatinformationisasubstituteforviolenceandwealthaswellastime,space,labor,andcapital.

Figure 21. Using Information to Harmonize Major Player Spending

Apart from themajordemographicplayers, the concepts in this chapter areeasilyimplementablewithinregions,sub-regions,betweentwocountries(e.g.IranandTurkey),orotheralliances(e.g.BrazilandWestAfrica).


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Chapter 9State of the Regional Unions

Below is a very selective list of major regional organizations, by no meanscomplete,butsimplytoprovideasenseofhowmanyalliednetworkstheUNcouldenergizeifitweretochampionM4IS2andanOpenEverythingapproachto themajority of the information-sharing and sense-making opportunities.Somearegeographicallyrelated,otherssecurityrelated.

AfricanUnion(AU)AssociationofSoutheastAsianNations(ASEAN)CentralAmericanIntegrationSystem(SICA)CollectiveSecurityTreatyOrganisation(CSTO)CommonwealthofIndependentStates(CIS)CooperationCouncilfortheArabStatesoftheGulf(CCASG)EuropeanUnion(EU)LeagueofArabStates(ArabLeague)NorthAmericanFreeTradeAgreement(NAFTA)North Atlantic Treaty Organization(NATO)OrganizationofAmericanStates(OAS)PacificIslandsForum(PIF)Shanghai Cooperation Organisation(SCO)SouthAsianAssociationforRegionalCooperationSouthAsianAssociationforRegionalCooperation(SAARC)SoutheastAsiaTreaty Organization(SEATO)UnionofSouthAmericanNations(UNASUR)

Some of the organizations above that are not Unions have discussed thepossibility,includingtheArabLeague,NAFTAandthePacificIslandsForum.


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African Union

The African Union (abbreviated AU in English, and UA in its other officiallanguages) is an intergovernmental organisation consisting of 52 African states.EstablishedonJuly9,2002,theAUwasformedasasuccessortotheOrganisationofAfricanUnity(OAU).ThemostimportantdecisionsoftheAUaremadebytheAssemblyoftheAfricanUnion,asemi-annualmeetingoftheheadsofstateandgovernmentofitsmemberstates.

Figure 22. African Union (AU)

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ThereareeightRegionalEconomicCommissions(REC)recognizedbytheAU,eachestablishedundera separate regional treaty, all ofwhich couldbenefitsubstantiallyfromsharingtransparenttrustedinformation:

• ArabMaghrebUnion(UMA)• CommonMarketforEasternandSouthernAfrica(COMESA)• CommunityofSahel-SaharanStates(CEN-SAD)• EastAfricanCommunity(EAC)• EconomicCommunityofCentralAfricanStates(ECCAS)• EconomicCommunityofWestAfricanStates(ECOWAS)• IntergovernmentalAuthorityonDevelopment(IGAD)• SouthernAfricaDevelopmentCommunity(SADC)

TheAfricanUnionhasanumberofofficialbodiesthatcouldbenefitsubstantiallyfromintelligence(decision-support):

• AfricanCourtofJustice • AfricanUnionAuthority • AssemblyoftheAfricanUnion • Economic,SocialandCulturalCouncil• ExecutiveCouncil• Pan-AfricanParliament(PAP)• PeaceandSecurityCouncil(PSC)• PermanentRepresentatives’Committee• TechnicalCommittees

BoththeAbujaTreatyandtheConstitutiveActprovideforSpecializedTechnicalCommittees to be established made up of African ministers to advise theAssembly.Inpractice,theyhaveneverbeensetup.Thetenproposedthemesare:RuralEconomyandAgriculturalMatters;MonetaryandFinancialAffairs;Trade, Customs, and Immigration; Industry, Science and Technology; Energy,NaturalResources,andEnvironment;Transport,Communications,andTourism;Health;Labour,andSocialAffairs;Education,Culture,andHumanResources.Takingthelatterestablishedneedandequallyestablishedinaction,imaginethevalueofhavingaglobalcommonlistofcommittees.


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Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)

The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation(SCO)isanintergovernmental mutual-securityorganisationwhichwas founded in2001 inShanghai by the leadersof China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. ExceptforUzbekistan,theothercountrieshadbeenmembersoftheShanghai Five,founded in 1996; after the inclusion of Uzbekistan in 2001, the membersrenamedtheorganisation.

Figure 23. Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)

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The fourmajor areas of cooperation cover security, economics, and culturalexchanges,aswellasannualsummits.

Subordinateorganizations thatcouldbenefit fromglobal information-sharingand sense-making include special working groups and non-governmentalinstitutionsincludingabusinesscouncil,aninterbankforum,andaforum.

Of great interest from a global and regional information-sharing and sense-makingperspectivearetheObservers,DialogPartners,andGuests.

Observers:

• India• Iran• Mongolia• Pakistan

Dialog Partners:

• Belarus• SriLanka

Guests:

• Afghanistan• ASEAN• CIS

Thischapterisnotfocusedonthreatsorpolicies,butisshouldbeobviousthatfrombothathreatandapolicyperspective,theparticipantsintheSCOhavebothagreatdealofinformationtoshareandagreatdealtogainfromexchanginginformationonallofthesetopicsandespeciallythethreatofpovertyandthepoliciesofenergyandwater,withotherregionalalliances.


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Union of South American Countries (UNASUR)

The Union of South American Nations (Dutch: Unie van Zuid-Amerikaanse Naties - UZAN,Portuguese:União de Nações Sul-Americanas - UNASUL,Spanish:Unión de Naciones Suramericanas - UNASUR) is an intergovernmental union integratingtwoexistingcustoms unions:Mercosur and the AndeanCommunityofNations,aspartofacontinuingprocessofSouthAmericanintegration.Itismodeled on the EuropeanUnion.

There is littleofsubstancetoUNASURat thistime,but inmypersonalview,the one thing theUSA could do to nurture this region and achieve truth&reconciliationforcenturiesofpredatorypolicies,istoofferM4IS2toUSASUR.

Figure 24. Union of South American Countries (UNASUR)


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Chapter 10Cultures of Catastrophe, Cheating,

Conflict, & Conspiracy

The word corrupt (Middle English, from Latin corruptus, past participle ofcorrumpere, to destroy : com-, intensive pref. and rumpere, to break)whenusedasanadverbliterallymeans“utterlybroken”.

According toWikipedia,whichcanbeveryuseful ingeneric terms,but itselfverycorruptineditorialpracticedependingontheissue,suggeststhatthetermcould refer toPolitical corruption, , Corporate corruption, Putrefaction,Datacorruption, Corruption (linguistics), or Bribery in politics, business, or sport(includingmatchfixing).

Chapter11willdiscussInformationAsymmetriesandDataPathologies,alwayspresentalongsidecorruption;andChapter15ourunderstandingofrevolutionacross thepolitical-legal, socio-economic, ideo-cultural, techno-demographic,andnatural-geographicdomains.

AcceptingCorruptionasahigh-leveltermforbeingoutsideaStateofGrace,this chapterwill focuson fourpredominant representationsof corruption inallthatwedo:ourculturesofcatastrophe,cheating,conflict,andconspiracy.We create our own catastrophes; we cheat one another with impunity; wechoosetoinvestinwaratthreetimesthecostofpeace;andwestandidlybyasconspiraciesmurderourpresidents,ourcivilrightsleaders,thecrewoftheUSSLiberty,andthemostrecently,9-11andthelootingoftheUSTreasury.

Thisparticularchapter isanessaycraftedfromthetitlesofbooksbyothers,eachlinkedintheonlineversionofthisbooktomysummaryofeachbook.


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Cultures of Catastrophe

ThemostimportantinsightIhavegainedinthepastthreedecadesofstudyinghumanity as it stumbles about doing damage to all the Earth systems ittouches, is that catastrophe iswhathappenswhenhumansdonotplan for,donotrespondto,andtheneitherover-reactorunder-reacttothelong-termimplicationsofwhatwouldordinarilybenothingmorethananisolateddisaster.ThisisIMPORTANT.Itmeansthatwearenotthinking,andworse,wearenotthinking holistically. Catastrophe & Culture–The Anthropology of Disaster (SusannaM.Hoffman)isespeciallyhelpful inpointingoutthatnoamountofmoney is going to prevent catastrophe–absent a commitment to creating acultureofattentionandinteroperabilityandinformation-sharing,wewillcreateourowncatastropheseachtimewearechallengedbywhatcouldhavebeennothingmorethanalocalizeddisaster.

We are the source and the cause of most of our catastrophes. The otherthreesections focusoncheating, conflict,andconspiracy. Here Iemphasizethe corruption inherent in how we allow our own industrial practices, ourown governmental practices, to destroy, destabilize, and dismiss. The Next Catastrophe–Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and Terrorist Disasters (CharlesPerrow)pointsoutthatnaturaldisastersimpactonsixtimesmore people than all the conflict on the planet. Industrial irresponsibility,especiallyinthenuclear,chemical,andbiologicalindustries,islegion,andmuchmorepotentially catastrophic thanany terrorist attack.Of special concern isthestorageoflargeamountsoftoxic,flammable,volatile,orreactivematerialsoutsidethesecurityperimeters—thisincludesspentnuclearfuelrodsandtonsofchlorinestoredwithoutspecialprotectionthatifcombinedwithfirewouldputmillionsatrisk.

Perrow’slatestbook(healsowrotetheseminalbook,Normal Accidents–Living with High-Risk Technologies) iscomplementedbyActs of God–The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in America (Ted Steinberg) This latterbook is amagnificentepistleonthefollyofmankindandtheduplicityofgovernment,businessandthemedia.TheauthoroftotallybrilliantashegentlysetsforththemyththatwearenotresponsibleforactsofGodwheninfactwearethe

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perpetratorsofcomplexhuman,social,economic,andpoliticalfabricationsanddecisionsthatinvariably:1.Screwoverthepoorandthoseofcolor;2.Amortizehighriskstakenbytherichacrosstheentiretaxpayerbase;and3.Conceal,lie,deceiveastotheactualpremeditateddecisionsthatoccasionedthedisasterturningintoacatastrophe.

Another book that closely supports the above conclusions and concerns isCollapse–How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (JaredDiamond).Theauthorhas conducted arduous research and lined up a number of case studies tosupporthisfivepartframeworkofexaminingthetopicofhowsocietieschoosetosucceedorfail.Theyare:a.Environmentaldegradation,whetherman-madeor natural; b. Climate change (as distinct fromdesertification, deforestation,etc.);c.Hostileneighbors;d.Lessfriendlyneighbors(lossofsupport);ande.Societies’responses.

Thelatterisespeciallyimportantbecauseitimpactsonalltheothers.Whatweareallbeginningtorealizeisthatourover-allcultureistheframeworkbywhichweOrient,Observe,Decide, andAct (OODA), a conceptbest represented inmoderntimesbyColJohnBoyd,USAF(Ret),eulogizedinBoyd–The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War(RobertCoram).

Critical Path (BuckminsterFuller)speakstohowthe economictheoryofscarcityand secrecy is evil, benefitting the few at the expense of themany. FullerbelievedthatEarthisNOTazerosumDarwiniangameforhumansandthatinfactitisthehumanrole–thehumanmind’srole–to“synergize”Earthintoawin-winforall.Intime-energy“truecost”accounting,everygallonofoilthatweusecosts$1million(in1981dollars).Hetellsusthattherearetwocriticalpathsthatarenotunderstoodbythepublicorthosewhoprofesstorepresentthepublic:pathoneisthosenaturaltrendsthatproceedwithorwithouthumanerrors, omissions, and interventions; path two is thehumanpathboth localandasaglobalaggregate. Fuller’swisdomhasbeenreinforcedbyNon-Zero (RobertWright) aswell asHolistic Darwinism: Synergy, Cybernetics, and the Bioeconomics of Evolution(PeterA.Corning).


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Theemergingsolutionsthatremediate,ameliorate,andobviatethesenegativecultures are brought forward in Parts III and IV of this book. Here wewilljust emphasize the break-down of the scientificmethod of inquiry, and thecorruptionthathasover-takenwhatshouldbeapureinvestigativemethodthatproducesintelligence(decision-support).Thisisnotaboutthefragmentationof knowledge, a strategic problem addressed in Chapter 5, nor is it aboutInformationAsymmetriesandDataPathologiesasdiscussedinChapter11,thenextchapter.Thisisaboutinherentcorruptionthatontheonehanddivorcesscience from the humanities—from the moral and the social—and on theotherhandseekstoactivelymanipulateandmisrepresentscientificfindingsinisolationfromthewhole.

Voltaire’s Bastards–The Dictatorship of Reason in the West (John RalstonSaul) calls into question much about how we organize ourselves politically,economically,andsocially. Thebottomline,andveryconsistentlywithothergreatbookssuchasThe Manufacture of Evil(LionelTiger)onthelowendandConsilience: The Unity of Knowledge (E. O.Wilson) on the high end, is thatWesternthinkinghasbeencorruptedtothepointthattheWesthasbecome,astheinsideflapofVoltaire’s Bastardssays,“avast,incomprehensibledirectionlessmachine,runbyprocess-mindedexperts….whosecultofscientificmanagementisbereftofbothsenseandmorality.”Heconcludesthatsecrecyispathological,underminingbothpublicconfidenceandthepublicdialog.Intelligenceshouldbedisseminatedactionableknowledge,notsecrets.

Now fast forward to ClimateGate, which we will not belabor. Two bookscapturethefraudinherentinClimateGate.The Real Global Warming Disaster (Christopher Booker) is in brief about bad science, badmedia, bad politics,and bad finance. The obsessionwith climate change denigrates everythingelse—climate change is atinypartof the larger andmore legitimate threat,EnvironmentalDegradation;andwithinclimatechange,carbonemissionsareatinyaspectinrelationtoemissionsofsulfurandmercuryaswellashumandestructionofwetlandsandtheAmazon.TheotherbookisGlobal Warming False Alarm–The Bad Science Behind the United Nations’ Assertion that Man-made CO2 Causes Global Warming(RalphB.Alexander).


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Cultures of Cheating

An entire book has been written about The Cheating Culture–Why More Americans Are Doing Wrong to Get Ahead(DavidCallahan),andanotheronThe Global Class War –How America’s Bipartisan Elite Lost Our Future – and What It Will Take to Win it Back(JeffFaux).

Inbrief,themenwhomanagemoney—moneytheyinventoutofthinairandthen lendatoutrageous ratesof interest—have corruptedall aspectsofoursociety,bothwithintheUSAandaroundtheworld.Ihavewrittenaboutthisinbothabookandachapter,seeELECTION 2008: Lipstick on the Pig and the chapterParadigmsofFailureaswellasthesupportingAnnotatedBibliographyonReality.

CheatingissopervasivethatIcannotreallydoitjusticeinthecontextofthisbook that strives tobeanoverviewmaking the case for aWorldBrainwithembedded Global Game, so below are three sections with recommendedreadings(alllinkedinthefreeonlineversionofthisbook).

Cheatingcanoccurbecauseofinformationasymmetriesanddatapathologies,thesubjectofournextchapter.Thisisimportant—themorewecanachievetransparencyofalltransactions,themorethatwecanreducecorruption,fraud,waste,andabuse—inotherwords,cheating.

Cheating at the Top

Cheatingatthetopislargelydrivenbymoneycorruptingpolitics,butinfairnessto the banks and corporations, it appears that the “shakedown” formoneyoriginateswith the politicianswho seek to exploit their privileged positionsfor financial advantage. Categories at Phi Beta Iota that cover this segment include: Banks, Fed,Money,& ConcentratedWealth (37); Budget Process&Politics(18);Capitalism(Good&Bad)(125);Corruption(78);Culture,Research (112); Impeachment&Treason(46);Politics(144);andPower(Pathologies&Utilization) (94). A fewrepresentativebooksare listed inthebalanceofthischapter.


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Breach of Trust–How Washington Turns Outsiders Into Insiders(TomA.CoburnM.D);Grand Illusion–The Myth of Voter Choice in a Two-Party Tyranny (TheresaAmato); How The World Really Works (Alex Jones); National Suicide: How Washington Is Destroying the American Dream from A to Z (MartinL.Gross);Running on Empty–How the Democratic and Republican Parties Are Bankrupting Our Future and What Americans Can Do About It (Peter G. Peterson); The Broken Branch–How Congress Is Failing America and How to Get It Back on Track(ThomasE.Mann);The Crisis of Western Culture(ThomHartmann);The Powerof Israel intheUnitedStates(JamesPetras);They Dare to Speak Out–People and Institutions Confront Israel’s Lobby(PaulFindley);VICE–DickCheneyandtheHijackingoftheAmericanPresidency(LouDubose);When Corporations Rule the World(DavidCKorten).SeealsoDVD: The AMERICAN Ruling Class.

Cheating in the Middle

Cheating at the top impacts on themiddle and the bottom in an appallingmanner. Historically the Middle Class is the buffer between concentratedwealthatthetopandterriblescarcityatthebottom—aformofsafetyvalveforthoseseekingtoriseandameansofofferingcompassionandasafetynetthroughlocalizeddirectcharitytothoseatthebottom.WhentheMiddleClassissharplyreduced,thegapsbetweenrichandpoorbecometooevident,andrevolutionsgenerallyresult.Inmyview,thisiswherethedisenfranchisementofthepublicgoestoofar,thecentercollapses,extremistsdominateonbothsidesofthepoliticaldivide,andthereisageneralsenseofhelplessnessinwhichtheMiddleClassalsocollapses fromwithin. See forexampleBetrayal: How Black Intellectuals Have Abandoned the Ideals of the Civil Rights Era (HoustonA. Baker); Big-Box Swindle–The True Cost of Mega-Retailers and the Fight for America’s Independent Businesses (Stacy Mitchell); Democracy Matters–Winning the Fight Against Imperialism (CornelWest); Empire of Illusion: The End of Literacy and the Triumph of Spectacle (ChrisHedges); Rage of the Random Actor (DanKorem);Screwed–The Undeclared War Against the Middle Class — And What We Can Do About It (ThomHartmann); Soft Despotism, Democracy’s


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Drift: Montesquieu, Rousseau, Tocqueville, and the Modern Prospect (PaulA. Rahe); The Disposable American–Layoffs and Their Consequences (LouisUchitelle); The End of America–Letter of Warning to a Young Patriot (NaomiWolf);The Life and Death of NSSM 200 –How the Destruction of Political Will Doomed a US Population Policy (StephenD.Mumford); The True Cost of Low Prices–The Violence of Globalization (VincentA.Gallagher); War on the Middle Class–How the Government, Big Business, and Special Interest Groups Are Waging War on the American Dream and How to Fight Back (LouDobbs).Seealso DVD: Bonhoeffer (2003).

Cheating at the Bottom

Cheatingatthebottom, inmyview, issimplyamatterofsurvival,notaboutlowmoralcharacter.Iincludeoneworkonthemotivationthatdrivesterroristsbecauseterrorismisonelogicalresultofdeeplyconcentratedwealth,sustainedinjustice, and a feeling of helplessness when combined with the humanintelligencetoknowthatitneednotbesouglyforall.

Amongthebooksinthisarea:Blue Collar Ministry–Facing Economic and Social Realities of Working People(TexSample);Dying to Win–The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism (RobertPape);Harvest Of Rage–Why Oklahoma City Is Only The Beginning(JoelDyer);Life at the Bottom–The Worldview That Makes the Underclass (Theodore Dalrymple);Nickel and Dimed–On (Not) Getting By in America (Barbara Ehrenreich); Nobodies–Modern American Slave Labor and the Dark Side of the New Global Economy (John Bowe);Off the Books–The Underground Economy of the Urban Poor (SudhirAlladiVenkatesh);Pathologies of Power–Health, Human Rights, and the New War on the Poor (PaulFarmer);The Bottom Billion–Why the Poorest Countries are Failing and What Can Be Done About It (PaulCollier); The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order (Michel Chossudovsky); The Shock Doctrine–The Rise of Disaster Capitalism (Naomi Klein); The Working Poor–Invisible in America (David K. Shipler);Unspeakable Truths–Facing the Challenges of Truth Commissions (Priscilla B.Hayner).


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Cultures of Conflict

CulturesofConflictarealogicalcompaniontoculturesofcatastrophe,cheating,andconspiracy.Allfouroftheseculturesdependoninformationasymmetries(inwhichsecretplaysasubstantiverole)anddatapathologiesthatallowthefewtodeceivethemany.Allfouroftheseculturesrepresentanabuseofpowerbythefewoverthemany.

Among thecorecategoriesof reviews thatareavailableatPhiBeta Iota are these: Empire, Sorrows, Hubris, Blowback (146); Intelligence (Government/Secret)(275);Military&PentagonPower(72);Power(Pathologies&Utilization) (94);andWar&FaceofBattle(108).

Herearejustafewbookscoveringthegeneraltopicsofcovertwar,openwar,andtheconsequencesofwarforlargeregionssuchasAfricaandLatinAmerica:A Peace to End All Peace–The Fall of the Ottoman Empire and the Creation of the Modern Middle East (DavidFromkin);A War Against Truth–An Intimate Account of the Invasion of Iraq (PaulWilliamRoberts); Blind Into Baghdad–America’s War in Iraq (JamesFallows);Blood in the Sand–Imperial Fantasies, Right-Wing Ambitions, and the Erosion of American Democracy (Stephen Eric Bronner); Blood Money–Wasted Billions, Lost Lives, and Corporate Greed in Iraq (T.ChristianMiller); Cultures and Globalization–Conflicts and Tensions (HelmutK.Anheier); Dark Alliance–The CIA, the Contras, and the Crack Cocaine Explosion (GaryWebb);Daydream Believers–How a Few Grand Ideas Wrecked American Power (FredKaplan);Dogs of God–Columbus, the Inquisition, and the Defeat of the Moors (JamesRestonJr.);Dunces of Doomsday–10 Blunders That Gave Rise to Radical Islam, Terrorist Regimes, And the Threat of an American Hiroshima (Paul L. Williams); Failed States–The Abuse of Power and the Assault on Democracy (NoamChomsky);Fiasco–The American Military Adventure in Iraq (Hardcover) (Thomas E. Ricks); First Do No Harm–Humanitarian Intervention and the Destruction of Yugoslavia (DavidN.Gibbs); Foreign Follies–America’s New Global Empire (Doug Bandow); Imperial Grunts–The American Military on the Ground (RobertD.Kaplan); In the Name of Democracy–American War Crimes in Iraq and Beyond (Jeremy Brecher); Killing Hope–US Military and


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C.I.A. Interventions Since World War II Through 2003 (WilliamBlum); Legacy of Ashes–The History of the CIA (TimWeiner);Licensed to Kill–Hired Guns in the War on Terror (RobertYoungPelton);Nemesis–The Last Days of the American Republic (Chalmers Johnson);Open Veins of Latin America–Five Centuries of the Pillage of a Continent (Eduardo Galeano); Overthrow–America’s Century of Regime Change from Hawaii to Iraq (StephenKinzer); Palestine–Peace Not Apartheid (JimmyCarter); Review: Interventions (NoamChomsky); Rumsfeld–His Rise, Fall, and Catastrophic Legacy (AndrewCockburn); Running The World–the Inside Story of the National Security Council and the Architects of American Power (DavidRothkopf); Silent Steel–The Mysterious Death of the Nuclear Attack Sub USS Scorpion (StephenJohnson);Target Iran–The Truth About the White House’s Plans for Regime Change (ScottRitter); The Culture of National Security (PeterJ.Katzenstein); The End of Iraq–How American Incompetence Created a War Without End (PeterW.Galbraith); The Fifty Year Wound–The True Price of America’s Cold War Victory (DerekLeebaert); The Health of Nations–Society and Law beyond the State (PhilipAllott); The Looming Tower–Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11(LawrenceWright);The Road to 9/11–Wealth, Empire, and the Future of America (PeterDaleScott); The Three Trillion Dollar War–The True Cost of the Iraq Conflict (LindaBilmes); The Trial of Henry Kissinger (ChristopherHitchens); War and Decision–Inside the Pentagon at the Dawn of the War on Terrorism (DouglasJ.Feith); War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires (PeterTurchin); War is a Racket–The Antiwar Classic by America’s Most Decorated Soldier (SmedleyButler);Web of Deceit: The History of Western Complicity in Iraq, from Churchill to Kennedy to George W. Bush (BarryM.Lando); What We Say Goes (NoamChomsky); Why the Rest Hates the West–Understanding the Roots of Global Rage (MeicPearse).

Iapologizemostearnestlytothosereaderswhodonotliketheabovemannerof marshalling information—each live link (from the free online version ofthebook) leads to a reviewof the specificbook, generally 1,000words andten links. My intentwiththischapter is toaddressaverycomplexandveryfundamentalaspectofourglobalrealitybyacknowledgingtheenormousbodyofworkcreatedbyothers.


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Cultures of Conspiracy

Conspiracy theories are too often denigrated when they are in fact in theforefront of truth detection. In this short single-page we touch on majorconspiracytheoriesthathavesubsequentlybeenproventobewell-founded.

Assassination of John F. Kennedy

A Farewell to Justice–Jim Garrison, JFK’s Assassination, and the Case That Should Have Changed History (Hardcover) (JoanMellen); JFK and theUnspeakable–Why He Died &Why ItMatters (JamesW. Douglas); Someone Would Have Talked–The Assassination of President John F. Kennedy and the Conspiracy to Mislead History (Larry Hancock); Tears of Autumn–A Paul Christopher Novel (CharlesMcCarry).

Assassination of Martin Luther King

An Act of State–The Execution of Martin Luther King(WilliamF.Pepper).

Russian Sinking of USS Scorpion, Attack on USS Liberty by Israel

Scorpion Down–Sunk by the Soviets, Buried by the Pentagon: The Untold Story of the USS Scorpion (EdOffley);The Attack on the Liberty–The Untold Story of Israel’s Deadly 1967 Assault on a US Spy Ship(JamesScott).

9-11—Allowed to Happen or Made to Happen?

9/11 Synthetic Terror–Made in USA, Fourth Edition (WebsterGriffinTarpley);Painful Questions–An Analysis of the September 11th Attack(EricHufschmid);The Hidden History of 9-11 (PaulZarembka).

Seeallofthe9-11materialsIhavereviewedat9-11TruthBooks&DVDs(27).BeyondthesewenowknowthatbothViet-Namand Iraqwereelectivewarswithfraudulentpublicdeclarationsaboutcausesandconsequences.Wealsoknowthatelectoralfraudhasbeenwidespread.Whatdon’tweknow?Lots.


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Chapter 11Information Asymmetries

& Data Pathologies

Informationistheultimatearbiterofwealthandvariousformsofpower—asAlvinTofflersoablydiscussedinPowershift–Knowledge, Wealth, and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century(Bantam,1991)—information is a substitute for wealth and violence, for labor, capital, for space and time.

Theremainderofthisbookisaboutinformationandhowtoconvertinformationintointelligence(decision-support)andintelligenceintoaprosperousworldatpeace.IcallthisInformationArbitrage.

ThisshortchapterwilldiscussInformationAsymmetries,DataPathologies,andMissingInformation.

• INFORMATIONASYMMETRY. An imbalance inaccesstorelevantinformation between two parties, such that one party enjoys aconsiderableadvantageovertheother.

• DATAPATHOLOGY.Adeliberatemanipulationofdatabyonepartyfor the purpose of deceiving, misleading, or defrauding otherpartiesbydistortingorwithholdingrelevantdata.

• MISSING INFORMATION. A stateofpooraccess to information,generally not frommalicious root causes, but rather from poordesignandover-allshortcomingsintheinformationindustryandthebureaucraciesthatitserves.


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INFORMATIONASYMMETRY is theprimaryreasonwhythe“hiddenhand”ofAdamSmithdoesnotactuallywork—becausebuyersandsellersdonot have thesameaccesstoinformation.MarkLewisdidabookonWallStreetanditsdeceptiveandmanipulativepracticesthatisstillvalidtoday:Liar’s Poker–Rising through the Wreckage on Wall Street(Penguin,1990).

From Wikipedia: Ineconomics and contract theory, information asymmetry dealswith the study of decisions in transactionswhere one party hasmoreorbetter information than theother. This creates an imbalanceof power intransactionswhichcansometimescausethetransactionstogoawry.Examplesof this problem are adverse selection and moral hazard. Most commonly,informationasymmetriesarestudiedinthecontextofprincipal-agentproblems. In2001,theNobelPrizeinEconomicswasawardedtoGeorgeAkerlof,MichaelSpence,andJosephE.Stiglitz“fortheiranalysesofmarketswithasymmetricinformation.

Settingasidetheethicalaspectsoflyingtoyourcustomers,conflictsofinterest,andstraightfraud,informationasymmetryisachievedthrougharestrictionontheavailabilityofinformation.

SECRECYistheprimarymeansbywhichinformationisrestricted.Therearetwokindsofsecrecy:

• DEEPSECRECY.Thishasonlyrecentlyearnedatermofitsown,andisstudiedbyDavidPozeninaStanford Law Reviewarticlebythattitle. When a small group of similarly situated officials conceals from outsiders the fact that it is concealing something, the result is a deep secret. The participant has privileged access such as might be provided by interlocking boards of directors.

• INSTITUTIONALSECRECY. Practicedbyall formsoforganization,includinggovernments,corporations,andreligions,thisisaformof organized information control that is known to exist. In theUS Government, one authority suggests that 90% of secrecy isintendedtoprotectturfandbudgetwhileavoidingoversightandaccountability.

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Secrecy can also have detrimental effects, both on thosewho thrive on theexploitationofsecrecytotheirownends,andonthosewhomtheyrepresent,i.e.thepublic.

• SecrecyasaNegativeInternally:The danger is, you’ll become like a moron. You’ll become incapable of learning from most people in the world, no matter how much experience they have in their particular areas that may be much greater than yours’ [because of your blind faith in the value of your narrow and often incorrect secret information]. Daniel Ellsberg speaking to Henry Kissingeras recounted in SECRETS: A Memoir of Vietnam and the Pentagon Papers (Viking,2002).

• SecrecyasaNegativeExternally:80% of what I needed to know as CINCCENT I got from open sources rather than classified reporting. And within the remaining 20%, if I knew what to look for, I found another 16%. At the end of it all, classified intelligence provided me, at best, with 4% of my command knowledge. Tony Zinnispeakingtoaseniornationalsecuritymanager,asrecountedin “Open Source Intelligence,” Strategic Intelligence Volume II,Chapter6,pp.95-122.

Obviously criminal gangs, terrorist groups, dictators and secret police forcesand others make a substantial commitment to secrecy. The fundamentalpropositioninthisbookisthatpublic intelligence(decision-support) is inthepublicinterest;andthatclarity,diversity,integrity,andsustainabilityallrequiretransparencyofinformationtopermittruthandreconciliationtobeforemostamongtheparticipantssoastoachievepeaceandprosperityforall.

On thenextpage I providea few references, eachone linked to a full bookreview(inthefreeonlineversionofthisbook)atPhiBetaIotaReviews.


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Agenda for a New Economy: From Phantom Wealth to Real Wealth(Korten)Global Warming False Alarm–The Bad Science Behind the United Nations’

Assertion that Man-made CO2 Causes Global Warming(Alexander)Hidden Truth–Forbidden Knowledge (Greer)Imperial Secrets–Remapping the Mind of Empire(Kelley)Nation of Secrets–The Threat to Democracy and the American Way of Life

(Gup)Report of the Commission on Protecting and Reducing Government Secrecy

(Moynihanetal)Rule by Secrecy–The Hidden History That Connects the Trilateral Commission,

the Freemasons, and the Great Pyramids(Marrs)Secrecy & Privilege–Rise of the Bush Dynasty from Watergate to Iraq(Parry)Secrecy as Fraud(2002)(PierreTristam)Secrecy Report Card 2009(Aftergoodetal)Secret Intelligence Costs Taxpayer $75 Billion a Year(Steele)Spying Blind–The CIA, the FBI, and the Origins of 9/11(Zegart)The Foundation–A Great American Secret; How Private Wealth is Changing the

World(Fleishman)The Hidden History of 9-11(Zarembka)The Rise of the Fourth Reich–The Secret Societies That Threaten to Take Over

America(Marrs)The Secret Founding of America–The Real Story of Freemasons, Puritans, & the

Battle for The New World(Hagger)The Sorrows of Empire–Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic

(American Empire (Johnson)The Three Trillion Dollar War–The True Cost of the Iraq Conflict(Bilmes)

Thesearebutahandfuloftherelevantworks.Theconcealmentof“truecost”isaninformationasymmetrythatwillbecoveredlaterinthisbook.


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DATAPATHOLOGIESareillustratedbelow,eachdefinedbyabook—thefulltitlesforeachbook,andlinksareprovidedonthenextpage.

Figure 25. Data Pathologies

TherearetwocentralideasinrelationtoDataPathologies.

• EliteWisdom versus CrowdWisdom. All data pathologies existbecauseanelitebelievesthatitknowsbest,andthatthe“crowd”is ignorant, incapableof“knowing,”andthereforebestdeceivedormisinformed.


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• Hubris. When thepublic is not educated, or is inattentive, thisresults in carte blancheforthosewhowouldexploitthepublic—andthepublic’smoney—totheirownend.

Hereareafewrelevantbooks,eachlinkedtoafullreviewthatsummarizesthebookasawholeanditemizeskeypointsandinthiscase,alsocoupledtoabookthatrepresentstheantidotetothedatapathology.

Weapons of Mass Instruction(Gatto);Antidote:Teaching to Transgress–Education as the Practice of Freedom (Hooks)

Forbidden Knowledge–From Prometheus to Pornography(Shattuck);Antidote:Consilience–The Unity of Knowledge (Wilson)

Lost History–Contras, Cocaine, the Press & ‘Project Truth’(Parry);Antidote:Responsible History(Baets)

Manufacturing Consent–The Political Economy of the Mass Media(Chomsky&Herman);Antidote:The Future of Ideas–The Fate of the Commons in a Connected World (Lessig)

The Age of Missing Information(McKibben);Antidote:THE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political(Steele)

Fog Facts –Searching for Truth in the Land of Spin(Beinhart);Antidote:Scholarship in the Digital Age–Information, Infrastructure, and the Internet(Borgman)

Propaganda–The Formation of Men’s Attitudes(Ellul);Antidote:Pedagogy of the Oppressed (Freire)

Rule by Secrecy–The Hidden History That Connects the Trilateral Commission, the Freemasons, and the Great Pyramids(Marrs);Antidote:The Transparent Society–Will Technology Force Us to Choose Between Privacy and Freedom? (Brin)

Weapons of Mass Deception–The Uses of Propaganda in Bush’s War on Iraq (Rampton,Stauber);Antidote:Unspeakable Truths–Facing the Challenges of Truth Commissions (Hayner)


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MISSING INFORMATION is used in this book to refer to information that isknowntoexist,butthatcannotbeaccessedeasily.Belowisonedepictionofthissituationfromanonlinepointofview.

Figure 26. Missing General Information

This slide is borrowed with permission from Steve Arnold, whose chapter,Search panacea or ploy: Can collective intelligence improve findability?, in COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace, is a standard inthefield.IaddedtheGooglePlusatthebottom—withtheirprogrammablesearchengines,younowcangetwhatsomeoneelsewantsyoutoseeratherthanthebestavailableanswer. The“universe” includesanalogorhard-copyinformationaswellaCdrivesandemail.


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Below is a second illustration of how common is the reality of missinginformation, inthiscasethe“truecost”ofanygiven item. TrueCostwillbediscussedinChapter25alongwithEcologicalEconomicsandMoralCapitalism,heretheonlypointthatneedstobemade is thatthetruecostofanygivengoodorserviceissimplynotknowntomostpeople:howmuchwaterwasused,howmuchfuel,howmuchsweatshoplabor,howmuchtaxavoidance….

Figure 27. Missing True Cost Information

Ecological Intelligence–How Knowing the Hidden Impacts of What We Buy Can Change Everything matters! Until we can connect all humans with allinformationinalllanguagesallthetime,theWorldBrainwillnotbeabletodoits jobofconsciousevolution,evolutionaryactivism,holisticDarwinism,non-zero“win-win”forall.MoreonthisinChapter25.


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Chapter 12Rebalancing & Revitalizing the Instruments of National Power

There is no finer center for strategic thinking relevant to the USA than theStrategicStudiesInstitute(SSI)oftheUSArmy.In2008Dr.Robert“Robin”Dorf conceptualizedandmanagedtheannualUSArmyStrategyConferenceonthetopicofRebalancingtheInstrumentsofNationalPower.

Belowisaseverelyabridgedsummaryoftheconference,availableinalonger versionwithendnotes,andalsoavailableinoriginal notesform.

Americahashitbottom.TheComptrollerGeneraldeclaredtheNationinsolventinthesummerof2007,and—whenCongressignoredhim—resignedsixmonthslater to go publicwith his concerns regarding the deficit, the debt, and ourfutureunfundedobligations.Therealityisthatourdomesticeducation,energy,health,infrastructure,waterpolicies,amongmanyothers,arebothfoolishandunfunded.Itisinthiscontextthatthemilitarizationofforeignpolicyandtheelectiveengagementinathree-trilliondollarwarcanbeseentohavefurtherbankruptedtheNationofblood,treasure,andspirit,whilecostingAmericaitsonce-proudplaceastheultimatechampionofdemocracy, liberty,prosperity,stability,andpeace.

Thegiftedspeakersin2008resembledthosewhospokein1998tothesameconference,withthetitlethenof“ChallengingtheUnitedStatesSymmetricallyand Asymmetrically,” a conference that questioned virtually every aspect ofJointVision2010.Theconclusionsofthetwoconferencesarevirtuallyidentical.MyJoint Force Quarterlyarticlesummarizingthateventisstillvalid.


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The1998StrategyConferencebroughtoutanumberofpointsthatarestillveryimportantandstillneglected.Everythingbelowwasbroughtforwardtwelveyearsago,andnothingofsubstancehaschangeduptotoday.

• Active-reservemixneedschange

• Americaisitsownworstenemy

• Anonymousattackscoming

• Army-MarineCorpscompetingwithNavy-AirForceforbudget

• Civil-militaryrelationshipsareweak,undefined,unresourced

• Decision-makinghasforgottentoplan,cannotadapttochange,andisunabletostimulateaseriousdialogue

• DependencyoncontractorsinthebattleareaisamajorAchilles’heel

• Enemiesknowhowtowagewarbetweentheseamsofourlegalsystems

• Existingforcestructureisacutelyvulnerabletoasymmetricattack

• Intelligence remains an afterthought

• Issueisoneofbalanceacrosstheinstrumentsofnationalpower

• Mobilityismoreimportantthanmass

• Nationisvulnerabletocampaignsthatleveragetheinternationalandlocal media

• Need fourforcesafternext:Big;Small;Peace;Home

• Ourplanningprocesscannotdealwithradicalrapidshifts

• Privatesectorroleneedsexamination

• Soldierscannotbepolicemen

• Statesunlikelytoattackdirectly

• Technologywillnotreplacebootson the ground

• Technologywithoutintelligenceisblind

• Timeandspacefavortheasymmetricnon-traditionalenemy

• Vulnerabilitiesinthecivilsector

• Weconstantlyunderestimatewillingnessofotherstodogreatharmtobystanders

• Wedon’tdooffensiveasymmetry

• Wespreadourselvestoothin,thisfavorsasymmetricenemy

• Wesufferfromfallacyofmisplacedconcreteness(ormorerecently,fromideologicalfantasiesuncheckedbyreality)

• Weapons’costmustbeappropriatetothetargetprofileandpriority

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The good news is that America remains the most powerful and wealthiestNationontheplanet,withinfinitepotentialtocreatenewwealthandthustopromotestabilizationandreconstructionaroundtheworld.Asoneindividualcommentedduring theApril event, you solve illegal immigrationbyassuringa good life for all, everywhere, not by buildingwalls betweenwhat’s left ofthegood lifehereand thepathoseverywhereelse that stems frompoliticalcorruptionandthecriminallootingofcommonwealthsthatwehelpfacilitate.

Herearethehighlightsfromeachsegmentofthe2008Armyconference.

• We are not well-organized for new era; Challenges and dangers morecomplex;Threatsaremoredispersed;NeedtoorganizefiveD’s(Diplomacy,Defense, Development, Domestic Capacity (Private Sector), Decision-Support (Intelligence)); AfricaCom intended to be an inter-agencycommandabletoorchestrateOperationsOtherThanWar(OOTW);Difficultfor an outside state to impose peace—we influence other contributors,whilesupportingindigenousinitiatives;SecretaryofDefenseRobertGateson record:military alone cannot win the peace; Preventive action priortocrisis isnecessary;Active,Stand-By,andReserveForcesenvisionedforStabilization&Reconstructionmissions—ninemonthsoutoftheyearinthefieldinnon-permissiveenvironments.

• Must understand the past; Pearl Harbor “never again” was catalyst;MilitarygainedplaceathightableandultimatelydisplacedDiplomacyastopvoice;Inter-agencycoordinationunderstoodtobedesirable,butneverreallyachieved;WhiteHousemilitarizedviatheNationalSecurityCouncil,lostabilitytomanageeconomicorotherformsofpower;Outsidesecretintelligence, there is virtuallynounderstandingof theprovenprocessofdecision-support;Technicalintelligencehascometodominatethebudgetand the process; Need to achieve warning; US suffers from a strategicdeficit.Weneedgrandstrategistsandstandingplansforlong-terminter-agencyandmultinationalendeavors inournational interest;WearenotexercisingUSinfluenceinanintelligentcost-effectivemanner.


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• Informationdomainisthekeyterrainofthe21stCentury;Ourenemyisliesandhalf-truths,misinformation,disinformation,anythreattooperationalsecurity and privacy, and our own complacency and ignorance; Enemyfollowsnoconventional rules;VirtualCaliphateof6,500activeextremistwebsiteswearenotreallyunderstanding;Everysoldierisacommunicator,allmustbeabletodotimelypublictruth-telling;Ourbiggestbattleisfortheheartsandmindsofourownpublicandtheirperceptionofhowandwhywedobattle;Wehave ahuge Cultural KnowledgeGap;Wehave ahugeHistoricalKnowledgeGap;Tribes,groups,non-territorialpublicsarethecenterofgravity.

• Militarypersonnelwanttoknow:

o Who’swho(socialstructure)o Whatmakesthemtick(culturalbeliefs,values,customs,behavior)o What’swith all the tea drinking (cultural forms includingmyths,

narratives,andsymbols)o Assessmentsofriskgenerallyhigh

• Less than 1% of Department of Defense (DoD) budget spent on socialsciences[this issimilartothesecret intelligenceworld’srefusaltospendmorethanafractionof1%onopensourcesofinformationinalllanguages];Newmoneypays for tools,notdata—this is the sucking chestwound inPublicDiplomacyandStrategicCommunication;There isnocoordinationof researchacrossagencies, NeedaproponentwithinNational SecurityCouncil(NSC),e.g.aCulturalAdvisortothePresident;Reach-backcapability,24/7isvaluedbutnon-existent.

• Bureaucratic turfwars continue to set us back—even in the field, inter-agencyelementsaremoreaboutco-locationthanactual integration intoasingleteam;Theinnovatorsaretoolowinthechain;Needbudgetandincentives for rotationals, need flexible responsive contingency funding,andneedtomanageinstabilityratherthanseektoresolveoutright.

• DoDisgoingtohavetogiveupmajorsystemstofundpeaceoperations.


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• We are being destroyed on the Information Operations (IO) front—it iseasiertogetapprovaltodropabombthantodoapressrelease;Needthemultinationalcorpsforsmallwars–wemustanticipateneedforproxiesinareaswhereUSpresencewillinciteanger;Airpowerclaimspersistenceandprecisionbutisstillnotdelivering(evenwithdrones).

• Needaprofessionalandbrutallyhonestrolesandmissionsdebate;Wemustplanforadvisorwars,hybridwars;Irregularwarfarehasmany categories;Weshouldplantohelpothers“do”counterinsurgencynot do it ourselves.

• Greatestsuccessisthosewarswecanpreventfromstartingatall.Mustdomoretointerveneintime—greatdealofincoherenceinthisdialogue;RoleofAmbassadorandcountryteamnotwell-definedorunderstood;Residentmilitary advisors and short-term training teams are hugely differentofferings;Needtogetbackinbusinessofsendingoutmanymoreadvisors,whilealsoattractingmanymoremultinational students toour schools—there isnobetter investment than tofielda futurepresidentormilitaryleaderwho’sbeentrainedinoneofourschools.

• Army purged counter-insurgency capabilities after Viet-Nam; Stabilityoperations are supposed to receive comparable priority with combatoperations;Command&StaffCollegedoesnotofferspecializedblocksincounter-insurgency (as of 2008); Need an Advisor Corps with transitionteams in permanent being, equivalent to 18th Airborne [Civil AffairsBrigade?]; Consensus is key toorganizational learning andwillingness tochange—politicsandexistingculturesarepushingbackhard;Servicesmustdiscipline their appetites,move bigwar stuff into reserve, dowholesaleexaminationofnavalaviation.

• Today inter-agency operations are characterized by collocation, not byintegrationofinputsoroutcomes;AtthetacticallevelthereisnotimeforConstitutional,legal,policy,politicalreviewvirtuallyimpossible,initiativessuchasbuildingaroadquicklytohelpnurturethelocaleconomytoohard.


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• Ultimateflexibility is in realmoney that canbe spent locally [ideallynotonimportedPrivateMilitaryContractors(PMC)]butratherwithinthelocaleconomy];Somebodyhastobeinchargeinthefield;UNisactuallyagoodmodelwiththeSecretaryGeneral’sSpecialRepresentative(SGSR)andtheForceCommander;Needtoseekfeedbackatalltimes.

• DoDrecognizes itcannotdo itall,and in2006calledforrevitalizationofcivilian agencies and of integrated statecraft; Key problem is staffing ofexpertiseacrossallfrontsfromjusticeandpolicing,publicadministration,business recovery, essential services, diplomacy, diplomatic security;“Wholeofgovernment”meansupfront involvementinplanning,not justinfinalstagesbeforeimplementation;Sameprocess[andprogramdollars]used for Continuity of Government (COG) and contingency responsesoverseas could be used to refine our inter-agency endeavors;We couldlearnagreatdealfromothercountries,everybitofitunclassified;AgenciesandDepartmentscontinuetoplaygameswithoneanother,thePresident,andCongress;Trustisthecoinoftherealm,we’rebankrupt.

• Recreatingstateinstitutionsisnotenough—mustrebuildlocallyownedandoperatedcapabilitiesandcreateanenablingenvironmentatthelocallevel;Weliveina24/7mediacoverageenvironment; AttacksonUNandNGOpeopleandbuildingshavechangedtheirattitudesaboutcollaborationforthebetter,butwithinstrictrulesofengagement;After9/11allenvironmentsare non-permissive—NGOs recognize this, have security officers andsecurity training; Our goal is to leverageall actors; UnitedNations (UN)has amazing capabilities thatwe need to understand and integrate intoourplans; 38,000NGOs shouldbeof immediate interest tous; someofthemsuchasChildrenCareandMercyCorpshavesubstantialbudgetsandcapabilities;NGOsareveryconcernedabout themilitarizationof foreignassistance.

• Excessivedependenceonmilitaryinstrumenthasnegativeconsequences;Must transform entire structure of national security including domesticsecurity;Ourinstitutionsareout-moded—systemicfailureswillbeoften.


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• Wehavehorizontal challenges and a vertical formofgovernment[intheCollective Intelligence citizen wisdom environment, they speak of theneedtoendpyramidalorganizationsthatrelyontopdowncommandandcontrol,andtheneedtoadoptcircleorganizationsthatallowforveryrapidadaptationandresilienceatalllevels];Complexityhassky-rocketed.NewtGingrichsayswehavemettheenemyand it isourbureaucracy;Wecanlearna greatdeal from thebusiness communityabout just enough, justintimehorizontalcollaborationandpartnerships;Wecannotpreserveournationalsecuritywithouthaving21stCenturycapabilities.

• Our national system for planning, programming, budgeting (PPBS), andallocating simply does not work. In the absence of a strategy all canunderstand,stabilization&reconstructionisnotgoingtogettheauthority,budget,staff,orattention;Mostendeavorswillnotincludethemilitary,butthose that shouldbeexecutingcivilmissionsdonothave the resources,training,andsoontogettothefield;Wecannotanswerthequestion:whatisbeingspentbyeachelementoftheUSGovernmentinanygivencountry?;It takestoo longtoobtainbudgetsandfieldcapabilities—weneedtobeable toactmuchmorequickly;Eachcountry isdifferent—onesize teamdoesnotsuitallcountriesorconditions.

• TodaywearerightwheretheUSwason6December1941,thedaybeforePearl Harbor. Even with 9/11, which should have been a wake-up call,we’vehitthesnoozebuttonandarewaitingforthenextbighit;Wehavetounderstandthelinkagesbetweenallthesectors.Wehavenointegratorsingovernmentorintheprivatesector,noonewhosejobit istoconnectthedots,craftamessageandastrategy,andimplementwithacarrot-stickcampaignplan;WhereintheUSGdowegoforindicationsandwarning?Wehavetofocusonprevention,wehavetoachieveawholeofgovernmentharmonization,andwehavetocreateequallysolidrelationshipswithavastrangeofNGOs,privatesectorelements,evenkey individualsaroundtheworld.

Completenotes(19pages)andafullarticleexpandonalloftheabovepoints.


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Below I reproduce the core distinction that General Graymade in his 1989article,GlobalIntelligenceChallengesinthe1990’s,onthebasisofthestrategicgeneralizationsthatwereachievedveryquicklybytheMarineCorpsIntelligenceCenter(MCIC)initspioneeringOpenSourceIntelligence(OSINT)study,Overview of Planning and Programming Factors for Expeditionary Operations in the Third World,eventuallypublishedin1990.

Conventional Threat

+Governmental+Conventional/Nuclear+StaticOrdersofBattle+LinearDevelopment+RulesofEngagement+KnownDoctrine+StrategicWarning+KnownIntelligenceAssets

Emerging Threat

+Non-Governmental+Non-Conventional+DynamicorRandom+ Non-linear +NoConstraints+UnknownDoctrine+NoExistingI&WNet+ Unlimited 5thColumn

Figure 28: What the Marines Knew in 1988

On19December1995IwasoneofahandfulofAmericansinvitedtoaddresstheFrenchnational conferenceon “WarandPeace in the21st Century.” Dr.RobertGates,Dr.SamuelHuntington,andDr.CharlesCogan(aformercovertoperationspersonality)weretheothers,withSirMichaelHowardfromEnglandbeingmemorableaswell.

Belowistheoriginal1995outlineofmyremarks.

DIAGNOSIS of the Failure of Intelligence (INT)1.FourWarriorClasses2.DependencyonInformation3.InformationExplosion-Drowning4.TechnologicalComplexityandVulnerability5.AscendancyoftheDisposed


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STRUCTURAL IMBALANCE in Defense and INT1.StatesAssumeBorders,Citizens,TaxBase2.DefenseAssumesConventionalEnemy3.IntelligenceAssumesConventionalEnemy,OptimizesforSecrets4.InformationInfrastructureAssumesNoThreat,NoAttack5.LawAssumesGeneralObedience,DomesticCriminals

NEW FORMS OF VIOLENCE and INT Challenges1.InformationWarfare(Global,Corporate,andIndividual)2.TransnationalGangs—Money,Computers,FifthColumn,Ruthlessness3.Proliferation—SowingDragon’sTeeth4.Disease—Socio-Economic,Ideo-Cultural,Techno-Demographic5.EconomicCompetitionandNationalAttractiveness

EARLY WARNING through Virtual Communities1.Chaosand“JustinTime”OrderviaVirtualINT2.VoluntarySharing&IntegrationofInformation3.PublicMakesPolicy,PublicMustUnderstandThreat4.PoliticalAccountabilityEssential—Leadership5.WarningforIntegrationofDefenseandPolice

PREVENTION & ACTION with Information Strategies1.DomesticIntelligence—StatecraftasSoulcraft2.EnvironmentalIntelligence—EliminateExternalDiseconomies3.TechnicalIntelligence—BadEngineering(“GovSpecCostPlus”)4.NationalInformationStrategies—FourPillars5.BottomLine:KnowWhentoKill,KillWisely

ItakenopleasureinseeingsuchanticipatoryinsightignoredbythosegatheredinParisfortheeventbutIalsoholdtheUSGblameless—Ifailedtoimpress—Dr.Gates,whofollowedme,said“I’mnotevengoingtotouchthat.”

Nextaretwooftheoriginal1990’sgraphicswithafewcomments,followedbyanewgraphiconchangingournationalsecurityparadigm.


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As Senator SamNunn (D-GA) saidwhen serving as Chairman of the SenateArmed Services Committee (SASC), understanding the threat comes first—itcomes before strategy, before force structure and policy development, andbeforeactionofanykind.IttooktheUNHigh-LevelPaneltofinallyarriveataholisticunderstandingofthetenhigh-levelthreatstohumanity(Chapter1).Belowisa“type”threatgraphicintendedtosetthestagefororganizingWholeofGovernmentoperationsalongfourcomplementarytracks.

Figure 29. Different Threat Classes Require Different Approaches

Thiswasdevelopedin1992whilecreatingaclassfortheMarineCorpsUniversity(MCU),Command&StaffCollege(C&SC).Itshouldbeobvious,butstillisnotunderstoodwithinmostgovernments,thattherearefourmajorthreat“types”and that each requires a different mix of Whole of Government planning,programming,budgeting,andoperationalcampaignmanagement (aswellasmultinationalandunilateralinformation-sharingandsense-making).


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Following logically fromtheaboveconceptualization,below iswhat Ibriefedto the annual Army Strategy Conference in 1998—the need for four forcesafternextinsteadofthe“onesizefitsall”theninvogue.Thisisdiscussedinmuchgreaterdetail inmyrelatedarticle forSSI,Threats,Strategy,andForceStructure: AnAlternative Paradigm forNational Security, finally published in2001butwrittenin1997-1998.

Figure 30. Rebalancing the Security Budget—Four Forces

Inlightofthehugeexpansionofthe“bigwar”budgetforIraqandAfghanistan(andsoonYemen,Sudan,andSomalia),andthecoincidentdevaluationofthedollar in the aftermathof a decadeof inflationarymoneymis-management,we’rebetteroffdiscussingpercentagesthanactualdollaramounts.


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Whenonetakesthetroubletocatalogallof themissionsbeingexecutedbytheUSmilitary(manyofthembecausewehaveonlyoneforeignaffairsactiondefault option: themilitary (or worse, covert paramilitary operations)), onediscoversthatourmilitaryisoptimizedforjust10%oftheactualthreat—whattheUNHigh-LevelPanelcallsInter-StateConflict.

Despitethemassiveamountsofmoneymovedtowardbothsecretintelligenceandhomelandsecuritysince9/11,therealityisthatboththe$75billionayear wenowspendonsecretintelligence,andthe$44billionayearforhomelandsecurity are being very badly spent for lack a Strategic AnalyticModel that properlyrepresentsboththetenhigh-levelthreats(Chapter1)andthetwelvecorepolicies(Chapter8).

Wearestillplanning,programming,andbudgetingonanoldwarparadigminwhichvirtuallyallofthediscretionaryfundingauthoritygoestothePentagon,andvirtuallynodiscretionary(orsurge)spendingauthorityisassignedtoalloftheotherelementsofnationalpower. Belowisacomparisonoftheoldwarparadigmwith thenewpeaceparadigm(which is justasviolent initially,butsharplyreducesviolencethroughintelligentglobalmultinationaloperations).

OLD WAR PARADIGM NEW PEACE PARADIGM• ObsessionwithCurrent

“Intelligence”(ActuallyClassifiedNews),DrivenbyFear,PartisanIdeology,&Greed

• RespectforHistory&CulturalHeritage,StrivingforTruth&Reconciliation

• EmphasisonSecrecy&InnerCircleDialogIgnoringCongress&Public

• OpenDialogthatImplementsArticle1oftheConstitution,isReflective

• UnilateralAggressionwithoutSeriousDiplomacyorNegotiation

• MultinationalDiversityasPrimaryApproachtoAllChallenges

• SpendMoreMakingWarthanPeace,FocusingonOptimizingWealthforOneBillionRich

• CreateStabilizingInfiniteNewWealthbySharingFreeKnowledge“OneCellCallataTime”forFiveBillionPoor

Figure 31. Old War Paradigm versus New Peace Paradigm


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Others,suchasMedardGabel,havedemonstratedthatwearespendingover$1.3trillionayearontheinstrumentsofwar,atthesametimethatwecouldcreateaprosperousworldatpeaceforunder$250billionayear. Peace and prosperity, in other words, cost less than a quarter of what we spend on war, with one big difference: war enriches a few, while peace enriches everyone. WecanlearnfromtheChinese,belowarehighlightsfromaMemorandumonChineseIrregularWarfare.

• ChineseIrregularWarfarestrategyappearstobemoreadvancedthanourown,andconsistsofthejuxtapositionof7thGenerationElectronicWarfareEW7),andajuggernautofPresidential-levelagreementsandpenetrationsWaging Peace across the entire southern hemisphere, using trade,immigration,andculturaloutreach,togainascendancywithoutfighting.

• Chinese success stories include forcing Dick Cheney’s aircraft to land inSingaporeforanunscheduleddemarche(2007-02-25);killingtheabilityoftheJapaneseReconnaissanceSatellite(2007-03-25);possiblyforcingdownaB-52“accidentally”armedwithnuclearmissiles(2007-08-30);hackingtheSecretaryofDefense’spersonalsecuritysystem(2007-09-07);andimpedingthe High-FrequencyActiveAuroralResearchProgram(HAARP)atopChinesetarget (2007-09-23). There are other successes and scares, includingaccesstocomputersattheNorthernAirDefenseCommand(NORAD)notconnected to the Internet—theChineseappear tohavemastereduseofelectronic circuits to penetrate computers running onpublic power, onereasonIspeculatethattheNationalSecurityAgencydesperatelywantstocreateitsownpowergenerationplantsateachofitsmajorlocations.

• ChinesesuccessesinbothLatinAmericaandAfricaaswellasincreasinglyinCentralAsiahavebeennotedbutnot reallyappreciatedbyUSpolicy-makers,althoughsomeseemtoharborthedelusionthattheycanpushtheChineseback. Charm Offensive–How China’s Soft Power Is Transforming the WorldisonebookIrecommend.WhatwedoinPublicDiplomacydoesnot compare favorablywith thevastlymore coherentandbetter-fundedChineseprogram.


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In comparisonwith the Chinese effort that is coherent, peaceful, sustained,andscalable,ourownPublicDiplomacy,StrategicCommunication,andForeignAssistanceprogramsarepathetic.Wearelosingthetotalwarfortotalpeace.ThesearethemajorelementsofChina’sstrategy:

• Old:Chinese businessdiasporasacrossAsiaandespeciallystronginSingapore, Indonesia, and the Philippines, very strong in Argentina,growing stronger in formerPortuguese colonies includingBrazil, viaoperationsfromMacao.

• Old: Massive global student populations in the sciences, with apresence in virtually every major laboratory relevant to nationalsecurityandthenationalinfrastructure.

• New:Presidential-level push acrosstheentireSouthernHemisphere,to establish trade agreements, subsidize processing and transportof needed raw natural resources, and facilitate the unrestrictedimmigrationofChinesenationals.MacaoisbaseforaccessingformerPortuguesecolonies.

• New: Substantive surge in cultural outreach that can fairly bedescribedas three tofivetimesbetter thanours,with freeChineselessons,culturalcenters3-5timesbetterthanours,freeconstructionofheadquartersbuildings(noextrachargefortheelectronicmonitoringgridthatcomeswitheach).

• Worst-case scenarios see us losing access and respect to explodingChinesepopulationsthatmoveintomajority status in Argentina and elsewhere around 2025.

Wehavemoremilitarymusiciansthanwehavediplomats.Thatsumsupourdistortedandignorantpriorities.

Onthenextpage,withpointerstofullertreatmentsonline,aretwographicsonintelligencereform,withoutwhichIexpecttheUSGspecifically,andothergovernmentsgenerally,toremaindeaf,dumb,andblind,makingdecisionsoutoftouchwithrealityanddrivenbypartisanideologyinsteadofthetruth.


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Belowaredepictedhow IbelievetheUS$75billionayearcommunitymustberestructuredsoastocreateaSmartNationthatcouldbethecatalyst forachievingaWorldBrain.

Figure 32: Essential Restructuring of US “Intelligence” Community

Apartfrommyvariousbooks,mylatestthinkingonallthisisprovidedbymyHumanIntelligence(HUMINT)Trilogy at PhiBetaIota,consistingof:

• Intelligence for the President–AND Everyone Else,aspublishedinCounterPunch,WeekendEdition,February27–1March2009

• Fixing the White House and National Intelligence, International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence,Spring2010

• Human Intelligence (HUMINT): All Humans, All Minds, All the Time (SSIMonographDraft,NEW)


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Chapter 13Regional Centers & Networks

This chapter will gore three sacred (but stupid) oxen among the variedgovernment intelligence communities, but ultimately to the benefit of allconcerned.

SACRED OX #1:NationalSecurityisaboutthreatsandtheonlyreallyimportantsubjectfornationalintelligencetofocusupon.

SACRED OX #2: Secret sources and methods are more valuable and moreimportantandmorerelevantthanopensourcesandmethods.

SACRED OX #3:Bi-lateralsecretdiscussionsarebetterthanmultilateralopendiscussions—theinefficienciesareworththeimpliedbi-lateraltrust.

No,no,andno.The21stCenturyisseeingglobalrecognitionofatleastthreemajorepiphanies(thefancywordfor“aha”):

HOME RULE IS POSSIBLE. Unilateral militarism, virtual colonialism, andpredatoryimmoralcapitalismcanberesistedandrefused.

INFORMATION IS POWER. The quickest route to local and regional self-governance,peace,andprosperityisthroughmultinationalinformation-sharingand sense-making, particularlywith respect to external influences and “truecost”(Chapter25)ofproposedgoodsandservices,bothlocalandglobal.

GROUP SHARING OPTIMIZES WEALTH.ThesharingofinformationamongthemembersoftheregionalgroupanditsEightTribesincreaseswealthforall.


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Withbothpersonalhumilityandtotalrespectforthereader,itisnotpossibletolayoutacompletefoundationwithinthisbookforcertifyingthattheWorldBrainandGlobalGamewillproduceaprosperousworldatpeace.AllIcandois“tellthestory”andhopethatatleastoneregionwilltesttheseideas.Iammyselfimmediatelyavailableforadoptionbyanyregionwishingtousemeinthepursuitofthevisionthisbookdescribes.

Whatwedoknow,fromtheLondonSchoolofBusiness, isthatforeverytenoutofonehundredindividualswhoacquireandbeginusingcellphones,thenationalGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)jumpsonehalfofonepercent.Ibelievethatthedocumentedresultisunder-statedfortworeasons:

1.Theintangiblebenefitsofbeing“connected”arevastlymorethanjustwhatcanbemeasuredbyformalmonetarymetrics;and

2.GDPisnotagoodmeasureofasociety’shealth—GenuineProgressIndicator(GPI)isbetter.Itismyviewthatatthebottomofthepyramidamongtheverypoor,acellphoneyields100%positiveresultsandthereforeitsvalueisatleasttwicewhatcanbemeasuredusingonlymonetarymetrics.

Acorereferencesnowavailableonthispointis “Whenacellphoneis likeacow,”The Financial Express,Apr07,2007,fromwhichthefollowinggemsaretakenforsharinghere:

WhileeconometricresearchbytheLondonSchoolofBusinesshas shown that 10phones per 100people add0.6% to theGDP of a country, the United Nations estimates that 0.6%growthcutspovertyby1.2%.

Today GrameenPhone has 10 million subscribers, connects100millionpeople through2,50,000phone ladies,whobuyphones on microloans from the Grameen Bank and leaseair time to villagers tomake a living after paying off theirloans.Todayaphoneladyearnsonanaverage$750ayear,whichisdoubletheaverageannualincomeofaBangladeshi.GrameenPhonehasrevenuesof$1billionandannualprofitsof$200million.

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Asecondreference,“CantheCellphoneHelpEndGlobalPoverty?,”isfeaturedwithintheICTforDevelopmentwebsite,addingcommentarythatsupplementsa New York Times storybySaraCorbettofApril13,2008.

According to statistics, 80 percent of the world populationlives in cellular network range,which is double the level in2000;and68percentoftheworld’smobilesubscriptionsbythe endof 2006were in developing countries, according tofiguresfromtheInternationalTelecommunicationsUnion.Thisreflectsthedemand,servedbyvariousnetworkproliferationstrategies.

Thepressuretoincreasenetworkscomesfromthemorethan3.3billionmobile-phonesubscriptionsworldwide.“AccordingtostatisticsfromthemarketdatabaseWirelessIntelligence,it tookabout20years for thefirstbillionmobilephones tosellworldwide.Thesecondbillionsoldinfouryears,andthethirdbillionsoldintwo.”However,asstatedhere,thereareatleastthreebillionpeoplewhodon’towncellphones,thebulkofthemtobefoundinAfricaandAsia.[Emphasisadded.]

When given an opportunity by cellphone researchers like Chipchase, theresidentsofeconomicallypoorsectionsofcitiesexpresstheirideasofdreamphones-abottom-upapproachtodesign.Theirideasreflecttheirneeds,fromadd-onairqualitymonitorstolandminedetectorstoweatherpredictorstoaglobalpositioningdevice(GPS)thatwillpointtoMecca.

And,inatop-downapproach,futuristiccellphoneprototypesarebeingtestedinthissamesocio-economiccategory-fromphones that can recharge by being swung around for 15minutes to those that have photos rather than numbers intheiraddressbook.Thoughthedesignfocusmaynotappeartobedirectedtowardsendingglobalpoverty,theconnectivityofcellphones,accordingtodesignerChipchase,mayincreasepeople’s productivity and well-being because they can bereached.


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Connectingthelastthreebillionpeoplewillsavehumanityforthesimplereasonthatitwillunleashtheentrepreneurialpowerofallthoseminds.

REGIONAL INTELLIGENCE. Aregionalintelligencecentreshouldbeorganizedtoassureboththeexploitationofallknowledgeavailablelocallyandgloballyamong the Eight Tribes of intelligence using themilitary as the hub in eachnational jurisdiction; and to qualify for membership in an emergent globalnetwork of regional intelligence centers that will ultimately comprise thefoundationfortheWorldBrain.AnillustrationofaUSA-centeredMultinationalDecision-SupportCentre(MDSC)isprovidedinFigure18onpager52(Chapter6). Below is a depiction of a proposed organization for an Asian RegionalMultinationalDecision-SupportCentrefully-capableofsharingandexploitingbothsecretandopeninformation.

Figure 33. Regional Multinational Decision-Support Centre (RMDSC)

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Belowisdepictedasimpleformoforganizationwhereamilitary“watchcenter”providesaserviceofcommonconcernforthenation(orprovinceordistrict),usingcellphonesandtheInternettoharnesswhatIhavecalled“thedistributedintelligence”ofthecollective.

Figure 34. Home Country Military Hub for M4IS2

M4IS2istheSwedishconceptofMultinational,Multiagency,Multidisciplinary,Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making. This depiction placesthehomecountrymilitaryasthecentralactorforinternal,regional,andglobalinformation-sharing and sense-making, both secret and open, because themilitaryhas thecommunicationsandcomputing resources to fulfill this role,andthemilitaryistheone“culture”thatisvirtuallyuniformaroundtheworld.


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REGIONAL “ON DEMAND” EDUCATION. Thepoormaybeilliterate,buttheyarenotstupid. Onceempoweredwithacellphone,evenifonlyaborrowedcellphone,thewayisopentoeducatethepoor“onecellcallatatime.”Thisrequiresacombinationofacallcenteroraseriesofcallcenters,andaGlobalVolunteerVirtual TranslationNetwork (GV2TN) that can fully satisfynationalandregionalneedsforeducatedmentorswhohaveInternetaccess,languagecompetency,andawillingnesstovolunteersometime—aslittleas30minutesaday—tobehelpful.

Thereareahandfulofconceptsthatareassociatedwiththisapproach.

CULTURAL HERITAGE. Diversity is our salvation, forwithin diversitywefindinnovationinthefaceofadversity.Thelossofalanguageisthelossofaculture.Creatingcallcentersandprovidingameansofconnectingallthosewhospeaka particular language or dialect regardless of where they are on the planetisasuperbmeansofbothmaintainingaculturalheritage,andprovidingthemembersofthatculturewith“globalreach.”

EARLY WARNING.Overfifteenyearsago,whileattendingaHackersConference(theSiliconValleyconferencestartedbyStewartBrand),wediscussedthefuturevalueof informationandconcludedthatinthefuturetheQUESTIONismorevaluablethantheANSWER.Imaginethevalueoftenfarmerscallinginwithcellphonephotosofthesameplantdisease,orthesamekindofdeadbird—thisisaformofearlywarningthatnocountrycanafford,butifacallcenterisinplace,thiskindofwarningcomesfreeandinrealtime.

TIME-ENERGY SAVINGS.MinisterMentorLeeKuanYewhaswritten(in2005) “demography,notdemocracy,willbethemostcriticalfactorforsecurityandgrowthinthe21stCentury.”Nationsneedpoliciestoreducepovertyandtheseincludediscouragementofexcessprocreation,andtheuseofICTtoconservedemographictimeandenergy.Ifacallcentercansaveman-hoursthatwouldotherwisehavetobeused(e.g.goingtothemarkettolearnprices),thisisanetproductivitygainforthecountryasawhole.


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TheINTEGRITYoftheinformationavailabletodecision-makersistherootfactorindeterminingallelse.

Regardlessoftheirideologicalorculturalviewpoints,allpartiesshouldacceptTRUTHasafactor.

AttheOperationalleveltheremustbeagreementontwelvecorepoliciesaboutwhichtruthfulinformationmustbesharedandevaluated.

ThetwelvecorepoliciesareAgriculture,Diplomacy,Economy,Education,Energy,Family,Health,Immigration,Justice,Security,Society,andWater.

Thereareeightdemographicchallengerswhowilldeterminethefutureofhumanity,bothwithintheirownborders,andacrosstheSouthernHemisphere.

Wemustacknowledge,embrace,andrespectBrazil,China,India,Indonesia,Iran,Russia,Venezuela,andWildCardssuchastheCongo,Malaysia,SouthAfrica,andTurkey.

TheregionalunionsarebothclosertotheirownchallengesthantheUNorotherinternationalbodies,andmoreeffectiveintheaggregatethananysinglenationalentity.

SimultaneouslywithanefforttocreateUNODIN,emphasismustbeplacedonhelpingandencouragingeachregionaluniontobecomemasterofitsowninformationnet.

TheUSAinparticular,Westerncountriesingeneral,andthedictatorsoftheplanet(44ofthem)nowrepresent,withtheexceptionofCuba,culturesofcatastrophe,cheating,andconflict.

Theonlyviableantidotetoculturesofcatastrophe,cheating,andconflictisacompetingcultureof“thetruthatanycost”thatdemonstratesthattruthreducesallothercostsforthelarger good.


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Theprimarysourceofinequality,poverty,andotherillschallenginghumanityasawholeandtheimpoverishedregionsespeciallyisInformationAsymmetry.

Thefastestwaytoremediatepovertyandinjusticeistoconnectthefivebillionpoorwithcellphones,andtoeducatethemonecellcallatatime.

Thesecondarysourceofinequality,poverty,andotherillschallenginghumanityismissinginformation.

Intandemwithempoweringallhumanswithconnectivity,thedeterminationoftruecostsisvital.

Governmentsandorganizationsaredysfunctionallyorganizedandmoreresponsivetospecialintereststhantothepublicinterest—decisions“inourname”arebankruptingthemanyinfavorofthefew.

Budgetaccountabilityandtransparencymustbeachievedthroughpublicdemandsforelectoralreformincludingreferendumsandpostingofallproposedlegislationpriortoavote.

Analternativeandcomplementaryviewoftheglobalchallengematrixisthatoffourthreats—hightechbrutes,lowtechbrutes,hightechseers,lowtechseers.

Governmentsmustrestructureandrebalancethemselvesinordertocreatefourforcesafternext,onefocusedonwagingpeace,anotherondomesticprosperity.

TheglobaldistributionoflegacyICTsystemscompartmentedbyorganization,issue,location,andmultipleformsofsecretcontrolcannot address our challenges.

Regionalcentersandnetworksthatleverageopensoftware,sources,andspectrumaretheessentialfoundationforcreatingaglobalinformation-sharingenvironment.

Withinmostgovernments,themilitaryistheonlyorganizationthatcombinesdiscipline,adequatefunding,andC4Iexpertise.

Themilitaryshouldserveasthehubforcreatingnationalandregionalandtheninternationalinformation-sharingandsense-makingnetworks.


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Part III

Tactical Intelligence—DiversityAllHumans,AllMinds,AlltheTime—

TheWorldBrain

Part III consistsof sevenchaptersaddressing thepractical tacticalaspectsofcreatingaWorldBrain thatcancreateaccuratetimely intelligence (decision-support)ineveryclimeandplace.Itincludeschaptersonanalytictradecraft,thepowerofindigenousdemographicsthatnogovernmentcansuppress,thenewcraftofintelligence,abroaderunderstandingofhumanintelligence(HUMINT)thanisnowacceptedamonggovernments,andaculminatingpoint—thecenterofgravity—aglobaltolocalrangeofneedstable.

ThispartofthebookemphasizesDIVERSITYinthesenseintendedbyallofthemodernsageswhohavestudiedtheinherentorderandinter-dependenceofallnaturalsystems—whatStewartBrand called Co-Evolutionandwhatotherstoday call Bio-Mimicry.Diversityiswhatgivesusoptions.

Whereas thefinalpartof thebook focuseson technicalmatters, thispart isabout human interaction—the human craft of intelligence that demandsmultinational information-sharing and sense-making, predominantlywithoutsecrets, and able toharnesswhat I have for decades called “thedistributedintelligenceoftheWholeEarth.”

Ashortanecdotefirst.HowardBloom,inGlobal Brain–The Evolution of Mass Mind from the Big Bang to the 21st Century (Wiley,2001)speaksofEskimos

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having 50 words for snow—and how our brain cells corresponding to the49wordswe do not learn at an early age vanish beforewe are teen-agers.Linguistic and cultural diversity is the essence of the World Brain, and wemustallrecognizethatnotonlydotheindigenouspeopleshavevaststoresofknowledgethatareessentialtothefutureofhumanity;butthateverylossofanylanguage,anyculture,sharplyreducesthediversityofinnovativeideasthatcouldbehelpfultoourevolutionaryactivism,toourconsciousevolution,toourintegralconsciousnessasaspecies.

Chapter 15. Tactical Intelligence Sources and Methods. Thegravestproblemwe have within the “organized” intelligence communities (generally justgovernments and selected corporations) apart from technical inadequaciesdiscussed in Part IV, is the lack of a Strategic Analytic Model that is all-encompassing.Governmentsfocusexcessivelyonmilitaryandcriminalthreats,anddonotapplytheduediligencenecessarytothenon-militarythreats.

Chapter 16. Indigenous Peoples—Demographic Poverty & Power. TheWest,and“modern”capitalism,focusontheonebillionrichwithanannualincomeofonetrilliondollars.Thefutureisatthebottomofthepyramid,wherefivebillionpoorhaveatotalannualincomeoffourtrillion.Withinthatpopulation,thereareover5,000distinctindigenousethnicgroupswiththeirowncultures,language,andcenturiesofdeepknowledge.

Chapter 17. The New Craft of Intelligence (Collection & Processing). Iwillnotrepeatthecontributionsmade intwoearlierbooks,THE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political; and INFORMATION OPERATIONS: All Information, All Languages, All the Time. Herewewill focusonlyon theglobally-relevant concepts needed to enable multinational multifunctionalinformation-sharingandsense-making.Sufficetosaythatitisimpossibleforanyonecountry,evenoneasnominallywealth(butgrotesquelymis-managed)astheUSA,togetagriponallrelevantinformationinclusiveofhistoricalandculturalinformationaswellasinformationin183languageswesimplydonotcomprehend. Toachieve IntelligenceforEarthdemandsacoherent,holistic,universalacceptanceofmultinationalinformation-sharing.


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Chapter 18. The New Craft of Intelligence (Analysis & Decision-Support). The sadrealityisthatevenwith$75billionayearbeingspentonsecretintelligence,the USA still does not do decision-support for the President (who gets “atbest”4%ofwhatheneeds)oranyoneelse.Acompleterestructuring—indeeda reinvention—of intelligenceanalysisanddecision-support isneeded. Suchreformisnotexpensive,butitdoesrequireacomprehensivere-educationofthepublic,policymakers,acquisitionmanagers,operationalcommanders,andintelligencepractitioners.

Chapter 19. Human Intelligence (HUMINT): All Humans, All Minds, All the Time. TheinformationinthemonographfromtheStrategicStudiesInstitute(SSI)willnotbereplicatedhere(andisfreeonline).Herewefocusonthebroadstrokesneededtoreconnecthumanintelligencetodecision-making.

Chapter 20. 21st Century Counterintelligence: Evaluating Health of the Nation. Thischapterfocusesonwhatcounterintelligenceshouldbeaddressingin the 21stCentury,notontheminutiaofcounterintelligence.MindfulofSunTzu’sdictumthatonemustknowoneself,thischapterappliestheframeworkfortheanalysisofrevolutionarypotentialfromFigure37atpage136totheUSAspecifically,theworldgenerally,providingcitations(andlinksinthefreeonlineversionofthebook)tohundredsofbooksbyotherswhoareauthoritativeonthevariousmeansbywhichwearesubvertingourselves.

Chapter 21. Conclusions and Recommendations. Thefindingsofthispart,andrelatedrecommendations,arepresentedsidebyside.


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Chapter 15Tactical Intelligence Sources & Methods

This isnotabookabouttradecraft,butratheraboutmind-set. Thematerialthatfollows,bothinthischapterandintheotherchaptersinthisthirdpartofthebook,seeksto illuminatehowbroadly—holistically—wemustthink ifwearetobeeffectiveatunderstandingandthenadaptingtoreality.

Threecorepointswillbemadeinthischapter:

1.Everythingisconnected.Itisnotpossibletogetanaccurateunderstandingofanysingle threat,oranysingledomain,withoutunderstanding thewholesystem.

2. Thereare four levelsofanalysis thatarenowblendingdependingonthecircumstances:strategic,operational,tactical,andtechnical;theseinturnhavethree“slices”thatinteract:civilian,military,andenvironmental.

3. The threat changes depending on the level of analysis. This is hugelyimportantinpartbecausepolicymakerswhohavenoideaaboutstrategyandwhoreceivetrulymediocre intelligence(decision-support)tendtoover-reactorassumeideologicallyorpolitically-motivatedextremistpositionsthatendupcostingallconcerned,includinginternationalbusinessmen.

Wewill begin with a comparison from a book by Charles Hampden-Turner,Radical Man: The Process of Psycho-Social Development (Gerald Duckworth,1971).Itisthesinglebestbookwehavefoundinthepastfiftyyearsofreadingfocusedonhumanityandthenatureofman,whocanbeeitherananimaloraradicalinnovativehumanbeing,aconscioushumanbeing.


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Onthispageandthenextaretwographicsfromthebookthatwereusedtocreateoneaxisofmy1975-1976graduatethesisonunderstandingrevolution.

Figure 35. Man as Anemic Failure

This is not the place to replicate the magnificent work done by CharlesHampden-Turner (who not so incidentally, produced thiswork against greatopposition from a “multitude of academic Know-Nothings”who trashed his“naïveidealism”andfocusedmostlyonmaintainingtheirownstatus).

If therewere one book that could be said to have radicalizedme, this is it.A strong complement, but a totally differentbook, is Robert Carkhuff’s The exemplar–The exemplary performer in the age of productivity(HumanResourceDevelopmentPress,1984).

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Figure 35. Radical Man Fulfilled

ThedescriptivetermsusedbyCharlesHampden-Turnercomprisetheverticalaxisoftheoriginaltheoryforthinkingaboutrevolutioninveryhumanterms.

Thehorizontalaxiswasfleshedoutafterexaminingcommonexplanationsofrevolution(generallypolitical-legalorsocio-economic)andrealizingthatideo-cultural,techno-demographic,andnatural-geographicneededtobeadded.

Ashortversionofmythesis,Thinking About Revolution,wascreatedin1992andistherecommendedfirststepbeyondthischapter.


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Figure 37. Framework for the Analysis of Revolution

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Intheprecedingmatrix,onecanappreciatetheenormouscontributionmadebyCharlesHampden-Turneronlyifonefirstunderstandsthatwhenthismatrixwasfirstcreated,onlyathirdofthesquarescouldbefilledfromtheexistingliterature. His startlingly original work was both essential to the discoveryof other pre-conditions of revolution in domains not previously consideredby scholar-practitioners, andhelpful in understanding that concentrationsofanythingarebadforsociety—humanityrequiresmoderationandbalance.

BelowisasingleillustrationoftheanalyticmodelunderlyingtheExpeditionaryEnvironment Analytic Model used by the Marine Corps Intelligence Center(MCIA)ofwhich theauthorwasboth the senior civilian, and StudyDirectorfor the flagship study, Overview of Planning and Programming Factors for Expeditionary Operations in the Third World.

Figure 38. Levels of Analysis and Vertical Analytic Domains


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Finally, we come to a very important point that neither the US IntelligenceCommunity nor the policy makers, acquisition managers, and operationalcommanders,appeartohavegraspeddespite itsbeingpresentedfrom1988onwards inavarietyofpublicforums. The threat changes depending on the level of analysis.

Figure 39. Threat (or Factor) Changes at Each Level of Analysis

The test case for arriving at this understanding was the Libyan T-72 tankfromRussia, at thetime thebest tankmoneycouldbuy. Then,asnow, theevaluationwasfocusedonlyonitstechnicalmerits,withoutregardtostrategicsustainability,operationalavailability,ortacticalreliability.

Thatwillhavetosufficeforthisoverview.Agreatdealmoreinformationcanbefoundviathelinksintheonlineversionofthisbook,orbysearchingatPhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog.


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Chapter 16Indigenous Peoples

Demographic Poverty & Power

The“povertyzone”shownbelowdepictsthosecountriesoftheworldwhereasubstantialpercentageofthepopulationlivesonlessthanonedollaraday.

Figure 40. The Poverty Zone


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About1billionpeoplegloballyliveinextremepoverty-lessthan$1perday.Nearly3billion(halftheworld)livesonlessthan$2perday.

Poverty,rightfullyandrighteouslydeclaredthesinglegreatesthigh-levelthreattohumanityby theUNHigh-Level ThreatPanel, tends tobe consistentwithgenderinequality,childmortality,illiteracy(notthesameasidiocy),untreatedinfectiousdiseases,andwaterscarcity.

ThereareanumberofexcellentandablyillustratedAtlasesoftheworldwherethisconstellationofburdenscanbeexplored.However,thereisapointaboutpoverty that is not well-made inmany publications, and that is that in theso-called affluent nations, the concentration ofwealth in the top 1% of thepopulationhas become sooutrageously inequitable as to placemuch largerpercentagesofthebroaderpublicintopovertystatus.BelowisadepictionofpovertyintheUSAasof2000.Ibelieveithastripledasof2010.

Figure 41: Poverty in the USA 2000

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Beforeturningtothemorepositiveaspectofindigenouspeoples,ImerelywanttoobservethatonereasonpovertyisproperlyrankedbytheHigh-LevelPanelaboveallotherthreatsisbecausepovertyisinandofitselfthefoundationforalloftheotherthreats.

Povertyiswhereinfectiousdiseasesthrivewithouttreatment.Povertycausesbillionstodovastlymoredamagetotheenvironmentthanallthecorporationsin theworld combined. While this entire book and thewebsite created tosupport thisbook,PhiBeta Iota,comeat theaboveassertion fromall sides,thereareafewbooksIwishtomentionhere:

Deer Hunting with Jesus–Dispatches from America’s Class War (JoeBageant)

Eco-Imperialism–Green Power, Black Death(PaulDriessen)

Environment, Scarcity, and Violence (ThomasHomer-Dixon)

Environmental Security and Global Stability–Problems and Responses(PaulG.GaffneyIIandMaxManwaring,Editors)

The Health of Nations–Infectious Disease, Environmental Change, and Their Effects on National Security and Development (AndrewPrice-Smith)

The Real Environmental Crisis–Why Poverty, Not Affluence, Is the Environment’s Number One Enemy(JackM.Hollander)

In all of these books, the real eye-opener for me was Joe Bageant’s Deer Hunting with Jesus,whichilluminatedtherealitythatacrosseverysmalltowninAmerica, there is a small “cabal” that cheats the citizensof corporate taxrevenuesandincomebyexchangingtaxwaivers,freepublicland,andpollutionexemptions to corporations in return for commissions and consulting fees.Corruptionisnot limitedtodictatorsorthetwo-partytyrannyinAmerica(intheserviceof itsWallStreetbarons),corruptioniseverywhere,andtheonlyantidotetocorruptioniscompletetransparency.AsIobserveatthebeginningofthisbook,thereisplentyofmoneywithwhichtocreateaprosperousworldatpeace,wesimplyhavetostopthefewfromstealingitall.


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Withtherealityofglobalpovertyfirmly inmindasourhighest-priorityhigh-levelthreattohumanity, inthethreeremainingpagesofthischapter Iwantto itemize some books along two lines of inquiry: first, the power of thepeople,whatevertheircondition;andsecond,theinfinitepossibilityofpovertyeradicationandwealthcreationifwecanconnectthepeopletooneanotherandtoinformation.

APowerGovernmentsCannotSuppress(HowardZinn)

CountercultureThroughtheAges–FromAbrahamtoAcidHouse(KenGoffmana.k.a.R.U.Sirius)

Dignity for All–How to Create a World Without Rankism(RobertFuller)

Escaping the Matrix–How We the People can change the world(RichardMoore)

Improper behavior–when misconduct is good for society(ElizabethJaneway)

Orbiting the Giant Hairball–A Corporate Fool’s Guide to Surviving with Grace (GordonMacKenzie)

PedagogyofFreedom–Ethics,Democracy,andCivicCourage(PauloFreire)

Pedagogy of the Oppressed (PauloFreire)

Philosophy and the Social Problem–The Annotated Edition(WillDurant)

Society’s Breakthrough!–Releasing Essential Wisdom and Virtue in All the People(JimRough)

TeachingtoTransgress–EducationasthePracticeofFreedom

The Power of the Powerless–Citizens Against the State in Central-Eastern Europe(VaclavHavel)

The Unconquerable World–Power, Nonviolence, and the Will of the People (JonathanSchell)

The Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization: Diplomacy’s Cutting Edge (JeffGreenwald)

Thesebooksbarelyscratchthesurface.Free will is our power, our destiny.


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Demographic Purchasing Power

C.K.Prahalad’sThe Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid–Eradicating Poverty Through Profits (Wharton, 2004) is cited in my Preface as one of four life-changingbooksinmyreadinghistory.

Hiscorepointcannotbeover-emphasizedorrepeatedtoooften:theonebillionrich aroundwhommodern capitalismand its toxic companion consumerismareorganizedhasanaggregateincomeofroughlyonetrillionayear;thefivebillionpoor,despitethefactthatbillionsarelivingon$1to3dollarsaday,hasanaggregateannualincomeoffourtrillion—four times as much.

MostcapitalistsarestillinthethroesoftheIndustrialEra,wheremoneybuyspoliticians; environmental costs canbeexternalized to thepublic and futuregenerations; and the public can be influenced to want—even enjoy—dirtywater,contaminatedair,unhealthyfood,andtoxicmaterialgoods.

Itwilltakeanotherquartercenturytoturnbackthe“RedTide”ofcapitalismrunamok,butthateraisover,andaspublicintelligenceinthepublicinterestgainsground,acceleratedbyitsattributesofbeingfree,useful,andinfinitelyshareable,Ianticipatehugechangesinthemarketplacesuchthattheblindwhothinktheyare“toobigtofail”comingcrashingdown,andthesmall,fleetoffootwillingto listentothepublicthriveacrossaninfinitevarietyofniches,mostofthemlocalinnature.

Wehave,Ibelieve,threekindsofwasteinour“modern”systemofsystems:

1. Waste inherent incomplexityandanattendantabsenceofaccountability.ThePriceWaterHouseCooperdocumentationofhow50%ofeveryUShealthdollarisspentonwasteisaperfectexample.

2.Wasteinherentinignoranceoftheconsequencesofourmis-behavior.Pavingoverwetlands,convertingagriculturetoafactory-basedsystemandallowinganimalsbredformeattospreaddisease,exposingourchildrentotoxinsand


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electronic emissions whose ill-effects the power companies and others arequicktoobscure,allofthisimposesunnecessarycosts.

3.Finally,wehavewasteinherentinthedestructionofthecommonsandtheadoptionofexclusiveownershipofportionsofMotherEarth,especiallyinlandwaters,below-groundaquifers,andoceanshorelines,suchthatthemanyaredeprivedsolelytobenefitafew.

Thetimehascometoeliminateall threeformsofwastebyempoweringthepoortocreateinfinitewealth—stabilizingwealththatenablespeaceforall—at the same time that we re-invent governance, capitalism, education, andeverythingelsethatcould,thatshould,thatdoesnottoday,characterizehomo sapiens ascendant.

C. K. Prahalad is—by his own acknowledgement—the tip of the iceberg ofknowledge that could unleash the entrepreneurial energy and time (time-energywasalwaysBuckminsterFuller’scoremeasure)ofthefivebillionpoor.

MuhammadYanus, inCreating a World Without Poverty–Social Business and the Future of Capitalismoffersusaveryrealimplementationplan.

Featured inhisbook, inthemiddle, is theFrenchcompanyDanone,andthejointventuretocreateayogurtforthepoorchildren,ultimatelybeingdeliveredinabio-degradablecupthatconvertsintofertilizer.

This product at whatever price was created within a poor economy wherethecosttoproducewasless;itwasdesignedtocostlessanduseinexpensivebio-degradablepackaging, and it delivered just asmuchnutrition as amoreexpensiveproductinheavyplasticandneedingrefrigeration.

Theconflict—onethatIhopewillberapidlyresolvedonthebasisofcommonsensestandingfirmonafoundationofpublicintelligence(discussedinthenexttwochapters)—isbetweencorporationsthathaveplunderedtheThirdWorldbackedupbytheUSMarineCorpsandotherArmedForces—andthe“home


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cultures” that arenow ready toblossom in their own right, overcoming thecolonialization,predatorycapitalism,andunilateralmilitarismofthepast.

AsC.K.Prahaladobserves,thereisafortuneatthebottomofthispyramid,andthey are notgoingtospendthatfortuneon“Western”consumergoodsoronpredatorypricing.

The Innovator’s Solution–Creating and Sustaining Successful GrowthbyClaytonM. Christensen andMichael E. Raynor, offers three “litmus tests” helpful tothoseseekingtomonetizedisruptivenewideas:

1) Is there a population of clients that has historically been under-funded,under-staffed,andhaveasaresultgone without? 2)Isthisgrouplikelytoappreciatelowercost“goodenough”solutions? 3)Isitpossibletobeprofitablewhileprovidingtheseclientslowercostgoodenoughsolutions?

The Power of Women

IstillrememberbeingstartledbyMichaelO’Hanlon’sdiscussion,inA Half Penny on the Federal Dollar–The Future of Development Aid(Brookings,1997),ofhowevenafewyearsofeducationforwomenresultedinsubstantiveprogressacrossanumberoffrontsincludingfamilyhealthandtherecognitionofthevalueofkeepingfamiliessmallinnumber.

AsIrecollectconcluding,thesinglebestreturnoninvestmentforforeignaidorassistanceofanykind,dollarfordollar,liesintheeducationofwomen.ThisisonereasonwhyIbelievethatthe“telephonelades”ofIndiaareattheverybeginningoftheirrisetowealthandamuchgreaterrole inthepoliticalandeconomic and cultural affairs of their communities from local to national toglobal. Puttingacellphoneinthehandsofapoorwomanis inmyviewtheperfectantidotetoputtingaguninthehandsofaman.


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Infinite Wealth to the Wealth of Networks

Otherbooksaddresspovertyeradication,mostof themverypoorlybecausethey try to address poverty in isolation from all else. A central premise ofthisbook is thatwemusteradicateall tenhigh-level threats simultaneously,byusingsharedinformationtoharmonizehowwebehaveandhowwespendonall twelvepolicies. Ourobjective isnothing less than theempowermentoftheeightdemographicchallengerssuchthattheyavoidourmistakeswhileleveragingtheentrepreneurialimaginationandenergyoftheirhugepublics.

HereIwillsimplyhonorseveralbooksthathaveinformedme,inorderoftheirpublication,with respect to thepowerof an informedpublic as ameansofcreatinginfinitestabilizingwealth.Ihavementionedthembefore,thisiswhereIwishtocitethemfullyandtogether.

1991. AlvinToffler, Powershift–Knowledge, Wealth, and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century(Bantam,1991)

1999.BarryCarter,Infinite Wealth–A New World of Collaboration and Abundance in the Knowledge Era(Butterworth-Heinemann,1999)

2002.ThomasStewart,The Wealth of Knowledge–Intellectual Capital and the Twenty-first Century Organisation(NicholasBrealey,2002)

2006. Yochai Benkler, The Wealth of Networks–How Social Production Transforms Markets and Freedom (Yale,2006)

2006.AlvinToffler,Revolutionary Wealth(Knoph,2006)

Thereisadifferencebetweentheliteratureoncollectiveintelligence,includingsmartmobs,wisdomof thecrowds,andsoon,and the literatureonwealthcreation.


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Chapter 17The New Craft of Intelligence

(Collection & Processing)

Ihavewrittenanentirebookon the topicof thisand thenext chapter,THE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political(OSS,2002),andalsoabookonINFORMATION OPERATIONS: All Information, All Languages, All the Time (OSS,2003).AswithallbooksthatIwriteorpublish,theyarefreeonlineat PhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog.

The intent of this book is to focus on the highest-level issues thatmust beaddressed by national, regional, and international networks in the practicaldomainsofinformationcollectionandinformationprocessing.

Mytwoillustratedlectureswithnotes,COLLECTION:KnowWhoKnows(2004)and PROCESSING:MaketheMostofWhatYouKnow(2004)arerecommendedforstudy—thischapterisanexecutivesummary,nothingmore.

Therearefourprincipalareasthatrequirestrongleadershipiftheyaretobeproperlyembracedaspartofacoherentintelligenceendeavor:

• LessonsofHistory(InclusiveofCultureandMulti-Lingual)• GlobaltoLocalBurdenSharing• PrivateSectorExploitation• SecretEndeavors(Unilateral,Bi-Lateral,Multi-Lateral)

Asageneralrule,nolessthan80%andusuallycloserto95%ofallinformationneeded tomake themost important decisions is openly available, with theaddedadvantagethatitcanbesharedwithlegislators,media,andthepublic.


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Therearefivecoredomainsincollectionasrelevanttomostoftheworld:

• OpenSourceInformation• HumanInformation• SignalsInformation• ImageryInformation• LeadershipIntegrity

Thefirstandthelastaregenerallyverypoorwithinmost“secret”intelligencecommunities.IignoreMeasurements&SignaturesInformationasbeingmuchtooexpensiveandnotatallsatisfyingintermsofreturnoninvestment.

Although ninety countries are reported to have Open Source Intelligence(OSINT)units,includingalloftheNorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization(NATO)andPartnership forPeace(PfP)countriesaswellasmanyof thecountries in theSouthernHemisphere,thisspecificdisciplineisnotwelldevelopedbecausetheWestern nations—with the exception of TheNetherlands and theNordics—refuse to acknowledge inexpensive open sources that can be shared withanyoneareinfact80%ormoreofthepropersolution.

Usethetwobookscitedabove,andallofthehandbooks and other guides at PhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog,toadvanceinthisarea.

Leadership Integrity is aboutmore than simply being honest. Every leader,whether a recipient of intelligence (decision-support) or a provider ofintelligence(decision-support),isthesoleresponsiblepersonforemphasizingtheimportanceofthetruth.

Thetruthatanycostreducesallothercosts.

Thepurposeofthisbookistobetterexplainthevalueofintelligence(decision-support) to every leader of every developing country and all organizationswithinthosecountries,sothatwecanputastoptofraud,waste,andabuseboth within countries, and as imposed from outside by colonialist powers,

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predatoryimmoralcorporations,andunilateralmilitaryincursions.Chapter20discusses counterintelligence in the sense of knowing ourselves—we cannotovercomeexternalchallengesifweremainoblivioustoourinternalfailures.

Each country enjoys eight distinct “tribes of intelligence,” eachwith its ownaccesstospecifictypesofinformationuniquetoitsdirectinterests,andeachofferingdistinctinternalcapabilitiesaswellasdistinctformsofglobaltolocaloutreachthatcanbeharnessedbythenationalandregionalauthorities.Theyare,inalphabeticalorder:

ACADEMIA.Thisincludesallschools,notjustuniversitiesbutelementaryandhighschools,vocationalschools,corporatetrainingcenters,andsoon.

CIVIL SOCIETY.Thisincludescitizenadvocacyandneighborhoodorganizationsanditspecificallyincludeslaborunionsandreligions.

COMMERCIAL. This includes all decision-support needs for private sectordecision-making,andismuchlargerthanbusinessorcompetitiveintelligence.

GOVERNMENT.Thisincludesmunicipal,countyordistrict,provincialandstate,aswellastribal,territorial,regional,andglobalgovernancenetworks.

LAW ENFORCEMENT.Thisisintendedtoincludethoseauthorizedtouseforceagainstcitizensaswellasallinvestigativeelementsincludingforensics.

MEDIA. This includesboththedyingtraditionalmedia(printandbroadcast)aswellasnichepublishers,Internetzines,andallotherformsofonetomanybroadcasting. Investigative journalism is included, but is not decision-support.

MILITARY. This includes the state and localmilitia, national gendarmes andbordercontrolforces,andallciviliansindirectsupportofthemilitary.

NON-GOVERNMENTAL. Theproliferationofnon-governmentalorganizationshasnothelped reducepovertyoraddress themanyotherglobal issues thatgovernmentshavealsofailedtodealwithresponsibly. Liketheothertribes,thisoneisveryignorant,doesnotshareinformationwell,andneedstolearnhowtodoinformation-basedaction.

Noneofthesecommunitiesshareinformationproperlywithoneanother.


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Today the single most expensive challenge—both in costs incurred and inopportunitieslost,isthechallengeofenablinginformation-sharingandsense-makingamongtheexistingeighttribeswithinanygivennationorregion.

Itisthetaskoftheleadertoensurethatalleighttribesarebeingexploitedtoachievehisorher intelligence(decision-support)objectives;thattheprocessbeingfollowedrespectshistoricalandculturaldiversityandengagesallpossibleregional and global collaborators; and finally, that legal ethical sources andmethodsareusedtothefullestextentpossible.

Theemphasisonlegalethicalsourcesandmethodsisimportantbecausetheyaregenerallytheleastexpensiveintermsoftimeandmoney,andalsotheleastriskyintermsofpoliticalorcultural“blow-back.”

Itisalsothetaskoftheleadertoensurethattheverybestpeopleareattractedtotheintelligence(decision-support)profession,andthattheyaretreatedwiththeutmostrespectandcare.Therearesixconsiderations.

GettingandKeepingtheRightPeople

• Seekouttheinnovatorswithopen-minds• Trainthembeforeandthroughouttheirservice• Sustainthemwithproperpayandgoodworkingconditions

GettingandKeepingtheRightManagers

• Intelligenceprofessionalsare“goldcollar”workers—theyareracehorses,notplowhorses

• Intelligenceistough—thehighestalcoholism,adultery,divorce,andsuiciderates—managersmustnurture,coach,mentor,andprotect

• Judgeyourmanagersbytheirworstemployee

Collectionisthefoundationforanalysis—ifthebestpeoplearenotmanagingcollection,allthesmartanalystsintheworldwillbehelpless,fortheyareonlyasgoodasthesources,theprocessing,and(onlythen)theirowngifts.


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Requirements Definitioniswheremostintelligenceprocessesfail.Tobespecific,onecanspend$75billionayearastheUSAdoesforsecretintelligence,andstillknow littleof value. Virtually all of thatmoney is being spenton collectionwithouteveractuallytalkingtoacustomeraboutwhattheirrequirementsare;andwithoutprocessing80%ormoreofthecollection.

The most recent NationalIntelligenceStrategy(2009)oftheUSAisanexampleofadocumentthatwascreatedwithoutevertalkingtocustomers,allies,oranyoftheotherseventribesofintelligence.

Everyoneneedsdecision-support—fromCabinetMinisterstoindividualactionofficers.Themostfundamentalmistakemadebymostgovernmentsistotreatintelligenceasaclassifiednewsserviceratherthanasadecision-supportserviceessentialnotjusttoCabinetministers,buttoallactionofficers.

Everypersonreceivingintelligence(decision-support)servicesshouldbeaskedthreequestionseachday:

1.Whatwouldyouhavelikedtoknowyesterdaythatwefailedtoprovide?

2.Whatdoyouneedtoknowtodaythatwedidnotdiscussyesterday?

3.Whatdoyouneedtoknowtomorrow,nextweek,nextmonth,nextyear?

Alloftheseanswersshouldthenbecollatedtoestablishthespecificcollectionmanagementobjectiveswithprioritiesandspendingandlevelofeffortordetailbeingestablishedaspartoftheplan.

Collection Managementisabout“knowingwhoknows,”aphraseintroducedtothelargerintelligencecommunityoftheworldbyDr.StefanDedijerspeakingtothefirstinternationalconferenceonGlobalSecurity&GlobalCompetitiveness:OpenSourceSolutionsinDecember1992.


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CollectionManagementconsistsoffourparts,eachofwhichhasaProcessingcomponent.

• FIND.Dowealreadyknowthis?• GET.Canwegetthisfromtheotherseventribesoranothernation?• BUY.Canwebuythisatlowcostquicklyfromtheprivatesector?• TASK.Whichspecificpersonorcapabilityshallweordertodothis?

Processing iscentraltoeverypartoftheintelligence(decision-support)cyclefromdefining requirements (whoelsehas thesameneed,havewemet thisneedbefore)throughcollection,analysis,anddissemination.

National Security C3I3H3–Command, Communications, & Computing, Inter-Agency, Inter-Disciplinary, Inter-Operability, Heuristics of the CommunityIntelligenceCycle, a 1987 graduate-level studyof threeUS Embassies, cametotheconclusionthatthetotalCountryTeamcollected lessthan20%oftherelevant available information spanning allUS information requirements, forthreereasons:

• US diplomats were in the minority in their own Embassy,outnumberedbyabroad rangeof individuals frommanyUSagencies

• USdiplomatshavenomoneywithwhichtoentertain(belowtheAmbassadoriallevel)andarelimitedtothephysicsofa24-hourdayandwhowillbeseenwiththeminpublic

• USspieshavelotsofmoneybutwillonlylistentotraitors

Worse,becausemostoftheinformationreceivedinbulkisinhard-copy(e.g.university yearbooks, commercial reports, local directories, local journals),theinformationiseitherdiscardedlocallyorreturnedtoWashingtoninhard-copyviathediplomaticpouchorthepostalservice.OnceinWashingtontheinformationisdiscardedorfiledawayandisnotshared.

The bottom line: Spilling 80% of the 20%, it can be said that the averageEmbassyprovides itsnationalgovernmentwith less than2%of theavailable


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relevantinformationinusableform—andthatiswithoutconsideringlanguagetranslationchallenges,wheretheUSisnotoriouslyill-equipped,particularlyforcomplexlanguagescharacteristicofthemostunstableareasoftheworld.

Modern technology allows for inexpensive scanners to be distributed at allreasonablecollectionpoints—inatypicalembassythereshouldbeoneinthepolitical,economic,visa,andsecurityoffices.Essentialhard-copyinformationthatneedstobesharedshouldbescannedinatthecollectionpointsothatitcanbeshareddigitallyandimmediatelywiththe“wideareanetwork.”

AsMultinationalEngagement,alsoknownasM4IS2(Multinational,Multiagency,Multidisciplinary,Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making) gainsacceptance,threeverygoodthingswillhappen:

1.EmbassieswillhavesharednetworkssothatinformationisonlyscannedinonceandthensharedacrossallEmbassies(e.g.economicreports)

2. Each Embassy can mobilize its respective “tribes” into a local nationalnetworksothatitscounterpartacademics,commercialrepresentatives,media,andnon-profitshaveanincentivetoparticipateinthelocalwideareanetwork

3. Countriesandlocalbusinesseswillrecognizethatdigital informationgoesfurtherandfasterandreachesmoreminds,andwillbeincentivizedtoprovideas much information as possible in digital form—helping them achieve thisshouldbeamajorfocusonallassistanceprograms.

Therearetwoaspectsofdataentrythatmeritemphasis:

1.OpenSourcedatastandardsareveryhelpful.ManycountriesaremovingtoFree/OpenSourceSoftware(F/OSS)becausetheydonotfeelthattheircitizensshouldhavetobuyproprietaryMicrosoftorotherproductsinordertoaccessinformation created or purchased with taxpayer funds. While the Internetmakesiteasytoshare,theforminwhichtheoriginaldataisprovidedmakesadifference,especiallyintheSouthernHemisphere.


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2. Most organizations understand Date Time Group (DTG) attributes forinformation; few understand the equal importance of geospatial attributesprovidedviaaSpatialReferenceSystem(SRS)sometimescalledaCoordinateReference System (CRS). It is not possible to domachine-speed processingto isolateall informationaboutaspecific locationwithoutsomeformofSRSbeingassociatedwithallinformation.SRSisthereferentialaspect,nottobeconfusedwithGeographicInformationSystem(GIS),whichisthecombinationofhardware,software,anddata.

Processinghastwomajorobjectives:

1.Toassurethepreservationandeaseofretrievabilityofallinformationthatiscollectedregardlessofdiscipline(open,signals,images,orhuman),medium(hard-copy,analog,digital)orsource(time,location,authenticity).

2. To permit geospatially & time-date machine-speed detection of alerts,anomalies,patterns,andnetworks(“connectingthedots”).

Processingcanprovide,ifproperlymanaged,forincreasedinformation-sharingamong governments, corporations, international organizations, and citizens,alongthreelinesofadvance:

1.Summariesofknowninformationthatdonotdisclosesources&methodscanbeusedtoinspireagreementstoexchangemoredetailedinformation.

2. Leveraging open source data standards can dramatically reduce costs byincentivizingburden-sharingsothatcommondataiscollectedonceandsharedwithallinterestedparties.

3.SummariesofinformationthatisNOTknowncaninspirenational(eighttribe),regional,andglobalburden-sharingagreements, forexamplewithrespecttothethreatposedbyrapidlyvanishingfreshwatersupplies.ThePlanetarySkin initiativeisanexampleofapossibleapproachtointeraction.


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InthemoderneraCollectionandProcessingaremerginginCloudComputing butitismosthelpfultoretainacleardistinctionbetweenhumanbeings,dataobjects,andthemeansaswellasthesocialnetworksthatmakecollectionandprocessingpossible.BelowisanillustrationofthefourquadrantsofknowledgethatleadtothecreationofOrganizationalIntelligence.

Figure 42: Four Quadrants Leading to Organizational Intelligence

Neithercollectionnorprocessingisabouttechnologyinisolationfromitshumanemployers. The“Cloud” integratesallhumanmindsall thetime,andfinallymakespossible—intheory—theavailabilitytoallhumansofallinformationinalllanguagesallthetime.Thisisthe“OmegaPoint”forhumanconsciousness,aglobalmind,andtheWorldBrain.


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Quadrant I: Knowledge Management

Theorganizationornetworkmustnot forgetwhat itknows; itmustnot losedata, links,orthehistory(provenance)ofaggregateddata. Inthisquadrant,wheremostorganizationsstillreside,thefocusisoninternalinformationandhelpinginternalemployeesmakeuseofinternaldata.

Quadrant II: Collaborative Work

Known todayasWeb2.0,oras “socialnetworking,” this is thehumancloudconnected by cell phones and electronic mail and services such as Twitter,Facebook,andLinkedIn. Below isan illustrationofTwitterasan intelligencecollectionandnetworkingtool.

Figure 43: Twitter as a Collection Tool


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ThefirstphotographsoutofHaition12January2010aftertheworstearthquakein200years,camefromTwitter.WhileTwitterTrendsandotherTwitter-relatedtoolsareemergent,this isnotyettoapointwherea“360degreeview”(forexample,ofadisastersiteoralandingzone’sperimeter)canbeeasilyplotted,norcanallindividualsataspecifictimeandplacebe“harnessed”fromaremotelocation.Never-the-less,incombination,cellphonesarethe“braincells”oftheWorldBrain,andTwitterisoneofitsnervoussystems.

QuadrantIIisaboutHumanCapital.TheoneinexhaustibleresourcewehaveonEarthishumanityandtheabilityofhumanitytothinkandimagine.Overtimetwoseparatedevelopmentswilloccurinthisquadrant:

1. All Rise–Somebodies, Nobodies, and the Politics of Dignity. Every singlehumanmind isuniqueand in itsdiversity,a sourceof innovation. Example:topexecutives for a sporting shoe companyweremeeting trying to imagineprofitableideasforthefuture.Hoursaftertheystarted,asecurityguardwhokept passing them sat in and then interrupted: “What about us?” Securityguardsneedsports-typeshoesthatlookbusiness-like. Thecompanydid$28millioninsalesinitsfirstyearofsalestothisnewniche.

2.Micro-Tasking“ByName.”Overtime,individualswillhaveavisibleidentityand known interests and competencies. Within limits prescribed by theindividualandthegroup,itwillbepossibletoknowwhoknowswho,howtheyknow,whattheyknow,whattheydo,whotheyaretalkingto,wheretheyaresitting,andhowtheyfeel. Afishermanataspecific lakecouldvolunteerhisavailabilityasasourceontheconditionsthereatthattime.IntheHaitidisaster,individualscouldbeusingtheUNICEFRapidSMSsystemtodialinspecificurgentneeds including insulinandotherperson-uniqueneeds, toaRangeofNeedsTablethatisthenacteduponbyallgovernmentsandrelieforganizationsinavoluntaryvisiblemanner.

Theabilitytofirst empowerandthenharnessthedistributedintelligenceoftheEarthwillbethedefiningcharacteristicofthe21stCentury.


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Quadrant III: External Information Acquisition

PeterDrucker,writing inForbes ASAP on28August1998, said thatwehavespentfiftyyearsfocusingonthe“T’inIT(InformationTechnology),andthatwemustnowspendthenextfiftyyearsfocusingonthe“I”orInformation.Theold ITmodelspendsmoneyoninformationtechnology,thenewITmodelspendsmoneyoninformationaccesswithintheCloudandonempoweringindividualssotheycanacquireandexploit“justenough,justright,justintime”sourcesofexternalinformation.Mostgovernments,corporations,andorganizationsareverymarginally-attentivetothisquadrant.

Quadrant III demands CollectionManagement (“KnowWhoKnows”) aswellassophisticatedprocessingsoastonot losethevalueofanyoftheexternalinformation.Itincludesthemonitoringofcustomers,governmentregulations,technology,andtheenvironment.WithinQuadrantIIIanyorganizationshouldbeabletoaccessanyneededinformation—includingunpublishedinformationcreated“justintime”foraspecificnewneed—foranytime,place,orissue.

Quadrant IV: Organizational Intelligence

This was inspired by Harold Wilenski’s book, Organizational Intelligence (Knowledge and Policy in Government and Industry)(Basic,1967)andislargelyaboutthememoryoftheorganizationornetworkregardlessofhowmanyofhumanandtechnical“generations”mightpass.Itincludesturnoverfiles,meta-data,archivesofintellectualproperty,andthecompleteintegrationofallthateachemployeeknowsrelevanttotheaffairsoftheorganization,nowstoredin“shoeboxes”undertheemployeesdeskinmostorganizations(metaphoricallyspeaking).

It isusefultocompareFigure42withNovaSpivak’sMeta-Webillustration to seeaconvergenceofthetechnical-centered(Spivak)andthehuman-centered(Steele).

TechnicalmattersrelatedtocollectionandprocessingarediscussedinPartIVofthisbook.


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Chapter 18The New Craft of Intelligence (Analysis & Decision-Support)

Aswiththepreviouschapter,allofthedetailedinformationforthisandthelastchaptercanbefound inTHE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political (OSS, 2002), and also a book on INFORMATION OPERATIONS: All Information, All Languages, All the Time (OSS,2003).AswithallbooksthatIwriteorpublish,theyarefreeatPhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog.

Mytwoillustratedlectureswithnotes,ANALYSIS:All-SourceAnalysis,MakingMagic (2004) and NEW RULES for the New Craft of Intelligence (2004) arerecommendedforstudy—thischapterisanexecutivesummary,nothingmore.

The first portion of this chapter (and the matching briefing) draws on thehistoricandstillvaluableA Compendium of Analytic Tradecraft Notes(1997)byJackDavis.Anumberofotherhandbooks and historiccontributions are easily accessibleatPhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog.

“TheNewRulesfortheNewCraftofIntelligence”arealsodiscussedindetailinChapter15ofTHE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political (OSS,2002).

Put most simply, Analysis is how one converts information into intelligence(decision-support) that will support decisions that produce outcomes. ThepurposeofthisbookistoinspireIntelligence for Earthsuchthatallofustogethercan doAnalysistocreateaprosperousworldatpeace.WemustcreateSmartNations,CleverContinents,andtheWorldBrain.


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InChapter5wediscussedthefragmentationofknowledge.Itistheworkoftheanalysttobridgethegapbetweenwhatthedecision-makerneeds to know,andwhatcanbeknowninthetimeandwiththeresourcesavailable.

AsdiscussedinChapter17,RequirementsDefinitionisacriticalfirststep. Inmy view, Analysts should be in direct inter-action with the decision-makeror groupof decision-makers they are supporting, and theAnalyst shouldbedetermining—anddefining—what thedecision-makersneed to knowon thebasisoftheirexplicitdemands,pendingschedule,andfutureconcerns.

Itisnotacceptableforadecision-makertotelltheAnalysts“givemeeverythingyouhave,IwillpickoutwhatIneed.”Thatisunprofessional,irresponsible,andalsoacertainprescriptionfordecisionfailure.

Similarly, it is not acceptable for a decision-maker to decide to be theirown intelligence officer, doing their own collection and their own analysis.Intelligence (decision-support) isbothanartandascience—decision-makersaregenerallyskilledatthedirectleadershipofpeople,andtheyaregenerallynotskilledatdeepbroadreading,atcullinganomalousandpredictivepatternsfromvastamountsofdisparatedata,andatsimplifyingcomplexstudies intoeasilyunderstoodbasicpointsthatcanbeusedpolitically.

Finally,itisnotacceptableforadecision-makertowithholdfromtheAnalystssupportingthemanyinformationtheyacquirewhileengagedindiplomaticorothersubstantiveconversationsornegotiations.Thedecision-makerdrivesthecar,buttheanalystpreparesthecarfortheanticipatedroadconditions,repairsthecarafterahardride,andgenerallyhelpsthedecision-maker—thedriver—byprovidinganinformation carriagethatprotectsandsupportsthedecision-makerintheirdailywork.

Globalization and the Internet havemade it significantlymore difficult for adecision-makertokeeptrackofmanycorelinesofinquiry,andatthesametimehavemadeiteasierforproperlytrainedandorganizedAnalyststodoexcellentworkthatiscomprehensive,multi-cultural,andtimely.

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Thesinglemostimportantfoundationforproperanalyticsupporttoadecision-makeristhedevisingoftheStrategicAnalyticModelinwhichtheorganizationasawholeagreesonwhatthreatsitwishestofocuson;whatpoliciesitisabletoorganize;andwhatotherstakeholdersareimportanttotheprosecutionoftheorganizationalmission.SeeoneexampleatFigure19onpage60.Similardetailisneededfortheotherthreelevelsofanalysis.

Such amodel—and the underlying agreement—rarely exist in governments,corporations,orinternationalorganizations.Forthisreason,andherewequoteBenGilad,oneofthetoppeopleinthecommercialintelligencearena,writingin Business Blindspots–Replacing Your Company’s Entrenched and Outdated Myths, Beliefs and Assumptions With the Realities of Today’s Markets

Topmanager’sinformationisinvariablyeitherbiased,subjective,filtered,orlate.

AstheBrahimiReport(2003)madeclearfortheUnitedNations,andtheAspin-BrownCommission and 9-11 and many other commissions have made clear for the USA, there is nothing “modern” about decision-support in today’sarchipelagoofIndustrial-Eraorganizations.Theyarealltop-down“command& control” hierarchies that make decisions based on assumptions, history,ideology,orundueinfluencebyothers,ratherthanonasoundappreciationofallrelevantinformation.

Analysis iswhereallof thesins—allof theshortcomings—ofanorganizationornationorregion’sapproachtointelligence(decision-support)cometorest.

If the parent organization has not provided resources for the collection ofexternal informationand theexploitationof alreadyknown information, theAnalystishandicapped.

If the parent organization has not provided resources for the processing ofinformation,includinganalyticdesktopanalyticsthatwillbediscussedinPartIIIofthisbook,theAnalystwillbelimitedto“cutandpaste”methods.


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Figure 16 on page 44 illustrated the new leadership and decision-makingenvironment inwhichbottom-upmultinational consensusmust replace top-down unilateral decision-making. I repeat that figure here in cleaner formbecauseitiscentraltopracticingthenewcraftofintelligenceinthenewera.

Figure 44: Keep 20% of the Old, Get a Grip on the 80% We’ve Ignored

The“new”approachisactuallythe“oldold”approachoftheNativeAmericanIndianswhoheldcouncilsandthoughtabouttheimpactofanydecision“sevengenerations out,” andof the indigenousMayan andother Indian cultures inSouth America. With the shift toward open sources, the acme of skill fortoday’sanalyst lies lesswith“tasking”aclassifiedasset tocollect somethingspecific,andmorewithknowingexactlywhichexperttoconnectthedecision-makerwith“in themoment,”with theexpert,not theanalyst, creatingnewknowledgepreciselytailoredtotheneedincurrentcontext.


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Someofthenuancesofanalysis,suchashowthethreatchangesdependingonthelevelofanalysis(strategic,operational,tactical,technical)werementionedinChapter15.

Bothmanagersandtheanalystssupportingthemneedtoknowthehistorianoftheorganization,andthelibrarianoftheorganization.

Iftheorganizationdoesnothaveahistorian,itismakingacommonmistake,for the historian is the catalyst for organizationalmemory and ensures thatthe lessons learned by one generation are not forgotten—this is part ofOrganizationalIntelligence.

Most organizations have librarians, butmany have not yet realized that therole of the librarian has changed in the 21st Century. In the past librarianswereprimarilyarchivists,cataloguingandensuringreadyaccesstohard-copymaterialsacquiredtosupportthemissionoftheorganization.

Today librarians aremore like digital scouts, helping the analysts—or in theabsence of analysts the individual employees—discover, discriminate, distill,anddevelopexternalsourcesofinformation.

So—doyouhavealibrarian?Doyouhaveahistorian?Sitdownwiththemandaskthemaboutwhattheyhavebeendoingandwhattheyneedtodobetter.Thisisthefirststepincreatinga“Smart”organization.

Iwillnotreviewanalyticcompetencieshere,forthatuseanyofthehandbooksavailableatPhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog.TheNorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization (NATO) Handbooks are still the best available for the military,and the United Nations has produced some excellent handbooks for lawenforcementmanagers,analysts,andfront-lineofficers.

Other sources of handbooks abound. The best over-all source of regularlyupdatedguidanceonopensourceintelligencemethodsisthe2009 Handbook Online for Internet Tools and Resources for Creating Open Source Intelligence


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(OSINT)byDr.RanHock,ChiefTrainingOfficer,OnlineStrategies,Inc.. See also 2009 OSINT Links Directory by Ben Benavides. Analysts, apart from subject domain knowledge and a knowledge of thecollection disciplines available for them to task, must have the followingcompetencies:

• Internet Competency.Understandmultiplesearchenginesandtheirlimitations,aswellasmultiplemeansofdoingbothDeepWeb and multi-lingual search and translation; understandmultiplemeansofaccessingimages,maps,videos,andaudiofiles;understandhow touse the Internet to identify, screen,contact,andthenvalidateanyexpertonanytopicinlessthanonehour.GenerallyInternettasksthatrequiremorethanonehourshouldgotoaspecialistinthelibraryortheOpenSourceIntelligence(OSINT)Cell,discussedinthenextsection.

• Commercial Online Competency.Understandthecapabilitiesand limitations of the major global online fee-for-serviceofferings,andhowtoaskthe librarianforaspecificsearch—commercial online databases have very old search systemswheremistakescanbeverycostly.Generallycomplexsearchesshould be out-sourced to an information brokerwith over adecade of experiencewith the specific commercial databasemostlikelytosatisfytherequirement.

• Gray Literature Competency. Understand how to identify,access,andexploit“grayliterature,”limitededitionpublications,generally inhard-copyor in removabledigitalmedia suchasflashdrivesorCD-ROMdiscs;thisusuallyrequiresaknowledgeofwhatisavailable(itisnotgenerallylistedontheInternet);andahumanpathtothematerials.


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• Primary Research Competency. Direct human-to-humancontactisstillthebestmeansofexploitingknowledgethathasnotbeenpublished;ofrapidlyexploitingdeepknowledgethatisnotsusceptibletomachineprocessing;andofcreatingnewknowledgetailoredtotheneedona“justright, just intime”basis. BetweenCitationAnalysis,MediaAnalysis,andskill inusingpersonalcommunications,agreatdealcanbeachievedbygoingdirecttoanexpertorapersononthescene.

• Analytic Toolkit Competency. The existing “best in class”practitioner of OSINT, the US Special Operations Command(USSOCOM) J-23, uses over 23 different softwares, manyproprietary, to accomplish as many different analytic tasks. This will be discussed inmore detail in Part III on TechnicalIntelligence. Analysts must be competent in using desktopaswell as back-office tools;must understand geospatial andtimeanalysis tools;must understand structured analysis andother detection tools; andmust be skilled withmulti-mediaexploitationandpresentationtools.

• Geospacial Competency.DespitetheadventofGoogleEarth,few analysts are skilled at connecting structured databasestoGoogleEarth, andmostdonot knowhow to acquire andthenintegratedetailedmapssuchasareofferedbyEastViewCartographicforthedevelopingworld,drawingontheRussianmilitarymapscreatedforthewarsofnationalliberation—theAmericansignoredtherequirementanddonothavemapsatthe1:50,000levelformostofthedevelopingworld.

• Analytic Tradecraft.ThisiscoveredinthepreviouslymentionedCompendiumbyJackDavisbutninefactorsarelistedbelow.01Trade-OffAnalysisinClientContext02NineEvaluationCriteriaforCredibility


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03AssumptionsMustBeSpecified04AlternativeOutcomesMustBeSpecified05DistinguishBetweenFacts,Opinions,andSources06HarnessBothInternalandExternalExpertise07KnowtheArtofDistillationandSummarization08UnderstandDeception,Counterintelligence,Timeliness09AnalystsareManagersOf:----CustomerRelationsandRequirementsDefinition----MoneyforOpenSourceInformationProcurement----ExternalExpertsUnderContractorInfluence----SecretCollectionManagementIfAvailable

Belowisasingleillustrationfromthatbriefing,ofastandardOSINTCell,createdaspartofthefirstreportfortheDefenseIntelligenceAgencyin1994.

Figure 45. Standard Open Source Intelligence Cell

There are two additional concepts thatmust be presented to the executivereadershipofthisbook,priortooutliningtheNewRules.


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Below is the “Herring Pyramid” as devisedby JanHerring, thefirstNationalIntelligenceOfficerforScience&Technology(NIOS&T)withintheUSIntelligenceCommunity,andthenthefatherofcommercialintelligenceintheUSA,alongwithafewotherssuchasLeonardFuld.

Figure 46. Herring Pyramid of Analytic Focus and Cost

Jan Herring, co-founder of Academy of Competitive Intelligence, along withGeorgeMarling,pioneeredopensourceexploitationinthe1970’s.

The next illustration ismy own, created in support of the Earth IntelligenceNetwork, a 501c3 Public Charity that is the proponent for a World BrainInstituteandanembeddedGlobalGame.Itemphasizesthevitalimportanceof adopting aWhole Systems approach in doing analysis. By adopting suchanapproach,theleadercanuseanalysistomoveawayfromthe“stovepipe”


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natureofgovernment,andtowardWholeofGovernmentanalyticsandWholeofGovernmentplanning,programming,budgeting,andoperations.

Figure 47. Holistic Analysis—All Threats, All Policies, All the Time

Properlydone,anyof thethreatsoranyof thepoliciescanbeplaced in thecentralposition,thepointbeingtoevaluatethetrade-offsacrossallthreatsandallpoliciesallthetime.Thisistheonlywaytobeeffectiveatgoverning.

Now,finally,tothenewrules. ThebriefingNEWRULESfortheNewCraftofIntelligence(2004)andtheoriginalchapter,“TheNewRulesfortheNewCraftof Intelligence,” Chapter 15 ofTHE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal,


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Public, & Political(OSS,2002),providemoredetail.Thisisthequicktourofthehorizonforbusyexecutivesandcitizenleaders.

Rule 01. Decision-Support is the Raison d’être.Intelligenceisdefinedbythevalueitdeliverstotheleader,notbytheinputsorcosts.

Rule 02. Value-Added Comes from Analysis, Not Secret Sources.Theproblemwithspiesistheyonlyknowsecrets,andatleast80%ifnot95%oftheglobalrelevantinformationisnotsecret—itisopenlyavailable.

Rule 03. Global Coverage Matters More.Surpriseistobeavoidedbycastingaverywidenetandbeingabletofocusmoreattentiononamoment’snotice.

Rule 04. Non-Traditional Threats Are of Paramount Importance. Weknewthisin1988,butweredelightedtohavetheUNHigh-LevelPanelconfirmitin2004.Poverty,Disease,EnvironmentalDegradation—thesearetherealthreatstohumanity,alongwiththeotherseventhreatstheyidentify.

Rule 05. Intelligence without Translation is Ignorant.Today,eightyearsafter9/11,neithertheUSsecretintelligencecommunitynorthediplomatsnorthemilitaryhasanadequateinventoryoftrustedforeignlanguageinterpreters.

Rule 06. Source Balance Matters More. Less technical,more human; lesssecret,more open; less collection,more processing; less production for thesakeofproduction,morereflectionforthesakeofinsight.

Rule 07. “Two Levels Down.” Dr.StephenCamboneunderstoodthisperfectlywhenhespokein2004abouttheneedforuniversalcoverageatneighborhoodlevelsofgranularity.Thenewstandardislocal;thisisa double order of magnitude increase in difficultyofcollection,processing,analysis,andintegrationaswellaspurposefuldissemination.

Rule 08. Processing Matters More, Becomes Core Competency.Multilingualnetworks have dramatically increased the complexity and amount of multi-


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mediadata—today,totakeonesmallexample,analystsareoverwhelmedwithimageryfromdrones—asisusualintheUSIntelligenceCommunity,collectionsystemsarecreatedwithoutplanningfortheprocessingofwhattheycollect.Thiscouldbea“centerofgravity”foramultinationalnetwork.

Rule 09. Cultural Intelligence is Fundamental.Thisisnowmoreimportantthanpoliticaloreconomicormilitary intelligence,anditrequiresdeepknowledgeofhistory, language,andofcourseculture. Thiscannotbetaught—wemustleveragemultinational access to trusted sources in whom the knowledge isinherent.

Rule 10. Geospatial and Time Tagging is Vital.Machine-speedprocessingofmultidisciplinarydataisnotpossiblewithoutbothdatetimegroups(DTG)andSpatialReferenceData(SRD);itisalsoimportanttobeabletointerpretdifferentstandardsandultimatelyarriveatacommonstandard.

Rule 11. Global Open Source Benchmarking. In order to detect change around theworld, amulti-national effort tobenchmark global open sourcesismandatory.Thiswillsetafoundationagainstwhichspikesandchatterandotheranomaliescantriggeradditionalattentionandcollection.

Rule 12. Counterintelligence Matters More. Aswe have learned in recentyears, non-state terrorists who are already citizens of Western countriesareamajor threat. All threats arenow transnational, generally sub-state intheir componency, and therefore verydifficult todetectwithout substantiveinvestmentsincounterintelligence—religiouscounterintelligenceincluded.

Rule 13. Cross-Fertilization Matters More. Theoldapproachwasthelinearparadigm,fromconsumertocollectortosourcetoanalysttoconsumer. Thenew intelligence paradigm places emphasis on connecting the consumer indirectcontactwiththesourceorsources—generallynotsecretatall—whocancreatenewknowledgeinthemoment,preciselytailoredtotheneed.


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Rule 14. Decentralized Intelligence Matters More. Intheageofdistributedinformation, “central intelligence” is an oxymoron. Knowing who knows,knowinghowtofindwhoknows,andbeingabletocollect,process,andanalyzeona“justenough,justintime”basis istheacmeofskillforthenewcraftofintelligence.

Rule 15. Collaborative Work and Information Communications Rise. Aswediscussed in reviewing the four quadrants of knowledge (Figure 42 on page145),itisvitaltonurturetheuniquenessofeachindividual—eachwillcreateapersonal“brand”overtime;anditisvitaltoadvanceelectronicsharingacrosstimeandspace—physicalcollocationisneitherachievablenordesirableforthemostcomplexproblems.Formalcommunicationssystemsareinadequate;theentirerangeofWeb2.0toWeb4.0toolsandpracticesmustbeused.

Rule 16. New Value is in Content + Context + Speed.Inaglobalizedworldthatmovesfasterandfastereachday(changestotheEarththatusedtotake10,000yearsnowtakethree),contextmatters,asdoesspeedofdeliveryofthetailoredanswer.“Goodenough”nowisbetterthanperfecttoolate.

Rule 17. Collection Based on Gaps versus Priorities.Everythingmattersinaconnectedworld. Prioritiesshouldberespectedonafirstpass,butgapsaredangerous. Somethingoneverything isamoreusefulstartingpointfornewchallengesthaneverythingontheonewrongthing.

Rule 18. Collection Doctrine Grows in Sophistication.Itisfoolishandexpensivetousesensitiveassetstocollectopeninformation.Firstfindtheanswerifitisalreadyinthedatabase;thengettheanswerfromanallyifpossible;ifnot,buytheanswerfromacommercialprovider.Taskingasensitiveassetshouldbethelast resort.

Rule 19. Citizen “Intelligence Minutemen” are Vital.“Hivemind”istheessenceof21stCenturyIntelligence.WitnessthevalueofTwitterasatoolforrapidlyassessing the Haitianearthquakeof12January2010.ASmartNationnurtures,mobilizes,andharnessesthedistributedintelligenceofallcitizens.


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Rule 20. Production Based on Needs versus Capabilities.Forgetaboutroutineor recurringproduction—nothing shouldbeproduced thatdoesnot supporta specific decision. Analystsmust spendmore time thinking, traveling, andtalkingtoconsumers,lesstimewritingforthesakeofproduction.

Rule 21. Strategic Intelligence Matters More.Estimativeintelligencemustberestoredasaprimaryobjectofanalysis,withaspecialemphasisonidentifyingpeacefulpreventivemeasuresthatcanstopathreatfrommaturing.

Rule 22. Budget Intelligence is Mandatory. Analysis of one’s ownnationalbudgetisaformofcounterintelligencewithrespecttothedegreethatWholeof Government policy is strategically sound or ideologically mis-directed.Similarly,othercountriescanbeevaluatedbasedontheiractualbudgets.

Rule 23. Public Intelligence Drives Public Policy. 80% to90%of secrecy isaboutavoidingaccountabilityandconcealingfraud,waste,andabuse.Publicintelligenceestimatesareanessentialelementinassuringsoundpublicpolicy.

Rule 24. Analysts are Managers. Analystsaremanagersofpeople,money,priorities,andinformation.Collectorsmustbeanalystsinordertoimprovetheprecisionandtimelinessoftheircollectionendeavors.

Rule 25. New Measures of Merit.Grossresultsarenolongeracceptable(thenumbersgame). Evaluationmustbebasedontheusefulnessandtimelinessofintelligence(decision-support)inrelationtoactualdecisionsandoutcomes.

Rule 26. Multi-Lateral Burden Sharing is Vital. While national spies andsecrets will still be needed, especially against violent sub-state groups suchas transnational criminal gangs, predatory multinational corporations, andterrorists, the great majority of intelligence (decision-support) will only beachievable ifwework together inmulti-lateral teams that assure a diversityofsources,adiversityofmethods,adiversityofviewpoints,andultimately,acomprehensiveaggregationofallrelevantinformationinall languagesallthetime.Inthiscontext,theUnitedNationsbecomesanimportantfacilitator.


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Chapter 19Human Intelligence (HUMINT):

All Humans, All Minds, All the Time

ThischaptersummarizestheStrategicStudiesInstitute(SSI)monographbythesametitle,scheduledforpublicationinApril2010.ThatmonographisinturnthethirdpartofatrilogyonHumanIntelligence(HUMINT)thatincludesIntelligence forthePresident–ANDEveryoneElse,aspublishedinCounterPunch,WeekendEdition,February27–1March2009andFixingtheWhiteHouseandNationalIntelligence, (International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence,Spring2010).

Thehumanfactorhasbeencentraltomythinkingaboutthefutureofhumanity,ofgovernance,andoflifeonEarth.FrombeingthesonofaninternationaloilengineertobeingaMarineCorpsinfantryofficerandthenaclandestinecaseofficer(C/O)orspy,thehumanfactorhasbeenvital.Inthepasttwodecadesof pioneering Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) and now Multinational,Multiagency, Multidisciplinary, Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making(M4IS2),thehumanfactorhasbecomeevenmorecentral,becausetheacmeofskillinthe21st century is not tostealonesecretfromonepersonforthebenefitofthefew,butinsteadtoharnessthedistributedintelligenceoftheWholeEarthforthebenefitofallofhumanity.

The Resilient Earth does notneedus,butwedoneedtheEarth.Thehumanfactorisallwehavetoworkwithifwearetoachieveasustainableprosperousworldatpeaceandsurviveasaspecies.Iapproachthistopicrespectfulofwhattechnologycanoffer,buthighlyskepticaloftechnologyasapanaceaintheface


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offast-movingcomplexity—thereisnothingtoequalthecapacityofthehumanbrainor—evenbetter—thecollectiveintelligenceofallhumans.

I believe that no one nation—and certainly no one organization—canunderstand,muchlessaddress,thecomplexchallengesoftoday.ThisiswhyIamdevotingthebalanceofmylifetoM4IS2.

However, I also believe that we are at the very beginning of realizing ourhumanpotential,andthatwehavebeenwronginallowinghumanstosegmentthemselvesandfragmenttheirknowledgeasdiscussedinChapter5.

Threebookshavebeenespeciallyhelpfultomeonthistopic.

• CharlesHampden-Turner,Radical Man–The Process of Psycho-Social Development(GeraldDuckworth,1971)

• RobertCarkhuff,The exemplar–The exemplary performer in the age of productivity(HumanResourceDevelopmentPress,1984)

• HarlanCleveland,The Knowledge Executive–Leadership in an Information Society(DuttonAdult,1985)

As I have gone on in life to observe the dysfunctionality of industrial-eraorganizations that “commoditize” humans and threat them as “cogs” in a“machine”, I have come to appreciate the reliability ofmilitary organization.While ithas itsownpathologies,onbalance themilitarycanbe reliedupontobewhereitissupposedtobeanddowhatitisaskedtodo—includingthefunctions of global communications, logistics, and mobility in often austereenvironments.

ThisiswhyIbelievetheUSDepartmentofDefense(DoD)mustbecomea“coreforce” for the USA, a broader deeper foundation for national security thanmerelywar-fighting,withtwomajorsupportfunctions:

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1.Bethestrategic“glue”forWholeofGovernmentoperations.

2.Betheglobalgeneralserviceformultinationalmultifunctionaloperations.

ItisinthatcontextthatIconceptualized“fullspectrum”HUMINT.Belowisadepictionofthe“CoreForce”thatIdevelopedforalecturetoEasternEuropeanandRussianparliamentariansvisitingtheGeorgeC.MarshallCenterinGermanyinthe1990’s.

Figure 48. Core Force with Eight Human Functions OfthemissionsdepictedinFigure48,noneismoreimportantthantheGroundTruthmission.TherealityisthatourEmbassieshavebecomelittlefortressesfromwhichfewdaretoventurefarafield.Thediplomatsareintheminoritywithintheirownembassy,andhavevirtuallynofundsforentertainingdiverseconstituencies,andeven less so forcommissioning local commercial sources


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oflegalethicalinformationforspecificproducts.Indeed,theonlypeoplewithmoneytospendintheUSoverseascommunityarethespies.Howwerelatetoforeignculturesandentitiesispathologicallyinept.

Peaceandprosperityaremoredifficult toorchestratethanwarandpoverty.Thefirsttworequirecomplexharmonizationofeffortwithinsharedintentionsthatareinherentlymulti-culturalandmulti-generational,whilethelattertwosimply call for awillingness to dowanton violence. Below is an illustrationoftheincreasingcomplexityofwhatweneedtoknowinrelationtowar,andimplicitly,inrelationtopeace.

Warfare Era What Do We Need to Know?1stGeneration Easy:Whereisthearmy?2ndGeneration Easy:Wherearethetrenches?3rdGeneration Moderate:Howmanywithwhat?4thGeneration Hard:Watcheverynon-stateactor.5thGeneration Hard:Watcheverythingonthefly.6thGeneration Hard:Makesenseofbillionsofbits.7thGeneration VeryHard:24/7,183languagesand put our own

strategy, policy, structure & budget in order.

Figure 49. War & Peace: The Seventh Generation

Itakethetroubletoisolatetheseventhgenerationofcomplexity,buildingontheworkofDr.ColMaxManwaring,oneofaverysmallhandfulofAmericanstrategicpioneers,becauseIwanttostronglyemphasizethattheWorldBraincomprisedofhumanbrainsintheaggregatecandowhatnocomplexnetworkofmachinescandonoworintheforeseeablefuture.ThefollowingquotationfromJimBamford’sBody of Secretsishelpful:

EventuallyNSAmaysecretlyachievetheultimateinquickness,compatibility,andefficiency—acomputerwithpetaflopandhigherspeedsshrunkintoacontaineraboutaliterinside,andpoweredbyonlyabouttenwattsofpower:thehumanbrain.


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Digital Natives

Amajor challenge facing all of us as leaders is the changing nature of ourpopulation. Marc Pensky’sDon’t Bother Me Mom–I’m Learning!makes thedistinction between thosewho are born into the digital era, and those likemyselfwhostruggletocopewithdigitalcomplexity.ThereisnowalsoabookbythetitleDigital Natives & Digital Immigrants.

Below are summarized the competing—the starkly distinct—natures of thepopulation thatwewant to lead (DigitalNatives)and thepopulationnow in“commandandcontrol”positions(DigitalImmigrants). Digital Natives (Rising) Digital Immigrants (Retiring)Preferreceivinginformationquicklyfrommultiplemultimediasources

Preferslowandcontrolledreleaseofinformationfromlimitedsources

Preferparallelprocessingandmultitasking

Prefersingularprocessingandsingleorlimitedtasking

Preferprocessingpictures,sources,andvideobeforetext

Prefertoprovidetextbeforepictures,soundsandvideo

Preferrandomaccesstohyperlinkedmultimediainformation

Prefertoprovideinformationlinearly,logicallyandsequentially

Prefertointeract/networksimultaneouslywithmanyothers

Preferstudentstoworkindependentlyratherthannetworkand interact

Prefertolearn“justintime” Prefertoteach“justincase”(it’sontheexam)

Preferinstantgratificationandinstantrewards

Preferdeferredgratificationanddeferredrewards

Preferlearningthatisrelevant,instantlyusefulandfun

Prefertoteachtothecurriculumguideandstandardizedtests

Figure 50. Human Generational Differences


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Atitsmostfundamental,7thGenerationWarfareistotal,pervasive,sustained,nuanced,andcanonlybewonbyfightingideas,notweapons.Notonlydoweneedtoempowereveryhumanbeingwithconnectivity(cellphones)andaccesstoinformation(educationonecallatatime),butwealsoneedtocompletelyre-inventeducation,intelligence(decision-support),andresearch.

I continue to believe that education, intelligence (decision-support), andresearchmustbemanagedtogetherifwearetocreateSmartNations,CleverContinents,andtheWorldBrain.

Brainpower,notFirepower,iswhatweneedtobringtobear,andweneedtodothis24/7inalllanguagesandallmediums.ThomasJeffersonsaid“A Nation’s best defense is an educated citizenry.”Voltaire’sversion:

Whenanationbeginstothink,itisimpossibletoholditback.

HumanityAscendingisthemission,HUMINTisthefoundation.

“HumanityAscending”isaphraseIlearnedfromBarbaraMarxHubbard,andthe DVDseriesbythesametitle. ShecitedBenjaminFranklin’sreferencetothe “divinity in our humanity.”HUMINTisnotaboutspying.HUMINTisaboutlearning,deciding,andevolving—humanityascending.

ThegoodnewsisthatPublic (Human) Intelligenceinisheretostay:

• Collective(socialnetworks)• Peace (harmonizationofpeacefulpreventivemeasures)• Commercial(frommoralgreentogoldenpeace)• Gift(mobilizationandharmonizationofgivingbyall)• Cultural (raisinganewgenerationwithoutembeddedbiases)• Earth (eliminatinghumanconsumptionoftheEarth)


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In 1994 speaking to a Canadian conference, and later in writing in PrivateEnterprise Intelligence: Its Potential Contribution to National Security, Iconceptualized the end of the linear paradigm of intelligence, and theemergenceofthediamondparadigm.

Figure 51. Linear versus Diamond Intelligence Process

Inthearenaofhumanintelligence,thelinearparadigmisthe“commandandcontrol”paradigmthatseekstomicro-manageandisthereforeneveradaptive,responsive,orcoherentwhenfacingnuancedchallenges,while thediamondparadigm is how real people should approach the realworld—as a networkthateasilypermitscrossfertilization.Anotherwayofdescribingthenewcraftofintelligence,asconceptualizedbythedirectoroftheSouthAfricanNationalIntelligenceAgency(NIA)inthe1990’s,isasaDNAspiral,suchthatallofthehumans in the different collection, processing, and analysis disciplines areconstantlycross-fertilizingandexploiting informationatallstagesfrominitialcontact tofinal finishedpresentation. AsGeneralMikeHaydenpointedoutwhile serving as director of theNational SecurityAgency (NSA), informationmustbesharedandexploitedfromthemomentofingestion,andnothavetowaituntiltheveryendoftheprocesstobe“seen.”


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The linear process iswhatwe still have in place today, and “intelligence” isplacedbeforethePresidentjustonceaday,inalargelysterilePresident’s Daily Brief(PDB).Intelligenceisnot“athisside”throughouttheday.Nowimaginea completely new process in which the President (or whatever “decider” isbeingserved)isexposedtothecompleterangeofallhumanknowledgeinalllanguages,mostofitnotsecretandshareable,asneeded.

Figure 52: Putting the President in Touch with Humanity and Reality

The above construct is equally applicable for every policy-maker in everyCabinetorMinistry, foreveryacquisitionmanager, foreverycommander, foreverystaffactionofficerallthewaytoeveryATeamcommanderorcompanycommanderinthefield.Itisalsoapplicabletotheleadersandactionofficersofcorporations,foundations,andinternationalorganizations.

Wecannolongermanageanythingwithoutintelligence(decision-support).


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ThischapterdoesnotrepeatlengthycritiquesofHUMINTpublishedelsewhere,nordoesitaddressthespecificorganizationalrecommendationsmadetotheUSGovernment(USG).Herewefocusonlyonconstructivehighlights.

HumanIntelligence(broadlyandproperlydefined)willbetheheart,soul,andbrainof21stCenturyintelligence,notonlywithingovernments,butwithinalleighttribesofintelligence.InadditiontoCIandSecurity,Iexplicitlyincludebothanalysts of individual technical collection disciplines and all-source analysts;andconsumersateverylevelfromPresidenttoActionOfficer(AO).

AOstodayareonedeepandhavezeroresourcesforsecuringOSINT,nordotheyreceiveanysupportatallfromtheUSIC.ThisisaprincipalreasonwhyglobalmultinationalissuesnetworkssuchasenvisionedbyJ.F.Rischard,atthetimeVicePresident forEuropeof theWorldBank, inhisstill-preciousbook,HIGH NOON–Twenty Global Problems, Twenty Years to Solve Them are so urgently needed.

HUMINTatthestrategiclevelwillbeaboutSmartNations,CleverContinents,and theWorldBrain. At theoperational level itwill be aboutmultinationalinformation-sharing and sense-making to achieve mutual objectives byharmonizingupto$1trillionayearinspendingviaanonlineGlobalRangeofNeeds Table that harmonizes organizational budgets by location and policyobjectivewhile also inducing direct charitable giving by the 80%of the onebillionrichthatdonotnowgivenow.Theharmonizationwilloccurvoluntarilythrough theuseof shareddecision-support. The latter isdiscussed inmoredetailinChapter26.

At the tactical level, HUMINT will become the Queen of the intelligencechessboard, providing direct support to the King—any decision-maker—byharnessing the distributed intelligence of all humans in all languages all thetime—boththoseinthespecificareaofinterest,andthoseoutsidewhohavesomething to contribute—and by restoring human primacy in relation to alltechnicalintelligenceoperations—technicalwillexcelwithHUMINT,notalone.


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The HUMINT Trifecta educates and nurtures the all-source analysts and consumers including the public—especially the public—and provides thedecision-maker with concise, contextually-grounded all-source insights in a“justenough,justintime”mannerthatleavesnodecision—whetherofpolicy,acquisition, or operations—without a firm foundation that eliminates wasteand redundancy.

Figure 53: Integrated Full-Spectrum HUMINT Management

IntheabovefigureLNO=LiaisonOfficerandSME=Subject-MatterExpert.

Thisfigureistheculminationofmythirtyorsoyearsintheintelligencebusiness.I emphasize the inclusionofOSINTaspartofHUMINT,while specifying thatOSINT is also theonly discipline that is both a supportingdiscipline to both


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HUMINT and the technical disciplines, and a stand-alone discipline wheresecretsourcesarenotappropriate.ThoseorganizationsandnationsthattreatitasTechnicalIntelligence(TECHINT)aremistakenandconsequentlyaccessinglessthan20%ofwhattheyshouldbe.

IwillnotbelaborthefactthatotherNationsaresuperiortotheUSAintheirmanagementof“fullspectrumHUMINT,”butIwillmentionthree:thePeople’sRepublicofChina(PRC),theIslamicRepublicofIran;andCuba.

MyownexaminationofThe Foreign Affairs System of the People’s Republic of China(LehighUniversity,1975)remainsquitevalidandisavailableonlineinmyEarlyPapers.

A current and concise definition of the “five circles” of IranianHUMINThasbeenprovidedbyAmirTaheri,AstheUSRetreats,IranFillstheVoid,Wall Street Journal,4May2009.Thefivecirclesare

1)commercialcompaniesandbanks,manyofthemfronts;

2)charitiesandscholarships;

3)“cultural”centersofferinglanguageandreligion;

4)Hezbollahoperatingopenly;and

5)clandestineoperationswithandwithoutindigenousSunniradicalsinsupport.

For an overview of Iran’s penetration of Latin America, see Samuel Logan,Iran’sInroadsandDeepeningTiesinLatinAmerica,Mexidata.info,4May2009,including the phrase “as Iran continues to strengthen relationships, moreIraniandoctors,diplomats,teachers,businessmenandofficialsarearrivinginLatinAmerica.”

OnthenexttwopagesIoutlinefifteenHUMINTslices,eachofwhichreceivesafullpageinmymonographaspublishedbySSI(forthcomingApril2010).


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CitizenasSensor&Sense-Maker.“Putenougheyeballsonit,nobug(orthreat)isinvisible.”Similarly,putenoughhumanbrainstowork,generateinnovationbeyondanyindustrial-eragiant’swildestimagination.WebdatatemplatesandRapidSMS (ShortMessageSystem)aremakingextraordinary thingspossible,alongwithTwitterandotheremergingofferings.

SoldierasSensor(Overt/OpenSignals).Theconceptofthestrategiccorporal iswellestablished,bothbyFieldMarshallErwinRommel,andmorerecently(1999)byGeneralCharlesKrulak,USMC.ThesoldieristheultimateHUMINTasset. The contrast between the Eastern way of war emphasizing humanintelligenceandstealthwithasmall logistics footprint,andtheWesternwayofwarthatemphasizesveryexpensivetechnicalmasswithaverybiglogisticsfootprint,isablymadebyH.JohnPooleinvariousbooks.

OperationalTest&Evaluation(OT&E).Speaking“truthtopower”cannotapplyonly to“red” forces,andnowasweunderstand it, to“white,” “yellow,”and“green”forces,buttoourown“blue”forcesaswell.Lieskillone’scomrades.Wemuststoplyingtoourselves!

Inspector-General (Organizational, USG, International). We need an IGinspectionofour fundamentalassumptionsaboutwarandpeace in the21st Century.Atthestrategiclevel,theIGsshouldallbeinalliancewiththeGAOandOMBandGSA,seekingtodefinecompletelynew21stCenturyobjectivesthataretransformativeofthemeans,ways,andendsofgovernment.Thisshouldbeamultinationalnetwork.

SecurityObservation/RemoteWebcams/FloatingPeriscopes. Wehavebeenslowtoempowerourdistributedforceswithbothmodernsecuritysurveillancetechnology, and the tactical processing power needed to do “face trace” orfindother anomaliesthatmightbemissedbythehumaneye.Also,betweensolarpower, relay stations, and satellite communications, there is no reasonwhy we cannot field persistent ground surveillance, for example, along theSomalicoast.SecurityisaformofstaticHUMINTcombinedwith“ondemand”HUMINT, and only a robust educational program canmake it effective. We


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stilldonotdomultinationalsecuritycollaborationthatwouldofferenormousdividendswhenwegetaroundtoit.Inanygivenforeigncapitalforexample,theRegionalSecurityOfficers(RSO)speakamongthemselves,buttheirvideosurveillancesystems,theirwatchlists,andothertechnicalandhumanmeasuresarenotintegratedamongEmbassies,andevenlesssowithcorporategeneralmanagers,NGOsecuritynetworks,etc.

DocumentExploitation/Imagery. I am toldthatitstilltakes4-6weeksfortenpagesofcapturedDaridocumentstobetranslatedandreturnedtothetacticalcommander. I candoDari translations fromthefieldwithin4-6hours. Whywehavenotimplementedaglobalgridusingwww.telelanguage.com,andfielddigitization(toincludepen-baseddigitization)thatcangodirectlyfromthefieldtoaDaritranslatoroncallinthatgiveninstant.Whyisthisstillaproblem?Oldmindsandprocesses,lackofnewknowledgeorimagination.

All-SourceAnalysts&GlobalExperts.OverthenexttenyearswemustmigrateawayfromputtingnewhiresintoanythingotherthanOSINTexploitation,andemphasizemid-careerhiresfortheseniorall-sourceanalyticpositionsaswellasHUMINTcollectionandCIpositions(thelatterretainingtheirlife’spatternaslegitimatecover).Atthesametime,wemustempowerall-sourceanalystswiththeresourcesandthemultinationalsocialskillswithwhichtoleverageglobalexpertsregardlessofnationality,andwiththeabilitytodrawontheMDSCforreach-backtoalleighttribesofanygivencountry.

DefenseAttaches,TechnicalLiaison.WearelongoverdueforareviewofhowDepartmentsandMinistriesasawhole,andindividualservicesandagencies,handletheselection,assignment,andon-goingoversightandexploitationofallofficersaswellasnon-commissionedandenlistedpersonnelservinginexternalbillets. Wearealso longover-due for actually addressing—with responsibleplanning,programming,budgeting,hiring,training,andexercises—theshort-tolong-termoperationsunderconditionsmoreoftenthannothazardousthatrequireWhole of Government aswell asMultinational,Multifunctional taskforces. I’despecially liketoseeMilitaryAdvisoryGroups (MAG)modernizedandgivenInformationOperations(IO)responsibilities.


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HumanTerrainTeams(HTT).Doneright,HTTshouldbeinter-disciplinaryandmultinational,andshouldnotrequireclearancesatall. Anthropologistswithlanguageskills shouldbe theheartofHTT,andmostof themshouldnotbeAmericansorevenEuropeans.

Interrogator-Translator Teams (ITT). Iwant to broaden the ITT category toincludeMilitaryPolice(MP),CivilAffairs(CA),CombatEngineers(CE),andallthe folks that come into contact with both Prisoners ofWar (POW), whichin theMarineCorps is an S-1/Adjutanthousekeeping job rather thanan S-2intelligenceexploitationjob,andwithcivilians,includingourlogisticians(whoareconstantlystarvedforintelligencesupportatthesametimethattheyhavesomuchtoofferintermsofpracticalinsightsaboutaccessandtrafficability).Wemust conceive and execute a new form of HUMINT campaign plan thatsimultaneously educates, trains, informs, empowers, and ultimately protectseverymemberof the inter-agency team that isbeing supported,and that isbothconsciousof—andabletoexploit—everyhumanseveraltimesremovedintheirrespectivenetworks.

Soldier as Sensor (Patrolling, Force Reconnaissance, Covert “Hides”). Patrollingisafundamentalelementofinfantryoperations,andappearstoriseandfallincycles.Itscompanion,forcereconnaissance,alsotendstoriseandfall.Thereisnosubstituteforahumanbrainattachedtohumaneyesandears,particularlywhenreal-timecontextualunderstandingandwarningisneeded.WhileUnmannedAerialVehicles(UAV)andForwardAirControllers(FAC)andAerialObservers(AO)canbemosthelpful,itisthehumanonthegroundthatproduces“groundtruth,”a“360degree”appreciationthatcannotbeachievedbyanycombinationoftechnologies,close-inorremote.Agreatdealmorecanbedone inusing forcereconnaissance toemplaceclose-in remotemonitors,includingwebcamsandliveaudiodevices,inenemyencampmentsandcriminalenclaves.

Defensive Counterintelligence and Offensive Counterintelligence are bestdiscussed elsewhere. Chapter 20 addresses the need for 21st Century Full-SpectrumCounterintelligence,simplyunderstandingourowndeepproblemsofourownmaking.


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Covert ActionHUMINT. There is no finer overview on covert action that islegallyavailabletothepublicthanAlfredCumming,Covert Action: Legislative Background and Possible Policy Questions (Congressional Research Service,February9,2009).Iampersuadedbymyowndirectexperienceandalifetimeofreadingthatpolicymakersarenotsufficientlyinformed,norethicallygrounded,andthereforeshouldnotbeauthorizingcovertactions,withtwoexceptions:thecaptureorassassinationofkeyterroristorgangleadersandtheinterdictionof key ingredients of Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN)weaponsofmassdestruction(WMD).

ClandestineHUMINT.FromwhereIsit,CIAhasbecomeuseless.Itrefusestoabandonofficialcoverandithasprovenincapableofscalingupnon-officialcoverdespitespendingtensofmillionsifnotmoreonupto21“pseudo-companies,”20ofwhichhadtobeshutdownrecently.Atthesametime,CIA’syoungcaseofficers (C/O) and analysts (themajority of the CIA analytic population nowhaslessthanfiveyearsemploymentatCIA)depriveCIAofanyclaimtospecialcompetenceinHUMINTorall-sourceintelligence.CIA’sallegedsuccessesareinmyopinionthoseoftheforeignliaisonservicesofthemanydictatorsthatwenowpayhugesumsofmoneytowhileturningablindeyetotheirpracticeoftortureandtherawfactthatmostofourmoneyendsupintheirbankaccounts.

Bottom line: with the sole exception of deep penetrations of white collarcorporatecriminalnetworks;transnationalcriminalgangs;andlocaltoglobalterroristorganizations,neithercovertactionnorclandestineHUMINTareworththecost,therisk,orthemoralhazard.

ThemajorobstaclestoHUMINTsuccessareourconsumers,out-datedsecurityguidelines, and ignorant lawyers. Tobe successful,HUMINTmanagersmustfirsteducateallthose“insidethewire.” Consumerswhosay“tellmeeverythingabouteverything,”or“youfigureitout,”havenotbeenproperlyeducatedortrained.Finally,lawyers….theysaynowhentheymeantheydonotknow,andtheyadvisethedestructionofuseful intelligence(ABLEDANGER)ratherthanrevealtheirignoranceaboutwhetheritwaslegalornot.


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HUMINT costs less, requires less time, and is much more responsive thantechnicalcollection,inpartbecausewithHUMINT,“processing”isembeddedallalongthehumanchain,fromsourcetocollectortoanalysttoconsumer.

Belowisaveryhigh-levelviewofeverythingexceptthetechnicaldisciplines,whichareassumedtobesubordinatetoHUMINTratherthanoutofcontrolandcostingbillionsofunnecessarydollars.

Figure 54: HUMINT Field—Sources, Targets, and Consumers


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Chapter 2021st Century Counterintelligence:

Evaluating the Health of the Nation

Thischapterfocusesonwhatcounterintelligenceshouldbeaddressinginthe21stcentury,notontheminutiaofthepracticeofcounterintelligence.Afineoverviewofthelaterintraditional(secretworld)termsisatWikipedia.

SunTzuiswell-knownforhis translated dictum

If you know your enemies and know yourself, youwill notbeimperiledinahundredbattles...ifyoudonotknowyourenemies nor yourself, you will be imperiled in every singlebattle.

Whathedoesnotaddressisthefocusonthischapter:whatifyouknowyourenemybutdonotknowyourself?WhileIfirmlybelievethatnogovernmentreallyknowsits“enemy,”Iammoreconcernedatthistimewiththecostsofanygovernment—andbyextension, thepublic thatgovernment represents—notknowingitself.IaddressParadigmsofFailureaswellasLegitimateGrievances ingeneral terms, in thechapterby thatname inELECTION 2008: Lipstick on the Pig (EIN, 2008), and also recommend theAnnotatedBibliography for aninternationally-orientedoverviewofreality.

This entire book is about knowing ourselves. This book also accepts theSantayana Institute’sTwelvePrinciples, severalofwhichmake thepoint thateveryenemyisinfactpartofthelargerWe,andknowingone’senemyistohaveempathyforthewholecomprisedof“them”and“us”formingoneWe.


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Thequestionof “whoknows”withinanation is fundamental. Forexample,from1974-1979boththeUSWhiteHouseandtheUSSenatewerefullybriefedonPeakOilandknewwithprecisionthata“long emergency”wouldbeginearlyinthenewcentury.Similarly,inthattimeframe,theCentralIntelligenceAgency(CIA) issuedveryfinereportsonboththefuture lackofcleanpotablewater,andthethreatofHIV/AIDS.Backthen,theinformationwascommunicatedinbriefingsandhearings.Todaythebooksarefloodingthemarketplace,butthepublic isnotreadingthesebooksnoragitatingforreform. See,for instance:The Party’s Over–Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies and Twilight in the Desert–The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy.

Thepoliticianschosetoignorethese“clearandpresent”dangersinpartbecausethepolicymakers—thecivilservants—didnotalertoralarmthepublic—andinpartbecausethepublichadbecomeinertandlargelyuninformed,aconditionthatpersiststoday.

Today The Next Catastrophe–Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and Terrorist Disastersisreadilyanticipatableandpreventable,butneitherthepoliticiansandtheirpolicyadvisors,northepublic,arepayingattention.

Theabovesituation,drawingadistinctionbetweenafew“intheknow”thatchosenottopursuethepublicinterest,andthepublicbeingunwitting,isavitalone.ThomasJeffersonputitthisway:

ANation’sbestdefenseisaneducatedcitizenry.

JamesMadison,likeThomasJeffersonaVirginian,saidthis:

Knowledgewillforevergovernignorance;andapeoplewhomeantobetheirowngovernorsmustarmthemselveswiththepowerwhichknowledgegives.

21ST CENTURY COUNTERINTELLIGENCE: EVALUATING THE HEALTH OF THE NATION

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Thereareat least threeways toevaluatethe“healthof theNation,”andnodoubtmanyothersdependingonyourpointofview.BelowIsimplyaddressthreewaystothinkaboutour“homefront”strengthorlackthereof.

Health of the Budget

9/11 isausefulstartingpoint forevaluatingthecurrenthealthofthenationinbudgetterms.Immediatelyafter9/11aliteratureemergedonasymmetricwarfarethatquicklyobservedthatforevery$1aterroristgroupspenttoattackus,wewerespending$500,000tofightback,muchofthisasaresultofourowndecisionsimposingcoststhatmanybelievearenotjustifiable.Todaythatfigureisprobablycloserto$5millionforevery$1,andthecostoftheIraqwaraloneisnowunderstoodtobe$3trillion.

By2006theRepublicwas insolvent,accordingtotheComptrollerGeneraloftheUnitedStates(theheadoftheGeneralAccountabilityOfficeorGAO).

1. An economic meltdown beginning in February 2008 that has led tounemployment close to22%whencountingbothunderemployedand thosewho have given up looking for work; and been exacerbated by a federalgovernmentwillingtogivetrillionsitdidnothavetokeepimmoralincompetentbanks“toobigtofail”fromlosingtheirbonusmoney;

2.Aseriesofdecisionsleadingtoathree-trilliondollarwarinIraq;andfinally

3. Ahealth-care “plan” that fails to address threeof the four essentials fornational health (healthy lifestyle, healthy environment, natural cures) whilecommittingtotrillionsincostsforthefourthpart(medicalremediation)withoutdoingtheobvious,reducingthecostsofmedicationsto1%ofwhatwepaynow(whattherestoftheworldpaysforgenericbulkdrugs).

It is not the purpose of this chapter to “investigate and document” thebankruptcyoftheUSGovernmentandindirectly,oftheRepublic,onlytobringthisspecificaspectofnationalcounterintelligenceforward.


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Health of the Government

Thehealthofthegovernmentcanbeevaluatedatmultiplelevels,andIwilljustlistthese:

1.Isthegovernmentwell-designedandstructuredtomakeinformeddecisionsin thepublic interest,decisions thatutilizeallof the instrumentsofnationalpowerina“wholeofgovernment”manner,balancingmeans,ways,andends?

2. Is the government well-staffed, with a mix of political leaders, policyappointees,andcivilservantswhoareknowledgeable,repletewith integrity,andabletodischargetheirduties?

3.Isthegovernmentresponsivetothepublicitissupposedtoserve,oroverlyresponsivetospecialcorporateorreligiousorforeign intereststhatdemand,buy, and obtain decisions and allocation of the public budget to programsinimicaltothepublicinterest?

4.Isthegovernment,onadaytodaybasis,operatingwithintegrity,meaningthatitiscollectingandprocessingrelevantinformation,itismakingdecisionsinatimelycoordinatedmanner,andthosedecisionsarebeingimplementedinacost-effectivetimelymannerthatablyservesthepublicinterest?

I deliberately avoidwhat I consider tobe the tactical issueof detectingandneutralizingespionageagainstthegovernmentbecause80%ormoreofwhatthegovernmentissupposedtobedoingisintendedtobepubliclyaccountable.Chapter12ontheinstrumentsofpowerisrelevanthere.

The reality is that theanswer to all of theabovequestions is a resounding“NO!”TheUSA—andmanyothernations—havegovernmentsconstitutedofstove-pipes dedicated to meeting the interests of the special interests thatbribeofficeholderssoastotransfermoneyfromthetaxpayertothespecialinterest.InthecaseoftheUSA,thegovernmentisdysfunctional—broken.


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Health of the Public

ThehealthofthepublicwithinaRepublicshouldbe—buthasnotbeen—theprincipalpre-occupationof theelected,appointed,andemployed leadersofthegovernmentateachlevel.Agovernment,Iwouldadd,thatisintendedtobeaservantofthepublic,notitsmaster.

Sadly,focusingonlyontheUSAbutwithgeneralapplicabilitytoothernations,somelessthanothers(thereismuchthatisgoodaboutvariousothercountries,andespecially theNordic countries andTheNetherlands), thehealthof thepublicintheUSAislowbyallstandards.

Iwillnotrepeatnorapplythevariedpointsfrompreviouschaptersthatbearonthisanalyticsituation,butwilljusthighlight:

• Chapter5—knowledge is fragmentedandtheeight tribesdonotshareinformationnormakesensetogether

• Chapter 10—we have a culture of catastrophe, cheating,conflict,andconspiracy

• Chapter 11—the fewenjoy informationasymmetries in theirfavor,andimposedatapathologiesonallofus, includingtheexternalizationofcoststothepublicandtheconcealmentofthe“truecost”ofallgoodsandservicesintermsofwater,cleanair,non-renewableenergy,andpersistenttoxins.

• Chapter15—the“averageAmerican,”onceastandard-bearerfor all that is good in the world, is now an anemic failure,unwitting, inattentive, and ineffective as a member of theRepublic

FrommyreviewofNoamChomsky’sInterventions:

Weare losing theglobalwar of belief systemsbecausewerefusetorecognizeourgrotesquemigrationfromafreepeopletoanevilempireinwhichthepeoplehavenosayoverwhatis


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beingdone“intheirname.”SunTzuknewthatonlythosewhoknowBOTH themselves,AND their enemy,will bevictories.WeknowNEITHERourselvesnorourenemies,mostofthemofourownmaking.Therearereasonsforthis,butthemostimportantreasonlieswithourownfailingasapublicwillingtodemandthepublicinterestinlieuofspecialinterests.

Onthenexttwentypages I listthebroadcategoriesfromtheframeworkforthe analysis of revolution that appears in Chapter 15, Figure 37, page 126,focusedonthedomestichealthoftheUSA,withlinkstosummaryreviewsofeachbook(inthefreeonlineversionofthisbook)atPhiBeta Iota. Mostofthesecomplaintsarenotnew—whatisnewisthattheyarebeingnoticedandacquiringresonancewiththepublic,apowergovernmentcannotsuppress.

This chapterwas going tobe just a fewpages long, but after I began listingbooksdocumentingthe“negatives”thatwedonotseemtobeunderstandingasapublic, Iendedgoingthroughall1,500ofmyreviews,sortingthemintotwogroups.Thisisthe“negatives”group.PartIIIofthisbookwillendwiththe“goodnews”groupintheAnnotatedBibliography,andIwanttostressthat—howevermuchtheUSAmightbeoffitsgame,IhaveabsolutelynodoubtthatWethePeoplearegoingtorestoreAmericatheBeautiful,andthatultimatelywewillallcometogethertocreateaprosperousworldatpeace.Thisbookisintendedtocontributetothatend.

IdecidedtolimittheAnnotatedBibliographytolistsofmyreviewsofbooksthataregenerally constructiveabout the future,whileplacing themorenegativebooks here as a foundation for understanding the precarious status of theRepublicwhenviewedobjectivelyandwithintegrity. It troublesmewhen colleagues suggest thatmy critical posture on nationalmattersisevidenceofa“hatred”forAmerica.Nothingcouldbefurtherfromthetruth.America,andtheidealsitrepresents,areinmyDNA*.Falsepatriotismiswhere idiots, ideologues,andwhite-collar criminals converge; inatimeoftrialsandtribulations,thegreatestserviceapatriotcanrenderistospeaktruthtopower,foronlybyachievingthefullestpossibleaccesstothetruthcanweattendtoallthatailsus.Toughloveis,inmyview,patriotic.


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Political-Legal

CorruptionCongressCandidCameraReview:Breach of Trust–How Washington Turns Outsiders into Insiders (Hardcover)Review:Crashing the Party–Taking on the Corporate Government in an Age of

SurrenderReview:Gold Warriors–America’s Secret Recovery of Yamashita’s GoldReview:Hostile Takeover–How Big Money and Corruption Conquered Our

Government–and How We Take It Back (Hardcover)Review:Off Center–The Republican Revolution and the Erosion of American Democracy

(Hardcover)Review:One Market Under God–Extreme Capitalism, Market Populism, and the End of

Economic Democracy (Paperback)Review:Secrecy & Privilege–Rise of the Bush Dynasty from Watergate to IraqReview:Selling OutReview:Sleeping With the Devil: How Washington Sold Our Soul for Saudi CrudeReview: The Attack on the Liberty–The Untold Story of Israel’s Deadly 1967 Assault on

a US Spy ShipReview:The Broken Branch–How Congress Is Failing America and How to Get It Back

on Track (Institutions of American Democracy)Review:The Power of Israel in the United StatesReview:The Trouble with Africa–Why Foreign Aid Isn’t WorkingReview: The Underground Empire–Where Crime and Governments EmbraceReview:They Dare to Speak Out–People and Institutions Confront Israel’s Lobby

Dereliction of Duty (Defense)

BudgetMalfeasanceReviewDVD:Why We Fight (2006)Review: Averting the Defense Train Wreck in the New Millennium (CSISReport)Review:Blank Check–The Pentagon’s Black BudgetReview:Making America’s Budget Policy–From the 1980s to the 1990s(Paperback)

______________________________*Deoxyribonucleicacid(DNA)isanucleicacidthatcontainsthegeneticinstructionsusedinthedevelopmentandfunctioningofallknownlivingorganisms


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Review:National DefenseReview:The Fifty Year Wound–The True Price of America’s Cold War VictoryReview: The Three Trillion Dollar War–The True Cost of the Iraq ConflictReview:Transformation Under Fire–Revolutionizing How America FightsReview:Wastrels of Defense–How Congress Sabotages US Security

ConsequencesImperialHubris:WhytheWestisLosingtheWaronTerrorReview:Imperial Grunts–The American Military on the Ground(Hardcover)Review:Tiger Force–A True Story of Men and War (Hardcover)Review:Unintended Consequences–The United States at War

CentralAsiaReview:Descent into Chaos–The United States and the Failure of Nation Building in

Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central AsiaReview:Seeds of Terror–How Heroin Is Bankrolling the Taliban and al Qaeda

Contractors&Contractor-RelatedCorruptionReview:Licensed to Kill–Hired Guns in the War on Terror (Hardcover)Review:The Devil’s Garden

CultureReview:House of War (Hardcover)

HomelandInsecurityReview:America the Vulnerable–How Our Government Is Failing to Protect Us

from Terrorism Review:American Jihad–The Terrorists Living Among UsReview:Open Target–Where America Is Vulnerable to Attack(Hardcover)Review:Osama’s Revenge–THE NEXT 9/11: What the Media and the Government

Haven’t Told YouReview: Willful Neglect–The Dangerous Illusion of Homeland Security

Hubris&IncompetenceReview(Guest):Bathtub Admirals(Hardcover)Review:Against All Enemies–Inside America’s War on TerrorReview:An End to Evil–How to Win the War on TerrorReview:Blind Into Baghdad–America’s War in IraqReview: Endgame–The Blueprint for Victory in the War on TerrorReview:Fiasco–The American Military Adventure in Iraq(Hardcover)


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Review:How Did This Happen? Terrorism and the New WarReview: Iraq and the Evolution of American StrategyReview:Losing the Golden Hour–An Insider’s View of Iraq’s ReconstructionReview:Rumsfeld–His Rise, Fall, and Catastrophic LegacyReview:Squandered Victory–The American Occupation and the Bungled Effort to Bring

Democracy to Iraq(Hardcover)Review:The End of Iraq–How American Incompetence Created a War Without End

(Hardcover)Review:The Mission–Waging War and Keeping Peace with America’s MilitaryReview:The One Percent Doctrine–Deep Inside America’s Pursuit of Its Enemies Since

9/11(Hardcover)Review:The Rules of the Game–Jutland and British Naval CommandReview:Treachery–How America’s Friends and Foes Are Secretly Arming Our Enemies

(Hardcover)Review:War and Decision–Inside the Pentagon at the Dawn of the War on TerrorismReview:War in a Time of Peace–Bush, Clinton, and the GeneralsReview:What Went Wrong? Western Impact and Middle Eastern Response

MiddleEastReview:Marching Toward Hell–America and Islam After IraqReview:Target Iran–The Truth About the White House’s Plans for Regime ChangeReview:The Power of Israel in the United StatesReview:They Dare to Speak Out–People and Institutions Confront Israel’s Lobby

Dereliction of Duty (Health)ReviewDVD:PandemicReview:Betrayal of Trust–The Collapse of Global Public HealthReview:Pathologies of Power–Health, Human Rights, and the New War on the Poor

(Hardcover)Review:Who Killed Health Care?–America’s $2 Trillion Medical Problem – and the

Consumer-Driven Cure

Dereliction of Duty Other Than Defense)Review(Guest):Integrity–Good People, Bad Choices, and Life Lessons from the White

HouseReview:A Season of Inquiry–The Senate Intelligence InvestigationReview:Afghanistan’s Endless War–State Failure, Regional Politics, and the Rise of the

TalibanReview:America the Vulnerable–How Our Government Is Failing to Protect Us from

Terrorism


188

Review:Betrayal of Trust–The Collapse of Global Public HealthReview: Blue Frontier–Dispatches from America’s Ocean WildernessReview: Bureaucratic Politics and Foreign PolicyReview: Collapse–How Societies Choose to Fail or SucceedReview: Defense Facts of Life–The Plans/Reality MismatchReview: Downsizing Democracy–How America Sidelined Its Citizens and Privatized Its

PublicReview:Genocide in the Congo (Zaire)Review:GomorrahReview: Inside Sudan–Political Islam, Conflict, and CatastropheReview: Leave Us Alone–Getting the Government’s Hands Off Our Money, Our Guns,

Our LivesReview: My Year in Iraq–The Struggle to Build a Future of HopeReview:Politics Lost–How American Democracy Was Trivialized By People Who Think

You’re Stupid(Hardcover)Review:Risk and Reason–Safety, Law, and the EnvironmentReview:Running The World–the Inside Story of the National Security Council and the

Architects of American Power(Hardcover)Review:See No Evil–The True Story of a Ground Soldier in the CIA’s War on TerrorismReview:Seven Sins of American Foreign Policy(Paperback)Review:Shake Hands With The Devil–The Failure Of Humanity In RwandaReview:The Assault on ReasonReview: The Collapse of Complex SocietiesReview:The Edge of Disaster–Rebuilding a Resilient NationReview:The Life and Death of NSSM 200 –How the Destruction of Political Will

Doomed a US Population PolicyReview:The New American StoryReview:The Next Catastrophe–Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and

Terrorist DisastersReview:The Political Junkie Handbook (The Definitive Reference Book on Politics)Review:Where Have All the Leaders Gone?Review:While America Sleeps–How Islam, Immigration and Indoctrination Are

Destroying America From WithinReview:White Nile, Black Blood–War, Leadership, and Ethnicity from Khartoum to

KampalaReview:Wilson’s Ghost–Reducing the Risk of Conflict, Killing, and Catastrophe in the

21st CenturyReview:Your Government Failed You–Breaking the Cycle of National Security Disasters


189

Disinformation, Other Information Pathologies, & Repression

9/11Review:9-11Review: 9-11 Descent into Tyranny–The New World Order’s Dark Plans to Turn Earth

into a Prison PlanetReview:Access Denied–The Practice and Policy of Global Internet FilteringReview:Painful Questions–An Analysis of the September 11th AttackReview:The 9/11 Commission Report–Omissions And Distortions (Paperback)Review:The Big Wedding–9/11, the Whistle Blowers, and the Cover-up(Paperback)Review:The Hidden History of 9-11Review:The New Pearl Harbor–Disturbing Questions About the Bush Administration

and 9/11(Paperback)Review:The Terror Timeline–Year by Year, Day by Day, Minute by Minute: A

Comprehensive Chronicle of the Road to 9/11–and America’s Response (Paperback)Review:The War On Truth–9/11, Disinformation And The Anatomy Of Terrorism

(Paperback)

CensorshipReviewDVD: The US vs. John LennonReview:Censorship of Historical Thought–A World Guide, 1945-2000Review:Forbidden Knowledge–From Prometheus to PornographyReview:Gag Rule–On the Suppression of Dissent and Stifling of DemocracyReview:Into the Buzzsaw–Leading Journalists Expose the Myth of a Free PressReview:Soft Despotism, Democracy’s Drift: Montesquieu, Rousseau, Tocqueville, and

the Modern ProspectReview:The Age of Missing Information

Cover-UpsReview:Scorpion Down–Sunk by the Soviets, Buried by the Pentagon: The Untold Story

of the USS ScorpionReview:Silent Steel–The Mysterious Death of the Nuclear Attack Sub USS Scorpion

Extra-TerrestrialWithholdingReview:Hidden Truth–Forbidden Knowledge

IraqReview:A War Against Truth–An Intimate Account of the Invasion of Iraq

[ILLUSTRATED](Paperback)


190

PropagandaReview(Guest):Propaganda–The Formation of Men’s AttitudesReviewDVD:Fahrenheit 9/11(2004)Review:Big Lies–The Right-Wing Propaganda Machine and How It Distorts the TruthReview:Disinformation –22 Media Myths That Undermine the War on Terror

(Hardcover)Review:Fog Facts –Searching for Truth in the Land of Spin(NationBooks)(Hardcover)Review:HOW ISRAEL LOSTReview:InterventionsReview:It’s Not News, It’s Fark–How Mass Media Tries to Pass Off Crap As NewsReview:Manufacturing Consent–The Political Economy of the Mass MediaReview:State of FearReview:The Infernal Machine–A History of Terrorism

SecrecyReview:Lost History–Contras, Cocaine, the Press & ‘Project Truth’Review:Nation of Secrets–The Threat to Democracy and the American Way of LifeReview: Secrecy–The American ExperienceReview: Secrets–A Memoir of Vietnam and the Pentagon PapersReview: Secrets and Lies–Operation “Iraqi Freedom” and After: A Prelude to the Fall of

US Power in the Middle East?Review:The American Truth

Two-PartyTyrannyReview:Grand Illusion–The Myth of Voter Choice in a Two-Party TyrannyReview: Running on Empty–How the Democratic and Republican Parties Are

Bankrupting Our Future and What Americans Can Do About It

Empire as a Cancer Including Betrayal & DeceitReview:A Peace to End All Peace–The Fall of the Ottoman Empire and the Creation of

the Modern Middle EastReview:Acts of AggressionReview: After Iraq–The Imperiled American ImperiumReview:Blowback–The Costs and Consequences of American EmpireReview:Day of Empire–How Hyperpowers Rise to Global Dominance–and Why They

FallReview:Enforcing the Peace–Learning from the Imperial PastReview:Failed States–The Abuse of Power and the Assault on Democracy (American

EmpireProject)(Hardcover)


191

Review:Foreign Follies–America’s New Global EmpireReview:Imperial Ambitions–Conversations on the Post-9/11 World(AmericanEmpire

Project)(Paperback)Review: Killing Hope–US Military and C.I.A. Interventions Since World War II-Updated

Through 2003Review:Nemesis–The Last Days of the American RepublicReview:Overthrow–America’s Century of Regime Change from Hawaii to Iraq

(Hardcover)Review:The Folly of Empire–What George W. Bush Could Learn from Theodore

Roosevelt and Woodrow WilsonReview:The Folly of War–American Foreign Policy, 1898-2005Review:The Looming Tower–Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11Review:The Road to 9/11–Wealth, Empire, and the Future of AmericaReview:The Sorrows of Empire–Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic

(AmericanEmpireProject)Review:The Vulnerability of Empire(CornellStudiesinSecurityAffairs)Review:War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of EmpiresReview:War, Evil, and the End of HistoryReview:Web of Deceit: The History of Western Complicity in Iraq, from Churchill to

Kennedy to George W. BushReview:What We Say Goes

Impeachable Offenses (Modern)ReviewDVD:9/11 Mysteries – Part I: DemolitionsReviewDVD:Behind Every Terrorist There Is a BushReviewDVD:Bush’s Brain(2004)ReviewDVD: Death of a President(Widescreen)Review:9/11 Synthetic Terror–Made in USA, Fourth EditionReview:A Pretext for War–9/11, Iraq, and the Abuse of America’s Intelligence AgenciesReview:Articles of Impeachment Against George W. BushReview:Bush at WarReview:How Bush Rules–Chronicles of a Radical RegimeReview:In the Name of Democracy–American War Crimes in Iraq and BeyondReview:Prelude to Terror–the Rogue CIA, The Legacy of America’s Private Intelligence

Network the Compromising of American Intelligence(Hardcover)Review:Royal Flush–Impeach Bush Now CardsReview:Rumsfeld–His Rise, Fall, and Catastrophic LegacyReview:The American Truth


192

Review:The Case for Impeachment–The Legal Argument for Removing President George W. Bush from Office(Hardcover)

Review:The Great Unraveling–Losing Our Way in the New CenturyReview:VICE–Dick Cheney and the Hijacking of the American PresidencyReview:Where the Right Went Wrong–How Neoconservatives Subverted the Reagan

Revolution and Hijacked the Bush PresidencyReview: You’re Not Stupid! Get the Truth–A Brief on the Bush Presidency

Impeachable Offenses (Historic)Review:A Farewell to Justice–Jim Garrison, JFK’s Assassination, and the Case That

Should Have Changed History(Hardcover)Review:An Act of State–The Execution of Martin Luther King, New and Updated

EditionReview:Buried in the Bitter Waters–The Hidden History of Racial Cleansing in AmericaReview:Imagery of Lynching–Black Men, White Women, and the MobReview:JFK and the Unspeakable–Why He Died & Why It MattersReview:Someone Would Have Talked–The Assassination of President John F. Kennedy

and the Conspiracy to Mislead HistoryReview:The Trial of Henry KissingerReview:Without Sanctuary: Lynching Photography in America

Institutionalized IneptitudeReviewDVD:IdiocracyReviewDVD:The Fog of War – Eleven Lessons from the Life of Robert S. McNamaraReview: At War with Ourselves–Why America Is Squandering Its Chance to Build a

Better WorldReview:Blind Into Baghdad–America’s War in IraqReview:Breaking the Real Axis of Evil–How to Oust the World’s Last Dictators by 2025Review:Daydream Believers–How a Few Grand Ideas Wrecked American PowerReview:Devil’s Game–How the United States Helped Unleash Fundamentalist Islam

(AmericanEmpireProject)Review:Dunces of Doomsday–10 Blunders That Gave Rise to Radical Islam, Terrorist

Regimes, And the Threat of an American HiroshimaReview:Fiasco–The American Military Adventure in Iraq(Hardcover)Review:Glenn Beck’s Common Sense–The Case Against an Out-of-Control Government,

Inspired by Thomas PaineReview:National Suicide: How Washington Is Destroying the American Dream from A

to ZReview:Our Undemocratic Constitution–Where the Constitution Goes Wrong (And

How We the People Can Correct It)


193

Review: Strategery–How George W. Bush Is Defeating Terrorists, Outwitting Democrats, and Confounding the Mainstream Media(Hardcover)

Review:The Powers of War and Peace–The Constitution and Foreign Affairs after 9/11 (Hardcover)

Intelligence (Lack Of)

All2000 ON INTELLIGENCE: Spies and Secrecy in an Open WorldReviewDVD:TraitorReview:Bombs, Bugs, Drugs, and Thugs–Intelligence and America’s Quest for SecurityReview:Breakdown–How America’s Intelligence Failures Led to September 11Review:Comrade JReview:Fixing Intelligence–For a More Secure AmericaReview:Flawed by Design–The Evolution of the CIA, JCS, and NSCReview:How We Missed the Story–Osama Bin Laden, the Taliban and the Hijacking of

AfghanistanReview:Imperial Secrets–Remapping the Mind of EmpireReview:Intelligence Failure–How Clinton’s National Security Policy Set the Stage for

9/11(Hardcover)Review:National Insecurity–US Intelligence After the Cold WarReview:Piercing the Veil of Secrecy–Litigation Against US IntelligenceReview:Preventing Surprise Attacks–Intelligence Reform in the Wake of 9/11 (Hoover

Studies in Politics, Economics, and Society)(Hardcover)Review:Secrecy and Democracy–The CIA in TransitionReview:Spies for Hire–The Secret World of Intelligence OutsourcingReview:Spy Wars–Moles, Mysteries, and Deadly GamesReview:Spying Blind–The CIA, the FBI, and the Origins of 9/11Review:Spying on the Bomb–American Nuclear Intelligence from Nazi Germany to Iran

and North Korea(Hardcover)Review:State of War–The Secret History of the CIA and the Bush Administration

(Hardcover)Review:The Human Factor–Inside the CIA’s Dysfunctional Intelligence CultureReview:Turmoil and Triumph My Years As Secretary of State (Hardcover)Review:US Intelligence at the Crossroads–Agendas for ReformReview:Uncertain Shield–The US Intelligence System in the Throes of Reform (Hoover

StudiesinPolitics,Economics,andSociety)(Hardcover)Review:Why Secret Intelligence FailsReview:Winning Modern Wars–Iraq, Terrorism, and the American Empire


194

CIAReference:Global Outlook Special on False Flag OperationsReview:A SPY FOR ALL SEASONS–My Life In The CIAReview:At the Center of the Storm–My Years at the CIAReview:Beyond Repair: The Decline and Fall of the CIAReview:Blond GhostReview:Blowback–The First Full Account of America’s Recruitment of Nazis and Its

Disastrous Effect on The cold war, Our Domestic and Foreign PolicyReview:Charlie Wilson’s War–The Extraordinary Story of the Largest Covert Operation

in HistoryReview:Dark Alliance–The CIA, the Contras, and the Crack Cocaine ExplosionReview:Denial and Deception–An Insider’s View of the CIA from Iran-Contra to 9/11Review:Edward Lansdale’s Cold War (Culture, Politics, and the Cold War)(Paperback)Review:In Search of Enemies–A CIA StoryReview:Informing Statecraft–Intelligence for a New CenturyReview:INSIDE THE COMPANY–CIA DIARYReview:Legacy of Ashes–The History of the CIAReview:Lost PromiseReview:Spymaster–My Life in the CIAReview:The CIA and the Cult of IntelligenceReview:The Phoenix ProgramReview:The Very Best Men–Four Who Dared–The Early Years of the CIA

DIAReview:Firepower In Limited WarReview:None So Blind–A Personal Account of the Intelligence Failure in VietnamReview:Slow Burn–The Rise and Bitter Fall of American Intelligence in VietnamReview:Still Broken–A Recruit’s Inside Account of Intelligence Failures, from Baghdad

to the PentagonReview:The Tet Offensive–Intelligence Failure in WarReview:The Tunnels of Cu ChiReview:War Without WindowsReview:Who the Hell Are We Fighting?–The Story of Sam Adams and the Vietnam

Intelligence Wars(Hardcover)

FBIReviewDVD:Breach(WidescreenEdition)Review:Inside–A Top G-Man Exposes Spies, Lies, and Bureaucratic Bungling in the FBIReview:Merchants of Treason–America’s Secrets for Sale


195

Review: My FBI–Bringing Down the Mafia, Investigating Bill Clinton, and Fighting the War on Terror (Hardcover)

Review: Robert Maxwell, Israel’s Superspy–The Life and Murder of a Media MogulReview:Wedge–From Pearl Harbor to 9/11–How the Secret War between the FBI and

CIA Has Endangered National Security

NROReview:Deep Black–Space Espionage and National Security

NSAReview:Body of Secrets–Anatomy of the Ultra-Secret National Security AgencyReview:The Puzzle Palace–Inside the National Security Agency, America’s Most Secret

Intelligence OrganizationReview:The Shadow Factory–The Ultra-Secret NSA from 9/11 to the Eavesdropping on

AmericaReview:The Sigint Secrets–The Signals Intelligence War, 1900 to Today–Including the

Persecution of Gordon Welchman

TheocracyReview:America’s “War on Terrorism”(Paperback)Review:American Theocracy–The Peril and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and

Borrowed Money in the 21st Century(Hardcover)Review:Blood in the Sand–Imperial Fantasies, Right-Wing Ambitions, and the Erosion

of American Democracy (Hardcover)Review:Dreaming War–Blood for Oil and the Cheney-Bush JuntaReview:Foreign Follies–America’s New Global EmpireReview:Hegemony or Survival–America’s Quest for Global Dominance(TheAmerican

EmpireProject)Review:Losing America–Confronting a Reckless and Arrogant PresidencyReview:Obama–The Postmodern Coup – Making of a Manchurian CandidateReview:Power Trip (OpenMediaSeries)Review:The Ambition and the Power–The Fall of Jim Wright : A True Story of

WashingtonReview:The Bush TragedyReview:The Price of Loyalty–George W. Bush, the White House, and the Education of

Paul O’Neill


196

Socio-Economic

Bankruptcy of US Economy, Federal Reserve MalfeasanceReview(Guest)DVD:I.O.U.S.A. DVD on US BankruptcyReview:In an Uncertain World–Tough Choices from Wall Street to WashingtonReview:Maestro–Greenspan’s Fed And The American BoomReview:Petrodollar Warfare–Oil, Iraq and the Future of the DollarReview: The Age of Turbulence–Adventures in a New World

Blue CollarReview:Blue Collar Ministry–Facing Economic and Social Realities of Working PeopleReview:Deer Hunting with Jesus–Dispatches from America’s Class WarReview:Exporting America–Why Corporate Greed Is Shipping American Jobs OverseasReview: Talking Politics with God and the Devil in Washington, D.C.

Class War (Global)Review:Bad Samaritans–The Myth of Free Trade and the Secret History of CapitalismReview:Eco-Imperialism–Green Power, Black DeathReview:Global Inc.–An Atlas of the Multinational CorporationReview:Global Reach–The Power of the Multinational CorporationsReview:Open Veins of Latin America–Five Centuries of the Pillage of a ContinentReview:Opening America’s Market–US Foreign Trade Policy Since 1776(LutherHartwell

HodgesSeriesonBusiness,SocietyandtheState)Review:Operating Manual for Spaceship EarthReview: SAVAGE CAPITALISM AND THE MYTH OF DEMOCRACY–Latin America in the

Third MillenniumReview:The Global Class War –How America’s Bipartisan Elite Lost Our Future – and

What It Will Take to Win it Back(Hardcover)Review:The WTO(OpenMediaPamphletSeries)

Corporate & Transnational CrimeReviewDVD:American Drug War: The Last White HopeReview:BulletproofReview: Confessions of an Economic Hit ManReview:Conspiracy of Fools–A True Story(Hardcover)


197

Review:Corporate Espionage–What It Is, Why It’s Happening in Your Company, What You Must Do About It

Review: Illicit–How Smugglers, Traffickers and Copycats are Hijacking the Global Economy (Hardcover)

Review:Profit Over People–Neoliberalism & Global OrderReview:The Informant–A True StoryReview:The Umbrella of US Power–The Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the

Contradictions of US PolicyReview:War by Other Means–Economic Espionage in America

Corporate Lack of Integrity or Intelligence or BothReview(Guest):Liar’s Poker–Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall StreetReview:Bad Money–Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American

CapitalismReview:Corporate Irresponsibility–America’s Newest ExportReview:Fast Food Nation–The Dark Side of the All-American MealReview:Global Capitalism–Its Fall and Rise in the Twentieth Century(Hardcover)Review:No Logo–No Space, No Choice, No Jobs(Paperback)Review:The Corporation(2004)Review:The Disposable American–Layoffs and Their Consequences(Hardcover)Review:The Future and Its Enemies–The Growing Conflict Over Creativity, Enterprise, and ProgressReview: The Halo Effect: … and the Eight Other Business Delusions That Deceive

ManagersReview:The Manufacture of Evil–Ethics, Evolution and the Industrial SystemReview:The Naked CapitalistReview:The Party’s Over–Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies(Paperback)Review:The True Cost of Low Prices–The Violence of GlobalizationReview:Tragedy & Hope–A History of the World in Our TimeReview:When Corporations Rule the World


198

Elite RuleReviewDVD:The AMERICAN Ruling ClassReview: All the Money in the World–How the Forbes 400 Make–and Spend–Their

FortunesReview:How The World Really WorksReview:Rule by Secrecy–The Hidden History That Connects the Trilateral Commission,

the Freemasons, and the Great PyramidsReview:Superclass–The Global Power Elite and the World They Are MakingReview:The New Rulers of the WorldReview:The Rise of the Fourth Reich–The Secret Societies That Threaten to Take Over

AmericaReview:The Secret Founding of America–The Real Story of Freemasons, Puritans, & the

Battle for The New World

Middle ClassReview:Screwed–The Undeclared War Against the Middle Class — And What We Can

Do About ItReview:War on the Middle Class–How the Government, Big Business, and Special

Interest Groups Are Waging War on the American Dream and How to Fight Back

Poisons, Toxicity, Trash, & True CostReview:A Consumer’s Dictionary of Household, Yard and Office Chemicals: Complete

Information About Harmful and Desirable Chemicals Found in Everyday Home Products, Yard Poisons, and Office Polluters

Review:High Tech Trash–Digital Devices, Hidden Toxics, and Human HealthReview:Made to Break–Technology and Obsolescence in AmericaReview:Pandora’s Poison–Chlorine, Health, and a New Environmental Strategy

(Paperback)Review:The Blue Death–Disease, Disaster, and the Water We DrinkReview:The Omnivore’s Dilemma–A Natural History of Four MealsReview:The True Cost of Low Prices–The Violence of GlobalizationReview:Toxin(Fiction)Review:Wal-Mart–The High Cost of Low Price(2005)


199

PovertyReview:An Atlas of Poverty in America–One Nation, Pulling Apart, 1960-2003Review:Life at the Bottom–The Worldview That Makes the UnderclassReview:Nickel and Dimed–On (Not) Getting By in AmericaReview:Nobodies–Modern American Slave Labor and the Dark Side of the New Global

EconomyReview:Off the Books–The Underground Economy of the Urban PoorReview:The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order(Paperback)Review:The Working Poor–Invisible in America

War Complex—War as a RacketReviewDVD:Lord of War (Widescreen)(2005)Review:Betraying Our Troops–The Destructive Results of Privatizing WarReview:Blood Money–Wasted Billions, Lost Lives, and Corporate Greed in IraqReview:Hope of the WickedReview:The Price of Liberty–Paying for America’s WarsReview:The Shock Doctrine–The Rise of Disaster CapitalismReview:The Swiss, The Gold And The Dead–How Swiss Bankers Helped Finance the Nazi

War MachineReview:The True Cost of Conflict/Seven Recent Wars and Their Effects on SocietyReview:War is a Racket–The Antiwar Classic by America’s Most Decorated Soldier

Ideo-Cultural

AngerReviewDVD:The Believer(2001)Review:Harvest Of Rage–Why Oklahoma City Is Only The BeginningReview:Kids Who Kill–Confronting Our Culture of ViolenceReview: Rage of the Random Actor

AnthropologyReview:Anthropological Intelligence–The Deployment and Neglect of American

Anthropology in the Second World WarReview:Catastrophe & Culture–The Anthropology of Disaster


200

CorruptionReview:Dude, Where’s My Country?Review:Just How Stupid Are We?–Facing the Truth About the American VoterReview:The Cheating Culture–Why More Americans Are Doing Wrong to Get AheadReview:The Culture of National SecurityReview:The Deepening Darkness–Patriarchy, Resistance, and Democracy’s FutureReview:The End of America–Letter of Warning to a Young PatriotReview:The Final Move Beyond Iraq–The Final Solution While the World SleepsReview:The Pathology of PowerReview:Thieves in High Places–They’ve Stolen Our Country–And It’s Time to Take It

Back

CultureReview:The Crisis of Western Culture

DissentReview:Access Denied–The Practice and Policy of Global Internet FilteringReview:Gag Rule–On the Suppression of Dissent and Stifling of DemocracyReview:NOW Who Do We Blame?–Political Cartoons by Tom Toles(Paperback)Review:Speaking Freely–Trials of the First Amendment(Paperback)Review:Why Societies Need Dissent (OliverWendellHolmesLectures)

EvilReview:The Lucifer Principle–A Scientific Expedition into the Forces of History

(Paperback)Review:The Marketing of Evil–How Radicals, Elitists, and Pseudo-Experts Sell Us

Corruption Disguised As Freedom (Hardcover)

Family & ValuesReview:How Would a Patriot Act? Defending American Values from a President Run

Amok (Paperback)Review:Liberty and Tyranny–AConservativeManifestoReview:Love You, Daddy Boy–Daughters Honor the Fathers They LoveReview:Our Endangered Values–America’s Moral Crisis (Hardcover)Review:The Conservative Soul–How We Lost It, How to Get It Back


201

IntellectualsReview:Betrayal: How Black Intellectuals Have Abandoned the Ideals of the Civil

Rights EraReview:Waiting for Lightning to Strike–The Fundamentals of Black Politics

ReligionReview:American Fascists–The Christian Right and the War On AmericaReview:American Gospel–God, the Founding Fathers, and the Making of a Nation

(Hardcover)Review:Dogs of God–Columbus, the Inquisition, and the Defeat of the Moors

(Hardcover)Review:Fighting Identity–Sacred War and World Change (The Changing Face of War)Review:God’s Politics–Why the Right Gets It Wrong and the Left Doesn’t Get It

(Hardcover)Review:Pagan Christianity?: Exploring the Roots of Our Church PracticesReview:Palestine Inside Out–An Everyday OccupationReview:Piety & Politics–The Right-Wing Assault on Religious FreedomReview:Religion Gone Bad–The Hidden Dangers of the Christian RightReview:Tempting Faith–An Inside Story of Political SeductionReview: The End of Faith–Religion, Terror, and the Future of Reason (Paperback)Review:The Left Hand of God–Taking Back Our Country from the Religious Right

(Hardcover)Review:The War After ArmageddonReview:While Europe Slept–How Radical Islam is Destroying the West from Within

(Hardcover)

Techno-Demographic

Abuse & AtrocitiesReview:Human Security and the New Diplomacy–Protecting People, Promoting PeaceReview:In the Absence of the Sacred–The Failure of Technology and the Survival of the

Indian Nations

Communications & ComputingReview:Computer-Related RisksReview:Cuckoo’s EggReview:CYBERPUNK–Outlaws and Hackers on the Computer Frontier, RevisedReview:Cybershock–Surviving Hackers, Phreakers, Identity Thieves, Internet Terrorists

and Weapons of Mass Disruption


202

Review:Database Nation –The Death of Privacy in the 21st Century(Paperback)Review:Masters of Deception–The Gang That Ruled CyberspaceReview:Networks and Netwars–The Future of Terror, Crime, and MilitancyReview:Pearl Harbor Dot ComReview:Stealing the Network–How to Own a ContinentReview:Terminal CompromiseReview:The Hacker Crackdown–Law And Disorder On The Electronic Frontier

EducationReview:Anthropologists in the Public Sphere–Speaking Out on War, Peace, and

American PowerReview:Voltaire’s Bastards–The Dictatorship of Reason in the WestReview:Weapons of Mass Instruction

FalsehoodsReview:Empire of Illusion: The End of Literacy and the Triumph of SpectacleReview:Silicon Snake Oil–Second Thoughts on the Information Highway

Research & DevelopmentReview:Normal Accidents–Living with High-Risk TechnologiesReview:R & D Collaboration on Trial–The Microelectronics and Computer Technology

CorporationReview:The Digital Economy–Promise and Peril in the Age of Networked IntelligenceReview:The Future of the Internet–And How to Stop ItReview: The Politics of Information Management–Policy Guidelines

War on ScienceReview:The Republican War on Science

Natural-Geographic

Climate ChangeReviewDVD:National Geographic: Six Degrees Could Change the WorldReviewDVD:National Geographic–Human FootprintReviewDVD:The 11th HourReview:An Inconvenient Truth–The Planetary Emergency of Global Warming and

What We Can Do About It (Paperback)


203

Review:COOL IT–The Skeptical Environmentalist’s Guide to Global WarmingReview:Global Warming False Alarm–The Bad Science Behind the United Nations’

Assertion that Man-made CO2 Causes Global WarmingReview:The Real Global Warming DisasterReview:The Skeptical Environmentalist–Measuring the Real State of the World

DiseaseReview:The Health of Nations–Infectious Disease, Environmental Change, and Their

Effects on National Security and Development

Environmental Degradation (Other than Emissions)Review:Acts of God–The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in AmericaReview:Catastrophe–An Investigation into the Origins of Modern CivilizationReview:Environment, Scarcity, and ViolenceReview:Environment, Scarcity, and Violence.Review:Floods, Famines, And Emperors–El Nino And The Fate Of CivilizationsReview: Nature’s Extremes–Inside the Great Natural Disasters That Shape Life on Earth

(TimeMagazineHardcover)Review:Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum–How Humans Took Control of Climate

(Hardcover)Review:The Biodiversity Crisis–Losing What CountsReview:The Vanishing of a Species? A Look at Modern Man’s Predicament by a

Geologist(Hardcover)

NatureReview:Catastrophe–An Investigation into the Origins of Modern CivilizationReview:The Weather Makers –How Man Is Changing the Climate and What It Means

for Life on Earth(Hardcover)Review:The Winds of Change–Climate, Weather, and the Destruction of Civilizations

(Hardcover)

Peak OilReview:Crossing the Rubicon–The Decline of the American Empire at the End of the

Age of Oil(Paperback)Review:Resource Wars–The New Landscape of Global ConflictReview:The Party’s Over–Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies(Paperback)


204

WaterReview:The Blue Death–Disease, Disaster, and the Water We DrinkReview:The Outlaw Sea–A World of Freedom, Chaos, and CrimeReview:Water–The Fate of Our Most Precious ResourceReview:When the Rivers Run Dry–Water–The Defining Crisis of the Twenty-First

Century(Hardcover)

AmericatheBeautifulisstillbeautifuldeepdown,butshehasbeenscarredbyfiftyyearsofColdWarEmpirethathastakenatollonthepublicnotpreviouslytallied. A partial purpose of this book is to help every nation evaluate itswounds,andconsiderhowtouseTheNewCraftofIntelligenceandInformationOperations(IO)toreconnecthumanityamonghumans,withtheEarth,andwiththe intermediate institutionsthathavebrokendowninthefaceof increasedcomplexityandtheincreasedspeedofmulti-dimensionalchangesacrossalloftheabovecategories.


205



TheglobalcommunitylacksaStrategicAnalyticModelwithattendantopenstandardsthatwillallowformultinationalmultifunctionalinformation-sharingandsense-making,especiallyinreal-timeandnear-real-timesituations.

Incombination,theExpeditionaryEnvironmentAnalyticModel,andtheWorldBrainAnalyticModelshouldbeintegratedandenhancedsoastoprovideastandardweb-basedStrategicAnalyticModelforall.

Thereareeight“tribesofintelligence”thatdonotshareinformationorintelligencesourcesand methods nor do they share theburdenofglobalcollection,processing,andanalysis.Thisleadstoduplicatecostsandlostchances.

Thepoorshouldbethe“centerofgravity”fortworeasons:1.Theyrepresentthemassofhumanitythatwillimplodeabsentglobalreformofcapitalism;and2.Theirhumanminds,ifgivencellphonesandaccesstoinformation,cancreateinfinitewealthforall.

Capitalismisfocusedontheonebillionrichwhohaveanannualaggregateincomeofonetrilliondollars,whilevirtuallynooneisfocusedonthespecialneedsofthefivebillionpoorwhointheaggregatehaveanannualincomeoffourtrilliondollars.

AWorldBrainInstituteandstandardizedCentersforPublicIntelligence,aswellregionalinitiativestocreatenationalhubswithreachtooneanotherandsomesortofmultinationalglobalhub,areall urgently needed.


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Existingnationsandorganizationshave a very constrained understandingoftheartandscienceofintelligence(decision-support)andaremakingdecisionsthatareoftenuninformedand/orbasedonideologicalorotherpartisanpreferences.Aglobalappreciationforthenewcraftofintelligenceisneeded.

AStrategicAnalyticModelwithaglobalstandardforAnalyticTradecraft,andauniversalunderstandingoftheneedforholisticanalysis(alltenthreatsinrelationtoalltwelvepoliciesallthetime),combinedwith360degree“allstakeholder”thinking,isneeded,alongwithincentivesandmethodsforinformationsharing.

Thehumanbrain,nottechnology,istheoneinfiniteresourcewehaveinthefaceofarapidly-changingearth,complexitiessuchasclimatechangethatwedonotunderstandwell,andimminentthreatsofcatastrophethatwillrequireadaptabilityinrealtime.

Regions,andeventuallyallnationsandorganizations,mustagreeoncreatingcoreforcesforeducation,intelligence,andemergencyresponsethatenablethecombinedharnessingofallhumanmindsallthetimebutconnectingthemwithallinformationinalllanguages.

“Wehavemettheenemyandheisus.”Pogo(thecartooncharacter)saidthisinthe1950’sanditremainstruetoday.Nationalbudgets,nationalgovernments,andnationalpublicsarenothealthy.Thereistoomuchwaste(50%inUShealthanddefense)andweareproducingtoomanytoxinswhileconsumingtoomuchoftheEarth’snon-renewableresources.

UsingtheFrameworkfortheAnalysisofRevolutionpresentedinChapter15,wemustevaluateourselvesusingpublicintelligencethatthepubliccanappreciate,andthendeveloparangeoftools,techniques,andprotocolsforachievingM4IS2(Multinational,Multiagency,Multidisciplinary,MultidomainInformation-SharingandSense-Making)inthepublicinterest.


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Part IV

Technical Intelligence—ClarityOpenEverything,

Global-to-LocalNeedsTable

PartIVconsistsofsevenchaptersaddressingthepracticaltechnicalaspectsofcreatingaWorldBrain thatcancreateaccuratetimely intelligence (decision-support) inevery climeandplacegenerallywithoutnewfixedcost, inotherwords, leveraging the distributed capabilities of nations, corporations, non-profitorganizations,andindividualsastheyexist.

Theheartof this approach is “OpenEverything”beginningwith InformationandCommunicationTechnologies(ICT)butexpandingrapidlytoembraceotheropenconceptsandpracticesthatcreatewealthforallwhilereducingwasteaswellasviolenceasscarcityiseliminated.

Chapter 22. Technical Intelligence Enablers. The successof theFree/OpenSource Software (F/OSS) movement must be radically extended across allboundaries so as to permit no-cost to low-cost multinational information-sharingandsense-making. Thiswillenabletheharnessingofthedistributedintelligence of all citizens, “Intelligence Minutemen,” in the production offree, ethical Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) that makes possible M4IS2(Multinational, Multiagency, Multidisciplinary, Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making). Open Spectrum completes the foundation—wemustabandonassignedfrequenciesandmovetosmartdevicesthatcansharespectrumandconsequentlyincreasebandwidthanddiversityofuse,anecessityifweareto“connect”andassimilatethefivebillionpoor.

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Chapter 23. Participatory Budget Transparency & Panarchic Outreach. BrazilhasledthewaywithbothParticipatoryBudgetingandthePedagogyofFreedom.LeveragingthedigitalfreedomenabledbyF/OSS,OSINT,andOpenSpectrum,wemustmovetothenextlevelinwhichallstakeholdershavefullvoiceinalldecisionsaffectingthem,andsimultaneouslycanbeactivemembersofmultiplenetworkswithoutsacrificingloyaltyorintegrity.

Chapter 24. Earth Intelligence Network Concepts & Possibilities.Theconceptsand possibilities of the Earth Intelligence Network are briefly presented,includingtheWorldBrainInstitute,theCenter(s)forPublicIntelligence,andtheGlobalGameinwhicheverypersonhastherighttoplaythemselvesinrelationtoeveryoneelseandreal-worldreal-timeinformation.

Chapter 25. “True Costs,” Ecological Economics, and Moral Capitalism. Pioneers inthisarea,andtheirpublications,arebrieflypresentedtosupportthe conclusion that environmental intelligence—public knowledge of the“truecosts”ofanyproductorservice—isvastlymoreimportanttoachievinga sustainable prosperousworld at peace, than government regulation. Themoralityofcapitalismcanberestoredasthebusinessworlddiscoversthattheonlysustainablebusinessistheonethatisbothmoralandgreen.

Chapter 26. Conscious Non-Zero Evolution & Global to Local Needs Tables. Theworld isfinally rediscovering thewisdomofourancestors, and realizingthat humans are inherently empathetic and good, and that the height ofevolutionaryconsciousnessistheachievementof“non-zero”evolutioninwhicheveryonewins,nooneloses.ThepracticalmeansofarrivingatthisconditionistheGlobaltoLocalNeedsTable.

Chapter 27. Open Everything. The “Open”meme can be applied tomanythingsincludingmoney.Thischapterexploressomeofthepossibilities.

Chapter 28. Conclusions and Recommendations. I conclude that there is nothingstandinginourwayexceptourselves.


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Chapter 22Technical Intelligence Enablers

Thisisnotachapterthatseekstospecifytechnicalsolutions,oreventechnicalstandards,onlytheover-archingenvironment—theonlytechnicalenvironmentthatinmyjudgmentisinfinitelyscalable,adaptable,resilient,andaffordable—theOpenEnvironment.

Thisisnottosaythatcommercialsoftware,bothlegacyandemergent,doesnothaveaplace,onlythatcommercialsoftwarewillneverscaletobefreeforthefivebillionpoor,nortransparentforalltounderstand,andthereareproblemswithbothcommercialofferingsandgovernmentacquisitions.

Thesefourproblemspersist:

1.Commercialmis-representation,fraud,andfailuretodeliver

2.Commercialmis-directionsofcontractsthroughundueinfluence

3.Governmentignorancesoprofoundastobebeyondbelief

4.Governmentmismanagement(whichistosay,nomanagement)

IhavefollowedwithinterestthesporadiceffortsoftheOfficeofManagementandBudget (OMB)aswell as theGeneral ServicesAdministration (GSA)andvariousotherentitiessuchastheJointForcesCommand(JFCOM),theDefenseAdvanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) and its secret intelligencecounterpart,andIhavetobeblunt:theyareallsofragmented,so lacking instrategiccoherence,andsounabletoachieveconsensusandthenresultsthattheymightaswellnotexist.Thetop-downsearchfor“commonsolutions”is


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notworkingandwillprobablyneverworkforthesimplereasonthattop-down“command&control”cannotkeeppacewiththerateofchangeinsociety.

IntheUSAtodaycyber-securityisdeadinthewaterbecausetheUSGovernmentignored my 1994 appeal, in partnership with several well-informed others,to both embrace the Hackers on Planet Earth (HOPE) and others with self-taughtgenius;andinvest$1billionayear[roughlycomparableto$12billionayeartoday,butbackthenwewouldhavegottententimesthevalueforourinvestment]increatingopenstandardsandopensoftwarethatwouldnotbeconstantlydisplayingtheinfamous“bluescreenofdeath,”theposterchildforsecond-ratesoftwarewithfirst-ratemarketing.

More recently, in an Op-Ed in Homeland Security Today, entitled America’sCyber-Scam, I contrasted the$12billionper yearweareabout to spendonvaporware,withthe63peopleactuallyqualifiedtoworkdeepcodeissuesintheUSA.

AlongwiththeextraordinaryeffortsofDianeWebbandAndyShepard,Iwasoneofthethreepeople inthe1980’sthatgotdowntothespecificsofwhatweneedinagenericanalyticworkstation.Thethreereferencesthatbearonthis,andalsoapplytocollectorsof informationandtoend-usersofamixofinformationondemandandintelligenceondemand,arethese:

1. 1988GenericIntelligenceCenterProductionRequirements

2. 1989CATALYST:Computer-AidedToolsfortheAnalysisofScience&Technology

3.1989CommitteeonTheAnalystandTechnology2000FunctionalandAssociatedTechnologicalRequirementsfortheIntelligenceAnalyst’sWorkplacetoOptimizeDataProcessing

ItisimportanttonotethatCATALYSTwasactuallyconceivedin1985byDianeWebbwithDennisMcCormick under the leadership ofGordonOehler, then

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directing theOffice of Scientific andWeapons Research (OSWR) at CIA; andthat the generic needs were determined through a 70-person functionalrequirements analysis in 1986 across all CIA Directorates, all mission areas,donebytheOfficeofInformationTechnology(OIT),ProjectGEORGE(Smiley).

TherewasalsoaMarineCorpsIntelligenceCenter(MCIC)proposaltotheJointNational IntelligenceDevelopment Staff (JNIDS) thatwe learnedover a yearlater we hadwon, but our win was overturned by as Admiral who insistedagainstallestablishedinter-agencyagreements,onananti-submarineproject.

Belowisan illustrationoftheanalytictoolkitdefined in1986byDianeWeb,thebestavailabledepictionofgeneralconsensus,andstillnotavailabletoday.

Figure 55. Needed F/OSS Functionalities


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Westilldonothavethesecapabilitiesclearlyandexplicitlyidentifiedin1989foronesimplereason:alackofintegratedmanagementwithingovernmentontheonehand,andalackofbroadsocietaldialogontheimportanceofachievinganOpenSocietywithOpenEverything.

As a foundingmemberof the IC-wideAdvanced InformationProcessing andAnalysisSteeringGroup(AIPASG)Irecollectthatwefoundnofewerthantwentydifferent“all source fusion”workstationprojects,eachspendingroughly$10millionayear,eachonaseparatecontractbetweenaseparateelementofanagency (within agencies multiple competing contracts existed) and a single“specialpartner”intheprivatesector.Extendthatfindingacrossallthelesswastefulnationsandallthecorporationsandnon-governmentalorganizationsthathavesimilarneeds,andtheopportunitycostisstaggering.

Withthatasapreamble,IconcludetherearethreeessentiallegsforachievingaWorldBrain—theharnessingofthedistributedintelligenceofallhumansallthetimeforthesharedbenefitofhumanity—thatcanprovidehumanintelligenceforEarth:

1.Free/OpenSourceSoftware(F/OSS)

2.OpenSourceIntelligence(OSINT)

3.OpenSpectrum

Free/Open Source Software (F/OSS)

“Free”doesnotmean freeofcost,but rather isabout free (open)access tosourcecodethatpermitsanyonetostudy,changeorimprovethecode.LINUXisF/OSS,andaglobalgridofvolunteerexpertsthathaveovertimelearnedtotrusteachothervalidateschangestothecodeinamannerthatwouldshameanylargecorporation.


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HOWEVER,“free”alsocomesintoplayingovernmentsareincreasinglyrealizingthatgovernmentinformationfundedbythetaxpayersshouldbemadeavailabletothepublicwithoutrequiringthattheybuyproprietary(andcostly)software.AglobalmovementtouseUbuntuLinux isgrowing, Ubuntu isanoperatingsystem built by a worldwide team of expert developers and containing allthe standard applications: a web browser, office suite, media apps, instantmessaging and much more.

F/OSSisalsogainingrespectasbothindividualsandorganizationsbegintoseethatopenly-developedsoftwareisstrongerthansoftwaredevelopedbynarrowteams.AstheLinuxdevelopersliketosay,“Putenougheyeballsonit,nobugisinvisible.”Somequotethisas“…allbugsareshallow.”F/OSSepitomizesthestrengthof“peer-to-peer”distributeddevelopment.Wikipediaisanexcellentsourceforadditionalinformationaboutthehistory,adoption,andotheraspectsofF/OSS,butWikipediaisnotacompletesource.

Unfortunately,F/OSShasnotmovedbeyondthestandardapplications. Wearenowinthesecondphaseofmis-management,whereinsteadoftryingto create in-house solutions for the all-source fusion workstation, the USGovernmenthasboughtintoawidevarietyofcommercialofferings,generallynoteasilyinter-operable,certainlynotsharingacoherentsecurityarchitecture,andalwayscreatingobstaclestoinformation-sharingacrossallboundaries.

The National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) is known to have close to 80differentdatabases,andtheanalyststhere—despiteitsbeingAmerica’shighestpriority—notonlydonothavethesuiteoftoolsdefinedin1989,buttheyarestill “fat-fingering”data frommultipledatabases into their ratherpedestrianpersonalworkstations.

DespitethebesteffortsofOMBandGSAintheirsearchfor“commonsolutions,”despite the best efforts of specific Chief Information Officers (CIO) such asPaul Strassmannduringhis tenurehelpingSeanO’Keefe rescue theNationalAeronautics and SpaceAdministration (NASA), the raw reality is that theUSGovernmentisnottrained,equipped,nororganizedtobea“smartgovernment,”


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andthecommercialsectorlikesitthatway—afragmentedignorantmarketplaceisthemostprofitablemarketplace.

Hereiswhatthemarketplacelookedlikein2001whenClaudiaPorterofAustinInfoSystemsbriefedtheinternationalconferenceonopensourcesolutions:

Figure 56: State of the Analytic Tool Marketplace in 2001

Mostoftheseproductsoccupiedtinynichesanddidnotprovideformachine-speeddataentryormulti-lingualdatamanagementorevenmulti-mediaandgeospatialvisualization.Thehodge-podgethatexistedin2001stillexiststoday,


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in2010,industryconsolidationnotwithstanding.BelowisalistofthesoftwaresusedbytheUSSpecialOperationsCommandJ-23(OpenSourceIntelligence)Branch,sharedwithpermission.Ilistthemtomaketwopoints:1)theyarenotintegrated;and2)theyhavenotbeendisplacedbynewerofferingsasof2009listedattheendofthissection.

Collection CopernicPro(Internetsearchanddownloadengine)TeleportPro(Internetspider)ConveraSpider(Spider—downloadsallorselectedpartsofawebsite)InxightStarTree(Crawler(Internetwebsiterelationshipmapper)

ProcessCopernicSummarizer(Summarizesindividualfiles)SummIT!(SpecialtysummarizerembeddedwithinRetrievalwareandSemio)ConveraRetrievalware(Dataindexingandfreetextsearchengine)InxightThingFinder(Categorizingentityextractortoidentifyrelationships)SemioTaxonomy(Putsdataintopre-determinedtaxonomies)ApptekMachineTranslation Database(Ibase / Ibridge)((databaseforanalystnotebook))InxightCategorizer(Smartcategorizer)

AnalyzeConveraRetrievalware(Dataindexingandfreetextsearchengine)InxightThingFinder(Categorizingentityextractortoidentifyrelationships)SemioTaxonomy(Putsdataintopre-determinedtaxonomies)

VisualizeWebtas(Dataintoatimelinewithcorrespondingmapinformation)AnalystNotebook(De-factostandardproductforlinkproductdevelopment)Spire(Visualizationapplicationwith“terrain”mapviewofdataMapInfo(Mappingpackage)ARCView / ArcIMS(Mappingpackage)Propeller(datalinages(primarilycommunicationsfocused)IntranetBrain(Websitemapping)EnFishOnespace(Indexingengineforanalystpc’s)


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ThesecapabilitiesareNOTintegratedandmostofthemarenot“free.”

ThemostsuccessfulfreesharedanalyticsuiteoftoolstodateistheonecreatedbyDr.Dr.DaveWarner(PhD,MD)forSTRONGANGEL,oneofthemostexcitingandproductiveinitiativesoftheDARPA,andspecificallyfocusedoninformation-sharing and sense-making across all boundaries. He calls it TheOneOunceLaptop(TOOZL),fittingonaflashdrive,freeonline.

Software: Apache(OpenSourcefoundationandcommunity);APRS(AutomaticPositionReportingSystem);FindU.com(databasearchivingweather,position,telemetry, andmessagedata); FundU.comCGIs (advanced tools);GeoFusion (3Dplanetaryvisualization);Groove(nowownedbyMicrosoftandno longerfree);MapLab(MapToolsnowretired,therecommend1)QuantumGISor2)MapStorer;Plone(OpenSourceContentManagement);Python(ReallySimpleProgrammingLanguage);Skype(Freedownload,freecallsandInternetcalls);Squid (Internet Object Cache); UNM Mapserver (OpenSource Internet GISsystem); Vonage (Free unlimited global calls for a monthly fee); VSee (freelow-bandwidth video-teleconferencing); ZMapServer (Map Publishing OpenSourceTools);Zope(ZObjectPublishingEnvironment);ZWiki(Zope-basedwikithat offers Email-integration, built-in bug tracking, andWebDAV. Extensions,documentation,andauserforumfordiscussionofthesoftware).

Hardware: DVC-80(VideoCapture);SignalLink(USBinterface);TigerTrack(GPSTracking);Vonage.

Sites: HamRadioSoftware;HamRadioStore;KantronicsSupply.

Thisisthetipoftheiceberg.Ascorporationsandgovernmentsseekto“own”cyberspace,thepublicmustinevitablydoarepeatofHamRadioandretaketheairwaves.Infrastructureindependence(e.g.Haggle)isessentialifthepublicistoremainfreeofcorporateandgovernmentfascismandexcess.


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Today,in2010,threecurrentsareconvergingbutnotharmonizing:

1. F/OSS is coming into its own.IfcorporationsdonotmoveinthisdirectionbymakingtheirproprietaryofferingsF/OSS,thenthepublicwillcreateaF/OSSalternative.Thisappliesnotonlytothesoftwarebuttothecontentmanagementandmeta-tagging,moving away fromproprietary data coding that does notlenditselftoautomatedmachine-speedfusionandsense-making.

2. Google is on the verge of a digital Blitzkrieg.Someofushaveknownthiswascomingbutthevariousindustrieswehavetriedtowarn(computing,databasemanagement, entertainment, online sales, publishing, telecommunications,to name just a few) have refused to pay heed. Google is a form of digitaltotalitarianismfarworsethananypoliticaldictatorshipforthesimplereasonthatwithGooglethereisnotonlyzeroprivacy,butzeroownership.Googlehasthepowertomakeacompany,suchasBMW,“disappear”—andChinamaynotyetappreciatetheimplicationsofaGooglecounter-attackthatdilutesChina’sInternetvisibilityoutsideofChina.

3. Cloud Computing is emergent, with multiple parties competing fordominance including Google, IBM, CISCO, Amazon, and earnestly enough, abottom-up“infrastructureindependent”movementseekingtomakealldevicesindependentofanycarrierorinfrastructureabletochargetollfees.HamRadiowasthefirst“hacker”environmentinmodernhistory,andwelookatthatmorecloselyinthethirdsectionhere,onOpenSpectrum.

In this context, the various business (data mining) or commercial (patterndetection)softwaresrecentlyreviewedbyFuld&Co.(AutonomyInc.,Brimstone,Cipher,ClearForest,Coemergence,Comintell, Cymfony,FirstRainInc.,NetroCity,NielsenBuzzMetrics(formerly Intelliseek),QL2Software,Rocketinfo,Strategy SoftwareInc.,TEMIS,TractionSoftware,andWinciteSystems)alongwiththe75searchenginesreviewedbyStephenArnoldinSearchpanaceaorploy:Cancollectiveintelligenceimprovefindability?,aremoreorlesstoast.Proprietary


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systemsfordesktopandbackofficeanalyticsarecaughtbetweenGoggle[anditsBrazilian,Chinese,Indian,andRussiananti-Googles]ontheonehand,andF/OSScombinedwithinfrastructureindependentcapabilitiesthatseektoavoidownershipofthedigitalcommons.Atthesametime,themiddlewareshavemanyflawsandarenotmulti-lingual.

Therearesomanycompaniesouttherethatseektobesingle-pointtechnologysolutions there is no profit in attempting to list them. However, simply toillustrateboththeexistingstateofthemarketplaceandthelackofintegrationamongalltheseproductsandservices,herearefewthatarenotlistedabovethatrelatetoFigure55onpage211.

INGESTAutomatedextractionofdata(documents).CVisionINGESTAutomatedextractionofdata(web).KnowlesysINGESTAutomatedforeignlanguagetranslation.LanguageWeaver INGESTConversionofanalogtodigital.AdvancedComputerInnovations,Inc. INGESTImage,signal,audioprocessing.STARAnalyticServicesFILTERClustering&linkingofrelateddata.PentahoFILTERDetectionofalertsituations.Tsunami,flood,diseaseFILTERDetectionofchange(fraud).ProgressSoftwareFILTERDetectionofchange(geospatial).OverwatchGeospatialFILTERDetectionofchange(onlinedata).CopernicTrackerFILTERStandardizing&convertingdataformats.CISFILTERStatisticalanalysistorevealanomalies.StatSoftSTATISTICAASSISTGraphic-basedvisualizationofdata.FlowingDataASSISTInteractivesearch&retrievalofdata(images).SnapFindASSISTInteractivesearch&retrievalofdata(text).DeepWebASSISTMap-basedvisualizationofdata.InformationMapping GeoChatASSISTModeling&simulation.Simulationmodeling,RTIInternationalASSISTSeriousgames.BigPictureSmallWorldSHARECollaborativeworkandanalyticoutreach.Mind-AllianceSHAREDesktoppublishingandwordprocessing.OpenOfficeSHAREProductionofgraphics,videos,&briefings.CorelDRAWSHARERevisiontrackingandreal-timegroupreview.WikiMedia


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The originalthreerequirementsdocumentsfrom1989arestillvalid,andtheUSGovernmenthasfailed—twentyyearsafterthefact—togetitright,despitehundreds of billions of dollars spent by hundreds of largely “out of control”agenciesandbureausanddivisionsandservicesandcommands.

F/OSSmustbenurturedbypublicdemandandwisepublicpolicyandcoherentpublicacquisition.However,withoutcontent—andthefreedomtosharethatcontentacrossallboundaries,wecannotbuildtheWorldBrain.

Open Source Intelligence (OSINT)

ThisiswhereIhavespentthepast21years,sincehelpingleadthecreationoftheMarineCorpsIntelligenceCenter(MCIC)from1988-1992.

Wikipedia’s page on OSINT has been completely corrupted by vendors andCentralIntelligenceAgency(CIA)nay-sayerswhohaveexplicitlyremovedfromthepageallofthereferencestotheactualpioneersofmodernOSINT,therebydemonstratingtheircomplete lackof integrity. JimmyWaleswas toldaboutthisandchosenottorestoretheintegrityofthepage.

PhiBetaIota,thePublicIntelligenceBlog,isthefrontendforthe30,000pagesoforiginalOSINTsourcematerialfromover750world-classspeakersatover20internationalconferencesthatisinpermanentdigitalstorageatOSS.Net.

OpenSourceIntelligence(OSINT)asatermappliestoboththedisciplinethatfocusesoncollecting,processing,andexploitingsourcesthatareopen(legallyandethicallyavailable)andthespecificoutcomeofthatprocess,whichrendersdecision-support to a specific decision-maker or decision-making body withrespect toa specificdecision thatmustbemade, suchas “What should themandatebeforthispeacekeepingforce?”

The followingdefinitioncomes fromWordIQ.com: Open source intelligence or“OSINT”referstoanintelligencedisciplinebasedoninformationcollectedfrom open sources, i.e. information available to the general public. Thisincludes newspapers, the internet, books, phone books, scientific journals,radiobroadcasts,television,andothers. GrayLiterature isthetermusedfor


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legallyandopenlyavailablematerialsnoteasilyknowntoexistoutsideoflocalornarrownetworks. Italso includeseverybitofhumanknowledgethatcanbeelicitedinface-to-faceinteractionorinICT-assistedinteraction—everybitoforalhistory,culturalunderstanding,everybitofsubject-matterexpertise,anddirectobservationsatanygivenpointintimeorspace(seeChapter19).

CollectionofinformationinOSINTisaverydifferentproblemfromcollectioninotherintelligencedisciplinesbecause,bydefinition,theinformationsourcesare publicly available. In other intelligence disciplines, a major difficultly isextracting information from non-cooperative targets. In OSINT, the chiefdifficulty is identifying relevant, reliable sources from the vast abundanceofpubliclyavailableinformation.Obtainingtheneededinformationonceasourceisidentifiedisacomparativelyminorproblem.BelowisasingleschematicofhowIseetherelevanceofOSINTtobothall functionalmissionareasandtoeachoftheclassifieddisciplines.

Figure 57. OSINT as a Hybrid Discipline Relevant to ALL Mission Areas


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OSINT isdeeplyrelevanttoeveryaspectofthe IntelligenceCycle,andthis isone reasonwhy I havebeen very concerned to see twodifferent erroneoustreatments of OSINT. The first treats OSINT as a sub-set of each classifieddiscipline,suchthatallOSINTisclassifiedsecretonreceiptandnotshared.ThesecondtreatsOSINTasananalyticoutreachfunctioninisolationfromallotherstakeholders,withsimilarconsequences.Withoutitsowncoherentprogram,OSINTwillnotprovidethe“commonviewofreality”thatisessentialforbothWholeofGovernmentandMultinationalEngagementoperations.

In Figure 57, OSINT plays its strongest role in front (Whole of GovernmentWagingPeace&Commerce),and lesserbutstillvitalroles inrelationtoLawEnforcement,Stabilization&Reconstruction,andGeneralWar.

The core references on OSINT are easily accessible online, and include thelatestpublishedchaptersonOpenSourceIntelligence(Strategic),OpenSourceIntelligence(Operational), theDoDOSINTLeadershipandStaffBriefings,andthreecompilationsofreferences,TheFutureofOSINT[isM4IS2-Multinational] and 1988-2009OSINT-M4IS2TECHINTChronology.

WithintheUSGovernment,shoulditchoosetofulfillitspotentialasaleaderforglobalOSINTandM4IS2anessentialfirsttaskistoinventorybothrequirementsand capabilities, and then agree on a coherent OSINT/M4IS2 strategy andprogram for the Republic (all eight tribes of intelligence); for each regionalunionofnationsandorganizations,andfortheworldasawhole.

Open Spectrum

Weare—wemust—returntotheeraofhamradioandstopthefencinginofspectrum.America’stopcommentatoronthistopicisDavidWeinberger,whoseseminalwork,Why open spectrum matters: the end of the broadcast nation Is complementedbyJockGill’s2004presentation,OpenWirelessSpectrumandDemocracythatveryadroitlyhitsthehighpoints:

• OpenSpectrummaximizesconnectivityandparticipation


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• Wemustnot fence the cyber-commonsor favor incumbentsandoldscience—newsciencemakeslicensinganinhibitor

• If we demand and enjoy Open Spectrum, this will stimulatecreatively,innovation,entrepreneurship,andopennewpathstocreatingwealth.

IagreewithDavidWeinbergerandJockGill.OpenSpectrumisthethirdleg.

There isonenegativeassociatedwithspectrumthat IhopeOpenEverythingwillhelptoaddress.

For decades the US military and US corporations responsible for creatingcapabilities thatuseassigned spectrumshavebeenboth lazyabout creatingbestinclasscapabilitiesthatoptimizespectrumusewithoutcollateraldamage,anddeliberatelymisrepresentative to thepublicof the safetyof all of thesedevices.

Cellulartelephonesandcellulartelephonetowersarethelatestinaseriesofubiquitous channels for spectrum and electromagnetic pulses that we as apublicareonlynow,in2010,beginningtorealizeasapubliccomewithseverehazardsincludingbraintumors.

Inbroaderterms,ourmilitary inAfghanistan isfindingthatontheonehandanyonecandownloadthedroneimagesandsignalsbecausenoonebotheredtoprotectthosechannelsovertheyears;andontheother,thatthedronesandotheroperations are creating somany conflictingelectromagneticemissionsthatwearejammingourselves.

OpenSpectrum,asbeneficialasitwillbeforthepublic,demandsagreatdealmorestudy,andthisissomethingthatOSINT—publicintelligenceinthepublicinterest,canprovide.


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Chapter 23Participatory Budget Transparency

& Panarchic Outreach

The Porto Alegre Alternative–Direct Democracy in Action and Participatory Budgeting (Public Sector Governance) are twoextraordinary books about anextraordinarypublicinitiativethatthegovernmentofBrazilmayyetrevive.

HereisthebestavailableonlineoverviewofParticipatoryBudgeting:

What is Participatory Budgeting?

Participatory Budgeting (PB) is a mechanism of public bodies which allowscitizenstodirectlymakedecisionsonapublicbudget.ThereismuchdebatearoundaclearandconcisedefinitionofPBwhichencompassesallthatPBofferswithoutbeingtooprescriptive.Thedebateisn’tresolvedyet,howeverherearesomeoptions.Ourdefinitionis:

Participatory budgeting directly involves local people inmakingdecisionsonthespendingandprioritiesforadefinedpublicbudget.PBprocessescanbedefinedbygeographicalarea(whetherthat’sneighbourhoodorlarger)orbytheme.This means engaging residents and community groupsrepresentative of all parts of the community to discussand vote on spending priorities, make spending proposals,and voteon them,aswell giving local peoplea role in thescrutinyandmonitoringoftheprocessandresultstoinformsubsequentPBdecisionsonanannualorrepeatablebasis.


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WikipediahasdefinedPBlikethis:

Participatory budgeting is a process of democraticdeliberation and decision-making, in which ordinary cityresidentsdecidehowtoallocatepartofamunicipalorpublicbudget. Participatory budgeting is usually characterizedby several basic design features: identification of spendingpriorities by community members, election of budgetdelegatestorepresentdifferentcommunities,facilitationandtechnical assistance by public employees, local and higherlevelassembliestodeliberateandvoteonspendingpriorities,and the implementation of local direct-impact communityprojects. Various studies have suggested that participatorybudgetingresults inmoreequitablepublic spending,higherqualityof life, increasedsatisfactionofbasicneeds,greatergovernmenttransparencyandaccountability,increasedlevelsofpublicparticipation(especiallybymarginalizedresidents),anddemocraticandcitizenshiplearning.

TheWorldBanksaysthisaboutPB:

Participatory budgeting represents a direct-democracyapproachtobudgeting.Itofferscitizensatlargeanopportunityto learn about government operations and to deliberate,debate,andinfluencetheallocationofpublicresources.Itisatoolforeducating,engaging,andempoweringcitizensandstrengtheningdemandforgoodgovernance.

ThedepartmentforinternationaldevelopmentdescribesPBas:

Participatory budgeting is an approach through which anentirecommunity,orparticularelementsofacommunity,canparticipate in thebudgetprocess. The levelofparticipationcanrangefromtheconsultativetothedesignandexecutionofbudgets.

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Where did participatory budgeting originate?

Participatorybudgetinghasbeenmost frequently identifiedasdevelopingintheBrazilianCityofPortoAlegreintheearly1980’s.PortoAlegrehas receivedmuch internationalpraiseforthewayithasusedPBtoimproveitsadministrationofthecity,andithasbeenthecentreofmuchresearchintocitizenengagementaroundpublicspending.PBwasalsodevelopedinotherLatinAmericancitiesataroundthesametime,andhas spread tomanyother cities.As it hasmoved from cityto city PB has always been adapted to the local situation,andsothereisnoonepuremodelofPB.Manyotherpartsoftheworldhavealsobeenrecognisedasinnovatorsincitizenparticipation. Developing, from different starting positions,similarexperiencesandprinciplesofPBasthoseusedinPortoAlegre.Forexample in India localpeoplehavebeentrainedto read and question public budgets, and this has enabledcitizenstohavegreaterinfluenceoverpublicspending.Inthe1980’sNewZealanddevelopedmodelsofcityadministrationthatsomehavedescribeasformsofparticipatorybudgeting.

Which countries are using participatory budgeting now?

From its early development in Brazil PB has been adoptedworldwide.Across theglobe, fromFiji toCanada,and fromFinlandtoSouthAfricatherehavebeenmanylocalgovernmentprogrammesthathaveacknowledgedtheinfluenceofPortoAlegre in the way they are now engaging with citizens.Estimatesvarybutthereareprobablywellover500differentexperiencesworldwide, operatingon every continent.MostfrequentlyreportedarethoseinLatinAmericasuchasPortoAlegre, but PB is being promoted by international bodiessuchastheWorldBank,theUKDepartmentforInternationalDevelopmentandtheAsianDevelopmentBankincountriesasdiverseasTurkey,Spain,Pakistan,Poland,theUnitedStatesandnowalsointheUK.


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What are the benefits of participatory budgeting?

EachmodelofPBisdifferentandwillhavedifferenteffectsbuttherearethreemainwaysthatPBisregardedasofferingbenefits.

• Itcan improvethedemocraticprocess,wideningparticipationandre-invigoratingtheroleoflocalauthorities,localcouncilorsandcivilsociety,andincreasingtrustinpublicinstitutions.

• Itcanimprovetheeffectivenessofpublicspendingbyimprovingthewaymoneyisinvested,howserviceprovisionismonitored,andbyincreasingtheknowledgeavailabletothelocalauthorityandpublicbodieswhenundertakingserviceplanning.

• Finally it strengthens the community and voluntary sectorby investing in services essential to poorer communities, soenablingtheirdevelopment,byincreasingthenumberofpeopletaking part in local democratic processes, and it builds socialcapitalbycreatingforumsfor localgroupstomeet,negotiateandtakedecisionstogether.

Participatory budgeting is completely different from consultative budgeting,andshouldeventuallybejoinedbyparticipatoryplanning.

Thecriticaldifferenceisthatparticipatorybudgetingistransparent,bottom-up,andinclusivewhileconsultativebudgetingistop-down,selective,andsubjectto“behindcloseddoors”override.

Participativebudgetingharnessesthedistributedintelligenceofthecollective,andtheaggregategraspofnuanceanddetailthatistheessentialfoundationforadaptingtocomplexity—forresilienceinthefaceofconstantchange.


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Herewe focuson thepossibilities thatemergewhenthediversityofhumanminds can be brought to bear with clarity and integrity. In one word:sustainability. Thereare several “threads” thatcanbepresentedhere,eachdeeplyrootedinabroademergentliteratureandreal-lifeexampleofsuccess:collectiveintelligence;wealthofknowledge,andpanarchy.Inmyviewpanarchyistheoppositeofanarchyinthatitmeanstheabilitytobeaneffectivememberofmultiplegroupswithoutdisloyalty—withfullintegrity.

ThefigurebelowwasinspiredbytheEpochBconceptattributedtoJonasSalk andfurtheredbyKirkpatrickSale.

Figure 58: Infinite Possibilities in Bottom-Up Consensus


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ThereasonthisbookissubtitledClarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability is becausethenewparadigmsetsaside“rulebysecrecy”aswellas“command& control,” substituting instead the kind of clarity that can only come fromtransparency,aclaritythatinappreciatingdiversityandinhonoringintegrity,allowsnotjustforthedevelopmentofsustainabledecisionsononeissue,butonallissuesatalllevels(neighborhoodtoglobal).

Panarchy,inotherwords,makesitpossibleforcitizenstoself-governacrossallissuesatalllevelswithoutbeingdisloyaltoanyonecommunity.

Collective Intelligence is the subject of a book, COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace(EIN,2008)fromwhichthefollowingbyTomAtlee,oneofthe55contributingauthors,isdrawn,inPeople’sPreface:

Humansystemsinwhichwecanobserveandnurturecollectiveintelligence:

• INDIVIDUALcollectiveintelligence(collectiveintelligenceamongourowninternalsubjectivepartsandvoices)

• INTERPERSONALorRELATIONALcollectiveintelligence• GROUPcollectiveintelligence• ACTIVITYcollectiveintelligence• ORGANIZATIONALcollectiveintelligence• NETWORKcollectiveintelligence• NEIGHBORHOODcollectiveintelligence• COMMUNITYcollectiveintelligence• CITYcollectiveintelligence• COUNTY/SHIREcollectiveintelligence• STATE/PROVINCEcollectiveintelligence• REGIONALcollectiveintelligence• NATIONAL/WHOLESOCIETYcollectiveintelligence• INTERNATIONALGROUP/NETWORK/ORGANIZATIONcollective

intelligence• GLOBALHUMANITYcollectiveintelligence


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Tomgoeson toprovideaparagraphofdescription foreachof the followingformsofCollectiveIntelligence:

• REFLECTIVE(dialogic)CI• STRUCTURAL(systemic)CI• EVOLUTIONARY(learning-based)CI• INFORMATIONAL(communication-based)CI• NOETIC(spiritualorconsciousness-based)CI• FLOW(mutualattunement-based)CI• STATISTICAL(crowd-oriented)CI• RELEVATIONAL(emergence-based)CI

The problem or the challenge facing both policy-making generally andparticipatorybudgetingspecifically is thatmostpolicydiscussionstendtobetoogeneraltobereal.Platitudes,generalobjectives,notgroundedinreality,andnotreallyhelpful infocusingonwheredifferentstakeholdersreallyhavepointsofagreementandpointsofdisagreement—thatneedstobeaddressed.

“It isn’t policy until it is in the budget.” Thiswas taught tome byMr. DonGessaman, the top civil servant atOMB responsible for all national securitymoneyfromtheReaganeratothelate1990’s.

The purpose of this book is to take us all away from simulations and falseassumptions, and put every human in touch with all information such thatpanarchyispossibleateveryleveloneveryissue.

Real-world budgets (easy to capture), combined with public intelligenceabout every issue (less easy but rapidly emergent), can and should inspirepolicydiscussionsaboutspecifics,serveasamagnetforattractingreal-worldexpertise from the citizen ranks (including top authorities from academia,business,media,etcetera),and(veryimportant)whendiscussedorvisualizedonline,canhighlightthespecificpointsofagreementanddifferencesbetweenconstituenciesforeachofthediscretionaryelementsofthebudget.


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In brief, citizens should never again take a back seat to, or be fooled by,corporationsorgovernments.Bybeingvirtuallypresentatallpublicmeetings(see conference function), by applying the proven methods of intelligence(requirements definition, collection management, source discovery andvalidation,multi-source fusion, compelling presentation) to legal and ethicalopensourcesandmethods,wecancreateaPublicIntelligenceNetwork(PIN)that“breaksthecode”andbreaksthebackofthespecialinterests.Armedwithintelligence,linkedbytheInternet,abletospendverymodestsumsofmoneyasindividualswhointheaggregaterepresenttruedemocraticpower,overtimewegettothepointwherenopolicy-makerdarestoignoretheopenpowerofthepeople.Belowisanillustrationofhowthiscouldbeimplemented.

Figure 59: Concept for Broad Online Participatory Budgeting


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Belowarethefunctionalrequirementsforimplementationofthissystem.Ourconceptextendstothefivebillionpoorwhoshouldbeabletovoteonpubliclypromulgatedoptionsusingtextmessages.

# Title Description01 Registration Establishesname,partyaffiliation,zipcode,age,income

range,andrace.Onlydatafromrealnamesisintegratedintoaggregatebudgets.Partyandzipcodeareusedtoestablish aggregate budgets by party and state. Age,incomerange,andraceareusedtoestablishaggregatesub-sets. NOTE: we have anticipated both foreignersand“falseflag”registrations(e.g.Republicanextremistsseekingtoskewthenumbers).Registrationshouldprovideincentivestoforeignerstodeclaretheirnationalityand“telluswhatyouthink”whilealsoinformingthemthatthe software is availableas freeware foradaptation totheirownbudgetandtheirowncommunity.WeshouldconsiderhowtoauthenticateparticipantsbyIPaddressagainstzipcodeandtheknowndemographyofthezipcode.Amazonhasmeansofdetectinganomaloustrendsandweshouldthinkabouthavingsomethingequivalent.

02 CoreBudget Thecorebudget is “hard-wired”as thebaseline forallotherbudgetcalculations.Asecondhard-wiredbudgetconverts all numbers into percentages of the totalbudget. Inallbudgetsatalltimes,themandatory lineitems will be “fixed” and not adjustable by the user.Onlythediscretionarylineitems,perhapslightgreeninbackground,willpermitadjustment.

03 MyBudget Newregistrantsareaskedtospecifytheirinterest—theycaneitherworkwiththeentirebudgetoronesegmentatatime.Whatevertheychoose,theymaysaveitandreturntoothersegmentsofthebudgetlater.Segmentstheychoosenottoworkwithremainunchangedwithintheirnewbudget. WithinMyBudget,theycanraiseor


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lower percentages for any discretionary item. Ideally,the budget should remain “balanced” in that if theyraiseoneitem,theymustfindacorrespondingdecreasefor another item. They should be allowed to saveunbalancedbudgets,butencouragedtobalance.

04 PolicyBaseline

Fromanyagencytitle lineorfromanyline itemwithinthe discretionary budgets of the 30 agencies havingdiscretionaryfunds,theusercanseeaone-pagepolicypaper (needuploadmanagementprivileges forpersonenteringpolicypapers).Thisistheireducationalbaseline,adescriptionofwhatthepastyearmoneyactuallypaidfor.Anypagecanbeprinted,andalloftheone-pagersshouldalsobeavailableinaPolicyDirectoryfromwhichanyone can jump to theaggregatebudgets,discussiongroups,ortheirownMyBudgetsection.

05 DiscussionGroup

Fromanyagencytitle lineorfromanyline itemwithinthe discretionary budgets of the 30 agencies havingdiscretionary funds, the user can jump to the relateddiscussiongroup, carrying their identifying informationwiththem(alldiscussantsappearasnamepartystate.

06 AggregateBudgets

Once a user has completed and saved a section ofMyBudget, it should be automatically aggregated intothe corresponding party, state, and sub-set budgets,which shouldatalltimes showthenumberoforiginalbudgets. Aggregate budgets should be visible in twoways:asmulti-yearbudgetsforasingleparty,orassidebysidecolumnsforasingleselectedyear,withallpartiesshowingonasinglebudgetforthatyear.

07 Focus on Priorities

BothwithinMyBudgetandwithinanypartybudgetandwithin any side by side budget the user should havethe option of sorting all discretionary line items andmandatory line items


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08 Focus on Differences

Idealwouldbesomemeansofcolorcodingdifferencesamong the parties by line item. In a single line item,forexample,differences that aremore than30% fromtheaveragehavearedbackground,20-29%anorangebackground,10-19%ayellowbackground.

09 Focus on the Deficit

A separate policy paper is available on the deficit. Itwould be helpful to have a means of enabling usersto both examine the assumptions that the variousAdministrations have or are using to justify itsextraordinary deficit, and to see the impact on futurediscretionaryincomeofreductionsinthedeficit.

10 Focus on Revenue

A separate policy paperwill bemade available on theassumptionsbehindrevenue,andonfutureoptionsforincreasing revenuewithout increasing individual taxes.Forexample,$50billionayearintaxavoidancehasbeenfoundincorporationsthatmanipulateimportandexportpricestolaundermoney($100rocketenginesgoingout,$3000toothbrushescomingin).Therearealsobillionsincorporatetaxesthatgouncollectedforawidevarietyofreasons,allofwhichcanbeitemized.

11 Focus on HowOthersSee Us

Thisfeaturecouldbebothameansofengagingforeignerswhilekeeping themfromtoyingwithwhat is intendedtobeaUS citizenonly simulator, andalso ameansofdrawingforeignersout(andintheprocesseducatingourAmericanparticipants) onhow they seeour spending.Many foreigners, forexample,andveryupsetwith theUSforexportingweaponstotheMiddleEastthroughitsmilitaryassistanceprogram,whilecontributinglessthanonehalf of onepercent to foreign economic,medical,agricultural,andeducationalassistancethatcouldhelpstabilizemanyareas inAfrica. If thisreallytakesoff, itcouldbeacitizen’s“UnitedNationsForum”,butusingrealworld budgets (eventually, national budgets comparedsidebysidethroughsomesortofconversationprocess.


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12 Library Asthesitematures,thereshouldbeafree“AddALink”and free “Add a Document” capability that permitsanyonetoaddalinkordocumenttothelibraryassociatedwitheachagencyorlineitem.

13 Rolodex A national directory should allow anyone to uploada concise1pagebio that canbe indexed, and contactinformation, and allow them to self-identify by levelofexpertiseand levelof interest foranyandallpolicylinesitemsorattheagencylevel.Someformof“karmapoint” systemmight be considered, based on votes infavorofcommentsmadeintheforums,orotherfactors.

14 Conferences Aglobalcalendarofhearings,conferences,stakeholdermeetings,etceteracouldbecreatedinwhichvolunteersenteranyandalleventscodedtoboththelineitemtheyapply to, and the zip code where they are occurring.Someformofvoluntarymatching functioncouldallowindividualstovolunteertocovertheeventandprovidea one-page summarywith links. Eventually this couldresult in “global coverage”anda “virtualpresence”byDeaniacsatallpolicyanddecision-makingeventsopentothepublic,atthefederal,state,andlocallevels.

15 WeeklyIntelligence

Volunteerscan“adoptalineitem”andthendoweeklysearchesthatallowthemtoseparatethewheatfromthechaffandpickoutthetopsevenstoriesonly,andthencreateaworddocumentwithstorytitle,leadparagraph,source information, and hot link, together with ananalytical paragraph about “What’s New” as the firstelement. Thiswouldbedoneat the federal level,butthereisnoreasonwhyothervolunteerscouldnotdothesameatthestateandcountylevels,andcitizenswouldselectwhat theywant to readbasedon line itemandfederal,state,orcountry(orallthree)relevanttotheirzipcode.


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Chapter 24Earth Intelligence Network

& The Global Game

Thisbook isanearnestattempt toplacebefore thepublic—allpublicsofallnationalities, religions, races, and levels of education—an implementableconcept for creating the World Brain so as to connect—and empower—allhumansandtheirmindstoallinformationinalllanguagesallthetime.

This is how we create infinite wealth, revolutionary wealth, the wealth ofknowledge,thewealthofnetworks.HumaningenuityistheoneinexhaustibleandinfinitelyvariableresourcewehaveonEarth,andIearnestlybelievethatahumantransformation—arestorationofHumanityasourindigenousforbearersunderstoodit,isboththeonlywaytosaveHumanityandperhapsalsoonedaytocontributetoalargerCosmos.

Humansarearrogantandill-informedwhentheyequatethedemiseofhumanitywiththedemiseofEarth.Earthisresilient.Humanity,unlessittransforms,isnot resilient.

What follows in this chapter is the original concept for Earth IntelligenceNetwork (EIN), the501c3 that ispublishing thisbookand that seeks tohelpanyoneandeveryonecreatepublicintelligenceinthepublicinterest.

Thegoalistoharnessthepotentialofsharedinformationonaglobalscalethattranscendsindividualnations’narrowinterestsorcorporatespecialinterestsinfavorofbothlocalandglobalWhole-Earthinterests.Thiswouldallowbottom-upconsensus,theonlyconsensussustainableintimeandspace.


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EINisanenablingconcept—amemeifyouwill—thatnurturestheemergenceofaconfederationwithinfinitepossibilitiesrootedinaglobaltolocalcommitmenttoshareinformationandsharetheburdenandtheprivilegeofsense-makingwith clarity, diversity, and integrity. Thus do we create sustainable self-governance at all levels across all domains in all languages.

EINandthisconceptwouldnothavebeenpossiblewithouttheUnitedNationsHigh-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges, and Change, and their report that prioritizedthetenhigh-levelthreatstohumanityasdiscussedinChapter1.

Thatcogentsensiblelist inturnmadepossibletheselectionoftwelve“core”policiesasdiscussedinChapter8.

As this chapter iswritten,apopulararticle is circulating inWashington,D.C.entitledThe Contested Commons.Suchatitleisrepresentativeofanimperialistmind-set, and sadlyoutof touchwith reality—incontrast,EIN seeks tohelphumanityasawholewiththreelong-termobjectives:

1. Expanding the Commons. To facilitate information-sharing treatiesand agreements as well as open standards among trans-governmental,governmental,andprivatesectorinformationproducersandconsumers,suchthat all information in all languages canbeeasily accessedandexploitedbyeverypersoneverywhereusingopensourcesoftwareoracellphoneconnectionto a live on-demand volunteer teacher.

2. Saving the Commons. To create compelling decision-support on costsversusbenefitsofearlyandpreciseinvestmentsaimedateradicatingthetenhigh-level threats to humanity through harmonized funding of the twelvepolicyactionareasand—asquicklyaspossible—thecreationofaGlobalGamethatpresentscompellingactionable investmentstrategies to theeightmajordemographic players whose policies today will determine the future of theEarthandHumanity.ThiswillbeaserviceofcommonconcerntoFoundations,International Organizations, andNon-Governmental Organizations aswell asCorporationsandGovernments.

EARTH INTELLIGENCE NETWORK & THE GLOBAL GAME

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3. Sharing the Commons.Toharnessover100millionvolunteerswhospeakone of the 183 languages still important, and have access to the Internet,organizedsoastobeabletoeducatethefivebillionpoor“onecellphonecallatatime”onanytopicfromstoppingaplantdiseasetofixingatractortohealingwithnaturaloralternativecures.

In Chapter 8 I also illustrated and briefly discussed our concept for usinginformation toharmonize investments, something Ihavecalled “informationpeacekeeping.”

Ourintentistoenableaglobalvoluntary“grid”toleveragesharedinformationandmulti-culturalsense-makingsoastoharmonizeuptofivetrilliondollarsayearinspendingbythefollowingfourcommunities:

1. Foundation Investment.Onetrilliondollarsayear isdirectedtowardalle-viatingpoverty,eradicatingdisease,amelioratingenvironmentaldegradation,and soondown the list of thehigh-level threats. By enabling consensus onprioritizedinvestmentpackages,decision-supportcanaccelerateandincreasetheimpactoftargeteddonations.

2. Corporate Investment.ThepioneeringworkofHermanDaly,PaulHawkinand others has finally yielded deep corporate interest in Natural Capitalismand Ecological Economics. By creating decision-support specific to individualcorporationsand theirglobalpresence,wehope toaccelerate the“green togold”trend,whilealsoproviding“truecost”information(watercontent,fuelcontent,unfair laborcontent,taxavoidance)totheconsumeratthepointofsaleviacellphone.

3. Government Investment.National, state,and localbudgetsarebecomingmoretransparentandalsoavailableonlinepriortolegislativepassage,byusingtheGlobalGamewithembeddedbudgetstoshowtrade-offsandconsequences,overtimewehopetoinspirepublicdemandsforlessspendingonwar,moreonpeace.Wespend$1.3trillionayearonwarnow,whenredirectionofonethirdofthatamountcouldeasilyfundbothinfinitewealthandasustainablepeace.


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4. Individual Investment. This couldwell bemuch greater than the otherthreeformsofinvestmentcombined,inpartbecauseroughly80%oftheonebillionrichdonotgivetocharitiesanddonottrustcharitiesbecauseofnegativereputationshavingtodowithexcessiveoverheadsandlimitedsuccessinbothdeliverablesandoutcomes. InChapter26 Idiscuss themeansbywhichweconnecttheonebillionrichwiththefivebillionpoor.

Figure 60: Public Intelligence & Budget Harmonization


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In East Timor, for example, a stretch ofwaterfront property of considerablesizecouldbedonatedbythegovernmentandpeopleinreturnforharmonizedcommitmentsalongthefollowinglines,withthevillagegovernmentsspecificallyassuringpeaceandstabilityandthesafetyofalltourists:

• AUSTRALIA:timberhaulingtrucks• CHINA:roadconstruction• FRANCE:airportconstruction• GREECE:newshippingpier,oneship• INDIA:localcallcenter• INDONESIA:openaccess• KOREA:freeInternet• MALAYSIA:teachers• NORWAY:freecellphones• USA:timberprocessingtechnology• VIET-NAM:hoteldevelopment

Thereisafifthformofinvestment,thenegative criminal investment that today comprises$2trillionayear,ofwhichfullyonehalf,$1trillionayear,isintheformofbribestogovernmentofficials.

Idonotincludewhitecollarcrime,revolvingdoorsandpost-retirementquid pro quosinthisfigure,buttherealityisthatifallformsofcorporate-governmentfraud,waste, and abusewere calculated, it would equal half the total legaleconomyof$9trillionayear—intheUSAforexample,itisnowdocumentedthathalfofeverydollarspentonhealthispurewaste.

Ibelievethattheprofitcanbetakenoutofcrimeinthreeways:byprovidingtens of millions of volunteers with an easy means of anonymously sharinginformation about criminal activities they observe; by providing the poorwithon-demandeducationthatallowsthemto increasetheir legally-derivedrevenue;andbycreatingtrulytransparent“truecost”budgetsoneverything.


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Obstacles

Theprimaryobstaclestoourgoalare:

• Lackofopenstandardsinthedigitalworld• Lack of western fluency in 183 languages in the developed

world• Amountofhistoricalandcurrentinformationinanalogform• Emphasisbynationsandcorporationsonsecretorproprietary

sources• Concernsoverprivacyandsecuritywheninformationisshared

indiscriminately

Enablers

Fortunately,therearealsomultipleenablerssupportiveofourgoal:

• Massive amounts of substantive information in all languagesis readily available, and especially so from within themany elements of the United Nations and the varied Non-Governmental Organizations (NGO), educational institutions,andcentersforpublicadvocacy.

• AGlobalGamecanbebuiltfornomorethan$2millionayearthatwill scaleveryrapidlyandultimatelyalloweverypersontoplaythemselvesateverylevelwithallneededinformation.

• Publicintelligencebasedonopensourcesofinformationinallmediums, all languages, nowmakes it possible for decision-supporttobeprovidedtoanypersononanyissueatrelativelylowcost,ifnotfree.

• Transparencyofbudgetsatall levels is accelerating,and thisfinally will allow all concerned citizens to judge budgetarytrade-offsfromaninformedperspective,whileusingtheGlobalGameandpublicparticipatorybudgetinganddeliberativeopendialogtoevaluatetrade-offs.


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• OpensourcesoftwareandfreeVoiceOvertheInternetisnowavailable,allowingtensofmillionsfluentinvariouslanguages,manyofthemin impoverishedstraits,toearnmicro-cashformicro-translation,orforteaching“oneansweratatime.”

• Individualroutersthatallowindividualownersofinformationto control who can access their information and how it isshared,arecomingonthemarketatthesametimethatDataatRestencryptionisbecomingbothroutineandrobust,generallyfreeofcharge.

• Finally, infrastructure-independent capabilities are comingintobeing, suchasHaggle,possiblyeliminating the threatofcorporatetoll-boothsincyberspace.

Our Strategy

Our largerstrategy, forcreatingaprosperousworldatpeace, isdiscussedatlengthinthebook,COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace,andbrieflyinChapter1.

Onadaytodaybasis,wewilladapttheprovenprocessofdecision-supporttoopensourceinformationinalllanguages.Thatprocessconsistsofthefollowingelements:

• RequirementsDefinition• CollectionManagement(KnowWhoKnows)• SourceDiscovery&Validation• Multi-SourceIntegrationandEvaluation• HumanAnalysis(Historically&CulturallyGrounded)• CompellingPresentation• TimelyHelpfulDissemination

IcallthisInformationArbitrage—theconversionofinformationintointelligenceand intelligence intowealth for all—and InformationPeacekeeping—theuseof shared information and free education “by the call” to create stabilizingwealthattheBottomofthePyramid,whilenurturingapermanentpeaceforall.Chapters17and18discussedtheNewCraftofIntelligenceindetail.


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One Man, One Cell Phone, One Game, One World Withthecellphone,thereisNOdegreeofseparation.It’sthewirelessversionof“hardwired.”Ohm’slawremindsusthata“perfectamplificationcircuit”is“straightwire,withgain”andnoresistorsinthecircuit.AccordingtoOhm’slaw,asvoltageincreases,resistancedrops.Ultimatevoltageequalszeroresistance.

In Auric terms,andaswearehumanbeings infusedwithelectro-magnetismourselves,thisisdenotedasawhite,clearorgoldenaura,whichisexactlywhatyouseedepictedineveryreligion’spicturesof“holyones”,the“ones”withthe“straightestwire”andleast“resistance”to“theultimatevoltage”.Thehaloisnevercolored,alwaysclearandbright.

Ourconceptof“oneman,onecellphone,onegame,oneworld”hasscientificunderpinning, and will amplify the aura of the world. If we add universaltranslation,andsocialnetworkingwithoutborders,wegetclosertoheavenonearth,oratleast“straightwire(less)withGAIN”.

Global Game—the Most Serious of Serious Games

Inspired byMedard Gabel, one of the co-founders of EIN,we advocate thecreation of a generic Global Game as a foundation for all serious games tofollow.ThefollowingwordswereprovidedtomebyMedardGabel,theyapplyequallytohisconceptofanEarthGame™andtoournon-competitiveidenticalconceptofaGlobalGame.

TheGlobalGamewould be anonline global problem-solving tool accessibletoanyoneintheworldwithInternetaccesswheresustainableandaffordablesolutionstorealworldproblemsareenvisioned,developed,costedout inallrespects,andtestedsotheycanbeimplementedassoonaspossible.

It would be an online tool and game that provides “ordinary” people theopportunity and challenge of addressing real world problems in a way thatbuildsknowledge,competency,andoptionsforrealworldimplementation.

Itwouldbeanexperiential,interactive,andfunwayoflearningabouttheworld,itsresources,problems,andoptionsthatbuildsglobalcapacityandalternatives


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forsustainableprosperity,connectingrealpeoplewithreal-world“truecost”informationinnear-realtimeacrossanyissueatalllevels.

Adopting the Vision of Buckminster Fuller

Tomaketheworldworkfor100%ofhumanity,intheshortestpossible time, with present day resources and technology,through spontaneous cooperation,without ecological harmorthedisadvantageofanyone.

—BuckminsterFuller

The world needs to see itself, across threats, opportunities, policies, andbudgets,atalllevels.Itisespeciallyvital,asRobertAckoffhasstressed,toseetheWholeandallofthepartsandtonotfocusonanyoneparttothedetrimentofotherparts—whatisgoodforonemaynotbegoodfortheWhole—thatiswhyholisticanalysisanddecision-makingisnecessary.

Asaplanetaryspecies,humanityneedsatoolforseeingthewhole,forconnectingthe dots, seeing patterns and large scale trends, and most importantly,recognizing,definingandsolvingitsmostpressingproblemsinaglobalcontext.Nearlyallof theworld’smostcriticalproblemsareglobal in scopeandhavebeenmadeincreasinglydangerousbyapiecemeallocalapproachthatignoresinterconnectionsanditsresultantsynergy.

TheGlobalGamewouldbeatoolthatallowshumanitytoseethewholeworldin aproblem-solving contextwill generate insight and solutions toproblemsthatheretoforehaveseemedunsolvable.

DrawingonexistingknowledgebasesincludingtheMillenniumProjectoftheWorldFederationofUNAssociationsthathasproducedelevenannualStateoftheFuturereports,theGlobalGamecouldserveasthedecision-supporttoolofchoiceforindividuals,organizations,corporations,andgovernments.


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Figure 61: Citizen-Centered Self-Reorientation

Purpose

ThepurposesoftheGlobalGameinclude:

• Aidinginthedevelopmentofviableandaffordablesolutionstoglobalandlocalproblems

• Making accessible to growing numbers of people theinformationandinformationprocessingandvisualizationtoolsthat aid in the development of solutions to global and localproblems

• Increasing theamountof intelligence,creativity, imagination,and problem solving attention focused on global and localproblems.


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Users/Audience

The intended user community of the Global Game includes government,corporate, and NGO leaders, academics, researchers, policy analysts, themedia,studentsfromhighschoolageup,gameplayers,andconcernedcitizens.It is notatoolaimedatanelitefew,butratheratamassive,societywidelevelof participation, useful to a growing variety of social networks addressinginnumerablechallenges.

Possible Uses/Users

• Activists— issue exploration, documentation, alternativesdevelopment

• Business—productdevelopment,marketassessment, testing,“fromgreentogold”

• Foundations—optimize investment/giving, both direct and inalliances

• Gamers—fun,recreation,competition,recognition,rewards• Government—policyexploration,development,testing,

costingoftradeoffs• Public—forlifelongfreeeducationonline,creationof

informedsocialnetworks

Plant and Animal Inputs

It is now possible for sensors in soil or embedded in plants and animals to“trigger”textmessagesthatenterstatusdataincludingwarningtothegame.

Budget and Timing

Adetailed budget is available. It boils down to $2million a year, placed inescrowinadvanceofhiringandprojectcommencement,withthreeone-yearcyclesfromzerotopilot,pilottobeta,andbetatorelease.


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Staffing

6Researchers/Designers5Coders/Designers1GraphicDesigner1Administrator/COO1Marketer/GovernmentandCorporateLiaison/Development1Designer/ExecutiveDirector

Note:Existing“seriousgames”cannotbeintegratedintoonemetagame—thatwould be akin to integrating baseball, soccer, basketball, jai ali, kickboxing,chess,skeetand20othersportsandgamesintoonegame.Onecannotmixpurposes,scales,aggregate levels,rulesofoperation,conditionsforwinning,playingfields,props, etc. andexpect ameaningfulwhole.However, youcan createanopenarchitectureotherscanexpandupon.

The Global Gamewould be designed to be infinitely scalable as Free/OpenSourceSoftware(F/OSS).

EINand theGlobalGameare intended tomakepossible thecreationof theWorldBrain such that all humans andall informationare “in relation” at alltimesregardlessofthelanguageoforiginofanyelementofinformation.


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Chapter 25“True Costs,”

Ecological Economics, & Moral Capitalism

Rachael Carson’s Silent Spring, published in 1962, is widely recognized asthe first modern push-back against what John Ralston Saul calls Voltaire’s Bastards–The Dictatorship of Reason in the West.Wewentawry,firstinbeingdominated by corporations, then in the selling out of the universities, andfinallyinthepoliticizationofscience.WhileCarson’sviewshavebeenvalidatedby subsequentwork suchasThe Biodiversity Crisis–Losing What Counts, thepurposeofthischapter istoexplorethevitalneedforestablishingthe“truecost”ofeveryproductandserviceateverylevel,soastopermitwhatHermanDalycallsEcological Economics and I and others call Moral Capitalism.

IcannotdoHermanDalyjustice—hehaswoneveryprizeexcepttheNobelPrizeandIpersonallyfeelthatheisoverdueforthatrecognition.Anotherofhisbookscapturesthegistofhisvisionperfectly:For the Common Good–Redirecting the Economy toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future.WhileIcreditDonellaandDennisMeadowsandoft-forgottenco-authorJorgenRanderswithfirstestablishingasimple formulaandasimplepublicunderstandingofhowthebigpiecesareconnected,intheir1970’sbookThe Limits to Growth,itwasDalywhodidtheheavyliftingthatleadsusnowtothenon-negotiableneedtoestablish“truecost”foreveryproductandserviceasameansofenabling“360degree”evaluationofthe“netloss”or“netgain”toEarthandHumanityforeachelement.Inmyview,theliteraturesonSustainableDesign,Cradle to Cradle,andGreen to Goldconceptsstemhiswork;heisBuckminsterFuller’salter ego.


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“TrueCosts”areapublicintelligenceantidotetoRule by Secrecy,thepracticeofconcealingandexternalizingtothepublicexpensemanyoftheactualnearandlong-termcostsofcreatingproductsandservicessuchaspollutionoftheearth,toxinsintothebody,electromagneticemissionsintothebrain,andsoon.Herearejustafewbooksrepresentativeofwhatcanbeknownaboutcorporatemis-behaviorthatgoesuncheckedbygovernmentregulation:

• A Consumer’s Dictionary of Household, Yard and Office Chemicals: Complete Information About Harmful and Desirable Chemicals Found in Everyday Home Products, Yard Poisons, and Office Polluters

• Blue Frontier–Dispatches from America’s Ocean Wilderness

• High Tech Trash–Digital Devices, Hidden Toxics, and Human Health

• Made to Break–Technology and Obsolescence in America

• Pandora’sPoison–Chlorine,Health,andaNewEnvironmentalStrategy

• The Blue Death–Disease, Disaster, and the Water We Drink

• The Next Catastrophe–Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and Terrorist Disasters

• The Unhealthy Truth: How Our Food Is Making Us Sick – And What We Can Do About It

Theseareasmallsamplefrommylargercategorieswheremanyotherbooksare available for review at Phi Beta Iota, for example in Banks, Fed,Money,& ConcentratedWealth (40); Capitalism (Good & Bad) (130); Complexity &Catastrophe(60);andEnvironment(Problems)(60).

Separate from thedirectexternalizationof costs to thepublic commonsbycorporations isthe largermatterofcorporationsco-optingandcorruptingallotherorganizationsincludinggovernment,universities,andevenreligions.

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That is not the primary focus of this book for the simple reason that onceempowered by full knowledge of “true costs,” there is no power on Earthgreaterthanthatofthepublicexercisingitsinformedfreewill. However,forthe sake of perspective, below are a few books that address the perniciouspathologicaleffectofcorporationsrunamokwhengovernmentfailstoservethepublicinterest.

• Acts of God–The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in America

• Confessions of an Economic Hit Man

• Dunces of Doomsday–10 Blunders That Gave Rise to Radical Islam, Terrorist Regimes, And the Threat of an American Hiroshima

• Killing Hope–US Military and C.I.A. Interventions Since World War II-Updated Through 2003

• Legacy of Ashes–The History of the CIA

• Overthrow–America’s Century of Regime Change from Hawaii to Iraq

• Shake Hands With The Devil–The Failure Of Humanity In Rwanda

• The Global Class War –How America’s Bipartisan Elite Lost Our Future – and What It Will Take to Win it Back

• The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order

• The Naked Capitalist

• The Sorrows of Empire–Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic

• The True Cost of Conflict/Seven Recent Wars and Their Effects on Society

• Weapons of Mass Instruction


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Belowisreprintedwithpermission.

“TRUE COST” OF ONE COTTON T-SHIRT

(non-organic,foreign-made,200gm/7oz/0.44lbs) Details of calculations at http://true-cost.re-configure.org

Water Use:570.6gallons,45%irrigationwaterconsumed(evaporated)bythecottonplant;41%rainwaterevaporatedfromthecottonfieldduringthegrowingperiod;14%requiredtodilutethewastewaterflowsthatresultfromtheuseoffertilizersinthefieldandtheuseofchemicalsinthetextileindustry.Add:washingmachineuseaftershirtpurchase.

Energy Use: (kWh=kiloWatt-hours) Cotton production on irrigated land=1.42kWh,Ginning=.046kWh, Spinning=.5kWh (new machine) 1.42kWh (old machine)Weaving=1.66kWh,Finishing=4.13kWh,Making-up=.05kWh(totalof7.8to8kWh)11to29gramsofdiesel.11g=XinjiangtoShanghai(Chinarail)toL.A.XinjiangisChinasmajorcottonproducingregion.29g=TxtoN.CarolinatoMiamitoHondurastoMiamitoNYC.N.Carolinaisthemajorthreadproducingregion,Hondurasthemajorshirt-knittingregion,MiamithemajorporttoshiptoandfromHonduras.Add:cranes,importationofpesticides&fertilizers,forkliftpropane,washinganddryingmachineuseaftershirtpurchase(60-80%energyuseinshirtlifecycleisin“consumercare”).Alsoconsiderenergythatwentintotillingsoil,plantingcrops,producingfuel,fertilizers,pesticides,dyes,packaging,makingandrepairingmachines.

Emissions:(cottoncanbeconsideredcarbonneutralduetoabsorbingmorethanisemittedfromharvestingequipment+cottonproducesoxygen),Dieselexhaust=carbon/soot,carbonmonoxide,nitrousoxide,nitrogendioxide,sulfurdioxide,carbondioxide,volatileorganiccompounds=ethylene,formaldehyde,methane,benzene,phenol,acrolein,andpolynucleararomatichydrocarbons.90,000cargoshipstraveltheocean,andit’sbeenstatedbyaUKGuardianstudythat15ofthelargestshipsnowemitasmuchsulfurdioxidesastheworld’s760millioncars.

Import & Export: $0.60-$1.05 per imported shirt (low=white, high=color), $0.57-$0.66/lb/rawcotton/worldprice,$0.44-$0.55/lbUSprice($0.50/lbsubsidiesfortopUSfarmers,remove subsidies and world price of cotton increases 6-14%) Add: some fertilizers &pesticidesare imported.USexportsmore cotton thanany country. 3M tonsexported in2007/08,approx40%oftheworldtotal.

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Travel:(miles/est)TXtoN.CarolinatoCentAmericatoNYC=5,554TrainfromXinjiangtoShanghai,shipfromShanghaitoKoreatoLosAngeles=9,417(Lubbock/CaryNC/Miami=2,400Miami/Honduras/Miami=1876Miami/NYC=1,278)ThereisachancesomecottonfromTXisshippedtoChina,thenreturnstoL.A.(inthiscase,Lubbock/L.A.=1,207andL.A.toChinatoL.A.=13,038foratotalof14,245)Add:somepesticides&fertilizersareimported

Hazards:Machinery, electricity, occupational lung disease/Byssinosis (from cotton dust),carpal tunnel syndrome (sewing), pesticide poisoning/contamination/death. 1-5Mpoisoningsperyear/20,000deaths,Water/Rivercontamination=USA,China,India,Pakistan,Uzbekistan,Brazil, Australia,GreeceandWestAfrica.Mishapsduringcargotransportbyland and sea.

Chemicals/Toxins: (USpesticideusemayhavedeclined77%from1997-2007duetobiotech)Fertilizers=Nitrogen,phosphate,potash,sulfur,(insecticidesmostharmfultohealthoutsideof US=aldicarb, parathion, methamidophos), dicrotophos (most used) endosulfan (mostused organochloride),monocrotophos, deltamethrin, herbicide, nematicide,microbicide,growthregulator,algaecide,fungicide,FabricProcess=hydrogenperoxide,detergents,dyes,urea-formaldehydetocross-linkmoleculestoreduceshrinkageandwrinkling/ormechanicalcompacting.Dyeingandprintingoftenusecompoundsof iron,tin, inkscontainingheavymetals that require large quantities ofwater towash out the dye residues.USDA2007:55.3Mlbsofherbicide(27.7M),insecticide(8.4M),fungicide(0.1M),other(19.1M)appliedtoproduceover9billionlbsofcotton=1.1gper200gshirt.Britishstudyclaimsover3gramspershirt.China=6xmorefertilizer&pesticidethangrowersinsub-SaharanAfrica.AsChina’stextileindustryhasdoubled,sohasthewaste-water(1in4ofChina’s1.3billionpeopledrinkcontaminatedwater).Globalcottonproductionmayuseapprox1/3ofglobalpesticides.

Human Labor & Equipment: Biotech,soilprep,seeding, fertilizing, irrigation,soil testing,applying pesticide/herbicide/fungicide, harvesting (global competition ranges fromhandpicking,plow&oxen,vs.$250,000pickingmachine),ginning/separations for foods/oil,fiber-testing,combing,spinning,dyeing,weaving/knitting,inspection,cutting,sewing,printing,mechanics,transport,packaging,warehousing,machinerydistributors,consultants,cropprocessors,othersupportservices,insurance,finance/banking,standardtesting,sales/merchandising.China,India,USandPakistanleadincottonproduction.

Child cotton labor 2007-2009:Argentina,Azerbaijan,Benin,Brazil,BurkinaFaso,China,Egypt,India, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mali, Pakistan, Paraguay, Tajikistan, Turkey, Turkmenistan,Uzbekistan,WestAfrica. Childwages range from zero (family debt) to 5-13 cents/kg, 50cents/day,$1-2/12-15hrday,$3.30-10/month

Sources: Waterfootprint.org, Textileworld.com, Reiter Machine Works, JOCsailings.com,CottonInc,NationalCottonCouncil,NationalInstituteforOccupationalSafetyandHealth,


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InternationalCottonAdvisoryCommittee,NationalCouncilofTextileOrganizations,Anvil,Fruitof the Loom,PesticideActionNetwork,USDept.ofAgriculture,USDept.of Labor,USInternationalTradeCommission,ContainershipRegister,SustainableCotton.org,ApparelGraphics Institute,Environmental JusticeFoundation,Peterbuilt,Oxfam,MississippiStateUniv, International Institute for SustainableDevelopment, Chemical Industry InformationCentre, Made-In-China.com, China Statistical Yearbook of the National Railway, ChinaNationalTextile&ApparelCouncil,OceanAirLogistics,Books:TheTravelsofaT-ShirtintheGlobalEconomy,MaritimeEconomics

UScurrencyconsistsof75%cotton Conceptandresearchproducedbythenon-profit/501c3Earth Intelligence Network

www.earth-intelligence.net|www.phibetaiota.net|

true-cost.re-configure.org|[email protected]

EcologicalEconomicsandMoralCapitalismcometogetherinbeingcenteredonthedualityofasustainableEarthandasustainableHumanity.KirkpatrickSaleoffersaninspiringvisioninhisbookHuman ScalebutImustemphasizethatthesurvivalofHumanityisnotinanywayconnectedtothesurvivalofwhatoneauthor calls The Resilient Earth.

This chapter has focused on “true costs”while the next chapter focuses onhumanconsciousnessandameansforconnectingeveryhumantoeveryotherhuman. Then inthefinalchapteron“OpenEverything,” Iwrapthebookupwith the big picture exploration of howwe displacemoney and scarcity bysubstitutingtheopenmeme,restoringthecommonsasacommonwealth.

ImuststressthatalloftheseideasthatIhavestrungtogetherarenotmineinisolation,butratherfromthemindsofmanyothers,craftedbymyself intoasinglestory,howevercrude,thatIofferasaroadmaptooursharedfuture.


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Chapter 26Conscious Non-Zero Evolution & Global to Local Needs Table

Commonsenseandcommunalconsciousnessappeartohavebeenverywelldevelopedamongtheindigenouspeoplesofthepast(Chapter16)andwithintheclose-knitcommunitiesoftheagrarianera.

The industrial era and the commoditization of humanity destroyed kinshipandtheethicsofkinship.LionelTiger’sbook,The Manufacture of Evil–Ethics, Evolution and the Industrial System, isanearlyexplorationof this theme. Amore recentbook,The Marketing of Evil–How Radicals, Elitists, and Pseudo-Experts Sell Us Corruption Disguised As Freedom,pursuesthetheme.

Nowthatwearebeginningtounderstandthe“truecosts”ofgovernmentandcorporateandotherorganizationalmisbehaviors—Iaddressthisinthechapteron “Paradigms of Failure” in ELECTION 2008: Lipstick on the Pig—humanconsciousness—orcognition—isre-emergent.

There are many variations of consciousness and cognition, the best formscharacterizedbybalancebetween individual fulfillmentasenvisionedby theFoundingFathersandcommunalachievementofpeaceandprosperity.

Inthischapter,afterfirstlistinganumberofbooksthatarerepresentativeoftheintegrativenatureoftheconsciousnessthatisemerging,Iwilldiscusshowtheemergenceofconsciousnesscompletelyoverturnstheexistingparadigmsofsecrecy,scarcity,andsecurityasprofiteeringbythefewattheexpenseofthe many.


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Let’sbeginwithalistingofkeybooksdirectlyrelevanttothisdiscussion.

• Conscious Evolution: Awakening Our Social Potential

• Evolutionary Activism by Tom Atlee

• Global Mind

• Holistic Darwinism: Synergy, Cybernetics, and the Bioeconomics of Evolution

• Integral Consciousness and the Future of Evolution

• New World New Mind–Moving Toward Conscious Evolution

• Nonzero–The Logic of Human Destiny

• Not by Genes Alone: How Culture Transformed Human Evolution

• The Compassionate Instinct–The Science of Human Goodness

Most interestingly, the rise inhumanconsciousness isdirectly related to thebroadeningofinterestincivilization-building.

• Beyond Civilization–Humanity’s Next Great Adventure

• Rethinking Civilization: Resolving Conflict in the Human Family

• The Empathetic Civilization–the Race to Global Consciousness in a World of Crisis

• The leadership of civilization building–Administrative and civilization theory, symbolic dialogue, and citizen skills for the 21st century

Therearenaturallymanyotherrelevantbooks.HereIdonotcritiqueasinglepolicyofanygovernmentorcorporation,nordoIsummarizetheabovestellarcontributions.Thisisallconvergingnow.Revolutionaryactivismisherenow.

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Intelligence for Earth demands amature appreciation of both the nature ofintelligenceasdecision-support,andofthecoststotheEarthandHumanityoffailing to leverage intelligence (decision-support) soas tooptimizeoutcomesforeveryone.Belowisadepictionofhowintelligenceasdecision-supportmustmatureifwearetoachieveourfullpotential.

Figure 62. Intelligence Maturity Scale

Theintelligencecommunitiesoftheworld,byvirtueofbeingprimarilyfocusedonsecretsforthetopleadersofgovernments,havefocusedonarmedthreatsrather thanonhumanitarian threatsandrelatedopportunities forcreatingaprosperousworldatpeace,awin-winor“non-zero”outcomebeneficialtoall.


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Thefirsttwoerasofwhatistraditionallyknownas“nationalintelligence”wereinthefirsteraknowngenerallyas“SecretWar”orwarbyothermeans,meansnotattributabletotheantagonist;andinthesecondera,theeraofShermanKent,as“StrategicAnalysis,”adeliberateattempttoarriveat“besttruth”usingallavailablesourcesandmethodsincludingopensourcesofinformation.

Theseconderadidnot lastvery long—itwascorruptedby thepoliticizationofintelligence,over-whelmedbythemilitary-industrial-congressionalcomplex(MIC), now the military-industrial-intelligence-congressional complex (MIIC).ShermanKentmightcringe,buthisrighteousintentultimatelywassummedupin his askingSamAdams,uponacceptingthePentagon’sdemandthattheVietCongnotbecountedinaguerrillawar,“havewegonebeyondtheboundsofreasonabledishonesty?”

“Reasonable dishonesty” sums up everything that is wrong with corruptpracticesingovernmentandinbusinessandinfoundationsandotherostensiblynon-profitorganizationsthatcheatthepublicbyconsuming50%ormoreofallcontributionsas“overhead.”

Thethirderaisonethatothershavethoughtabout,butImayreasonablylayclaimtowithmytwoarticles,E3i:Ethics,Ecology,Evolution,&intelligence(AnAlternativeParadigm)in Whole Earth Review(Fall1992),andCreatingaSmartNation:Strategy,Policy,Intelligence,andInformation(Government Information Quarterly, 13/2, 1995). Other articles and chapters followed over time, allgenerallyfocusedonreconnectinghumanitywithrealityforconstructiveends.

IcallthistheeraoftheSmartNationinwhichtheeighttribesofintelligence(decision-support)—Academia, Civil Society, Commercial, Government, LawEnforcement,Media,Military, andNon-GovernmentalOrganizations—can allshareinformationandcometogethertodosense-makinginanopenmannerthatachievessustainableconsensus.

Ultimatelyconsensus leadstoarejectionof thewarparadigmandageneralacceptanceofthenon-zeropeaceparadigm,particularlyastherelativecostofwarversuspeacebecomesobvious,asillustratedinfigure63.


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Figure 63: Relative Cost of War versus Peace and Prosperity for All

I am indebted—weare all indebted, to ProfessorMedardGabel, founder ofBigPictureSmallWorld, inventor of the Earth Dashboard, and pioneer withBuckminsterFuller increatingtheanalogWorldGameandtheconceptforadigitalEarthGame™forpermissiontousetheaboveillustration,forthcominginhisbook,Seven Billion Billionaires.

Onthenextpage,todrivethispointhomewithrespecttotheUnitedStatesofAmerica(USA),Iillustratethetruecostofthemilitarytothepublicpurse.


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Figure 64: The False Official Military Budget Share versus the Real Share

The above depiction comes from the Center for Defense Information (CDI)withthepiechartontherightfocusingonactualshareofdisposableornon-entitlementannualexpendituresbythefederalgovernment.Thisimpeachablebutconsistentlyover-lookedfraudbyboththeCongressandtheExecutiveinperpetuatingthemythofa“lowshare”militarycombinedwiththeabdicationofour citizens from their responsibility tohold their elected representativesaccountable for clarity and integrity, have allowed the bankruptcy of theRepublic, even before the twin debacles of an elective war on Iraq and anelectivebail-outofWallStreetattaxpayerexpense.

Taken together, Figures 63 and 64 demonstrate the impact on the public ofexcessivespendingonmilitaryprocurementandpersonnelandtheattendant


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electivewars,insharpcontrasttomodernneedsformoreresponsiblespendingtostabilizeandreconstructtheWholeEarth.

Ashumanconsciousnessisexpandedbyacombinationofmorehumansbeingconnected directly to one another, something the Internet and the almostnegligible cost ofwireless communications aremaking possible,with accesstomoreandmoreinformationaswellasmoreandmoresense-makinginthepublicdomain,Ibelievethattherewillbeasharprejectionofthewarparadigminfavorofthepeaceparadigm.Wariswin-lose,peaceiswin-win.

Figure 65: Rejecting the War Paradigm in Favor of the Peace Paradigm

It will not be easy and it will not happen without deliberate efforts by allconcerned.Thefinalstepinachievingaprosperousworldatpeaceisthatofharmonization,notjustofinvestmentsasdiscussedinChapters23and24,but


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inassuringeveryhumanbeingtheir“dailybread”asfoundintheLord’sPrayer.WedothatwithaGlobaltoLocalNeedsTableasillustratedbelow.

Figure 66: Global to Local Need Table Online

This table, combined with millions of volunteers online connecting the fivebillion poor with the one billion rich via call centers and related networkscompetentin183languagesnotonlypermitsthemeetingofindividualneedsattheitemwithinhouseholdlevel,andthecombinationofindividualstomeetaneedbysharingcostsofacquisition,transport,andinstallation,aswellastheaggregationofneedsforfulfillmentinlow-costbulk,butitalsoeliminatesthecurrentfraudthatdiverts50%(ormore)ofcharityto“overhead.”


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Chapter 27Open Everything

The depiction below sums up my personal view that there is a power toopennessthatnootherforcecanconsistentlyover-whelm.

Figure 67: Open Everything

IwasinspiredbyChrisPrillo and Gnomedex,wheninvitedtobetheopeningspeaker,andentitledmypresentation“OpenEverything.”


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The big three, the trifecta, are Free/Open Source Software (F/OSS), OpenSourceIntelligence(OSINT),andOpenSpectrum.Onthelatter,IwillalwaysbeindebtedtobothJockGill forhis2004contributionOpenWirelessSpectrumandDemocracythat introducedmetotheworkofDavidWeinberger,andofcoursetoDavidWeinbergerhimself,thelong-timechampionofOpenSpectrumwhocontributedWhy open spectrum matters: the end of the broadcast nation tothefirstbookinthisseries,COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace,andmorerecently,hisownbook, EverythingIsMiscellaneous–ThePoweroftheNewDigitalDisorder

Inthebalanceofthischapter,justafewwords(andalink)foreachoftheotherOpens(therearemore,thesearejusttheonesIhavefocusedon).

Open Borders.Theonlywaytostopillegalimmigrationistostoptheglobalclasswarthatcontinuestofurtherimpoverishthesouthernhemispherewhilesimultaneously lootingitsnaturalresources. Inmyview,OpenBordersareameansofacknowledgingtherealitythatweareallonehumanitywithinoneearth, and we must take those measures to stabilize and reconstruct theimpoverished nations as if they were—because they are—our neighbors.Not only must we make unnecessary the “Berlin Wall” mentality that hascharacterizedtheDepartmentofHomelandSecurity(DHS),butindoingso,wemustmakeitpossibletoredirectallthoseresourcestomorepeacefuleffect.

Open Business. Anopenbusinessistransparentinitsaccounting;respectfulof all stakeholders both formal and incidentally affected; adheres to openstandards and by definition, applies the earned benefits and profits for all,ratherthanredirectingprofitscreatedbythemanytowardthebenefitofafew.Openbusinessesoptimizesocialproductionwithorwithoutfinancialmeasuresofmerit.

Open Carry. Opencarryisshorthandterminologyfor“openlycarryingafirearm in public”, as distinguished from concealed carry, where firearms cannot beseenbythecasualobserver. It isalsocalled“opendisplay”. It isaninherentConstitutionalrightofUScitizensthatcannotbecurtailedbylocalandstateorfederalauthorities,andisthesignalmarkofasovereignpublic.

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Open Communications. Iusethetermtorefertobothequalandopenaccesstoallformsofcommunicationacrosstheplanet,andtothepresenceofclarityandintegrityinallformsofcommunicationbetweenandamongindividualsandgroups.

Open Culture. Thisconcept isstillunderdevelopment. Iuse ittorefertoaculture of openness that reveres diversity, rather than those fundamentalistexclusiveculturesthataremorecultthanculture.Byextension,anopenculturewouldembraceanatmosphereofopenmulti-culturalinformation-sharingandsense-making.

Open Government. Open government is the political doctrinewhich holdsthat thebusinessofgovernmentandstateadministrationshouldbeopenedatalllevelstoeffectivepublicscrutinyandoversight.Ispecificallytakethistomeanthatstatesecrecymustbesharplylimited,andthat“nationalsecurity”priorities anddecisionsmustbepublic innature rather thanarrivedatby asmallelitewithitsownagendathatprofitsfromwar.

Open Hardware. MorecommonlyknownasOpen-SourceHardware,thisreferstohardware—bothphysicaland thecodeembedded therein, that isopenlyshared.Generativedevicesallowend-userstoexperimentandenhance,whilecloseddevicesaretreatedaslockboxesandnotpartofthisopenculture.

Open Library. OpenLibrary isaprojectdesignedtocreateacomprehensiveonlinedatabaseofbooks.ItisaprojectoftheInternetArchive.AswithOpenCulture,Iconsiderthistermtobeunderdevelopment,particularlysincesomuchoriginalworkisnowby-passingtheLibraryofCongresscataloguingsystemandbeingshareddirectly.AsstronglyasIfeelaboutknowledgeasthecommonsoftheera,itmustbesaidthatorganizationssuchasGooglethatseektocopyrightthatwhichtheydigitize,andparticularlytheworkof“deadsouls,”arenotto


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betrustednorrewarded—IholdGoogleindisdainforitslackofethicsandthemannerinwhichisdoesgreatevilwhilepretendingotherwise.

Open Money. ThistermhasbeenablypioneeredbyMichaelLinton, EricHarris-Braun,Jean-FrançoisNoubel,amongothers,andithasextraordinarypotentialasatoolforrestoringcommonwealth.Belowistheillustrationcreatedbythepioneerstosubstantiallyexpandwhatsomemightcallintangiblewealth.

Figure 68: Open Money Wealth-Acknowledgement System

Thepioneershavebeencarefulinstatingthattheirwealth-acknowledgementsysteminaninformationsystem.Whilevariousformsofsoftwareandhardwareandmetricsareunderdevelopment,themostcommonpracticalapplicationisonethatiscommunity-based.Interra,acreditcardthatbycommonconsentreturnsapercentagetothespecificcommunitythatadoptsit,isoneexample.

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Open Networks. Thisalso isatermin its infancy. Iputforthasaproposeddefinition infrastructure independence, such asHaggle and FreeNet. In the ideal,aswithhamradiooperatorsofthepast,pointtopointwithoutahub.

Open Schools.Nottobeconfusedwithanyparticularprogramortechnology,Iofferthistermtodescribeafutureinwhichanyonecanlearnanythingfree,andknowledgeratherthancredentialingisthemeasureofaperson.Iparticularlybelievethateducation, intelligence (decision-support),andresearchmustbeunderstood,managed,andappreciatedasawhole,andthatOpenSchools,theOpenLibrary,andalltheotherOpenscometogethertocreatetheWorldBrain.

Open Search. I recognizewith the link the open-search initiative, proposestobuildadistributed,peer-to-peer, search-engine.Bycombining thealreadyexisting technologies of peer-to-peer file storage, distributed crawling andpeer-to-peer searching, the imitative hopes to solve the problems inherentto a centralized search-engine: manipulation, censorship and profiling. IacknowledgeGrubassuchaneffort,andIspecificallyrepudiateGoogleforitsprogrammable search engines that producewhat someone else has paid toplacebeforethesearcherratherthanthebestavailableresponseonmerit.Intheideal,everyindividualshouldownandcontroltheircontentfromthepointof creation,and thatpoint shouldalsobe theparticipatingentity ingloballydistributedsearchorOpenSearch.

Open Sky. MorecommonlyknownasOpenSkies,thetreatyenteredintoforceonJanuary1,2002,andcurrentlyhas34StatesParties.Itestablishesaprogramofunarmedaerialsurveillanceflightsovertheentireterritoryofitsparticipants.The treaty is designed to enhancemutual understanding and confidence bygivingallparticipants,regardlessofsize,adirectroleingatheringinformationaboutmilitary forcesandactivitiesofconcernto them.OpenSkies isoneofthemostwide-ranging internationalefforts todatepromotingopennessandtransparencyofmilitaryforcesandactivities.IbelievethatGoogleEarth has been a positive contribution, but that Google’s willingness to conspire withgovernmentstoconcealspecificsoncommandhasbeenaformofharmtothe


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publicthatshouldbecondemned.Asmicro-UAVs(UnmannedAerialVehicles)becomecommodities, Ianticipatethatthepublicwillgainaccesstoallskies,andthiswillbeliberatinginthesamewaythatcellphonevideosofabusivelawenforcementandotherpersonscanbe.

Open Society. TheopensocietyisaconceptoriginallydevelopedbyphilosopherHenriBergson.Inopensocieties,government isresponsiveandtolerant,andpoliticalmechanismsaretransparentandflexible.Thestatekeepsnosecretsfromitselfinthepublicsense;itisanon-authoritariansocietyinwhichallaretrustedwiththeknowledgeofall.Politicalfreedoms and human rights are the foundationofanopensociety. InKarlPopper’sdefinition, found inhis two-volumebookThe Open Society and Its Enemies,hedefinesan“opensociety”asonewhichensuresthatpoliticalleaderscanbeoverthrownwithouttheneedforbloodshed,asopposedtoa“closed society”,inwhichabloodyrevolution or coupd’état is needed to change the leaders.

Open Space. OpenSpaceTechnology(OST)as devisedbyHarrisonOwen is an approach for hostingmeetings, conferences, corporate-style retreats andcommunity summit events, focused on a specific and important purpose ortask—butbeginningwithoutanyformalagenda,beyondtheoverallpurposeor theme. Highlyscalableandadaptable,OSThasbeenused inmeetingsof5 to 2,100 people. The approach is characterized by five basicmechanisms:(1) a broad, open invitation that articulates thepurposeof themeeting; (2)participant chairs arranged in a circle; (3) a “bulletin board” of issues andopportunitiespostedbyparticipants;(4)a“marketplace”withmanybreakoutspacesthatparticipantsmovefreelybetween,learningandcontributingasthey“shop”forinformationandideas;and(5)a“breathing”or“pulsation”patternofflow,betweenplenaryandsmall-groupbreakoutsessions.

Thepossibilitiesareinfinite.


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ThecomplexityoftheEarthandHumanitycannotbeaddressedwithaconstellationofclosedsystemsthatfailinwaysthatcannotbediagnosednor corrected.

F/OSS,OSINT,andOpenSpectrumallowforthecreationofaninfinitelyscalableconstellationof“open”solutionsthatcanbeenhancedandsharedbyanyandall.

The“elite”cannotcomprehendtherealityoflocalneedsandpossibilitiesinthesamewaythattheengagedpubliccan—onlythepubliccanprioritizeitsownneeds.

ParticipatoryBudgeting,whencombinedwiththepedagogyoffreedom,enablestheharnessingofallstakeholdersandtheirknowledgeforthegoodofall.

HumanityhasbutoneCommons—theEarth,andmustrapidlytransformitselfsoastoexpand,save,andsharetheCommons.Itcandothisbyharmonizinginvestmentsusingsharedinformationtoeliminatewaste.

Thegreatdemographicpowers—Brazil,China,India,andIndonesia,mustjoinwithotherssuchastheUSAandRussia,MalaysiaandTurkey,theCongoandSouthAfrica,tocreatetheWorldBrainandtheGlobalGame.

Ecologicalintelligence—theawarenessbyeachindividualororganizationofthe“truecost”ofanygivenproductorserviceorsupplyingredient,istheonlymeansofreducingglobalwastepatterns.

Thepublic,notthegovernment,musttaketheleadanduseitspowers,includingTwitter,todiscoveranddisseminatethe“truecost”ofeveryproductandservicesoastoinformallstakeholders.


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Theonlyinexhaustibleresourcewehaveisthehumanbrainandthevisionandimaginationthatcanbebroughttobearbyhumansasindividuals and in the aggregate.

Education,Intelligence,andResearchmustbere-directedtooptimizetheglobaltolocalchallengesandbenefitsofsharinginformationamongallparties.

Thecostofwaristhreetimesthecostofpeaceandprosperity.ThecostofthemilitarywithinthebudgetoftheUSAiseasilyfivetotentimesgreaterthanisnormallyacknowledged.

Theinformedpublic—aNation’sbestdefenseaccordingtoThomasJefferson—mustdemandthatgovernmentceasespendingthatisinconsistentwiththepublicinterest.

Noamountofconfiscatedwealthcanmeettheneedsofthefivebillionpoor.Atthesametime,80%ofthebillionrichdonotgivetocharityordirectlytothepoor.Inevaluatingtheneedsofthepoorandthemeanstoeradicatepoverty,thenumberonehigh-levelthreattohumanity,weconcludethatprovidingthepoorwithconnectivity—acellphone—andaccesstoinformation“onecellcallatatime,”isthemeansweseek.

AGlobalRangeofNeedsTablethatisonlineandinfinitelyscalablefromnano-needsatthehouse-holdleveltoregionalneedsforwaterpurificationanddesalinationplants,canenabletheharnessingofallpossiblecontributionsbybothindividualsandorganizationsinnewwaysthatcombineagiver,atransporter,adeliverer,andaverifier.Thepriorityshouldbefreecellphonestothefivebillionpoor,backedupwithcallcenters.


269

Epilogue

If Ihadtonameahandfulof leaderswho inmyestimationhavedonemorethan all others to prepare civil society for a future of peace and prosperity,emphasizingtwowhoarealivetodayandwhoIconsiderthe“matchedpair”thathasdefinedmyworldviewasanadult,Iwouldhavenodifficultynamingnames:NelsonMandelaoftheRepublicofSouthAfrica,andLeeKuanYewoftheRepublicofSingapore.

Truth & Reconciliation,inmyview,isco-equaltoMahatmaGandhi’sconceptfornon-violentresistanceasembodiedbyMartinLutherKingandhisfollowers.ItshamesmetoknowthatMartinLutherKingwasmurderedbythegovernmenthesoughttoupliftbyreconnectingittotheprinciplesoflife,liberty,andthepursuitofhappiness forall itscitizens. FromNelsonMandela I learnedthatnoamountofreconciliationcanbeachievedwithoutthetruthtomakeitanauthentic reconciliation.Thetruthatanycostreducesallothercosts,andhelpsendthecycleofviolenceamonghumanswhohavemoreincommonregardlessofracethananylivingspecies.

Demography not Democracy,ismylessonfromMinister-MentorLeeKuanYew.IgraduatedfromtheSingaporeAmericanHighSchool,anditsaysagreatdealthatour twoclassheroeswere JohnWayneandLeeKuanYew—onecannotinventsuchaperfectpairing.Demographyisreality,democracyisinherentlycorruptas it ispracticednow. This innowayyieldsthefuturetothosewhodictateand lootthefortunesoftheirpublics,butrather itacknowledgestheintellectual and ethical primacy of demography over democracy—it ismoreimportanttoassuretheintegrityofthepublicbody—itseducation,itsethics,itsevolution—thanitistoplaythetheatricalfarceofaWhiteHousesleepingwithSaudidespotsandcravenlybeggingfromWallStreetfinanciers,whilebetrayingthepublictrust.Authentic democracymustrespectthedemographyofBrazil,China,India,andIndonesia,particularly.St.


270

GLOSSARY

271

Glossary

24/7 24hoursaday,7daysaweek

9/11 September11AF ArriaFormulaAID AgencyforInternational

Development(US)AIDS Acquired

ImmunodeficiencySyndrome

AO ActionOfficerAO AerialObserverArabLeague LeagueofArabStatesASEAN AssociationofSoutheast

AsianNationsASG-DS AssistantSecretary

GeneralforDecision-Support(UN)

AU AfricanUnionB BillionBENELUX Belgium,Netherlands,

LuxembourgBMW BayerischeMotoren

WerkeC&SC Command&StaffCollegeC/O CaseOfficer(Clandestine

Service)C3I3H3 Command,

Communications,Computing;Interagency,Interdisciplinary,Inter-Operability,Heuristics(Cube)oftheCommunityIntelligenceCycle

CA CivilAffairsCATALYST ComputerAidedToolsfor

theAnalysisofScience&Technology

CBRN Chemical,Biological,Radiological,Nuclear

CCASG CooperationCouncilfortheArabStatesoftheGulf

CCC CoalitionCoordinationCenter(USCENTCOM)

CDI CenterforDefenseInformation

CE CombatEngineersCE ConsciousEvolutionCENSAD CommunityofSahel-

SaharanStates(AU)CEO ChiefExecutiveOfficerCI CollectiveIntelligenceCI CounterintelligenceCIA CentralIntelligence

AgencyCINC Commander-in-ChiefCINCCENT Commander-in-Chief

USCENTCOMCIO ChiefInformationOfficerCIS Commonwealthof

IndependentStatesCMOC Civil-MilitaryOperations

CenterCO2 CarbonMonoxideCOG ContinuityofGovernmentCOMESA CommonMarketfor

EasternandSouthernAfrica(AU)

CPI CenterforPublicIntelligence

CRS CoordinateReferenceSystem

CS CognitiveScienceCSTO CollectiveSecurityTreaty

Organization

GLOSSARY

272

CTBTO PreparatoryCommissionfortheNuclear-Test-BanTreatyOrganization

DARPA USDefenseAdvancedResearchProjectsAgency

DefAtt DefenseAttachéDESA DepartmentofEconomic

andSocialAffairsDFS DepartmentofField

SupportD-GA Democrat-GeorgiaDGACM DepartmentforGeneral

AssemblyandConferenceManagement

DIA DefenseIntelligenceAgency

DIOSC DefenseIntelligenceOpenSourceCenter

DM DepartmentofManagement

DocEx DocumentExploitationDoD USDepartmentof

DefenseDPA DepartmentofPolitical

Affairs(UN)DPI DepartmentofPublic

InformationDPKO Departmentof

PeacekeepingOperationsDSS DepartmentofSafetyand

SecurityDTG DateTimeGroupE3i Ethics,Ecology,Evolution,

andintelligence(notsecret)

EAC EastAfricanCommunity(AU)

ECA EconomicCommissionforAfrica

ECCAS EconomicCommunityofCentralAfricanStates(AU)

ECE EconomicCommissionforEurope

ECLAC EconomicCommissionforLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean

ECOWAS EconomicCommunityofWestAfricanStates(AU)

EEI EssentialElementsofInformation

EIN EarthIntelligenceNetwork

EISASEOSG ExecutiveOfficeofthe

SecretaryGeneral(UN)ERC EmergencyRelief

CoordinatorESCAP EconomicandSocial

CommissionforAsiaandthePacific

ESCWA EconomicandSocialCommissionforWesternAsia

EU EuropeanUnionEWCP EarlyWarningand

ContingencyPlanningUnits

F/OSS Free/OpenSourceSoftware

FAC ForwardAirControllerFAO FoodandAgriculture

OrganizationoftheUnitedNations

FIU FieldInformationUnitG GramGA GeneralAssemblyGAO USGovernment

AccountabilityOfficeGDP GrossDomesticProductGIS GeographicInformation

SystemGPI GenuineProgress

IndicatorGPS GeographicPosition

SystemGSA USGeneralServices

Administration

GLOSSARY

273

GV2TN GlobalVolunteerVirtualTranslationNetwork

HAARP High-FrequencyActiveAuroralResearchProgram

HABITAT UNHumanSettlementsProgramme

HEWS HumanitarianEarlyWarningSystem

HIC HumanitariansInformationCapability

HIV HumanImmunoDeficiencyVirus

HOPE HackersonPlanetEarthHr HourHTT Human Terrain TeamHUMINT HumanIntelligenceI&W Indications&WarningIAEA InternationalAtomic

EnergyAgencyIBRD InternationalBankfor

ReconstructionandDevelopment

ICAO InternationalCivilAviationOrganization

ICC InternationalComputingCentre(UN)

ICRC InternationalCommitteeoftheRedCross

ICSID InternationalCentreforSettlementofInvestmentDisputes

ICT InformationandCommunicationTechnologies

IDA InternationalDevelopmentAssociation

IFAD InternationalFundforAgriculturalDevelopment

IFC InternationalFinanceCorporation

IGAD IntergovernmentalAuthorityonDevelopment(AU)

IJIC InternationalJournalofIntelligenceandCounterintelligence

ILO InternationalLabourOrganization

IMF InternationalMonetaryFund

IMINT ImageryIntelligenceIMO InternationalMaritime

OrganizationIMTF IntegratedMissionTask

Force(UN)INSTRAW UNInternationalResearch

andTrainingInstitutefortheAdvancementofWomen

INT IntelligenceIO InformationOperationsIOU IOweYouIR Infra-RedISI Inter-Services Intelligence

(Pakistan)ITC InternationalTradeCentreITSD InformationTechnology

ServicesDivision(UN)ITT Interrogator-Translator

TeamITU International

TelecommunicationUnion(ITU);

J-23 OSINTBranch,USSOCOMJFCOM USJointForcesCommandJFK JohnFitzgeraldKennedyJMAC JointMilitaryAnalysis

CentreJOC JointOperationsCentreKg KilogramkWh KilowattHoursLA LosAngeleslb Pound(weight)LEA LawEnforcement

AgenciesLNO LiaisonOfficer

GLOSSARY

274

LtGen LieutenantGeneralM MillionM4IS2 MultinationalMultiagency

MultidisciplinaryMultidomainInformation-Sharing and Sense-Making

MAG USMilitaryAdvisoryGroup

MB Mega-byteMCIC MarineCorpsIntelligence

Center(todayaCommand)

MCU MarineCorpsUniversityMD MedicalDoctorMDSC MultinationalDecision-

SupportCentreME Multinational

engagementMIC Military-Industrial

ComplexMIGA MultilateralInvestment

GuaranteeAgencyMIIC Military-Industrial-

IntelligenceComplexMINUSTAH UNStabilizationMission

inHaitiMLK MartinLutherKingMP MilitaryPoliceMPS MilitaryPlanningService

(DPKO)NAFTA NorthAmericanFree

TradeAgreementNASA NationalAeronauticaland

SpaceAdministrationNATO NorthAtlanticTreaty

OrganizationNBC Nuclear,Biological,

ChemicalNCTC USNational

CounterterrorismCenterNEO Non-Combatant

EvacuationOperation

NGO Non-GovernmentalOrganization

NIO NationalIntelligenceOfficer

NL Netherlands,TheNORAD NorthernAirDefense

CommandNRBC Nuclear,Radiological,

Biological,&ChemicalNSA USNationalSecurity

AgencyNSC NationalSecurityCouncilNSSM NationalSecurityStudy

MemorandumOAS OrganizationofAmerican

StatesOCHA Officeforthe

CoordinationofHumanitarianAffairs

ODA OfficeforDisarmamentAffairs(UN

OIT OfficeofInformationTechnology(CIA)

OMB USOfficeofManagementandBudget

OODA Observe,Orient,Decide,Act

OOTW OperationsOtherThanWar

OPCW OrganisationfortheProhibitionofChemicalWeapons

ORCI OfficeforResearchandtheCollectionofInformation(UN)

OSA OpenSourceAgencyOSIF OpenSourceInformationOSINT OpenSourceIntelligenceOSS OpenSourceSolutions

Network,Inc.OST OpenSpaceTechnologyOSWR OfficeofScientificand

WeaponsResearch(CIA)

GLOSSARY

275

PAP Pan-AfricanParliament(AU)

PB ParticipatoryBudgetingPfP PartnershipforPeace

(EasternEurope,withNATO)

PhD DoctorofPhilosophyPIF PacificIslandsForumPKO PeacekeepingOperationsPMC PrivateMilitary

ContractorsPOE PeaceOperations

ExtranetPOW PrisonerofWarPSC PeaceandSecurity

Council(PSC)R&D Research&DevelopmentREC RegionalEconomic

CommissionREG Regular(Budget)RMDSC RegionalMultinational

Decision-SupportCentreRN RoyalNavyRSO RegionalSecurityOfficer

(USDepartmentofState)S&R Stabilization&

ReconstructionS&T Science&TechnologySA(V) SpecializedAgencies

(VoluntaryContributions)SA(A) SpecializedAgencies

(Assessed)SAARC SouthAsianAssociation

forRegionalCooperationSADC SouthernAfrica

DevelopmentCommunity(AU)

SASC SenateArmedServicesCommittee

SCO ShanghaiCooperationOrganisation

SEATO SoutheastAsiaTreatyOrganization

SG SecretaryGeneralSICA CentralAmerican

IntegrationSystemSIGINT SignalsIntelligenceSIPR SecureInternetProtocol

RouterSME Subject-MatterExpertSMS ShortMessageServiceSOLIC SpecialOperationsand

LowIntensityConflictSPU StrategicPlanningUnit

(SPU)SRS SpatialReferenceSystemSSI StrategicStudiesInstitute

(USArmy)TCM TraditionalChinese

MedicineTECHINT TechnicalIntelligenceTOOZL One-OunceLaptop

(STRONGANGEL)TX TexasUAV UnmannedAerialVehicleUK UnitedKingdomUMA ArabMaghrebUnion(AU)UN UnitedNationsUNAIDS JointUnitedNations

ProgrammeonHIV/AIDSUNASUL UnionofSouthAmerican

Countries(Portuguese)UNASUR UnionofSouthAmerican

CountriesUNCCD UnitedNations

ConventiontoCombatDesertification

UNCDD ConventionontheRightsofPersonswithDisabilities

UNCDF UNCapitalDevelopmentFund

UNCTAD UNConferenceonTradeandDevelopment

UNDCP UNDrugControlProgramme

GLOSSARY

276

UNDEF UnitedNationsDemocracyFund

UNDP UNDevelopmentProgramme

UNEP UNEnvironmentalProgramme

UNESCO UnitedNationsEducational,ScientificandCulturalOrganization

UNFCCC UnitedNationsFrameworkConventiononClimateChange

UNFIP UnitedNationsFundforInternationalPartnerships

UNFPA UNPopulationFundUNHCR OfficeoftheUnited

NationsHighCommissionerforRefugees

UNICEF UNChildren’sFundUNICRI UNInterregionalCrime

andJusticeResearchInstitute

UNIDIR UNInstituteforDisarmamentResearch

UNIDO UnitedNationsIndustrialDevelopmentOrganization

UNIFEM UNDevelopmentFundforWomen

UNITAR UNInstituteforTrainingandResearch

UNODIN UNOpen-SourceDecision-SupportInformationNetwork

UNOPS UnitedNationsOfficeforProjectServices

UNPROFOR UnitedNationsProtectionForce

UNRISD UNResearchInstituteforSocialDevelopment

UNRWA UNReliefandWorksAgencyforPalestineRefugeesintheNearEast

UNSAS UnitedNationsStand-byArrangementSystem

UNSSC UnitedNationsSystemStaffCollege

UNU UnitedNationsUniversityUNV UNVolunteersUNWTO WorldTourism

Organization(UN)UPU UniversalPostalUnionUSIC USIntelligence

CommunityUSA UnitedStatesofAmericaUSAF USAirForceUSB UniversalSerialBusUSCENTCOM USCentralCommandUSG USGovernmentUSIA USInformationAgencyUSMC USMarineCorpsUSMC USMarineCorpsUSS USShipUSSOCOM USSpecialOperations

CommandUZAN UnionofSouthAmerican

Countries(Dutch)WFP UNFoodProgramWHO WorldHealth

OrganizationWIPO WorldIntellectual

PropertyOrganizationWMD WeaponsofMass

DestructionWMO WorldMeteorological

OrganizationWOG WholeofGovernmentWTO WorldTradeOrganization

277

Annotated Bibliography

Ihadintendedto listtheindividualtitlessoeachcouldbeselectedfromtheonlineversion(andsoreadersofthehard-copycouldunderstandthedecadeofthinkingbyothersthatcontributedtothisbook),butitrantoward30pagesandwouldhaveincreasedthebooksizeandcostby10%.Soinstead,Ilistherethecategoriesandinparenthesisthenumberofbooksineachcategory.Thelistsbelowarethe“goodnews”categoriesanddonotrepeatallthebookslistedinChapter20.Thelistoflistswithalllinksactivecanbedirectlyaccessedathttp://www.phibetaiota.net/?cat=2796 .

Africa(4)Analysis&Problem-Solving(62)Atlases(6)Bio-Economics(32)CapitalismReincarnated(16)China(7)Civilization-Building(6)CollectiveIntelligence(16)CommonWealth(26)Conscious,Evolutionary,Integral

Activism&Goodness(33)DialogforTruth&Reconciliation(27)DiversityofVoices&Values

(OtherthanUSA)(46)DiversityofVoices&Values(USA)(46)EducationforFreedom

&Innovation(19)

EvolutionaryDynamics(14)Future(9)Health(3)History(10)Innovation(28)LeadershipforEpochB(29)Peace(20)Philosophy(6)Priorities(11)Self-Determination&Secession(7)Stabilization&Reconstruction(17)Strategy(23)Technology&Web2.0to4.0(30)Visualization(8)WorldBrainandMind(6)Universe(5)


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2010 Intelligence for Earth - Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability (Book)

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Transcript of 2010 Intelligence for Earth - Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability (Book)