WOLL - THE ROLE OF INVESTMENT PROMOTION ORGANIZATIONS IN THIRD WORLD DEVELOPMENT - VI - 2007103102
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Transcript of WOLL - THE ROLE OF INVESTMENT PROMOTION ORGANIZATIONS IN THIRD WORLD DEVELOPMENT - VI - 2007103102
Role of Investment Promotion 1
Running head: ROLE OF INVESTMENT PROMOTION ORGANIZATIONS
The Role of Investment Promotion Organizations in Third
World Development
Enrique A. Woll B.
CENTRUM Católica
October 31, 2007
Role of Investment Promotion 2
Abstract
The capitalization imbalance between the northern
hemisphere, and the southern hemisphere, developed
countries and the underdeveloped, and between OECD
countries and the rest, suggests that something may be
failing in the capital markets’ capacity to arbitrate
investments: It would seem that it does not function
effectively, and that the not so uncommon perception of
increasing relative backwardness of the Third World is
true. If so, beyond investigating its causes, it is
necessary to investigate the attributes, achievements, and
plans of existing multilateral and governmental poverty
eradication and economic development organizations, and of
their private counterparts, and the regulatory
environment, in order to determine the need and
opportunity for the creation of new private-public systems
to increase the north-south investments rate.
Role of Investment Promotion 3
The Role of Investment Promotion Organizations in Third
World Development
Simply stated, this article constitutes a preliminary
search for the underlying causes of, and relationships
between, the capitalization imbalance between developed
countries and the underdeveloped, the capital markets’
international investments’ arbitration capacity, and the
relative backwardness and extreme poverty of the Third
World and Fourth World, respectively. It identifies key
research questions that deserve to be addressed in this
quest. It is inspired by the dire circumstances faced by
the poorest of the poor, and the apparent need and
opportunity for the creation of new private-public systems
to increase the north-south investments rate.
The Nature of the Problem
Echoing a common perception of increasing relative
backwardness of the Third World, Messinger & McCullough
(2005) reported that:
We live in a world of both endless possibility and
immense injustice. The disparity between the very
rich and very poor continues to grow, creating
dangerous inequality. A world in which few prosper
and many starve offends our commitment to fairness
and insults our belief in justice for all. (para. 16)
Role of Investment Promotion 4
The gravity and intolerable nature of the phenomenon of
extreme poverty and inequality they protest is readily
apparent when one considers that “One billion people in
the developing world live on $1 or less a day, lacking
clean water, electricity, food, education and medical
care” (Messinger & McCullough, para. 1).
In this unhappy context, Manfred Schekulin (2005),
Director, Export and Investment Policy, Australian Federal
Ministry of Economics and Labour, and Chair of the OECD
Investment Committee, in taking stock of the effects of
Foreign Direct Investment, or FDI, on development over the
last decade, noted what, for the destitute, is surely
reason for hope:
Private investment is a dominant force driving
globalization. Cross-border investment flows have
tripled over the last decade alone and foreign
capital stocks are now twice the size of global GDP.
Private investment is acting as a powerful catalyst
for growth and, and as emerging economies from Asia
to South America have shown, is one of the surest
ways to sustained poverty reduction. (p. 26)
But Schekulin, though, was quick to point out that not all
countries are benefiting fully from the potential of
higher investment:
Role of Investment Promotion 5
Flows of international capital to developing
countries are concentrated in a handful of economies,
with Africa virtually absent as an investment
location. In 2003, five non-OECD countries accounted
for more than a quarter of the total value of OECD
country investment outflows. (p. 26)
And thus, in the context of the capital markets’
capacity to arbitrate north-south investments, Schekulin
(2005) brings to mind, and makes it apparent, and all but
evident, that the natural selectivity of capital flows, in
so far as its dark side is concerned, that is, its
exclusionary effects, if clearly beyond the bounds of
reasonable caution, hesitancy, or the sporadic flights to
which transient adverse market reality will encourage
investment, or if transcending, by far, the available
market information that would explain its persistence,
would be the real nature of the problem, the proximate
cause behind the marked capitalization imbalance between
the hemispheres. However, of course, in addition to any
functional irrationality, there would be acting upon and
determining such seemingly capricious flows, albeit in
unknown measure, many significant limitations the capital
markets are evidencing today, of a practical nature, such
as technological insufficiency, and domain limitations,
Role of Investment Promotion 6
posing as flaws or imperfections, as well as other,
perhaps more directly tractable causes of this imbalance,
of a social, economic, and political nature, both
spontaneous and imposed, including through governmental or
multilateral action or inaction (Johnston, 2004; Ali,
2005; Schekulin, 2005), that, in concert with the
foregoing, may further and crucially diminish the urgently
required and reasonably expected southward flow of FDI,
and thus constitute formidable pillars of underdevelopment
for the Third World. But in the final analysis, this would
be the problem that would matter: Insufficient southward-
bound FDI flows, whatever its causes, in the context of a
marked north-south capitalization imbalance, and extreme
welfare differences, when capital is deemed essential to
production, and increased capital to increased
productivity and development, when inadequate
capitalization levels may serve to perpetuate the status
quo. Evidently, if real, it should be simultaneously
targeted from many places and angles.
The Importance of the North-South Capitalization Imbalance
To be clear about the transcendental importance of
the problem presented by the referred apparent capital
markets’ irrationalities, and limitations, in the context
of societal vices which gravely distort, and even impede
Role of Investment Promotion 7
their normal workings, and detracts from the flows of FDI
to where they are needed the most, and of investigating it
in search of theoretical and practical solutions, it
should be noted that very few of those living in the post-
communist 21st century, regardless of latitude, or country,
would dispute the fact that direct investment is
inextricably linked to the opportunity to work, survive,
and prosper, whether it be of national origin or FDI,
private or public, or whether it be in general
infrastructure, buildings, equipment, or technology, or
whether it be in intellectual property, proprietary or
indeed public-domain. Further, it is common knowledge in
the contemporary world that investment, particularly of
private risk capital, is the crucial engine of development,
in any country, and is especially important in the case of
FDI and Third World countries (Schekulin, 2005),
increasing their capitalization for growth ("Wrong Way
Around," 2005). Thus, it would be unnecessary to prove
that, in a general sense, inadequate capitalization levels
would restrict the welfare and development of these
countries, at least relative to that of other better
capitalized ones in the First World, helping to explain
the widespread tangible problem of people living on a dollar
or less a day, and that, conversely, increased FDI flows
Role of Investment Promotion 8
would be beneficial to them and the underdeveloped
countries they live in, by increasing their absolute
levels of capitalization (Schekulin, 2005) and employment.
Finally, if there is doubt regarding the extreme to which
the north-south capitalization imbalance has manifested
itself, and how likely it may be that this situation will
change spontaneously, or soon, it should be considered
that only two of the thirty OECD countries to date,
Australia and New Zealand, are in the southern hemisphere.
See Appendix.
Poverty Eradication and the State of the Art of Development
In connection with the grave problem of extreme
poverty and inequality, Messinger & McCullough (2005,
para. 3-4) claimed that the achievement of the Millennium
Goals of the United Nations, agreed by all of its 189
member states in 2000, of reducing global poverty by the
year 2015, and halving the number of the extreme poor, is
possible given three main requirements: (a) international
debt relief for the poorest countries, (b) increased
development aid from the wealthiest countries, and (c)
trade agreements that are fair and do not pose a threat to
livelihoods and or medical needs of the extremely poor.
Role of Investment Promotion 9
According to Messinger & McCullough (2005), in June
that year the United States and Great Britain agreed to
cancel the debts of 18 countries with the International
Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the African Development
Fund, but over a dozen countries that qualified but
refused to comply with harmful economic policies required
by creditors were turned down. In 1970, per Messinger &
McCullough, the world community set the goal of raising
humanitarian aid to the poorest countries to 0.7% of the
gross national product of wealthy nations, but as of 2005
the United States was only contributing a scant 0.16% and
had no plans to increase it. Messinger & McCullough set
forth an example of how trade deals can be harmful to poor
countries, citing the case of the Central American Free
Trade Agreement, or Cafta, stating that:
As written, Cafta would benefit a relative few at the
expense of the poorest of the poor. Lack of access to
lifesaving medicines, lax labor laws and heavily
subsidized American produce flooding into the region
– forcing small farmers out of work and deeper into
poverty, as the North American Free Trade Agreement
Role of Investment Promotion 10
has already done in Mexico – are all potential
hazards of this unjust policy. (para. 15)
FDI, which includes such things as acquisitions,
mergers, and factories built abroad, and increases both
the integration of global markets and the rate of economic
growth in receptor countries, by an estimated 0.4% for a
one-percentage-point rise in the ratio of the stock of FDI
to gross domestic product, is for those reasons a closely
watched statistic in the world ("Wrong Way Around," 2005).
The biggest source of FDI are the wealthiest countries in
the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
OECD, but, in recent times, after its flows peaked in 2000
as a result of massive cross-border mergers between its
member countries, a three year slump ensued ("Wrong Way
Around," 2005), to the detriment of developing countries.
Fortunately, in 2004 a new report from the OECD showed
that total FDI outflows from OECD countries, though below
their 2000 peak, by far, were at $667.8 billion while
inflows were only slightly over $400 billion ("Wrong Way
Around," 2005), and importantly, though tempered by a
disturbing caveat:
Role of Investment Promotion 11
Foreign direct investment is beginning to flow in the
right direction: out of the slow-growing wealthy
countries and into emerging markets. But overall,
capital is still moving from the developing world to
the developed—and, in the process, helping to
increase the imbalances that put the world economy at
risk (para. 1).
Indeed, Ben Bernanke, a governor of America’s Federal
Reserve, “argues that the recent increases in the current
account deficit are in fact the result of a global savings
glut pouring out of the developing world” ("Wrong Way
Around," 2005, para. 9). And, focusing on what might also
encourage the flow of capital from the developing world to
the developed, and reduce or reverse the proper flow of
FDI, it should be noted that:
Glenn Hubbard, a former chairman of President George
Bush’s Council of Economic Advisers, argues that the
culprit is weak financial systems; countries with
poor investor protections, fragile equity markets and
shaky banks offer few attractive opportunities for
domestic savers. Government policies are also to
Role of Investment Promotion 12
blame, such as China’s machinations to keep the yuan
weak, which forces it to buy massive amounts of
dollars that are then invested in American
securities” ("Wrong Way Around," 2005, para. 10).
According to Ali (2005), “the world economy is in
urgent need of a flow of FDI from the developed world into
the developing countries, not vice versa” (p. 1). In fact,
Ali proposed that since the early 1950s it has been
recognized that for countries that have been recipients of
FDI, it has been the most crucial factor in enhancing
economic development and ensuring a reasonable standard of
living. But Ali went further than Glenn Hubbard ("Wrong
Way Around," 2005) on the topic of factors limiting FDI,
parceling out the blame to include developed countries,
stating that not only had trade and FDI been used to serve
political goals but also that “. . . superpowers have
frequently employed their political leverage not to
further stability and economic progress in developing
countries but to ensure the submission of the developing
countries to their cultural and political domination” (p.
1). Expounding even further, Ali claimed that not only are
Role of Investment Promotion 13
most multinational companies driven [only] by profit
maximization, thus failing to notice lesser but
interesting investment opportunities capable of healthy
returns, but that, “In addition, contrary to the
globalization trend and the call for an integrated world
economy, increasing numbers of MNCs espouse nationalistic
investment policies. Consequently, they discriminate in
their investment choices and destination according to
their home country’s preferred foreign policy” (p. 1). The
inconsistency of such nationalistic policies by developed
countries with the principles of market economy place the
disfavored countries in vulnerable economic positions, and
together with the noted active political accommodations by
MNCs and their zeal for profit maximization, would largely
explain the widening gap between rich and poor countries,
according to Ali, through diminished FDI inward flows to
the latter, and may in fact constitute the first pillar of
underdevelopment.
But looking at factors internal to developing
countries that help to explain the unfavorable financial
markets reality, and the sometimes inadequate concomitant
Role of Investment Promotion 14
government monetary policies, even in major ones such as
China, Ali (2005) identified the core nature of the
backwardness that characterizes such countries, that may,
to some degree, be self-reinforcing: (a) the absence of a
vibrant middle class, (b) the absence of mature legal
institutions, (c) the absence of transparent operations,
and (d) the absence of remedies against fear and political
instability leading to corruption. Ali proposed a
convincing interpretation of the manner in which fear and
political instability operates on the nurturing and
cultivation requisite to the emergence of sound
institutions and practices, and perverts development:
In an environment of fear and instability neither
nurturing nor maturity thrives. Worse, because of
instability and frequent change in alliances,
politicians in these countries are more likely to
seek easy means to accumulate wealth, irrespective of
legitimacy. Thus, it is to their advantage not to
establish legal traditions and due process of law.
However, because of their national and international
networking, they tend to gain the trust and support
Role of Investment Promotion 15
of the power elite in the developed world. This
appears to give them legitimacy and strengthens their
economic positions. Consequently, profound and
desired changes necessary to strengthening investors’
confidence in the institutions, especially legal
ones, of many developing countries have become an
impossible task. (p. 1)
Thus, the second pillar of underdevelopment for poor
countries, and many developing countries, may be the
corruption which stems from an environment of fear and
instability, impedes the emergence of sound institutions
and practices, and diminishes FDI inward flows.
In effect, Ali (2005) noting that “the depth of
corruption in developing nations has seriously impeded FDI
flow and constituted a threat to world economic stability”
(p. 1), culminated by calling for responsible leaders to
design “pragmatic means to counter corruption and prevent
poverty” (p. 1). To that end, Ali prescribed that:
It is possible to overcome the vicious circle of
development and build sound institutions, if the
leaders of the developed world embark on designing
Role of Investment Promotion 16
policies that prevent political/government corruption
in developing nations, insist on transparent
operations, minimize or end support for corrupt and
authoritarian politicians in the developing world,
and reverse the practice of using trade and
investment in the service of political goals. (p. 5)
To assess the significance of recent world FDI flows,
and gain perspective, it should be fully noted that in
2004 net FDI outflows from OECD countries to developing
countries was in the order of $261 billion, in contrast
with the figure for 2003 which was $134 billion, according
to the organization itself, and to this end, it is
illustrative to briefly examine where some of these flows
went: (a) China, mainland, experienced a record inward FDI
flow of $55 billion in 2004, up from $47 billion in 2003,
continuing to receive a large share of FDI in developing
countries, largely from Hong Kong [non-member], at the
risk of overheating its economy; (b) Hong Kong and
Singapore experienced a total inward FDI flow of $50
billion in 2004, remaining as a significant destination
for FDI inflows; (c) Brazil experienced an inward FDI flow
Role of Investment Promotion 17
of $18 billion in 2004, Chile an inward FDI flow of $8
billion, and Argentina an inward FDI flow of $4 billion,
suggesting a South American recovery after the Argentine
crisis, with all figures being about twice those of 2003
levels; and (d) India experienced an inward FDI flow of
$5.3 billion in 2004, up from $4.3 billion in 2003,
estimated at the low end evidencing a steady trend upwards
since the late 1990s, and Russia experienced a growing
inward FDI flow in 2004 after an already strong inward
flow in 2003 (Anonymous, 2005).
In this context, developing countries, while
continuing to be the major recipients of FDI, in some
cases were gaining experience as suppliers of outward FDI,
as were México and Brazil, some of whose large companies
were seemingly engaging in regional integration through
investment to be followed by the establishment of true
international corporate networks (Anonymous, 2005). China
for instance, had entered the arena of enterprise-driven
strategic FDI to secure raw materials, and according to
its Administration for Foreign Exchange experienced a net
outward FDI flow of $1.8 billion in 2004, after a meager
Role of Investment Promotion 18
$152.3 million in 2003, and a peak of $6.9 billion in 2001
(Anonymous, 2005). Nevertheless, despite the purportedly
high importance of FDI to development, according to Donald
J. Johnston, Secretary-General of the OECD in 2004, “Human
capital is the most important driver of economic growth.
Physical assets or commodities cannot migrate of their own
volition. Human capital can and does. Obviously,
preventing migration would be unacceptable, the movement
of labour being a fundamental freedom we uphold”
(Johnston, 2004, p. 1). Thus, on the one hand human
capital would be crucial to development, particularly to
developing countries, and on the other, it should be free
to flow to where it would. However, the staggering
magnitude of the adverse social and economic impact on
developing countries which such an unfettered freedom can
have, is easily inferred from the November 2004 article
that according to Johnston appeared in a major Canadian
newspaper, lamenting the exodus of qualified doctors and
nurses from African countries, highly skilled
professionals attracted by the promise of living better
lives in developed countries, but whose departure deprived
Role of Investment Promotion 19
their communities of valuable resources in the struggle
against disease, especially AIDS.
Though migration from developing countries to the
developed can carry blessings that ameliorate its
sometimes mostly adverse effects, the real value of
migrants to their countries of origin and destination can
go largely unrecognized, and even exploited: “Migration
can be a positive force if, for instance, it results in
substantial financial remittances back to the developing
world. But the active recruitment efforts by developed
countries – some call it poaching – to induce skilled
doctors, nurses, scientists and engineers to settle in
rich economies, without any compensation for the
investment in these skills made by the taxpayers in low-
income ones, is a concern. These skills are competitively
priced by OECD standards, but they may be scarce and
valuable back home” (Johnston, 2004, p. 1). Thus, an
uncompensated and free-flowing migration of highly
qualified human capital from poor countries, and many
developing countries, to the developed may be a third
pillar of underdevelopment.
Role of Investment Promotion 20
Further to the inconvenience of the nationalistic FDI
policies espoused by developed countries denounced by Ali
(2005), Johnston (2004, p. 3) decried as an incoherent
policy “tied aid, which commits recipients of financial
assistance to specific suppliers from donor
countries . . . as it is in direct conflict with trade
liberalization and free markets.” In fact, Johnston (p. 3)
took up the general matter of incoherent OECD policies
that undermine development, and referred to agricultural
subsidies and trade barriers as “. . . notorious examples,
for not only do they prevent the developing world from
fully exploiting our markets, but they prevent our own
citizens from accessing cheaper, often better, products.”
But Johnston (p. 3) is most troubled by incoherence in the
area of migration, “. . . particularly if it means
emptying the developing world of valuable human capital.”
Crucially, in Johnston’s view (p. 3), the plight of
African countries being drained of their most prized human
capital “. . . raises a key question about development
assistance: can governments say they wish to foster
development among poorer countries do so, when at the same
Role of Investment Promotion 21
time they pursue policies that impoverish the countries
they are trying to help?”
To Johnston (2004, p. 3) this perverse incoherence in
government programs, for instance “. . . in terms of a
development strategy when OECD member governments actively
solicit skills from the developing world that cannot
easily be replaced,” or in respect of agricultural
subsidies and trade barriers, is common, and seems to stem
mainly from political imperatives:
The general problem is a lack of coherence among
policies: one set of policy objectives conflicts with
or undermines another. Alas, policy incoherence in
government programmes is common. As a former
politician and cabinet minister in a G7 country, I
enjoyed a first hand view of that. In every instance
I recall, incoherence was rooted in what were
perceived by some as political imperatives. (p. 3)
And in respect of incoherent policies at the OECD level,
beyond recognizing and championing the organization’s role
in pointing out how some of their policies undermine
development, Johnston suggested that: (a) some coherence
Role of Investment Promotion 22
might be restored to the economics of migration by public
policy in destination countries that required some
compensating payment in exchange; (b) development requires
a policy environment built on the rule of law and
institutions that enable the economy to prosper, and to
this end the widespread failure of the development
community in identifying, adapting, and applying
development-oriented policies within their governments and
the OECD must be recognized and reversed; (c) the OECD
development community must embrace a new role and transmit
its expertise in matters relevant to the creation of legal
and institutional environments for prosperity in order to
increase the effectives of their development and donor
policies; and (d) Governments in developing countries need
to ensure coherence in their own policies in such matters
as the creation of a favorable investment environment, and
institutions building, as policy coherence for development
is required of them too. In this manner, by contrast
between what should be and what is, Johnston has
identified what may turn out to be a fourth pillar of
underdevelopment, namely incoherent government and
Role of Investment Promotion 23
multilateral policies under the influence of political
imperatives.
Schekulin (2005), recognizing the cited concentration
of FDI flows as a geographic imbalance, remarked that
issues such as market size and geography matter in the
context of intense competition between developing
countries to attract investment, but emphasized the
importance of the quality of the business and investment
environment, and of having the right policies in place, by
pointing out that countries with unsatisfactory conditions
loose out the most:
A poorly conceived investment attraction strategy may
create incentives which distort business decisions,
and in some cases even deter private investors.
Providing tax concessions, for instance, will have a
limited impact, or indeed do more harm to the
business climate, if these are compensated by other
new taxes, or draw funds away from education. (p.
27).
The need for coherent policies for investment and business
promotion and facilitation raised by Johnston (2004) and
Role of Investment Promotion 24
Ali (2005) was further and importantly defined by
Schekulin (p. 27) when he stated that “These must be aimed
at correcting for market failures and developed in a way
that can leverage the strong points of a country’s
investment climate.”
According to Schekulin (2005) there is no single
policy instrument that will effectively enhance inward
FDI; tax breaks and other easy fixes, such as subsidies
alone, will not work when bureaucracy is too costly, and
what is required instead is a range of conditions that
will attract and sustain investments over the long run,
namely the enactment of high standards in: (a)
transparency, (b) procedural fairness, (c) openness, and
(d) corporate responsibility. In this regard, “. . . the
OECD with non-OECD governments, the World Bank and other
organizations are developing a Policy Framework for
Investment (PFI) . . . to support governments’ efforts to
attract and to reap the benefits of global investments”
Schekulin (p. 27). The PFI was designed to advance the
United Nations Monterrey Consensus of 2002, reached by 182
governments in recognition of the crucial role of private
Role of Investment Promotion 25
enterprise in any poverty reduction strategy, and in
September 2005 the UN World Summit “. . . renewed its
commitment to mobilising private investment, both domestic
and foreign, for advancing economic development and as a
way to achieve the goals of the Millennium Declaration”
Schekulin (p. 27). In this context, the PFI was designed
to help build a coherent framework for investment, and
should be used as a tool to assist various types of
countries “. . . to benchmark their strategies against
broadly accepted international practices” Schekulin (p.
27). The PFI emphasizes ten domains important to achieving
and maintaining stable macroeconomic conditions, which
have a strong impact on the investment environment
according to Schekulin (p. 27): (a) investment policy, (b)
investment promotion and facilitation, (c) trade policy,
(d) competition policy, (e) tax policy, (f) corporate
governance, (g) corporate responsibility and market
integrity, (h) human resource development, (i)
infrastructure development and financial services, and (j)
public governance.
Role of Investment Promotion 26
Some of the main working features of the PFI, again,
according to Schekulin (2005) are: (a) the PFI policy
domains come with sets of questions to assess quality and
coherence, and make transparent the opportunity cost of
policy to investors, based on OECD and non-OECD experience
and international agreements; (b) the PFI emphasis on
comprehensive coherent policies for investment considers
the broad interests of the community, particularly in
domains that indirectly influence investment climate; (c)
the PFI helps integration of policy regimes across
countries, even in different regions, by facilitating
self-evaluation and mutual assessments, but does not
propose policy prescriptions; and (d) the PFI can help
donor agencies design more robust capacity-building
programs. Schekulin further commented that a taskforce of
government representatives of more than 50 OECD and non-
OECD countries is involved in the development of the PFI,
through extensive regional consultation in every
continent, in order that it be adapted and made relevant
to the varying economic, legal, and cultural realities in
countries in various stages of development, as would a
Role of Investment Promotion 27
living instrument that to remain practical evolves according
to circumstances and experience, capturing the attention
and interest of many governments and regional
organizations and initiatives such as ASEAN, SEE, NEPAD
and APEC. According to Schekulin:
The PFI must be seen in the broader context of
multilateral efforts, including the Doha Development
Agenda and the Johannesburg World Summit on
Sustainable Development Declaration, to strengthen
the international and national business environments.
Directed to governments, it complements instruments
addressing good corporate practices, such as the OECD
Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises. (p. 28)
The OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises, adhered
to by some 39 countries, provide recommendations in at
least 28 languages to globally applicable business areas
such as human rights, consumer protection, labor, the
environment, supply chain management, and the fight
against corruption, and their effectiveness is helped by
the fact that not only are countries adhering to the
Role of Investment Promotion 28
guidelines home to scores of major multinationals, but
provide 85% of the FDI flows, informed Schekulin.
Possible Needs and Opportunities for Action
As noted herein, there are four areas relating to
poverty eradication and the state of development that may
constitute pillars of underdevelopment: (a) the
inconsistency of nationalistic policies by developed
countries with the principles of market economy together
with the MNC zeal for profit maximization, (b) the
corruption in poor countries stemming from environments of
fear and instability, (c) the uncompensated and free-
flowing migration of highly qualified human capital from
poor countries, and (d) incoherent government and
multilateral policies under the influence of political
imperatives at both ends of the development spectrum. Each
of these pillars may help to perpetuate underdevelopment,
indeed actively foster poverty, at the least by adversely
affecting inward FDI, as their effects may determine the
core nature of the backwardness that characterizes poor
countries, and many developing countries, that may in
addition reinforce the status quo and actually feed back
Role of Investment Promotion 29
negatively into a vicious circle that forestalls
development: (a) the absence of a vibrant middle class,
(b) the absence of mature legal institutions, (c) the
absence of transparent operations, and (d) the absence of
remedies against fear and political instability leading to
corruption.
The development community, acting through the OECD,
has taken stock of the alarming level of inequality
between the rich and the poor, developed countries and the
underdeveloped, and between OECD countries and the rest,
and in apparent full consideration of the underlying
causes and effects of underdevelopment, according to the
literature, termed here pillars of underdevelopment, has taken
steps for corrective action by the creation of the PFI, a
new multilateral instrument, designed, in sum, to help
build a coherent framework for governments to attract
global investments, in line with the crucial role of
private enterprise in any poverty reduction strategy, and
as a way to achieve the goals of the Millennium
Declaration, as already noted.
Role of Investment Promotion 30
Nevertheless, the capitalization imbalance between
the northern hemisphere, and the southern hemisphere,
developed countries and the underdeveloped, and between
OECD countries and the rest, that at first sight suggests
that something may be failing in the capital markets’
capacity to arbitrate investments, appears not to be
addressed by the organization as a problem per se. Because
of the significance of the identified causes and effects
of underdevelopment in the context of the noted and marked
capitalization imbalance, and the challenging required
corrective actions implicit in them, it would seem
possible that the capital markets as they function today,
would not effectively arbitrate the massive north-south
FDI flows required by developing countries if they are to
narrow the gap that separates the richest from the
poorest, and that the not so uncommon perception of
increasing relative backwardness of the Third World is not
only true, but may be here to stay. Moreover, even if the
PFI and other corrective multilateral measures to come
were efficiently implemented, they may turn out to be
insufficient to provide effective relief, in a timely
Role of Investment Promotion 31
manner, to the over a billion desperately poor, and
diminish the dangerous inequality in the world we live in,
without the establishment of new private-public systems to
dramatically increase the north-south investments rate.
The Next Steps in Solving the Problem
The capitalization imbalance between developed
countries and the underdeveloped, between OECD countries
and the rest, and in fact, between the northern and
southern hemispheres, that suggests that something may be
failing in the capital markets’ capacity to arbitrate
investments, needs to be investigated further. It is
necessary to investigate the impact of FDI on
capitalization levels, productivity, and markets, in
developed and developing countries, and on globalization
per se, as well as on development in an integral sense. In
the context of a possibly increasing north-south
capitalization and welfare imbalance, beyond investigating
the issue itself, it is also necessary to investigate the
attributes, achievements, and plans of existing
multilateral and governmental poverty eradication and
economic development organizations, and of their private
Role of Investment Promotion 32
counterparts, and the pertinent regulatory environment, in
order to determine the need and opportunity for the
creation of new private-public systems to increase the
north-south investments rate, and their required
characteristics.
Questions that Should not go Unanswered
A brief, sober, but thoughtful consideration of the
preceding discussion, should suffice to make evident the
paramount need to find formal answers to the following
fundamental research questions, however evident they may
seem, if any headway is to be made, any time soon, in
solving the Gordian problem of survival, on perhaps
considerably less than a dollar per day per capita, which,
unconscionably, the children, or more accurately, the
underage adults in the one billion strong cohort of utterly
destitute human beings of the current Third and Fourth
Worlds, will likely continue to inherit, as heads of new
families, every year, year after year: (a) is there a
relative backwardness of the third world? (b) could there
be an increasing relative backwardness of the third world?
(c) is there an international capitalization imbalance?
Role of Investment Promotion 33
(d) could there be an increasing international
capitalization imbalance? (e) could the causes of an
increasing relative backwardness of the third world be
fully or partially reversible, or even tractable? (f)
could an increasing relative backwardness of the third
world be partially due to an international capitalization
imbalance? (g) could an increasing relative backwardness
of the third world be partially caused by an
ineffectiveness of the capital markets’ capacity to
arbitrate international investments? (h) could an
international capitalization imbalance be partially caused
by an ineffectiveness of the capital markets’ capacity to
arbitrate international investments? (i) could the
effectiveness of the capital markets’ capacity to
arbitrate international investments be partially
determined by functional rationality, technological
sufficiency, domain limitations, social, economic, and
political vices, both spontaneous and imposed, including
through governmental or multilateral action or inaction?
In addition, the following contextual research
questions would need to be addressed: (j) is multilateralism
Role of Investment Promotion 34
still a prominent paradigm in the world scenario, and will
it be relevant in the foreseeable future, particularly to
the third world, even if in a diminishing capacity in real
terms? (k) is governmentalism an increasingly prominent and
effective paradigm, in relation to the multilateral
paradigm, and is it declining in relation to the private
paradigm? (l) are poverty eradication and economic
development organizations institutions of recognized
crucial international contextual importance, given the
much publicized abysmal welfare gap, at the individual
level, between the first world and the third world? (m)
are private poverty eradication and economic development
organizations, counterpart to multilateral and
governmental institutions, mainly of a charitable nature,
but of growing international significance and potential
for increased contextual effectiveness, though still
incipient in the third world? (n) could the regulatory
environment in its pertinent dimensions be constructively
evolving mainly at the multilateral level, but require
further adaptation, particularly at the national level?
Finally, and crucially, the following defining
research questions should not go unanswered: (o) could a
relative backwardness of the third world not be expected
to autonomously resolve itself in the current and
Role of Investment Promotion 35
proximate international context? (p) would the need for
the creation of new private-public systems to increase the
north-south investments rate exist were it determined that
a relative backwardness of the third world could not be
expected to autonomously resolve itself in the current and
proximate international context? (q) could the timing and
resources be adequate to the demands for the creation of
new private-public systems to increase the north-south
investments rate, given multilateralism and
governmentalism, and the attributes, achievements, and
plans, of multilateral and governmental poverty
eradication and economic development organizations, and
their private counterparts, and the regulatory
environment, and given that a relative backwardness of the
third world could not be expected to autonomously resolve
itself in the current and proximate international context?
(r) could it be found reasonable to provisionally assume that
economic development action for poverty eradication,
particularly by way of increasing the north-south
investments rate, through the creation of new private-
public systems, complementary to the effectiveness of the
capital markets’ capacity to arbitrate international
investments, and to competing multilateral, governmental,
and private organizations in the current and proximate
Role of Investment Promotion 36
international context, could be expected to have a
positive effect on the resolution of the abysmal welfare
gap, at the individual level, between the first world and
the third world?
A Framework of Reference for Future Research
Inequality has been inherent in every society since
the dawn of humanity, and evidently may never, and
probably should never be entirely eradicated, lest in the
attempt, the will to have, and to succeed, that drives the
have-nots, and fuels all economic activity, become
irrelevant, and general productivity and welfare decline.
Nevertheless, evidently, inequality in a globalized world
of extremely rich and extremely poor, with some living
hedonistic lives, and others living lives of mere pain and
want, in full and plain view of each other, shamelessly,
is dangerously destabilizing, and must be tempered within
nations and internationally. In the latter context, aid
from developed nations, multilateral action, and FDI,
benefiting the poor in underdeveloped nations, in the
short and medium terms, and the rich in developed nations
in the long term, must continue to increase. In the
context of this research, relevant history would start at
the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference at
Bretton Woods, where the foundations for peace and
Role of Investment Promotion 37
prosperity were laid toward the end of World War II,
in1944, with the establishment, in principle, of The
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the
World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, or GATT, and may
extend well into the future. Indeed, in view of the
lengthy time it has taken for the Conference’s intended,
but failed, International Trade Office to surface as the
World Trade Organization, in 1995, after the Uruguay Round
of GATT, and in view of the magnitude of the problem at
hand, there would be no immediate end to the cited
perverse inequality, where the extremely poor are
condemned to vicarious “enjoyment” of wealth they too feel
entitled to, on The Rich and the Famous. On the contrary, on
this basis, taken as a common sense but valid indication
of the rate of significant change on the world stage, the
abysmal welfare gap between the First World and the Third
World can be expected to persist throughout the entire
21st century, roughly, should the right solutions be
identified and acted upon promptly and courageously, under
private leadership but with multilateral support, and
indefinitely otherwise. In the end, success is contingent
on the complex realities affecting humanity’s capacity and
Role of Investment Promotion 38
commitment to formulate the brave and effective ideas
required to address the underlying nature of the problem.
In this light, it would be wise to consider the
possibility that the pillars of underdevelopment
envisioned herein, as purportedly contextual causal
issues, might lead, together with other factors, such as
those more directly affecting the effectiveness of the
capital markets’ capacity to arbitrate international
investments, to the suspected north-south capitalization
imbalance, and this imbalance, if real, might lead to
underdevelopment, and under-productivity, and thus to the
unacceptable welfare gap, perversely feeding back into the
cited pillars of underdevelopment. And it seems that even
if the pillars of underdevelopment, alone, were to explain
the welfare gap, indeed constitute its entire set of
causes, and even if the welfare gap were resolving itself
or could be expected to resolve itself in the current and
proximate international context, autonomously from the
capital markets’ north-south investments arbitration, it
might still be relevant to consider decidedly
strengthening the north-south capital flows in the form of
FDI, financed by risk capital and not debt, in the
assumption that FDI encourages development, even in
Role of Investment Promotion 39
developed nations, as the rate of welfare gap-resolution
is crucial to the needy.
Thus, seemingly, it would behoove society to prepare
to take economic development action, for poverty
eradication, particularly by way of increasing the north-
south investments rate, through the creation of new
private-public systems, complementary to the effectiveness
of the capital markets’ capacity to arbitrate
international investments, and to competing multilateral,
governmental, and private organizations in the current and
proximate international context, on behalf of the severely
disenfranchised and hopelessly poor, in order to have a
positive effect on the resolution of the abysmal welfare
gap, at the individual level, between the First World and
the Third World, and thus on the relative backwardness of
the Third World. In this respect, an adequate benchmark
for measuring the effectiveness of any solution applied,
would be the per-capita welfare statistics, particularly
in reference to consumption, especially in nutrition,
shelter, education, and health, and particularly in
reference to savings, presumably compiled by the United
Nations Organization over the preceding 62 years. Deus fortis
juvat, Deus amantes amat, Ex misericordia Victoria.
Role of Investment Promotion 40
References
Ali, J. A. (2005). Foreign direct investment and
development. Competitiveness Review, 15(1), 1.
Anonymous. (2005). Record investment flows. The OECD Observer,
250, 19-20.
Johnston, D. J. (2004). Giving development a chance. The
OECD Observer, 245, 3.
Messinger, R., & McCullough, J. (2005, July 1). This
Independence Day, a chance for global freedom from
poverty. The Jewish Daily Forward. Retrieved October 18,
2006, from http://www.forward.com/articles/this-
independence-day-a-chance-for-global-freedom/
Schekulin, M. (2005). Investing for development: The
policy framework for investment. The OECD Observer, 251,
26-28.
Wrong way around. (2005, June 27). Economist.com, 1.
Retrieved October 18, 2006, from ProQuest database.
Role of Investment Promotion 41
Appendix
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD)
30 Member Countries
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic,
Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary,
Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico,
Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak
Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United
Kingdom, United States