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Transcript of Vj^Qsu—Qi^^ 1 - IBM HTTP Server 8.5 - Hawaii.gov
Hawaiian Electric Company, Inc^.- PO Box 2750 . Honolulu, HI 96840-0001 nc^
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October 30, 2007 William A Bonnet Vice President Government & Community Affairs
The Honorable Chairman and Members of the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission
Kekuanaoa Building 465 South King Street, 1st Floor Honolulu, Hawaii 96813
Dear Commissioners:
Siibject: Docket No. 2007-0084 HECO Integrated Resource Planning (HECO IRP-4)
In accordance with Order No. 23312, filed March 21, 2007, attached is the information from HECO's Climate change and Global Warming technical session that was held on June 8, 2007. This filing contains the following attachments: 1) Advertisement of the technical session, 2) Summary of the technical session, 3) Handouts from the technical session, 4) PowerPoint presentations by the speakers, 5) Written comments received from the public, 6) Transcript of the technical session, 7) "Olelo broadcast schedule of the technical session, and 8) DVD copy of the technical session. Due to the voluminous nature of the attachments, HECO is providing one complete set to the Commission, Consumer Advocate and Life of the Land. In addition, HECO will make available for public review a complete set of the attachments at its IRP Division offices, 820 Ward Avenue, 4" floor. Interested parties should contact Gary Hashiro, Director, Integrated Resource Planning, at 543-7767 to arrange for document review.
Sincerely,
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Attachments
cc: Division of Consumer Advocacy H. Curtis
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Public Meeting on Climate Change & Global Warming
June 8, 2007 Hawaii State Capitol Audi tor ium
You are invited to attend a public meeting on climate change and global warming. The 2007 State Legislature has passed a bill that would mandate reducing levels of climate changing greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels. As part of Hawaiian Electric Company's Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process, this public meeting seeks to identify options for how Hawaii can respond to this requirement.
8:30 - 8:45 Opening Remarks
8:45 - 10:15 Background on Climate Change Issues • An Overview of the Greenhouse Gas Issue • Hawaii's Greenhouse Gas Inventory • Impact to Hawaii's Shorelines
10 :30 - 12:00 Policy Impl icat ions for Hawaii Environmental, Utility, Legislative, and Economic Perspectives
1:00 - 2:45 Options and Strategies for Control l ing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Renewable Energy Energy Efftciency What Each of Us Can Do From Belief to Behavior; Motivating Change Feedstock for the Future
3:00- 4:30 Incorporat ing Climate Change into the IRP Process • How Does the Regulatory Process Work
with Greenhouse Gas? • How Does the State Government Play a Role? • What Kinds of Things can Utilities be Doing?
Panelists will include representatives from the Hawaii Legislature, the State Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism, University of Hawaii, Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, environmental organizations, the renewable energy industry, and other expwrts.
All interested members of the public are welcome to attend this free meeting. Brown tag lunches are recommended.
To benefit our fragile Island ecosystem, Hawai away 100 native Hawaiian trees to attend
For more information, contact [email protected]
Hawaiian Electric Compa
Summary of the Climate Change and Global Warming Technical Session
HECO recognizes the importance of Climate Change and Global Warming, and in accordance with Order No. 23312\ filed March 21, 2007, Docket No. 03-0253, HECO conducted a Climate change and Global Warming technical session in HECO's IRP-4 planning process to address this issue.
The intent of the technical session was to help stakeholders learn more about climate change and global warming from the experts, to hear the concerns from the public, and to encourage suggestions from the public and experts regarding how HECO should address this issue in its IRP plans.
The format of this technical session was developed with input from Henry Curtis (Executive Director of Life of the Land) and from the HECO IRP Advisory Group membership in general. Fifteen speakers with a broad range of expertise provided a balanced discussion of the issues. The four topics were as follows: 1) Background on Climate Change Issues, 2) Policy Implications for Hawaii, 3) Options and Strategies for Controlling GHG Emissions,
^ On March 7, 2007, HECO, the Consumer Advocate and Life of the Land filed a Stipulation Regarding Hearing and Commission Approval. The parties' agreed-upon terms to govem the disposition of HECO's IRP-3 and the agreed-upon procedures to govem the development of HECO's IRP-4 were approved by Order No. 23312. With respect to the issue of Climate Change, provision number 10 of the stipulation stated:
10. HECO, the Consumer Advocate, and LOL agree that the issue of Climate Change requires attention throughout the IRP-4 process. In order to facilitate this, HEcO will conduct (as part of its IRP-4 process) a technical session with a panel discussion on climate change and global warming, and will perform a scenario analysis (or analyses) to analyze potential future requirements or utility costs arising out of measures that may be adopted to address climate change/global warming. The intent of the panel discussion is for HECO and the Advisory Group members to get a better understanding of the issues relating to global warming and how it should be considered in the IRP process. The Advisory Group members will have the opportunity to provide experts for this panel discussion and will be allowed to participate in a question and answer forum. HECO will include a copy of this panel presentation and discussions with its IRP-4 Plan filing, so that the information will become part of the record in the IRP-4 Docket opened by the Commission. (In order to include a copy of the panel discussion with the IRP-4 Plan filing, a transcript of this panel discussion will be prepared.) The Advisory Group also will have the opportunity to provide input to HECO regarding the climate change/global warming altemative scenario analysis (or analyses), and any climate change/global warming altemative resource plan considered in the lRP-4 process.
and 4) Incorporating Climate Change into the IRP Process. At least a 30-minute question and answer session was provided for each topic area for the public to ask their questions or state their concems.
'Olelo videotaped the session and a DVD copy is included as Attachment 3. HECO has also provided copies of the DVD to interested parties, including Legislators, State government officials and HECO IRP Advisory Group members, in addition to making copies available to both HELCO and MECO's IRP Advisory Groups.
In keeping with the theme of the technical session, 100 native Hawaiian trees were given to the audience and speakers. The trees were donated by HECO and grown at the Hui Ku Maoli Ola Native Hawaiian Plant Specialists in Waimanalo.
Advertisement of the Climate Change and Global Warming technical session was run in the following:
a. Honolulu Advertiser on June 3, 2007 b. Honolulu Star Bulletin on June 3, 2007 c. Pacific Business News on June 1, 2007 d. Honolulu Weekly on May 30, 2 007 e. HECO's website at www.hecoirp.com f. In HECO's Advisory Group meetings with a request to
each member to invite anyone whom they feel would be interested in this session
The information provided at the technical session is being filed to make this information a part of the record in the IRP-4 Docket. Furthermore, this information will facilitate future IRP Advisory Group discussion on developing climate changes/global warming alternative scenario analyses and altemative resource plans for consideration in the IRP-4 process.
Hawaiian Electric Company, Inc. Integrated Resource Planning Advisory Group Technical Session
Climate Change/Global Warming June 8, 2007 - State Capitol Auditorium
8:30 - 8:45 Opening Remarks • Moderator: Dr. Mike Hamnett, Research Corporation of UH
8:45 - 10:15 B a c k g r o u n d on C l i m a t e C h a n g e Issues • An Overview ofthe Greenhouse Gas Issue- Dr. Terry Surles, Hawaii Natural Energy Institute (30
minutes) • Hawaii's Greenhouse Gas Inventory- Dr. John Tantlinger, State ofHawaii, Dept. of Business,
Economic Deveiopment and Tourism (15 minutes) • Impact to Hawaii's Shorelines - Dr. Chip Fletcher, UH Dept of Geology and Geophysics
(15 minutes) • Q&A (30 minutes)
10:15-10:30 B r e a k
1 0 : 3 0 - 12:00 Policy Impl ica t ions for H a w a i i (15 minutes each speaker) • An Environmental Perspective - Mr. Henry Curtis, Life ofthe Land • A Utility Perspective - Mr. Robbie Aim, Hawaiian Electric Company, Inc. • A Legislative Perspective - Representative Hermina Morita, Chair ofthe House Committee on
Energy and Environmental Protection • An Economic Perspective -Dr. Jim Roumasset, UH Dept. of Economics & UHERO • Q&A (30 minutes)
1 2 : 0 0 - 1 : 0 0 B r e a k • Film Presentation, "Washed Away", Capitol Room No. 016
1:00- 2:45 O p t i o n s a n d S t ra teg ies for C o n t r o l l i n g G H G Emiss ions (15 minutes each speaker)
Renewable Energy - Dr. Dave Rezachek, Hawaii Renewable Energy Association Energy Efficiency - Mr. Brian Kealoha, Energy Industries What Each of Us Can D o - Ms. Shanah Trevenna, Sustainable Saunders From Belief to Behavior: Motivating Change - Mr. Jeff Mikulina, Sierra Club Feedstock for the Future - Dr. Barry Raleigh, UH Q&A (30 Minutes)
2 : 4 5 - 3 : 0 0 B r e a k
3:00- 4:30- I n c o r p o r a t i n g C l i m a t e C h a n g e in to the I R P Process (15 minutes each speaker) • How Does the Regulatory Process Work with Greenhouse Gas? - Mr. Carl Freedman,
Haiku Design and Analysis • How Does the State Govemment Play a Role? - Dr. John Tantlinger, DBEDT • What Kinds of Things Can Utilities be Doing? - Mr. Danen Kimura, Energy Industries • Q&A (30 minutes)
Climate Change/Global Warming June 8, 2007 - State Capitol Auditorium
Biographies and Synopsis of Lunch Time Film
Moderator
Michael P. Hamnett, PhD, is Executive Director of the Research Corporation ofthe University ofHawaii. He served as Director ofthe Social Science Research Institute at the University ofHawaii from 1996 until 2004, a Researcher in SSRI from 1986-1996, and as Deputy Director and Research Coordinator ofthe Pacific Islands Development Program at East-West Center from 1980-1986. He has 30 years of policy research, technical assistance, and training experience in the Pacific Islands region. He has organized and managed over 40 major public policy development, policy research, technical assistance and planning projects for Pacific Island govemments, the State ofHawaii, and US govemment agencies. These projects have focused on energy, climate variability and change, application of climate information to decision-making, coastal resource and environmental management, disaster preparedness and mitigation, and other public policy problems. Dr. Hamnett has served as Principal Investigator ofthe Hawaii Coral Reef Initiative Research Program since it was established in 1998; chair ofthe Statewide Hazard Mitigation Forum since it was established 1998; and co-chair ofthe Hawaii Energy Policy Forum since it was established in 2003. He was also team leader for the Hawaii Coastal Hazard Mitigation Projects (I992-I993 and 1994-1996); co-Principal Investigator for the Pacific ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) Application Center from 1994 to 2000; Principal Investigator on projects to assess the impact of climate variability on water resource management, health, fisheries, and disaster management in the Pacific Islands and served as General Secretary ofthe All Islands Coral Reef Coordinating Committee from 1994 until 2003.
Dr. Hamnett has authored or co-authored seven books, monographs and collected volumes, thirty-five policy and technical reports, and numerous articles and book chapters. His authored Natural Disaster Mitigation in Pacific Island Countries: A Policy Guide for Planners and Decision-Makers published by the UN Department of Humanitarian Affairs, and co-authored and edited Global Trends and the Future ofthe Pacific Islands published by the Asia Foundation's Center for Asia and Pacific Affairs.
Panel Session: Background on Climate Change Issues Dr. Terry Surles has been working in the area of climate change research and technology development since 1981. He is currently a Researcher at the University of Hawaii's Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, evaluating the opportunities for and impacts due to increased renewable energy systems on electricity grids. He is also leading an effort examining the potential economic impact related to the reduction of petroleum use on the state ofHawaii. He is also a consultant to the University of Caiifomia President's Office coordinating new regional carbon capture and storage efforts.
Prior to these activities. Dr. Surles was Vice President at the Electric Power Research Institute for Environment and at the Electricity Innovations Institute. For several years prior to EPRI, he was at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. He was Associate Laboratory Director for Energy Programs and then on loan to the Caiifomia Energy Commission as Director ofthe Public Interest Energy Research program. Dr. Suries came to Caiifomia as the Deputy Secretary for Environmental Research and Technology at Cal/EPA in 1997. Dr. Suries was at Argonne National Laboratory for many years prior to moving to Caiifomia and held a variety of positions, with the last being General Manager for Environmental programs.
He has a Ph.D. in chemistry from Michigan State University. He has numerous publications, technical reports, and presentations to his credit.
Climate Change/Global Warming June 8, 2007 - State Capitol Auditorium
Biographies and Synopsis of Lunch Time Film
Dr. John Tantlinger, Manager, Energy Planning & Policy Branch, Strategic Industries Division, State ofHawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism, has 25 years experience in strategic planning and policy development in the State of Hawaii in the public and private sectors. He has served for nearly 20 years in the Slate of Hawaii Strategic Industries Division. He manages the Division's Energy Planning & Policy Branch, which is responsible for energy planning and policy development; energy emergency preparedness; energy data analysis and computer modeling; and, advancement of advanced energy technologies for the State ofHawaii. He manages the Hawaii Energy Strategy Program involving Hawaii's energy industry, key stakeholder groups, and all levels of govemment. Since 1988, he has managed the State Energy Emergency Preparedness Program coordinating with industry and govemment to address issues of energy security and disaster response, including Homeland Security protection of critical energy infrastructure. He serves as Vice Chair ofthe Hawaii State Energy Council, the Slate's mechanism to coordinate energy emergency preparedness. The Council includes Hawaii's major energy companies -electricity and gas utilities, oil refiners, critical friel storers and distributors - specialized military units, and relevant agencies from all levels of govemment.
In 2002/2003, he led the project team of Stillwater Associates, National Conference of State Legislatures, and U.S. Federal Trade Commission, which conducted a comprehensive analysis of Hawaii's pefroleum industry and fuel markets, and produced DBEDT's report to the 2004 Legislature.
Dr. Tantlinger has published and presented numerous invited papers on U.S. and intemational energy plaiming and policy. He is Vice Chair ofthe Energy Security & Data Committee ofthe National Association of State Energy Officials. He is a retired U.S. Army officer (Infantry) who rose from the ranks. Dr. Tantlinger has traveled extensively, living in Japan for 5 years. He has a B.S. in Business & Management (Summa Cum Laude), University of Maryland, M.S. in Administration, Central Michigan University, Doctorate in Administration of Higher Education, University of Southern Caiifomia.
Dr. Charles (Chip) Fletcher has a Ph.D. in Geology at University of Delaware concentrating in coastal sedimentology and Pleistocene-Holocene sea-level change. He currently is Professor and Department Chairperson of Geology and Geophysics in the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST) at the University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu. Fletcher teaches graduate and undergraduate courses in Physical Geology and Coastal Geology. He also conducts research in remote sensing and coastal hazards. Dr. Fletcher's work is published in over 50 peer-reviewed, intemational scientific joumal articles and 20 books and reports. He heads the Coastal Geology Group at the University ofHawaii and has been principal advisor in the awarding of 18 graduate degrees (5 Ph.D. and 18 M.S.). Dr. Fletcher's research grants and contracts total $5M since 1992.
He is recipient of awards for teaching and in recognition of community service and research excellence. For his work in service to govemment agencies and local groups. Professor Fletcher was the 2001 recipient ofthe Robert W. Clapton Award for Outstanding Service to the Community awarded by the University of Hawaii, Board of Regents.; and 2006 recipient ofthe Hung Wo and Elizabeth Lau Ching Foundation Award for Faculty Service to the Community. In recognition of his professional accomplishments, he was elected Fellow ofthe Geological Society of America and in 2004 was identified by UH Manoa Chancellor's Office as a "Leading Researcher at UHM". Fletcher has served as past member ofthe UH-Manoa Faculty Senate and the Kailua Neighborhood Board where he resides with his wife and 3 school-age children.
Climate Change/Global Warming June 8, 2007 - State Capitol Auditorium
Biographies and Synopsis of Lunch Time Film
Panel Session: Policy Implications for Hawaii Henry Curris, Life ofthe Land, Executive Director, attended Queens College, City University of New York and has a B.A. in Theoretical (Mathematical) Economics, and completed his graduate course work but not his masters thesis for his M.A. in Theoretical Economics (graduate thesis focused on macroeconomic agricultural policy). Henry pursued his graduate research in Caiifomia, studying the intemational grain trade and agricultural commodity market fiitures. Henry became involved with the Caiifomia environmental movement, focusing chiefly on unsustainable agricultural policies. He moved to Hawaii in 1991, joined the Life of the Land Board in 1994, and became the Executive Director in early 1995. The major issues he focused on were land use and toxics. He served on military Restoration Advisory Boards (RAB) and Technical Review Committees for the Army, Navy and Air Force, serving as co-chair ofthe Hickam AFB RAB for 9 years. Henry has studied energy issues over the past 10 years, including the rise ofthe ethanol controversy, investigating all sides ofthe issue.
Robbie Aim, Hawaiian Electric Company, Senior Vice President Public Affairs. Bom and raised in Hawaii. Attended University of Iowa School of Law (Juris Doctor w/ Distinction), University ofHawaii (BA in Political Science), and University High School. Current community affairs include: Bishop Museum (Board of Directors), Boys and Giris Club ofHawaii (Board of Advisors), Community Links Hawaii (Board of Directors), Hawaii Nature Center (Board of Directors), Hawaii Public Television Foundation (Treasurer, Board of Directors), and Helping Hands Hawaii (Chair, Board of Directors).
Representarive Hermina Morita, Chair ofthe House Committee on Energy and Environmental Protection, member ofthe following committees: Consumer Protection & Commerce, Judiciary, Water, Land, Ocean Resources & Hawaiian Affairs. Attended George Washington University, University ofHawaii, and Kamehameha Schools. In 1997 she was awarded the prestigious Arthur S. Flemming Fellowship given to emerging political leaders in the country. She was the second legislator in Hawaii to receive this nationally recognized award.In June 2002 she received an honorable mention as a finalist for the Good Housekeeping Award for Women in Govemment. Representative Morita was awarded "Hawaii Legislator ofthe Year-2002" by the Sierra Club Hawaii State Chapter and "President's Award" by the Hawaii Audubon Society. In Fall 2002 she served as "Legislator in Residence" within the College of Social Science, University ofHawaii, Manoa. In 2003, Representafive Morita received a fellowship from the Eleanor Roosevelt Global Leadership Institute as one of twelve State Legislators selected nationally for a study tour of China focused on environmental, energy and trade issues and the EPA's 2003 Outstanding Environmental Achievement Award.
Rep. Morita also serves as a Board member for the following organizations: Council for Native Hawaiian Advancement, Legacy Foundation ofthe Pacific, Environment Hawaii, and Wai Ola. She also serves on the Advisory Board and as a volunteer for Kauai's Childem's Discovery Museum.
Dr. Jim Roumasset is a Professor of Economics at the University ofHawaii, Manoa, specializing in public policy analysis, and director of UHERO's research program in Environmental Economics and Sustainable Resource Management. He has published widely on sustainable development, efficient resource use, energy modeling, and the optimal control of global warming. He currently serves on the Chancellor's Sustainability Council and the UHM Climate Commission. He is currently pursuing several initiatives in transdisciplinary sustainability science through a cooperative agreement between UHM and research institutions in SE Asia.
Lunch Break Film Presentation: "Washed Away" "Washed Away" is a documentary from the National Film Board of Canada that examines how residents of Shishmaref, Alaska and Tuvalu in the South Pacific stniggle to cope with the disappearance ofthe land where they have lived for centun'es.
Climate Change/Global Warming June 8, 2007 - State Capitol Auditorium
Biographies and Synopsis of Lunch Time Film
Panel Session: Options and Strategies for Controlling GHG Emissions Dr. Dave Rezachek, is the associate development director for, and a fiill-time consultant to, Honolulu Seawater Air Conditioning, LLC.
Dr. Rezachek has more than 30 years of experience in energy and environmental systems research, design, demonstration, analysis and engineering and project management. He has been a registered professional mechanical engineer in the State ofHawaii for more than 21 years.
He has been a project manager for dozens of projects in the areas of renewable and conventional energy, energy efficiency and conservation, electric and hybrid vehicles, altemative fijels, energy and engineering education and environmental engineering. Many ofthese projects involved research, development, demonstration and commercialization ofnew and relatively untested technologies, systems and concepts. He has a B.S. in chemistry from the University of Minnesota, a B.S. in environmental technology and urban systems from Florida Intemational University, an M.S. in mechanical engineering from the University ofHawaii and a Ph.D. in ocean engineering from the University ofHawaii.
He is the owner of, and principal consultant for, Rezachek & Associates, an intemational energy and envirorm^ental engineering consulting group with its base of operations located in Hawaii.
Brian Kealoha has been active in energy efficiency and renewable energy since 1994. He is currently the Senior Vice President of Sales and Business Development for Energy Industries, a Hawaii based energy services company with offices throughout the U.S. and Asia. He has assisted thousands of businesses decrease their energy consumption and expenditures while reducing their carbon footprint. Mr. Kealoha is a Certified Energy Manager, Certified Lighting Efficiency Professional, and Certified Demand Side Manager. He has spoken at national conferences for the Department of Energy, Rebuild America, and was a lecturer in Maui Community College's Sustainable Technologies Program for several years. Prior to joining Energy Industries, Mr. Kealoha developed and supervised energy efficiency programs for Pacific Gas & Electric in Caiifomia and Avista Utilities in Washington. He was also employed by Maui Electric Company and served as project manager on a munber of projects ranging from the first utility owned combined heat and power unit in Hawaii to the first net energy metered photovoltaic system in Hawaii. Mr. Kealoha was recently honored by Pacific Business News as part of its Top Forty Under 40 leadership award for 2007. Mr. Kealoha holds a BBA in Marketing and Economics as well as a Masters in Business Administration from Gonzaga University.
Shanab Trevenna has worked as a Mechanical Engineer in Canada v/ith corporations such as IBM and Philips. Specializing in metering and process stream lining she has always had a passion for technology and efficiency. Concemed with the rise of global warming she tumed her skills to sustainability focusing on transforming ideas into tangible action. As a student at UHM pursing her PhD in Political Science specializing in Altemative Futures, Shanah now leads a devoted student sustainability group called the HUB standing for 'Help Us Bridge'. Their first project, Sustainable Saunders, will evolve a seven-story building housing the social sciences into a testing bed for solutions, serving as an inspirational model for the campus and beyond!
Jeffrey Mikulina is the Director of the Sierra Club, Hawai" i Chapter. He serves as the lobbyist for the organization and oversees the activities ofthe four Sierra Club groups in Hawai'i that have a combined membership of over 5,500. He retumed to Hawai" i after graduate study through a National Science Foundation Fellowship in engineering at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He has served as the Vice Chair of both the Honolulu Planning Commission and the Honolulu Charter Commission. Some of his accomplishments with the Sierra Club include passing legislation that requires returnable deposits on all beverage containers, increases the funding of natural resources through tourism taxes, and increases renewable energy use in the state.
Climate Change/Global Warming June 8, 2007 - State Capitol Auditorium
Biographies and Synopsis of Lunch Time Film
Dr. C. Barry Raleigh, got a Phd from UCLA and went to join the Research School of Physical Sciences at the Australian National University in 1963. He became a research Geophysicist in the USGS' Earthquake Research Program in Menlo Park, CA in 1966 where he and others demonstrated in 1967 that the Denver earthquakes were caused by injection of pressurized toxic waste at the Rocky Mountain Arsenal. Later Raleigh conducted an active earthquake control experiment at the Rangely Oil Field in westem Colorado in which he tumed earthquakes on and off by controlling the fluid pressure in the oil reservoir.
In 1982, Raleigh became Director of Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory where he started the Climate Research Center and initiated the Continental Drilling Program and the Greenland Ice Cap drilling program. He gave his first lecture on global warming in 1981.
Raleigh became the first Dean ofthe UH's School of Ocean, Earth Science and Technology in 1989. He is now a Researcher in the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute and President of HR Biopetroleum, Inc.
Panel Session: Incorporating Climate Change into the IRP Process Carl Freedman is the principal of Haiku Design & Analysis, a Maui consulting firm specializing in public utility regulatory affairs. Integrated Resource Planning (HIP) and economic analysis. Carl has been an active participant in Hawaii's energy utility IRP process since its inception. Carl was one ofthe stakeholders in the collaborative process that defined the principle characteristics of IRP in Hawaii in the PUC docket that established the existing IRP Framework. On behalf of the Hawaii Consumer Advocate, Carl reviewed and testified before the PUC regarding the first IRP's filed by each of Hawaii's energy utilities. Carl is now under contract with the Maui County Department of Water Supply to provide the technical and economic analyses for the IRP components ofthe Maui County Water Use and Development Plan. Carl is the Chair ofthe Regulatory Reform Work Group ofthe Hawaii Energy Policy Fomm.
Dr. John Tantlinger, (see above)
Darren Kimura is the Founder and Chairman ofthe Board of Energy Industries Holdings, Inc. Energy Industries Holdings is comprised ofa number of companies including Energy Industries a national energy services company, Sopogy a renewable energy technology company and 7 other energy companies. Mr. Kimura is a recognized expert in energy conservation and renewable energy systems and has been a speaker on global warming for the Department of Energy, and The Guam Energy Office. He is the President elect for the nation's largest energy association PLASMA, a co-chairperson for the Hawaii Energy Policy Foram and on the advisory group for Hawaiian Electric's Integrated Resource Plan. He is also a certified sustainable development professional.
For more information on Hawaiian Electric's Integrated Resource Planning, please go to w^'\v.hecoirTJ.com or contact us at irp(5jheco.com with your questions or comments.
Thank you!
Climate Change - A Primer on Energy and the Environment
Or: See you real soon, I'm off to the Thirty Years War
Terry Surles
• ^ Hawaii Natural Entrgy ln«timt»
IPCC Bottom Line on Climate Change
Warming ofthe climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global mean sea level.
• ^ Hawaii Natural Encfgy I n i t l t u f
Public-Private Partnerships Needed For Solving Critical Issues Facing Our Energy System
.* • '4 ;> , • " ] 1 ^ • •* i^*.-"'! I> • '< >",•
Grid Modamization 31obal Cilmats Change Energy Security EnvtronmenI Quality
These Issues Cannot Be Resolved Without Partnerships - The FRAM Oil Filter Commercial - "Pay me now... or pay me later"
• ^ Hawaii Natural EntrgY l"«lltul«
Main Points
Ovei^iew of greenhouse gas effect - the basic science
Recent IPCC and other scientific findings versus some Flat Earth Society folk - 2007 report - Projections for the future for the future
Many options are available to manage the GHG problem - Both technical and institutional opportunities - There is no silver bullet and none of them will be easy
We need to address this problem seriously now - Hawaii can be a leader!!
P ^ Hawaii Nalural Enaf^y I re t l t u f
Some History
1800s to 2005
• ^ Hawaii Natural Energy Instltut*
i i l
The Greenhouse Effect Was Quantified in 1861 The solar heat possesses... the power of crossing an atmosphere; but, when the heat is absorbed by the planet, it is so changed in quaiity that the rays emanating from the planet cannot get with the same freedom back into space. Thus the atmosphere admits ofthe entrance ofthe solar heat, but checks its exit; and the result is a tendency to accumulate heat at the surface ofthe planet."
John Tyndall
• ^ Hawaii Natural Enargy I r e t l l u f
The Earth is a Greenhouse Planet
Mars Earth (0.03% CO,) Venus (96% CO,)
-es^c IS^C Average Surface Temperatures
452°C
The combination of solar irradiance and greenhouse effect determines the mean surface temperatures of Mars, Earth and Venus. In the absence of the natural greenhouse effect, the average surface temperature of Earth wfould be -IQ^C.
• 4 Hawaii Natural Enargy Imtltuta
Source: CT. Bowman, Mechanical Engineering, Stanlonj
Earliest Predictions of Global Warming Due to Burning of Fossil Fuels Were in 1800s
• Hogboom (1880s) calculated emissions from anthropogenic sources and said that human activity was adding as much CO2 to the atmosphere as natural processes
• Svante Arrhenius (-1900) - Gradual accumulation over centuries could double atmospheric CO2 concentrations
• Additional concems in the 1930s (Callendar) and 1950s (Roger Revelle)
• ^ HawaU Natural Enargy Instibtta
iii
MAUNA LOA OBSERVATORY, HAWAII UONIHlY AVCRACE CARBON DIOXIDE CONCENT^AIION
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385 i
MLO-145 T T I ' P T ' T n T T i T ' r V ' T H
Charles David Keeling
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4:
Keeling and Whorf (2005) J I O R I I I I I I I ' I 11 ! ' I I I I I I H I I 1 I I I • i 1 11 I 1 I • 1 I ' I I • I I 111 J I I I I I • i ' I I I 1.1 I 11 I I i • I L I I I .. I I I I I I I . I 11 I I I I r I , I I, I i "
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1958 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 Y C A R rs-k..,-Di
Human and Natural Drivers of Climate Change
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(Note'that-.watervapdr is.a'GHG)-.;'
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Various Modeling Results for Historical Temperatures: The Infamous Inhofe/Barton/Crichton "Hockey Stick"
rr 0.5 -
I ^ -0.5
, p r , , , . . r , . r 1 , . . -Mann al al, 1960. raoonelruclJon (annual maan, lull hemlcphar*) Mann a[ al, 1900, roconi I ruction (annual mean. 30N-70N lallluda band) Jonaa al al, 1996, raconstmctton (summer, axtrairoplcal amphaaia) Brttta. 2000, raconatructlon (traa-ring donstry only, summsr, axlr«tmp4cal) Instrumanlal data (ar^nual rnaan, full hamisphara)
• ^ Hawaii Natural Energy Irwtltuta
The Uncertainty Is Whether the Future Will Be Bad or Worse
O i l l l C*iHI^HOMI*Ditat
GCM results for California go from relatively dry to extremely wet conditions
i»» •*• IM lilt i«4> nk ca> ttt* K * rtta'
m Hawaii Natural Enargy ln«tltuti
Most Recent Information/Analysis
2007 Inter-govemmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) - established in the early 1990s
Considerable amount of intemational infrastructure established following Rio Summit in 1992 - with support of Bush 1
• • Hawaii Natural Enargyl iul i tu
Drivers of Climate Change: It's Getting Worse
Annual fossil COj emissions increased from an average of 6.4 GtC per year in the 1990s, to 7.2 GtC per year in 2000-2005 COj radiative forcing increased by 20% from 1995 to 2005, the largest in any decade in at least the last 200 years (since the start ofthe Industrial Era)
• • htiwall Natural Enorgy Inatltut*
Global mean tempepatares.are risinatasierv/i ih itme Warmest T 2 years: years;
1998,2005,2003,2002,2004,2006, 2001.1997.1995,1999,1990,2000
Global-average radiative forcing estimates and ranges
Radiative Forcing Componen ts R F valuea [ W m ^ Spat ial acala
Long-kvad Br«annouaa g a t a a '
Rlramophor ia wa ta r vapour Trom C H ,
S u r t a c * al twOo
Ctoud BlbMo •naot
Lfriear conba l la
SlmlDaphartc
1 . e S [ l . A 9 l o 1.83]
0.4A [0.43 lo O.UJ 0 ,1«10 M i f O If)]
^ ) .0S [-0.19 10 0.051
O J S [O 25 IO 0 B9|
0J }7 [0.02 U J O 121
•o.ii.a.A loo.oj
0.1 10.0 10 0 2]
-O.BI -D.SI I l -3 .11
- 0 . 7 I - t . B t [ ) - 0 . 3 |
0.01 ( 0 . 0 O 3 t o 0 03 |
ConOnvntBl U g M u )
Cond nantmJ la global
n global
H \ ^
Mad - U M
Solar i i racl lanca o.i2[aoeioo.30)
Total nal an l h ropu^M i l c
1 . B [ 0 . 8 l u 2 . 4 |
-2 -1 0 1 RadlativB Forcing (W m'^)
Attribution
• are observed changes consistent with
Hexpected responses to forcings
^inconsistent with altemative explanations
P ^ Hawaii Natural Enargy Inatltuta
-o.s ' All forcing
- I D J - i -UCUhu 1
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 Year
- O i ;
- I D l 1900 1920 1940 I960 l9EtO 2000
Yeni
Observed widespread warming tjnutt h t M t m n o i v a
Global ocean
I 1955 ^ , ^ , , , 1980 2005
;;^;^^^Ja2S;rv/tJod^,:^ •: A- .. v„
rrMveiwyinlikelv'due to.khown .'.i-v--- ••fTv.natural causes.alone . *.-:' - - '" / rv:natural causes.alone. , . . ,
L ^ t . , ^ - , ' . - ' ; . i , ' ^ , ' . . - ^ •-•••- . - . • ]. - iJa 18
A Paleoclimatic Perspective
Paleoclimate information supports the interpretation that the warmth ofthe last half century is unusual in at least the previous 1300 years. The last time the polar regions were signiHcantly warmer than present for an extended period (about 125,000 years ago), reductions in polar ice volume led to 4 to 6 meters of sea level rise.
ES Hawaii Natural Erwrgy Initltuta
Projections of Future Changes In Climate
Best estimate for low scenario (Bl) is 1 .S^C {likely range is I.I^C to 2.9°C). and for high scenario (A1Fl)is4.0''C (likely range is 2.4°C to 6.4°C).
consistent with span quoted for SRES in TAR, but not directly comparable
P ^ Hawaii natural Enargy Inatltuti 20
10
Projections of Future Changes in Climate
Projected warming in 21st century expected to be
greatest over land and at most high northem latitudes
and least over the Southern Ocean and parts of the North Atlantic Ocean
• k htawall Natural Enwgy Irntltuta
B H un MI|Wlfc.JJM»»
Changes in Precipitation, Increased Drought
Significantly increased precipitation in eastern parts of North and South America, northem Europe and northem and central Asia. The frequency of heavy precipitation events has increased over most land areas - consistent with warming and increases of atmospheric water vapor Drying in the Sahel, the Mediterranean, southem AfHca and parts of southem Asia. More intense and longer droughts observed since the 1970s, particularly in the tropics and subtropics.
M M Hawaii Natural Enargy Irwiltula 2 ^ UM^c—warg*! M j r i im i i
22
n
^ •••: T F i T T - ^ e in PGin . Drought Is increasing . . . , . . ,. ._^
.: oyer^landtihtropics and-, , subtrdpic f r i^^
'the monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDS!) for 1900 to 2002.
The time series (below) accounts for most of the trend in PDSI.
23
1900 1920 1840 1960 19B0 2000
Extreme Weather
< HKJBsrT, » ^ i r N. acr-acr w I AilwUePa
%
•|NATURE|V6l436iii'August"2bbsi
Continued COj emission will lead to warmer sea-surface temperatures
Warmer sea-surface temperatures have been associated with increase hurricane intensity
m 1U0 1BS0 leoo ISTD i8at) leoo noo zoio
Ff f ioa 11 A mcatBra «f tha to ta l po«ar d i u l p a t t d an iwd ly by tr»p4caJ c y d o n c i In thaHer tb M t a n t k n h a p M f a r d b i t t a t l m h d a , PDDtomparwd l a S « p t m b e r M a i u r f K « t t m | M f « a r « 4 S S T > . T h c F D I h u b r a x n u k f i f i a l by l . l X 1D~ " and A i t SST, ot tahied from ihc i ladlcy CxMrr S n Ice ttnd 55T<iaU K t (H>d]S<rrr° , k i w r a i r d v m • b m bouniUd in I t i i n i i k b r 6* N and 1 > * N , I I M ] fn bnfJlDdc b f I O ' W i n d 60 'W. Rodi ^ i n t i a c i h n * bcim •iDOOlhcd twice l u i n f cqnfl iDn (J) .and • camtHnt o f i d h u bmn added l o t h t tanjWTMive d t ta ( b r n v o f a>np* r tMn . N M t that I O M I Atlantic hoir icaiM p a r r a dinipal ioQ hai n u n dian d o i i U i a the pai l M r r . 24
. T . . - M . < » n * f r
12
PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE CHANGES IN CLIMATE
Anthropogenic warming and sea level rise would continue for centuries due to the timescales associated with climate processes and feedbacks, even if greenhouse gas concentrations were to be stabilized.
Temperatures in excess of 1.9 to 4.6°C warmer than pre-industrial sustained for millennia...eventual melt ofthe Greenland ice sheet. Will raise sea level by 7 m. Comparable to 125,000 years ago.
Very likely that hot extremes, droughts, heat waves, and heavy precipitation events will continue to become more frequent
• ^ Hawaii Natural Enttrgy InatltuU 25
Technology and Policy Instruments - Solutions
Technology options
Recent policies in other states and countries
• • Hawaii Natural Enwgy Irutltuta 26
13
Technology is a Key: Significant Advances Needed to Achieve the Base Case
Tf;iL4i f ilP'f .'AVr,- • >
REmissions^. ^f.*f::; ; . where today's technology will take us
• 75% of electricity non-fossil • End-use efficiency increases
1%/yr 2050 • Electric generation 67% efficient • Passenger vehicles average
50mpg Where more advanced versions of current technologies wiil take us Path we need to be on to stabilize
if^ atmospheric COj
ITo stabilize atSSOppm. Carbon/$GpP must be <10% of today's bv 2100
• V Hawaii Natural Enargy Inslltut*
il 27
Carbon Management: No Silver Bullet, Need to Track Life Cycles
D e c a r b o n i z a t i o n CO, ^ — ? —
^ Btu
• Nuclear • Renewables
• ^ Hawaii Matural Enargy Inatftuta
iil --= •
S e q u e s t r a t i o n
< CO, atm
CO, emittod
Regional Partnerships Capture/storage
Efficiency Btu
< GDP
End-use Technologies
2S
14
Renewable Energy; The Big Picture
RE Technology
Wind
Solar PV
Solar Thermal
Biomass Combustion
Biomass Gasification
Ocean Energy
Status
Commercial
Commercial
Demo & Pre-Commercial
Commercial
Pilot & Demo
Pilot & Demo
2004 World Installed MW
47,600
3,900
370
20,000
<20
<20
Issues
Grid Integration
Conversion Efficiency & Cost
High Capital Cost
High Fuel Cost
Hot Gas Cleanup
Cost and Reliability
US Refrigerator Use vs. Time: Current Energy Intensity Trends Already Track
"Voluntary" Programs
3 S t » — I M t W n 1 l l * » W i l n i M T i 1 i » B i i i 30
15
Sequestration: Why Capture and Storage?
' c i i t i j id u>mt o»4Miihr co;
• 4 HawaU Natural Energy Inttltuta ^ 5 | Id— • Q w MM e i »t>riii nMTHn ••»>
Two major challenges for economically viable, environmentally acceptable CCS - Lower cost capture - Reduced uncertainty of
storage permanence, safety, etc.
Need resolve both to gain acceptance *^ keep coal as option Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership program - Focus OD saline
aquifers, EOR - Basalt formations as
R&D activity
Estimates of Global Capacity For Large Scale CCS Deployment Implies Usage of Deep Saline
Formations
a 1,000
\ 800 a
?.. 600
400
71 P 1
— J
Dooley, et al. Estimate of 200
Global Q R e s e r v o i r Coal Basins Depleted Oil Gas Basins Dsep Saline Daep Saline C a p a c i t y Plays Fonnation Formation-I HattallNatdra ES
Oral Energy Institute On-shore Off-shore ( ••« « Own (M • • • ( H H IM T
Sllda cour tesy of GTSP
32
16
A Number of Activities Are Underway to Address the Problem
• Kyoto Protocol - now in effect - European Union response to Kyoto
- Can we Ieam from Montreal Protocol?
• RGGI - Good news: nine states and institutions coming together in a bi
partisan fashion, offsets in place (SF6, landfill gas, end use efficiency, methane from animal waste, etc.)
- Bad news: very real concems about "leakage," only one sector (electricity) is planned for regulation
• AB 32 (California) - Good news: bi-partisan approach to address the problem
- Bad news: little prior knowledge of how to link aggressive public m ^ Hawaii ipftLiflafetff itecbnological realities 3,
iii rr::zr;r:
Carbon "Markets" - Need Source/Sink Baselines
Allowance markets ~ "Cap and t rade" programs that allocate GHG emissions that can be traded to achieve compliance goals.
AAU trading between countries under the Kyoto Protocol - EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS)
Worked efiectivcly for sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides in lhe USA
Credit markets - "Baseline and credit" schemes in which GHG "offsets" or "credits" are awarded for GHG abatement projects that reduce emissions against a project baseline and are traded and used for compliance purposes.
- Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (Jl) program
- Chicago Climate Exchange {CCX) and other voluntary schemes (RECs)
Carbon Tax - can govemment create level playing field
- Must be "fair" to all economic sectors - utilities, transponation, other sectors
Must be societally "fair" - carbon taxes will tend to be regressive taxes
P ^ Hawaii Natural Enefgy Initltule 2 5 | M M ^aMMP.<r.»i[» •• » j T i » i . i ^
34
17
European Union Emissions Trading Scheme - Overview
• Mandatory COj emissions "cap and trade" program. - Launched January 1, 2005. - World's first multi-national CO2 ETS and the world's largest emissions
trading program of any kind. - Establishes important precedents likely to impact development of future
GHG trading programs in the EU, the US and elsewhere.
• Designed to help 27 EU nations to achieve their Kyoto Protocol defined CO2 emissions targets. - EU combined CO; emissions target is 1990 levels -8% - Each nation has its own Kyoto emissions target based on the
EU's "Burden Sharing Agreement"
• EU ETS covers -46% of all EU COj emissions. Remaining CO2 emissions are covered by other "policies & measures."
• A. Diamant, EPRI
• ^ Hawaii Natural Energy Ingtltuta 35
HNEI Links R&D and Public Policy to Commercialization Process
Basic Research
& Development
National Laboratories
Universities
Collaborative Technology
Development Integration Application
[institutional
Technology Commercialization
Suppliers
Vendors
End Users
• • Hawaii Natural Enerov Insiltuta
Government 36
Driving to a Sustainable Future; Hawaii Can be a Leader
Environment
Energy
Economics
Equity
Education
Warming Won't Wai t Will We?
19
Hawaii's Greenliouse Gas Emissions Inventory
Dr. John Tantlinger Energy Planning and Policy Branch Manager State or Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism Strategic Industries Division http://www.hawa ll.gcft//dt?edt/lnfQ/enenjv
Presentation by Invitation of:
Hawaiian Electric Company (HECO) Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)
Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming
State Capitel Auditorium June 8, 2007
Overview
Hawaii's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory Project • Context and Purpose • Inventory Methodology and Assumptions Preliminary Update of 1990 and 2005 GHG Estimates - By Sector
Additional Information Sources
Hawaii's GHG Inventory Project: 1994-1998
Phase I - statewide Inventory GHG Emissions Estimates a start point for Greenhouse Reduction Strategy for state of Hawaii Phase I I -- Hawaii Climate Change Action Plan Joint project -- DBEDT Strategic Industries Division, and Department of Health Clean Air Branch (DOH contractor non-energy sectors: UH Environmental Center)
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency grant and assistance: • Identifying state's greenhouse gas emissions sources and
estimating overall contribution to global warming; • Assessing areas of state most vulnerable to climate change; and • Developing state-specific greenhouse gas mitigation strategies
Hawaii's GHG Inventory Project (1994-1998) Context and Purpose
Context • Part of national effort under U.S. Climate Change
Action Plan to meet U.S. goals under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Purpose • Inventory and understand Hawaii's GHG • Foundation of second-phase Hawaii Climate Change
Action Plan
• First step to developing mitigation measures
Inventory (Methodology and Assumptions
Methodo logy
Used data for energy use, industrial processes, agriculture, municipal waste management, crop w/aste burning, fertilizer use, and land use changes.
Formulae provided by USEPA to calculate estimated emissions of CO2, methane (CH^) and nitrous oxides N2O, the three principal GHG*
Reported global warming potential of CO2, CH^, and NjO emissions in short tons of carbon dioxide-equivalent (COjE)*.
Assumpt i ons
GWP factors provided by EPA at time: C02 = 1
• CH4 = 22 (now 21)
• N20 = 270 (now 310)
CO2 emissions from burning of bagasse, macadamia nut shells, and wood chips for electricity and process heat not included in total as fuels sequester CO; in growing stage and were assumed replanted
Hawaii estimate did not indude exported fuels or overseas uses
Excluded military aviation fuel emissions
'Note: Calculated precunor gases cmLsslons BtJmates: nitrogen oxides (NOx), a r t o n monoxide (CO), and nor-methane volatlle organic compounds (NMVOQ, but not part of GWP due to USEPA tools' then lack of axwerslon factors.
R a n t m b i Commtrc ia i Mu i t r i a l
Eltclrle ei>einc U B H I M { t n l PP>)
Sround TisntDortalion
Somi iUc Aviiilon mnd Mjrlna
in i imt t lon i l Avtailon and Marin*
Prallmlnary Estlmalt of Hawaii's Grcsnhous* Gat Emltslona In 1S90 and ZOOS Exprcascd as Global Warming Potential
8tHlan>fY/SufcCot iU
7.BB4,31S ,
| |a! t i '3?i^i l |M/
T r * n » p o r t t i l o n S u b t o M i
E N E R C Y T O T A L
i . i ^ i l ^ . y N O N i e N E R G Y S E C T p R ' ^ ^ ^ . ^ ? ;
Induiulal P r o c a i i a i : OIVGai Tram partition, ReTriing. Siorage
IrxtutiWI P r o c o x n C>w»ni Wanutacmring'
I n d u i l r l i l P r o e m * • Subtotal
MSW i<tanae«m*ni
M*(tei i i ( t*r Tiaauncni
Domatiic Animal*
Manur* Ma nag t m ant
Sugarcan* Burning
' * m i i * i U**
N O N - £ N E f < G Y T O T A L
TOTAL
3. BBS. BBS
3.S00.S91
e>3I.25S
1 4 , J 0 l . t 4 4
31 .1 )1 , I16
i^-aiiwsB
114,111
i . i a t . i e i
11.SB3
2T3.a7S
I7S.78B
31.fiSI
S0.B50
i . 7 > i . » »
I J 7 1 . M 2
B.039.BT1
,i,ii3ii,eTil 4.Sai.B07
3717.030
4.722.044
H , 4 1 1 , H 7
i4.743,a»C
,.^200S*t[iJ
S,1S7
1.701.ICU
23.62)
1S2.IIS
Sa.774
10.787
02.310
3,053,110
I 4 . t 2 S J 7 3 . : i , T « 9 , 7 4 0
F t i c t n a g * Chinp*
j j^:i i»M»Mr "
111.7%
|3!!B%I
21.3%
•4.2%
• 2 t . l %
•3.5%
•-".VJSl^iFL'J^J.^
t ! >« l l i n l na ry tE< t l i i i a tMS 'on "a 'Y ; I0 l>7 . ) i i . i i h to«u i yH i>
-•S.SX
4«.3%
10.>%
•10.B%
-sa.3%
• M . 3 %
1.4S
14.4%
Notes: I . Al BdmHes were olculitBt] isjng Ott rormulH and p ioadua Itwn the Slate Worlitoot HdJmliJbglp t v Esdnotlng CrtcnhouM C H Emtfors , S r o m EdUton, U5 Emiitnmcntal Pnucuon Agencv (USB"A) Offlce trf Polry, Planning, and EvabaUon, 199S, c a e t t at ditciased betaw.
2 Due to durcteiKcs nnpa r td to the Halntand ki Kawi l ' i d l DanscoiUtlon, rcAnIng, ind Borage rAteni l . and In its iitHv B** prpductton, i t u a g ^ tnitynHrior, ant dtartbuttoi tyOem, niuf l iY-cakculated cfnsslons csOmacci urtrc iscd for 1990. Thb nlue w n crtnpohced iuwinJ udng data on total all knpcils and uOlity g n n l s , the key vartatjies upon whlOi the estimates were based.
] . Tlie vakies reported b r 1990 m DBEDTt UMM Irrwitorv rf HtwMI Greenntase GM Emoiot t , EstUntta h r 1990, (Hashed in 1997, wen lecjKuUted isng updated data and new amws lon tetoif to catculate global wvmkig poMiOaL In late 1997, tne ractur lood to cmven t i m or methane (CH4] to tons tf Carun DkMdc-EquMlent (C02E1 was changed hom 22 to 71 and the conveison tacior for Mtnus Cbdde (N20) to torn Of C02E wai hcreated rmm 270 to 310 on the basts ol nndlngs of ttie Inteigonemmentil Panel on c inute Change and the use c^the newfaacnnsaccepted t>y the USEPA.
Energy Sector Remains Largest GHG Emission Source - Slight Improvement
1990
Energy - gz.SVo
2005
Oom* ale AvtaHon
and Wir in*
E n e r g y - 9 2 . 3 %
Preliminary Update of 1990 Inventory and 2005 Estimate: Other Limitations & Improvement Needs
I Acquisition of new data needed to enliance accuracy
I Data improvement needs • Diesel fuel use • Marine fuel use • Military fuel use in Hawaii • Fertilizer use
• Land use changes
• Data transparency
Meeting Regulatory Challenges: EPA-Hawaii Partnership
On February 12, 2007, Hawaii joined EPA's Clean Energy-Environment State Partnership • Includes 14 other states • EPA provi(des partner states with comprehensive technical
assistance in planning, policy, technical, analytical an(d information resources
• Also works to establish linkages to other federal programs that support clean energy-environment strategies
Reduction of GHG emissions is one of Hawaii's key areas • In late May 2007, EPA experts advised that EPA's state
emissions inventory estimation models not intended for regulatory purposes - emissions, baseline target-setting
• DBEDT and DOH working with EPA experts to develop improvements to Hawaii's models, as resources permit
Additional Information Sources
Hawaii Greenfiouse Gas Inventory, Estimates for 1990(1997)* • httpV/www.hawaii.gov/dbedt/info/energy/publications/
Hawaii Climate Change Action Plan (1998) • http://www.hawaii.gov/dbedtyinfo/energy/publications/
Hawaii Energy Strategy 2000 (2000) • httD://www.hawaii.qov/dbedt/info/enerQy/Dublications/he520QQ.Ddf
Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Ciiange • http://www.ipcc.ch/
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Climate Change Web Site • http://epa.gov/climatechange/index.html
*Note: Electronic Hie to be reposted on DBEDT website - expeaed download availability date: June 15, 2007)
Hawaii's Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory
I^AHALO!
Presentation by Invitation of:
Hawaiian Electric Company (HECO) Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)
Advfsory Group Technical Session Oimate Oiang^Global Warming
State Capitol Auditorium June 8,2007
Climate Change Impact to Hawaii's Shoreline
Sea-LeveC^se New research in 2007 indicates: 1. Doubled melting rate of Greenland ice sheet (57 cubic miles/year), 2. Net melting ofthe Antarctic ice sheet (36 cubic miles/year), 3. Global rise has exceeded 3.0 mm/yr, twice the rate last century, 4. Continued heating of atmosphere - heating of water column, 5. 1 m rise is now expected during this century. 6. 3°C temperature rise suggests 3-6 m sea-level rise in a century.
There are still major uncertainties in sea-level science, but these latest results are significant in that: 1. They do not point in the direction of smaller r^tes of rise, 2. They are consistent with the worse case of longstanding predictions, 3. Counter arguments grow fewer and fewer.
2) Antarctic ice loss 152km3/yr+/-80km3/yr
2002.5 2003 2003.5 2004 2004.5 2005 2005.5 Calendar Vear
JUUU T7 u uu vv -JU u u TT
150'OCW leo'co" ISO^CCE
3) Thermal expansion
200* AnfUioi Mxin SMac* T«mp*[qtvw Anomoti** {'Oj
:.i •; 1L 1 - i -2 .1 5 1 1.5 > 16
Contributions to sea level
• Alpine glaciers and ice caps: 0.5 m • Greenland: 7.2 m D West Antarctic: 5-6 m • Sea level rise due to ice melt? ...aSout haCf • Sea level rise due to ttiermal expansion?
...aSout fiaff
B Sea level budget poorly understood
0.6
O 0.4
^ 0.2 E o c < n <D ^ B
3
2 -0.2 (U o. E ^ -0.4
.... .
^ a.
N t Ac
2 -0.6
I I
Global Temperatures -•-: Annual Average
— ; Five Year Average
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Recent Sea Level Rise 23 Annual Tide Gauge Records — Three Year Average — Satellite Altimetry i
35
1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
-C^ 3.5 CO 0)
E 3 E Q) 2.5
C
^ 2 O
§ 1-5 (U
_ j
OJ 1 QJ 1 CO k * -
° 0.5 0)
. 4 -1
CC 0
' Correlation of rate of sea-level rise to temperature, 1881-2001
r /
• y
\
/ . •
^ \ y ^
. % • • • y
y
i ^ ^ l-^ ^
\ . / •
/ Rahmstorf, 2007 Science v. 315 /
-0.5 0
Warming above 1951-1980 mean
y
'
'
_
•
0.5
0
5
E- ° o
"ai ^ -5 ID - J 0)
CO , 1 0
^15
•
Sea-level change Red - smoothed trend Blue - computed from temp. Red points - unsmoolhed data
^
. ^ ^ . ^
< < ^ '
1B80 1900 1920 1940 1960 Year
y -A
• ^y^ '
•
1980 2000
Sea level history and projections 1990-2100 based on IPCC temperature range of 1.4 - 5.8°C
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
Sea level riseof 0.5 to 1.4 m by 2100
1900 1950 2000 Year
2050 2100
Flooding scenarios, Hawaii
B+1 m sea level rise B+0.44 high tide B+0.3 m heavy rain fall (April, 2006)
2371
22'N
21'N
201^
IP'N
IS'N
Surface Currents over Height (cm) NRL global NCOM glb8_2f
07-01-2003 OOZ OOOOm
L59'W ISS'W 157'W 156'W 155'W 154'W Velocity Scale: 30 cm/s . . (Firing and Mcrrifidd. 2004)
Hawai'i Climate Change Policy: An Environmental Perspective
Henry Curtis, Executive Director Life of the Land (LOL)
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change / Global Warming - June 8, 2007
Presentation Overview
• What Happens When Money Drives Social Policy?
• Climate Change Is Real
• Different Approaches
• How Do We Choose a Path?
• Issues: • * True Costs • * Externalities • * Artif icial Boundaries
• Impor tant Tools • * Greenhouse Input-Output Models • * Ufe Cycle Assessments.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Toclinical Session Climate Change/Global V /arming - June 8. 2007
MONEY
• Money can be used for good or for self-serving purposes.
• "Follow the money and it will reveal at! things"
• Truthiness is a satirical term coined by television comedian Stephen Colbert to describe things that a person claims to know intuitively or "from the gut without regard to evidence, logic, intellectuafexamination, or actual facts.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Cliniate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007
FOSSIL FUEL INDUSTRY
' Public Opinion Polls (early 1990s): global warming is real
Fossil Fuel Industry Campaign to promote skepticism
Global Climate Coalition (GCC) and 75 other front groups
' Funded In part by Exxon, Edison Electric Institute
" I t is difficult to get a man to understand something when nis job depends on not understanding it." — Sinclair Lewis
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8. 2007
CLIMA TE CHANGE I S REAL
The melting of Greenland and Antarctica will have enormous impact on the world.
If l/6th of Greenland melts, most of Waikiki and Kailua are submerged. So is the Reef Runway.
If 1/3 of Greenland melts most of downtown is under water.
SOEST website: local impacts due to sea level rise
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming • June 6, 2007
Fossil Fuel Industry
• Early Message ... what... climate change? ... too uncertain
• New Message: We can have both fossil fuel & climate change mitigation
• Capture waste stream • algae for biodiesel • hydrogen for fuel cells • sequester gases in soil, mines & deep oceans
• clean coal HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007
Biofuel Industty • Early Message: Solve energy crisis
w i th genetic engineering & biorefineries
• New Message: Life sciences wi l l solve our problems.
• Biofuels supported by Life Sciences industry (genetic engineers) and Fossil Fuel Industry (agricultural is very fossil fuel intensive).
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007
Self-Reliant Proponents
Real Renewables: wind, solar thermal, solar electric, wave, ocean thermal, sea water air conditioning
Smart Regulation: green pricing, smart meters, etc.
Energy Equivalence: 100 acres of biofuel crops = 1 acre of solar and 99 acres of food
• We can have both energy security and food security
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - Juno 8, 2007
HOW DO WE CHOOSE A PATH?
We are at a crossroads. There are many paths that we can take:
denial of climate change: fossil fuels
a modified fossil fuel path: biofuels
a true portfolio approach that is a combination of resources to provide stability, security, and self-reliance - a hybrid approach to providing the energy necessary for our communities.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June B, 2007
PATHS
Some paths lead to places we need to go, some to places that we should stay away from, and some delay the day of reckoning. We need a way to determine which paths are those that will help lead Hawai' I toward self-reliance.
Past Hawai'i paths: Mongoose, Miconia, Coqui Frog
With climate change, we do not have the luxury of venturing onto several wrong paths before getting onto a right path.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 10
D r . S h i m o n A W e r b U C h , me former Semor Advisor for Energy Economics, Finance and Technology with the International Energy Agency in Paris
• Surprisingly, IRP and similar processes have not engendered investigations and debates about appropriate procedures for valuing resource alternatives.
• While these processes raise all sorts of planning issues, everyone seems quite content to leave the seemingly arcane procedures for estimatinq levelized electricity (busbar) costs to the green-visor types witn little meaningful outside review/.
• This means that some of the firm's most important decisions are made on the basis of black-box output that few truly understand.
• Busbar cost comparisons tend to overstate the cost of renewable options relative to traditional fossil alternatives.'
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June S. 2007 11
EXTERNALITIES
• Businesses maximize both profits and sharetiolder returns by minimizing costs.
• One way of minimizing costs is to shift a cost from a business to society.
• This shifted cost is not evaluated in comparing alternative energy futures.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 5. 2007 12
Consumer Advocate
Q. Are you concerned with taxpayer and ratepayer impacts.
A. No. Just ratepayer impacts.
Questions by Life of the Land, Answers by the Consumer Advocate
HECO's proposed 2009 Campbell Industrial Pari< power plant
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 13
Boundaries * Limitations * Reductionism
• HECO decreased its carbon emissions from 1990 to 2007 but increased its use of third party power.
• Cars spew toxics out of the tailpipe but toxics are also used to make the cars and the roads.
• Buildings consume energy not only in their use, but in their construction and demolition.
• More greenhouse gas emissions arrived in the atmosphere from natural processes that from industrial processes.
• By limiting the discussion to a narrow subset of an industrial process, tne wrong solution is often arrived at.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 14
7776 social costs of biofuels: Greenhouse gases: Indonesia #3 in world for greenhouse gas emissions. Destroying rainfore burning peat soil to create palm oil plantations
• Labor: Malaysia is using imported labor to grow palm oil, some grown on land that was destroyed to grow rubber.
• Indonesia and Malaysia: 85% of world palm oil trade.
• Brazil's Amazon rainforest is being used for both soy oil production, and to plant agricultural crops displaced by sugar plantations
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 15
Measurement Uncertainty
• Agricultural releases of
• Non-Point Source Water Pollution • Greenhouse Gas Emissions
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate ChangeyGlobal Wanning - June 8, 2007 16
8
Faulty Measurement Assumptions
• Biofuels are carbon neutral
• Fossil Fuels should have a carbon tax of $0/ton
HECO IRP Advisory Gnsup Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007 17
Economic Input-Out Models
Traditionally, input-output models are used to determine how employment and income change due to a change in a given input.
When goods are purchased, the employees, the owners, and the stockholders all gain, the store must buy replacement goods from upstream, etc.
Accounting for all primary, secondary and tertiary impacts allows DBEDT to calculate the economic multiplier effect for a given action.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007 18
Greenhouse Input-Out Models
• Constructed to determine how greenhouse gas emissions change due to a change in a given input.
• Japanese researchers have built a greenhouse gas input out model
• More work Is needed
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 19
Japanese Greenhouse 10 Model
• Energy Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emission Intensities Based on Input-Output Analysis
• Center for Global Environmental Research (CGER)
• Kyoto University Graduate School of Energy Sciences
• www-CQer.nies.qo.ip/cQer-e/db/d031 e/3eid e.html
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 20
10
Life Cycle Analysis
Life Cycle Assessments measure the total impact from cradle-to-grave, or, in the case of recycling, from cradle-to-cradle.
The energy and other resources needed to make a good include mining raw materials, processing raw materials, making the product, using the product, and disposing of the product.
It includes the infrastructure needed and the labor employed.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007 21
Life Cycle Analysis re Energy. Cars: Manufacture vs. Use Carnegie Mellon University, 1998 www, ilea, orq/lcas/madeanlave 1998. html
Energy Toxics
' * ' ' * * • InMnnca M . U I U J M.S53UJ i t h g
Finl c fO* I InKTWica 20 ^ \ I / OSiQ
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007 22
11
Life Cycle Analysis: Electric vs. Gasoline Cars Seikei University, Tokyo (2001)
www.ilea.ora/lcas/taharaetal20Ql.html
HECO IRP Advisory Gnjup Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 23
Alternative Scenarios
Fossil Fuel Scenario
Ethanol Scenario
Ocean Power Scenario
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8. 2007 24
12
Fossil Fuel Scenario
Fossil fuel is extracted from Indonesia, sent by oii tanker to Hawaii, and refined by Chevron and Tesoro.
These refineries rank Sth and Sth, respectively, on the EPA's Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) for Hawai' i facilities.
The refineries make bunker fuel which is then burned at Kahe or Waiau, which ranks #1 and #3, respectively, on the TRI list.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning • June 8. 2007 25
Ethanol Scenario
• HECO imports ethanol made by Kauai Ethanol LLC.
• Each gallon of ethanol is made from biomass grown at Gay & Robinson and mixed with 4.18 pounds of imported Australian coal.
• In terms of BTUs, the coal represents 58-63% of the energy content of the ethanol.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wamiing - June 8, 2007 26
13
Ocean Power Scenario
A Sea Water Air Conditioning system is constructed with pipes located between the ocean, Waikiki, and UH Manoa.
A reinforced concrete Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) barge is located 2.9 miles off Kahe Point with a transmission line to the Kahe Transmission Substation.
The SWAC 8i OTEC systems use ocean water as a source of thermal and electric energy.
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 27
State Law & Mother Nature
• state law: fossil fuel scenario is fossil fuel and biofuel and ocean power scenarios are renewable
• All three systems use some fossil fuels and all three systems release greenhouse gases
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wamiing - June 8. 2007 28
14
Life Cycle Analysis
Minimal greenhouse gas emission analysis:
Petroleum extracting; coal mining; soil-atmosphere interactions from growing crops; shipping petroleum, coal and palm oif; making concrete; refining petroleum; converting coal and biomass into ethanol; burning bunker fuel and ethanol.
Units: Tons of C02 equivalent per MWh of electricity produced or displaced averaged over the life cycle of the facility or process
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 29
CarlSagan
• "Anytliing else you're interested in is not going to happen i f you can't breathe the air and drink the water Don't sit this one ou t Do something. Vou are by accident o f fate alive a t an absolutely critical moment in the history o f our p lane t "
HECO IRP Advisory Gnaup Technical Session Cliniate Change/Global Wamiing - June 8, 2007 30
15
Contact Information
• Henry Curtis • Executive Director • Life ofthe Land • Henry,LifeoftheLand@gmail,com • Cell: 808-927-0709 • www.lifeofthelandhawaii.ora
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8. 2007 31
16
Nov. 8, 2006
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i
> Reduce carbon emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 > Inqjlcmentation Task Force (recommend specifics)
• 4nienibCT5froraaffectedbusinessseclor3, deputy direclor of DOH's Environmental Health Administration (or designee), director of DBEDT (or designee), 2 membeis from UH's CCC, 2 members from environmenlal organizations
• Cost effective rules and market-based mechanisms to achieve targets
> Role of DOH • Work with DBEDT to "update" 1997 inventory of emission sources by
December 31.2008
• Establish limits, especially for electncity gen and auto emissions
• Monitor and enforce compliance
June 8,2007 httpy/www uhcio hiwHi edxi #
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Market-based incentives for carbon cao & trade?
> Carbon tax: what price?
> Cap and trade (e.g. European Union, Caiifomia) • Cap quantity at below current level; gradtially reduce to
1990 level. Market decides the price.
June B. lOOT httpJIwww ti)cn> hnvaii olu
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Nov. 8, 2006
Limiting Emissions: ~ • ns and Questions MTTg!»=lil«llil>BM¥il»lrari
> 1990 inventory: How to update DBEDT inventory? Who will certify? (Capture theory)
> Give away initial allocation: • 1990 emission levels for all existing firms. Problem:
technology has changed. Industries that have switched since 1990 or are switching to energy efficient technology anyway get windfall profit.
• Cost-effective conqjUance (marginal avoidance cost is equal across firms)
> Auction peimits: revenue can be used for lump-sum tax rebates for carbon emitters or general taxpayers.
June t, 2007 hapJ/www.uhcn> tiiwui.cdu
Regulated Sources
> Electric utilities > Gasoline (refining + imports)
> Non-electricity industrial energy > Other commercial energy > Military and other large users
> Medium and small-sized business. How small?
June S. 2007 hop://* '.uhcn> luwiii edu
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Nov. 8, 2006
Three ways of meeting target
1. Reduce emissions among regulated sources
2. Reduce emissions among unregulated sources (apply for and sell credits)
3. Offset credits for sequestration
> HB 226 does not distinguish these. (Further legislation?)
> Sequestration: requires reliable benchmarking
> Unregulated Sources: requires certification (claims adjustor)
June g, 2007 hnpy/www uhoo hawtii edu
Nov. 8, 2006
SB 3185
> Renewable Portfolio Standards (6/2/06): By 2020, 20% net energy sales must be represented by renewable energy. Minimum 10% from TGJ\ewab\e generation of electricity (e.g., H-Power) • Rest can come from "renewable savings" brought about by use
of heat pumps, solar water heaters, etc. that "replace" electricity-using devices. (You can count devices installed in the 80s.)
> Achieve 10% (minimum 5% from generation) by 2010.
June S, 2007 htip//www lAeiD bawsii edu
> Renewable generation already around 6%. If renewable savings comprise at least 4% of net electricity sales, then HECO (mcluding HELCO and MECO) has already met its 2010 requirement.
June B, 2007 hOpJIvww ubero hcwtii edu
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Economic Approach to Energy Transition and Carbon Reduction: Price Incentives
> Efficiency pricing: charge marginal cost for the marginal units. Intramarginal blocks and hook-up charge can be adjusted for normal retums.
> Transparent billing
June B, 2007 http//www uhcni hawaii edu
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Nov. 8, 2006
Peak-load Pricing (e.g, con Ed of NY, PG&E of CA)
Peak demand Quantity
June g, 2W7 hap://www.uhcro hawaii odu
Nov. 8, 2006
Demand Management avoids
Capacitv Expansion
> Flex contracts (e.g. Caiifomia fridge control)
a) Flat rebate (Hawaii)
b) Proportional rebate (preset prices)
c) Proportional rebate (peak load prices)
hop /'www uheio hawui edu
Block Pricmg
Price
1" block
^
June 8, 2007
1 ^ b l o c k \ \ /
.. -•--'''' Demand
hap^/www uhcn) htwtii edu
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Net Metering for Renewable Generation
> Reconciliation period should allow more complete banking (e.g. a Sept. 30 ending date would fail to compensate consumers with summer surplus)
> Monthly fixed customer charge ($7) should be minimal (reading meter and billing).
June S, 2007 hnpy/www.idicTO hawaii ettu
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Nov. 8, 2006
Incentivize and Facilitate: Don't Dictate
> The man of system ... is so enamoured with the supposed beauty of his own ideal plan ... that he cannot suffer the smallest deviation from any part of it. ... He seems to imagine that be can arrange the different members ofa great society with as much ease as the hand arranges the different pieces upon a chess-board. He does not consider ... that. In the great chess-board of human society, every single piece has a principle of motion of its own, altogether different from that which the legislature might choose to impress upon it.
~ Adam Smith > Uniunded mandates
• Redundant • Unintended consequences
> Get the prices right, including environmental costs
JujK S, 2007 httpV/www liiaa hawui.cdu
Nov. 8, 2006
Mahalo!
(Any conclusions and/or opinions herein are not necessarily those of UHM or UHERO)
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu Copyright UHERO 2006
Renewable Energy Options and Strategies for Controlling
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
David Rezachek, Ph.D., P.E. Hawaii Renewable Energy Alliance (HREA)
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change / Global Warming - June 8, 2007
Presentation Overview
Renewable Energy - What It Is and Why It's Needed
- Renewable Energy Resources
- Renewable Energy Development Potential on Oahu
* Status of Conversion Tochnologlos
' Learning Curve Analysis
- Life Cycle Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Benefits
* Sourca-to-End Use (Pathway) Analysis
- Comparative Benefits of Various Renewable Energy Technologies
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global WanTiing - Juna 8, 2007
Renewable Energy
What It Is - Renewable Energy is energy derived from resources
that are regenerative or for all practical purposes cannot be depleted
Why It's Needed - Abundant - Diverse - Available locally - Reduces the need for fossil fuels - Reduces greenhouse gas and other emissions
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 6, 2007
Renewable Energy Resources
Biomass / Biofuels Geothermal Hydroelectric Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) / Landfill Gas Ocean Thermal (Seawater Air conditioning [SWAC] / OTEC) Solar - Electric (Photovoltaic [PV]) - Thermal (Water Heating / Process Heat)
Wave Wind
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007
Factors Affecting Renewable Energy Development Potential
• Resource Availability -Spatial (Where) -Temporal (When)
• Resource Intensity • Status of Conversion Technologies •Cost
- Current - Future (Learning Curve Analysis)
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007 5
Status of Conversion Technologies
Research Stage
Demonstration Stage
Commercially Available
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Changs/Global Warming • June 8, 2007 8
Learning Curve Analysis
• Learning curves, learning-by-doing curves, or experience curves provide a means for assessing potential future cost reductions in a particular technology
• A technology learning curve defines the unit cost of a given technology as a function of the cumulative production (total installed capacity)
• It can be expressed as the equation: - uc = a*CC-b
• Where: - UC = Unit cost - cc = Cumulative capacity in numbers of standardized units - b = Learning index - a = Unit cost of the first unit
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8. 2007
Learning Curves for Selected Consumer Products
Air Bag
Antl lock -- Brakes
o 4-o
Bular Phona
Personal comp\jfer
70's aO's 90's OO's
HECO IRP Advisory Gnsup Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June 8, 2007
Learning Curve for PV Power Modules (197B-2001)
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warning - June 8, 2007
6 0 |
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Residential Grid Parity on Kauai @ 2 kW
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HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - Juno 8, 2007 10
Smal l -sca le Ut i l i ty Gr id Par i ty on Oahu @ 5000 kW
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-PVE(oc{l.OWl
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-PVEIec(AN«rage)
•AEC (HiDh)
-PV Elec {Kitfi}
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 6, 2007 11
Renewable Energy Development
• Near-Term (0-5 years) (2007-2012) - Solar Thermal (Water Heating / Process Heat) - Wind - Seawater Air Conditioning (SWAC) - Biomass (MSW & Co-Firing? & Biofuels?)
' Mid-Term (5-10 years) (2012-2017) - Wave - Residential Utility-Intertied PV on Neighbor Islands - Commercial-Scale PV - OTEC (5 - 10 MW module)
• Long-Term (10-20+years) (2017-2027+) - OTEC (100 MW) - Residential Utiiity-lntertied PV on Oahu - Utility-Scale PV?
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Changs/Global Wanning - June 6, 2007 12
Renewable Energy Potential on Oahu
T«chnolooy
OTEC
MSW -•• Biomass Co-flrlng
S*awat«r Air Conditioning (SWAC)
Solar Thtrnul (SWH)
Wind
Wav*
PV
TotaU
Oahu Us«
RE a* N of Odhu Electricity Use
Annual Production
tMilllon kWh/vr)
701
342
319
280
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IS
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100,000 Systems
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o.eo
0.66
0.62
-
0.32
0.40
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-
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Fraction of Oahu
RsncwabiM I'M
36.8
17.9
18.7
14.7
7.4
4.8
1.9
100.0
-
-
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Waming - June 8, 2007 13
Life Cycle Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Benefits
• Full fuel cycle (pathway) analysis needed to give an accurate picture of: - Energy Benefits - Emissions Benefits
HECO IPP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wanning - June S, 2007 14
Pathway Analysis
Pathway analysis is used to determine the total fossil fuel energy displacement and greenhouse gas (CO2) emissions reductions of renewable energy systems, from the fuel source to the end use
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Wamiing - June 8, 2007 15
Pathway Analysis for SWAC Crude Oii / Refining / LSRFO / Electricity Generation / End User
(Seawater Air Conditioning)
4.42 4.00
Ptoductlon Shipping fbllnlng Bsctr lu l Trantmlai lon Gent ration &
attribution 3.92
3.53
l - O 1.00
31.9% \ ^ m 88.8% '
Bectricity End Uter
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 16
8
100,000 Tons of Seawater Air Conditioning Will Reduce:
Electricity use by 344 mil l ion kWh par year
Fossil f u t i energy us t by 4.6 tri l l ion Btu p t r year
Crude oil us* by 7d5,000 barrels per year
Greenhouse gas (COi) emissions by 377,000 tons per year
This is equivalent to: 123 megawatts of uilllty-scala w ind t n t r g y
187 msgawatts of utility-scale photovoltaics
87,000 two-Kilowatt residential photovoltaic systems
60 megawatts of utlhty-scale wast«-to-«n*rgy
52,000 SUVs taken oft tt i« road
115.000Toyota Rhus HEVs
247 mil l ion gallons of Imported, corn-based ethanol per year
SB mil l ion gallons of local, cellulose-based ethanol per year
123,000 residential solar water heating systems
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climale Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 17
For Additional Information, Please Contact:
David Rezachek. Ph.D., P.E. Associate Development Director
Honolulu Seawater Air Conditioning, LLC 7 Waterfront Plaza, Suite 400
500 Ala Moana Blvd. Honolulu, HI 96813
Cell Phone: (808) 282-5594 Telephone: (608) 543-2024
Fax: (808) 543-6403 EmaiH: [email protected]
Emall2: [email protected]
j ^ Honolu lu Seawater Air Condidoning , LLC
HECO IRP Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming - June 8, 2007 18
How Energy Efficiency Can Cool The Planet
HECO IRP Advisory Group Options and Strategies for Controlling
GHG Emissions
Brian Kealoha. CEM
#iNi^y
Energy Consumption by U.S. Buildings
fSETT--
72% of U.S. electricity consumption 54% of U.S. natural gas consumption 38% of U.S. carbon dioxide emissions
.U.S. buildings alone are responsible for more CO2 emissions than total CO2 emissions of any other country in the world except China
ENERGY i B J l f i > . - « J : — » a
Source- EIA Buildings Energy Databook 2005
U.S. COo Emissions
By Sector
6000
, ;, Qajg^^jl...'
Sector Emissions
ENERGY
By End Use Commercial Emissions
Ochar l iX
Elecuonki t x
Ushtlni 2SK
Residential Emissions
Odi r r i4X
Elccirontu i X
U(hilnt t3X
Source: James McMahon Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
•sy-ri-:
The cost of a kilowatt
saved is less than one-
third the cost of a kilowatt
supplied
Energy Efficiency's potential is greater than all Renewable Energy systems COMBINED
Potential Emissions Reduction (MtQ by2030
Biofuels 58
Sourcvi Tockllng ClhnDt* Chango In tha ( 1 ^ .
hMpt/Aww«uisos.ors/ellntatoehano»
ncentrating solar power
63
ENERGY
I Energy Efficiency FIRST ESETXI
The Institute for Local Self-Rellance recommendsthis hierarchy ior community-wide carbon reduction efforts
• Target direct GHG emissions locally by implementing: - All cost-effective energy efficiency measures - Onsite renewable energy - Switching to cleaner fuels
• Target indirect emissions of GHG emissions in the electricity and transportation sectors
Purchase carbon offsets and/or renewable energy credits
A> ENERGY
The Potential
Net Electricity Savings
f rom Common Sen»
Efficiency Policies
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i f M
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ENERGY
BK-yV'-ygJ-Jl .
It has been shown that energy efficiency alone can offset growth of energy demand Paired with renewable energy, significant greenhouse gas reductions are achievable
How much does this cost?
ENERGY IBJB.BIM.-«J!»ra;^
Cost For One Year
CFL -20 watt
10,000 hours
• Initial Cost $6
• Replacement - $0
• Energy $26 @ $.15
TOTAL COST:
$32
ENERGY
Incandescent - 75 watt
1,000 hours
• Initial Cost $.50
• Replacement - $4
• Energy $98 @ $.15
TOTAL COST:
$102.50
Barriers to achieving widespread energy efficiency
Value Engineering - First cost driven sacrifices efficiency Initial Capital Outlay - Even if it pays for itself, where do you get the money
to start? Products that don't live up to the hype - Fly by night mainland companies with unproven
products and track record can ruin a good technology Hawaii factor - Added expense and limited availability
<^ ENERGY
What actions can be taken to significantly increase implementation of efficiency?
Increased education and awareness programs by governments, utilities, and community groups State tax credits for energy efficiency in addition to renewable energy - Federal tax deductions exist, but nothing from the state
Low/no interest financing - Interest rate buy downs or utility/DSM revolving fund - special purpose revenue bonds
Allow the state agencies to capture the benefits of energy efficiency projects - Preserve electrical budgets - Allow agencies to capture the rebate
ENERGY [ • . • • • • • W ; I 1 C
ritSi-"-:
The top 3 energy efficient measures you should implement in
your home
•
I Install a Solar Water Heater mji.?f.?
Most cost effective way to significantly reduce your electric usage 35% State tax credit 30% Federal tax credit $1,000 HECO rebate Pay As You Save
ENERGY [ • . • • ' • 'W iP»» '
VKESS^:
Use Compact fluorescent
Lamps 10,000 hour average life 75% less energy than incandescent
GE/HECO promotion Less heat
Use •^"^'ffC^
Appliances
ENERGY-STAR
ENERGY
Look for Energy Star on: - Refrigerators/Freezers -Washer/Dryers -A/C
- Dishwashers -Ceiling Fans
HECO rebates available
I Commercial and Industrial energy efficiency game plan
1. Commissioning and studies 2. Lighting Retrofitting 3. Energy Management Systems 4. Variable Frequency Drives / Pumps /
Motors /
5. HVAC Retrofits
Chan courtesy of Dr. Sam Rashkin EPA Energy Star PTCigram
Focus on sizing, operations and control
^ENERGY
Top measures for commercial and industrial facilities
Lighting
Variable Frequency Drives and Motors HVAC systems Energy Management Systems and Controls
Water Heating
Refrigeration
»M») V ; -^:'.
ENERGY
Wf^fJT^
"The Most Expensive Thing We Can Do Is Nothing"
We are all responsible for the solutions
ENERGY
One GREAT Reason Cm |r»At n«viii Khr ILT tincyr JnddMntt t*vn a r t t m mich ibvut •w x r t If n M i n i n H I wnlof t l v •*•>« • • • U l n n a M • U m .
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For More Information:
Brian Kealoha Energy Industries
The Evolution of Energy
brian.kealohaigienerqy-industries.cofn
www.enerqv-industries.corn
(808)839-7300x106
Cvataai Mlww fciti i t i r tm».Tt«a«i i« i<T I B J M U I M J
10
FUTURE FUELS
And C02 Sequestration
Oil: The Main Issue
Most energy uses do not require oil Transportation does require oil By 2030, demand will exceed supply by 10 billion bbl/yr Source: Royal Dutch Shell
Chevron's Predictions
Millions of bbis/day
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
The impact of unconventional petroleum
By 2025, 2 billion bbls/year will come from tar sands and oil shale. The Increase in C02 over conventional oil will be 2 gigatons per year. Gas-to-liquids will yield 700 million bbls/a with an increase over conventional oil of 350 million tons/a of C02 All the U.S. coal-fired plants currently produce 2.4 gigatons of C02
Figure 48. World Coal Consumption by Region, 1980-2030
Billion Short Tons
10-
8-
6-
4 -
2-
History
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1980 1990 2003 2010 2020 2030 Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA),
International Enargy Annual 2003 (May-July 2005), web site www.eia.doe.gov/iea/. Projections; EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy MaH^ets (2006).
Global Coal Consumption and C02 sequestration
• The lEA projects an annual increase in consumption of 5 billion tons of coal by 2030 for an annual increase of 18 billion tons/year of C02.
• Sequestration by injection into depleted oil fields, deep brine formations, coal mines, even deep ocean, and BIOLOGY
Forests
Trees consume C02 and store carbon. How many trees are needed to offset the C02 generated by unconventional oil production and increased coal consumption by 2030? Best estimates are 50 trees per ton of 002 removal per year. At an average annual increase of 002 of 8.5 gigatons/a over the current 30 gigatons/a, how many trees do we need to plant to stabilize emissions? We would need 13,000 trees per second to be planted, and, by year 2030,19 billion acres of new forest would have been planted. About 4x land area ofthe U.S.
Biomass Fuels
Ethanol can be produced from biomass of most origins, green waste, waste paper, switchgrass, sugarcane, etc. Fermentation gives back half the carbon as C02 when ethanol is generated. No. and So. Dakota covered in switchgrass would be needed to absorb a net gigaton of C02 per year.
Biodiesel
High energy density fuel, acceptable in current diesel engines, blended or not, and compatible with fuel distribution infrastmcture with negligible disruption. Meets CAA standards with no sulfur, small particulate exhaust content, lower CO. Can be generated from vegetable oils, animal fats at about $2.60/gal. Most productive land plant is the oil palm, about 5X the best seed crop per acre in oil production. For Hawaii, ground transportation fuel alone would require all of Oahu and Kauai to be covered in oil palm.
BIOFUEL
Biodiesel (rape)
Ethanol (wheat straw)
Ethanol (wheat)
Electricity (miscanthus)
Ethanol (beet)
Biodiesel (MICROALGAE)
Biodiesel + Biogas (MICROALGAE)
Energy production from microalgae
cultivated biofuels.^ "Gross energy
Gross
40.3
24.2
61.1
66.7
117.2
2,495
3.371
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22.7
24-9
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48.5
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1.0
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^ compared to representative
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J energy
compares
What Can Government Do?
Revenue-neutral tax on gas guzzlers Mandate energy retrofit of gov't bidgs Mandate net metering - 100%! Require solar water heating on all new construction. Tax gasoline but make it revenue neutral so that bus riders can save on their Income taxes
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Panel —Incorporating Climate Change Into the IRP Process
How Does the State Government Piay a Role?
Dr. John Tantlinger Energy Planning and Policy Branch Manager State of Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism Strategic Industries Division httD://www.hawaH.QQv/dbedt/lnfo/enerav
Presentation by Invitation of:
Hawaiian Electric Company (HECO) Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)
Advisory Group Technical Session Qimate Change/Global Warming
State Capitol Auditorium June 8, 2007
Panel —Incorporating Climate Change into the IRP Process
How Does the State Government Play a Roie?
Dr. John Tantlinger Energy Planning and Policy Branch Manager State of Hawaii Department <^ Business, Economic Development & Tourism Strategic Industries Division http ://www. ha wall.Qov/dbedt/l nfo/enerqy
Presentation by Invitation of:
Hawaiian Electric Company (HECO) Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)
Advisory Group Technical Session Climate Change/Global Warming
State Capitol Auditorium June 8, 2007
state Energy Objectives § 2 2 6 - 1 8 , Hawa i i Revised S ta tu tes . Ob jec t i ves and pol ic ies f o r
fac i l i t y systems—energy, (a) Planning for the State's racility systems with regard to energy shall be directed toward the achievement of the following objectives, giving due consideration to all:
(1) Dependable, effident, and economical statewide energy systems capable of supporting the needs of the people;
(2) Increased energy self-sufficiency where the ratio of indigenous to imported energy use is Increased;
(3) Greater energy security in the face of threats to Hawaii's energy supplies and systems; and
(4) Reduction, avoidance, or sequestration of greenhouse gas emissions f rom energy supply and use.
State Energy Policies Chapter 226-18 (b) and (c) (paraphrased)
(b) Ensure the prcwtdon ot adequate, reasonabt^ priced, and dependable energy services to accommodate demand. (c) To further achieve the enogy otjecthes, It shall be the policy of this State to:
(1) Support research and devetopment and promote use of renewable energy sources; (2) Ensure combination of enstgy suppDes and energy-saving systems Is suffident to support demands of growth; (3) Base dedsions of least-cost supply-side and demand-side energy resource optUrs on a comparison of
total costs and benefits. Least cost determined tiy quanbtattve and qualltattve acounttng of long-tenn, direct and Indirect economic, environmental, sodal, cultural, and puUc heald) costs and tieneflts;
(4) Pnynoteallcost-effectlveconservattonof power and fuel supplies through: (A) Deudcpnent of cost-efrealvedem«iid-(lrKr[Un*0cment programs; (B) BluarUan; ind ( Q MopUonof cnern-fffident pncUcsandtechnologla;
(5) Ensure If new supply-sKte resounzes are needed, that the least-cost energy s u p i ^ option and nrtaxlmlzatlon of efficient technotogbes Is used;
(6) Support ROaO of energy effidency, load management, and other DSM; (7] Promote alternate fuels artd er^agy efficiency tiy encouraging d»verstftcat)on of tiznsportattan modes and
infrastructure;
(8) Support actions that reduce, avoid, or sequester greenhouse gases In utility, transportation, and industrial sector applications; and
(9) Support actions that reduce, avoid, or sequester Hawaii's greenhouse gas emissions through agriculture and forestry initiatives.
Energy for Tomorrow IRP-related 2006 Energy Laws
Sending the Right Signals to the Market for Electricity
Renewable Energy Tax Credits Increased De-link payments for renewable energy from oil Increase energy efficiency investments via Public Benefits Fund Share risk for oil purchases between utilities and ratepayers (the "energy cost adjustment clause" issue)
2006 Energy for Tomorrow Package Estimated Benefits by 2020
Displace 110 million barrels of crude oil
Retain $6.3 billion in Hav\/aii's economy
Eliminate 49 mill ion tons of C02
Result in 65,700 job-years of employment
Equivalent to stopping all flows of oil into the state for 2 years between now and 2020
Panel —Incorporating Climate Change into the IRP Process
How Does the State 'S'it^QNGovernment Play a Role?
i^AHALO!
Presentation by tnvitatJon of:
Hawaiian Electric Company (HECO) Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)
Advisory Group Technical Session Qimate Change/Giobal Warming
State Capitol Auditorium
June 8, 2007
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Projects - Green Power Pricing - Renewable Energy
Certificate - Feeid in Tariff
Education - Consumer outrea
utility - Power purchase
agreements - Interconnections
Corporate
Transparency
ch Inve sstment
Projects Companies
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GREEN PRICING - $3 for 25% - $6 for 50% -•$12fori00%
Fund Renewable Energy in community
•Money is used to Invest In purchasing green energy atTeal power cost •Give valuo to project developers for green
http://www.seattle.gov/llqht/qreen/qreenpower/
•Money is used to Install renewable systehfis •Projects become demonstrations •Lead the way for mass adoption
te^newa
A REC, Green Tag or Tradable Renewable Certificate. Sold as a separate cornmodity - Gifts
Offset Home Electricity, Car Travel, Air Travel This conference? The creation ofthis presentation
2,796 kWh renewable energy
" • - , • • ' / •
A t l a n t i c C i t y E l e c t r i c (virtually same size as HECO)
ClcanPowor Product Supplier Componics Nnme Resource
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Obligation of a utility to purchase electricity generated by renewable energy procJucers for a.guaranteed period of time.. ., ^
Austria. Brazil. France. Germany. Greece. Italy. Ontario. Portugal. Spain
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What 3j;^3can'UtJi "'^' ^DoirS?
^^^^m^^mm^Wmmi Renewable power recognition - Commercials are fun but what aboutfadts?
-Clean up misconceptions
-Ge t the public involved
Current Process • 11 Page Non-Utility
Generator • 93 Page Power Point • 2 Year Cycle
- Investment tax credit year x year
- Land lease Issues - Offering lower than ennq
)lded avoided cost
Standardized "Guide to a PPA" - Step by step needs - Developer can prepare
documents
i f ^ m d ^ izesirnte rconi ifi.ecti onfe
Do we really need to reinvent the wheel? - Cost
• $30,000 - $75,000
Standardize • Type of renewable •Size of system
CSP system owned by Florida Power and Light, 350 MW purchased by San Diego Gas and Electric.
•Wincj system owned by Florida Power and Light, 280 MW purchased by Austin Energy.
Renewable H A W A I I
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Spain: Currently constructing 4 CSP proiects fbr 1 GW ail
funded by utilities
aack to Home
Renewable Hawaii - What's New
RHI Rirau»r» PiBtw.1 PTCPOJ BU Bwut^U PiBW.1 Prcpeaii? RHI Requests PtaeQ Prooosats (9.t)</Q31 Study e\-aluates Potendal Wind Farm sites [S/22/03) RHI Requests Ptoied PtooosaK t & ^ 2 m i HECQ AiBKHTCCS Fqmiatiqi ol RHI 11(3^03)
"Utilities invesi in projects to capture
green certificates and hedge fluctuations in
fuel'
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Hawaii's unique grid -Late day peak -Seasonality
• Travel seasons
- Humidity and wet bulb^
What renevvable options work the best? - Which ones are bad for Hawaii's grid -Tell us
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Website for each utility - Keyword: "buy green power"
Investor owned utilities
Larger utilities targets - Leadership role
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Support Energy Efficiency
Support Renewable Energy - Build a green power program
• Buy green power at market rate
- Support complimentary renewable technologies
- Educate the public and professionals
Be transparent
Public Meeting on Climate Change <& 6lobat Warming June 8, 2007
COMMENTS
Comments about today's technical session are welcomed. I f desired, you may submit your comment on this form. Please use additional pages as needed.
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Please leave your completed comment form at the registration desk or mail to HECO IRP Division, PO Box 2750 (WA4-yP), Honolulu H I 96840-0001
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Public Meeting on Climate Change <& Global Warming June 8, 2007
COMMENTS
Comments about today's technical session are welcomed. I f desired, you may submit your comment on this form. Please use additional pages as needed.
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by June 15, 2007.
HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC COiVIPANY, I N C . INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLANNING
ADVISORY GROUP TECHNICAL SESSION CLIMATE CHANGE/GLOBAL WARMING
FRIDAY, JUNE 8, 2007
KEYWORD INDEX
CARNAZZO COURT REPORTING COMPANY, LTD (808) 532-0222
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Adequately [4)34:14 203:3 204:18 222:12 Adieu [I ] 68:11 Administration [ I I ] 4:6 14:9 14:10 16:6 20:5 21:11 61:2 61:21 62:4 94:3 160:3 Administration's [1] 204:5 Administrators [1] 197:15 Admission [1] 20:9 Admit [1) 175:7 Adopt [1)177:10 Adopted [4] 196:2 200:6 202:3 202:16 Adopt ing [1)217:12 Adoption [1)78:25 Ads [2] 213:3 213:3 AdutU [1] 88:6 Advance [4] 92:24 203:15 204:21 204:25 Advanced [1)133:7 Advancement [1] 101:6 Advances [3)25:12 55:20 120:13 Advantage [2) 20:16 85:18 Advise [1] 232:8 Advised [1] 90:11 Advisor (2) 27:23 72:9 Advisory [12)1:8 3:8 6:13 6:21 28:3 38:13 90: 26 204:25 232:6 232:17 235:3 236:0 AHvocStO [7) 6:21 27:8 73:16 74:1 74:3 201:17 230:9 A d v o c a t e ' s [1] 109:9 Advocated [2] 93:10 200:8 Advocating [1] 173:20 AEP [1] 22:4 Aerodynamic [1] 179:22 Aerographic [2] 52:13 52:17 Aerosols [1)15:10 AES [1] 122:12 Aesthaticaliy [1] 108:9 Aesthetics [2)108:12 108:14 Affect [15) 50:18 50:22 59:10 59:14 105:19 106:11 117:4 148:20 153:23 154:14 168:17 187:5 230:12 230:14 231:3 Affected [11 54:9 AffecUng [1] 100:9 Affective 111154:1 Affects [1] 230:7 Afford [2149:21 162:22 Afraid [2135:10134:18 Afternoon [18) 7:2 18:25 96:8 114:1 114:2 114:
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Argument [1] 107:8 Arguments [1)41:5 Arrange [1] 98:26 Arrangements [1) 67:8 Arranges [1] 99:2 Arrivals [1] 105:19 Arrived [1)182:11 Art [2] 53:13 169:9 Article [1] 186:23 Articulate [2)91:25114:7 Artif icially p j 46:20 101:17 ASAP [1] 235:3 ASCII [1] 235:19 Aside [2)195:22 205:16 Aspect [3) 189:1 194:20 228:18 Aspects [3] 91:21 117:6 231:2 Assembled [1] 26:23 Assess [1] 200:10 Assessing [1] 118:17 Assessment [1] 204:12 Assets [1) 83:20 Assign [1] 190:4 Assigned [2)27^19 91:23 Assist [1] 79:1 Assistance [1] 29:25 Associate [1] 106:7 Associated [2] 18:15 134:22 Associat ion [4] 2:16 88:8 114:15 115:10 Associations [1] 151:16 Assume [2)43:12 206:6 Assumed [1] 31:20
#k T^s^umes [1)121:14 Assuming [11109:15 Assumption [1)130:10 Assumptions [5)31:11 31.18 32:7 36:8 75:12 Astray [1] 180:13 Athabasca [11161:5 Atlantic [1] 210:13 Atmosphere [18111:7 11:10 12:10 39:24 42:23 61 5 65:6 66:6 74:9 161:15 162:9 163:5 163:8 163:9 163:14 166:9 174:1 174: 9 Atmospheric [3] 44:21 63.16 160:3 ATMs [1] 209:20 Attacked [1)48:10 Attacking [1] 45:18 Attempt [3134:6 113:12 221:10 Attempting [1] 200:1 Attend [1] 113:8 Attention [4)4:2 38:19106:11 185:16 Attitude 11] 83:22 Attitudes [2] 154:10 154:20 Attorney [1] 220:18 Attractive [3] 93:14 97:13 170:17 Attractiveness [1)81:23 Attributed [1] 200:22 Attributing [1175:4 Attys [1] 535:25 Auction [1) 93:14 Audience [10] 6:2 27:14 67:4 67:9 88:19 131:7 131:9 131:11 131:13 160:2 186:4 187:20 187:21 188:20 198:18 213:5 220:17 231:12 232:12 Audiences [1] 185:13 Audit [11110:10 Auditorium 611:16 4:24 25:9 235:5 235:11 235:
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PJ 126:18 134:15 172:15 Benefits [15] 81:25 101:18 112.23 115:24 116: 1 125:10 125:11 125:15 125:21 127: 17 134:21 166:14 177:20 204:14 204: 17 Best [23] 34:23 36:14 86:3 101:18 107:13 127:12 127:15 137:23 151:2 162:20 164:25 165:2 165:20 168:2 175:5 183:8 163:9 185:13 186:11 201:21 217:4 226:21 234:11 Better p6) 14:14 27:25 32:23 82:1 66:8 105 14 113:7 113:25 126:23 127:3 128: 17 133:8 135:8 135:13 142:6 142:15 150:25 161:1 151:11 158:9 164:7 165:1 182:8 208:25 210:24 220:17 Between [23] 18:7 25:3 32:18 34:7 40:21 59: 19 79:9 79:24 89:20 106:17 119:11 123:22 129:7 145:9 160:18 162:2 162:17 191:7 214:18 218:14 220:20 223:25 224:4 Beyond [6] 21:12 70:14 81:15 96:15 139:5 186:1 BFO [2] 199:22 199:22 Btddtng 1180:11
iV August [11184:4 Aust in [1] 216:8 Australian [1] 77:5 Authorized (11105:13 Automatically [2193:11 111:20 Automobiles [1)82:15 Availability [31117:6118:12133:15 Available [28] 3:21 5:6 10:16 26:6 26:6 37:23 53:17 53:19 54:4 68:7 80:7 80:13 116:11 116:16 117:7 117:8 117:9 117:10 117:13 117:16 117:16 134:5 135:9 135:10 171:9 171:14 171:15 231:14 Avenue [1] 235:15
Average [61 9:11 11:17 121:2 128:14 129:17 169:19 Averse [1)96:3 Aviat ion [5] 31:22 33:10 33:13 33:16 62:23 Avoid [2)70:6 125:18 Avoidance [1)93:12 Avoiding [2)167:5 202:14 Avoids [1] 183:1 Award [1] 29:22 Awarding [1] 29:16 Awards (1) 201:12
[5] 4:19 66:7 148:23 149:2 187:10 Awareness [1] 37:6 Awerbuch [1] 72:9 Awful [1] 107:21 Awhile (1) 66:10
B ^ 5 B [1)82:19 Backed [2] 72:7 226:1 Background [9] 2:3 4:10 7:15 28:11 50:13 147:6 156:14 200.17 205:15 Backing [2] 225:3 225:9 Backs r i ] 64:7 Backwards
g] 36:20 98:2 106:2 ad
[10] 13:22 21:23 21:23 22:11 68:24 99:9 147:5 149:25 181:14 210:24 Baffl ing [1] 179:22 Bag [2166:25 67:12 Bagasse M] 164:6 Balance [3141:15 52:4 84:7 Balancing (1) 109:7 Ballast M] 144:1 Ballasts r i ] 168:24 Bands [1] 17:5 Bang [31122:2127:15143:3 Bank P l 98:8 144:24 Banning [3] 140:20 143:21 143:23 Bar ID 15:8 Barber's [1] 47:15 Barge [1) 149:25 Barges 12)63:10 63:12 Barrel P) 108:4 161:9 Barrels [8] 126:1 160:13 160:14 160:23 160: 25161:8161:13 161:17 Barrie [2] 110:7 110:12 Barrier
[6] 59:19 134:8 152:13 152:25 154:5 180:11 Barriers [17] 132:1 146:8 148:9 150:16 150: 20 151:3 151:5 151:9 151:12 151:15 152:24 158:10 158:12 179:10 180:7 180:8 180:25 Barry [12] 2:20 115:2 159:3 159:3 159:7 159:10 168:1 173:24 175:9 175:18 181:20183:4 Bars [2)17:6 212:10 Barton 11)13:3 Basaltic [1] 20:17 Base [5] 20:23 123:8 221:25 225:24 226:10 Base-load [1)226:10 Based [17) 31:14 40:14 45:1 45:25 70:4 92: 1 92:10 92:15 110:22122:3 126:17 126:20 126:22 171:1 203:5 208:22 217:2 Baseline [5] 28:13 30:12 30:15 32:14 226:18 Baselines [1] 22:25 Bashing [1)61:1 Basic
g) 10:11 102:21 104:7 asis
[9] 45:6 47:20 69:4 77:20 99:22 119: 13 149:19176:25 211:12 Bathrooms [1] 66:20 Batted [1)157:7 Battery [2180:16141:24 Beach [9) 46:21 46:22 47:7 48:23 46:25 48: 25 49:8 49:9 49:11 Beaches [14] 48:16 48:17 48:17 48:19 48:21 49:1 49:7 49:13 49:14 49:16 49:18 49:2149:23171:6 Beacon [1] 184:3 Bear [1] 158:23 Beat [1] 179:14 Beautiful [4] 71:25 108:3 108:4 175:21 Beautifully M) 145:22 Beauty yl 80:22 98:24 106:7 108:8 170:21
ecame [1)201:6 Become [15)18:23 51:3 51:14 52:25 53:1 59: 17 65:16 92:8 106:14 108:16 133:8 159:4 171:7 195:6 223:7 Becomes [5] 63:13 03:18 102:2 118:2 211:8 Becoming (1)212:3 Bed 11) 104:24 BEFOREiValerie [1)235:12 Began [21202:23 229:15 Begin (5) 47:19 76:1 78:17 110:24 169:24 Beginning [7] 25:21 76:6 83:17 109:14 138:8 181:14 194:16 Begins M] 51:12 Begun P l 76:5 146:20 Behalf
[33119:22 21:6 39:12 46:15 54:19 60: 10 60:21 75:16 80:S 64:12 88:9 92:8 116:3 126:15 134:8 137:8 138:6 139: 15 144:9 146:10 146:6 154:2 156:5 173:18 175:22 179:16 186:24 187:15 187:15 187:19 206:6 206:16 213:15 Bigger [11 153:25 Biggest [6] 87:16 88:16 132:1 143:3 151:5 158:14 181:7 211:19 Bike [6] 141:5 141:9 151:2 151:4 151:8 Bikes (1] 82:25 Biking
[28] 37:22 87:25 88:22 88:22 91:21
yt.i!4 95 25^03 26 110 12110 13 110 18 110 21 132 24 189 4 189 7 189 10 189 11190 21 191 7 191 22 193 6 207 19 207 22 222 8 222 24 22915 230 3 2301 Billboards (111081 Billed: Orig [11235 2 Billing
§195 24 9813 235 2 fllion
[13] 156 6 160 12 160 14 160 25161 13161 14161 20162 4162 20163 4183 8163 191791 Bills
^ } ^ " ' 111178 Biodiesel [14] 64 14 73 17 73 20 73 23 60 2 82 19104 25 107 9164 13 164 17 165 916618165 20182 Biofuel 017010 716107 Biofueled [1180 B[ofuels [13] 51 16 61 21 52 1 64 14 64 14 64 24 70 1971 15 75131161612212 160 22181 2 Blogas 121165 161651 Biographies m 5 9188 1 Biological (1170? Biology m i 6 3 Biomass [11)31 10 116 16122 9 122 11 164 1 164 6 164 11 165 10 165 14166 19 225 2 Bios Bipartisan (31219 2113 21 1
[30)916 9 1711 15 29 2 29 2139 9 51 2 61 4 90 3 92 9 94 6 97 6 98 8 10210115 212918130 8134 7 139 8 130 17 148 7148 12 146 20 156 7 158 6173 3174 5 176 14181 14 206 1 Bitumen 1) 161
azing 221
end 1] 821
easing 116
Ind [11191 1 Blinding 1) 199 2
ink 11133
ock [210716 971 Blocked 1] 1841
ue [4] IS 18 44 22 167 22 178 Board (4)7818 62 91071227 2 Boats [1)179 Body [2)4 17199 Bolimeier [1)1151 Bond [11134 1 Book ri ]36 Bome [1)229 2
HECO IRP Technical Session; 6« Boss [1] 114:17 Bottle
g] 87:25 156:10 166:21 178:7 ottles
[5] 156:1 156:6 156:18 156:19 178:25 Bottom
e) 121:5 144:2 163:18 217:13 ought
[1] 73:23 Boulder [1] 157:8 Boulevard [1)48:5 Bouncing [1) 143:7 Bound
y] 138:24 oundaries
[1] 74:10 Box [3)23:25 210:18 212:7 Bralner [2)132:16 136:20 Brainers n ] 136:4 Braking [3] 141:15 141:22 141:23 Branch [2)29:9 29:10 Brand
Bl 165:1 rans on
[1] 163:3 Bravo y] 199:22
razil
Break [7] 50:9 65:21 66:10 139:8 181:3 187: 17 187:23 Breaking
y] 129:6 reaks
[1)146:12 Breathe
y] 77:24 rian
[15) 2:17 58:14 58:15 59:8 63:2 114: 16 127:22 127:23 128:3 137:11 150: 23 168:12169:2 181:4 181:19 Brian's [1)114:18 Bridge
B] 184:6 rief
[6] 27:18 50:11 99:24 219:11 221:2 Briefing
y ] 28:21 riefly
[ I ] 156:3 Bring [ I I ] f 7 46:20 50:8 51:19 67:9 67:13 67:15 73:12 138:2 143:3 143:11 Bringing p ] 51:20 51:20 73:20 134:10 140:18 140:18140:19 Brings [3] 111:24 141:22 151:22 Brit ish [2)144:18145:11 Broader [1] 82:7 Broken [3)10:22 62:12 88:23 Broken-down [1] 10:22 Brothers [1] 63:10 Brought [6) 13:6 49:17 71:23 71:24 147:4 186:
Brown [2)66:25 67:12 Brutally [1] 198:22 BTUs
[11125:25 Bubbling [1)182:18 Buck 13)122:2127:15 143:4 Bucket [1)164:8 Budget
Bl 38:25 44:6 134:16 134:19 ul ld
[9] 45:20 71:4 165:22 170:18 207:24 209:15 211:2 211:16 215:23 Building 113) 49:6 74:19 61:9 130:13 135:4 135:5 136:19 136:25 157:16 165:16 176:24177:24 209:4 Buildings [20) 45:20 74:19 128:17 128:19 128: 22129:1 132:5135:1 135:24 136:11 136:15 136:17 166:18 169:15 176:8 176:12 176:13 177:10 177:11 177:16 Built (1149:14 Bulbs [3)81:13132:13166:25 Bull [1)91:17 Bullet [2)17:2019:17 Bullets [1)17:21 Bunch [5] 4:6 161:17 151:18 213:5 226:21 Burn [12] 17:15 77:1 131:18 163:15 166:8 167:21 168:22 173:25 174:8 174:8 218:2 226:13 Burned e j 132:23 133:9 166:7 178:5
umett [1)91:1 Burning [4] 14:21 73:19 161:10 163:19 Bus [3)161:1 166:22199:7 Busch [1] 88:8 Bush (2) 14:9 23:7 Business [14] 2:6 8:3 8:6 20:9 26:12 26:21 69: 25 70:20 93:18 130:21 131:2 211:14 227:17 227:21 Buslness-as-usual [1] 20:9 Businesses [8] 72:24 73:8 73:8 102:13 132:2 144: 10144:12 211:13 Button [1] 140:24 Buttressed y ] 158:9
uy [14] 73:10 73:10 74:14 75:19 85:1 85: 10 92:22 132:14 145:12 166:14 166: 14 208:16 217:10 227:17 Buying (8) 22:3 83:7 97:17 126:14 132:22 210:10 215:22 217:10 B ^ issir
rSTT [1] 234:18 Cabinet [1] 27:23 Cabinet-level (1) 27:23 Cabled [1] 107:7 Calculate [8] 30:24 108:17 110:3 110:9 110:14 110:15 110:16 110:20 Calculated [2)32:15 209:4 Calculating p]31:1 31:5
Calculation [1] 79:17 Calculation's [1] 178:24 California [14] 22:9 66:3 91:17 92:13 96:7 96:7 96:22 176:13 178:18 181:8 181:9 183:12 215:25 218:4 California's [1] 157:17 Camera [1] 4:23 Campaign [2)69:8 173:4 Campbell [2)47^13 71:4 Campus ra) 137:13 176:7 176:8 178:1 183:16 184:5 164:15 186:15 Campuses 12)183:18184:9 Canada (3) 140:22 143:21 164:4 Canada's [1)181:8 Canal [1] 48:14 Candidate [1] 195:13 Cane [2)60:17164:6 Cannot [5) 62:14 116:7 130:23 168:13 228:16 Cans [6] 156:1 156:6 166:18 166:19 178:25 Cap I m 23:7 85:2 92:21 92:22 103:8 111: 23 111:24 I Cap-and-trade I (18j23:3 23:7 23:8 23:10 23:17 26:1 85:2 92:13 92:19 93:10 93:16 103:4 103:8 108:10 111:18 111:20 227:11 227:11 Capabilities [1] 120:1 Capacity [2)119:24120:5 Capita [2)107:12 152:17 Capital [5] 84:23 64:24 101:3 132:10 132:15 Capitally [1] 165:22 CAPITOL [3)1:16 235:6 236:11 Caprock [3)59:18 59:18 59:22 Caps (2)43:18 43:20 Capture [7] 65:24 70:7 104:11 104:23 134:14 140:17 157:9 Captured [1)141:24 Capturing [1] 20:19 Car [91 74:15 74:16 76:19 76:19 141:12 142:3147:6152:9 209:18 Carbon I (105) 11:14 12:6 12:10 12:14 12:17 14:17 19:13 19:14 19:16 20:13 20:19 22:23 23:16 24:7 24:16 24:20 24:23 31:10 31:13 65:23 66:1 56:2 56:3 56: 6 56:7 56:7 64:2S 65:24 74:12 75:13 75:14 75:15 65:2 91:8 91:13 92:11 92:16 94:12 100:8 102:1 103:3 103:7 103:11 104:3104:11 104:20104:21 105:18 105:22 106:8 106:10 108:16 110:4 110:4 110:9112:24125:11 128:10 128:24 129:2 133:23 134:4 137:5 141:6 157:6 157:131158:19 161:7 161:14 161:18 161:21 161:22 162:6 162:7 162:8 162:131162:17 163:4 163:14 166:2 166:3)166:7 173: 13 173:25 174:8 174:19 174:23 174: 24 175:2 175:5 194:9 104:24 196:15 106:19 196:21 196:23 197:20 204:11 206:16 212:4 226:4 226:12 227:17
I m : 7 \ 229:$ Carbon-per-ki Iowa tt [1] 226:4 Care (5) 36:22 67:6 72:2 102:16 102:24 career P l 88:3 Careers (1)171:6 Careful [2] 98:7 96:21 Carefully " 42:13 42:15 63:8 53:14 96:13 191
• E CO IRP Technical Session; 6/8) Cents (14) 120:12 120:15 120:17 120:17 131:19 196:21 210:18 210:23 211:1 211:4 211:6 211:7 211:24 228:18 Centuries (2] 16:14 56:1 Century [14)16:14 16:21 39:12 39:23 40:9 40: 10 40:14 45:4 46:9 47:22 48:19 56: 12 57:21 57:23 Certain [5] 11:9 36:21 153:8 155:23 226:23 Certainly [24] 16:20 16:14 18:20 24:1 50:22 50: 25 51:20 51:23 61:9 61:19 101:6 103: 3 105:1 107:10 111:12 112:7 148:21 160:10 171:17 173:7 173:18 193:18 195:17 204:10 Certificate [2)209:10 209:13 Certificates [4] 206:21 208:13 208:14 229:5 Certified [1] 234:18 Certify (1) 234:6 Cetera [2)^109:5 228:7 CFL [2] 133:9 143:21 CFLs [2)132:25133:5 CH4 [11 30:17 Chain [2)124:17149:19 Chair p ] 2:12 67:3 87:7 Chairs [1 114:18 chal lenge (18) 19:16 78:19 82:18 87:16 88:16 101:21 132:17 133:2 154:24 173:11 174:3 174:10 197:14 197:14 197:23 206:6 215:4 215:8 Challenged [11 6:23 Challenges [41102:10 109:14 109:18 214:8 Challenging [^16:5138:23 Champion (11 87:f Chance [2199:18158:6 Chancellor [1] 86:6 Change [113] 2:3 2:18 2:21 4:10 4:14 5:23 7: 15 7:25 8:3 11:13 13:2 13:21 14:3 14: 14 15:12 29:23 30:2 30:5 30:6 32:18 41:16 43:10 43:12 43:13 43:15 44:17 44:22 50:13 50:18 51:8 52:18 52:21 56:9 58:7 60:25 62:5 63:3 63:6 84:7 64:15 65:5 68:19 70:2 70:3 70:7 71: 14 72:5 83:13 87:2 67:17 88:12 69:6 100:14 106:3 112:5 112:20 115:1 142:6 146:15 146:18 147:2 147:21 147:25 148:22 148:23 148:25 149:18 152:25 153:10 153:20 153:22 154:11 154:18 154:20 155:2 155:17 155:20 156:4 156:20 156:23 156:24 157:6 157:9 157:25 158:3 158:7 158:12 158:13 158:15 158:16 170:13 170:14 170:20 171:6 174:1 174:9 177:8 179: 10 180:5 185:4 186:6 186:16 187:5 187:9 188:15 198:25 199:13 200:25 202:1 202:8 202:19 213:12 219:16 CHANGE/GLOBAL [31 1:10 235:4 235:10 Changed [4151:11138:14138:14156:25 Changes (12) 17:16 18:13 37:16 38:6 52:23 55: 5 64:2 130:22 148:6 149:1 179:21 227:5 Changing [^146:11203:4 chapter
(1) 202:3 Characteristic [2)117:7 117:8 Characterization [21221:8 224:16 characterize [6] 9:1 10:1 10:14 23:24 55:22 118:7 Characterizes [11 223:2 charge [6] 96:6 97:19 98:11 207:14 223:6 223:9 Charging P] 95:19 98:17 Charles [11 12:7 Chart [10] 17:20 19:3 31:12 31:15 129:25 134:2148:4149:16 150:11 156:7 Chartered [11 204:24 charts (21129:6 186:9 cheaper [11192:16 cheapest [11194:23 cheaply [11 22:4 check [2)155:18 235:20 Chemical (2)144:13 144:15 Chessboard [21 99:2 99:3 chevron (2176:24 160:17 Chicago [3] 9:3 23:22 228:20 chief (11 27:24 Children [1110:8 Chimera [1] 182:22 China [3)94:1 129:3 178:13 Chip [22] 2:7 8:11 8:11 38:1 38:5 38:10 50: 1 62:6 54:8 54:11 66:2 66:17 56:19 67:20 58:5 58:12 50:10 60:23 83:2 86:16 171:1 171:5 Chip's [3)16:12 38:2 61:7 Chlorinity [1) 60:8 Chlorofluorocarbon [11 55:15 Choice [6] 73:1 93:3 102:6 139:14 140:18 145:20 Choices [6] 82:21 138:24 139:9 140:2 146:5 152:5 Choose 16] 84:14 84:17 85:10 92:22 97:25 99:
Chopsticks [11140:20 chose [1] 79:9 CHP [1133:3 Chris [1 91:1 Churchill [11 158:21 Circle (1)84:13 Circled [11216:17 Circulating [11213:16 Circulation [3142:25 53:6 55:25 Circumstance [1] 26:14
S? Cari [12) 2:22 n:22 168:11 186:12188: 13 188:17 198:2 200:13 223:15 223: 23 230:2 231:6 CartltO [1] 104:4 CARNAZZO [1] 235:1 Carnegie [1)76:12 Carpool [1)151:1 Carry [1] 83:24 Carrying [I ] 179:25 Cars [ I I ] 74:14 74:17 76:13 76:16 76:17 82:17 82:20 82:22 102:23 168:15 167:4 Case [15)41:4 42:10 49:4 49:5 85:20 91: ^4 09:11 122:21 132:25156:5181: 26 210:12 210:17 229:6 235:6 Cases [3] 24:7 62:18 194:1 Cat [2] 78:3 235:22 Catalyst [1)57:13 Catastrophic [2] 55:5 56:25 Catastroph ically (1) 58:8 categories [5] 28:16 32:25 35:5 176:12 206:13 Categorized [1] 62:11 Category (2)32:19 116:17 Causes [3)15:20154:11 154:21 Causing [5)59:14 97:21 103:14 174:2 174:9 Caverns [1)104:17 CCS [1] 20:20 Celling [3)143:8143:8144:2 Coll [21140:22183:19 Cellular [2)116:25119:6 Cellulose [2)126:22126:24 Callulose-based (1) 126:22 Cement [1] 33:24 Cent [3)156:15 156:16 211:14 Center [8129:12 34:16 47:14 121:1 143:17 162:10185:14 201:7 Centers [1] 208:8 Centigrade [2)17:817:9 Centimeters (2)46:16 47:17 Cantral (1) 97:5
Citizens (1) 64:8 City [101 9:3 141:20 152:3 152:19 207:11 208:1 208:10 210:13 217:22 234:2 Civil [1] 235:4 Civil ization (1) 40:20 Claim [21132:20159:16 Claiming [1] 149:6 Clarence [1] 67:20 Clarified [1)62:11 clarify [1] 56:20 Class [4)145:4 145:4 179:11185:22 Classic [2] 9:2 9:2 Clean (6) 23:6 23:19 29:9 29:9 36:25 37:1 206:19 211:18 Cleaner [11130:16 Clear (19) 23:25 98:18 130:5 137:23 147: 18 147:19 147:22 153:8 155:20 155: 23 180:11 189:11 189:14191:21 191: 25 192:5192:6 106:7 213:15 Cleariy [14] 12:22 16:12 38:9 78:24 84:3 64: 9 96:15 107:2 108:8 108:8 110:14 110:15 106:6 230:15 Clients (1) 81:8 Climate [87] 1:10 2:3 2:21 4:10 4:14 5:22 7: 15 7:25 11:13 13:2 13:21 14:3 14:14 15:0 15:12 15:21 23:22 29:23 30:2 30:4 30:6 38:6 40:20 49:9 50:13 50: 18 51 ;6 52:24 56:9 60:25 62:5 63:3 63:16 64:6 64:15 65:5 66:19 69:12 70:2 70:3 70:6 71:14 72:4 81:19 86:6 67:2 87:17 89:6 106:2 112:4 112:20 113:3 147:25 148:20 148:22 148:25 149:1 152:25 153:10 153:20 153:22 164:11 154:16 154:20 155:20 156:23 157:5 157:9 156:15 158:18 170:13 170:14 170:19 174:1 174:9 188:6 186:15 168:15 198:25 199:13 200:25 202:1 202:10 219.18 226:20 235:4 235:10 Climates [1] 182:8 Close [51 8:10 28:25 122:17 137:1 232:15 C l o s e r [1)11:12 Closing [412:25182:10188:4 231:18 Closure [1] 33:23 Clothesline (11151:19 clothesl ines (1)151:17 Cloud [1] 15:10 Cloudy [1)117:11 Club [6] 2:19 114:24 146:14 148:19 173: 16 180:2 Club's (1) 173:20 Cluster [1] 184:2 Clutter [1)154:13 CO [1] 235:1 C02 [16] 30:17 31:8 31:18 31:19 70:7 77: 18104:22110:14111:17112:12129;
1fa151:18 11^2:20165:9174:1 174:9 Coal P6) 14:22 17:18 21:1 21:17 70:4 70: 4 70:8 76:17 77:5 77:5 122:11 122: 11160:6 161:20 161:24162:2 182:5 162:5 162:24 163:19 175:9 176:14 175:22 216:3 225:3 226:0 225:10 225:10 225:16 226:16 226:2 226:9 226:12 226:12 227:2 Coal-flred [1] 161:20 Coalition m 60:12 Coast P) 80:8145:11 Coastal [6] 47:15 47:19 47:23 49:22 89:9 89:9 Coastline (8] 45:16 45:18 47:5 48:9 48:11 146: 2 170:19170:24 Coastlines (11170:15 Coasts [1)45:19 Cochair [1)3:9 Coded [1)71:15 Coffee [1] 9:8 Cofunded [1] 66:4 Colder (3)11.1511:16 51.1 Colleague [1] 8:10 Collect [3)50:6 86:3167:13 Collected (3)182:3 182:7 182:13 Collecting
g) 99:20 168:10 ollectlon
[2)58:20182:10 Collective [1)138:13 Collector [1)216:11 Collectors [1] 143:13 Color M] 43:1 Colorado [2)157:6 160:20 Coloring [1) 228:8 Columbia [2)144:18145:11 Column p ] 32:20 30:25 40:3
Combat m 206:14 Combination [2] 77:8 83:13 Combined [5] 38:25 43:5 116:16 120:3 130:3 Comfortable m i 6 : 3 Comic [1] 36:7 Coming [19] 7:4 10:25 21:9 21:19 25:7 44:5 46:6 74:8 79:3 79:25 85:24 111:4 135:11 144:12161:9 230:21 231:1 232:19 233:2 Commencing [4)1:16 235:6 235:10 235:11 Comment (4)63:16112:8 220:19 231:7 Comments 11) 100:10 166:26 199:1 202:22 202: iB 220:13 222:10 222:16 223:1 231: 13 232:25 Commercial 12) 32:20 81:14 105:9 122:17 122:
i3 128:19 128:22 129:1 129:7 129; 11136:9136:25 Commercially
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/( [1)118:12 Commercials [1)213:2 Commission [15] 3:17 27:7 34:18 86:3 71:2 86:6 105:2 193:18 193:21 194:13 194:15 196:10199:8 223:20 232:20 Commission's [1] 223:22 Commissioned [1] 152:19 Commissioning (1) 136:11 Commissions [1] 72:13 Commitment [2)83:19 111:10 Commitments [2)155:6155:6 Committed [1)221:22 Committee [3)2:12 87:4 87:7 Committees (1) 114:18 Commodit ies [1] 208:22 Commodities-based [1] 208:22 Commodity (1) 208:16 Common [3)51:14 77:17130:10 Communicate [1) 184:18 Communit ies [2)60:21 178:17 Community [28) 5:24 6:457:4 64:3 79:10 84:8 84: 25 85:20 86:8 108:7 111:4 139:11 144:9 145:6 145:8 145:9 146:6 146:9 153:17 176:20 176:22 177:1 183:24 208:5 208:6 208:6 208:6 217:3 Commuter [ I ] 102:23 Compact [ I I ] 61:12 133:1 135:15 150:24 157: 3 170:25 181:6 181:10 213:6 213:10 213:13 Companies [2)134:0 206:24 Company [22] 1:6 2:11 4:6 6:14 5:20 5:21 6:5 16:9 73:11 78:1178:15 78:21 76:22 82:20123:11 144:14 160:17167:6 179:19 235:2 235:8 235:13 Comparabilit ies [1) 65:15 Comparable [1] 18:19 Compare [7] 28:14 43:9 44:13 60:25 65:23 72: 16161:19 Compared [4)14:16 34:2 44:10165.11 Compares [1) 34:2 Comparing [4)43.10 44:10 44:23 77:20 Comparison [2] 35:5 116:1 Comparisons [1) 72:18 Compelled [1)196:5 Compete [1] 201:12 Competit ive [4)29:14 29:16 29:21 201:12 Compile [1] 26:16 Complementary (1) 216:22 Complete [3)11:1 32:23 229:22 Completed [1] 29:20 Completely
[4)61:12 65:1 143:24161:18 Completes [1)60:11 Complex [1] 86:18 Compliance [4)23:21 92:3 93:11 95:8 Complicated [5] 15:2 89:15 90:3 222:21 228:24 Comply [1] 93:25 Component [5)112:15135:2156:8 171:18 200:23 Components [2)111:13151:26 Comport [2)196:2 200:13 Composted m 152:1 Comprehensive [1] 204:3 Computed (1) 44:23 Computer [1] 209:7 Computerized [1] 234:9 Concedes (1) 222:6 Concentrated [1] 168:3 Concentration [1] 19:13 Concentrations m 18:16 Concem [5] 22:5 47:24 48:12 171:19 173:7 Concerned [6] 17:22 22:2 43:25 63;24 69:6 74:4 Conceming [2)14:13 219:23 Concerns [2) 6:4 13:11 Concise [1] 189:2 Conclude
g) 29:3 29:4 36:6 oncluded
[1] 233:3 Condensation [2162:16 52:19 CONDENSED [1] 236:19 Conditioner [I ] 98:7 Conditioning [ I I ] 81:4 96:8 115:15 124:14 125:22 120:13 136:7 136:23 169:4 169:6 209:5 Conditions M) 40:24 63:3 174:2 174:10 Conducted Pl 29:7 34:15 Conference [3)5:16 61:15 210:4 Conferences [1)210:3 Confidential (1) 36:17 Conflicting [4)55:3 55:9 55:10 55:11 Confronts [1)164:18 Confusing (1) 153:22 Congestion [1] 103:13 Congressman [1] 13:2 Connect [1] 138:21 Connected [1] 139:14 Conscious [1] 128:7 Consequence p ] 155:21 155:24 157:23
Consequences , [9] 65:7 99:10 107:25 147:18 147:19 150:14155:19155:20170:12 Consequently [1)182:10 Conservation [4] 110:2 155:14 160:4 167:2 Conservatlonism [1)155:13 Conservative [6)40:11 47:11 59:2 59:5131:20 204 12 I Consider I [4)24:17 92:6 99:3187:6 Considerable P) 16:16 37:22 198:24 Considerably [1] 34:8 Consideration [3)36:16190:22 202:13 Considerations [1] 92:7 Considered [1] 220:21 Considering [1)199:3 Considers [1] 13:2 Consistency [1] 35:4 Consistent [5] 31:24 41:4 165:10 200:16 203:21 Consists 1]116:23 'onsp lcuous [1)155:13 Constant [1] 89:13 Constantly [1) 155:4 Constellations [1)54:18 Constituencies [1] 203:19 Constitutes [1] 180:22 Constrained [1)44:10 Constraints [1] 34:12 Construction [1] 166:21 Constructive (2)183:22197:12 Consumer (18) 6:20 27:7 73:15 74:1 74:3 97:7 97:13 98:13 98:13 105:8 ,112:23 118: 23 199:9 206:23 212:25 213:1 229: 24 230:9 I Consumers [5] 73:9 07:22 132:3 207:12 213:23 Consumption | [7) 33:19 »:17 83:9 126:21 128:24 161:24162:2 Con fd [1] 235:7 Contact [1] 78:4 Contained [1] 200:24 Containers (1) 166:3 Content [3)77:6 160:5 181:10 CONTENTS (1) 2:1 Context [2] 26:10 76:22 Continent [1] 42:17 Continental (1] 43:4 Continual (1) 120:6 Continually [2)80:15120:14 Continue
g
i '15)17:1518:118:1416:2121:1341:
CO IRP Technical Session; 6181 [21179:11207:1 Corporate-owned (1) 179:11 Corporation P) 2:2 3:2 3:7 Corporations [2)68:21 179:10 Correct [4] 105:12 110:8 180:12 234:12 Correlation [3)18:7 218:14 218:16 Cost [83) 10:7 30:7 72:16 73:13 91:25 93: 11 96:1 96:10 96:14 96:17 97:18101: 7 102:22 102:25 103:14 104:6 106:6 106:7 117:24 117:24 117:25 118:17 118:19119:8 119:15 120:5 120:7 120:12 120:14 120:16 120:18 120:18 120:23 120:24 121:2 121:9 122:7 122:8 122:8 122:10 122:13 122:17 123:5 123:21 129:22 130:17 131:5 131:6 131:17 131:21 131:23 131:24 132:3133:13 134:8 150:21 151:11 157:5 162:20 162:23 166:13 179:1 179:2 189:18 192:15 192:24 194:10 194:11 195:16 195:20 207:14 207:16 207:18 209:14 210:25 214:11 215:4 215:5 215:14 221:23 229:24 229:24 230:25
Cost-effective [5)30:7 91:25 93:11 123:5189:18 Costing (1) 132:6 Costs [34] 72:25 73:2 73:4 73:6 73:9 84:12 84:16 93:12 95:19 95:21 08:12 101:2 101:6 101:25 104:8 116:2 110:1 119: 3 119:5 119:17 119:22 120:16 120: 20 131:15 131:16 132:4 132:19 156: 23 157:9 162:17 165:16 180:16 229: 13 229:16 Count [4)68:24 82:5 96:6112:0 Counted [1)113:3 Counter [2)30:6 41:6 Counter-arguments [1)41:5 Counterproductive [1)229:12 Counties [2)34:18 201:8 Counting [4)111:21 112:1 113:2139:6 Countries (6) 23:20 60:25 172:26 172:25 173:9 212:16 Country [18] 20:4 21:17 23:13 34:7 69:16 72: 13 73:7 73:8 93:24 111:11 129:2 130: 25 143:23 170:20 206:3 208:11 217: 1 216:7 Counts [2)33:18 107:10 County p ) 62:12 62:19 62:23 196:3 196:8 230:10 230.11 234:2 Couple [15] 4:19 37:6 39:15 45:10 46:17 50: 16 91:6 97:23 98:15 115:23 119:8 132:9140:25 170:24 173:4 Coupled [1] 177:23 Couples [2)173:5173:21 Course [21] 27:6 28:18 04:4 133:21 135:17 141:21 151:2 160:4 163:1 164:1 165: 24 167:7 174:20 190:16 190:19 190; 19 192:8 206:14 209:17 218:11 223: 14 Court [10) 4:20 26:25 50:9 99:18 114:6 128: 5 188:22 205:22 219:8 232:4 COURT-REPORTING [1] 235:1 Cover [2] 144:1 200:21
12 68:16 68:18 78:/1(}(}:12 105:23 112:7 198:21 Curve (12) 96:5 96:6 96:13 115:22 118:1 118:19 119:9 119:11 119:12 119:12 119:21 120:3 Curves [10] 13:9 96:5 118:15 118:16 118:16 118:17 118:23 120:8 120:25 172:23 Customer [1] 98:10 Customers [2)195:4 203:19 Cut [3)66:9154:12 163:15 Cutt ing [1] 55:24 Cycle [13] 19:21 42:9 51:19 55:23 64:17 64 25 74:20 76:7 76:16 77:14 77:19 100; 18 124.6 Cycles [1] 19:19 Cyclones [1)53:4
, 37:11 79:13 79:19 107:8 119:17 121:14140:14 204:23 216:20 Continued [2] 39:24 42:3 Continues [1)201:14 Continuing [3)36:23 70:21 137:6 Continuous [1] 119:22 Contract [2] 140:25 214:2 Contracted [1] 179:16 Contractor [1] 29:11 Contracts [1] 96:22 Contribute (1) 39:25 Contributed [2] 32:24 33:20 Contr ibut ing [1)75:3 Contr ibut ion \S\ 43:21 43:23 43:25 44:9 £0:25 Contr ibut ions [2)43:17 78:23 Control [1)56:10 Control l ing [7] 2:15 4:12 55:19 114:3 115:6 168: 3 185:6 Controls [1)111:19 Convenient [1] 97:20 Convention [3] 30:4 30:12 121:4 Conversation [3] 16:15 138:3 186:14 Conversations [1] 136:16 Conversion [6] 47:25 77:10 115:21 116:24 117: 16117.21118.4122:24 Convert [2)15:11 151:10 Convert ing [1] 80:3 Cooking (1) 145:4 Cool [2)16:10139:24 Coolest [1] 141:23 Cooling
g] 15:20 15:21 16:16129:10160:23 oope rating
[1)201:23 Cooperative [2] 30:6 202:4 Coordinated (1) 63:25 Coordination [2)201:15 203:13 Coordinator [2)27:22199:18 Copies [2] 32:6 235:1
(5?27:1 235:21 235:22 235:22 235:22 Corals [1] 100:10 Core [4] 80:3 84:21 88:23 206:24 C o m [61126:17 126:20 128:26 144:22 144: 23 164:20 Corn-based [2] 126:17 126:20 Comer P l 67:12 67:14 107:3 Corollary [2] 52:8 102:14 Corporate
Covered (4)32:8 143:20145:21 165:3 Covering [1] 28:8 Covers [1] 25:3 Cradle [1] 124:7 Crafting (1) 109:22 Crash [1)72:11 Create (6) 6:21 77:17 184:3 208:17 208:18 226:13 Created [4)6:16 64:15105:1 145:15 Creating [3)144:4 216:4 227:20 Creature [1)182:24 Credit [5) 23:18 94:3 94:14 214:10 214:14 Crediting [1)21:12 Credits [14) 24:4 24:12 24:13 94:9 94:9 113: 3 120:22 133:25 134:6 135:9 135:10 174:19 214:11214:12 Crichton [1) 13:6 Crisis [1)151:24 Criteria (10) 30:23 189:15 189:17 190:6 192: 2 194:6 194:10 194:12 194:21 202:24 Critical [7) 9:21 78:1 81:10 86:14 86:15 89: 20111:4 Critically [1] 152:18 Crops [6] 15:11 51:21 71:6 75:1 107:9 165:1 Cross [3)46:21 120:25 121:3 Crosses [1)42.18 Crossroads [1]71:9 Crosswind [11142:15 Crowd P) 27:11 35:8 196:16 Crowded [1) 88:6 Crude [21124:15124:18
[211:24 234:5 CSR#353 [1)235:12 Cubic [2] 39:1 39:7 Culture [1) 49:9 Cumulative [1] 118:20 Cup [2)9:7 140:18 Cups [3)140:12 140:16140:17 Curb [2)152:7152:15 Curbslde [2)152:13152:22 Currency [1] 145:16 Current [15] 12:11 61:12 62:4 63:6 80:12 100: 18 117:24 122:12 154:10 160:13 178: 16 179:4184:21222:8 222:23 Currents [2) 63:4 63:20 Cursory (1) 189:2 Curtis [13] 2:10 6:17 10:18 67:24 68:6 68:
D T5al^ [2)154:23 176:25 Dakota [1] 163:7 Damage [1)101:8 Damaging (1) 75:8 Dampen [1)132:23 Dark [1)217:14 Darren [9] 2:24 205:6 205:8 205:8 205:11 205:21 227:3 228:5 231:8 Data [28] 14:19 31:16 32:9 32:10 32:23 32 24 36:2 35:4 36:13 36:15 36:16 36: 17 36:21 38:24 39:6 41:12 41:19 42: 2 42:7 42:12 44:25 47:18 53:17 63: 10 57:9 62:21 62:22 177:2 Date [7] 34:24 98:4 216:18 235:2 235:4 235:23 235:24 Dated [2)156:8 234:16 Daughter
tl) 187:8 )ave
[3)2:15114:14 115:10 David [4)115:6169:3 170:3171:9 Day-to-day [3)149:10 153:23 154:17 Daycare [1] 145:3 Day l ight ing m 142:23 142:23 142:24 143:3 180: 13160:15 180:20 Days [5] 45:13 60:18 63:9 85:24 151:19 DBEDT [28] 2:23 28:16 27:15 28:18 29:8 29: 10 34:4 34:16 37:19 37:25 53:16 75: 17 92:4 196:8 199:15 199:18 200:6 201:6 204:7 205:4 219:22 220:6 221: 17 221:21 222:24 223:7 223:8 223:12 D B E D r s [9] 27:19 27:24 199:16 200:3 200:5 201:13 202:21203:12 204:20 De [1)14:7 Deadly r i ]9:6 Deal (12) 5:7 18:11 22:10 68:20 86:3 89: 17 103:22 105:13 122:14 152:7 202: 4 223:21 Dealing P] 82:2 88:21 152:21 Deals
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/f 0)755768821 bnit [1)162
^384698169415951641 Death [1]1642 Debate (3)231139121861 Debating [1)1571 Decade mi416142060 Decades M 65 6 65 22 604138 [)ecember
Decided [4)7210011720617209 Decision [12)10617147181472315423 10013190161923192 221999 2025220212202 DecEsIoTHnakfng n] 164 23190131W151923199 Decisions
1114154171571017618176 191119152233223
DecDned Pl 3315331 DecDnes
a33 23 351 cDnlng
(1)60 Decompose [1]661
[3)96201206121 Decreased ri]331 Decreases
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[1)331 Decfe2 asing
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1)134
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[deeper ri]1971 Defines 3)1181
Inttely 891810711091014321150 173141761
Definition P) 10951164116 Definitions [1)1951 Definitive [1)2222 Degree [3115214013412
^
S 11611171118177176179
Delay m 7 i i Delibefata
B]8S1 eliver
0)516482092 Delivered: Notified [1]2352 Delivering Pl 14713 2091 Demand (17)5122522966965966969 9613962196241195119191^ 241601216015160191909190 Demand^lde
Demands [2)512452
Democracy [1] 184:24 Democrat [1)61:21 Demolished
B) 18:10 emonstration
[4] 118:7 118:8 122:16 177:25 Denial [2)71:14 154:3 Denise (1) 86:5 Denmark [2)144:10 173:3 Denominate [1) 196:19 Density [6] 145:23 160:8 164:17 167:25 169: 9170:6 Department [23] 2:8 2:7 2:14 8:6 26:12 26:21 27: 21 29:8 34:17 38:2 38:10 66:2 66:5 90:17 90:22 147:4 180:12 180:18 189:24 191:2 201:8 203:22 230:6 Departments [1] 134:16 Departure 11) 29:2 Dependence II) 79:5 Dependent [3)86:20 66:20128:12
Depleted [2)20:23 116:7 Depleting [1] 101:2 Depletion
B] 100:17 epioy
[1] 20:19 bepo (1) 235:7 Deposit [4] 156:13 156:14156:15156:18 Depressing [1] 154:15 Depth g] 169:5 224:22
erived g) 80:10 116:6
escribe
B) 17:5 28:9 107:25 189:16 escribed
[2)95:12166:13 Description
g] 182:21 226:9 Bscriptive
[1] 26:21 Desert [1] 215:25 Desertlflcatlon (1) 17:24 Deserved [1) 34:21 Deserves
B) 34:25 estgn
[9] 2:22 59:8 84:1 84:19 84:19 84:20 86:2113:12188:17 Designated [1] 203:22 Designates [1] 27:20 Designation [1] 209:21 Designed p ] 30:3 37:9 83:16 Designee [1] 223:14 DeSllva [2)5:14 5:15 Desirable
G] 71:22 esire
[1] 93:6 Desired [1] 87:20
lope r:l5 208:17 209:14 210:11 211
Desiring [1] 102:14 Desk [2)230:8 231:4 Despair [1] 154:3 Despite (4)26:6 33:23152:19 152:20 Destroy [2)55:18 73:22 Destroying [3] 73:18 73:24 167:6 Destruction [1] 58:1 Detail [4] 13:25 36:19 39:9 202:16 Details [6] 99:12 197:8 197:8 197:13 197:15 197:17197:18197:23 Determinations (1) 127:1 Determine [3)124:9 189:17 190:6 Determined [2)192:9 224:22 Determining [1)125:10 Develop [161 6:7 9:24 22:24 24:9 29:16 30:14 30:21 46:8 62:1 93:25 123:18 123:20 182:24 201:16 229:21 229:22 Developed [18] 21:20 37:7 61:17 118:3 118:6 118:10 119:4 138:25 172:24 182:19 201:1 201:9 222:5 222:6 222:6 229:1 Developer (9) 207:1 9 211:11 211:19 214:9 214:23 Developer's [2)211:11 213:25 Developers [4)61:14 80:13171:21 211:16 Developing (5) 23:19 29:23 64:23 173:9 182:20 Development P2] 2:6 8:5 23:19 23:23 25:10 26:12 26:21 61:5 61.20 90:2 116:20 117:4 117:23 119:2 121:20 121:24 173:6 200:9 202:20 203:13 205:18 230:13 Develops (1) 123:22 Devices g] 80:22 96:4
evil's [1] 99:12 Devote [11121:20 Diamant [11 25:6 Diameter [2] 169:4 169:8 Died [1] 72:10 Diesel [5] 33:1 80:2 82:19 167:12 182:6 Difference [12] 34:6 61:22 119:11 129:6 135:16 138:13 154:9 156:5 168:16 166:5 183:15187:12 Differences [2)190:16191:6 Different (65)17:4 69:5 62:17 71:10 71:11 71: 13 72:6 72:16 72:17 76:21 77:21 83: 22 84:6 06:6 96:18 96:18 99:1 99:2 99:5 103:15 104:15 108:17 115:19 116:10 117:10 121:21 124:5 129:9 130:3 132:19 134:16 135:24 136:18 138:24 139:12 140:1 142:8 142:20 156:13 172:2 172:5 173:14 176:3 176:12 177:15 183:17 184:7 184:7 190:25 192:14 192:19 192:23 193:17 195:12 105:12 197:19 199:4 206:7 206:16 206:17 210:16 216:25 217:7 224:14 230:11 Difficult [14] 41:25 42:10 69:16 93:13 94:4 94: 6 94:7 102:2 133:15 150:22 163:17
155:21 181:1197:17 Difficulties [^93:18 101:4 Difflculty (1)180:3 Diffuse p i 59:23 143:9 144:3
[3)160:20 197:10197:17 Dimension [1] 187:3 Dioxide [33] 11:14 12:6 12:10 12:14 12:17 14 16 20:13 23:10 23:16 24:8 31:10 31: 14 66:1 56:2 56:3 56:5 66:7 125:11 128:25 161:7 161:15 161:19 161:21 181:22 162:6 162:7 162:6 182:13 162:18 183:4 163:14 166:2 166:3 Direct I [S] 43:8 50:8 78:22 81:15 218:14 Directed [2)50:17 202:12 Direction [10] 41:3 86:17 89:6 69:15 90:5 90:7 91:20 92:13109:25 150:20 Directly | (8) 75:3 62:4 82:6 63:18 200:22 204: 8 211:22 214:3 I Director [41 3:6 27:21199:17 223:12 Directors P) 78:18 227:24 Dirtiest [2] 218:6 226:12 Dirty [41216:2 216:5 227:16 227:18 Disagree [2113:25106:5 Disappeared [11 49:12 Disaster [318:12 62:4 89:8 Disconnected [1161:12 Discourage (1) 84:5 Discretion [3)193:19193:25 223:21 DISCUSS (1)43:17 Discussed [21 09:8 170:11 Discussing [11 87:25 Discussion [12] 8:1 6:3 6:20 7:5 60:10 68:19 69: 19 80:6 111:15 140:13 157:18 201:4 Discussions [21159:14 206:7 Disincentive [1] 98:9 DISKETTE [11 235:19 Displaced M] 77:19 Displacement Ml 124:10 Displacing [11 35:24 Disposable [11140:4 Dispose [2173:13140:6 Disposed [11144:15 Disposing [2173:13181:5 Distinguish [2194:16 96:5 Distinguished (2)27:5 27:8 Distributed (1)125:18 Distribution [31111:19125:5 125:17 Distributor [1] 33:2
I E C O IRP Technical Sess ion ; 6/8) District [1) 46:3 Disturbing [1] 158:5 Diverse [1] 116:9 Diversifying [1) 226:3 Divide [2)127:13 189:17 Divided [11176:12 Dividends [1] 227:25 Divides [1] 143:5 Division [4] 8:7 26:15 27:20 27:25 Divisions [1] 235:14 DLNR (2)34:17 201:8 Doc (1) 110:7 Dock [1)63:11 Docket (3)71:2 73:16196:11 Doctor [1)110:11 Documented [1] 39:10 Documenting [1] 39:17 DOH [4129:10 34:16 92:2 201:7 DOH/DBEDT [1] 202:19 Dollar (8) 73:21 75:24 131:7 131:8 145:8 163:3177:11196:20 Dollars [18] 75:25 98:14 119:16 119:17 131: 11 131:12 132:12 137:3 137:4 145: 12 145:12 162:17 179:19 162:7 210: 24 218:10 222:13 228:17 Domestic [2)19:14 33:10 Donate [1] 208:3 Done [44] 6:24 12:3 23:9 36:15 44:15 59: 11 70:8 71:21 73:12 83:17 93:24 104: 10 119:25 124:13 124:13 125:20 133: 20 135:5138:4171:22 177:16168: 17191:1 191:10194:17196:14 201: 20 205:17 205:17 205:19 208:7 208: 10 208:12 210:2 210:6 210:6 211:17 212:25 213:9 213:12 216:14 216:20 216:20 222:20 Door [1] 144:14 Double [6)19:12 38:23 111:21 112:1 120:4 123:16 Doubling [2)41:16 162:7 Doug [1)35:1 Down [46] 4:20 5:6 10:22 12:11 14:24 23:8 23:12 60:3 60:5 60:18 62:13 67:3 71: 11 71:21 72:6 88:23 119:16 120:15 120:24 121:16 126:7 129:5 137:6 137:7 137:22 143:9 143:14 144:1 144:3 144:8 144:11 156:8 163:15 174:21 180:21 188:6197:3 202:17 206:22 205:23 218:7 218:13 218:13 226:26 230:21 231:1 Downtown [5] 69:24 81:6 81:9 123:12 189:15 Dozen P) 49:16 64:2 Dr [83] 2:2 2:4 2:5 2:7 2:13 2:15 2:20 2: 23 3:2 8:4 6:20 8:22 13:6 26:21 26: 24 38:10 38:12 50:21 51:16 52:11 53: 5 53:20 54:5 54:13 55:8 55:13 56:21
56:22 57:16 56:4 58:6 56:13 58:15 59:12 61:1 62:14 63:5 63:20 64:17 65:8 65:25 72:9 76:8 90:15 90:22 90: 24 91:1 100:21 103:2110:12111:20 115:10115:12159:3 159:10159:12 169:13 174:4 174:12 174:16 175:12 175:17 175:19 181:25 187:25 198:8 198:10 198:19 219:25 220:2 220:5 220:10 221:5 221:7 221:10 221:13 223:4 223:8 223:14 225:5 225:12 225:19 229:14 Draft [2)32:16169:22 Drafted (1) 189:24 Drain [1] 45:24 Drainage [1)46:10 Draining [1] 45:23 Drains [3] 46:3 46:5 46:6 Dramatic [3)57:16 130:1 185:7 Drastically (1) 20:2 Draw
E) 60:3 60:5 rawing
[ I ] 60:18 Drawn [1)160:18 Dreading
B] 185:23 rier
[2)174:2 174:10 Drink [3)77:24 88:8147:8 Drive [ I I ] 25:19 45:20 62:20 82:22 83:2 83: 3 83:5 103:1 145:3 147:8 167:3 Driven [3)83:10132:3 227:9 Driver
g] 156:20 173:18 193:22 river's
[1)142:14 Drivers [2112:22 12:23 Drives P l 82:23 136:22 Driving [6 103:13 103:14 147:3 147:10 147: 15147:20 Drop [5] 119:18 144:1 145:3 154:8 178:7 Dropped [4)110:5119:8119:16 166:6 Drops [1] 120:14 brought [4)17:19 17:25 53:3 80:8 Droughts [4)17:2318:2151:13 53:2 Drunk [4] 147:2 147:10 147:15 147:20 Dry (3)45:18 47:25149:21 Dryer [1)151:19 DSM M) 134:11 bude [ I ] 185:24 Due [ I I ] 13:14 18:14 33:13 33:22 34:12 44:2 44:3 52:15 156:9 202:13 202:20 Duke [2)218:6 218:9 bumping (1) 60:19 Dunk [1] 166:21 buplexed [1] 235:19 buring [14] 12:5 31:20 35:11 40:6 46:7 53:3
51:2 73:16 78:2117:14117:14149:1 187:23 222:1 Dutch [1)160:11 Dwell [1] 96:3 Dynamic [1146:12 Dynamics [2] 38:25 42:4
2^8:20 Effective [20)30:7 53:7 91:25 93:11 101:17 103:9 103:12 104:3 122:7 122:8 122: 9 122:10 122:13 122:18 123:5 154:5 186:11 189:18 193:12 221:23 Effectively (10) 11:7 l i : 6 13:11 20:8 23:6 23:14 23:15 55:18 57:24 204:18 Effectiveness p ] 59:22 130:17 154:7 Effects (6) 54:12 57:14 63:3 63:4 149:24 194 12 Efficiencies p i 70:25 71:17 72:14 Efficiency [53] 2:16 19:5 19:25 19:25 20:1 20:7 33:14 33:14 33:16 35:23 79:15 79:18 81:11 81:16 87:1 95:17 107:12 109:3 109:11 114:19119:18120:1 124:2 124:16 125:2 127:2 127:3 127.23 128:2 126:9 128:9 128:16 129:20 130:2 130:4 130:11 131:1 131:4 132: 2 133:21 133:24 134:1 134:3 134:15 134:18 134:24 136:16 137:8 148:10 157:15177:18 205:17 218:20 Efflcient (24) 19.7 65:13 65:16 81:12 93:« 94: 2 100:19 101:9 101:18 102:23 124: 22 124:23 125:1 130:13 133:10 133: 17 133:18 134:6 134:10 136:12 157: 20 157:21 166:14 177:21 Effluent
[6) 34:14 89:8 128:7 202:5 204:15 222:11 Efforts [3] 7:14 30:9 224:24 Ego [1183:8 Eighties [4] 14:6 119:6 160:20 182:5 EIS
169:5 169:21 169:22 169:24 160:
E-mail [1] 232:24 Early [6)13:11 14:5 16:15 69:5 70:1 117:23 Earth [18] 10:15 11:3 11:14 11:17 11:19 38: 3 38:4 54:17 54:18 54:21 59:8 61:8 61:9 63:22 74:7 159:4 159:15 167:20 Earth-monitoring [1] 54:18 Ease [2)99:1 136:6 Easier [4)62:19 73:9 104:9109:21 Easiest [1)161:6 ^ aslly (5) 123:25 160:9 178:1 202:9 220:9 East [1)42:17 Easy (9) 80:19 94:21 136:5 141:2 148:6 157:12163:5 209:8 223:8 ECAC [3)229:10 229:11 229:12 Echo (1) 174:6 Echoing [11183:15 Ecologically [1] 165:5 Economic p i ) 2:6 2:13 8:5 24:16 26:12 26:21 68:2 68:3 72:3 75:17 75:18 75:23 75: 24 75:25 90:16 90:19 90:21 91:4 97: 10 98:11 98:20100:18101:22112: 23 120:20 156:20 167:23 194:12 223: 24 224:4 227:22 Economical [1)211:8 Economically [2)23:14 228:2 Economics [13] 2:14 90:17 90:22 91:5 96:12 100: 16 100:22 130:18 150:21 208:24 213: 19 214:20 227:9 Economist [2)95:16101:19 Economist's t l ) 90:18 Economists [1] 96:16 Economy [13] 30:8 75:20 76:3 85:5 85:17 100: 23 102:3 102:6 102:11145:7 145:8 145:15 203:5 Ecosystem [1] 64:4 Eddies [2)46:14 46:24 Edge [1] 29:21 Edlaon [2)69:13 218:4 Educate [3)213:4 213:6 218:22 Education (9) 83:14 83:15 133:21 180:12 180: 18 206:23 208:6 212:25 217:21 Educational [1)38:15 Effect (24) 10:13 10:24 10:25 11:8 12:23 IS: 14 48:6 52:13 52:18 64:9 56:6 64:20 94:2 130:1 153:1 156:6 161:11 187:5 194:23 212:9 213:24 217:12 223:17
[^ Either [14] 9:25 62:23 97:9 100:12 102:19 104:12 117:1 120:22134:11 149:4 176:20 178:13 194:21 230:24 EI [4] 52:25 53:1 53:2 53:3 Elect [11 98:1 Efectric [30] 1:6 2:11 3:22 4:5 5:14 5:20 28: 17 33:4 65:6 69:13 73:7 76:16 78:10 78:15 116:24 116:25 128:21 168:5 207:2 210:13 210:13 210:15 216:16 217:19 216:11 231:14 232:14 235:2 236:8 235:13 Electric's [11 3:15 Electrical [5] 96:14 129:14 134:16 134:18 134: 19 Electricity P9) 19:5 19:6 20:3 21:24 22:3 35:15 65:10 65:17 72:22 72:24 73:3 74:18 75:15 76:17 76:20 77:18 78:23 94:23 95:11 95:25 96:17 98:2 105:10 120: 19 121:9 123:9 125:3 125:4 128:20 130:22 130:25 135:21 142:8 162:22 168:14 168:16 168:19 176:8 209:6 Electromagnetic (1) 11:2 Electrotechnologles [2] 223:25 224:5 Elements [11190:3 Elephant [2)169:13 159:22 Elevation [2] 48:5 52:14 Eliminate [2)79:5158:10 Elsewhere [2)113:3178:19
Embedded [1) 100:23 Emergency (1) 97:12 Emerging [2)23:24 89:19 Emission [181 8:2 23:1 29:17 30:7 30:20 31:1 32:25 35:5 35:17 37:2 64:16 82:4 92: 17126:2 200:20 203:10 Emissions [120] 2:16 3:19 3:23 4:3 4:13 8:1 14: 16 16:16 19:14 19:21 23:12 23:13 23: 21 25:4 26:17 28:13 26:15 28:17 29: 11 30:12 30:15 30:25 31:10 31:18 31: 19 32:2 32:14 32:15 32:19 32:21 32: t s 33:5 33:6 33:9 33:11 33:16 33:22 34:1 34:3 34:6 35:14 35:20 35:22 36: i 36:19 36:24 53:17 66:7 61:6 62:10 62:16 64:25 65:4 74:12 74:16 74:17 75:9 78:4 76:25 77:2 82:10 88:21 88: 25 89:1 89:26 91:8 91:13 91:14 92: 20 93:6 93:22 93:23 94:1 94:8 110: 15 111:17 114:3 115:8 115:24 116: 14124:6124:11 125:11 128:10128: 26 129:2 129:3 129:15 130:1 132:10 133:24 134:4137:5 141:6 168:3 175: 11 176:16189:4189:11 189:12 189: 13 189:19 190:20 194:9 194:9 194: 24 195:6 196:8 197:9 200:25 202:15 304:11 209:15 221:22 222:4 224:14 327:12 230:16 230:22 230:23 Emit p) 77:13 92:22 227:13 Emits (2) 73:2 73:3 Emitted [1)77:18 Emitters [4)22:182:162:10 212:3 EmItUng p) 66:3 65:10 106:23 Emotion [4] 149:20 149:23 160:7 150:11 Emotional [4)147:14 148:6168:1 158:8 Emotionally p ] 160:14150.18151.14 Emphasize [2)34:10 203:16 Empirical [2)43:7 44:12 Employ [1] 20:20 Employed [31136:12176:1 Employees [1176:21 Empower [ l l 219:3 Empowered [D 164:22 Empty [2] 170:3 183:13 Enables (1) 227:15 Enact [2)199:16 202:8 Enacted [2)204:1 204:16 Enactment [1] 203:9 Enamored [1] 98:24 Encompass y] 203:20
ncom passes [11135:i Encourage [^6:1110:2 155:17 Encouraged Cij 113:4 174:25 Encouraging T4) 101:11173:6 186:8 200:12 (27) 5:4 17:10 19:5 40:10 64:9 96:12 90:7 98:20 113:15 115:25 121:5 124: 12 125:5 125:7 125:8 125:13 129:9
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/( 129:14135:18 211:8 211:25 212:19 213:17 227:8 231:8 231:9 231:25 Ended [2)55:16 147:10 Ending [3) 98:4^147:16 235:11 Ends [1] 178:7 Endured [1] 221:21 Energized [1] 100:17 Energy [280] 2:4 2:12 2:15 2:16 2:16 2:17 2: 24 3:9 3:24 7:11 7:13 7:23 8:7 8:9 8: 20 19:21 20:5 20:7 22:4 24:4 24:6 27: 13 27:16 27:19 27:22 27:23 28:1 29: 8 29:9 29:10 29:11 31:16 31:17 31: 19 32:21 33:5 33:21 34:22 35:2 35: 14 35:14 35:23 35:24 36:1 36:25 37: 1 64:19 64:22 65:16 66:2 66:3 66:5 71:7 72:10 76:13 77:6 77:9 79:15 79: 15 79:18 79:19 80:13 80:16 80:18 60: 20 80:25 81:2 81:10 81:11 81:16 81: 18 83:22 84:14 84:17 84:17 87:1 87: 1 87:4 87:6 87:13 87:17 93:6 94:24 95:3 97:14 100:19 103.22 107:12 107:20 109:2 109:2 109:3 110:18 114:15 114:16 114:17 114:10 115:4 115:9 115:10 115:18 115:24 116:2 116:3 116:4 116:5 116:8 116:10 118: 15 116:24 117:2 117:3 117:5 117:16 117:18 118:8 119:10 120:23 121:21 122:24 123:7 124:1124:6 124:10 124:11 124:20 125:8 125:10 125:24 126:5 126:10 126:18 126:18 127:10 127:23 127:23 128:2 128:3 128:9 128:9 128.17 128:18 129:4 129:10 129:20 129:21 130:2 130:3 130:4 130:12130:16130:18131:1 131:4 131:24 132:2 132:18 133:20 134:1 134:2 134:3 134:6 134:10 134:15 134:24 135:2 135:22 135:25 136:10 136:12 136:18 136:21 137:3 137:4 138:20 139:13 141:13 141:16 141:23 142:19 142:21 144:5 145:20 146:1 146:3 146:7 146:8 146:14 146:10 149:5 149:11 160:2 160:8 162:1 164: 15 164.16 165:14 165:15165:16 166: 17 167:25 171:11 171:25 172:2 172: 15 175:1 175:6 176:14 177:2 177:5 178:21 178:24 178:25 179:18 180:15 182:4 164:7 188:9 199:6 199:17 200: 7 200:14 200:18 201:16 201:18 201: 19 202:10 202:12 202:15 203:7 203: 20 203:22 203:25 204:2 204:2 204:5 204:5 204:6 205:6 205:11 205:16 205:18 206:19 206:21 207:7 207:15 207:17 207:24 208:13 208:14 208:16 200:4 209:13 209:14 210:10 210:21 211:0 211:11 211:18 211:21 212:10 213:10 213:20 213:25 214:6 214:23 216:4 216:8 217:4 217:21 218:6 218: 9 218:20 218:21 225:3 225:9 225:24 226:10 226:17 228:15 Energy-efficient [1)100:19 Energy-related y] 35:14
nergy-savlng [1] 97:14 Energy-using [1] 95:3 Enforce (1) 92:3 Enforcement [1] 193:6 Engage (1) 79:3 Engagement [21187:19 188:7 Engine [1] 33:14 Engineer [1] 132:4 Engineering (1) 96:14
Engineers (1) 06:16 English
-niw?2 Enhance [3)15:9 24:5 24:6 Enhanced (1) 20:22 En)oyed [1)114:11 Enjoying [2)40:18 173:10 Enlighten [1] 191:19 Enormous [5) 123:11 162:21 175:10 175:14 193 Enronomlcs [3) 228:7 228:9 229:6 Ensurs [2] 84:23 102:4 Enterprises [1)81:14 Enthused [2)21:17 21:18 Entire [6] 75:20 176:7 210:4 221:21 232:5 »5:18 Entirely [4)26:7 77:10 77:11 102:20 Entities P) 92:18 227:13 Entitlements [1] 93:7 Environment [3)37:164:21 170:21 Environmental [26] 2:9 2:12 7:12 10:2 23:15 29:12 29:13 34:18 66:6 67:24 68:15 87:4 87:8 100:19 100:20 103:23 170:14 175:10 175:15 175:22 194:11 194:23 201:7 208:20 212:5 Environomy [1] 100:23 EPA [12] 29:15 29:24 30:24 31:14 34:4 36; 23 37:1 37:5 75:6 77:2 201:11 222:5 EPRI [1) 19:22 Equal [1] 97:17 Equalize [1)93:12 Equally [1] 10:21 Equates [1)210:19 Equation [8] 64:7 102:2 105:1 107:18 118:21 147:16172:21 179:3 Equations [1) 108:6 Equipment [4] 81:12 133:16 133:17 133:16 Equitable [1)221:23 Equivalence [2)77:18112:12 Equivalencies [1] 172:6 Equivalerwy [2] 126:13 126:16 Equivalent (12) 31:8 31:10 126:25 126:4 126:4 126:7 126:11 126:13 126:19 126:21 127:4 127:7 ER [1] 203:14 Era [1] 14:21 ERC [1] 27:22 ERC's [1] 203:23 Erode [1] 48:22 Eroding (1) 48:24 Erosion [3)8:12 170:25171:1 Eros I on-rate-based
[1]171:1 Error [I) 17:6 Escaped [1)72:18 Especially [6] 6:6 42:12 72:6 96:24 98:18 203:2 Essence [1)106:13 Essentially ( I I ) 49:12 104:23 111:12 208:15 210 11 210:22 211:21 212:7 212:13 227: 12 227:15 Establish ri) 92:3 Established [6) 14:4 14:7 42:11 66:5 191:24 208:
Estimate [6) 28:15 31:21 33:25 96:13 160:22 204:12 I Estimated | [4)34:4 34:6 62:16 204:17 Estimates | [17] 28:14 28:19 29:17 30:15 31:1 32; 2 32:11 32:12 32:13 32:16 34:11 34: 24 200:18 200:20 201:10 203:10 222: 4 Estimations (1) 36:7 Et (2) 109:5 228:7 Ethanol (22) 51:25 74:24 75:2 77 3 77:3 77:4 77:6 77:7 126:15 126:161126:17 126: 20 126:21 126:22 126:24 164:2 164: 5 164:8 164:15 164:18 164:20 165:21 Ethical [1] 164:3 Euro [1)156:18 Europe [2)212:8 227:16 European [6] 21:5 23:5 24:25 92:12 212:14 Evaluate [1) 194:6 Evaluated (1) 201:17 Evaluating [1) 30:13 Evaluation [1] 5:10 Evaporation [4)52:7 52:10 52:16 52:19 Event [2] 150:0 219:16 Events [2)18:22 213:11 Eventually [6)18:17 56:3107:17171:11 191:22 229:17 Everyday [1)168:12 Everywhere [1] 180:6 Evidence P) 40:14 40:1641:7 Evident [1)9:10 Evoke [1] 148:4 Evolution [1)173:12 Evolve [1] 183:24 Evolved (1)229:18 Ewa [1)117:20 Exact [1)144:15 Exactly [8] 63:16 153:16 166:12 211:20 214: 18 215:13 228:9 229:20 I Examine | [4)41:7 51:18 80:15 229:19 Examined I
Ti!]m:9 224:10 Example [44] 12:21 32:10 61:14 62:20 69:4 72: 21 73:17 74:11 74:23 76:12 85:6 95: 1 95:6 96:7 97:11 98:4 101:5 110:17 111:22 112.9 122:23 140:10 140.21 151:22 155:26 157:16 157:24 172:25 179:12 179:14 192:7 195:2 196:15 199:7 201:25 207:10 208:7 211:25 212:8 213:10 215:23 220:18 222:4 227:16 Examples [2)71:20136:24 Exceed [3)39:11 83:4160:12 Exceeds [1] 52:16 Excellent [21127:21 172:17 Except p) 63:8 144:20 182:1 Excess [3)18:16 97:21 99:11 Exchange (3)23:23 228:20 232:13 Excise [1] 103:20 Excited 12] 139:23 177:12 Exciting [1] 169:6 Excluded [1)58:17 Excludes [ I ] 100:16 Excuse [ I I ] 24:8 29:9 38:22 39:5 41:17 61: 23 67:4 63:19 110:8 159:12 210:25 Execute [11214:13 Executive [1)3:6 Exercise [1)25:11 Exhausted II) 158:22 Exhaustive [21101:10191:10 Exhibits [21235:20 235:20 Exist P) 60:11 69:11 180:8 Existing [6) 65:13 104:3 135:5 196:17 199:16 20>:19 Exists [2)70:5181:17 Expand [1] 101:8 Expanding [2] 35:23 74:25 Expands (1) 40:4 Expansion [3] 42:24 44:3 80:4 Expect [10) 18:1 32:3 51:2 61:3 70:24 79:26 80:2 80:4 80:9 148:6 Expectations [1] 182:1 Expected [2] 40:8 132:24 Expedite [1] 235:6 Expeditiously (1) 79:6 Expense [1] 180:21 Expensive [12110:6 106:14 119:7 133:12 133: 14 137:2 137:2 167:19 161:2 181:7 164:7166.24 Experience [11) 45:25 49:9 63:1 58:6 92:11 106: 18 110:22 118:16 143:3 145:2 191:15 Experienced [2)39:23 173:14 Experiences
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/8 I W [1] 206:1 Experiencing [7)39:7 41:11 41:13 43:20 47:25 56: 9 173:1 Expert (1) 112:10 Experts (3) 28:23 37:5 206:8 Explain [2] 34:5 34:9 Explaining (1)213:9
[2)194:15194:17 Exploit [1)80:14 Explore [1] 147:24 Explored [1)196:16 Exponentially [2] 172:13 172:15 Exported [1] 31:22 Exporting [1)144:17 Express ri) 54:13 Expressly [1) 83:25 Extend [1] 42:2 Extendable (1) 176.7 Extends P l 42:7 43:8 Extent IS) 95:22 204:9 204:23 224:11 230:7 Externalities [2)72:20100:25 Extra r n 132:7 142:3 144:20 160:19 161:3 161:10 162:19 Extract [6] 42:1 160:21 161:8 161:11 161:16 165:12 Extracted [1] 166:1 Extraordinary [1] 65:25 Extreme [1] 149:1 Extremely [3] 42:3 42:14 70:16 Extremes (1) 18:20 Exxon [1] 69:12 Eye [1)88:10 Eyes [2] 142:25 186:1
Face [4)24:23 101:1 101:13 217:5 Facilitate (2)133:20 134:13 Facilitating [1)208:13 Facilities [3)49:6 107:23 111:11 Facility [6] 49:14 49:17 77;19 81:5 132:7 202; 11 Facing [3)95:21 97:22142:16 Fact [22119:24 21:10 32:22 41:17 49:11 58:22 60:6 61:11 63:23 83:2 129:1 133:22 149:7 150:2 159:20 159:23 162:4 172:7 172:24 194:14 198:22 203:4 Factor (11 215.4 Factors [11] 14:22 31:12 31:16 32:12 112:14
117:4 190:23190:24 213:19 215:6 227:15 Facts [1] 158:9 Fahrenheit [2)11:1711.18 Fails [1)133:16 Fair [4] 24:17 24:21 24:23 229:5 Fairiy [3)28:20149:21 165:6 Faith [1] 22:13 Fall [4] 83:17 84:18 109:11 109:11 Falling [1)141:3 Falls [1] 45:7 Familiar [4122:12 27:17 47:22190:4 Famous 12)112:10 212:1 Fan [3] 116:4 142:16 142:19 Fans [4] 136:6 142:18 142:18 142:20 Fantastic [1] 38:15 Far (16) 28:24 32:20 42:2 50:17 53:23 63; 15 63:17 99:17 108:16 151:6 158:9 175:2 179:5 182:2 185:14 189:13 197:20 197:22 Farm [2] 108:19 216:7 Farmer [3)144:19 144:21 144:21 Fam>3 [2] 79:23 79:24 Fascinating [1] 185:25 Fashion [2)21:10 21:19 Fast [41128:6165:10184:8 206:2 Faster [4114:23 51:1 106:2 205:23 Fate (1)77:25 Faulty [1] 75:12 Favor [1)81:1 Favorite (5) 20:1 82:15145:19 145:22 167:19 Fax [1] 235:16 Fear P] 57:6 57:7 Feasible [2)189:18 224:9 Features ri) 97:24 Federal [8] 54:22 105:23 134:4 135:9 199:14 214:11 227:10 228:3 Fee (1) 209:21 Feeble (1)221:10 Feed [3)46.4 144:20166:5 Feed-In [11] 206:21 211:20 211:20 212:1 212: 8 212:8 212:9 212:14 212:16 212:18 212:21 Feedback (2) 6:17 55:7 Feedbacks [2)11:23 18:15 Feeds [_2] 46:4 166:2 Feedstock [5] 2:19 115:3 126:24 159:9 182:6 Feelings
[3)ig:1513B::!21&H:9 Fees (1) 112:25 Feet P) 17:1 45:21 170:24 Fell [1] 232:2 Felt [2] 72:2 196:5 Fer [1)113:13 Few (23) 5:17 7:17 7:24 21:22 29:5 36:10 38:18 38:24 39:19 44:15 45:21 46:19 55:22 63:21 67:2 79:22 83:3 91:19 119:2 142:8 191:9 201:3 232:6 Fewer [3)41:6 41:6 149:8 Fiber [2)143:15 143:16 Fiction [1)13:5 Field [3] 28:24 87:12 216:11 Fields [2] 75:8 86:1 Fifth p ] 84:23 88:4 167:14 Fifties [1)12:4 Fifty [11141:19 Rght (1) 167.23 f i gu re [12] 82:7 95:25 96:16 104:10 163:4 164:15 184:16 191:16 192:24 224:16 227:14 228:1 Filed (11 232:19 Filed: Sign (1) 23^:24 Fill [1] 5:11 Fill ing [21115:12164:24 Film [1] 67:11 Films [1] 69:16 Filter [2110:8 142:4 Final (10)4:13 9:8 9:817:21 25:7 38:1 61: 25 90:15 159:2 188:4 Finally [12) 8:10 24:16 85:18116:25 127:4 147:18 148:11 153:7 153:25154:23 156:19 158:18 Finance [1] 134:10 Financing (1)214.15 Findings [2] 28:21 200:19 Fine [21103:11 108:24 Fingers [1] 50:9 Finished [2)38:19 147:7 Fire P) 38:3 153:18 183:25 Fired (1)161:20 Firing [1)122:11 Firmly [1] 79:2 Firms [3)92:9 93:12 101:1 First P6] 4:10 7:8 7:15 7:17 7:19 8:1 6:8 8:15 0:16 14:6 22:4 25:2 27:2 29:16 30:19 32:11 32:15 39:18 50:17 55:9 58:18 65:5 68:9 77:10 70:12 87:13 61:6 99:21 99:22 105:22109:24 114: 1 114:1 128:16 130:8 130:11 132:3
133:1 133:1 133:2133:4133:9133: 22 134:7 134:25 135:2 137:8 137:24 137:25 140:2 140:3 140:4 147:25 148:17 153:4 167:11 168:11 168:11 168:12 176:15 177:19 183:25 188:13 190:17 193:7 201:5 207:5 210:17 218:19 219:21 219:24 219:25 222:14 224:2 231:12 Fll (1) 167:21 Fits [2)167:23 228:6 Five [1814:7 32:1 67:23 98:17 114:3 121: 18 122:16 139:5 145:9 168:16 180: 10 217:19 217:20 217:20 217:21 217: 23 218:4 210:7 Fix (1) 109:5 Fixed (2)98:10 207:14 Flash II] 100:23 Flashlight [1)8:24 Flat p) 10:15 97:3 Fleet [1] 82:19 Fletcher [13)2:7 8:11 36:1 36:10 38:12 52:11 64:13 66:22 68:4 58:6 69.12 63:5 63: 20 Flex [1] 96:22 Ffexibillty [1] 222:18 Flexible [1] 109:22 Flight [11106:23 Flood [2)47:19185:8 Flooding nn 46:25 46:3
[2] 65:24177:5 Florida [31216:1 216:7 217:25 Ffow p ] 101:16138:10 Flows [1] 102:4 Fluctuations [1] 25:2 Fluorescent
81:12 135:16 143:25 168:22 181: g 181:10 213:10 213:13 Fluorescents
133:1 160:24 167:3 179:25 213:6 lux
[1] 66:4 Focus 13] 21:25 30.16 38:2074:6 01:5 112:
i 1 116:16 128:8 142:9 167:2 189:3 189:4 204:15 Focused [8] 29:10 29:11 30:6 30:8 35:23 61:8 90:9 188:26 Focusing [2)21:24 64:2 Focussing (1) 208:18 Folk [1] 10:15 Folks [21] 5:7 5:11 110:23 114:8 114:12 148:22 149:2 149:6 149:9 151:18 152:14 154:3 154:6 154:20 155:14 168:9 160:3 187:14 188:5 220:15 232:8 Folllcley [1] 8:23 Follow [01 25:14 68:13 68:24 165:7 164:20
Follow-up [1] 214:24
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/1 Followed [2] 129:12 214:5 Fol lowing [3114.7134.20 202:13 Follows [1] 155:9 Food [7163:10 71:6 71:8 05:1 149:19 187: 6 220:6 Foodstock [1] 63:8 Foot [4] 45:13 47:18 144:6 144:7 Footprint [8] 110:4 110:4 110:9 111:1 111:2 129:4 226:12 227:18 Force [201 21:11 79:2 79:20 64:21 69:2 91: 22 91:24 92:6 94:18 99:13 189:20 191:1 102:12 102:20 103:1 193:9 193:10 195:20 224:21 224:24 Forced [D 52:14 Forces (1) 40:1 Forcing [6114:17 31:4 75:1 112:23 112:24 Forcings [2)16:315:15 Forecasts [1] 190:9 Foregoing [3)234:8 214:11234:13 Foreseeable [1] 106:23 Forest [3] 81:20 85:6 94:11 Forestry (1) 94:12 Forests [4)15:11 65:23 72:1 80:8 Forget [4) 85:19 136:8 166:25 184:24 Forgive r i ) 229:20 Form [9] 6:10 43:18 101:24 102:6 116:13 122:9176:21 204:4 209:8 Forma p ] 211:12 211:16 Format (1)4:25 Formation [1189:2 Formations ra) 20:17 20:21 104:17 Formed [3)16:6138:18184:5 Former [IJ 72:9 Forms [4] 69:24 116:25 189:20 231:13 Formulas [2] 30:23 30:24 Formulate [1] 6:19 Formulat ion (1)113:6 Forth [1)199:11 Fortunate [1)184:24 Fortunately (1) 146:24 Forum [6] 3:10 7:13 114:18 114:25 146:15 196:17 Forward [16] 5:25 6:3 6:8 8:9 6:19 7:5 81:6 92:2 132:16 133:11 134:9 168:23 177:19 181:15 198:1 201:3 Forward-looking [1)198:1 Forwards [1) 106:2 Nossil [40] 14:15 17:16 19:6 33:2 35:25 61:
10146:4161:1164:1172:4 22!>:25 226:13 Fulfll l (1] 40.13 Full (12) 3:5 3:10 4:15 79:20 04:10 86:5 97:9 97:18 97:22 100:24 157:25 235: 18 Fully [3)29:24 78:19 80:1 Fumes [1] 72:22 Fun [4)146:23 166:21 187:1187:1 Function [1) 118:20 Functional [2)34:12199:12 Functions [3] 36:4 199:5 203:24 r u n d P) 176:19 200:4 208:5 Fundamental [1] 29:1 Fundamentally [1] 56:8 Funded [5] 29:24 34:14 63:23 69:12 203:3 Funding |
S 13:0 30:2 54:10 54:10 54:20 54: 201:13 I
Funds I [31134:11176:21 177:21 Future I [39] 2:19 13:19 13:22 17:3 16:12 25: 10 36.4 43:12 44.14 40.10 53-.11 55: 4 56:12 70:4 80:11 80:18 68:14 108: 23 108:15 109:0 100:9 115:3 117:25 110:17 146:4 153:25 157:5 157:9 169:9 159:19 167:7 167:11 171:10 171:11 173:4 182.18 185:6 195:9 207:24 Future's (11108:23
P?.
6 611:8 70:1 70:11 70:14 70:15 70:16 70:17 70:18 71:14 71:15 75:13 76:22 76:23 77:11 77:12 79:5 83:9 64:3 84: 11 102:23 105:25 110.19 111:19 112: I 112:5 112:9 112:12 112:14 116:12 124:10 125:24 128:12 140:10 172:4 Fossil-effic lent [1] 102:23 Fossil-fuel-intensive [1] 70:16 Foundation (2)30:18172:20 Foundations (1) 68:22 Four p2) 4:8 7:16 15:8 16:1 63:9 64:11 64; 12 67:23 68:4 79:23 83:25 107:15 113:13 123:13 156:4 163:23 184:25 206:12 206:20 206:25 210:16 216:11 Four-fer-one (1)113:13 Foxtrot [1] 199:22 Fraction M] 154:8 Fragile (1)86:15 Fram [1] 10:5 Frame (3)67:8121:13 224:10 Framework [10] 30:4 30:12 56:24 194:15 196:1 196:1 196:7 200:9 200:15 224:8 Francisco [1116:13 Frankly [8] 22:12 22:16 48:18 49:3 164:2 166: 21 201:1 206:15 Fraud [1113.2 Free [2)10:3 65:1 Freedman (13) 2:22 188:11 188:12 188:17 188: 19 188:21 223:18 224:2 224:7 225: 13 225:22 230:8 231:7 Frequent [1] 16:23 Frequently [2] l60:14 160:14 Fresh p ] 59:20 164:4 Freshwater [6] 59:11 69:14 60:7 60:16 60:19 60: 20 Friday [6] 1:15 146:24 234:7 235:4 235:10 235:12 Friend (1)8:10 Frog [1] 72:1 F rom-the-cradle-to-the-g rave [1] 124:7 Front [1] 48:23 Fruit m 129:20 129:24 130:6 138:21 218:
Frustration (1)103:13 Fuel [54] 31:22 33:7 33:15 33:16 33:19 36: 17 62:17 62:23 69:8 70:1 70:15 70: 16 70:18 70:18 71:14 76:22 76:23 77: I I 77:12 79:6 82:3 82:4 82:5 84:3 64: 11 85:1108:7 106:8 108:11 107:20 110:16 110:19 112:1 112:5 112:9 112:12 112:15 124:10 124:12 124:25 125:24 128:12 141:19 164:4 164:9 164:21 165:4 167:3 167:5 167:12 212:3 229:13 229:17 229:24 Fuel-switching (1) 107:20 Fuels [23] 17:16 31:22 31:23 31:23 33:3 36: 25 61:6 70:12 70:14 71:15 75:13 63: 10 105:25 111:19 116:12 130:16 140:
G8
2)61:15 adsen
[2)187:13167:15 Gain [1] 72:3 Gaining (2)39:6165.15 Gal (1) 54:16 Gallon [4)19:8 73:21 77:4 142:1 Gallons I (4)60:18 60:19 126:19126:22 Gallup
g) 146:18 ame
(2)138:9 221:4 Gap
8) 120:21 arbaga
(2) 107-20 161:23 Garbage-to-energy (1) 107:20 Gary [1612:2510:17 10:17 16:5 16:517: 18 20:11 54:4 54:6 54:7 66:23 67:7 67:20 231:11 231:16 235:13 Gary's I [2] 54:2 99:20 { Gary [email protected] [1] 235:17 j Gas I [100] 2:3 2:5 2:22 3:19 3:23 4:2 4:13 7:25 8:2 8:16 6:19 10:12 10:24 11:6 11:11 11:21 20:23 21:8 26:15 26:17 26:20 26:7 28:9 28:19 29:17 29:19 32:14 33:1 36:17 35:20 36:3 36:24 37:2 63:17 65:4 55:12 62:10 64:15 66:4 76:3 76:4 75:9 76:3 76:18 78:25 79:7 82:1 82:10 84:2 84:24 86:4 86: 2188:25 89:1 111:13 112:20 114:3
115:24116:13116:22124:6124:10 126:2 128:23 129:15 141:20 142:5 156:23160:25161:1161:2 161:16 166:5 166:12 166:14 166:24 175:11 175:16 179:1 168:18 169:19 194:9 195:5 197:4 199:13 200:1 200:16 200:25 201:5 201:10 201:25 202:2 202:15 203:8 203:10 204:11 209:5 217:19 221:20 221:22 Gases P3111:6 11:9 11:15 11:10 12:1 12: 24 22:1 30:17 31:3 31:13 55:6 65:18 73:2 73:4 74:6 74:18 76:2 77:13 77: 16 79:18 102:11 190:22 190:24 192: 17 193:15 204:10 208:5 206:9 206: 14 223:25 224:1 224:5 224:6 Gasoline [6] 33:1 102:22 102:25 103:20 124: 25166:21 Gate (1)16:13 Gather [1] 189:22 Gathered [1] 86:2 Gathering [1] 190:8 Gene [1] 182:20 Gene-spliced g] 182:20
eneral [9] 28:11 31:8 53:6 66:6 81:17 89:11 103:20168:24 207:3 Generalized [1)215:18 Generally [5] 29:3 32:8 211:3 214:12 215:2 Generate [3)33:7 97:14 216:3 Generated [3)90:5135:20135:21 Generates [1] 215:25 generat ing M] 97:21 Generation [23] 12:21 19:7 33:6 35:15 81:2 81:3 00:8 96:1 95:0 96:11 95:20 95:22 96: 26 105:10 109:4 125:18 128:12 132: 8 133:4 183:7 184:21 187:6 209:25 Generations [2)68:14187:10 Generator [2)97:11 214:5 Oenerators [2) 33:2 96:25 Genetic [1] 182:22 Genetically
g)181:22 eography
Geologic p ] 40:14 40:16 Geological [1] 20:12 Geology p) 2:8 38:2 38:10 Geophysical (1) 12:5 Geophysics [3) 2:8 38:2 38:10 George [1] 21:12 Geothermal (5) 80:6 116:17 116:18 207:17 226:24 Gemiany [31105:11156:17 211:25 GHG [312:16115:8 168:3 Gigantic [11208:15 Gigawatt [11216:12 Gmawatts' [1] 20:3 Giggles
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ m [1127:12 Giri [1] 88:9 Gist [1)15:2 Giveaway [116:23 Given [14] 7:2 26:13 35:19 42:12 45:2 49: 24 52:17 56:5 110:19 145:22 184:10 185.12198:23 202.13 Glaciers (2)43:18 43:19 Glad [IJ 76:7 Glass [2)143:12 143:12 Glimmer [1] 172:21 Global [55) 3:18 3:25 4:3 5:22 6:25 6:3 9:11 9:12 14:2216:316:1131:1 31:5 31:7 39:10 39:12 39:21 39:25 40:1 42:25 43:21 43:23 43:25 44:9 44:12 44:13 53:6 54:9 54:12 57:13 69:8 69:11 76: 19 78:21 78:24 90:1 101:6 101:13 101:18 113:1 117:4 148:19 153:10 153:20 153:22 155:20 156:23 158:15 158:16 159:18 160:13 170:12 172:12 183:8 197:12 Globally [3] 94:2 149:22 162:3 Globe (5) 51:6 53:6 65:8 149:24 150:4 Glued [1)186:2 GMO [2)182:20 182:20 Goal [3)54:22 56:24 112:22 Goals 6) 22:14 22:20 23:16 30:4 56:10 87:
Governments [3)68:2189:24131:3 Governor [5] 189:8 202:6 219:22 220:7 220:20 Governor's [2)27:23 204:13 Grabbed [1)22:7 Grad [1] 120:6 Grade [2)96:15 167:14 Graders [1) 88:6 Gradually [1) 92:20 Graduate [1] 195:6 Graduates [1] 196:6 Grail (1) 165:9 Grandchildren [1] 10:8 Grandfather (1) 174:20 Grandparents [1] 83:21 Grant (5) 29:14 29:21 29:22 30:23 208:5 Granted [1)11:11 Grants P) 29:16 178:21 201:11 Graph [5] 13:20 16:1 96:3 130:20 156:12 Graphic (1)41:10 Graphs [1] 36:12 Grasslands (1) 65:23 Grave [2)113:1124:7 Gravel [1)49:15 Gray [2)17:5 217:17 Great [44] 54:15 58:23 66:13 67:18 68:20 75:5 78:6 79:4 81:2 62:22 62:25 84:1 85:18 86:12 88:13 86:14 86:25 99:1 99:3 121:15 122:13 136:12 137:11 142:24 146:2 146:7 151:22 163:24 164:22 165:5 170:10 179:14 180:15 185:17 187:21 187:22 202:4 213:2 213:4 213:5 217:20 217:21 217:23 223:20 Greater m 43:2 62:7 73:5 102:23 129:22 131; 21 132:2 Greatest [4)32:21 33:4 48:11 171:14 Greatly [1] 232:12 Greed [1] 164:23 Green [66] 5:5 46:13 70:21 70:25 71:15 77: 7 99:21 148:8 149:5 168:8 184:10 184:19 206:19 206:20 207:9 207:12 207:13 207:13 207:19 207:22 207:24 208:15 209:12 209:24 210:7 210:10 211:2 211:6 211:18 212:10 212:23 213:20 213:24 215:22 215:23 217:6 217:10 217:12 217:14 217:16 217:22 217:23 217:25 218:1 218:1 218:4 216:7 218:11 218:12 218:12 216:16 216:15 218:21 225:3 225:9 225:16 225:23 226:10 227:5 227:7 227:20 228:6 228:14 228:18 228:21 229:4 Greenhouse (115) 2:3 2:5 2:22 3:19 3:23 4:2 4:13 7:25 8:1 6:16 8:19 10:12 10:24 10:25 11:811:811:11 11:1611:21 11:25 21:7 22:1 26:15 26:17 26:20 28:7 28: 9 28:19 29:17 29:10 30:17 32:14 35: 17 35:20 36:3 36:24 37:2 53:17 55:4 55:12 62:10 64:15 65:4 65:18 73:2
, 73:4 74:8 74:18 75:3 /5:4 75:9 76:2 76:3 77:13 77:16 70:25 79:7 79:17 82:1 62:10 84:2 84:24 06:4 88:21 88: 25 89:1 102:10111:12 112:20114:3 115:24 116:13 124:6 124:10 126:2 175:11 175:16 179:1 188:16 189:3 169:10 189:12 169:19 190:20 190:22 190:24 192:17 193:15 195:5 196:8 197:4 199:13 200:1 200:18 200:25 201:5 201:10 201:25 202:2 202:15 203:8 203:10 204:10 204:11 206:5 208:9 206:14 221:20 221:22 223:25 224:1 224:4 224:6 224:13 230:16 Greening [2)81:18 85:12
Greenland (19) 16:2518:17 38:23 39.1 40:2 41 10 41:13 41:21 41:23 42:5 43:23 67 10 57:22 58:1 58:18 69:20 69:21 69 22 69:24 Greg (1) 50:5 Grid [12] 97:25 109:17 121:7 121:13 122: 22 123:22 211:22 212:5 214:3 215:2 216:24 217:5 Gross (2) 19:14 62:17 Ground (8) 33:9 35:15 59:15 59:16 76:9 124: 21149:22 165:3 Groundwater [2)59:24 171:7 Group [22] 1:6 3:8 6:13 6:14 6:18 6:21 28:4 38:14 38:19 63:25 85:25 66:7 90:15 90:25 155:15 155:16 184:5 232:6 232:8 232:18 235:3 235:9 Groups (4)88:7 142:9186:14 221:19 Grow [11] 41:6 73:17 73:18 73:23 83:22 88 10 90:11 112:10145:7164:4165:12 Growing [6112:13 51:15 73:19 164:22 172:13
Grown [1)31:19 Growth [11] 31:21 33:5 34:6 104:21 104:22 130:24 172:11 172:21 173:1 173:8 173:16 Guaranteed [1] 144:24 Guess [17) 56:17 66:4 90:18 100:7 110:3 118:7 174:23 175:5 176:1 181:13 187:6 193:2 197:2 219:5 223:21 227: 22 229:9 Guessing (1) 223:18 Guests (1) 27:8 Guidance [3)88:21 199:13 199:19 Guide [1)214:22 Guidelines [1] 90:5 Gulf [1] 150:8 Gut (1) 69:3 Guy [3)64:15 163:2 186:6 Guys [3)98.16 149:25 231:10 Guzzlers [1)166:12 GWP [1)32:12
"ii Golden (1) 16:13 Gonna (114] 4:18 8:14 8:23 9:24 10:3 10:7 10:10 10:13 13:22 14:11 16:12 17:19 18:23 20:10 20:25 21:14 21:15 22:19 22:21 25:17 25:24 26:5 26:14 28:25 37:15 38:6 46:9 46:24 46:19 48:22 49:18 50:8 51:11 51:25 53:10 54:15 64:17 56:21 58:23 59:1 59:4 61:19 65:20 66:9 66:16 70:12 70:13 81:20 85:23 86:24 90:17 92:1 93:16 102:1 106:25 107:22 107:22 107:23 114:15 123:19 127:23 130:11 130:11 130:21 132:13 134:20 139:17 140:2 146:15 161:8 151:7 151:7 153:8 153:16 153; 19 161:23 183:25 184:10 164:15 169: 10 171:8 171:7 176:1 180:2 183:3 187:18189:12 189:16191:1 191:17 192:4 194:6 197:13 201:3 206:0 223; 0 223:21 223:22 223:22 224:12 224: 20 224:21 224:23 226:2 230:8 230:9 230:14 230:18 230:25 231:3 231:3 231:7 232:16 232.17 Good-sized [1)81:5 Goodness [1)51:8 Goods [21179:18179:20 Goodwill [3] 208:20 212:5 228:15 Google [1] 167:20 Gore [21154:3 165:11 Gorilla [1] 179:16 Government (161 2:23 30:9 54:22 60:10 61:11 61: 13 61:13 166:11 166:18 173:3 185:1 190:7199:2 199:15 212:21 Govemment's P l 27:16 61:12 199:6 Governmental [1] 58:24
H H-Power [3180:12 95:1 178:16 Habit [21150:22151:18 Habits
IECO IRP Techtiical Session; 6/ [I1j-83:24 Haiku [212:22188:17 Hair 11)7:21 Half P l ) 5:3 14:15 16:21 25:4 43:22 44:4 44:6 45:1 45:2 45:3 48:9 47:21 46:10 83:1 94:25 95:8 107:16 124:21 128:6 162:6169:18 Halfway [2) 05:8 95:9 Halves (1) 143:6 Hamakua r i ] 60:0 Hamnett [4)2:2 3:2 3:6 188:6 Hand [9) 10:2 30:22 30:22 83:2 99:2 106: 14160:5187:15 203:4 Handful
R) 208:11 andle
R] 101:11 andout
R ] 232:24 andouts 15:8 ands
67:1 66:23 67:15 67:17 137:20 6:23 177:7
Handwriting 1112:18179:7 andy
1] 154:16 ang
2)25:13 232:4 angina
6] 129:26 129:24 130:5 136:21 218: 232:9
Hansen
E] 61:10 153:11 ansen'e
M)18:4 Happy [1] 163:13 Harbor [3)48:2 48:7 60:4 Harbors [2163:6 63:12 Hard [6] 13:19 35:3 53:9 96:25 139:21 167: IHarder [1] 145:25 Hardship [1] 97:21 Hannn [11147:9 Hamessed 1) 146:1
Harnessing [1)83:18 Hashiro (10) 2:25 16:5 67:10 169:12 231:11 231:16 231:20 235:13 236:19 235:20 Hated [D 133:6 Hats J4] 7:20 7:20 7:23 28:13 Have/have [1)101:23 Have/have-not
fl ] 101:23 l a w a i i
[100] 1:17 1:24 3:7 3:18 4:11 8:7 7: 23 8:8 8:11 8:12 10:19 17:22 22:24 29:20 26:15 26:16 27:21 28:19 29:20 31:23 33:24 34:1 34:7 37:2 38:7 45: 10 50:19 51:14 52:24 64:12 63:0 63: 26 64:5 64:8 64:15 64:24 66:16 67: 23 71:21 71:21 73:20 76:25 79:4 81: 18 82:12 83:19 85:11 85:11 85:12 85: 21 06:9 87:22 91:10 91:19 98:16 101; 13 101:22 104:14 105:7 106:8 105: 19 106:13 108:11 108:12 109:15109: 17 113:10 114:20 115:14 128:11 129:
6 129:16129:22133:13133:21 138: 3 140:8 140:15 149:18 155:16 156: 11 159:3 165:4 182:3 182:12 182:14 189:12 200:12 202:2 202:22 205:16 216:16 216.24 217:5 221:24 227:6 231:22 234:1 234:6 234:19 Hawai'i 's [7] 27:19 29:24 32:14 116:10 200:9 200:14 201:12 Hawaii [18] 1:6 2:4 2:5 2:9 2:16 8:20 26:21 60:14 100:2 111:10 114:15 115:10 169:10 180:8 202:9 235:2 235:8 235: 15 Hawaii's
Kl] 2:5 2:7 26:20 38:9 awallan
[10] 2:11 3:15 3:22 4:5 5:14 5:20 7:1 46:19 70:10 70:15 188:5 207:2 210: 13 210:15 216:16 218:11 231.13 232; 14 235:13 Hazardous [1] 63:13 lazards
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M
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Gf P) 91:7 191:24 230:21 Head [4)8:35112:4124:18101:12 Heading [1] 163:12 Health [4)68:5189:25191:2 230:5 Health's i l ] 29:9 Hear [13] 8:3 55:3 55:6 55:11 74:15 75:12 104:16 114:8 133:23 158:6 188:19 188:23 205:14 Heard [13] 23:6 27:10 28:22 31:6 36:7 55:5 91:9 107:6 146:25 147:3 150:23 163: 2 199:21 Hearing m 6:23 48:17 116:13 160:5 174:6 187:4188:21233:3 Hearing's j l ) 176:13 Hearings ri) 13:1 Heart m 149:23 Heart-string [1] 149:23 Heat 6] 11:6 11:7 95:2 117:2 135:19 161: \'}
Heater
R) 07:5 135:8 eaters
[2] 96:3 06:6 Heating [14] 39:24 39:24 42:22 44:6 44:21 117:1 118:14125:14127:5 127:0 129:12129:14129:16 166:20 Heavier [1] 157:19 Heavily [2)69:12 217:2 Heavy P) 161:3 178:14
(20) 2:25 26:7 27:2 28:5 37:16 38:13 64:3 68:7 71:3 74:12 67:14 90:24 104:6 110:3 110:6 135:10 205:3 219: 16 220:16 235:13 HECO'S [5] 26:3 26:18 28:23 64:1 125:23 Helen (1) 153:2 Hell [1] 153:11 Hello [2)168:19 198:10 Help P5] 3:22 30:3 64:14 66:12 101:18 113:8 113:10 128:9 134:1 134:12 157:9 157:14 177:24 184:6 187:9 206:5 206:14 207:15 207:24 208:9
208:23 298:24 209:14 209:22 210:/ 210:10 211:18 212:23 213:12 214:11 214:17 214:20 216:4 227:20 232:3 Helped 12] 91:2 212:13 Helpers (1) 34:19 Helping [8] 6:21 85:13 209:25 211:15 213:22 216:22 217:22 224:25 Helps [5] 129:25 145:7 207:19 211:16 216:
Hemisphere [1)12:13 Henry p l ) 2:10 6:17 10:18 67:24 68:8 68: 10 60:12 68:16 76:6 84:4 100:6 100: 11 100:15 100:25 106:5112:4 112: 16 115:23 124:4 197:6 108:21 Henry's [1] 68:9 Hereby (1) 234:6 Hermina [3] 2:12 66:1 87:7 HEVs 1] 126:14 Gl [41231:20 235:2 235:11 235:12 Hierarchy [2] 130:9 130:15 High pol 17:8 39:13 41:23 45:11 45:23 46: 4 46:7 46:11 46:20 46:23 47:18 47: 24 62:14 62:15 57:9 58:9 82:20 82: 24 96:24 108:21 119:1 131:19 132: 19 152:9 160:0 169:9 105:24 211:23 211:24 211:24 Higher (13117:10 31:3 40:22 40:23 51:5 60: 9 66:9 102:1 121:2 121:3 142:25 148: 10180:16 Highest [1] 129:14 Highlight [1] 190:17 Highlighted [2] 58:22 59:3 Highly [2] 58:25 143:8 Highway [2] 33:1 33:9 Hilo [11117:19 Hinteriand (1) 47:25 Historic
66:9 istory
m 7:24 10:22 43:9 43:9 43:13 43:15
Hit (6) 19:3 46:22 55:24 140:24 150:2 209:3 Hitting (1) 150:20 HNEI (1) 19:24 Hold [1] 22:7 Holes (1) 100:19 Hodstically [1] 74:7 Holy [1] 165:6 Home (17) 46:20 83.9 96:8 107:17 107:17 126:13 131:2 136:6 135:19 141:7 142:7 169:19 173:5 186:3 209:3 212: 13 232:1 Homeowner [11151:16 Homes [2)83:12107:15 Honest [3)196:20198:22 220:13
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[11)1:17 48:2 48:2 81:6115:14 123: 11 123:13 234:2 235:2 235:11 235:15 Honor f l ] 137:24 Hook j l ) 82:14 Hooser
K] 67:20 88:19 ops
(14) 16:25 38:15 60:8 106:20 106:21 114:11 127:16 137:20 144:8 164:10 167:14172:21 183:6189:2 Hopefully I
61:24 85:10 66:10 106:16 106:16 0:23173:12182:17 224:23
Horizon I 6] 31:4 40:9 40:11 40:12 41:9 45:7
Horns [1)91:18 Host p ] 9:20 155:1 176:3 Hosting
K16:11 219:15 Ot
[3)18:2019:20 142:2 Hotel [1] 160:18 Hotter M)43:1 Hour [18] 6:3 77:18 120:13 120:18 128:13 185:16 198:22 196:24 210:18 210:23 210:26 211:1 211:4 211:7 211:7 211: 25 226:5 220:18 I Hours I (8) 117:16 125:23 131:22 135:18 135: 18 168:23169:18 209:9 I House I [19] 2:12 78:3 87:3 87:7 80:22 97:25 133:6 142:16 152:4 153:16 189:3 189:7 189:10 190:21 191:7 101:22 193:6 230:3 230:16 Housekeeping p ] 66:19 66:22 66:22
[1] 164:6 Huge [14)10:7 56:13 73:24 126:25 135:16 161:11 173:8 173:8 179:23 180:5 180:22 182:7197:6 211:12 Human I [6] 30:15 99:3 143:2 148:13 155:1 172:12 Humans [1)154:18 Humid [1)61:4 Humidity i l ) 60:19 Hummers [3)157:10166:13166:18 Humor [5] 9:5 35:10 35:10 221:11 221:14 Hundred | [12] 7:1 16:7 31:4 71:5 71:5 155:22 167:20 170:24 171:15 171:17 179:16 185:15 Hundreds 11) 80:17 Hunger [1] 173:9 Hurdle [2)151:11 160:22 Hurdles [1)161:3 Hurricane [2)18:7 150:7 Hurricanes (3)18:6150:6170.5 Hybrid [1)82:23 Hybrids (3)141:22141:25157:19
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ fiWr T1TT32 mportant [40] 5:19 5:23 11:20 24:17 32:6 34: 11 36:9 42:4 42:14 44:7 67:2 69:12 60.1 60:13 64:21 69:20 70:4 72:3 92: 1 92:6 92:7 93:2 94:10 97:18 103:21 116:12 117:17 121:17 143:2 146:10 149:16 152:16 154:17 170:22 172:7 191:6 203:16 203:25 212:24 214:1 Importantly [2)133:15 231: Imported [7) 35:25 35:25 77:5 126:1 126:19 144:14 181:23 Importing [2)49:15144:16 Impress [1] 99:6 Impressive [1)165:18 Improve [3)35:3 37:12 64:14 Improved [1)32:10 Improvements [2] 20:6 64:3 Improving [4] 36:16 36: fn-lleu-of [1] 228:21 inaccurate [1] 102:21 Inasmuch [1] 222:17 Inc 16) 1:6 2:11 78:15 235:2 235:8 235:13 Incandescent [3] 143:20 143:22 166:25 mcandescents
136:16 135:20 143:24 150:24 181:
201:15 203:13 207:7 215:13 217:15 217:16 220:15 224:15 224:21 231:21 231:22 232:1 232:2 232:13 232:16 inform ation-gathering (11190:6 Informative [1] 90:25 Informed 1) 54:2
Infrared [2)11:611:9 Infrastructure [3)14:7 47:22 177:24 Ingram t l) 153:2 ingredients
Hydro [3)76:18 80:17 227:1 Hydroelectric [1)118:20 Hydrogen 1)160:10
Hydroioglst
Hype P l 132:18 132:22
I ao [2] 60:7 60:11 Ice [36] 9:12 16:25 18:17 38:24 38:25 39; 2 39:6 40:2 40:22 41:10 41:13 41:15 41:1741:21 41:23 42:5 42:6 42:11 42:15 42:19 43:18 43:20 43:24 44:2 44:5 57:10 57:11 67:11 57:12 57:22 58:1 50:19 58:22 78:2 169:17 224:1 idea P2] 51:24 63:12 105:25 139:24 141: 13 142:14 147:25 148:6 148:17 153: 1 165:3155:11 157:11157.16160; 20 161:3 163:10 164:22 165:5 169: 16169:20180:23 Ideal [2)98:25154:19 Ideas [5] 6:10 158:4 191:9 191:17 193:17 fdentlflable [1] 02:20 Identifled (3)104:8194:10 224:18 Identifies r i ] 180:19 identify [10) 36:20 41:6 127:12 194:14 194: 16 207:6 223:24 224:3 224:12 224:12 Identifying [11190:6 Idle [1] 141:11 Idling [1)141:11 Ignore 2)113:10 154:18
Illustrate [2)35:12130:1 Illustrates [2)126:18130:20 Image I) 32:5 149:23
images II) 158:15 Imagine [4] 11:21 73:21 98:25 162:18 Immediately [4)46:9 56:8 222:18 222:19 Immensely 1) 86:7 Impact [32] 2:7 38:6 38:9 45:9 49:3 49:23 60: ^3 52:18 65:3 65:3 69:23 72:23 73:5 77:21 79:8 82:4 84:4 84:6 84:16 91: ID 91:12 100:13 124:4 128:13 140: 19 153:4 153:14 153:15 154:21 177: 9 185:7 194:11 Impacts (16) 64:6 73:14 74:3 74:5 76:16 84:1 84:2 100:1 111:7 113:2 113:10 153: 13 175:10 175:15 179:18 197:20 Implement m 69:4 92:2 131:2 193:13 197:25 fmplsmentation [5] 87:19 104:6 134:13 190:13 190: 15193:6 Implemented |3) 189:16 101:4 204:18 Implementing J2) 131:1 100:19 IrnplicaUon p ] 225:6 225:8 225:16 Implications 7] 2:9 4:11 16:24 66:18 67:22 68:14 00:2
importance
P„
:22
:23 64:7 64:22
\ ^
m incent [1] 228:2 incentive
84:14 85:16 92:10 120:22 176:23 :3 177:11 196:23
Incentives [15] 25:17 83:14 84:10 84:20 94:8 97: 16 97:20 97:22 101:8 102:5 134:1 134:23166:16 167:1176:21 incentivize [12) 94:11 95:1997:13 121:20 122:4 207:19 208:9 209:23 210:7 211:16 212:23 227:20 Incentivlzed [1] 96:22 inches [2116:14 144:1 Incineration M) 178:17 Incinerator 11)152:2 Incinerators [1] 179:6 Include [15)5:8 24:21 28:16 31:21 32:2547: 9 59:1 70:24 109:2 117:5123:25 124; 1 154:16 165:18 177:22 included [4)58:19 72:20102:21 194:8 includes [SJ 33:6 70:25 70:25 82:5 203:17 Including [5] 70:12 79:13 101:2 101:3 106:6 Income [3100:10 08:10166:23 Incompatible [1] 57:20 inconsistent ri) 66:22 Inconvenient [2)88:14185:12 Incorporate [4)32:12 108:14109:12 200:1 Incorporated [1] 49:17 Incorporating [5) 2:21 4:14 168:15 198:25 219:18
increase (27) 12:9 12:23 13:14 16:2 32:21 34: 3 36:13 37:8 41:22 59:25 70:17 85:3 96:19 106:11 119:20 120:7 120:16 121:3 159.25 160:15162:3 162:8 162:23 170:5 170:5 170:23 172:14 Increased (11) 14:18 20:2 33:10 33:21 34:1 74: 13 119:4 148:24 152:18 163:19 232: 12 Increases [17] 9:10 9:11 17:11 17:12 19:6 50: 24 52:9 60:1 84:18 106:1 107:20 119; 18 119:22 150:4 150:4 150:5 229:25 increasing [9] 14:16 17:25 35:23 54:20 54:20 54 25 102:25 171:8 226:4 Increasingly [2)111:7111:11 Incredible [1] 185:16 Incredibly (2)156:3 219:16 Incremental [1] 51:10 Independent [4)111:2 210:16 214:7 229:2 Independently [1) 69:14 Indiana r i ] 197:21 Indicated M) 56:18 Indicates [2] 39:6 40:0 Indicating [1)41:22 Indication [1] 228:25 Indigenous (1) 35:24 Indirectiy [2] 76:4 200:22 Individual [7] 6:25 36:21 82:21 84:14 138:10 138:12154:2 individually (I) 86:21 Individuals [2] 95:19 101:1 Indonesia [3)73:16 74:22 76:23 Industrial [ I I ] 12:18 12:19 13:14 14:21 32:21 46:3 46:6 47:13 47:14 47:23 71:4 industries [10] 2:17 2:24 27:20 27:25 102:13 114:17 127:24 128:3 205:6 205:11 Industry [13] 30:9 69:8 69:23 70:1 70:10 70: 15 70:16 70:18 73:7 93:5 130:10 178: 15 213:1 Ineffective [1] 147:14 Inertia 1) 47:6
Inevitably [1] 170:12 Infer [1] 228:10 Inferring [1] 225:20 Inflltration [1) 69:20 Infinite [2)172:16 181:1 Influence [2)01:9 83:21 Influencing [1)200:12 Inform
13)8:25192:12192:21 information (42) 10:19 14:2 14:11 14:12 16:16 16; 17 28:11 29:6 32:9 37:13 58:2178:4 111:14 147:13 154:12 154:13 170:1 176:17 176:24 189:22 190:8 192:25 193:4 193:8 193:9 195:19 200:11
[21153:4153:12 inh< ofe (1)13:2 Initial [9] 26:17 34:13 93:4 118:25 131:21 132:4132:10 132:15134:7 Initiative ;61 21:8 90:4 94:19 194:3 201:6 204: fj Initiatives (6) 30:7 91:6 95:14 99:7 201:15 201: 16 ln)ect [1)104:24 Injected 11)162:14 Input [1)209:21 Input/output (1) 75:17 inputs [1)144:11 Insignificant 1)43:22
Insistence [1)110:24 Insisting [1) 146:11 Inspiration [1]f:13 Inspire (4) 149:20 149:22 150:7 157:10 Inspired [1] 198:21 Inspiring [1] 158:25 Install [2)61:5 213:13 installation [2)208:7 213:9 Installed [5] 95:7 119:20 119:24 120:5 120:7 Installing [2] 212:1 215:11 Instance [8] 117:9 117:19 118:12 118:25 120: 10121:25 124:17 184:14 Instead [8] 96:20 101:17 109:3 119:13 136:7 151:19 166:16196:20 Institute
2:4 7:23 8:20 69:13 131:3 179:17 18:9
institutional [3)14:4179:10180:11 Institutions [3)21:9 21:19 25:16 INSTRUCTIONS [1] 235:20 Instrument [2)103:12103:16 Instruments
[7] 18:24 22:15 25:16 42:14 62:1 92: 1 92:14 Insurance 111 102:21 integrate [2)154:23 226:11 Integrated [23] 1:8 3:0 3:13 4:14 6:13 6:17 8:9 25:11 28:3 38:13 72:11189.5192:11 162:21 193:3 193:5 193:11 230:14
a
239:17 232:7 235:3 235:9 235:14 Intense [2)17:23 141:15 Intensify [6] 10:7 19:13 20:6 20:8 117:18 117: 20 Intensive [4] 51:20 70:16 165:22 178:21 Intent (1) 110:22 Intention [1] 224:8 Intentional [1) 84:3 Intentions [2)98:23 152:20 Interaction [2)109:18 189:4 interactions r i ] 206:23 Interconnect [1] 139:11 Interconnecting [2] 144:9 146:6 Interconnection [3)215:1215:12 215:18 Interest \5\ 81:1 134:11 106:8 199:10 201:1 Interested [5] 6:24 20:16 77:23 108:9 160:6 interesting [61 87:12 97:24 140:7 141:15 141:21 Interestingly [3)15:11 15:1216:9 Interests [1] 72:8 Interglacial [1)40:17 rntorgovemmcntal ri) 14:3 Interim [1) 230:21 Interior [1] 143:11 interisland r i ] 33:11 intermittent [3)225:17 225:24 226:1 Intemational 9) 12:5 33:14 33:16 33:10 33:19 56: i l 62:6 72:10162:1 Internationally [2)206:3 216:10 Internet [1] 183:10 Interpret [1] 109:4 Intersection [1)121:6 Intertied ra] 122:20 122:20 123:1 Introduce [1)5:12 Introduced (1) 198:5 Introduction [1] 198:4 Intrusive [11146:2 intuitive [1) 175:7 Invaslves 11) 72:2 Invent [1] 106:1 Inventory (20) 2:6 26:15 26:17 26:20 28:7 28: 10 26:13 28:19 29:17 30:22 37:14 37: 23 89:1 62:4 93:1 200:18 201:5 201: 10 201:25 203:6 Inversed (1) 173:2 invest 3)136:2174:25 175:6
Invested (2) 76:25 176:20
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/( Investigation [1] 230:24 Investigative [1] 196:10 Investing [1] 216.20 mvestment J4] 206:24 214:10 214:14 216:23 Investor ra 210:14 227.24 Investor-owned [1)217:11 Invitation [1)28:18 Invited [2)29:1 199:1 Inviting [3] 28:5 37:19 205:3 Invoke [1] 155:16 Invoked [1)150:10 Involved [14] 3:24 8:3 8:6 114:12 114:24 146: 23151:12 169:6 163:9 165:17 187:2 199:25 213:21 221:18 involvement [1)7:25 Involves [3)71:16 82:16100:19 Involving [2)25:15166:23 IPCC (13) 9:15 10:13 14:2 16:17 18:4 38: 18 45:3 45:5 60:23 56:10 57:24 58: 16 170:14 IPPe [2)33:7111:2 IRC p ] 68.7 104:5 IRP [49] 2:21 3:14 54:3 76:16 127:18 188: 16 100:2 190:3 100:4 190:18 100:23 191:3 191:7 101:13 191:23 193.15 194:6 194:14 194:16 195:3 165:11 195:17 195:18 195:18 195:22 195:23 196:25 196:1 196:7 198:9 198:25 199:7 200:2 200:5 200:6 200:0 200: 15 200:15 203:14 204:0 204:21 204: 24 219:18 223:15 223:24 224:3 224: 8 224:20 230:2 IRPs [3] 200:13 202:22 202:24 Irresponsible 1)52:1 rrlgation [21 60:17 60:20 Island (24) 46:16 48:2 48:6 48:8 59:21 59: 21 60:6 62:12 75:16 60:6 82:17 107: 2 109:18132:9140:11 145:10145: 15 151:23 162:1 152:18 162:23 178: 5186:24187:19 Islands [4) 46:10 82:17 107:7 122:21 Isle [1] 105:20 ism (1) 60:20 Isolate [1] 62:19 isolated [1] 143:1 Issue [46) 2.3 3.21 3:23 5:22 5:24 8:19 24: 16 25:12 60:12 60:22 81:23 64:17 66: 19 66:22 68:21 63:18 67:2 88:12 89: 22 90:8 91:0 02:5 02:6 93:2 93:3 94: 13 106:14106:5106:15148:2148: 21 153:6 154:10 154:15 154:17 155: 4 156:14 176:2 101:7 181:13 185:3 185:5 192:13 193:20 193:23 194:4 Issued [1] 53:22 Issues [32) 2:3 4:10 4:19 8:12 8:16 9:25 15: 19 19:23 21:1 37:3 60:13 64:21 86:3 87:13 69:7 69:18 90:6 96:17 103:23 103:25 105:4 105:14 109:10 109:20
113:1167:2167:3172:20173:19 178:10181:18107:5 It'll r i ) 139:24 Italian [11137:19 Items [2] 139:4 217:20 iteration (1) 224:23 Itself [9] 48:7 53:21 170:21 182:15193:15 201:21222:5 229:1 229:3
Jade [1] 213:2 James [1] 153:11 Janeiro (1) 14:7 January [4)21:20 32:16 68:24 156:7 Japanese (1) 76:4 Jars [1] 152:14 Jeez [1] 35:7 Jeff [13] 2:19 114:23 146:13 146:16 148: 19 158:25 166:12 170:4 172:11 174: 12181:3103:6104:13 Jef fs (3)146:13148:16 179:8 Jet [8] 63:4 63:15 82:3 82:4 82:5 106:7 106:8 106:11 Jim (14) 2:13 15:4 61:10 67:1 68:2 90:15 90:19 90:22 99:15 100:16 101:10 102:19 111:17 112:3 Jim's [2)16.5 90.17 Job (8) 11:25 27:3 69:17 99:13 101:1 161: 21151:21 213:5 Jobs p) 102:6 102:12 112:25 John p7) 2:5 2:23 8:4 8:8 10:23 26:11 26: 13 26:18 26:21 27:10 37:20 37:24 38: 15 53:16 62:10 63:1 79:12 79:15 168: 5198:8 205:5 219:21 219:24 221:6 221:6 221:9 229:7 John's [1] 26:14 Join [1)231:24 Joined [3] 36:25 67:21 78:9 Joining [7] 5:15 5.17 79:25 111:9 114:21 198; 13198:15 Joint (1) 140:11 JolnUy [1] 29:t Joints [1] 140:15 Jose (1) 210:6 Judicial [1] 199:8 Juice [2] 140:11 140:15 Jump [1) 140:3 Jumped P) 144:8 212:15 Jumping (1) 142:25 Jumps [1] 139:18 June [8] 1:15 37:16 53:18 234:7 235:2 235: 4 235:10 235:12 Jurisdiction
M) 196:13 Juxtapose [1] 10:14
K
(J
Kahala [1] 185:14 Kahe [2)77:1107:7 Kahuku [1] 107:3 Kaiulani (3) 5:13 7:7 67:7 Kanul j l ) 165:16 Katrina [2] 18:9 150:7 Katrinas j l ) 18:11 Kaual [8] 48:26 75:16 77:3 120:11 120:17 121:7122:21 165:3 Kaya (2)27:23 79:13 Kay a's [1)201:20 Kealoha [14] 2:17114:16127:22128:3 128:6 131:8 131:10 131:12 131:14 168:12 168:17169:14 173:22181:7 Keeling ^2112:7 12.7 <eep .14] 9:5 11:7 34:24 57:15 90:6 101: 12 101:12 101:17 134:21139:22 139 22142:4161:23188:25 1 Key I [6118:25 37:3 65:15 82:12 131:5 176
Kick J1) 212:13 KIck-sUrt [1] 212:13 Kickoff [1] 25:22 k idd ing
(41 72:23 145:3 164:22 187:7
(3)71:23147.20147.20 Kills j l ) 213:17 Kilowatt [10] 120:11120:12 120:18 125:23 128:12 131:22 196:22 196:24 209:9 210:18 210:23 210:25 211:1 211:4 211:7 211:7 211:24 226:4 228:16 Klmberiy's j l ) 08:16 k imura [10] 2:24 205:6 205:8 205:11 205:13 205:23 225:11 228:6 227:8 228:9 Kind I [48] 3:22 4:2 10:14 12:26 21:10 25:2 25:7 66:13 62:3 72:16 76:22 86:18 91:16 94:3 94:13 05:25 96:21 98:3 112:2 122:5 122:16 139:12 143:4 143:17 147:6 155:15 157:0 157:11 158:4 164:21 165:8 165:23 180:10 183:1 184:13 186:2 186:7 196:11 207:5 209:2 210:2 216:101216:25 217:6 217:15 216:16 226:14 226:18 Kinds I P1] 2:24 70:8 73:8 09:18 102:7 103: 25 104:17 105:13 107:23 109:9 109: 20 111:5 205:10 206:4 210:6 212:22 213:22 216:20 217:3 222:1 226:17 Kiosk [11177:1 k iosks t l ) 209:20 knock ing j l ] 143:11 knowledge (7) 146:1 148:17 149:9 150:17 151: 13158:7 159:16 j Known
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/8/ [817:1»/:2J 27:13 27:25 46:13 59: 17 200:14 214:25 Koki [1] 72:1 Kokubun [3)6:10 78:9 88:20 kona [1)52:12 konan j l ] 86:5 kualapuu [1] 86:5 Kyoto [8] 21:5 23:4 23:18 30:10 31:25 92: 1193:24 229:2
Latest [3)0:16 41:2 66:7 Latitudes p i 13:18 18:22 51:2 Laudable [1] 112:22 Laugh [1)221:14 Launch [1] 25:1 Launched r i ] 69:8 Ls w [22] 22:24 27:20 36:18 77:7 77:10 79: 7 84:1 84:9 84:15 84:22 94:20 101: 12 200:16 203:6 203:23 204:7 223:7 223:10 223:12 230:7 230:10 230:11 LAWS [6] 156:10 199:14 202:3 203:25 204: 3 204.16 Lay [1] 122:1 Layer [1] 55:19 Layout [1] 123:6 Lazy [2)151:20 151:22 Lead [6] 26:16 40:19 86:9 86:10 115:5 140: 4 Leader [5] 7:11 10:20 25:20 28:1 201:21 Leaders [6] 86:1 183:7 103:16 164:21 184:22 185:2 Leadership [5] 91:17 92:12 201:20 201:22 213:8 Leading [2)12:4 62:8 Leads [2] 27:24 40:4 Leakage [1] 22:5 Leap [1] 22:13 Leapfrog [1] 173:11 Learn [3)3:18 3:20 118:16 Learn-by-do ing [1] 118:16 Lea med [1)187:15 Learning [9] 115:22 118:1 118:15 118:16 118: 19 118:23110:0 120:3 120:8 Least [17] 0:6 14:13 16:21 56:10 64:23 76: 10 05:12 119:23 123:13 124:19 149: 10 164:8 170:24 161:25 194:23 203: 6 232:11 Leave [2)187:18197:2 Leaves [2)39:20 145:10 Leaving [2)39:22 88:15 LEED (3)135:1 135:2 135:2 Left [5] 30:22 30:22 60:17 104:5 113:17 Left-hand [2] 30:22 119:14 Leftover [1] 99:23 Legislation [8] 79:1 94:15 94:17 99:14 105:7 109: 13109:23 204:2 Legislative [14j 2:11 68:1 87:3 87:6 87:16 87:23 68:3 89:7 90:4 91:6 94:19 105:15 221:17222:2 Legislator [1)103:19 Legislators [2] 88:19 197:14 Legislature
[15] 37:21 63:24 68:18 99:6 109:1— 110:17 170:23 189:21 189:24191:2 193:23 199.14 202:5 202:8 204:23 Legitimate [3)101:20 102:8104:8 Lends [1] 229:3 Length [2)105:20169:5 Leo [1] 99:20 Leo's (1) 50:5 Less (10)19:15 52:2 65:16 65:17 65:18 65: 16 71:22 74:16 83:23 97:19 103:1 117:11 129:18 133:18 135:19 141:6 142:19142:21 157:20 Lessened t l ] 84:16 Letting [2] 170:16 207:1 Level [102] 16:3 16:24 17:2 16:8 18:8 18: 13 18:16 27:23 36:19 38:17 39:5 39: 10 39:12 39:21 39:23 39:25 40:1 40: 5 40:6 40:15 40:22 40:25 41:1 43:7 43:9 43:12 43:15 43:10 43:21 43:23 44:1 44:2 44:2 44:4 44:7 44:8 44:9 44:13 44:17 44:20 44:22 45:1 45:5 45:9 45:11 45:15 45:17 46:12 46:15 46:20 47:1 47:4 47:5 47:7 47:10 47: 18 48:10 48:20 52:6 52:7 52:17 52: 20 53:13 56:18 56:19 56:21 56:25 57: 6 57:13 67:15 58:6 58:9 59:10 59:23 60:22 63:6 63:12 92:21 103:5 103:6 103:0 105:10 105:11 105:15 105:16 106:4 106:9 113:2 121:15 134:5 149: 11 160:16 160:16 171:8 185:1 196:8 202:16 212:25 227:10 227:14 228:2 228:3 Leveled [1] 172:24 Leveling [1] 159:24 Levels [10] 9:13 16:13 60:9 73:2 86:25 91:6 02:17 93:8156:13169:13 Leverage [2)201:24 201:24 Lewis [1)69:15 LiDAR [1] 47:16 Lie [2)80:18 83:11 Lies rS] 78:20 79:3 79:4 85:19 86:12
[1] 228:21 Life pOl 2:10 19:19 19:21 46:9 51:18 64: 17 64:25 67:24 68:18 74:5 74:20 76: 7 76:16 77:14 77:19 79:8 81:23 06: 15 100:10 100:18 124:6 135:17 138: 10 138:19 139:10 140:4 146:5 148: 11 168:23 221:4 Llff i*cvdfi [9] 19:21 64:17 74:20 76:7 76:16 77: 14100:18115:23124:6 LIfe-sfyle m 148:11 173:10 Lifetime [1] 76:14 Lffetimes [1191:11 Lfght [23] 18:10 132:13 143:1 143:1 143:2 143:4 143:6 143:9 144:2 144:3 166: 25 169:1 180:17 184:3 184:10 184: 19 207:11 208:1 208:10 216:1 216:7 217:16 217:26 Lighting [8] 129:12 129:16 136:20 142:9 142: 12 143:10 143:11 144:4 Lights [10] 27:9 136:4 143:19 143:22 143: 25 168:13 168:13 168:15 181:6 187:9 Likely
Labeled [11 204:6 Labels [1] 135:23 Labor [4] 51:23 52:4 175:10 175:15 Laboratory [1] 182:4 Labs [1)176:13 Lack [3)37:8 151:4 229:13 U c k e d ri ] 37:10
S 66:8 184:12 la
(1) 165:23 Laid [2)118:21122:5 Lake [1) 167:20 Ldimp [4] 135:17 168:19 168:23 213:10 Lamps [7] 131:18 131:23 133:6 135:16 168: 22181:11181:16 Land [31] 2:10 12:12 17:24 43:6 45:17 45: 16 45:21 45:21 48:1 48:22 48:23 51: 23 52:4 67:25 60:16 71:5 74:5 86:16 104:13 123:17 138:22 163:23 164:3 164:20 164:25 165:2 165:11 165:20 167:6167:11167:16 Landfll l [8] 33:22 73:14 76:11 116:22 140:7 140:22162:2170:8 Landfllls [1] 178:6 Lands
E) 75:6 85:12 167:13 andscape
S 175:25 176:1 212:8 nes
[1] 151:4 Language [4)4:17 69:2 94:15 202:2 Laptop [1] 209:6 Large [12)36:1 47:2 123:17 129:4 134:4 135:10 171:21 179:3 184:5 212:11 216.8 218:8 Largely [4)72:18 00:8 118:10 170:2 Larger [7] 46:14 67:6 78:3 103:0 128:13 129; 17217:14 Largest
S 14:20 129:10 st
P1] 14:30 16:21 16:22 32:17 39:16 39:19 40:17 40:18 40:20 46:12 45:13 60:9 74:13 75:6 78:2 94:21 99:23 113:16 119:23 158:25 185:24 195:25 195:25 197:2 197:3 197:4 212:15 216:18 231:6 232:11 232:24 Lastiy [1)133:12 Late P) 14:8 119:6110:7
S?.
(6)17:718:20 58:25 63:2155:7163: 10 Limestone [1)59:18 Limit [3)68:5 74:21 227:12 Limitation [2] 37:4 98:3 Limitations [3)36:7 74:10 201:23 Limited [3)121:19 127:14169:7 Limits [3] 92:3 169:10 197:19 Line [18] 9:2 9:2 15:18 19:3 21:20 25:14 38:21 44:21 44:23 93:19 96:25 97:12 119:21 143:5 163:18 195:22 209:10 217:13 Linear [1)119:13 Lines [5] 15:22 15:23 55:13 120:9 214:18 Lineup [1] 28:23 Link [3)25:11 25:18 89:20 Linkage [1] 22:17 Unked [6] 19:1 62:2 89:16 89:17 90:2 170:25 Liquefled [1)76:18 Liquid [3)160:8161:1 161:16 Liquids [1] 160:25 List [7] 29:3 29:5 86:7 168:25 190:24 194: 10 194:12 Listed
19:18 21:22 29:25 30:22 31:17 24:3160:21
Literally [1)80:17 Literature (1) 155:1 Liu [2] 27:21 28:2 Live (6) 45:20 84:17 132:18 133:13 138: 22 164:24 Uved [1] 98:14 Lives [7] 83:24 148:6 149:10 164:21 154: 22 176:18 185:7 Loa J2) 12:6 98:15 Load [6] 73:24 97:10 123:8 129:12 225:25 226:10 Loads [1] 129:10 Loan [1] 144:25 Lobbying [1] 88:7 Lobbyists [1] 88:6 Local (16) 29:15 49:22 52:21 53:9 72:22 112:23 112:25 113:1 126:22 145:7 145:15145:15155:16 181:21 181:21 208:21 Locally [5)31:19 116:11 126:24127:2133:18 Locals [1) 49:20 Located [2] 22:5 48:7 Location [2147:15 52:20 Log p i 119:12 119:14 141:3 Logic [1] 136:13 Logistics
!J 67:16 113:16 IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/f
.5) 22:23 23:18 208:21 208:22 228:23 Marks m 64:21 Mars P) 11:11 54:15
[2)179:12180:5 Mass
K) 102:24 asses
[1] 17:24 Match
K115:22 16:1 144:16 226:22 ateriai
[3)178:4182:22 232:21 Materials [2)178:4 188:12 MaUi
K] 146:23 162:6 atson
[1)63:10 Matter [13] 53:23 65:15 84:19 04:19 84:20 85:7 89:15 91:14 91:16 96:14 130:11 149:0 234:13 Mature [11117:22 Maui [7] 49:5 60:6 60:8 60:11 75:16 60:3 80:3 Mauna [2] 12:6 165:23 Maurice [6] 27:23 28:2 79:13 79:15 201:20 204:1 Maximize
K] 73:9195:15 axlmlzed
;i) 138:16 laximlzing 1) 72:25 laxlmum
21 127:2 189:17 layor
[1] 178:16 Mean p7] 9:12 14:22 44:19 62:22 62:23 64: 20 65:9 65:10 67:4 67:5 57:5 92:5 102:8 103:2 104:8 104:19 105:3 108: 11 111:14 123:3 126:3 129:25 133: 22 137:3 173:13 175:23 185:25 187: 4 187:9 192:12 194:2 196:1 196:3 210:21 220:13 224:7 225:22 Meaning m 14:2015:2415:2517:1 121:8 124: 16226:13 Meaningful p ] 100:14 197:16 197:24 Means [15] 24:7 72:16 82:16 100:22 104:3 118:17 123:3 125:7 160:6 161:4 182: 22 201:21 201:22 211:9 217:23 Meant P) 42:18 223:9 Measure !4) 31:9 157:17 169:17 230:21 Measured [2)31:10141:17 Measurement [1)101:4 Measures [4] 131:2 134:13 136:1 157:15 Mechanics
K] 63:23 142:17 echanism
(3)23:9 23:19 103:25 Mechanisms [2)23:10 212:17 Media [2)63:15179:11 Medications (1) 185:17 Medium 1] 104:22 leet
[8] 30:3 87:19109:14 123:24 195:1 195:0 195:13 224:17 Meeter
r i j 166:2 Meeting | [10] 3:11 5:19 5:23 14:6 82:8 89:4 93 21 151:6 231:14 233:1 Meetings [1)37:7 Mega [1] 216:11 Megapixel [2)140:24 141:1 Megawatt rn 77:18 118:10 121:12 122:25 171: 16171:16 210:22 I Megawatts I [16] 80:5 80:6 80:18 122:25 123:18 123:21 123:23 126:5 126:6 126:6 126:8126:9126:11 171:17 215:25 216:9 Mellon (1) 76:12 Melt
Kl 18:17 41.20 44:2 44:6 elted 1
[1)41:22 Melting I [10] 9:12 18:25 38:23 39:1 39:2 40:1 41:12 43:20 68:18169:17 Melts
K] 69:22 69:24 ember
[7] 28:3 131:7 131:9 131:11 131:13 188:20198:16 I Members \ [S\ 6:12 99:1 153:17 232:6 232:18 Membership
K] 06:6 91:22 emory
[1] 199:24 Mention m 35:20 36:17 37:4 60:14 96:11 60: 10136:17196:14 I Mentioned [16] 18:3 18:18 34:13 76:8 91:7 91: 22 93:1 95:18 97:23111:22115:23 117:19179:11 184:20 201:10 222:3 226:18 229:10 Mentioning j l ] 100:25 Mercury J2) 181:10181:16 Mesoscale [2] 46:14 46:24 Message [3)70:170:3 70:11 Met J2) 192:1192:9 Meteorology [1] 64:4 Meter (18)40:8 40:10 40:26 43:122 45:1 45: 6 45:9 46:11 47:4 47:18 48:5 46:20 52:20 67:21 57:23 96:1 98:2 96:12 Metered
B) 176:0 176:24 etering
Kl 97:23 98:1 176:16177:22 eters
[6] 40:15 43:24 44:1 46:2 67:17 71:1 98:16167:20 Methane
Kl 12:18 12:21 30:17 31:2 ethod
K) 32:8 204:12 ethodology
a ] 30:21 ethods
[3] 30:20 82:17 229:23 Metric (1) 227:19 Metrics [1)215:11 Mic [1)169:13 Michael [1] 13:4 Michigan (11 158:16 Miconia
Logo [1] 138:1 Logos [11186:22 Long-range (4)3:15 6:14 232:9 232:18 Long-term [5)42:1 42:11 87:18 167:3 171:25 Long-winded (1) 26:6 Longstanding (1)41:5 Look [98] 6:25 7:6 13:18 13:20 13:24 16: 21 17:12 21:2 28:12 43:8 45:10 48:3 40:13 40:21 49:4 49:18 53:10 63:11 65:23 63:7 66:6 69:20 71:10 71:20 74:2 74:7 74:20 75:18 76:5 76:14 76: 21 77:14 77:16 79:22 80:22 81:17 83: 9 86:6 66:10 89:6 100:6 100:13 100: 24107:24 108:24 109:6 109:16 112: 0 112:14 115:17 117:6 117:13 117: 17 117:24 118:4 118:15 120:8 124:5 124:7 124:15 124:16 126:16 126:17 127:9 127:11 127:17 127:17 128:25 130:2 131:14 131:17 135:4 135:25 136:24 139:3 139:4 139:5 139:10 148:18 179:17 190:8 192:23 192:23 194:4 195:11 197:7 197:8 197:9 197: 11 197:13 197:15 197:16 197:23 201: 3 202:24 207:7 224:11 225:23 Looked 11] 63:14 71:25 88:10 104:20 124: 16 125:20 157:11 164:17 195:3 195: 12195:20 Looking [42] 6:8 9:22 9:23 19:20 24:20 27:3 ^0:25 52:2 63:7 54:16 57:23 64:3 76: 8 87:2 87:13 87:20 69:24 80:25 100: 2 i 103:22 103:24 108:19 116:24 130: 0 130:12130:15 132:3 133:25 136: 26 136:17 148:15 150:7 161:21 177: 19 178:9 181:8 185:6 198:1 224:14 224:23 225:1 229:15 Looks [5] 76:1679:21 95:10 111:6 167:16 Loose [D 187:1 Lose [5] 49:20 57:22 69:15 148:16 197:24 Loss ra] 41:10 42:6 42:11 Losses [3)124.17 125.6125:17 Lost ra] 41:18 141:21 186:18 Lou
C) 235:20 ove
[Sl 87:6 138:20 147:21 166:3 221:14 Low [16] 27:9 47:14 48:14 73:2 96:25 98: 10 129:20 129:24 130:5 133:3 134: 11 136:21 164:18 173:13 161:18 218: 20 Low-hanging [5] 129:20 129:24 130:5 138:21 218: 20 Low4yIng (1) 48:14 L^wer H ) 13:20 13:24 16:17 73:4 82:8 97: 18116:18162:13 180:16 226:11 229: 13 Lows
[1] 235:1 Lunch [9] 10:3 65:1 66:25 67:5 67:8 67:12 67:13 67:14 185:22 Luncheon [1] 113:23 Lunchtime [4)5:9 67:10 67:18199:20 Lying (2) 47:14 40:14
M Machine
a) 234:9 agnltude
[1] 119:0 Main [6] 10:10 30:16 40:1 40:2 60:7 Mainland [4] 33:12 104:16 109:21 128:23 Maintained
a] 85:12 aintaining
[2] 34:23 54:24 Maintains
al 106:1 aior
[16] 41:1 46:10 46:17 47:14 50:23 57: 14 68:18 n : l & 149:1 157:1 204:15 206:13 206:25 206:25 207:11 Majority [7] 12:12 36:17 106:22 128:11 151: 25 204:4 219:14 Makers [1] 89:21 Man [4] 67:9 69:16 98:23 196:4 Man-made [2)12:1912:22 Manageable [2)139:6139:16 Managed (2)170:15 232:4 Management [11)16:16 60:11 60:12 60:2178:18 89:10 89:10 69:25 96:21 136:21 190: 10 Mandate
S 166:17 192:6 102:6 192:6 165:6 3:16 223:19
Mandates [8] 98:22 99:B 109:26 191:23 192:1 196:8 203:2 203:3 Mandating j l ] 95:17 Mandatory (4)61:16108:6 196:7 230:13 Mann [1] 13:6 Manner [3] 123:5127:11 180:2 Manoa
B] 86:6 137:13 176:7 anufacturers
[1)181:16 Manufacturing
(81 42:15 42:16 46:12 46:13 47:17 47: 20 67:20 67:21 Mapped
Mapunapuna [1] 46:2 March
K] 46:13 216:19 arched
[1] 148:3 Marginal (0) 93:12 05:10 96:20 95:21 96:1 97: 17 97:18106:17 Mariano [4) 1:24 234:5 234:18 235:12 Marine [7] 33:10 33:19 64:4 104:21 104:22 149:19 179:2 Marit [1)135:12 Market [14] 92:1 92:10 92:14 92:23 92:23 119:3 119:4 132:23 144:24 161:10 208:22 227:15 228:25 229:5 Market-based
E]92:1 92:10 arketplace
[1) 212:13 Markets
(J
[1)71:24 Microphone p i 8:15 169:12 174:4 Microwave (2173:11118:25 Mid [8113:16 18:22 45:7 69:9122:6122: 15122:19127:13 Middle [6] 19:4 45:8 56:12 96:19 139:15 164: 4 Might (38Tll:21 13:3 14:6 14:8 17:6 35:10 42:6 42:9 49:1 67:25 60:14 93:17 96: 1 98:13 90:6 105:18 100:16 109:20 120:12 120:15 120:17 124:21 124:23 145:5 155:21 155:22 168:8 158:19 169:18 169:19 182:25 186:3 199:15 200:22 225:18 230:12 231:1 231:8 Mike (10) 2:2 3:2 3:6 8:22 25:21 26:24 27: 10 38:12146:21 188:6 Mikulina (14) 2:19 114:23 146:13 146:19 146: 21 170:4 170:7 172:17 174:14 177: 13 178:9 179:13 184:20 187:3 Mile [1] 65:24 Mileage [3] 82:20 82:24 142:6 Miles [7] 19:8 39:1 39:7 03:4 141:7 141:9 142:1 Mililani [2] 97:6 235:2 Military [ l | 31:22 Milllmetera '6] 39:11 39:13 39:14 39:18 39:20 39:
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ W Missions [1] 199:5
(2) 18:10 18:10 Mistake [1)54:19 Mitigate p) 82:5 82:6 84:12 Mitigation [4] 30:20 81:17 82:7 89:9 M I X
B] 172:1 172:4 190:7 oana
BI 46:21 48:4 ock
a] 166:23 ock-up
(1) 165:23 Moda [2)21:11 159:6 Model [12] 6:7 15:16 15:18 15:24 20:10 24: 1 34:24 43:7 46:24 103:21 176:11 177:25 Modeling [3)0:2 15:23 44:23 fi^odelled Tl] 42:24 Models (12) 13:19 15:16 16:2 37:5 37:7 37: 10 42:25 53:6 75:17 100:19 222:5 222:6 Moderator [112] 2:2 3:2 3:4 7:7 25:25 37:20 50: 1 50:16 61:12 62:6 53:15 64:2 54:7 55:2 55:11 66:16 58:3 58:5 68:12 58: 14 59:7 60:23 62:6 63:1 63:19 64:11 65:2 65:19 66:9 66:16 67:7 67:19 78: 6 78:8 66:23 90:13 99:15 100:6 100: 15 101:10 102:18 103:17 104:1 105: 6 105:17 106:18 108:25 110:1 110:7 110:13 111:16 112:3 112:16 113:14 113:25 127:20 137:11 137:22 143:14 146:11 158:25 166:1 168:6 160:2 170:3 171:5 171:24 172:10 173:20 173:24 174:7 175:8 175:14 175:18 176:4 178:2 179:7 181:3 161:19 183: 4 187:14 186:1 186:2 198:2 205:5 205:21 219:7 219:12 219:21 220:1 220:3 220:8 221:2 221:6 221:9 221: 12 223:3 223:5 223:13 223:15 223: 23 224:3 226:2 225:6 225:15 225:20 227:3 228:5 229:7 230:1 231:5 231: 10 Moderator's j l ] 196:25 Modern [1] 40:19 Modest [1] 17:13 Modification [1] 177:9 Modified 3)31:14 181:22 161:24 odify
1) 136:8 olsture
1] 150:5 oloka' i
B]49:1 66:1 88:3 90:10 oment
[7] 24:1 27:18 63:9 78:1 138:7 138: 17139:12 Money [46] 10:7 61:4 68:18 68:20 68:22 68: 23 68:24 72:7 84:25 85:3 85:4 85:7 85:16 101:12 101:13 101:14 101:17 102:4 102:14 121:20 121:22 121:23 121:25 127:13 132:7 138:20 139:24 144:17 145:14 146:8 151:17 157:2 158:18 162:21 174:24 177:6 170:23 185:20 196:20 207:23 208:3 208:4 208:9 208:23 215:21 218:10 Mongo (1)221:3 Mongoose [1)71:23 Monies [1)61:20
Monitor (2) 54:8 92:3 Monitored [1)162:15 Monitoring [5] 42:3 54:18 54:20 54:25 57:9 Monotonlcal [1)12:9 Month [5] 32:17 48:7 97:4 207:23 210:19 Monthly [3)98:10 207:14 207:14 Months [6] 38:18 39:19 44:16 85:24 156:4 232:19 Montreal [1] 55:16 Moon (2)11:4 213:2 Moral [5] 87:24 88:13 90:7 91:15 170:21 Morass [1] 197:18 Morita [16)2:12 6:11 7:10 7:11 27:7 68:1 86 25 87:7 87:10 91:7 91:22 103:10 105: 7105:12109:6 219:15 Morning [25] 3:4 5:15 5:16 26:26 28:5 51:8 78; 9 78:17 79:12 87:10 113:22 114:8 115:2 138:8 168:7 171:1 186:8 198:5 198:13 198:15 198:17 200:17 200:21 203:1 222:3 Morning's [1] 199:21 Most [56] 7:16 11:4 11:20 14:2 16:8 16:20 21:14 24:7 36:18 39:6 40:7 42:22 43: 25 48:16 49:11 56:2 66:20 83:3 83: 11 92:18 101:16 107:6 108:3 108:12 109:3 121:22 121:23 122:2 126:3 130:23 132:2 135:7 137:1 141:6 141: 23 142:11 152:19 153:24 166:10 160: 2 160:4 161:7 173:19 177:7 178:12 178:15 194:1 194:18 194:19 204:3 207:8 211:12 211:13 214:1 216:25 Mostiy
SI 33:22 88:6 Other
[1] 74:7 Motion [1] 09:4 Motivate
g] 147:1 150:13 otivating
[61 2:18 115:1 146:15 146:18 148:2
Motivation [1] 229:13 Motors [1] 136:22 Mountain [1)179:17 Mountains [1)52:15 Mouth
K] 197:21 215:21 ove
[18] 4:16 4:23 8:19 7:8 75:1 66:24 89: 14 92:2 132:16 134:9 141:4 160:23 154:3 177:18 179:18 179:20 184:12 227:6 Moved [2] 92:9 184:4 Movement [2)91:20 146:10 Movie [3)5:9114:11 114:13 Moving [9] 6:3 41:9 88:17 90:5 90:6 143:23 148:10158.23181:15 Multi :2) 14:4 34:14 lulti-institutlonal
1)14:4 ulti-year
1)34:14 ultlmlllions
} Million [15] 19:12 56:12 125:22 126:19 126: 20 126:22 140:22 160:23 161:17 161: 18 163:3 182:7 210:24 222:13 222:14 Millions [2)60:15 60:19 Mina (13) 9:20 88:25 87:4 90:13 102:19 103:17 104:1 105:7 105:17 108:10 109:1 110:1 210:15 Mind [5] 51:25 67:15 68:10 155:6 168:23 Minds [2] 86:3 146:2 Mine Pl 76:10 197:20 Mined '11161:9 Mines [11162:25 Minimize [1) 112:22 Minimizes [1] 73:6 Minimizing [11194:11 Mining [21175:22 175:23 Minor
Wnus [3139:19 39:21 212:3 Minute '9) 39:9 50:8 66:11 99:17 99:18 187: 17197:1 219:9 223:11 Minutes 8] 5:2 5:17 28:8 64:12 64:12 68:6 98: 7 114:9
Mired (1)197:24 Misconceptions ^213:16 lissed
26:24 224:2 ssing
11 44:11 . Jsslon [3] 54:23 199:12 223:16
[1] 218:10 Multinational [1] 14:4 Municipal r4]116:il 122:9123:10 128:12 Music
a) 147:6 ust
(12) 24:22 79:8 79:6 80:19 80:20 80: 22 82:10 83:11 94:23 179:7 193:11 230:14 Muzzle 1) 15:8
Space [1)183:19 Myth [1)168:17
ft^
N •HTS [1] 235:23 N20 [1] 30:18 Name [2)3:6 198:24 Name's [1)27:10 Names j l ) 88:9 Nanakuli j l ] 108:21 Narrow [2] 120:21 160:25 NASA
B 15:4 16:6 54:14 54:24 61:7 61:10 :23 112:4
NASA's
K ] 64:10 ation
[2)81:18128:19 National [B] 21:1 68:7 88:7 128:14 129:8 129: 17150:2 162:4 National/International [1] 69:23 Nations [5] 25:3 25:3 25:5 61:17 158:21 Nationwide
12) 30:2 34:3 iative
K.) 7:1 85:11 181:21 181:23 atural
(18) 2:4 7:22 8:12 8:20 15:23 15:25 49:23 76:18 91:5 100:17 101:2 106:8 128:23 142:11 142:11 161:1 180:17 168:9 Naturally [2)128:6 136:1 Nature
G) 100:23 170:17 171:3 216:22 ay
[1] 13:23 Near [10] 45:15 57:3 59:15 109:9 121:23 122:6 127:12 153:6 170:6 192:11 Near-term
11)121:23 Jea rest
[1] 127:15 Nearly (5) 107:17 146:3 150:6 203:7 204:1 Nec
K ] 226:14 ecessariiy
(9) 62:22 80:19 203:2 207:2 213:4 214:19 215:5 215:6 226:21 Need (86) 4:19 19:4 19:4 19:10 19:13 19: 19 20:3 20:20 21:25 22:6 22:10 22: 15 22:16 22:25 23:1 23:2 23:6 25:17 59:13 61:16 63:7 71:18 76:1 79:13 70:19 80:14 81:16 82:9 83:9 84:1 84: 9 04:13 05:4 86:14 94:12 96:13 96: 15 100:24 103:15 108:2 108:2 108:6 108:13 116:12 118:15 121:8 122:1 122:3 124:22 124:23 126:20 127:9 127:10 127:11 132:13 133:16 134:22 135:4 136:2 136:22 163:3 157:4 160:
7 W0:8 185-17 171:3171:16 172:1 176:17 187:11 192:1 197:7 197:8 197:12 213:6 213:7 213:16 213:16 213.21 213:23 214:10 216:13 216:23 217:2 225:23 226:1 Needed [6)34:8 36:13115:18135:21 144:21 168:14 Needing [1] 144:6 Needs [23] 17:22 19:1 22:10 35:22 38:15 61: 8 63:14 81:6 83:16 108:14 130:25 168:8 164:9 166:17 167:12 184:9 102:20 198:4 212:24 217:3 222:8 222:12 230:18 Negative
Cl 42:20 81:22 154:15 173:1 egotiations
[1] 167:0 Neighbor [2] 122:21 145:1 Neighborhood J4] 107:23 144:19 160:1 160:23 Neighbors (2)144:11 145:5 Neons J1) 82:21 Nervous
1)128:5182:24 et
18] 15:14 39:2 39:7 41:11 41:12 41: 13 41:15 41:21 42:20 66:6 64:20 94: 23 07:23 08:1 126:18 165:15 165:18 212:3 Neutral [5] 76:13 102:22 166:12 166:22 196: 19 Never (8) 3:25 4:1 39:14 70:8 83:4 135:8 166:14 222:6 New [32] 21:12 22:3 22:24 25:14 36:13 38: 20 38:2139:3 41:12 51:19 61:5 61: 21 65:12 70:3 74:6 84:21 89:16 89: 19 89:24 102:12 112:5 134:25 135:4 135:10 141:25 146:6 150:9 150:12 167:7 158:19 166:20 185:1 News rn 16:6 21:23 21:24 22:9 22:11 99:9 09:10 Newspapers [1) 162:15 Next [32] 4:20 21:5 20:4 43:16 46:22 63: 16 69:4 64:6 66:17 67:22 78:10 79: 22 127:22 129:11 130:14 144:14 146: 13 149:1171:23 184:23 184:25 186: 10 166:10 195:17 202:7 202:16 215: 17 216:6 229:7 232:15 232:16 232:19 Nice [2)41:10161:12 Nickel
166:2168:20 ght 117:14163.21
MBY 1] 80:20
MBY-ism 11 60:20
na 7:10 108:23
ne (2)21:8 21:18 Nineties [6] 14:5 29:7 53:22 69:5 69:9 119:7 [31 62:25 S3:2 53:3 Ninos [11 53:1 Nishihara j l i 67:20 Nitrogen [3)23:0 23:1123:13 Nitrous (4)12:18 30:17 31:2166:4 No-bralner J2] 132:16 136:20 No-brainers
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ m [IJ 136:4 No-fault [2)102:21 102:25 No>regret [2] 36:2 79:16 No-regrets j l ) 61:15 Nobody [2)148:5159:13 Non [12)19:5 29:11 31:17 33:1 33:1 33: 21 68:21 75:7 103:15 140:4 196:23 214:5 Non-carbon-em itting «) 196:23
on-disposable [1] 140:4 Non-energy J3] 29:11 31:17 33:21 Non-fossil [1)19.5 Non-highway [1] 33:1 Non-peak [1] 103:15 Non-point [1] 75:7 Non-profits [1] 68:21
Non-Utility p]33:1 214:5 None [2)60:24143:24 Nonetheless
K ] 166:8 onrenewable
[1] 124:2 Normal [2] 176:1 182:1 Normalize [1)31:6 Normalized
C) 44:19 ormally
S) 196:2 orman
1] 62.8 ormative
[1)155:11 North J3] 47:4 107:2 123:19 Northeast [1)21:8 Northem [1)12:12 Not-so-green [2)218:1 218:12 Notary (1) 234:5 Note [8)34:11 37:14 68:8 176:4 105:10 202:10 Noted
Bl 31:15 32:19 37:5 84:4 otes
[ I ] 32:4 Notii ing [ I I ] 57:2 75:14 75:14 78:3 109:7 112: 19 134:5 137:2 137:6 149:21 168:7 Notice
S 47:24 48:9 49:7 61:11 71:21 91: 169:25
Noticeable [1)91:12 Notif led: Date [1] 235:25 Notify ri) 235:23 i^oUon [2)102:4113:9 Novel [1] 35:7 Nuclear p j 160:6 176:2
G] 214:13 ul
E:
G
n 1) 185:14 umber
(26110:21 11:8 21:3 21:21 77:1 77: 16 82:8 82:16 101:21106:5 105:19 111:3 117:4 119:4 123:8 123:16 133: 24 135:22 147:12 148:24 157:18 164: 16 171:21 184:23 189:9 196:15 Numbering M] 64:1 Numbers [8] 35:9 57:16 57:19 59:2 82:12 110: 25128:14 129:8 Numerous [1] 201:8 Nurseries [1] 85:11
Oahu [28] 59:19 75:18 60:10 80:10 106:20 108:22 107:21 108:20 110:23 115:20 115:20 116:18 116:20 121:13 122:23 123:1 123:2 123:7 123:11 123:13 123:15 123:17 123:24 124:22 126:7 126:12165:2 171:14 Oahu's (11116:21 Obey [11196:5 Objective [11 89:4 object ives [10] 87:19 190:5 194:5 194:7 194:14 194:16 194:20 200:14 200:18 201:10 202:10 202:13 202:23 203:15 205:1 224:12 234:13 224:18 Obligation [2188:13 88:13 observat ions [419:10 16:2 43:11 227:5 observatory [ l j 12:6 observed (1144:7 Observing (11 63:24 Obtained [2131:16192:19 obvious [2)160:4 199:23 obviously [12] 24:21 75:20 61:23 104:14 127:1 136:3 141:5 173:8 178:19 187:4 210: 24 218:19
Occur (8) 13:21 51:7 153:5 163:6 153:13 176:19 207:20 228:23 Occurred [2)14:2516:1 Occurring [6] 14:14 42:25 74:24 74:24 149:17 169:16 Occurs (2)48:11 155:22 Ocean (43)9:11 18:11 16:12 38:4 44:6 46:4 46:4 47:2 49:9 66:2 56:4 56:6 59:8 69:20 69:24 60:16 60:21 83:4 63:5 63:20 63:22 63:24 66:23 77:8 77:9 60:12 100:8 100:9 100:10 100:12 104:13 107:5 107:19 109:4 116:22 116:23 117:16122:24145:22149:17 159:4 162:24171:4 Oceanic [1] 150:2 Oceanography (1) 64:3 Oceans [3)40:3 43:160:13 Off-peak [2196:6 96:10 Off-Uie-shelf
w:r §170:11226:8 231:7
rfered
[1] 163:3 Offering [1)166:16 Office rei 34:22 66:5 169:25 105:9 199:20 Offlcer [1] 27:24 Offs (21223:24 224:4 Offset (17) 94:9 94:9 174:24 207:15 207:22 209:12 209:14 209:19 209:18 209:22 209:25 210:4 210:19 214:11 216:4 227:14 227:17 Offsets [2)21:21 227:17 Offshore [2184:25 176:12 Often (6) 74:15 75:12 88:2 99:10 136:6 154
Ohio (1) 22:5 OII [39] 10:6 13:3 20:22 21:16 35:25 73: 18 73:19 80:4 80:23 108:6 120:17 124:15 124:16 124:19 124:20 124:25 126:1 126:1 129:23142:5159:17 159:16 159:20 160.3 160:7 160:17 160:19 160:21 161:3 161:9 161:10 164:25 165:1 165:3 165:12 165:25 165:25167:21226:3 Oklahoma [1113:4 Old [7] 10:22 38:25 74:3 88:4 88:9 90:10 185:19 Older [1] 187:6 Olelo [1] 4:21 On-site [1)130:15 On: [1]2'3S?33 T Once I [14] 22:9 34:10 56:14 110:20 132:25 134:18 139:5 150:17 152:4 158:22 166:8 177:8 227:13 231:12 One I (200) 4:11 4:12 4:13 7:23 10:2 13:3 15:4 15:8 15:17 19:26 21:23 22:23 24:10 27:15 28:22 29:21 31:4 31:18 37:2 37:6 40:9 40:18 43:24 45:2 45:3 45:15 46:23 49:4 60:8 50:17 50:17 61:0 52:20 55:23 56:4 59:10 61:17 61:24 65:21 66:8 66:19 69:4 71:1 72: 24 73:1 73:5 74:21 75:6 75:12 76:2 77:1 77:24 82:2 82:12 82:16 83:20 84:2 64:20 85:6 65:9 85:20 86:21 88: 23 91:6 91:16 91:15 91:16 91:16 91: 23 92:6 93:1 93:4 93:18 93:22 93:23 94:6 95:18 97:3 97:24 90:3 100:5 101:4 101:24 103:3 103:16 103:17 104:19 105:21 106:4 106:20 107.15 108:10 109:1 112:8 112:17 113:13 114:1 114:18116:17121:1 121:1 121:2 123:6 123:8 125:7 125:9 127:8 127:18 129:10 131:18 132:1 133:24 134:25 139:13 140:11 140:15 140:20 141:2 141:15 141:21 142:19 144:10 144:13 145:25 146:7 147:12 148:7 148:7 149:24 150:19 151:4 162:12 152:12 152:24153:25155:3 157:5 157:8 157:6 158:12 156:25 160:10 161:9 163:12 164:16 166:2 169:17 171:12 172:3 172:11 175:1 175:1 177:11 179:18180:10182:23 184:15 185:14 185:21 186:14 186:18 108:22 106:24 107:3190:24192:11 194:13 194:22 195:17 196:14 196:16 196:25 201:14 202:14 202:16 203:1 204:15 206:25 207:11 211:13 211:14 211:18 212:22 212:24 213:7 214:1 214:16 216:9 218:1 218:6 218:111218:12 218:24 233:23 224:13 226:12 228:6 228:22 230:4 236:19 I One's I
P) 4:10 82:14 111:17 112:4 173:24
181:20 201:22 229:-/ One-hundred-year [1)31:4 One-minute [1] 50:8 One-Slded [1] 235:19 One-third [2)112:11 167:13 Ontf-time-use (1) 140:20 Onsrous (1) 214:4 Ones [6) 20:1 46:17 49:21 52:2 99:22 182:
Ontario [1)312:15 0 0 0 [1] 233:4 Open [3f 47:2 142:14 196:10 Opening [3] 2:1 3:1 20:6 Operate [ l ] 136:15 Operating [1)74:19 Operational [21223:24 224:4 Operations [2)166:17 225:23 Opinion [9] 22:19 24:24 54:14 61:19 69:5 69: 6153:21166:10176:16 OpiTOrtunities [3)70:17 80:15177:17 Opportunify [8] 20:24 28:4 37:17 79:4 145:16 146: 22 205:2 213:8 Opposed [4)74:19 90:19 95:16152:11 Opposing (1)142:13 Opposite [ l l l43:10 Optics (2ri43:16 143:16 Optimization [ i f 192:22 Optimized
gj^l04:22 195:7 pt ion
[5)21:2 93:13 97:8 98:1 196:16 Options [13] 2:164:12 10:16 114:2 115:8 168: 3 190:9 190:10 196:12 203:11 224: 15 224:17 226:16 Oranges [1] 16:7 Orbiting [1] 39:16 Ordtfr [9] 17:1 19:6 19:14 43:21 64:4 124:4 160:24168:11 201:23 Ordsrs [2)119:8194:18 Organic [4] 144:21 144:21 144:23 144:25 Organism [2)182:20182:23 Organization [3)66:3 69:14 90:18 Organized [1)3:12 Organizing [1)l0:25 Orig [1] 235:21 Original [2] 235:1 235:24 Orieans [1)150:12 Ornamental [1)71:24 Oscar [1] 199:23
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/8 # Oscillation (1) 42:8 Oshiro [1] 35:2 Ostensibly [1] 178:5 OTEC [9] 107:6 116:23 122:24 122:25 123: 8171:9171:13171:14 171:16 Otherwise [1)111:25 Ourselves [6] 41:8 72:2 108:2 108:7 108:13 187: 6 Outcomes [1] 200:21 Outgoing [1] 88:5 OuUaw [3)166:25181:11 181:17 Outiay [2)132:11 132:15 Outiine [1] 29:18 Outiined [2)136:19 222:22 Outiines [1] 203:23 Output [1] 125:24 Outputs [1)144:12 Outreach [4] 29:15 206:23 208:6 213:11 Outside [315:10196:13 211:17 Outward [1] 155:14 Outwards [11142:16 Ovens [1] 118:25 Overage [ I ] 168:15 Overall [ I I ] 7:4 15:14 23:11 33:25 35:14 44: 7 51:5 64:18 65:7 82:8 217:5 Overcome [1] 80:20 Overhead (1) 113:20 Overiooked [1] 103:23 Overseas (2) 31:22 79:5 Oversees (1] 231:2 Overview (4)2:3 8:16 8:19 26:14 Overwhelmed (1) 138:23 Overwhelming [1] 89:13 Owe [1] 32:22 Own [IB] 6:7 9:24 67:8 67:13 73:6 83:6 98: 24 99:5111:1 139:10181:25 203:11 203:12 227:10 229:3 230:20 230:22 230:23 Owned (8) 33:6 69:14 179:11 210:14 216:1 216:7 216:13 227:24 Owner (1) 144:22 Owns (1) 163:2 Oxide (4)12:18 23:11 30:18 31:2 Oxides [3)23:7 23:8166:4 Oxiding (1) 175:5 Ozone [1) 55:19
172:6 172:6 189:6 190:22 192:7 192: 7 192:13195:14 Particulariy [10] 17:14 27:4 35:16 35:25 36:24 58 17154:6185:5193:14 201:20 Particulates [1] 15:20 Parties [1)21:15 Partnership P)37:1 173:17 201:7 Partnerships [5] 9:21 10:1 90:9 203:14 203:17 Parts
16:8 19:12 24:19 29:16 56:12 111 40:21
Parfy [21149:25180:7 P3SS [6] 46:10 104:5 141:2 145:8 219:23 229:22 Pass-through [2] 229:21 229:22 Passed [0] 12:8 23:7 37:22 55:16 105:8 106: 9 157:7 204:22 Passenger's [1] 142:l l Passengers r i ] 19:8 Passes (1) 104:8 Passing [1] 68:22 Passionate [11184.1 Past [16] 9:19 12:8 13:15 14:15 14:18 14: 19 16:7 16:14 16:21 48:18 71:20 79: 13148:21 152:16196:5199:22 Pataki [1)21:12 Patch [1] 21:16 Patchy [1] 50:24 Patii [3)71:14 71:15137:8 Paths m 71:10 71:13 71:18 71:19 71:22 72
Pathway (2)115:25124:9 Pattern [2] 42:8 62:21 Patterns (1) 63:8 Pave (1) 138:4 Pawn [1] 221:4 Pay [22] 10:0 10:6 38:19 73:21 75:20 93: 16 96:9 96:15 102:21 103:21 103:24 121:10 135:11 145:13 148:12 157:19 157:25 166:15 166:24 175:22 207:21 209:21 Pay-as-you-you-save [1)135:11 Pay-at-the-pump (3] 102:21 103:21 103:24 Paying [5] 103:6 144:13 144:14 156:17 156:
Payments [1] 135:12 Pays (1) 96:10 Peak 10] 96:5 96:6 96:9 96:10 97:10 103:
13 103:15159:17160:15 216:25 Peak-load [2)96:4 97:10 Peaks [2)12:15 46:11 Peari [1] 60:4 Peat
TTFT [2)187:24 187:25 Pacific [1)217:19 Pack [2)139:1 139:2 Packet [3] 7:18 50:4 168:8 Packets [2)26:3105:20 Paddles [1] 12:21 Page [3] 2:1 232:24 235:23 Pages (1) 235:21 Paid [3)106:11 209:12 212:9 Pain (1] 148:14 Painful [1) 173:11 Paint [1] 143:9 Painting [1] 143:6 Palatable [1] 176:3 Paleoclimate [1] 16:19 Palm [5] 73:18 73:19 164:25 165:2 165:3 Panel (20) 4:25 5:4 7:8 7:15 14:3 14:4 14:4 38:1 50:8 66:17 67:22 114:2 137:25 138:1 170:14 175:4 178:3 198:24 201:4 225:13 Panelists [4)50:2 50:18 66:13 99:16 Panels (4)4:8 67:24 105:9114:1 Paper [3144:15 164:6 106:23 Papers [1] 220:21 Papohaku [1] 48:25 Parallel [21190:14 195:18 Paralleled [1] 29:13 Paraphrase [11196:4 Paraphrasing [1] 203:1 Parenthood [1] 173:17 Parents (1) 83:21 Parify [4] 121:7 121:13 122:22 123:23 Parte [4)48:21 47:13 47:23 71:4 Parks [1] 208:8 Part [34] 3:13 3:15 29:19 30:1 30:2 30:23 49:10 55:10 66:12 63:17 69:2 74:3 74:5 74:10 74:20 81:13 83:25 86:21 91:13 92:8 95:7 104:21 108:21 111: 15 143:6 143:12 146:9 177:19 195: 25 196:1 199:18 204:8 223:6 229:2 Participants [1] 27:5 Participate [3)149:8 204:24 228:19 Participated [2)200:5 200:8 Participating [3)43:3149:5 221:19 Participation t l ) 202-.20 Particular [18] 30:10 35:16 37:5 62:23 65:11 111:7 113:15 118:18 119:20 124:11
^ .
:iI73:19 ' 'eer
:i] 155:11 'enalize
[1] 221:24 Pending -1)89:11 'enguin
[1] 149:26 Penny (2) 196:24 196:24 people [10713:14 4:3 4:7 4:18 5:11 7:13 10: 12 10:19 10:21 13:10 13:12 18:25 21: 14 21:16 21:17 26:2 35:6 51:10 65: 21 66:24 67:2 67:8 69:6 79:8 83:18 84:6 84:8 85:12 85:12 85:16 88:20 92:21 102:2 102:6 102:16 103:1 108: 9 109:4 113:8 113:16 126:3 132:21 132:23 133:8 134:8 137:25 139:3 139:7 142:10 142:21 145:5 145:9 148:5 148:23 160:10 160:14 161:13 151:20 153:3 153:21 153:24 154:10 154:14 154:16 155:2 155:4 155:7 155:24 156:19 156:25 157:2 157:10 167:11 157:24 158:1 158:3 158:20 158:21 162:24 164:23 166:14 166:15 166:22 167:1167:10 171:20 173:20 177:1 177:3 177:8 177:23 180:9 180: 17 164:1 185:2 185:6 185:0 185:11 166:3 101:14 106:15 212:1 212:11 213:5 219:12 221:24 235:18 people's
[1] 161:17 Pepperdine [1125:6 Per [49] 19:8 19:12 19:14 30:1 30:7 39: 11 39:13 39:14 39:18 39:20 39:22 66: 12 65:24 77:18 97:4 107:12 120:12 120:18 126:23 126:1 126:22 142:1 144:6 144:7 152:17 160:13 161:14 151:18 161:21 162:4 162:17 162:20 163:20 195:20 196:20 196:21 196:22 207:23 210:18 210:23 210:25 211:1 211:4 211:6 211:7 211:24 222:14 236:4 226:18 Perceive [^ 79:23 06:2 Perceived (2)136:18149:7 Percent p6] 14:10 19:4 19:6 19:7 19:15 22: 22 33:5 33:10 33:12 33:15 33:17 33: 21 34:1 34:3 69:21 77:6 77:7 04:22 94:25 04:25 95:9 95:11 95:13 120:6 124:21 124:23 125:1 125:3 125:6 125:19 125:23 126:21 127:6 128:21 128:23 128:24 141:6 141:10 141:16 141:19 141:19 142:3 142:5 142:8 142:18 142:20 142:25 144:5 148:19 148:24 148:25 149:4 146:8 140:13 162:18 156:1 156:14 156:15 156:17 156:19 160:1 160:16 162:0 163:0 164:10 166:13 172:9 178:10 185:15 207:22 207:23 211:10 211:13 211:15 218:0 218:9 Percentage (5) 32:18 69:21 128:20 102:9 207:13 Perception P) 25:16 158:13 Perched [1)45:21 Perhaps 8)40:15 47:11 64:13 83:8123:1 180:
i 3 195:17 226:2 Period [10) 16:2 17:25 40:17 42:12 43:16 51: 3 51:10 57:22 98:5 216:25 Periods [3)53:2103:13103:15 Permits ra] 92:23 03:14 103:7 Permitt ing [2)37:11 101:25 Person [51 34:25 153:7 170:8 179:7179:8 Personal (7) 6:24 22:18 54:13 140:2 145:2146: 5166:10
• ECO IRP Technical Session; 6/1 l^ersonally [5] 19:9 151:5 163:24 154:14 169:21 Perspective (32) 2:9 2:10 2:11 2:13 6:5 16:19 37: 0 64:16 67:24 67:25 68:1 68:2 68:15 78.11 78:14 87:3 87:6 87.17 87:23 87:24 90:1 90:10 90:19 90:21 91:4 90:20 200:4 203:12 203:18 204:21 213:25 222:22 Petroleum [6] 64:19 65:17 80:2 107:9 159:25 160:12 Phase [9] 29:12 29:20 29:21 29:22 30:19 122:16190:8 200:23 224:16 Philosophy ra 139:19 186:19 Phone
119:6140:24141:1 lones
p ] 118:25 140:22 183:20 Phonetic [1] 186:3 Photosynthesis [1] 163:6 Photovoltaic [5] 116:25 208:8 212:1 213:13 225:24 Photovoltaics [5] 119:11119:15 120:4 125:13 128:8 Physicist
[4)73:24 140:3152:4152:15 Picked [4] 26:3 50:4 139:3 210:12 Picking [2] 8:22 139:2 Pickle [1] 162:14 Pickups [ l j 152:12 Picture [S} 19:22 121:11 130:6 139:15 139:15 Pictures ? } : ' " ' ' [41129:5129:25134:2148:4 Piece [4] 99:4 130:14133:16 147:16 Pieces [2] 16:10 99:2 Pig [2] 144:18 144:21 Pigs [ I ] 144:20 Pike
(1149:14 Plies [11 46:14 Pilot [11122:16 Pfnch
K ' ,41:11 inpolnted
^ & ' ' [ I I ] 74:15 74:18 143:18 162:12 169: 4 169:0 169:8 169:10 169:11 169:14 171:20 Pipes (1] 197:9 Pizzas 11 67:9
190:13 200:25 202:1 202:20 232:18 Plane [2172:11 117:20 Planet [20] 9:14 11:11 43:20 55:1 61:9 73: 25 78:1 78:2 81:21 86:3 91:13 91:14 102:9 102:14 108:15 113:8 128:10 150:18173:17 173:18 Planned [2)67:11 173:17 Planner [1] 34:22 Planners [1176:18 Planning (35) 1:0 3:9 3:13 3:15 3:24 4:15 6:13 6:14 6:18 25:11 28:3 30:19 38:13 40: 9 40:11 40:12 41:8 45:7 72:12 169: 25 192:12 192:21 193:3 193:5 193: 12 201:16 202:11 225:22 230:17 231: 2 232:7 232:9 235:3 235:9 235:14 Plans (15) 54:1 109:5 190:7 194:7 194:25 195:2 195:6 195:13 198:2 196:3 203: 12 230:14 230:23 230:25 231:3 Plant P3] 22:4 33:24 48:6 48:7 71:3 72:21 73:1 73:3 73:16 77:1 80:1 81:20 81: 20 85:11 94:11 104:25122:12122: 24 123:9 125:2 125:4 162:14 163:6 163:20 164:19 164:25 165:2 165:25 166:1 166:5 166:6 171:16 176:8 Planted [1185:11 Planting [»165:16 166:16 Plants [10) 72:3 72:4 73:24 65:10 104:4 118; 9 161:17161:20 165:11 165:20 Plastics [1] 178:20 Plate [1] 140:18 Platform [2)7:9186:17 Play [7] 2:23 20:18 168:21 193:7 190:7 199:2 227:15 Played [1] 204:7 Players [2)76:5167:1 Pleasure [11146:14 Pledge [11 06:21 Plenfy (1)161:23 Plug (1) 129:12 Plus (6) 15:17 39:19 39:21 42:18 81:22 107:10 PM [3)113:24 233:3 235:11 Pocket [1] 132:12 Pocketbook [2)158:2158:20 Point [43] 9:10 11:24 13:10 13:18 17:6 17: 20 21:10 24:25 25:5 26:6 41:3 41:25 46:20 47:15 66:5 57:24 66:8 68:9 76: 7 76:6 88:2 97:7 96:11 100:7 101:21 107:4 120:25 121:8 132:25 138:2 149:14 163:18 165:8 176:8 160:22 185:25 193:16 196:6 198:20 200:3 205:25 214:6 229:20 Pointed (6)57:21 59:3 71:1 74:11 177:17 197: 6 Pointer [1] 202:11 Pointing [1) 57:20 Points 16] 10:10 44:24 68:7 121:6 125:12 197:7 Polar
• 1 1 ^
Ph<
PJ
U . Jace [18)21:21 22:15 22:16 24:10 42:9 43: 4 68:19 76:2 80:1 81:20 81:24 134: 23 143:22 150:20 170:16 170:18 203: 8 207:21 Places [0] 37:12 71:18 81:21 83:11 106:17 100:12175:20182:16 Plan [17] 8:9 29:23 30:3 30:6 30:10 30:10 67:15 67:17 75:15 98:25 136:9 189:5
[4)16:916:2217:1417:17 Policies I [13] 61:12 61:25 87:17 103:22 131:3 135:5 170:18 196:5 199:13 200:1 204:8 204:22 204:22 | Policy [55] 2:9 3:9 3:25 4:11 7:13 18:24 19: 2 21:3 22:15 25:10 25:18 62:1 66:17 67:22 68:14 87:19 88:23 88:24 89:4 69:21 90:2 90:4 91:5 100:2 111:19 127:1 146:14 153:11 150:11 169:14 189:11 169:14 189:16 190:4 190:14 190:17 191:24 191:25 192:2 192:8 193:22 198:1 199:19 200:14 200:16 201:16 201:18 202:10 202:23 202:23 204:6 204:13 206:1 220:25 229:3 Policymaker [1] 220:24 Policymakers [1] 153:17 Pollhale (1) 48:25 Political [5] 87:18 88:15 68:17 89:14 92:7 Politically [1] 93:13 Poll p ) 148:18 149:12 149:13 Polls Pl 69:5 69:6 153:21 Pollution [3)75:7 75:7101:3 PoWethvlene [1] 169:9 Ponds [1)165:22 Poo-pooing (1) 13:6 Pool [5] 49:6 49:10 49:14 49:17 182:9 Pools [1)46:0 Poor p) 84:7 84:25 Pooriy P) 44:8 44:10 59:22 Popcorn [2] 144:20 144:22 Popped [1] 70:10 Popular [1)212:16 Population ( I l f 159:23 170:8 172:11172:13 172; 20 172:23 173:1 173:2 173:8 173:15 173:16 Population's [1] 164:22 Portfolio [5] 22:21 71:16 94:20 109:23 226:3 Portfolios r i ] 19:18 Portion [4] 104:9 137:8 177:15 190:20 Portugal M) 212:16 Portuguese [1) 128:6 Position ra) 173:16 220.12 220:23 Positive [6) 11:23 24:5 41:15 102:5 146:10 183:10 I Possibilit ies (4) 102:12 104:13 104:19 122:10 Possibilify [2) 67:7 228:3 Possible [11] 24:20 36:18 57:17 89.3 101:0 123:6 130:13 143:12 184:10 164:19 186:16 I Possibfy I [7] 34:25 96:24 185:20 215:10 225: 17 226:24 226:24 Post (1) 53:24 Posted [2)54:3 76:16
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ W Potential [21) 23:2 31:2 31:5 31:7 64:6 60:9 116:20 118:17 121:15 121:16 121:23 123.6123:7 123:11 127:12129:25 130:8 130:20 167:6 224:17 230:19 Potentially M] 40:11 61:21 58:8 59:25 Pound (1)179:16 Pounds [1)77:5 Pouring [1160:16 Power [91110:10 26:6 33:8 68:7 60:9 69:14 71:3 72:21 73:1 73:3 73:16 73:23 74: 14 78:19 77:1 77:6 78:6 80:1 80:7 80: 10 80:12 83:19 95:1 100:7 104:3 106: 22 111:2 118:9 122:12 123:6 125:2 125:4 131:23 142:19 142:20 146:17 158:8 160:6 162:13 166:1 166:5 166: 6 176:2 176:23 178:7 178:16 185:25 198:20 206:20 206:22 207:9 207:13 207:13 207:16 207:22 206:17 208:19 209:12 209:24 210:4 210:7 210:16 210:16 211:2 211:16 211:22 212:2 212:23 214:1 214:3 214:6 214:7 215: 22 216:23 216:1 216:1 216:3 216:7 216:7 216:0 216:12 216:13 217:0 217:10 217:26 226:17 226:13 227:20 228:6 228:12 228:14 Powered [2)125:15 209:11 Powerful [3i31:3 165:10 177:7
(4)214:13 214:21 214:22 214:25 PPAs (1) 228:6 Practical (1)116:7 Practically [1)180:18 Practice [2] 31:0 216:4 Practices [2)216:6 217:13 Preceding [1] 205:7 Precipitation (3)13:1817:1018:22 Precise [1] 62:21 Precision (2) 37:9 37:10 Predict (1)48:13 Predicting (1)47:12 Predictions [5112:1 12:2 41:5 160:17 172:22 Prefer [1] 118:5 Prelndustrial [1)19:12 Preliminary [7] 28:12 20:14 32:13 33:25 34:11 36: 12 200:19 Prep (1) 169:25 Preparation [1)191:11 Prepare (1) 169:20 Prepared [5] 34:5 50:6 169:22 198:20 108:22 Preparedness (1) 80:8 Prescribe f l ) 54:23 Present ;81 28.18 43:6 66:26 67:2 60:19 116: 19183:6 235:18 presentation 37) 6:1 8:16 26:8 27:4 26:7 35:11 36: .0 53:24 65:25 61:2 66:10 76:15 78: 5 87:11 91:3 108:20 114:23 115:16 128:8 128:16 137:10 137:11 146:24
185:12 196:12 198:14 iy8:21198:23 199:1 206:11 209:5 209:10 209:16 210:2 226:18 229:9 232:21 Presentation's [1] 28:25 Presentations [8] 26:6 29:3 54:1 66:13 67:23 68:4 113:19 201:4 Presented [2)20:15 200:17 Presenting [1] 7:3 Preservation [1] 89:9 Preset [2)97:9 210:17 President 11)115:13 Pressure [2)155:11 155:12 Presumably [2)65:4 106:6 Presume [1] 94:19 Pretend [1)191:10 Pretfy (17) 16:3 16:4 53:7 53:13 54:17 119: 21 128:25132:1 151:15154:16 156: 9 159:6 166:19 169:6 204:4 206:18 228:11 Prevent [4)22:3151:16 180:9 206:5 Prevented r i ] 180:22 Previous [2)69:19 187:18 Price [16] 72:21 72:24 84:3 84:4 84:18 92: 17 92:23 96:9 103:7 105:11 148:13 148:13 146:13 156:22 157:25 175:22 Prices [5] 96:6 07:9 97:10 102:1 106:15 Pricing [10] 70:25 95:17 96:1 96:4 97:12 97; 15103:2103:3 149:6 206:20 Primarify (7) 11:14 20:13 30:8 33:13 34:12 120: 16 230:5 Primary [4)30:16 54:22 54:22 200:10 Primer [1] 9:2 Principally [ I ] 62:11 Principle [2)99:4 112:2 Principles [1)31:25 Print [4)110:3 110:17 213:3 234:10 Printed [2)110:12 110:13 Priorify [5] 35:21 35:21 102:17 112:18 112:19 Prius [1] 126:14 Private [1] 89:21 Prize [2)163:3 197:25 Pro P l 211:12 211:15 Probabllify (1) 170:4 Problem [45] 9:22 9:25 20:4 21:4 22:10 24:8 46:10 49:20 51:21 61:1170:13 72:4 60:22 90:1 93:4 101:4 101:13 101:18 101:19 101:23 102:25 112:20 113:1 113:5 144:20 149:2 153:3 153:4 153: 5 153:24 154:2 154:12 154:18 158: 13160:4161:5 161:6161:25163:13 173:25 174:7 181:5 181:16 209:23 228:17 Problem's [1] 60:6 Problems
11)88:1188:15 90:12 97:19100:20 100:20 164:16 164:18 180:6 183:2 229:8 Procedures [1)72:12 Proceed [1)91:18 Proceedings [61 4:21 4:22 199:11 234:8 234:9 234 12 Process [641 2:21 2:21 3:9 3:13 3:16 3:17 4: 15 6:9 6:14 31:21 75:16 76:10 77:20 80:11 89:3 92:8 117:2 127:16 161:2 162:16169:6169:21 169:24 171:10 187:1 188:15 188:16 189:5 189:15 189:20 190:2 190:3 190:5 190:18 190:25 191:3 191:4 191:8 191:13 191:23 192:2 192:21 193:8 193:12 193:15 194:2 194:5 194:17 194:22 195:11 195:22196:9 198:25 200:2 203:14 204:25 214:4 214:8 215:10 219:18 225:22 230:2 230:17 232:7 Processes (5) 77:15 120:1 200:6 204:9 204:25 Processing [2] 48:6 48:7 Procurement (1) 164:15 Produce [10] 124:20 126:21 126:24 127:1 127; 2 129:2 129:21 161:20 165:10 225:4 Produced [6] 77:19 130:25 132:9 132:10 165: 19 204:13. Producer (1) 144:23 Producer's [1] 214:7 Producers P) 111:3 210:17 211:2 Produces (1)72:22 Producing p) 137:5 162:6 207:16 Product [5] 19:14 76:9 111:24 133:3 133:7 Production [20] 24:6 31:20 33:24 36:2 74:23 78: 23 118:20 119:5 124:18 124:19 126: 18 152:17 152:22 159:18 159:20 160: 13161:0165:14 172:14 192:16 Products [13] 64:7 64:19 64:19 65:17 106:6 116:24 124:24 132:17 133:10 133:13 134:15164:6 179:24 Professional [1] 35:2 Professionals (4)34:15 88:1213:1218:23 Proflle [1] 226:23 Proflt (1)211:14 Proflts [13] 68:21 70:22 72:25 73:9 93:9 97: 14 07:21 217:24 218:2 218:5 218:8 218:13 218:15 Program P6] 20:8 21:20 27:19 28:1 29:8 29: 14 29:15 29:18 34:13 34:13 35:19 54: 10 63:24 66:1 85:23 91:18 94:1 94:4 96:23 97:4 114:20 122:2 136:13 137: 13 152:22 182:5 162:7 162:11 201: 19 203:7 203:22 204:2 207:12 207: 12 206:3 210:15 Programs [10] 20:5 23:3 01:11 83:15 85:22 135: 11 149:6 207:11 213:2 218:21 Progress [2)30:13 148:21 Progressive [1] 186:21 Project (38) 18:17 28:10 28:12 29:7 29:12 29: 24 30:1 30:1 30:14 34:1943:12 61:6 200:18 200:23 200:23 201:5 202:1 203:8 208:17 208:16 208:25 209.13 210:10 210:21 210:22 211:9 211:11
211:11211:15 211:19213:25 214:9 214:15 214:23 215:23 215:24 216:1 216:6 Projected [3)32:5 45:2 45:5 Projection [2] 45:3 52:24 Projections (4)17:3 18:12 58:17 59:1 Projects (26) 19:24 134:9 134:22 176:22 166: 19 201:17 205:19 206:20 206:24 207 19 207:25 200:6 208:24 210:7 210:8 211:3 211:4 211:16 211:22 213:16 213:20 213:20 214:10 215:20 216:11 216:13 Promise (2)27:1 171:14 Promote (6) 102:23 105:8 131:4 134:1 134:23 172:8 Promoti"ng (2)180:1 218:2 Prompted [1] 227:4 Prompts [2)155:3 227:4 Propaganda [3)112:6 213:16 213:17 Propane (1) 33:2 Properiy [1)63:11 Proponents p) 70:23 108:20 108:22 Proportional [^35:14 07:8 Proposal [2)81:4 204:5 Proposals p ] 80:25 107:6 201:12 Propose (4)77:4 138:7 138:18 201:16 Proposed [1)71:3 Proprietary [1] 36:18 Protect [2)72:2112:25 Protection [4] 2:13 29:14 87:4 87:0 Protest [2] 183:24 184:6 Protests [1)183:13 Protocol [5] 21:5 23:18 55:16 92:12 93:24 Protocols (1)30:11 Proud [1] 107:14 Prove [1)177:9 Provide [20] 28:10 31:9 64:10 118:17 125:14 130:6 162:23 165:3 191:22 192:25 193:8 193:9 195:3 199:1 200:11 202: 25 220:15 224:20 225:10 231:13 Provided [8] 29:25 30:24 220:20 222:11 222: 25 223:1 231:21 232:22 Provides [2)123:9 193:4 Providing [1)221:18 Provision [1] 222:9 Prudent [1)41:7 Psychology [1] 155:1 Public (34) 3:16 9:23 19:2 22:15 25:10 25: 16 25:18 27:7 30:9 34:17 61:25 61: 25 69:4 70:21 71:2 72:12 82:24 90:2 105:2 153:11 153:21 155:6 169:5 193:18 196:9 199:7 208:21 213:11 213:11 213:21 217:22 218:23 232:20
-23^!B public-private [1] 9:21 Publish [1)110:26 Published [1)44:16 Publishing
(21) 6:21104:5105:13191:5192:6 193:19 193:23 193:26 194:1 194:1 196:4 196:14 107:15 201:6 229:18 230:2 230:4 230:18 230:20 231:1 231:4 PUC's [3)198:13 230:8 Pull [6] 139:18 139:23 139:25 147:14 158: 1 186:19 Pulled 11)151:14 pul l ing [3] 60:6 140:9 Pump [71 80:17 102:21 103:2 103:11 103: 21103:24124:20 pumping [I ] 169:23 pumps [2)05:2136:22 punahou [2)185:21 185:22 Purchase ( I I ) 133:10 167:13 167:15 206:22 207:13 209:7 209:10 210:16 214:1 228:6 228:12 Purchasing [1)209:22 Pure (1)130:17 Purely (1)41:24 Purpose (6) 3:11 6:2 28:20 29:1 30:14 134:12 Ptjrposes [4)23:22 37:11 116:7 222:7 Pursuant [1] 235:12 Pursue [2)36:5130:10 Pursuing P) 130:2 134:17 134:26 Push -9] 126:15 131:4 134:23 139:19 139: ^0106:20 193:23194:2 197:22 Pushes [1] 145:25 Pushing [1] 167:1 Put P3] 11:0 20:12 22:15 22:16 22:10 24: 9 39:15 42:14 66:24 91:2 110:20 111: 25 121:22 121:25 126:1 125:8 133: 10 150:25 161:1 162:24 163:9 164:4 165:16 176:10 209:8 209:0 220:11 227:12 228:7 226:15 230:26 232:22 Puts P) 16:10 61:4 161:25 Putt ing 11) 7:22 20:13 55:25 70:19 08:2 123: 12143:12179:21 101:15201:2 215: 21 Puzzle [1] 228:10 PV 17] 97:25 119:22 120:10 120:19 120:
i l 121:7 121:7121:15121:25122: 20 122:21 122:23 123:1 123:2 123: 21 126:9 215:12 Pyramid [1) 139:9 Pyramids [1) 173:2
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ M Qualified [1] 26:24 Qualify [5] 32:23 35:3 81:23 96:17 133:3 Quantifled (1) 10:24 Quantify [1] 23:1 Quantities [1)117:10 Quantify (2)92:16 62:19 Quarter
S] 156:18 uarters
(1) 107:16 Quasi [1] 190:8 Quasi-judicial [1] 199:6 Question's [1] 53:16 Question-and-answer
g] 114:4 uestlon-writer
[1] 113:6 Questionable [1] 183:6 Questioned [3] 13.12 149:4 186:25 Questions
?m 6:3 6:5 5:6 6:2 50:10 50:16 64: 1 65:20 66:10 07:12 99:19 113:15
113:21 168:6 168:6 170:8 174:22 178:22 185:16 185:16 166:1 191:19 102:10 195:16 195:24 219:10 220:1 220:6 232:12 Quick [3)10:10 55:7155:25 Quickly [10] 27:1 36:17 30:22 137:20 165:6 166:10 184:12 185:4 186:13 217:7 Quit [1] 187:8 Quite [16] 7:16 10:20 11:15 14:12 67:17 68; 10 95:15 146:7 148:20 159:13 188: 18 193:25 200:2 206:6 206:15 232:6 Quote [61 69:16 77:22 95:2 172:15 163:11
Quotes (1) 220:7 Quotient [1] 226:5
[1)101:14 Raises p]47:1 66:6183:2 Raleigh [13] 2:20 115:2 159:3 159:10 159:12 169:13 174:4 174:12 174:16 175:12 175:17175:19 181:25 Rampaging [1)71:25 Range (B) 3:15 6:14 17:7 45:8 116:10 I H : 20 232:9 232:16 Ranges [1] 127:19 Ranked [1] 76:24 Ranks [1)77:1 Rapid [2] 55:21 65:22 Rapidly ^ ) 68:8 74:25 119:5 165:12
[1] 71:23 Rate [20] 9:1 38:23 39:17 39:22 41:17 42: 1 42:3 44:17 52:15 52:16 62.19 121: 2 121:3 156:3 156:9 156:15 171:1 211:23 211:24 229:10 Rate-sharing [1] 229:10 Ratepayer [2] 74:2 74:4 Ratepayer's [1)110:4 Ratepayers (4) 104:6 104:8 110:10 229:11 Ratepayers' [ I ] 199:10 Rates (5) 41:3 65:24 156:12 156:13 175:22 Rather ( I I ) 11:16 14:23 23.6 35:7 64:25 168; 7 175:6 190:4 222:19 229:22 230:4 Reach P] 160:2 183:20 227:13 Reached [1] 180:1 Reaching [I ] 180:4 Read [ I I ] 26:25 32:4 35:7 50:7 94:21 98: 16112:17 161:4164:2191:11 229:9 Readily
I9 l22: i5 i23: l7 l25:3 '128: in28:9 ' 128:12 128:18 128:21 129:25 130:15 130:20 131:3 132:22 133:2 133:12 133:25 134:23 135:4 135:13 136:9 136:19 137:1 137:9 139:16 139:24 140:7 141:2 145:7 145:25 146:22 147:14 148:4 149:9 152:13 163:13 153:14 154:1 155:22 156:25 156:24 157:3 158:8 158:11 161:3 181:6 163: 13 167:16 172:20 175:20 177:16 I H : 24 177:25 102:22 183:21 184:1 164: 0 184:8 104:8 164:11 184:11185:1 185:16 186:20 186:21 167:1 187:5 187:12 191:15 197:11 197:16 197:26 197:25 203:18 203:19 206:12 207:6 207:7 209:2 209:2 213:8 213:11 214: 14 215:17 218:24 220:10 220:11 220: 25 231:9 I Reason I [11] 12:11 36:4 92:18 93:10 108:21 121:19 139:3 177:1 228:12 228:12 229:15 Reasonable (1) 98:14 Reasons
24:18 34:5 105:3 176:3 179:15 80:15180:21 I
Rebate | [4] 97:3 97:8 157:17 157;:21 Rebates I [6] 81:11 105:8 105:14 131:13 134: 21135:10 I REC I [5] 208:20 208:21 208:25 209:7 210:5 Recalculation [2)28:13 200:20 Recanted [1)13:13 Recapture [1)119:2 Received (3)188:12 201:11232:17 Recent i [13] 13:1514:2 18:4 28.12 38:21 39: 640:7 54:9 148:18 152:19 194:10 194:19 200:19 Recentiy [3)12:7 31:15 39:4 Recess [6] 50:11 66:14 99:24 113:23 107:24 219:11 Recirculated [1] 85:5 Reciting [1] 196:4 Reckoning [1)71:20 Recognition [2] 5:21 35:1 Recognize [4] 7:10 62:7 67:19 78:8 Recognizing (1) 90:7 Recommend [1)45:6 Recommendation [4] 190:12 202:3 220:14 220:19 Recommendations I [5] 29:4 189:21 200:11 200:24 202:19 Recommended [2] 202:1 220:6 Recommending [3)30:19196:11219:22 Recommissioning [1)136:16 Reconciliation [1] 08:5 Record [3)43:5 70:22140:13 Recorded Recorder [2] 114:6 205:22 Recover [2)175:25175:25 Recovering [1] 159:5 Recovery rssJ^
[4] 2:8 2:14 2:20 2:25
Racheting [1)23:12 Racism [1] 170:11 Radiated [2)11:211:4 Radiation [4)10:2511:7 11:0 31:4 Radiative [1)14:17 Radio [4)148:25147:3158:5 213:3 Rahmstorf [1)44:15 Rain 6145:12 45:13 45:23 46:7 46:10 65: S Rained [1)45:22 Rainfall J8) 45:24 47:18 52:8 52:10 52:11 52: 2152:23 53:8 Rainforest P) 73:19 74:25 75:2 Rainforests
n f l l f l A ' [7118:18 47:4 84:3 85:1 85:16 91:9 102:1 Raised
(1) 06:2 Rei eading [2)08:12 225:7 Ready [2)122:1181:11 Reaffirmation (1) 89:20 Real [22)7:11 7:12 9:4 10:210:2 37:21 57; 7 67:8 69:7 70:24 77:21 82:17 100:3 109:7 134:17 165:3 167:16 186:16 193:22 213:19 213:10 227:4 Realistic P] 57:3 109:8 Realify (6) 22:14 61:3 69:4 78:21102:10 107:
Realization [1] 39:3 Realize p) 180:8 166:4 230:3 Realized [2] 70:16 80:0 Really (150) 6:1 6:6 6:7 6:16 10:12 10:24 13: 17 16:23 18:5 19:11 19:20 21:2 22:6 22:26 22:25 23:12 23:23 25:26 32:22 34:20 35:23 36:2 37:7 30:14 42:10 48:19 49:7 49:10 49:12 40:18 51:16 57:11 61:8 61:15 63:15 64:2 64:6 64: 18 69:11 70:6 80:23 82:2 83:4 84:13 86:9 67:11 87:12 88:2 88:8 68:8 89: 15 90:13 92:14 07:9 98:11 09:16 103: 12 104:10 104:20 109:10 109:17 109:
So
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ ^ l1J-20:22 Recreation
[2)208:14 228:6 Rectifled [1)61:24 Recyclable [1] 178:4 Recycle [7] 76:11 152:2 152:5 152:8 152:20 158:18178:12 Recycled P) 152:1 166:1 156:5 Recycling [15] 152:13 156:3 156:9 166:15 178: 4 178:13 178:14 178:17 178:18 178: 20 178:20 179:4 181:5 181:12 181:18 Red [5] 19:3 41:12 44:21 44:24 46:13 Redeflning Ml 109.2 Redemption [2)152:9156:12 Reda [1] 15:7 Reduce [35] 15:12 19:11 24:7 65:9 78:23 79: 4 84:10 84:11 88:25 91:7 92:20 93: 16 93:22 93:23 03:25 94:1 106:26 118:2 120:6 125:24 128:10 130:24 133:23 136:17 152:20 166:8 168:23 189:12 192:17 194:24 200:24 204:9 224:1 224:5 230:16 Reduced [81 23:21 74:12 93:5 93:8 126:2 130: 2134:20 234:10 Reduces [4)85:6116:12 116:13135:20 Reducing (5) 36:22 134:3 177:4 202:14 221:22 Reduction [12] 29:19 30:7 30:13 30:20 36:24 37: 2 02:11 126:18 192:16 195:21 200:1 202:2 Reductions (12) 24:6 54:10 55:4 55:12 118:18 124:11 134:19 189:19 190:18 192:13 193:11 223:16 Redundant [1] 99:8 Reef (1) 69:22 Reefs (2) 75:8 149:19 Refer [2] 38:3 66:5 Reference [2)99:7149:14 Referred [1] 199:21 Referring [1)53:21 Refers [2)69:2 72:20 Reflne [2)76:24 124:24 Refined (1)111:24 Reflner [1] 103:5 Reflners tl]111:23 Reflne ry [1] 106:9 Reflnlng [1)103:5 Reflect [4)97:11 143:7 144:2 204:4 Reflected (1) 72:23 Reflecting (1)33:17 Reflection [1)11:3 Reflective p ) 74:2 143:8 Reforest
[1] 85:9 ReforesUtion [3)81:18 85:7 209:24 Reforms ri ] 95:17 Refrigeration [1)125:13 Refrigerator [1) 97:2 Refrigerators [2] 20:1 96:23 Regard (3164:1202:12 215.8 Regarding (6) 101:11 190:18 192:13 193:6 221: 19 233:1 Regardless P) 69:3 170:19 178:16 Regards [1] 207:8 Regenerative (1) 116:6 Region (2)17:22161:24 Regional [5] 21:7 52:22 53:8 63:13 89:24 Regions [6] 16:22 17:14 17:17 51:1174:2 174: 10 Registered (11111:12 Registration [1] 231:15 Registries [1)111:9 Regreening [1)81:18 Regressive [1] 24:24 Regret (2) 36:2 79:16 Regular (1) 62:25 Regulate [11111:16 Regulated [6] 3:17 35:21 36:3 93:16 93:17 93:22 Regulation [0] 72:15 64:2 84:20 84:24 85:2 101: 1 101:15105:23 Regulations [5] 24:12 25:16 85:15 101:12 222:19 Regulators (I) 107:23 Regulatory [12)2:21 24:14 37:10 104:7 105:15 112:21 112:22 112:25 168:16 199:8 109:11 222:7 Reinvent
K) 216:3 elate
[3)204:8 204:10 204:22 Related ( I I ) 3:20 12:19 32:9 35:14 37:4 61:5 64:25 89:12 102:13 171:2 199:14 Relates [2)153:23 217:13 Relating [1] 147:25 Relations (1) 62:5 Relationship P) 31:1343:11 Relationships (IJ 191:7 Relative p ) 33:5 185:17 Relatively (7)43:22 47:11 55:21 55:22 126:17 164:16 216:8 Released (4)12:16 56:5 74.19112:12 Releases [3)76:3 75:4 112:9 Relevant [4)64:8 217:15 217:16 217:17 Reliabilify
[4) 98:19 96::i0 194:11 195:1 Reliable [1] 195:3 Reluctant (1) 133:10 Rely (1) 167:4 Remain [4)19:23 34:10 35:22 112:21 t^emainder [2] 28:7 165:19 Remaining (1) 165:14 Remains [I ] 23:17 Remark [1)101:11 Remarks [5)2:1 2:25 3:1 188:4 231:18 Remember [ I I ) 45:15 58:16 78:2 87:24 133:4 158:21 163:8 167:14 165:23 168:8 229:20 Remind [4] 26:2 26:4 50:3 68:6 Reminder [1] 89:14 Reminding [1] 155:4 Remiss (1135:19 Removed [2)20:3 147:16 Removes [1] 228:20 Rendered [1] 220:22 Renewable [82] 2:15 2:16 19:21 22:21 24:4 24:6 24:9 35:24 64:19 77:11 79:19 80:4 80:18 80:25 81:2 81:16 67:1 94:11 94:20 94:23 95:2 95:10 95:12 95:22 106:22 108:1 109:2 109:3 109:12 109:22 110:16 114:15 114:16 115:4 115:9 115:10 115:16 116:2 116:3 116:4 116:0 116:10 116:15 117:17 119:10 121:15 121:21 123:7 127:10 130:3 130:12 130:15 130:18 134:2 139:13 145:20 146:7 148:10 149:5 167:5 172:15 174:25 175:8 177:21 182:4 205:16 206:21 207:15 207:16 207:24 208:13 208:14 209:13 210:10 211:21 216:4 216:16 217:3 217:21 218:21 218:22 226:17 Renewables [6] 70:24 71:16 72:14 112:24 124:3 195:15 Renewal [1)79:14 Renewed (1) 24:5 Rent
[4)87:10103:18 105:12109:6 Reparable [1] 175:24 Repeat (2) 220:2 220:3 Rephrased [1)226:15 [Replace [6] 49:7 75:22 95:3 133:17 135:25 140:6 Replacement [1] 131:24 Replacing (4) 49:13 64:18 120:19 143:20 Replanted [1)31:21 Replanting [1)175:6 Report [12f9:16 10:13 16:17 18:4 31:9 38: 18 63:21 53:22 58:16 58:24 59:4 227: 25 Reported [3)1:24 31:11 34:3
Reporter (9) 4:21 26:25 50:9 99:18 128:5 188: 22 219:8 232:4 234:18 Reporters (2) 36:21 36:21 Reporting [1] 36:19 Reports [2)110:24 189:20 Reposition
tl) 186:20 (epos ted
[1)S7:15 Represent [2] 35:17 44:24 Representative [ lo f 2:11 6:11 7:10 27:6 68:1 86:24 87:7 91:7 91:21 199:10 Represented P) 94:23 94:24 Representing [2) 42.1 68:7 Represents (6) 36:1 41:16 44:22 44:23 160:14 234:11 Reproduce [2)40:23 165:9 Republican p ] 21:13 61:22 REQUESTED
K) 235:19 equire
[8] 37:22 62:24 82:14 106:25 168:19 160:3 230:9 230:11 Required [31132:8181:13 230:15 Requirement [8] 24:11 83:23 94:5 94:22 135:1 193 22 224:9 230:7 Requirements P) 24:15 61:16 91:24 Requires p) 84:9 229:18 Requiring (3) 132:7 229:16 229:16 Rescued [1] 63:9 Research (17) 2:2 3:2 3:7 20:14 20:15 20:17 35 I 36:21 59:13 61:4 66:8 68:3 90:2 90: 16118:5159:6 216:23 Resent [1)221:7 Resentful [1] 139:21 Reserves (1) 59:21 Reside [2] 46:18 46:19 Residence [ I ] 107:16 Residences [1)81:14 Residential ( I I ) 32:20 83:10 105:9 120:10 121:7 122:20 123:1 126:9 127:5 129:7 129: 13 Residual [1] 124:25 Resigned (1) 164:14 Resiliency [1] 64:3 Resolution [1] 47:17 Resolved [2110:1 180:24 Resolving [1169:21 Resort [1)49:5 Resorts P] 49:6 49:16 49:22 Resource [38] 1:8 3:9 3:13 4:14 6:13 6:17 25 I I 28:3 34:12 38:13 49:23 60:7 72 12 107:5116:19116:19117:5117 18 117:10 189:5 190:7 192:12 192
21-193:3193:5193:12 203:11207: 17 224:15 224:17 230:12 230:14 230: 17 232:7 232:18 235:3 235:9 235:14 Resourced P) 204:19 222:12 Resources [281 25:20 27:22 29:5 35:24 37:11 37 23 59:24 84:24 79:10 80:21 81:3 81: 25 107:1 107:5 106:1 111:5 115:19 116:6 116:11 116:15 116:18 127:14 130:3 159:17 109:18 224:9 226:1 230:12 Respect [2)169:21 221:14 Respectable [1) 38:23 Respectively [1] 76:25 Respond [12) 148:14 153:3 153:19 155:8 155: 12 165:24 156:19 168:1 170:13 186: 12 221:1222:25 Responded [2] 174:15 222:24 Responding p ] 149:10 161:25 Response [3] 44:20 45:8 55:7 Responses (1) 148:6 Responsibil i t ies P) 84:21 203:24 Responsibilify PJ 78:22 230:4 Responsible [2)82:11 137:9 Responsive [3)222:10 222:15 222:17 Rest [5) 34:7 50:9 95:2 165:13 177:25 Result [9)44:21 76:4 132:21133.8 147:22 i63:0 189:25 202:6 212:14 Results [4)41:2 66:7129:15203:1 Resume [1] 27:2 Retaining [1] 46:22 Retreat
1)39:7 41:12 41:13 42:20 170:15 70:16
Retreating (1)43:19 Retroflts (1) 166:17 Retrofltt ing [1)136:20 Return P) 166:13 156:16 235:20 Returned (1)141:24 Returning [2)174:1174:9 Reuse [1] 152:20 Reveals 1) 68:25 Revslle [1)12:4 Revsnue [8] 93:16 102:32 134:12 166:11 166: ^2179:20 196:19 217:23 Revenues [91 99:11 112:24 196:18 210:23 218: 2 218:6 218:7 218:9 218:13 Reverse
ft ] 183:7 tevlew
[6] 9:3 10:11 190:13 202:21 230:18 Reviewed (2)170:1 230:8 Revised [2] 32:16 202:9 Revolving [2)176:19176:21 Reward [2)84:1184:16
IECO IRP Technical Session; 6/f Rezachek
2:15 114:14 115:10 115:12 169:7 71:12 172:1
RGGI (2121:7 21:12
[1112:21 Richard
G l d " "
p i 141:9 151:7 Ridge [1] 08:15 Rightfully [11179:15 Rigorous (1) 222:21 Rio (1) 14:7 Riparian [1160:12 Ripples [3)75:19 75:23 76:2 Rise [59] 16:24 17:2 18:13 38:17 39:5 39: 10 39:13 39:17 39:23 39:25 40:1 40: 6 40:6 40:8 40:13 40:16 40:19 40:25 41:4 43:2 43:6 43:7 43:9 44:2 44:3 44:4 44:7 44:10 44:13 45:1 45:9 45: 11 45:17 45:17 46:15 47:10 46:10 48: 10 48:20 51:1 52:6 52:17 52:20 56: 18 56:19 57:6 57:14 57:15 57:21 57: 24 58:7 68:9 59:10 69:14 69:18 60: 22 63:7 106:16159:19 Risen [1116:14 Rises [61 39:21 45:4 45:15 47:8 59:23 63:12 Rising m 9:12 14:23 16:13 52.7 64:16 113: 2183:17 Risk [3172:17 229:11 229:23 Risk-takIng (1)229:11 Road [6] 46:23 87:19 87:21 121:16 126:14 137:7 Robbie (21) 2:10 5:12 5:16 67:25 74:11 78: 10 78:12 70:15 06:23 95:14 101:11 102:10 104:2 105:6 106:19 108:25 110:2 111:16 112:19 113:14 231:16 Robbie's [2)6:5 87:15 Rocket [1) 180:7 Rocky
R ] 179:16 oger
[1] T2:4 Role [16] 2:23 78:20 156:11 193:7 198:7 199:2 199:9 199:16 199:17 200:10 201:14 203:12 203:16 203:17 203:21 204:21 213:8 227:15 Roles [2)27:16199:6 Roll P) 74:5 230:22 230:23 Rolling [1)22:11 Roof
W 81:11107:13151:10151:10151: 180:19184:14
Roofing [1] 107:12 Roofs [21105:9 141:25 Rooftops [1] 212:i Room p7) 32:4 55:24 67:11 67:16 82:23 83: 1 63:2 66:2 66:20 88:5 88:6 107:18 136:5 138:1 143:2 143:7 143:9 143: 17 144:3 159:13 159:22 168:13 168:
20168:25 169:18 177:5 185:11 Rooms [2)72:19143:11 Root [2)173:15180:23 Roper [1] 149:13 Rostock [1)61:15 Roughly [1] 210:16 Roumasset [10] 2:13 67:1 68:2 90:15 90:22 90: ^4 100:16 100:21 103:2111:20 Round [8] 113:16 113:17 187:15 187:15 194 19195:17 219:13 232:5 Route [1] 97:10 Routine (1) 138:8 Row [1)91:2 Royal
[3)109:22123:24 204:7 Rule [81 89:3 168:25 180:19 160:20 184: 13184:16191:3 203:5 Rulewnaklng P) 89:3 191:3 Rules [5] 65:16 91:25 189:24 190:1 192:3 Rumor
t1)178:3 tun
[3] 4:16 47:6 201:2 Run-up [1)47:6 Runaway [1)11:13 Running [2)168:6165:7 Runs [2] 76:0 96:2 Runway [1] 69:22 Rush [1)141:16 Russell [1] 70:9
59,
sacrif ice p ] 138:16 139:20 173:13 Saddles [11221:4 Sagan [1)77:22 Sakamoto [2] 62:6 88:20 Sales M) 04:23 Salient [2)153:7163:14 Saline (3)20:13 20:21162.14 Salinify [3] 80:1 60:2 60:8 Salt [8] 59:20 59:23 60:5 104:17 145:10 145:11 145:13 145:14 Saltwater [3)46:5169:3169:3 San J2) 16:13 210:5 Sanctioned [1] 3:16 Sand [6) 48:2 48:6 48:6 49:15 161:4 161:14 Sandy P) 48:22 48:23 Sat (1) 206:7 Satellite [2)54:10 54:25
137:17 142:
Satellites [2)30:15 54:19 Saudi [1)51:26 Saunders [10)2:18114:20137:13 _. 7 176:6 176:11 176:15 177:17 177:25 Save I [11] 125:22 129:21 136:11 139:24 144:16 157:2 166:23 168:14 177:6 178:24179:17 Saved [1] 128:13 Saves (3)144:6151.17 179:23 Saving p) 97:14 158:18 158:18 Savings [8] 95:2 95:12 107:11 132:24 135:12 136:10 176:18179:1 I
[7] 57:8 82:12 88:14 114:11 134:2 142:7 172:4 Sayers [1] 13:23 Scale [16] 35:16 52:22 119:13 119:14 121: 11 122:23 123:2 125:16 126:6 126:8 126:9 171:15 171:17 212:11 212:12 212:12 Scales [1)18:15 Scandal [1] 164:21 Scandinavian [1] 172:25 Scenario [6] 17:0 49:2 49:4 50:18 71:8 76:22 Scenarios [10)17:4 17:13 17:1317:1543:1345: 10 46:25 47:10 56:25 57:3 68:0 72: 17 76:21 77:16 77:21192:23 195:12 195:13 Scene j l ] 40:10 Schedule [1] 99:17 Scheme [3] 23:5 24:25 112:21 Schemes [2)24:3 112:22 School [13] 38:3 38:4 59:8 63:22 72:22 72: 23 88:5 108:21152:9 159:4 185:21 185:22186:24 Schools (3)83:17180:14 180:16 Science (18) 10:11 13:5 13:7 28:24 31:14 36: 20 40:7 41:2 44:16 63:14 20 61:20 62:2 69:10 91:5 9 Sciences [5)38:4 69:9 63:22159:5 Scientiflc (1)41:25 Sclentiflcally (1) 221:25 Scientist [5] 10:22 11:25 20:22 153:2 180:0 Scientists | [5] 13:24 61:13 64:1 85:25 169:15 Scope P) 139:6 197:19 197:22 Scores P) 142:25 180:16 Scratched [1)191:12 Screen j l ] 176:25 Screening [1] 182:14 Scripps [1] 12:4 Script M] 26:26 Scrubbers [1] 206:17
54:23 58: 170:25186:
169:18
• b CO IRP Technical Session; 6/8/ [3)123:3123:4185:2 Selected [1] 190:7 Self [1)218:2 Self-promoting [1] 218:2 Self-reliant (I) 70:23 Sell [ I I ] 24:12 24:13 73:11 161:10 179: 24 208:21 211:22 214:2 228:14 228: 14 229:4 Selling (5) 70:21 157:2 207:9 212:2 212:4 Semi [1] 179:22 Semi-trucks rt] 179:22 Seminal [1)12:3 Seminars (1)213:10 Senate [1] 13:1 Senator (9) 6:10 13:1 62:8 82:9 67:20 78:8 86: 19 60:20 88:20 Senators [1] 67:21 Send (2)84:25102:8 Sending [2)104:15104:16 Senior [2)72:9185:14 Sense p ] 25:15 94:21 108:14 108:14120: 21121:22157:24 211:2 211:5 Senses M) 170:20 Sent H] 178:16 Sentence [1] 64:9 Sentiments M] 90:14 Separate [6] 109:19 181:23 195:18 196:10 208: 16 228:16 September [1] 98:4 Sequences (1) 148:12 Sequester P) 94:12 104:11 Sequestered [2)31:20162:18 Sequestration [12] 20:12 86:1 94:9 104:3 104:13 104:14 113:3 157:15 162:11 202:14 206:16 209:24 Series [2)110:24 217:7 Serious (2) 9:6 147:2 Seriously [2)20:19 27:13 Served J2) 99:22 168:11 Serves (1) 103:21 Service m 60:1 195:3 Session [16] 1:9 6:12 6:16 38:14 50:14 90:25 100:3 114:4 168:4 199:21 219:19 221:17 222:2 235:4 235:9 Sessions [1] 4:25 Set [19] 22:14 30:12 32:11 42:7 42:12 51: 10 90:4 92:17 92:19 101:8 109:7 109: 13 109:23 120:9 185:1 195:9 195:10 215:16 222:18 Setback [1)171:2 Setbacks
[1)170:23 Sets (4143:10 92:23 189:11 189:14 Setting [2)12:8 12:7 Settied [1] 39:14 Setup [1)47:5 Seven (5) 16:14 98:14 119:17 133:5 152:16 Seventeen [1] 178:10 Seventies [1] 172:22 Several (16) 7:20 7:20 8:0 8:7 27:16 33:3 34: 18 45:12 46:6 47:3 64:6 66:23 166:7 200:7 201:13 203:25 Sewage [1] 48:6 Sexy (1)186:22 Shade [1)161:25 Shale [2)160:19160:21 Shall [1] 196:2 Shame [11231:25 shanah (13) 2:18 114:19 137:12 137:14 137: 17 143:14 146:11 174:14 176:8 176: 5180:14183:5183:6 Shape [1) 150.1 Share [1)36:1 Shared [2)73:14 229:16 Shareholders [11 227:25 sharing [11 229:10 shaved j l i 141:18 sheet [16] 16:25 18:18 38:24 38:25 39:2 41 13 41:21 41:23 42:5 42:16 42:10 43: 24 67:10 57:11 67:22 68:2 Sheets [12] 5:5 26:2 40:2 44:5 50:4 57:12 57 12 58:10 58:22 99:21 168:0 220:19 Shelf [2)143:4171:19 Shell [1] 160:11 Shied [1] 72:15 Shift (5) 61:14 72:25 74:6 157:22 158:19 shif t ing [2)73:9196:22 Shifts [2)52:19 229:11 Shimon [1] 72:9 Shine [1) 8:24 Ship [4)33:11 56:13124:22 125:4 shipped [3] 133:14 176:5 178:15 Shipping [3)124:19 140:9179:1 Ships
m" [1] 186:25 shook [1)150:10 Shoot [1] 122:18 Shooting
(1) 92:16 shop (1)67:13 Shore [3)59:19 107:2 123:19 Shoreline p ] 47:9 48:21 170:G Shorelines (3] 2:7 38:7 38:9 Short [8] 31:11 42:12 57:8 87:11 156:4 165: 7166:10 192:5 Shorter (1) 214:19 Shorthand [2)234:9 234:18 Shot [1] 105:21 Show [20] 13:19 15:8 16:516:20 32:21 40: 7 66:23 67:15 67:17 62:13 96:4 116: 1 116:21 121:17 124:18 131:16 153: 21 176:17 177:8 209:1 Showed [9] 50:23 53:9 69:6 86:16 119:12 122: 21149:13180:14200:19 Showing (8) 13:13 16:16 41:10 60:8 67:11 67: 16156:12213:5 Shown [S) 42:6 119:10 176:24 180:16 202:8 shows [20111:16 15:17 15:1715:21 16:7 16: 17 17:10 32:13 33:4 33:25 116:2 118: 23 110:24 120:6 120:10 121:11 121: 15 122:5149:17 212:7 Sic [1] 230:3 Sfde [27] 31:12 32:6 41:15 50:5 50:5 107: 4 108:20 109:11 109:12 119:14 129: 13 131:19 136:4 135:5 138:9 142:14 142:15 167:14 159:22 179:24 185:10 190:9 206:22 206:23 208:1 215:7 228:15 Side'bar [1] 62:3 Sided [1] 235:19 Sides [11168:9 Sierra [7] 2:19 114:24 146:14 146:19 173: 15173:20 180:2 Sig [I ] 235:23 Sight ra 54:17 143:5 148:15 155:5 197:25
m 81:8 81 HO 96:23 97:4 97:6 219:23 Signature [21219:24 235:23 Signed p i 30:11 189:8 5 lg ned: Ml 236:23 Signiflcance [21129:4134:2 Signiflcant (16) 13:14 17:1 17:16 18:22 35:13 41: 2 42:3 82:25 73:17 101:23 107:11 130:23 131:25 135:7 167:9 222:9 Signiflcantiy [8] 16:9 16:23 18:19 31:3 33:15 52: 2162:15131:21 Signing [1]81:7 Silver [2)19:17135:1 Similar [ I I ] 40:18 108:18 119:9 121:11 127: 17 176:14 204:17 208:5 209:20 210: 12 216:11 Similarities [1] 191:6 similarly (8) 94:8 136:23 149:20 150:2 151:10 179:24 193:24195:11
[82] 9:13 16:24 17:1 18:7 18:8 18:13 18:18 38:17 39:6 39:10 39:12 39:21 39:22 39:25 40:1 40:5 40:5 40:13 40: 16 40:22 40:25 41:1 43:2 43:5 43:7 43:9 43:12 43:15 43:18 43:21 43:23 43:25 44:2 44:2 44:4 44:7 44:8 44:9 44:13 44:17 44:20 44:22 45:1 45:5 45:9 45:11 45:15 45:17 46:1246:15 46:19 47:1 47:4 47:5 47:10 47:18 48: 10 48:20 52:6 62:7 52:17 52:20 58: 18 S6:19 56:21 66:24 57:6 67:13 57: 14 67:23 58:6 68:9 69:10 59:22 60: 22 63:6 63:12 113:2 116:23 118:13 171:8 185:4 Search W) 217:15 217:17 217:18 217:20 Seas (1) 75:8 Season (1) 12:14 Seasonalify [1] 217:1 Seat [2)186:3193:20 Seattie (8) 207:10 207:10 207:20 207:21 208: 1 208:10 Seawater [17] 65:3 65:6 65:14 77:9 81:4 107:6 116:14 115:16 122:8 123:10 123:12 124:14 125:21 127:7 169:4 169:6 169:7 Second P4) 4:11 8:4 9:3 23:5 26:11 43:17 46: 9 47:21 48:18 54:11 62:7 71:8 76:7 77:11 97:17 105:24 133:25 135:15 148:7 153:8 163:20 163:21171:24 223:5 Secondly p ) 81:15 147:14 Seconds [2)63:21141:12 Section [6] 51:16 74:21140:4 141:4 190:10 192:3 Sections [I ] 68:23 Sector (14) 0:23 32:19 33:4 35:15 62:11 62: 11 69:25 09:21 129:11 190:19 192:2 192:10192:16192:18 Sectors [ I I ) 5:24 24:18 28:16 29:10 31:17 35: 6 62:10 62:19 190:16 192:14 192:19 Security [2] 21:1 64:23 See [105] 4:9 9:4 11:3 12:9 14:22 14:24 17:1 17:6 17:13 17:16 17:24 18:1 18: 12 20:20 27:4 27:0 28:9 29:25 31:17 32:6 32:10 41:19 42:0 42:20 43:2 43: 6 46:13 47:19 66:24 67:17 70:19 70: 20 80:8 60:0 80:13 89:2 89:19 99:12 101:22 113:9 113:12 115:15 115:20 116:6 116:9 119:6 119:13 119:21 120:3 120:18 120:23 121:4 121:12 123:8 123:23 124:4 128:20 128:23 129:6 129:9 130:14 131:20 131:21 132:24 134:20 139:4 139:4 139:5 139:24 140:16 146:22 150:14 153:22 154:21 166:25 169:19 165:24 170:9 171:12 173:6 176:8 176:25 177:2 177:23 178:14 163:21 184:18 185:11 198:10 202:17 204:14 204:17 205:13 212:10 213:3 213:3 215:23 216:6 218:12 217:11 221:21 225:19 230:3 232:6 232:21 Seed M] 165:1 Seeing
g) 160:11 157:1 173:7105:6 eem
[8] 44:3 44:6 98:14 151:24 176:2 182: 8 190:3 329:9 Segment [2)74:21 129:17 Segue 1) 63:21 ^ elect
^
SIMple [61136:5 136:7 141:3 160:21 215:11 Slmpllclfy [1] 138:10 Simpfy (1619:910:2511:6 20:12 25:17 51:4 62:2 65:16 72:1 82:3 82:13 131:1 162:19 163:6 165:9 195:7 214:9 221: 4 230:6 Sincere [2)10:2010:21 Sinclair f l ) 69:16 Single (51 83:2 90:4 107:15 107:16 121:25 Single-family (11107:16 Single-handedly (1) 34:23 Singling
rai 100:8 100:13 112:13 Sinks rq 23:2 23:2 173:25 174:8 174:23
p] 87:3 77:24 193:20
p ] 130:15 170:2 Sites [1] 217:9
Its rl) 45:18
itting 1)4:20 01:1188:6
Situation [12] 63:12 63:13 64:16 64:16 120:20 126:19 i :
# . ECO IRP Technical Session; 6/1 55:24 57:2161:25171:13 Slight [1)115:15 Sllghtfy P) 32:16 40:23 Slope
S 23:8 128:7 143:14 174:21 205:22 S:23 226:25
Slowing [1] 14:23 Slowly [2)114:7 176:5 Small (16) 09:5 09:5 93:18 93:19 109:17 116:21 118:9 121:11 126:17 156:4 156:20 157:20 167:24 179:21 183:14 184:15 Smaller [2)41:3 122:24 Smart [3)70:25 64:14 84:17 Smarter [1] 148:1 Smartest [1] 89:3 Smil ing [1] 174:21 Smit i i I I ) 98:21 Smokestacks [1] 197:10 Smoking [ j ] 187:8 Smooth [1] 44:22 Smorgasbord [1) 139:17 Snack 11) 67:13 Sneaking [2)162:16 219:13 Snow P) 9:12 42:17 So-called [1] 90:5 Social [6] 103:14 112:25 153:2 155:11 176: 10175:15 Societal [1] 64:20 Societally [1] 24:23 Sociefy [121 4:1 10:15 58:7 73:1 73:6 73:14 76:23 99:1 99:4 128:18 140:5 203:5 Soda 111156:21 SOEST [Z] 68:15 64:1 Soft [1] 68:8 Soil (7) 73:19 74:23 100:12 112:10 112: 10112:11 112:13 Solar [37] 10:25 15:17 15:18 15:20 15:24 71:8 81:11 95:3 95:6 105:9 107:12 107:13 109:4 116:24 117:9 117:11 117:12 117:13 117:16 117:19 118:13 118:14 122:7 123:14 125:14 127:5 127:8 135:7 141:25 143:13 168:20 184:14 207:17 210:22 215:24 216:11 226:23 Sold
gl 24:4 33:8 106:7 216:6 olely
(1) 230:5 Sol id (7) 116:21 122:9 123:10 126:12 151: 24 155:25 221:25 Solut ion [5] 165:5 157:5 161:12 163:6 163:25 Solut ions [10) 70:12 137:9 148:16 154:11 157: 2 163:13 171:22 173:13 186:11 196: 23
solve [6] 9:22 9:24 70:13 100:19 100:20 101:18 Solved [11109:21 Someone [9] 67:14 94:11 106:12 147:21 160: 25 155:9 180:12 186:24 220:17 Sometime P l 36:4121:5121:12 Sometimes [6] 85:19 101:4 132:14 133:15 197:4 208:15 Somewhat (61 8:23 164:12 217:16 218:1 218:1 216:12 Somewhere [71122:22 161:4 162:12 162:16 162: 17174:20180:21 Son (3)186:3186:5 187:7 Soon m 6:4 53:25 153:5 156:2 163:11 179 25180:17 Sooner (1)171:23 Sophomore [2)185:22185:23 Sorry [6] 37:14 59:9 139:10 146:11 175:13 205:21 Sort P31 26:16 31:7 41:8 47:20 49:6 82: 17 71:10 89:10 114:22 117:2 140:5 147:13 149:23 150:11 153:19 163:17 173:10 162:16 183:19 180:25 223:1 232:2 232:15 Sorts [3)149:11150:12157:14 Souls [1] 183:25 Sounded [2] 87:16 147:7 Sounds [4] 64:12 101:19 112:7 196:3 Source (131 45:22 62:10 75:7 100:13 112:13 116:25 124:12 124:15 126:1171:11 171:25172:3172:14 Sources (21) 23:1 35:18 44:10 62:12 75:11 79: 6 92:20 93:18 93:17 93:20 93:22 93: 23 96:16 100:17 106:22 110:19 111: 18111:22167:7172:2172:15 Sourcing [1] 22:25 South [4)47:3 52:12 69:18 163:7 Southeast [1] 16:10 Southem (3) 16:9 96:7 218'.4 Southwest (1) 52:13 Space [4] 11:2 11:5 167:24 169:1 Spain p ] 144:14 212:16 216:10 Spanish [11216:14 Spanning [1)201:5 Spatial [ i f 117:7 Speaker [141 4:26 5:9 7:19 8:4 26:11 36:1 56: 18 78:10 90:15 127:22 137:12 146: 13169:2186:13 Speakers (1814:17 7:3 7:16 26:4 69:3 68:5 69: 19 113:19 113:21 114:4 114:5 114: 14 115:23 187:22 168:4 203:1 231: 21 231:24 Speaking m 144:4 161:22 200:3 205:23 211:3
Speaks (1) 20:5
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33:0151:23178:23179:4 229:18 231:23 Situations
[14] 9:16 69:4 79:24 110:17 133:6 130:1 139:2 139:2 139:3 139:4 139:4 139:5139:6139:14 Six-pack [2)139:1 139:2 Sixt i i [3)85:18 88:4 Sixties 1) 103:18 fefxfy 11148:19 ^Jxfy-two
'61120:11 130:18171:16171:20 210: 12210:14 Sized (1) 81:5 Skepticism 1)60:10 ^klll p ] 70:7 88:17 Skil l ful (2) 79:9 83:25 Skil ls
%r 11166:8 3 lam [11166:21 Slamming [1)21.11 blash :i] 112:20 ^feep [IJ 35:11 ^llde -28] 9:8 9:8 9:19 11:24 12:25 13:16 13:24 16:2 17:9 18:4 21:5 25:6 28:9 30:1 30:23 32:5 32.6 43:16 44:11 53: 9 73:15 76:15 128:18 202:7 208:25 210:0 Slide's [1J 32:3 kl ldes [10) 16:4 16:6 26:5 26:0 32:1 50:23
Special [2)72:8 134:12 Species [2)181:23 182:2 Specific [11] 54:12 62:21 129:8 191:22 192:1 194:16 195:24 195:25 224:19 228:25 231:22 Speciflcally P l 58:16 78:20 200:12 Specifications (4194:25195:1 Speclfled [1] 195:7 Specify [ i f 223:16 Spectacular (1)106:10 Spectroscopist [2)10:2310:23 Spectrum P) 11:2 160:1 Speech [2)62:3 87:15 Speed [1] 79:20 Speeds [2)83:4 83:6 Speedy [ i f 79:9 Spend [4117:19 65:7 85:8 180:4 Spending [2f 105:20 137:4 Spent [3)85:4 164:14 174:24 Spew (l) 74:14 Spil ls [1] 61:14 Spin [1)191:15 Spliced [1)182:20 Spokes [ i f 71:11 Sponsored [ i f 182:5 Sponsoring [2f 6:11 38:14 Spot P) 147:7 147:9 167:22 Spring [4] 145:10 145:11 145:13 145:14 Square
65.24144.8144:7 ?i' [1] 234:1 Stab [2)226:6 228:10 Stablllfy m 225:4 225:10 Stabilize p ] 18:15 19:11 56:11 Stack Pl 104:23 162:12 Staff p ] 35:2 37:25 220:24 Stage ra 00:23 117:23 118:5 118:8 122:17 Stakeholders p) 27:14 200:7 203:20 Stale [1] 160:10 Stand ra 90:10 186:13 213:23 215:5 216:21 Standard I [7] 22:21 30:25 31:0 123:24 214:25 316:12 215:17 Standardization [1)214:21 standardized (2)214:17 215:10 Standardizing m 215:18 Standards (2)94:20 215:16
standing [7] 45:25 46:1 46:8 48:8 61:18 63:8 184:6 Standpoint [3)108:23 211:12 214:7 Stands (1) 214:4 Star gl 135:22 135:26
tart P4] 10:6 14:21 14:21 10:20 37:21 53: 8 61:16 63:24 68:18 88:19 91:20 107: 19 113:9 139:6 140:2 141:14 142:13 163:16 190:5 194:5 203:8 212:13 219.9 213:12 Started [10] 3:5 0:1 12:10 68:17 67:13 113: 25130:14147:5167:8179:25 Starting (5] 4:5 141:16 163:20 186:16 190:4 Starts (3)6:8133:24 187:13 Starving (1) 164:23 State [83] 1:16 2:5 2:23 5:25 6:8 20:16 24: 2 26:21 27:16 27:19 27:20 27:21 20: 1 29:15 36:9 36:18 37:1 47:14 48:25 53:13 63:14 60:10 60:13 60:21 63:23 63:25 64:5 77:2 77.7 77:10 82:3 83: 10 104:7 105:24 107:13 109:20 111: 10 115:19 118:18 117:9 127:6 133: 26 133:25 134:5 134:14 134:24 135: 9 158:2 163:7 168:17 169:9 175:21 100:17 102:7 196:3 196:8 198:7 199: 2 199:4 199:4 199:8 199:17 199:25 200:6 200:14 200:16 200:16 201:18 202:2 202:11 203:7 203:20 204:2 208:22 220:18 223:18 220:2 229:3 234:1 234:6 234:10 235:5 235:11 State's [8] 35:21 62:4 102:10 200:17 201:19 202:9 204:20 204:21 Statement p) 61:7 88:24 80:24 States 25) 13:3 16:10 20:7 21:6 21:8 21:18 . 4:19 29:20 36:25 61:3 70:5 73:23 01:19 104:16 107:13 163:24 167:12 182:16 182:17 201:9 201:13 211:17 227:23 228:19 229:1 Statewide [6] 5:21 29:17 29:18 30:16 190:25 192:8 Station
g:) 169:23 169:23 tationary
[1] 33:3 Statistical p ] 36:6 41:25 Statistician [1] 35:1 Stats [1] 142:8 Status
1)115:21 117:21118:4 statute [4] 116:4 191:12 202:17 222:22 Statutes [4)199:4 199:16 202:9 203:9 Statutory [1)199:17 Stay [10] 4:17 28:8 67:17 71:19 85:16 97: 25 102:14 105:20114:9163:22 Staying [1] 219:14 Stays [3)11:6 84:24 145:14 Stead (2)6:13 6:18 Steam [2)139:22106:16 Stefan [1)44:16 Stem (1) 130:24 Step (13) 6:0 8:25 30:19 89:5 109:24 133:
ECO IRP Technical Session; 6/8 22135:2174:4163:14186:10194: 14 213:7 215:17 Step-by-step [1] 183:24 Steps M] 29:4 77:17 134:25 214:18 Steric [2)40:5 44:5 Steve [4] 34:21 37:24 186:2 186:5 Stick (2) 26:5 28:25 Stil l [30)17:13 23:24 27:11 32:1 35:16 36: 1541:1 41:14 42:13 42:17 47:7 49:1 49:8 52:3 63:13 56:14 97:22 107:11 107:15 130:4 152:22 153:15 156:9 158:5 167:4 179:4 191:25 192:4 206: 2 229:1 Stocked (1)133:18 Stockholders [1] 75:21 Stone 13)109:8 109.13109.24 Stood
gl] 145:24 145:24 147:5 147:12 topped
g l 66:7 56:20 topping
Storage [6] 20:12 20:20 43:19 80:18 224:1 Store (51 73:10 75:19 75:22132.12 161:16 Stores [1] 63:8 Storm [5] 46:3 46:5 46:6 150:5 150:9 Story ra)88:l 96:12180:10 Straight p ] 119:21 179:8 Straightforward H) 28:21 Strategic p ] 27:20 27:25 201:7 Strategies [12] 2:15 4:12 29:19 36:5 81:17 87: 18 114:2 115:8 154:25 155:17 166:3 106:21 Strategy [5] 36:2 79:18 82:7 91:24 106:1 Stratosphere [2) 55:17 55:17 Stray [1)144:18 Stream p i 49:15 63:15 80:10 Streamline [11214:16 Streamlining [1] 138:19 Streams (21 63:4 72:17 Street [11 235:2 Strengths [11201:24 Stress [1] 223:20 Stretch [2] 99:19 188:3 Strictly [1] 229:23 String [1] 149:23 Strings [1] 68:22 Strip [3)161:16162:12163:4 Strong [4) 83:21 108:22 147:13 173:16 Stronger y i 150:6 Strongest [2)63:20108:20
• [1)226:16 Suggestions
Suggests [2)40:14 83:6 Suite [1] 235:2 Sulfur [4)23:7 23:10 23:12 101:7 Summarize (4)158:4 205:7 206:4 206:12 Summary [3)28:11 202:16 218:18 Summer (1) 98:6 Summertime [1)12:16 Summit [1] 14:8 Sums [1] 85:1 Sun [3)11:12 210:4 214:6 Sunlight [2)143:16 143:18 Sunny [2)117:12151:19 Sunshine [1] 98:6 Supervision [1)234:11 Supplied [1] 167:11 Supplies j l ] 70:6
69:14 190:9 202:15 Support [14] 14:8 27:16 34:16 102:20 103:24 105:2 139:13 145:19 185:4 199:6 206:19 218:19 216:21 218:22 Supported [1] 70:25 Supporters [1)34:18 Support ing [I ] 146:7 Supportive [2)81:7 201:18 Suppose [2)93:5 103:4 Supposed
gi 6:12 43:14 98:24 228:10 urtace
( I I ) 12:12 15:10 16:7 18:8 43:3 43:5 43:5 43:14 44:6 59:15 59:17 Suries (20) 2:4 5:1 7:19 8:20 8:22 50:21 51: 16 53:5 55:8 55:13 56:21 57:16 61:1 64:17 65:0 65:25 76:8 167:25 168:8 225:19 Surplus [2] 98:6 98:8 Surprise (1) 152:3 Surprising j l ) 10:11 Surrounding (1) 178:20 Survive [1] 102:3 Survived [1] 78:3 Suspend (1) 138:17 Suspended (1) 197:5 Sustain p ) 87:18 88:16 89:14 Sustainabilify [6] 137:13 138:18 139:1 157:14 166: 20 186:22 Sustainable (9) 2:18 25:19 114:20 137:17 138:18 152:11 176:6 176:22177:17 SUV
strongly [1)102:16 StiTJck (1) 150:9 Structural [2] 179:9 180:6 Structure m 29:13 84:15 85:14 101:22 104:7 177:15 203:23 Structured (1) 102:11 Structures [1)65:15 Struggle [4] 82:2 102:9 211:13 214:14 Struggling [1] 102:3 Stuck (3) 88:11 90:12 187:21 Student [4)183:11183:16184:5186:14 Students (6] 88:1 88:3 108:21 142:24 164:17 186:18 Studies (3)81:19136:11 136:17 Study [5] 152:19 177:16 195:18 196:16 229: 19 Studying [2] 54:12 64:6 Stuff (5) 20:23 127:2 178:15 182:23 206:10 Stupid [1)161:15 Sfyle [1] 140:11 Subject [4)89:15102:20146:23 147:2 Submit [1] 232:25 Subsequent [1] 182:10 Subsidies [2] 121:9 122:14 Subsidize [1] 157:14 Subsidized (1) 122:14 Subsidy (1) 73:21 Substantial [4)80:7 119:23160:24 190:20 Substitute [2] 80:2 107:9 Substitutes (1) 160:9 Substitution (1)81:3 Subtropical [1] 182:17 Subtropics [2)17:2118:21 Succeeds (1) 187:5 Successful [1)184:11 Successfully [1] 29:20 Sucked [1)12:14 Suction (2)142:17 169:10 Sudden (1)150:19 Sufflclent [2)121:9 123:17 sugar [3)60:17 74:23164:6 Suggest [2] 4:23 227:6 Suqaes — j g e s t e d [5)81:19162:24 168:12 222:7 222:12 Suggesting ra 178:17 193:7 214:21 215:15 218:
Suggestion
[81 '96:25 160:12 160:16 161:22 169:
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: : TOTT
ECO IRP Technical Session; 6/ Targets [1)195:6 Tariff (11) 206:21 211:20 211:21 212:1 212: 6 212:8 212:9 212:14 212:17 212:18 212:21 Task [23] 38:16 79:2 79:20 60:24 84:21 69; 2 91:22 91:24 92:6 94:17 99:12 169: 20191:1 192:12192:20193:1 193:9 193:10 195:20 206:3 206:6 224:21 224:24 Tax p9] 24:16 24:22 24:22 75:14 75:15 86:2 92:15 92:18 103:10 103:20 105: 19 105:22106:10 120:22 133:25 134: 4 135:9 135:9 157:6 157:11 157:20 158:19 166:12 166:21 166:23 214:10 214:11 214:12 214:14 Taxation (1) 196:18 Taxes [9] 24:20 24:23 24:24 93:15 101:25 106:15112:24196:18196:17 Taxing M] 103:11 Taxpayer P) 74:2 99:11 Taxpayers
?i) 73:21 73:24 03:14 ay lor
M] 68:13 68:16 58:16 63:3 Taylor's r i) 69.8 Teaching [1)167:11 Team p ) 34:16 78:19 Teasing [1)63:12 Tech [2125:13 236:5 Tech/Med/Interpreted [1) 235:6 Technical [4)1:913:12 236:3 236:9 Technically rt] 169:18 Technicians [1)64:1 Technique P ] 95:18 96:21 Technological [1) 109:20 Technologies (38) 3:20 19:10 22:18 24:9 25:15 51: 19 61:5 62:18 65:9115:21 116:2117: 22 117:25 110:5 118:11 119:1 119: 10121:18121:21 121:22121:24 122: 6 123:4123:25124:1124:5124:8 127:10 127:14 132:20 136:12 172:5 172:8 218:22 226:11 226:17 228:19 226:24 Technology [41] 18:24 19:1 10:17 26:10 27:24 38: 6 61:18 57:4 69:9 61:4 61:13 61:20 62:2 63:22 65:11 69:16 97:14 100:10 117:16 117:22 118:2 118:18 118:18 118:20 119:18 119:19 119:20 120:13 120:24 122:1 122:3 122:18 123:20 133:7 159:5 164:11 171:10 172:6 181:17183:19 235:14 Technology's r i ] 18:24 Ted (2) 27:21 28:2 Tel [1)235:16 Teleconference M) 37:6 Telephone/Video [1] 235:6 Temperature (10) 11:18 11:19 17:10 17:12 40:13 43:2 43:6 43:10 43:13 43:14 44:24 48:3 45:4 50:22 60:24 62:9 65:6 116: 10 150:3 Temperatures [8] 9:1118:0 18:16 40:23 44:13 50:
19 50:25 51:6 Temporal [2)117:0117:13 Temptation [1] 92:8 Ten [9] 14:18 14:19 88:9 90:10 121:16 122:16 132:12 132:13 156:16 Ten-year-old [2)86:9 90:10 Tend [4)24.24 53:2 53:3 55:18 Tendency [2] 59:23 219:1 Term (21) 69:1 79:16 87:18 121:23 122:6 122:6 122:7 122:15 122:19 122:25 127:13 127:13 127:13 127:15 132:6 153:6 167:3 171:11 177:22 192:5 192:11 Terms (22) 5:5 23:21 51:22 56:1 79:7 79:14 86:13 86:14 110:10 128:20 129:9 129:25 130:9 134:3 134:5 136:14 137:4 161:7 190:14 192:4 204:14 225:25 Terrestrial [1] 66:1 Terrible [3)147:1 160:19 231:25 Terribly (1) 149:16 Terriflc [1] 25:25 Territories [1] 207:25 Territory (1) 207:20 Terry [31] 2:4 5:1 7:19 7:19 7:21 7:22 7:23 6:15 8:16 8:20 25:25 26:10 31:6 38: 15 51:12 51:13 52:5 53:15 55:3 56: 16 56:17 56:10 60:24 62:6 64:13 66: 2 167:23 187:25 188:8 219:6 226:16 Terry's [1] 2i:9 Tssoro [1] 76:24 Test [2] 142:25 160:16 Testimony P) 221:10 222:10 222:24 Texas [2)13:4 49:15 Thanking [ I ] 231:24 Theater (2)144:19144:22 Themselves M) 9:22 60:5 70:20 203:18 Theory (2)100:18101:3 Thereafter 17| 202:7 234:10 Therefore (9) 14:17 24:7 29:23 31:24 65:17 70: 18 83:11 136:15 222:7 Themial ( I I ) 40:6 42:24 44:3 77:9 116:22 116: 24 117:1 117:15 118:13 122:24 123: 14 Thermal's [1] 122:7 They've [11)4:18 15:6 21:20 93:8 134:19 141: 17 145:21 158:22 169:26 160:16 208: 7 Thinking [5] 58:11 74:4 74:6 76:1 174:18 Third (14) 4:12 33:4 69:24 77:8 77:11 82:9 91:2 129:21 137:12 139:13 145:19 147:19176:5178:6 Thoughts (6) 10:16 138:14 191:21 223:4 225:3 225:9 Thousand p) 140:12 140:16 140:17
JVs p ] 126:14 164:24 Sweafy [1)151:6 Swell [1] 47:2 Swiderskl [4)1:24 234:5 234:18 235:12 Swimming [1] 162:9 Switched (1) 12:25 Switchgrass (1) 163:7 Switching [2] 107:30 130:16 Symbols [1)42:19 Sympathy [1] 186:22 Synopsis [115:9 System T48] 60:2 60:17 60:20 79:24 70:25 80; 3 80:4 85:2 05:6 08:3 08:9 98:24 100: 24 101:9 103:4 103:10 106:10 110: 26 111:8 111:8 119:23 120:10 120: 11120:12120:13121:10121:12122: 5 123:12 123:18 124:11 124:13 126: 14 125:16 126:10126:12 127:8 171: 19 195:1 213:14 215:1 215:12 216: 17 216:9 226:23 227:1 227:11 227:11 Systematic [1] 127:11 Systems [24] 52:12 65:12 65:13 75:9 77:12 77: 13 80:17 109:17 121.7 121:7 123.13 123:15 123:16 126:9 127:5 127:6 130:12 130:19 132:4 136:15 136:21 202:11212:2 217:4
TsFIH M] 186:25 T^h l r ta (1)106:24 Table [10)2:1 5:10 32:13 45:18 45:22 45: 23 40:11 85:13111:14 231:15 Tables [1] 76:24 Tacked M] 156:2 Tackle [1] 168:15 Tackled M] 75:6 Tag [2)210:10 211:6
Site Tags P) 206:15 220:4 Tahoe (1) 187:20 Tall p ] 74:15 74:16 187:0 Talent p ] 86:21 85:23 86:9 Talented P) 85:25 86:7 Talks [3)38:15 149:16 205:7 [email protected] H] 235:17 TanUlnger pO) 2:5 2:23 0:4 26:11 26:21 26:24 27:10 37:24 53:20 54:6 62:14 198:5 198:8 190:10 198:19 219:22 219:25 220:2 220:5 220:10 221:5 221:7 221: 10 221:13 223:4 223:8 223:14 225:5 225:12 229:14 Tar p) 161:4 161:11 181:13 Target [6] 93:21 93:25 95:13 95:15 222:16 222:20
Threat M) 69:0 Threats [1] 60:1 Three [40] 30:16 56:19 64:12 75:25 76:21 77:12 77:13 87:25 88:3 93:21 94:16 107:16 120:25 127:18 131:11 131:12 135:22 139:4 139:9 140:3 141:7 144: 7 144:8 146:5 147:4 147:12 147:24 153:3 153:12 155:25 156:4 168:4 181.8 152:5 188.4 217:25 216:12 219:24 219:25 220:6 Three-fer [1)113:13 Three-quarters m 107:16 Threes m 141:9 Thriving [1] 145:8 Throughout [17] 60:12 69:5 69:15 70:5 73:6 73:8 73:22 75:19 75:23 76:3 83:24 118:9 124:17 221:17 222:2 232:4 232:10 Throw I [5] 57:1 95:23 140:5 152:6 152:6 Throw-away [1] 140:5 Throwing (2)179:5193:16 Thrown (11 68:20 Thumb [1] 168:26 Tide (6) 45:12 48:4 46:7 48:23 47:18 Tie [2)211:22 222:19 Tied p i 5:16 60:22 89:7 Timely : i ] 198:3
mlng 1) 56:23 "Iny 1] 91:12
res [1)142:4
(1?'«S?23 To: Hashiro [1] 235:21 Today (59) 4:8 6:1 6:3 6:8 6:11 6:15 6:19 6: 23 7:4 19:15 26:9 27:4 27:5 27:14 34 21 37:18 38:14 36:17 39:17 44:4 65: 4 55:12 58:7 67:10 72:7 86:22 85:23 104:19 105:4 107:10 128:8 128:15 133:23 135:6 130:6 138:23 147:24 148:7 157:9 162:9 170:11172:19 181:17 194:2 200:0 208:11 209:11 212:23 213:24 219:14 231:21 231:24 232:1 232:3 232:10 232:13 232:17 232:23 233:2 j Today's 1 (4)4:216:22 231:14 233:1 Toga [1)180:7 Together (13121:9 21:14 21:19 65:25 91:2 144: 11 146:3 183:21 201:2 214:16 228: 20 226:16 230:25 Tom ri) 100:21 Tomorrow tJ] 204:6 Ton [12] 123:12 127:7 162:5 162:17 162: 21 169:16 169:17 169:18 169:20 178: 26 227:19 227:19 I Tons 1 (141 77:18 125:21 126:2 161:14 161: 18 161:21 162:4 162:6 162:20 163:4 163:8163:19169:16169:19 Took 1
68:10 88:18 126:16 156:6 202:4 07:6 217:19 I
Tool 0
9k 12} 177:3 195:19 Tools p] 158:19 195:19 195:23 Top [15] 8:24 10:5 10:6 10:9 13:23 17:13 25:14 46:7 112:18 112:19 143:6 207: 18 208:19 211:7 217:19 Topic [9] 29:8 60:16 09:12 94:17 116:13 197:3 197:4 206:16 206:25 Topics [2)28:8 206:20 Topographic p) 46:12 48:13 47:16 Total [10] 34:1 41:20 74:0 76:3 100:13 112: 12 124:10 159:19 162:2 163:9 Touch (2)138:10 201:3 Tough [7] 27:11 36:8 38:8 132:11 132:14 198:16 220:10 Tourism [9] 2:6 8:5 26:12 26:21 49:3 60:23 106:19106:11 217:2 Tourists (1) 145.13 Toward Pl 92:18 202:12 Towards P) 6:26 41:9 57:20 83:22 126:15136: 18 143:23 154:10 Town [2)145:3 151:4 Toxic [2)76:13 76:25 Toxics [1)74:14 Track [6] 16:15 15:16 19:19 20:8 44:12 54:8 Tracked M] 38:24 Trade m 23:4 23:7 52:14 69:13 65:2 92:21 103:8 223:24 224:4 Trade*ofrs m 223:24 224:4 Traded M] 24:4 Trader (1) 210:5 Trading
23:5 23:21 24:25 25:3 227:18 226:
CO IRP Technical Session; 6/8i Treat [1] 189:1 Treated [ I ] 195:2 Treatment [1)33:22
P) 6:23 7:3 163:15 Trees ( I I ) 7:1 163:12 163:13 163:17 163: 20 163:23 163:24 173:25 174:7 174: 7 174:23 Tremendous [1)231:20 Trend [10] 15:22 15:23 41:21 41:22 42:2 42: 11 44:22 44:23 44:24 55:13 Trends [2] 14:1 16:6 Trevenna (121 2:18 114:19 137:12 137:17 137: 19 137:23 140:14 143:15 174:17 176: 10183:11 186:13 TRIAL [1] 235:4 Tricky (2)94:13 94:24 Tried [2)6:18180:18 Triggers (1) 57.13 Trill ion [1] 125:25 Tripled (2)156:4156:9 Tripling
(2)141:7 141.10 Trivial [1)61:24 Tropic [1] 17:21 Tropical [1] 63:4 Tropics [1)16:21 Troposphere [1] 16:15 Trouble ;5] 71:12 92:16 174:5 188:21 229:4 "ruck [ I ] 82:19 Trucks (2) 179:21 179:22 True [ I I ] 71:15 79:17 85:9 101:2 159:21 159:22 172:23 174:17 178:12 170:17 214:20 Truly [1] 04:4 Trut i i p ] 88:14 185.12 Truthiness m 69:1 Try [15] 35:3 50:7 56:11 114:9 140.2 162: 19 166:19 167:1 174:12181:16 186: 20 206:4 214:15 221:16 225:21 Trying [19] 15:6 26:16 34:24 61:19 54:23 88: 12 94:20 98:22 102:4 103:22 147:1 155:16 157:22 164:14 193:2 205:25 207:3 223:19 223:20 Turn [17] 8:14 8:14 45:19 45:24 68:11 97: 1 141:12 150:8 152:12 188:15 168: 20 169:1 187:8 187:22 187:23 219:6 231:11 Turnaround [1] 55:21 Turned [1] 235:3 Turning (6) 56:13 73:20 88:2 136:4 168:13 175:1 Turns [4)48:4 94:24 95:5 96:8
P) 120:19 152:4 166:8 Two [50) 17:21 21:6 29:12 29:16 29:19 29 20 29:22 30:19 43:10 44:20 48:24 52; 12 57:11 57:12 57:14 74:17 75:12 75; 13 75:25 79:24 92:14 96:5 106:17 114:1 116:25117:6121:6 129:5139: 10 139:11 142:18 143:6 145:17 146: 6 160:9 160:13 152:5 174:22 184:25 185:13 200:23 201:11 207:11 214:8 214:12 214:13 217:25 222:13 222:14 222:14 Two-fer (11113.13 Two-phase [1)29:12 Tying \\\ 215:1 Tyndall [1)10:23 Type [18136.8 05:12119:9120:1121:18 124:2 124:7 125:16 169:5 169:10 169:14 192:22 195:19 208:6 208:9 221:7 224:20 235:5 Typed (1) 217:10 Types (71102:12 116:19 116:10 116:15 195; 12 225:25 226:23 Typical [3)49:5 118:23120:11 Typically [1)131:14
Unfatriy [1)221:24 Unfortunate [1)54:15 Unfortunately [3)72:10 163:11 220:23 Unfunded [2] 98:22 99:9 Unifled (1)166:16 Uniform [2)143:2144:4 Unintended [1) 99:10 Union [2)21:6 92:12 Unique [7] 19:17 90:8 109:15 109:16 156:11 216:24 231:23 Uniqueness [1] 109:19 Unit [7)77:17 97:17 118:19 125:7 125:9 192:15 195:21 Unite [2)183:25164:18 United [15] 18:10 20:7 21:6 24:19 61:3 70:5 73:23 107:13 163:24 167:12 182:17 183:18 211:17 227:23 229:1 Units [7] 95:20 97:18 98:17 111:1 119:4 119:20125:8 Unlverslfy (10) 3.7 8:11 85:21 89:20 90:17 114: 20 139:20159:3 159:10182:12 Unknown [1] 59:25 Unless P) 120:21 161:15196:5 Unlike [1] 95:5 Unmanaged [1)170:16 Unregulated [2] 93:20 93:23 Unrelated [1] 30:10 Unsmooth [1] 44:25 Unusual [1] 16:21
(119) 5:7 5:16 6:24 7:8 8:22 11:25 12 7 12:11 12:14 13:8 17.10 17:17 26:3 34:24 37:16 38:16 39:3 39:15 42:14 44:9 45:19 46:5 46:5 47:6 50:4 50:6 61:2 51:7 52:14 55:16 57:1 59:16 60: 5 65:5 67:1 70:10 73:24 74:8 76:15 81:1 81:7 81:8 81:10 83:2 63:22 88:9 86:10 90:11 91:25 92:9 94:16 96:23 97:4 97:6 98:8 99:19 107:19 113:11 120:24 129:14 130:4 132:11 132:14 132:18 137:25 138:12 139:22 140:1 140:25 141:14 142:14 144:2 151:22 152:4 152:15 155:7 159:24 160:20 165:23 171:17 178:7 179:14 181:9 183:14 183:17 184:20 185:2 185:2 166:5 166:23 191:19 193:23 198:11 202:10 207:12 207:22 210:25 212:10 213:14 213:15 214:14 215:10 218:12 217:6 217:22 217:23 217:24 216:2 218:3 216:5 210:5 218:8 218;9 219:6 224:15 226:1 226:22 230:23 232:22 Upbeat ri) 147:6
Update (5) 19:22 36:12 69:1 92:4 92:5 Updated [2)32:10 32:12 Updating [1)232:18 Upgrades [ l ) 134:10 Upper [6) 16:1 55:6 55:17 107:4 120:9 121:2 Upstream [2)111:18 230:19 Upward
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COPY
HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC COMPANY, INC.
INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLANNING ADVISORY GROUP
TECHNICAL SESSION
CLIMATE CHANGE/GLOBAL WARMING
FRIDAY, JUNE 8, 2007, COMMENCING AT 8:34 A.M
STATE CAPITOL AUDITORIUM
HONOLULU, HAWAI'I
Reported By: Va le r i e Mariano Swiderski^ Hawai^i CSR 4353
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TABLE OF CONTENTS OPENING REMARKS PAGE - M o d e r a t o r , Dr. Mike Hamnett, Research 3
Corporation of UH BACKGROUND ON CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES ". An Overview of the Greenhouse Gas Issue 8
Dr. Terry Surles, Hawaii Natural Energy Institute
" Hawaii's Greenhouse Gas Inventory 26 Dr. John Tantlinger, State of Hawaii, Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism
- Impact to Hawaii's Shorelines 38 Dr. Chip Fletcher, UH Department of Geology and Geophysics
" Q&A 50 POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR HAWAII ~ An Environmental Perspective 68
Mr. Henry Curtis, Life of the Land ~ A U t i l i t y P e r s p e c t i v e , Mr. Robbie Aim, 78
Hawaiian Electric Company, Inc. ~ A Legislative Perspective, Representative 87
Hermina Morita, Chair of the House Committee on Energy and Environmental Protection
" An E c o n o m i c P e r s p e c t i v e , Dr. Jim Roumasset, 90 UH Department of Economics & UHERO
~ Q&A 100 OPTIONS MilD STRATEGIES FOR CONTROLLING GHG EMISSIONS - Renewable Energy, Dr. Dave Rezachek, 115
Hawaii Renewable Energy Association ~ Energy Efficiency 128
Mr. Brian Kealoha, Energy Industries - What Each of Us Can Do 137
Ms. Shanah Trevenna, Sustainable Saunders ~ From Belief to Behavior: Motivating Change 146
Mr. Jeff Mikulina, Sierra Club - Feedstock for the Future 159
Dr. Barry Raleigh, UH ~ Q&A 168 INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO THE IRP PROCESS - How Does the Regulatory Process Work with 188
Greenhouse Gas? Mr. Carl Freedman, Haiku Design and Analysis
- How Does the State Government Play a Role? 198 Dr. John Tantlinger, DBEDT
~ What Kinds of Things Can Ut i l i t i e s be Doing? 205 Mr. Darren Kimura, Energy Industries
" Q&A CLOSING REMARKS Gary H a s h i r o , HECO 231
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OPENING REMARKS
M o d e r a t o r , Dr. Mike Hamnett, R e s e a r c h C o r p o r a t i o n o f UH
THE MODERATOR: Good morning everyone. Aloha. We'd
like to get started. We have a very fuli day.
My name is Mike Hamnett, I'm the executive director
of the Research Corporation of the University of Hawai'i,
and I'm also on the Advisory Group for the Integrated
Resource Planning process and cochair of the Energy Policy
Forum. I apologize. As I say, we have a very full day.
The purpose of this meeting, for those of you who
don't know why you're here, is that this has been organized
as part of the Integrated Resource Planning process.
That's the IRP that some people don't know what it is,
which is part of Hawaiian Electric's long-range planning,
and it's a process that is sanctioned by the Public Utility
Commission as a process for each of the regulated utilities
in Hawai^i. We're here to find out, to learn about global
warming and greenhouse gas emissions and how those things
are related, and we're here to learn about the technologies
that may be available to address that issue. And we' re
here to kind of help Hawaiian Electric to think about what
to do with the whole issue of greenhouse gas emissions,
As somebody who's been involved in energy planning and
in global warming policy work for about 17 years, I never
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thought I'd be here. I never thought that our society
would give this kind of attention to greenhouse gas
emissions and to global warming. There were people talking
about this a long time ago, and it's now -- it's now
actually starting to be talked about by Hawaiian Electric
Company, by the U.S. administration, and by a whole bunch
of people that didn't talk about this five years ago.
The agenda today, we have four panels. The -- the --
for those of you who have the agenda, you can see that the
first one's on Background on Climate Change Issues. The
second one is on Policy Implications for Hawai'i. The
third one is Options and Strategies for Controlling
Greenhouse Gas Emissions. And the final one is
Incorporating Climate Change Into the Integrated Resource
Planning Process. We do have a very full agenda. I've
been asked to be -- to move this along, so I'm gonna ask
the speakers to stay to their time, and my body language is
such that people will know when they've run out of time,
Just a couple of issues that you need to be aware of.
The young woman sitting down here next to me is a court
reporter. Today's proceedings will be recorded. 'Olelo
will also be videotaping the proceedings, so if you don't
want yourself on camera, I suggest you move to the back of
the auditorium.
The format for the panel sessions, each speaker wiil
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deliver their presentation. Terry Surles gets the blessing
of having 30 minutes. Everybody else has got 15, and then
there will be a half an hour questions and answers at tihe
end of each panel.
In terms of questions, there are these green sheetis
available. Please write down your questions and give them
to folks to bring up here, and we'll go ahead and deal with
those from here. Your handouts also include an agenda,
speaker biographies, and a synopsis of the lunchtime movie.
Also on the table outside there's an evaluation form that
we would ask you people to -- ask folks to please fill out.
I'm now supposed to introduce Robbie Aim, who I don't
know whether he's here yet. So in his stead, Kaiulani
DeSilva from Hawaiian Electric Company.
MS. DESILVA: Good morning, and thank you for joining
us this morning. Robbie got tied up with a conference
call, so he will be joining us in a few minutes. But in
his stead I just wanted to welcome you all and to
acknowledge that this is a very important meeting for
Hawaiian Electric Company. There's been a lot of
recognition from our company and statewide about the
importance of the issue of global warming and climate
change, and I think this meeting is important in hearing
from many sectors of our community about this issue anc,
where our state wants to go with it. So we look forward to
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the discussion today. We want to really encourage everyone
in the audience to ask questions. That is the purpose of
today, is to get the discussion moving forward and to hear
what the concerns are from our community.
From our company, and from Robbie's perspective
especially, too, we are really looking at what our state
can do to really develop our own Hawai'i model and to take
a step forward in doing that today. It just starts a long
process going forward.
We do want to acknowledge Senator Kokubun and
Representative Morita for hosting us today and sponsoring
this session here. And we'd like to acknowledge members of
our Integrated Resource Planning Group, who is our advisory
group in our long-range planning process, for being here
today.
A lot of this session was really created thanks to
some feedback from Henry Curtis and our Integrated Resource
Planning Group. We tried to get everyone's ideas about how
to formulate today and how to move forward with this
discussion, so we want to acknowledge the Consumer
Advocate, the PUC, our advisory group for helping us create
today's agenda.
Later on today we will also be doing a tree giveaway,
so for those who are interested in taking up a personal and
individual step towards addressing global warming, we will
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be doing that later on with a hundred native Hawaiian trees
that will be given away later on this afternoon. And we
will be presenting each of our speakers with a tree in
appreciation for your time in coming today. Overall, tihank
you for being here, and we look forward to the discussion.
Thanks.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Kaiulani.
I'd like to ask the first panel to please move up onto
the platform here.
I also wanted to recognize Nina Morita, Representative
Morita, who's been a real leader both in the energy area
and the environmental area. And she's been a real
inspiration to people in the Energy Policy Forum, and I
want to thank her for all her efforts.
The first panel is Background on Climate Change. We
have four speakers. I've known most of them for quite
few years. Our first -- and their bios are actually iri
your -- in your packet.
The -- our first speaker is Terry Suries. Terry Has
several hats. It's like me. I have several hats. That's
why Terry and I have so much hair, from taking them on and
putting them off. Terry is now with the Hawai'i Natural
Energy Institute as one of his hats. I've known Terry
a few years, and he comes from a long history of
involvement in climate change and in greenhouse gas
for
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emissions. He did the -- he started his first greenhouse
gas emission modeling in 1980, which is even before I got
involved in the global change business.
Our second speaker is Dr. John Tantlinger from
Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism.
Several of us have been involved in with what was the
Energy Division and -- for several years. And I go back
with John to about 1993 when we did the first Hawai'i
Integrated Energy Plan.
And then finally, a close friend and colleague from
the University of Hawai'i, Chip Fletcher. Chip and I have
worked on natural disaster and erosion issues in Hawai'i
for about 15 years.
So I'm gonna go ahead and turn this -- turn the
microphone over to Terry to give the first presentation,
and this is an overview of greenhouse gas issues. Terry,
thank you.
AN OVERVIEW OF THE GREENHOUSE GAS ISSUE
Dr. Terry Sur les , Hawaii Natural Energy I n s t i t u t e
DR. SURLES: I'm picking this up. Again, since Mike
and I are somewhat follicley challenged, what he's gonna do
to tell me I'm done is to shine a flashlight off the top of
this head, and that will inform me.
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Okay. So at any rate, I characterize this as a
primer. And my classic line is from a -- my classic line
is to -- is from a Second C i t y Review in Chicago, which is,
"See you real soon, and I'm off to the 30 Years' War." And
I think you have to keep some humor about this because it
is deadly serious, and it's at least a 30 years' war.
Now for those of you who want to go out and get a cup
of coffee, this is my final slide. And the final slide is
simply that the warming is unequivocal, and it's now
evident from all observations, increases at the --
increases in global average air and ocean temperatures,
widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global mean
sea levels that we're having -- you know, we're having
warming of planet.
And I'll talk about IPCC in a littie bit. Their
latest, their first report in six years, just came out
April, and I'll be talking to that in a little bit.
The other thing I'd like to point out -- and this
slide that I've used in the past. And I think I appreciate
that Mina has been willing to host this because I think
public-private partnerships are critical, that if you're
looking to the utility to solve this problem by themselves,
they ain't; and if you're looking to the public sector to
develop things on their own that's gonna solve this
problem, they're not either. So these issues can't be
in
IS a
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resolved without partnerships. And I characterize this for
some of the real -- on one hand, the real environmental
zealots that says, we're gonna get a free lunch out of
this. Well, we're not. You know, this is going to be
expensive to get on top of, but it's like the Fram oil
filter that if you don't start getting on top of it now,
it's gonna cost a huge amount of money later for our
children and our grandchildren. So pay me now or pay me
later. We've got to get on top of this now.
So the main points of this, I'm gonna do a quick
review of the basic science because it's surprising at
times how many people really don't know what greenhouse gas
effect is. I'm gonna talk about the IPCC report and
actually kind of juxtapose that with what I characterize as
some feelings and thoughts from Flat Earth Society folk and
then -- and then some options that are available that
Gary -- that Gary asked me to talk about. And I think and
I talked to Henry Curtis about this. It's not we're
getting information from other people. Hawai'i can be a
leader on this. And I'm quite sincere about that, and I
know a number of other people here are equally sincere.
Okay. Some history: As an old broken-down scientist
and spectroscopist, John Tyndall who's spectroscopist who
really quantified the greenhouse gas effect. And the
greenhouse effect is simply we get solar radiation coming
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in in a variety of wavelengths, from just a complete
electromagnetic spectrum. What gets radiated out to space
from reflection -- and it's why we can see the Earth as we
can from the moon and so on. We get most of this radiated
out to space, but some of it stays in as heat. And that's
because a number of these greenhouse gases absorb infrared
radiation and effectively keep the heat in our atmosphere.
So that's what the greenhouse gas effect is; simply put,
that we absorb infrared radiation with certain gases that
are in the atmosphere, and I'11 talk about them later.
Now we are a greenhouse gas planet. Now granted. Mars
is further from the sun and Venus is closer; but Venus has
runaway climate change, if you will, because they're
primarily carbon dioxide. But the Earth, if it wasn't for
greenhouse gases, would be quite a bit colder, about, as it
shows, 34 degrees C colder. And so, in other words, rather
than being about 60 degrees fahrenheit as an average Earth
temperature, we'd be a little below zero degrees fahrenheit
as an Earth temperature. So it's not only the gases we'11
be talking about, but water vapor is the most important
greenhouse gas. And you might imagine as things get
warmer, there's more water vapor in the air, and you get a
more -- and you get these positive feedbacks.
Now the point of this slide is that it's not that some
scientist woke up in 1990 and wanted a job in greenhouse
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gases predictions. But this -- we've been worried about
this for a while, and the predictions have been being made
since the 1880s. And a lot of the seminal work was done in
the fifties by Roger Revelle from Scripps, leading to,
during the international geophysical year 1957/1958, a
setting of the Mauna Loa Carbon Dioxide Observatory with
Charles Keeling setting it up. And Keeling just recently
passed away I think within the past year or so.
And basically what we see is a monotonical increase of
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere from the time we started
this until current. And the reason it goes up and down is
the majority of the land surface is in the Northern
Hemisphere, and because of that, the -- in the growing
season, some of the carbon dioxide is sucked up, and -- but
in the wintertime it's released. So the peaks are
wintertime; and the lows for every year are the summertime.
Okay. Now it's not oniy carbon dioxide, but it's
methane and nitrous oxide, and these are all industrial --
related to our industrial activities or man-made
activities. I think as some of you know, some of the
methane generation comes from rice paddies, for example.
So -- but it clearly is anthropogenic drivers, man-made
drivers that effect the increase in these -- in these
gases
Now I kind of switched to an earlier slide because
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there were a lot of senate hearings on this. Senator
Inhofe, who considers climate change a fraud. Congressman
Barton -- I might say they're both from oil states, one
from Oklahoma and the other from Texas -- and Michael
Crichton, who's a science fiction writer, have been
poo-pooing this; and effectively they brought in Dr. Mann,
not to ask him how his science was, but to question where
he was getting his funding and why he came up with these
curves.
The point here is even though there are some people
that question these concerns early on, effectively the
technical people that questioned them have since all
recanted, that these are valid, showing that there's been a
significant increase just due to industrial activity in the
very recent past.
So the point here is — and I use this slide for
something else -- where we really don't know what
precipitation may look like in the mid latitudes in the
future, because it's hard for our models to show that,
as you look at the lower graph, the uncertainty is not
whether climate change will occur or not; it's whether
future is gonna be bad or worse. And a lot of times the
nay sayers have got on top of this by saying, well,
scientists can't agree. As you look at the lower slide,
it's just -- they disagree as to the detail, not to the
But
the
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trends.
So the most recent information -- now the IPCC is the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and this is a
multinational panel, multi-institutional panel established
in the early nineties. I actually think the first meeting
might have been in the late eighties. A lot of the
infrastructure was established following the Rio de Janeiro
Summit in 1992 and with the support, I might add, of the
administration at the time, which was the Bush 1
administration.
So now I'm gonna get into some of the information we
have now, and the information we get now is quite
concerning, to say the least. It's getting worse, not
better. We know that climate change is occurring. The
amount of fossil emissions over the past half decade is
increasing as compared to where it was in the -- in the
1990s. And so therefore, the radiative forcing of carbon
dioxide has increased by 20 percent over the past ten
years, past ten years we have data for, which is the
largest of any decade in our last 200 years, meaning since
the start of the industrial era where we start burning a
lot of coal. So the global mean factors, as we can see,
are actually rising faster with time rather than slowing
down, and you can see the warmest 12 years have all
occurred since 1990, and 11 of the 12 years have all
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occurred since 1995.
This is a little complicated slide, but the gist of
this is there's a lot of anthropogenic forcings here. This
is one of Jim Hansen's slides from NASA, and I take it many
of you know Jim's been in the news a lot challenging the
administration, that they've been trying to muzzle him.
The -- basically the reds and the yellows and the oranges
to the right of the one bar basically show these are four
things that enhance the warming of the climate. And the
others, such as aerosols, cloud albedo, surface albedo
interestingly enough, as we convert forests to crops, we
actually reduce the amount of climate change, interestingly
enough.
So -- but overall, the net effect of anthropogenic
forcings is a considerable amount, and so we can track
this. And so we track this with our models, and the model
shows -- the lower one shows that the solar plus volcanic,
which is the blue line -- if we model only solar and
volcanic issues -- volcanic, by the way, puts a lot of
particulates in the air, and it causes solar cooling td a
degree or climate cooling. But it shows, as we look at
this, our trend lines, you can't -- you can't match the
trend lines with what really happened modeling only natural
activities, meaning solar and volcanic. But if you model
all activities, meaning the anthropogenic and natural --
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that's the upper graph -- ali four things match the
observations over a period of time. So the models on a
global level we were pretty comfortable with now work
pretty well.
So Gary wanted me -- Gary Hashiro wanted me to show
some basically NASA slides. This is the trends over the
past hundred years, and the surface basically shows that in
most parts of the world it's been warming and more
significantly so in the polar area. Interestingly enough,
some pieces cool, such as the southeast United States,
The -- there is -- although this, the global ocean -- I
think Chip's gonna talk to this. There is -- clearly ocean
levels are rising. At the San Francisco Golden Gate, it's
risen seven inches over the past century. Also in the
troposphere there is a conversation that some of the early
information was showing a cooling, and we now -- the later
information that's in the IPCC report shows that that's
also warming.
Okay. So from a paleoclimate perspective, what do we
have? We show that most certainly this is -- the warmth of
the last half century is unusual for at least the past 1300
years and that the last time the polar regions were
significantly warmer was about 125,000 years ago. So
implications on things like sea level rise is -- if you get
a lot of melting of, say, the Greenland ice sheet, you can
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see a significant, meaning on the order of 15 feet, sea
level rise.
Okay. What are the projections for the future? These
are different scenarios of all this, and I'm not going to
go into describe them. As you see, the gray bands are all
the error bars on where they might be. But the point is,
is that we can anticipate a likely range of 2 degrees,
2 degrees centigrade; and in a high scenario, as much as
4 degrees centigrade. I have another slide that basically
shows we can actually end up with higher temperature
increases.
The temperature increases look like this. In the more
modest scenarios, which are the top scenarios, we still see
warming, particularly in the polar regions. In the more
aggressive scenarios where we continue to burn a lot of
coal and a lot of fossil fuels, we see significant changes
in the polar regions, and basically everything warms up.
Okay. Now Gary also asked me to talk about something
about precipitation and drought. I'm not gonna spend time
going through this bullet chart other than point to the
final two bullets that in the subtropics and the tropic
region, with which Hawai'i needs to be concerned, you can
anticipate more intense and longer droughts and
desertification on land masses. And basically you can see
the drought is -- has been increasing over a period of
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time, and we can see -- we expect that to continue to
increase,
The other thing that should -- that was mentioned in
the recent IPCC report -- this is an earlier slide that I
think is more apropos -- is that while we don't really know
much about how hurricanes are formed, there is a
correlation between hurricane intensity and the sea
level -- surface sea level temperatures. And as I told
somebody in Southern Company Utility after Katrina
demolished Mississippi, Mississippi Power & Light, how many
more Katrinas do you want to deal with?
So what do we see from the projections for future
changes? Anthropogenic warming and sea level rise is
certainly going to continue for centuries due to the time
scales associated with the feedbacks even if we stabilize
the emissions and concentrations. Temperatures in excess
of what we project will eventually melt the Greenland ice
sheet; and as I mentioned, it can raise the sea level
significantly and comparable to what it was 125,000 years
ago. And it's certainly very likely that hot extremes and
droughts in the tropics and subtropics will continue. And
for the mid latitudes, significant precipitation events are
gonna become more frequent.
Okay. Technology, policy instruments. Technology's
the key, and I hope this afternoon some people are going to
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be talking about this. And technology needs to be linked
off
in
to public policy. We're on a trajectory that takes us
the chart. And so if we even want to hit the red line
the middle, we need 75 -- by 2100, we need 75 percent of
our electricity to be non-fossil, end use efficiency
increases on the order of a percent a year, electricity
generation being 67 percent efficient by 2050, and
passengers vehicles at 50 miles per gallon. It's not just
the utilities; it's what we do personally with our
transportation. And we need other technologies if we
really want to reduce things. So if we want to stabilize
at 550 parts per million, which is double the prelndustrial
concentration, we need to be a carbon intensity, which is
carbon emissions per gross domestic product, on the order
of less than 10 percent of today by 2100.
So I say this is a carbon management challenge from
the technology. There's no silver bullet, unique
portfolios. I've listed some of them here. And we also
need to track life cycles because some of the things we
think are good are not so hot when you start really looking
at the life-cycle emissions. Renewable energy, this is the
big picture. EPRI does this update yearly. We're getting
there with many of these, but the issues remain. And in
fact, HNEI is working on some of the these projects.
Efficiency, we can do it with efficiency. This is one
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of our favorite ones, that the efficiency of refrigerators
over time has increased drastically and, by doing so, has
removed the need for many gigawatts' worth of electricity
across the country. But the problem is that when this
administration speaks to voluntary programs, the energy
intensity improvements that we're getting right now because
of efficiency in the United States on -- for energy
intensity effectively track what the voluntary program is
that the admission says, so basically a business-as-usuai
model,
Okay. Gary also wanted me to say something about
sequestration. This is, simply put, in geological storage,
putting carbon dioxide underground in primarily saline
aquifers, although there could be some research activities
that you could use in -- research activities you could take
advantage of here in the state if you're interested because
there is research going on with basaltic formations,
although I don't know if they're gonna play out.
If we're going to seriously deploy carbon capturing
storage -- you may see this as CCS -- we need to employ
deep saline formations around the world because the other
things we want to use, which is enhanced oil recovery, you
know, depleted gas base and stuff just doesn't get us
there. So it's an opportunity, but it's also something
that we don't know is gonna work yet. And if we want to
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continue to use coal because of national security issues,
we really have to look at this as an option.
Okay. Now there's a number of policy activities
underway to address the problem. You all know about the
Kyoto Protocol, and I have a slide next on the European
Union. There is, within the United States, two big things
to talk about: the RGGI, which -- the Regional Greenhouse
Gas Initiative in the northeast, which is nine states,
variety of institutions coming together in a bipartisan
fashion -- in fact, I should point out I've been kind of
slamming this administration, but the mode of force
beyond -- for crediting RGGI was George Pataki of New York,
who's a Republican. So this is bipartisan we have to work
on together. And I think most people that are gonna work
on this from both parties are gonna want to do the right
thing, and it's just people out of the oil patch are not
enthused about doing this, or people out in coal country
are not enthused about doing this. So the nine states and
institutions are coming together in a bipartisan fashion.
They've developed a program to go on line in January of
2009. They have a number of offsets in place. These ••-
I've listed a few.
However, there is some bad news, and one of the bad
news is they're just focusing only on electricity. And I
don't think that gets you there. You need to focus on all
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emitters of greenhouse gases. And the other thing that the
utilities are concerned about is what somebody in western
New York -- what's to prevent them from buying electricity
more cheaply from First Energy or AEP from a plant that's
located in Ohio? So that's the concern called leakage that
they really need to address, and my feeling is they haven't
grabbed a hold of that well.
The AB 32, a lot of you have heard about this in
California. Once again, the good news is everybody agrees
this is a problem somebody needs -- we need to deal with.
The bad news right now is I think as it's rolling out --
and I'm frankly more familiar with this than I want to
be -- is that there's a leap of faith here, that there's --
there's goals being set that have no reality to what other
public policy instruments you need to put into place and
what other technologies you need to put into place that are
going to make this happen. And so the linkage is not
there, and I frankly -- and this is a personal opinion. I
don't think they put much thought into how they're gonna
get at these goals in the same way that I don't think
they're gonna achieve a renewable portfolio standard of
33 percent by 2020.
Okay. Carbon markets, one of the things we want to do
with the new law here in Hawai'i is, as you develop these,
you really need to have sourcing baselines. You really
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need to be able to quantify your emission sources, and
need to understand what your sinks and potential sinks
you
are ,
That allows you then to get into cap-and-trade programs.
The Kyoto trade has some under this. There is, again, the
European trading scheme I'm talking about in a second. And
this has worked rather effectively. The Clean Air Act
passed under Bush 1 had cap-and-trade for sulfur oxides and
nitrogen oxides -- do I need to slow down? Cap-and-trade
mechanism -- okay. I'm almost done.
They have cap-and-trade mechanisms for sulfur dioxide
and nitrogen oxide. And overall, while you can debate
this, you're really racheting down sulfur emissions anc
nitrogen emissions in the country, and it's basically been
a good thing that works effectively and economically
effectively and allows you to achieve some environmental
goals. Now for something ubiquitous as carbon dioxide,
whether cap-and-trade would work I think remains to be
seen. There are credit markets. The Kyoto Protocol has a
clean development mechanism that allows developing
countries to get in on some of these things, some of this
in terms of trading reduced emissions for compliance
purposes. And then there's also the Chicago Climate
Exchange that is really under development. I think I would
characterize this as still something that's emerging out of
the box, but it's not clear to me that it's an appropriate
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• 24
u
1 model to go with for the moment, and certainly not for the
2 state.
3 There's other volunteer schemes that work very well.
4 The renewable energy credits that are now sold and traded
5 are positive things to enhance renewed reductions in -- or
6 excuse me -- enhance the production of energy by renewable
7 means and, therefore, in most cases would reduce carbon
8 dioxide. The problem here is additionallty. If you're
9 going to develop renewable technologies and put them in
10 place, are we going to -- are we -- are we doing -- if
11 we're doing this already because it's a requirement under
12 regulations, then you don't want to also sell the credits
13 because you're already doing it. You want to sell credits
14 for something that's over and above regulatory
15 requirements.
16 And then finally, the carbon tax issue, I think it's
17 important to consider, but it's got to be fair to all
18 economic sectors. It's one of the reasons that some
19 utilities in the -- in parts of the United States are
20 looking at possible carbon taxes, but they wanted to be
21 fairto everyone, which obviously would include, you know,
22 not only tax them but also tax transportation. It must be
23 societally fair. Carbon taxes, on the face of it, in my
24 opinion, will tend to be regressive taxes.
25 So the European trading scheme, I think the point here
L_
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is that this is a cap-and-trade launch. It's gone through
a lot of fluctuations, but it is the first of a kind that
allows trading between nations, 27 nations, and it covers
almost half of all of the emissions. And I think to get at
that point over that many nations is a good thing. And I
got this slide from Adam Diamant from Pepperdine.
Okay. So the final thing, kind of coming back to what
I said, I think, again, it's much appreciated we're here
today in the auditorium because it is not only about
technology development and public policy and its -- the
Integrated Resource Planning exercise, but how do we link
all of those to make advances? And the issue with a lot of
tech weenies, of which I hang around them a lot, is that
they think you can follow the top line and get to new
technologies. But my sense is if you're not involving
institutions, public perception, regulations and other
incentives, you're simply not gonna get there. You need to
link public policy instruments with R and D.
We want to drive to a sustainable future. My feeling
is Hawai'i can be a leader, that we have the resources
here. I think that in -- as Mike said at the beginning, we
have the will here to do it, and I think this is a kickoff
that we can do it.
Well, warming isn't gonna wait. Will we? Thanks.
THE MODERATOR: Terry, that was really terrific.
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Thanks very much.
I want to remind people that there are question sheets
on the back of the packets that you picked up.
The other thing I want to remind the speakers, because
we're gonna stick to the time, is that the slides will
be -- the Power Point presentations will be available on
the HECO website. So for those who don't get entirely
through their presentation, that wiil be available. Also,
you can pinch Terry's slides out of -- off that website as
well. Again, thanks, Terry.
Our second speaker is John Tantlinger from the
Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism.
I'm not sure what -- how many hats John wears, given the
circumstance. But John's gonna give us an Overview of
Hawai' i Greenhouse Gas Inventory. And his division within
DBEDT has been sort of on the lead of trying to compile an
initial inventory of greenhouse gas emissions here in
Hawai^i, so John.
HAWAII'S GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY
Dr. J o h n T a n t l i n g e r , S t a t e o f H a w a i i , Depa r tmen t o f B u s i n e s s , Economic Development and Tour i sm
DR. TANTLINGER: Thanks, Mike. I missed what you
said, but the court reporter got it, so I'll read it later.
Good morning. Aloha. And I do have a script. If I
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speak too quickly, I'll get you a copy. I promise.
I want to first thank HECO for publishing my resume,
even though I'm not looking for another job yet, but we'll
see how this presentation goes today, and particularly with
so many distinguished participants here today.
I too want to acknowledge, of course. Representative
Morita and the Public Utilities Commission, Consumer
Advocate, and any other distinguished guests whom I can't
see because of the lights being so low in the back.
You heard Mike say that my name's John Tantlinger.
He's right. And I still am. This is a tough crowd.
Giggles . All right.
But seriously, you know, I've known many of the energy
stakeholders here in the audience today for many years,| and
you know that DBEDT is one among several agencies that
support the state government's various roles in energy.
And for those who may not be as familiar, allow me just a
brief moment.
Hawai'i's State Energy Program is assigned to DBEDT's
Strategic Industries Division. State law designates that
our department director, Ted Liu, is the State of Hawai'i
Energy Resources Coordinator, or ERC, and he is the
Governor's cabinet-level energy advisor. Maurice Kaya is
DBEDT's Chief Technology Officer and also leads the
Strategic Industries Division and probably better known for
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many years as the leader of our state energy program. So
on behalf of Ted Liu, on behalf of Maurice, who's also a
member of HECO's Integrated Resource Planning Advisory
Group, I want to thank all of you for the opportunity to
speak with you this morning and thank HECO for inviting us.
So despite that very long-winded opening, the
remainder of my presentation, Our Greenhouse Gas Inventory,
should stay within our 15 minutes by covering the topics
you see on the slide. I'll describe our Greenhouse Gas
Inventory project just to provide some context and a
general background summary of information on why and how we
did the project. We'11 look at a recent preliminary
recalculation of the baseline inventory of those emissions,
the estimates for 1990, and compare it with a preliminary
estimate for 2005 emissions. They will be presented by
categories and sectors, and they include, of course, the
electric utility emissions.
HECO's invitation to DBEDT was to present the
inventory of greenhouse gas estimates for Hawai'i. So
that's our -- that's the purpose. It's a fairly
straightforward descriptive briefing of the findings of
that analysis. You've already heard from one scientist,
and HECO's assembled a very respectable lineup of experts
in the field who are far more qualified in the science. So
my presentation's gonna stick very close to that
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fundamental invited purpose. And for those of you who know
me, I believe this will be a bit of a departure from other
presentations because I generally conclude with a long list
of recommendations or next steps, but I'll just conclude
with a list of a few resources for some additional
information on the topic.
So the project in the nineties was conducted jointily
by our energy program in DBEDT and the Department of
Health's Clean Energy Branch -- excuse me -- Clean Air
Branch. DBEDT focused on the energy sectors, and DOH
focused on the non-energy emissions with its contractor,
the UH Environmental Center. It was a two-phase project
that paralleled the structure of the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency's competitive grant program.
So the U.S. EPA, state and local outreach program was
awarding competitive grants in two parts. First, develop a
statewide inventory of greenhouse gas emission estimates,
and then -- and with that outline a program of statewide
greenhouse gas reduction strategies. And then part two,
phase two, states why Hawai'i had successfully completed a
phase one grant, had, I think, a bit of a competitive edge
when it came to the award of the phase two grant for
developing a climate change action plan. And therefore,
Hawai'i's project was fully funded by EPA, and they also
provided assistance in the areas that you see listed on
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t h i a slide. The project was part of a -- the project and
the funding was a part of a nationwide U.S. Climate Change
Action Plan. It was designed to help the U.S. meet its
goals under the U.N. framework convention on climate
change.
The Climate Change Action Plan focused on
cost-effective emission reduction initiatives in all areas
of the economy, and it focused primarily on cooperative
volunteer efforts by government, industry, and the public.
This plan, particular plan, was unrelated to the Kyoto
Protocols that were signed later in December of 1997. And
the convention framework set the emissions baseiine at 1990
for evaluating reduction progress.
So the purpose of the project basically was to develop
statewide 1990 baseline estimates of emissions from human
activity. And the primary focus was on the three main
greenhouse gases: C02; methane, which is CH4; and nitrous
oxide, N20. And that would be the foundation then for
phase two planning and a first step for recommending
emission reduction and mitigation methods.
Now the methodology that we used to develop the
inventory is listed on the left-hand -- left hand of this
slide, and the formulas -- part of the grant criteria was
to use the formulas provided by the EPA to calculate the
emissions. .They were looking for a standard approach to
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calculating emission estimates. And global warming
potential of both methane and nitrous oxide are
significantly higher because gases have more powerful
forcing radiation over a one-hundred-year time horizon that
was used in calculating global warming potential. You've
heard already from -- about that from Terry.
So global warming potential was then used to sort of
normalize into C02 equivalent for -- which is the general
practice to provide a standard measure and report on the
emissions. Carbon dioxide equivalent is then measured and
reported in short times. So the assumptions on the right
side of the chart begins with the factors that was -- that
were used for these gases in relationship to carbon
dioxide. Based on more science, EPA actually modified the
factors more recently, as you've seen noted on the chart.
And the data that we used was obtained for energy use along
with the non-energy sectors that you also see listed.
C02 emissions from — one of the assumptions was that
C02 emissions used from locally grown biomass for energy
production was assumed would be sequestered during the
replanted growth process. The estimate does not include
exported fuels or overseas fuel uses or military aviation
fuels. Now these are fuels that are not used in Hawai'i;
and therefore, this approach is actually consistent with
the principles of Kyoto.
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So I've gone through five slides, and you still
haven't seen any emissions estimates, and that's what this
slide's for. Now I don't expect those of you in the back
of the room to be able to read all the notes on the right
side of the slide from the projected image, but they're
important, and when you do see copies of the slide, they're
there just to give you an understanding of the assumptions
and method that I've already generally covered.
The information is also related to how the data are
updated; for example, by using improved data that we've
been able to acquire since the first set of estimates. And
these estimates also incorporate the updated GWP factors.
So what the table shows are preliminary estimates of
Hawai'i's baseline 1990 greenhouse gas emissions and
estimates for 2005 emissions. It was calculated first as a
working draft in January and then slightly revised just
last month.
The percentage change between 1990 and 2005, we can
see, in each emissions category and sector is noted in the
far right column here. Now residential, commercial,
industrial energy emissions show the greatest increase.
And I think we really owe some of that to the fact that we
actually have better data quality and more complete, so it
contributed to a more accurate allocation of data among the
emission categories. Those emissions include the use of
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utility and non-utility gas; non-highway diesel, gasoline,
and propane; and distributor generators that use fossil
fuels; CHP and several other stationary uses.
The electric utility sector shows the third greatest
relative growth in energy emissions at 14.7 percent. I't
includes emissions from both utility-owned generation and
from the IPPs for the fuel that they use to generate the
power that they sold to the utility.
Ground transport emissions from the highway vehicle
use increased 28 percent. Domestic aviation and marine
emissions are from interisland aircraft and ship travel and
to and from the mainland. That decreased by 4.2 percent.
Primarily we think that's due to aviation aircraft
efficiency, their engine efficiency. International
transport fuel use declined significantly by 26.6 percent,
and so the international aviation fuel emissions declined
30.1 percent, reflecting, we think, both the use of more
efficiency aircraft and international visitor counts.
Decreases in international marine fuel consumption, we
think, also contributed.
Non-energy uses increased 14.4 percent, we think
mostly due to landfill and wastewater treatment emissions
and despite declines in agricultural and the closure of the
cement production plant in Hawai'i.
So overall, the preliminary estimate shows that our
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total emissions in Hawai'i increased by 7.5 percent in 2005
compared to 1990. And this actually compares to a 16.3
percent increase in nationwide emissions as reported and
estimated by the EPA. Now I'll tell you, DBEDT is not
prepared to attempt to explain the reasons for the
difference in the estimated emissions growth or the
variance between Hawai'i and the rest of the country
because considerably more analysis would be needed for us
to understand and be able to explain that.
I want to emphasize once more, these remain
preliminary estimates. I think it's important to note this
is due primarily to functional and resource constraints on
our program. I mentioned the initial program was a
multi-year effort. It was very adequately funded. It was
conducted by a team of professionals. In addition to
DBEDT, DOH, UH Environmental Center, we got support from
DLNR, Department of Agriculture, Public Utilities
Commission, the counties, and several other supporters and
helpers on that project.
I really want to acknowledge somebody who's not here
today. He's on a well-deserved vacation, and that's Steve
Albert. He's an energy planner in my office. He's been
single-handedly working on maintaining as best he can these
estimates and trying to keep the model as up to date as he
possibly can. And another person I think deserves some
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recognition, and that's our research statistician, Doug
Oshiro. He's our only energy data staff professional, and
he's been working very hard to try to improve the quality
and consistency of our data functions.
Now I think this comparison of emission categories and
sectors is actually more useful to people like me who'd
rather read a comic book than a novel. Jeez, this is
tough. This is a tough crowd. Okay. With all these
numbers, you know, I don't know -- if I don't use a little
humor, very little humor, I'm afraid I might even go to
sleep during the presentation.
But what these graphs illustrate is that even with
what appeared to be significant declines in, you know,
proportional energy-related emissions overall, the energy
sector and electricity generation, ground transportation in
particular, particularly because of their scale, still
represent the vast majority of greenhouse gas emission
sources .
With that, I think I'd be remiss, given our program,
if I didn't mention that whether greenhouse gas emissions
are regulated or not, our priority, state's priority on
reducing these emissions we really believe needs to remain
focused on increasing energy efficiency, expanding the use
of indigenous renewable energy resources, displacing the
use of imported fossil fuels, particularly imported oil,
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because it represents such a large share of our energy
production. And we think it's really a no-regret strategy,
that whether or not greenhouse gas emissions get regulated
now, sometime in the future, there's no reason to wait to
continue to aggressively pursue these strategies.
So before I conclude, as with any type of statistical
estimations, there are limitations. You've heard what some
of those are. There are assumptions that are used. And I
think it's just important that I clearly state those in a
presentation like this. When we -- here are just a few
more .
When we did our preliminary update, we found that
acquisition of new data was needed to increase the
accuracy. We did that as best we could, but a lot of work
still needs to be done on improving getting the right data.
Data transparency could be a consideration. Let me just
quickly mention that fuel data is confidential and
proprietary under state law. It's possible, depending on
the level of detail of reporting emissions, to be able --
to then back -- work backwards and be able to identify
reporters, actual individual reporters of certain data. So
a lot of care has to be taken there.
We're continuing to work with the EPA in improving the
reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, particularly in
clean energy. And we've joined among 14 other states with
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1 EPA in their Clean Energy Environment State Partnership.
2 Greenhouse gas emission reduction for Hawai'i is one of our
3 key issues.
4 I wanted to also mention a related limitation of the
5 particular models we're using because EPA experts notec
6 just a couple of weeks ago in one of ouir teleconference
7 meetings that these models were really developed to
8 increase understanding and awareness. They lack the
9 precision and -- from their perspective/ and they designed
10 the models. They lacked the precision for regulatory
11 purposes. So resources permitting, we're going to continue
12 to improve use of additional places to get some
13 information.
14 I want to note that the inventory -- sorry, but it's
15 not gonna be reposted on our web -- there's been some
16 changes -- until June 15th, but it will be up there.
17 Again, thank you all very much for this opportunity to
18 speak with you today. And HECO, thank you very much for
19 inviting DBEDT. Thank you.
20 THE MODERATOR: Thanks, John.
21 This is a real good start on — I know the legislature
22 just passed a bill that would require considerable more
23 inventory work, and some resources will be made available
24 to do that. But thanks to Steve Albert and John Tantlinger
25 and the staff at DBEDT.
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The final speaker for this panel is Chip Fletcher.
Chip's with the UH Department of Geology and Geophysics in
what I refer to as the School of Earth, Wind & Fire; but I
think the dean calls it School of Ocean and Earth Sciences
and Technology. So I've worked for Chip for many years.
He's gonna talk to us about the Impact of Climate Changes
on Shorelines in Hawai'i.
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IMPACT TO HAWAII'S SHORELINES
Dr. Chip F l e t c h e r , UH Department of Geology and Geophysics
DR. FLETCHER: Thank you, Mike. I'd also like to
thank HECO and the Integrated Resource Planning Advisory
Group for sponsoring the session today. This is very
educational. Terry and John gave fantastic talks. I hope
I'm up to the same task.
I'm going to talk to you today about sea level rise.
The IPCC report that came out a few months ago, as most of
you know who pay attention to that group, finished taking
new science over a year ago, and so I thought I would focus
on new research that has come on line in more recent times
since 19 -- or, excuse me, since 2007.
There's been a double melting rate of the Greenland
ice sheet that's been tracked using data that's only a few
years old. The combined budget of -- of ice sheet dynamics
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in Greenland amounts to melting of 57 cubic miles per y ear.
S cl There's net melting of the Antarctic ice sheet, which i;
new realization. The question had been up until very
recently whether or not Antarctica would actually
ameliorate -- excuse me -- counter sea level rise by
gaining ice, but the most recent data indicates that it's
actually experiencing net retreat of 36 cubic miles per
year. I'm going to talk about each of these in a little
bit more detail in a minute.
Global sea level rise has now been documented to
exceed 3 millimeters per year. All through the 20th
century the big debate was whether or not global sea level
rise was 1.5 millimeters per year or as high as
2 millimeters per year. We never really settled on that
question, and we put a couple of satellites up that have
been orbiting for the last 18 years, and they are
documenting now today this year a rate of rise of
3.4 millimeters per year. Now for the first time, just in
the last few months, the uncertainty, the plus or minus
value on that 3.4 millimeters per year, leaves 3.0 behind.
Global sea level rises at 3.4 plus or minus .3 millimeters
per year. So we are quickly leaving behind the rate of sea
level rise that we experienced in the 20th century.
Continued heating of the atmosphere and heating of the
water column also contribute to global sea level rise. The
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main forces on global sea level rise are melting of the
main ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica and also the
warming of the water column, the warming of the oceans. As
you know, as you warm something, it expands, and this leads
to what's know as thermal sea level rise or steric sea
level rise.
And I'm going to show you our most recent science that
indicates a 1 meter rise is now expected during this
century. I think this is a good planning horizon. One
meter by the end of this century I think is an appropriate
planning horizon and actually potentially a conservative
planning horizon.
If we fulfill a 3 degree sea temperature rise this
century, then it suggests, based on geologic evidence,
perhaps as much as 3 to 6 meters of sea level rise. And
that geologic evidence comes to us from 125,000 years ago
when we were last in a warm period, an interglacial, which
is similar to the one that we've been enjoying for the last
10,000 years which has lead to the rise of our modern
civilization. The last time climate was like this was
125,000 years ago, and between then and now we've gone
through an ice age. Well, then sea level was higher, and
temperatures were slightly higher; and if we reproduce
those conditions, then we're in for, you know, a 3 to 6
meter rise in sea level.
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There are still major uncertainties in sea level
science, but these latest results are significant in that
they do not point in the direction of smaller rates of
rise. They are consistent with the worst case of
longstanding predictions. And the counter-arguments
against this grow fewer and fewer. And so I think the
prudent thing for us to do is to examine the evidence aind
to identify for ourselves what sort of appropriate planning
horizon we should be moving towards.
This is a nice graphic showing Greenland ice loss. Xn
pink is the area that was mapped as experiencing net
retreat or net melting as of 1992. In red is new data
experiencing net retreat of the Greenland ice sheet in
2005. In white is area that is still accumulating.
There's a net amount of positive side to the ice balance
there. This change from 1992 to 2005 represents a doubling
in the -- in fact, excuse me, a tripling in the rate of ice
lost.
Here's the data from 1979 to 2005. You can see that
there's a lot of variability in the total melt of the
Greenland ice sheet. There is this net trend with a slope
on it, an upward trend indicating an increase in melted
ares in the Greenland ice sheet. But there is a high
degree of variability here, and so from a purely
statistical and scientific point of view, it's difficult to
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extract from this a rate that is representing a long-term
trend, but now the data extend back far enough that the
rate is significant. But continued monitoring is extremely
important so that we understand the dynamics of the
Greenland ice sheet.
The Antarctic ice loss is shown here. It's not a long
time data set. It only extends back to 2002. And you
might see in there a pattern almost of oscillation. There
might be something of a cycle taking place here, in which
case it's really difficult to say that we have yet
established a long-term trend in Antarctic ice loss,
especially given the short time period of our data set. So
we're still watching Antarctica very carefully, and it's
extremely important that we put up the instruments in the
air to map this ice sheet carefully.
In Antarctica -- this is a map of the Antarctic
continent. East Antarctica is still accumulating snow.
These little -- these crosses are actually meant to be plus
symbols. It's over here in the west Antarctic ice sheet
that we see net retreat, and that's what these negative
values are over here. So this is the area of Antarctica
which we think is most vulnerable to heating in the
atmosphere.
Thermal expansion is modelled again and again with
various global circulation models as occurring on all of
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sea
some
the oceans. Basically the hotter the color here, the
greater the temperature rise, and you can see that the
surface is participating in the warming that is taking
place as well as on the continental areas. This is thi
temperature record of combined sea surface and land surface
rise. You see it extends from 1880 to the present day.
Now we can model sea level rise, but a more empirical
approach or a more direct approach is to look at our
history of sea level rise and compare it to this history of
temperature change. And so by comparing these two sets of
observations, we have a relationship that would allow us to
project sea level change into the future, if we assume
scenarios of temperature change. So this is our history of
surface temperature. And ~- well, there was supposed to be
in there a -- a history of sea level change since that
time period, 1880. Maybe it's the next slide.
Let's discuss just for a second the contributions to
sea level. Alpine glaciers and ice caps are another form
of water storage that are retreating. Alpine glaciers and
ice caps around the planet are experiencing melting, and
their contribution to global sea level is on the order of
half a meter, so they're relatively insignificant. The
contribution of Greenland to global sea level is over
7 meters, and the west Antarctic ice sheet, the one that
we're most concerned with, the contribution to global sea
same
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level was 5 to 6 meters.
Sea level rise due to ice melt versus to sea level
rise due to thermal expansion, they each seem to account
for about half of the amount of the sea level rise today.
So melt water coming off the ice sheets and just the steric
heating of the ocean surface seem to account for about half
of our observed sea level rise. But overall it's important
to say that the sea level budget is poorly understood.
That is, adding up the contribution to global sea level
rise from all these sources is very poorly constrained.
That's why -- and here's the missing slide. That's
why using a more empirical approach where we track global
temperatures and compare them to global sea level rise
gives us a way to understand the future. So this has been
done by Stefan Rahmstorf in a paper published just a few
months ago in Science.
Here we have the rate of sea level change from 1881 to
2001. And here we have the warming from 1881 to 2001
compared to -- normalized to this mean. So by comparing
these two, we can understand the response of sea level to
atmospheric heating, and this is the result. The red line
represents the smooth trend of sea level change. The blue
line represents the computed trend by comparing or modeling
with the temperature trend. And the red points represent
the unsmooth data.
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So based on this, a sea level rise of half a meter to
one and a half meters is projected by the year 2100 given
an IPCC temperature projection of one and a half to almost
6 degrees C this century. So if temperature rises as
projected by the IPCC, then this would be the sea level
response. So it's this basis that I recommend a 1 mete
planning horizon. Basically falls in the mid of this -
the middle of this range.
So what is the impact of this 1 meter sea level rise
here in Hawai'i? Let's look at a couple of scenarios.
Let's take a 1 meter sea level rise. Let's make it at high
tide, and let's add rain from last April; okay? Several
days last April and March we had almost a foot of rain in a
day, yeah?
One thing to remember, that as sea level rises near
the coastline, the water table which sits on it under the
land is also going to rise. So sea level rise is not just
attacking the coastline. It's going to take dry land and
turn it into wetland behind the coasts, up in the area
where we drive and live and build our buildings. And wet
land or even land that is perched only a few feet above the
water table, when it gets rained on, is our only source of
draining that rain away. So if the water table is high,
rainfall won't be able to drain. It will turn into
standing water, and we'll experience flooding based on this
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standing water.
This is already happening in Mapunapuna, the
industrial district by the airport. The storm drains there
feed into the ocean, and at high tide the ocean feeds back
up into the storm drains. There is saltwater coming up out
of the storm drains in this industrial area several times a
month during high tide. When you rain on top of that, you
develop standing pools of water. So I think this is what
life is gonna be like in the second half of the century, is
a major rain drainage problem.
Another thing that occurs in our waters is high peaks
of sea level, such as this topographic map, this dynamic
topographic map. In red and green you see what are known
as mesoscale eddies. These are piles of water larger than
the Big Island that have a sea level rise of about 2 0
centimeters, and they come through -- the come through all
the time. The major ones come through every couple of
years, and they reside -- as they pass through the
Hawaiian Islands, they reside for a few weeks. So sea
level is artificially high. To bring this point home to
you, the waves at Ala Moana Beach Park cross all the way
across the beach, and they hit that retaining wall next to
the road when one of these happens at high tide, so these
mesoscale eddies. I'm not gonna model these in my
scenarios for you.
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Another thing that raises sea level around here is our
large swell. A 15-foot open ocean wave, which we get
several times a year both from the south and from the
north, will raise sea level as much as a meter against the
coastline. This is called sea level setup. That' s not
the -- I'm not talking about the run-up of waves on the
beach. I'm talking about a still water level that is
basically the inertia of these waves, and it rises against
the shoreline. So I'm also not going to include this, so I
think I'm going to give you some sea level rise scenarios
that are relatively conservative and perhaps
under-predicting.
Okay. Here is Campbell Industrial Park. This is
major industrial center for the state. It is low lyinc
It's at Barber's Point. It's basically a coastal location.
And we have topographic LIDAR data here that has a
resolution of 20 centimeters, and so we can map what our
high tide 1 meter sea level with a foot of rainfall will do
here. And you'll see the coastal areas begin to flood. So
I think this is the sort of map that should be the basis
for analysis of where we want to be in the second half of
the century. Now I'm not familiar with the infrastructure
here in the coastal zone of the industrial park, but this
is an area of high concern. Notice also that these
hinterland areas are also experiencing conversion from dry
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land
it's
this
into wetland.
Honolu
amazin
again.
lu Harbor and Honolulu, Sand Island, this area.
g what the
It turns
Boulevard is actually
Sand Islanc
processing
these areas
flooding does here. Let's look at
out that the area around Ala Moana
below 1 meter in elevation.
, where Sand Island processing plant, sewage
plant is located, the harbor itself, all of
are vulnerable to this standing water effect.
Again, notice that the coastline is not immediately
attacked by
table back
concern.
with
area
Let' s
the Al
Okay.
hearing me
sea level
behind the
rise. It's this rise of the water
coastline that I think is of greatest
look at Waikiki. I'm sure you can predict that
a Wai Cana L back there, we have a very low-lying
What about beaches? Most of you are used to
talk about beaches. Well, I think beaches are a
thing of the past, frankly. I think
this century you're not really gonna
that with 1 meter of sea level rise.
shoreline is going to look like. If
you're gonna have to find sandy land
and the beach would be the front of
in the second half of
have beaches. I think
this is what our
you want beaches.
and allow it to erode.
that sandy land that is
eroding away. And I know maybe there's two areas in this
state: Polihale Beach on Kauai and Papohaku Beach on
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Moloka'i where we might still have some beaches under this
scenario.
Will this impact tourism? Frankly, I don't think it
will. Let's look at one case scenario right now. Here we
have a typical resort, in this case in Maui. Many of our
resorts now are building pool facilities that sort of
replace beaches, and you'll notice there's really not much
of a beach here. When you visit this area, you still
experience the ocean, the climate, the culture. The beach
is not really part of the scene. It's the pool area where
most of our visitors are going. And, in fact, the beach in
that area really has essentially disappeared anyway.
Well, what's happening is we're replacing our beaches
with built beaches in the pool facility. That's a pile of
sand. That's Texas stream gravel that we're now importing,
and there's over a dozen resorts now where beaches are
being brought into and incorporated into the pool facility.
So I think this is really what our beaches are gonna look
like in the future.
The problem with this is the locals lose. We're the
ones who go to the beaches. We can't afford to go to these
resorts. So I think that our coastal access and our local
natural resource of the beaches is what the impact is
there. And I want to thank you for the time you've given
me .
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the
shee
came
They
and
dire
brea
to a
THE MODERATOR: Thanks very much, Ch
panelists.
Again, I would remind you tha t there
ts at the back of the packet you
in. Greg is on this side. Leo
'11 be prepared to collect those
I will try to read those, and
pick
s on
and
then we
ct it to the panel. We're gonna
k to allow the court reporter
H o w you to write questions.
(Whereupon, a
BACKGROUND ON CLIMATE
to
take
rest
ip. Thanks to all
are c
sd up
this
Dring
'11 a£
just
uestion
when you
side.
those up.
k -- we'll
a one-minute
her fingers and
brief recess
CHANGE
was taken.)
ISSUES
{Question a n d A n s w e r S e s s i o n
THE MODERATOR: Okay. We have a couple of questions
so far. First one would be directed to any one of the
panelists who wants to take it: Wiil climate change affect
temperatures and humidity in Hawai'i? If yes, when and how
much?
DR. SURLES: The when and how much, it's -- I think
it's -- it will certainly affect temperature, but again, as
some of the IPCC slides showed, the major impact on
temperature increases, it's going to be patchy around the
world and certainly more -- the temperatures are going to
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rise faster in colder regions than they are in these
latitudes, but you would expect it to go up a bit. You
also expect that over a period of time that it would become
a bit more humid simply because there's going to be more
water vapor in the atmosphere because of overall higher
temperatures around the globe.
How these occur, you know, I don't think you wake up
one morning and say, my goodness, climate change is here
because it's gotten warmer. I think it's just an
incremental set of things that over a period of time people
are gonna notice that things have changed.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Terry.
Here's another question for Terry: If droughts will
become more common for Hawai'i, why should we shift to
growing biofuels?
DR. SURLES: That's a good question. You know, we
talked about -- and I couldn't get into it in the
technology section, but we really have to examine the life
cycle of these new technologies we're trying to bring in.
And certainly bringing in -- bringing in water-intensive
crops for biofuels is potentially a problem. We've --
excuse me. We've talked about this in terms of the demand
on water, on labor, on land, and these are certainly not
trivial demands. So the idea, as somebody said, we're
gonna be the Saudi Arabia of ethanol, is in my mind an
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irresponsible thing to say. The biofuels you could be
looking at are ones that simply have less of a demand on
water and -- but again, you still are going to have to
balance them off to iand and labor demands.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Terry.
A question for Chip: With sea level rise -- with the
rising sea level, wouldn't there be greater evaporation
leading to more rainfall? And I would say the corollary to
that would be, with the temperature increases, wouldn't
there be more evaporation into rainfall?
DR. FLETCHER: I think our rainfall comes principally
from two sources: Kona systems that come in from the south
and the southwest, and the aerographic effect, which is the
trade winds which are forced to go up into high elevation
due to our high volcanic mountains where the rate of
condensation exceeds the rate of evaporation. I don't
think that the sea level rise, given the aerographic
effect, will have enough of an impact to change where
that -- the rate of condensation versus evaporation shifts
it's location. One meter of sea level rise is not going to
significantly change the local rainfall pattern.
On a more regional scale, I don't think that we
understand yet what the rainfall changes may be. What I
have seen is a projection that the climate in Hawai'i will
become more El Nino like and that -- not that we will
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experience more El Ninos, but that it will become more
El Nino like. And we tend to have droughts, periods oi:
drought, during more El Nino conditions. We tend to have
more tropical cyclones, too.
DR. SURLES: May I just add, again, a lot of the
global -- the general circulation models for the globe are
now pretty effective in looking at these, but when you
start talking about rainfall patterns on a more regional or
local area, it's -- the slide I showed earlier -- it's hard
to get agreement in what they're gonna look like, what
things will look like in the future because the --
getting -- teasing out the variables and having an idea on
a regional level is still pretty much a state of art and
not a state of science.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Terry.
Next question's for John: I understand that the 1990
greenhouse gas emissions data will be available on the
DBEDT website about June 15th. When and where will the
2005 data be available?
DR. TANTLINGER: I don't know, but actually, what we
can do -- what I was referring to was the report itself,
the report that was issued in -- in the nineties. It's
just a matter of mechanics with the website. But as far as
the presentation is concerned, we can post it on the
website as soon as our webmaster can do it. I'm not sure
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what HECO's plans are for these presentations, but -~
THE MODERATOR: Gary's informed us that they will be
posted on the HECO IRP website as well, so -- and those
will be available in a week or so, Gary?
DR. TANTLINGER: There you go. That question was for
Gary, not for me.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Thanks, Gary.
For Chip, how will our ability to track and monitor
the effect of global warming be affected by recent
reductions in funding for NASA's satellite program?
Second question is, besides yourself, Chip, who is
studying the specific effects of global warming on Hawai'i?
DR. FLETCHER: Well, I — I can express a personal
opinion, and I think that what's happening at NASA is -- is
unfortunate. It's gonna be great to have a guy on Mars, or
a gal. But from that perspective looking back on our
Earth, it's not gonna be a pretty sight. I think that
decreasing the funding for Earth-monitoring constellations
and satellites is a big mistake, and I think that we should
be increasing our funding and increasing our monitoring of
the Earth environment and that that should be the
primary -- a primary goal of the federal government.
Whether -- I'm not trying to prescribe mission science for
NASA, but somebody should be funding -- maintaining and
increasing rather than decreasing our satellite m.onitoring
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of the planet.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Chip.
A question for Terry; I hear conflicting things on
what greenhouse gas reductions today will have on future
catastrophic changes. I've heard it takes decades for
gases to get to the upper atmosphere. Other times I hear
there will be a quick feedback response.
DR. SURLES: Okay. I think the question would be,
had -- there's -- the conflicting -- what was the first
part of that? The conflicting?
THE MODERATOR: I hear conflicting things on what
greenhouse gas reductions today will have on the future.
DR. SURLES: Okay. Basically the — the trend lines,
because of -- I think you can say -- and the
comparabilities with the chlorofluorocarbon rules that were
passed under the Montreal Protocol, that these ended up in
our stratosphere and upper stratosphere that would -- that
then would tend to decompose and effectively destroy the
ozone layer. And by controlling them, we can -- we can
make advances in that, and that is -- that's something that
-- the turnaround for that is relatively rapid. But I
characterize relatively rapid as being in a few decades.
When you look at the carbon cycle -- and it's one of
the slides that hit the cutting room floor when I was
putting together the presentation. The circulation fof
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carbon dioxide will be in terms of centuries. Because the
ocean is undersaturated in carbon dioxide, most of the
carbon dioxide we're currently emitting is eventually going
to go into the ocean. However, there is a flux where at
any given point there's carbon dioxide being released from
the ocean into the atmosphere. So the net effect is even
if we stopped the carbon, the carbon dioxide emissions
almost immediately, there's a lag time that -- where we're
going to be experiencing climate change anyway. And to get
a control on this, this is why the goals of the IPCC and a
lot of the international activities are to try to stabilize
at 550 parts per million by the middle part of this century
because they know it's kind of like turning a huge ship
around. And once we do that, there's still going to be
warming.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Terry.
This is, I guess, for Terry and for Chip. This is on
sea level rise: The first speaker, Terry, indicated at
least three times the sea level rise that Chip did. Please
clarify.
with
DR.
DR.
eac
framewor
leve 1 is
SURLES: You
FLETCHER: I
1 other; they
k. I think
to present
re th
don't
just
that —
e sea 1
think
may not
my goa
scenarios that
evel
that they're inconsistent
be in the same timing
1 in
are
talking
not so
about sea
catastrophic
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that you throw your hands up in the air and feel there
nothing you can do. I think it's important to present
realistic near time scenarios that we can feel that we have
the technology and the community will to do something
about.
The fear of a much larger sea level rise is very, very
real. Not the fear, but the possibility is very, very
real. I think you saw from the short time frame of our
monitoring data for Antarctica and the high variability of
the behavior of the Greenland ice sheet and the Antarctic
ice sheet that we really do not understand those two ice
sheets, and those two ice sheets are -- they are the
catalyst. They're the triggers for a global sea level
rise. We don't understand the two major effects on sea
level rise, and so it is appropriate to keep in mind some
of these more dramatic numbers such as 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
meters. They're quite possible.
DR. SURLES: Yeah, that, and I'd only add that I
actually didn't think our numbers were all that
incompatible. I know that Chip was pointing towards a
meter rise over the century, but his slides also pointed to
that if you lose the Greenland ice sheet over a period of a
century, you're going to be looking at a 4 to 6 meter sea
rise. And effectively, that's the point of the IPCC panels
that worked on this, that that is what you might anticipate
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with that -- with the destruction of the Greenland ice
sheet.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks.
DR. FLETCHER: Can I say one more thing?
THE MODERATOR: Sure, Chip.
DR. FLETCHER: I think if we do experience a sea level
rise like that, society as we know it today will change
fundamentally, rapidly, and potentially catastrophically.
I think those high sea level rise scenarios should be in
everybody's mind, and they should be something that we ail
should all be thinking about.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Chip.
DR. TAYLOR; Can I follow that?
THE MODERATOR: Yeah, go ahead, Brian.
DR. TAYLOR: Just -- Brian Taylor from SOEST.
Just remember that the IPCC report very specifically
did not in their projections -- they particularly excluded
the scenario where major melting of the Greenland or
Antarctic ice sheets was included. So they said at the
time
ago.
happ
when the:^
we don't
en to
there was
put
know
it in
stopped the science
have enough in
those ice sheets.
great uncertainty.
the
, this is
collection
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That'
governmental report.
highly likely. We ' re
ighlighted
s why they
But they
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said, you
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year
onna
that
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We 're not gonna include it in our projections. That's why
they gave the conservative numbers. But as both of these
speakers have pointed out, they also highlighted -- you
know, the next report six years from now I think is gonna
say very different things. But they were very conservative
by design.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks very much.
Brian Taylor's the Dean of School of Ocean and Earth
Sciences and Technology. Sorry.
Another one for Chip: Will sea level rise affect
freshwater aquifers? If so, how, and what can be done?
DR. FLETCHER: I think this is a very important area
that we need a lot more research in. Initially it wilJ.
affect freshwater aquifers by causing them to rise. Those
that are already near the ground surface, we will lose that
amount of water because it will rise up to the ground
surface and become wetland. We also have what's known as a
caprock. A caprock is basically limestone around the south
shore of Oahu which is thought to present a barrier between
salt infiltration from the ocean into our fresh water
reserves under the island, within the island. And the
effectiveness of this caprock is poorly understood. As sea
level rises, the tendency for salt to diffuse out of the
ocean and into our groundwater resources is going to
increase. And so there are very unknown and potentially
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[
1 important threats to the salinity, increases to the
2 salinity of our aquifer system.
3 At the same time, as we draw down our aquifer -- and
4 the Pearl Harbor aquifer has been declining for decades.
5 A5 we draw that down, we are pulling up salt from below it.
6 So -- and in fact, this problem's happening on Maui. The
7 'tao aquifer is actually -- the main freshwater resource
8 for the island of Maui is showing chlorinity and salinity
9 levels that are much higher over the last decade. There's
10 a big discussion going on on whether the state government
11 should take over management of the 'lao aquifer on Maui.
12 There's a whole riparian management issue throughout this
13 state that's very important.
14 Let me also just mention that -- you might think I'm
15 going off topic, but I'm not. We are pouring millions of
16 gallons a day of freshwater into the ocean through our
17 antiquated irrigation system left over from sugar cane
18 days. At the same time that we are drawing down our
19 freshwater aquifers, we are dumping millions of gallons of
20 freshwater through our irrigation system right into the
21 ocean. The water management in this state is a very big
22 issue, and it is tied to sea level rise.
23 THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Chip.
24 A question for Terry: How does the U.S.'s
25 contribution to climate change compare to other countries?
V
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DR. SURLES: Well, is this because I was bashing the
administration or what during some of my presentation?
The reality is, is that the United States actually
puts a lot of money into research and technology
development related to new technologies that would
ameliorate emissions from fossil fuels. However, I agree
with Chip's earlier statement that the things like NASA
really needs to be focused on -- on the Earth. Basically
it's the Planet Earth that's certainly something that
Jim Hansen and NASA believes in.
The problem gets to the fact that our government, our
current government's policies, are completely disconnected
to what government scientists and government technology
developers are doing, and that spills over, for example,
the G8 conference at Rostock right now, that you really
need to start getting at some mandatory requirements that
the developed nations can agree to. There's just one
nation standing in the way, and it's us. And my view is --
it's certainly an opinion -- is that there's gonna be
additional monies for science and technology development in
any new administration. Whether it's Democrat or
Republican, I don't think it makes any difference.
I think the issue with NASA is a transitory thing that
will be rectified. And hopefully it's -- getting to one of
my final slides -- are public policies and the public
L .
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1 policy instruments that we develop are going to be better
2 linked to the science and technology'we're doing. So
3 that's kind of a speech. The side-bar is, again, this
4 current administration was a disaster when it comes to any
5 international relations with climate change.
6 THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Terry.
7 I'dalsojustliketotakea second to recognize
8 Senator Norman Sakamoto who's come into the meeting.
9 Senator, thank you for being here.
10 Question for John: If greenhouse gas emissions source
11 is clarified by sector -- yeah, is categorized by sector,
12 canitbe further by county or island? Can it be broken
13 down?
14 DR. TANTLINGER; It can be. And that would take
15 significantly more analysis to be able to do that because
16 the way that the emissions were actually estimated is by
17 using sort of gross fuel consumption methods by different
18 technologies and sectors. So in some cases, some of the
19 sectors are easier to isolate by county, say, for the
20 utility, for example. And that's because there is more
21 precise and more specific data for that. But for some of
22 the other data, I mean, how could you necessarily apportion
23 aviation fuel to a particular county? I mean, these things
24 would have to be worked out, and I think it would require a
25 significant amount of more work.
\
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THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, John.
Question, probably for Chip, but more likely for Brian
Taylor: Any effects on -- will climate change have anv
effects on ocean currents and jet streams?
DR. FLETCHER: Oh, wow. I can tell you that the ocean
current in our harbors will change because of sea level
rise, and that's something that we need to look at very
carefully. Hawai'i has a standing foodstock in its stores
of four days at any moment in time. We are rescued every
day by Young Brothers and Matson with barges of food that
come to us. And if we aren't able to properly dock those
barges, as sea level rises and the situation in our harbors
becomes more and more hazardous, this is a situation that
needs to be looked at more carefully.
As far as the jet stream, I can't really comment on
that. An atmospheric physicist would have to tell you
about that. And as far as the -- what was the other part?
Climate?
THE MODERATOR: It's --
DR. FLETCHER; Ocean currents. Yeah, actually, let me
just segue for just a few seconds.
The School of Ocean and Earth Sciences and Technology
has been funded, in fact, this year by the state
legislature to start on ocean observing program here in the
state of Hawai'i, and we have a coordinated group of
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scientists and
dozen who are
oceanography,
at the marine
state of Hawai
next several y
change as well
deliver to the
the skills tha
there.
technicians
really going
improvements
ecosystem, un
'i. We are c
at SOEST numbering well over a
to be focusing on changes in
in community resiliency, looking
derstanding meteorology of the
oing to be studying over the
ears the potential impacts really of climate
as improving the products that we can
citizens of Hawai'i that are relevant to
t -- that's a good end to the sentence right
THE MODERATOR: Okay. We have four more questions.
and we have four more minutes, three more minutes.
And this is probably for perhaps Terry: Would the use
of biofuels, biodiesel, or other biofuels help improve the
climate change situation for Hawai'i, the greenhouse gas
emission situation?
DR. SURLES: Well, again, this is a life-cycle issue,
but I think overall you're really going to be replacing
petroleum products with -- with renewable energy products.
So the net effect is yes. I mean, the other societal
issues is -- are the question marks. I think the important
thing here is more that you're improving your energy
security if you're at least developing some of your
resources here in Hawai'i. However, with biofuels, there
are carbon emissions that are related to that life cycle.
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so it's not a completely free lunch.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Terry.
What is the impact -- what is the impact of seawater
air-conditioning on greenhouse gas emissions? Presumably
we're on climate change in general. First, it raises up
seawater temperature, but it reduces electric use. What
will the overall consequences be?
DR. SURLES: That's for me?
I mean, for any technologies that are going to reduce
electricity use -- and it's not -- I mean, I -- you know,
we're -- you know, it's not a particular technology.
There's a lot of new air-conditioning systems that are much
more efficient than a lot of existing systems. So whether
you're talking about seawater air-conditioning or anything
else, it's just a matter of -- the key thing is if you can
become more energy efficient, you're simply using less
electricity, less petroleum products; and you, therefore,
are going to be emitting less -- less greenhouse gases.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks.
We're not gonna get through all these questions
because I want to give people a break, but let's take one
more .
How do grasslands, rain forests, and the ocean compare
to rates of carbon capture per acre or square mile?
DR. SURLES: There's actually a very ac — there has
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been a very active terrestrial sequestration program going
on both in the Department of Energy and also in the -- in
the California Energy Commission where these things are
cofunded. I -- you know, I guess you'd almost have to
refer to a Department of Energy Office of Health and
Environmental Research website to look at, you know, what
the latest results would be on that. I would not be aware
of why one would be better than another at this point.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Okay. We're gonna have to cut
off the questions here now if we want to get a break. It's
just about a minute after 10:15. We're going to come back
at 10:30. I wanted to ask you to help me thank the
panelists for great presentations.
(Whereupon, a recess was taken from 10:16 a.m. to
10:30 a.m.)
THE MODERATOR: Okay. We're gonna go ahead and get
started with the next panel, and this is Policy
Implications for Hawai'i.
I have one housekeeping issue for those of you who
haven't found the bathrooms. I think most of you know
where they are now.
The other housekeeping -- the other housekeeping issue
is Gary has asked us to have a show of hands of who -- to
see, give a count of how many people will be here for the
brown bag lunch.
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Jim Roumasset, why don't you get up there.
So let me -- let's just wait until a few more people
come in and sit down.
WOMAN IN AUDIENCE: Excuse me. What do you mean by be
here? I mean, I'd -- I mean, I'd love to get some lunch,
but I don't care where I get it from.
THE MODERATOR: Gary or Kaiulani, what are the
arrangements for lunch? People get their own.
MAN IN AUDIENCE: Bring in some pizzas.
MR, HASHIRO: Yes, for the lunchtime for today, we do
have planned a film showing in the Room 016, which is right
around the corner here. And it's a brown bag lunch, so you
bring your own lunch. And there is a snack shop that's
right at the corner here where you can get lunch if you
didn't bring any. We just wanted a show of hands to plan
the logistics for that room to make sure we can accommodate
everyone. Can I see a show of hands who plan to stay for
the lunchtime showing? Okay. Great. Thank you.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. I'd also like to recognize
Senator Clarence Nishihara and Gary Hooser who've also
joined us. I thank you. Senators, for being here.
As I said, the next panel is on Policy Implications
for Hawai'i. We have four presentations -- five:
Environmental Perspective from Henry Curtis from Life of
the Land; A Utility perspective from Robbie Aim; A
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Legislative Perspective from Representative Hermina Morita;
and An Economic Perspective from Jim Roumasset from the UH
Economic Research Organization, and then question and
answer. So we've got four presentations and then Q and A.
I will ask speakers to please limit themselves to 15
minutes, and I will also remind them and others that the
Power Points will be available on the HECO IRC website.
I also want to make note and thank Henry Curtis. This
is an historic day. This is Henry's first Power Point
presentation. It took me awhile, Henry, too. Not quite as
long as you. So without further adieu, I'll turn it over
to Henry Curtis.
POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR HAWAII
AN ENVIRONMENTAL PERSPECTIVE
Mr, Henry C u r t i s , L i f e o f t h e Land
MR. CURTIS: Aloha. I think to start with this, money
is a good place to start any discussion on climate change
because there will be a great deal of money thrown at this
issue by corporations, by non-profits, by governments, by
foundations; and a lot of the money wiil come with strings,
and a lot of the money will be used for good things, and a
lot will be used for bad things. Follow the money, and it
reveals all things.
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1 And then I also like the term "truthiness," which is
2 now part of the English language, because it refers to
3 doing things from your gut regardless of whether it has any
4 basis in reality. And one good example is from the public
5 opinion polls. In the early nineties throughout the U.S.
6 opinion polls showed that people were concerned with global
7 warming. They thought it was real. They thought it was a
8 threat. And the fossil fuel industry launched a campaign
9 in the mid nineties to say, no, there's just a lot of
10 skepticism about it. The science is out. It does not
11 really exist. It may exist. And it was through the Global
12 Climate Coalition which was funded heavily by Exxon and by
13 the Edison Electric Institute, which is the trade
14 organization for independently owned power utilities
15 throughout the country. And Sinclair Lewis -- you may have
16 seen this quote from films: It is difficult to get a man
17 to understand something when his job depends on him not
18 understanding it.
19 We've had a discussion by previous speakers about
20 Greenland and Antarctica, and it's important to look at it
21 as a percentage. If Greenland -- if 15 percent of
22 Greenland melts, the reef runway goes under water. And
23 what impact does that have on our tourism industry? What
24 happens if a third of Greenland melts and our downtown
25 business sector is under water?
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The early message of the fossil fuel industry was, as
I said, what, climate change, it's way too uncertain. And
now, as the new message is, well, climate change is
important, but we have a future based on coal. Coal is
what exists throughout the United States. We have abundant
supplies, so how can we have the coal and avoid climate
change? We just have to somehow capture the 002. It's
never really been done before, but we'11 find all kinds of
uses for it, and everything will be okay.
And the biofuel industry has popped up. Initially
their message was we'11 offer an alternative to fossil
fuels. We are gonna find biological solutions that are
gonna solve our problem, and we don't -- and we'll go
beyond fossil fuels. Along the way though, it -- the
fossil fuel industry realized that agriculture is an
extremely fossil-fuel-intensive industry, and if you
increase it, there will be more opportunities for fossil
fuel. And therefore, the fossil fuel industry is now not
against biofuels because they don't see it as putting
themselves out of business. They see it as a way of
selling being green to the public and continuing their
record profits.
And self-reliant proponents are talking about a
variety of real alternatives, which include renewables,
includes efficiencies, includes green pricing and smart
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meters. One of the things that we pointed out through
docket with the Public Utilities Commission where we are
arguing over proposed power plant by HECO that they wanted
to build in 2009 in Campbell Industrial Park is that if you
have a hundred acres of land, you can have a hundred acres
of biofuel crops or 1 acre of solar and 99 acres of food.
You get the same energy out of it. You just have a lot
more food in the second scenario.
So we're at a crossroads right now, and we have many
different paths. We can look at it as sort of a wheel, and
we can travel down many different spokes on the wheel. The
trouble is some of them are under water. There are many
different paths. Some of them work; some of them don't
work. The fossil fuel path is a denial of climate change.
The biofuels path is fossil fuels coded green. A true
portfolio involves a variety of renewables and
efficiencies.
Some paths take us to places we need to go, some of
the paths we got to stay away from, and some delay the day
of reckoning. And we only have to look at past examples in
Hawai'i to notice that Hawai'i, we have done -- gone down
some paths that are less than desirable. After all, the
mongoose was brought in to kill the rat, and now we have
both. Miconia was brought here as an ornamental because it
looked beautiful, and now it's rampaging through our
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1 forests. And the koki frog, we simply didn't take enough
2 care to protect ourselves from invaslves. We felt that the
3 economic gain of plants were more important than finding
4 out what the plants came with. The problem with climate
5 change is we don't have a lot of time, and we can't be
6 walking down different wrong paths, especially those paths
7 that we know are wrong today but may be backed by money or
8 special interests.
9 Dr. Shimon Awerbuch is a former senior advisor for the
10 International Energy Agency. Unfortunately, he died in a
11 plane crash this year. He talked about how -- Integrated
12 Resource Planning procedures before the Public Utilities
13 Commissions around the country. We have talked about
14 renewables. We've talked about efficiencies. We've talked
15 about regulation. But we have shied away from talking
16 about what cost means, how you compare very different
17 scenarios with very different risk streams. And these
18 comparisons of alternatives have largely escaped any kind
19 of analysis. They're decided in the back rooms.
20 Externalities refers to things that are not included
21 within the price of a good. For example, if a power plant
22 produces electricity and the fumes wipe out a local school,
23 the impact to the school kids are not reflected in the
24 price of electricity. And one way that businesses have of
25 maximizing their profits is to shift their costs to
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society. If you have a choice of one power plant that
emits low levels of greenhouse gases but costs more fof
electricity, you have another power plant that emits a lot
more greenhouse gases but has lower costs, you can go with
the one that has the greater impact on society but
minimizes your own costs. Businesses throughout the
country -- and I'm not singling out the electric industry,
but all kinds of businesses throughout the country find it
easier to maximize profits by shifting costs to consumers.
When you buy a good at a store, you don't buy -- the
company doesn't sell you a microwave and say, oh, by the
way, when you're done with it, bring it back to us, and
we'll dispose of it. The cost of disposing of it and what
happens with the landfill impacts are shared by society.
This slide is a question we asked the Consumer
Advocate during the power plant docket. And it's
significant because biodiesel, for example -- if you grow
palm oil in Indonesia and you grow it by destroying a
rainforest, burning through peat soil, growing palm oil,
turning it into biodiesel and bringing it to Hawai'i,
taxpayers pay a dollar a gallon subsidy. Imagine what
happens if we destroy rainforests throughout the world to
grow biodiesel for the United States to use in power
plants. Taxpayers pick up a huge load for destroying the
planet.
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And so our -- should the Consumer Advocate be
reflective -- look at both the taxpayer and the ratepayer
impacts. And the Consumer Advocate, part of the old
thinking said no, we're concerned only with ratepayer
impacts. And part of our roll at Life of the Land is to
shift the focus to the new way of thinking. It says you
have to look at things holistically. Mother Earth wants to
know the total amount of greenhouse gases coming up into
the atmosphere.
And part of it is the boundaries and limitations of
any analysis. For example, Robbie Aim pointed out that
HECO has actually reduced their amount of carbon emissions
over the last 17 years, but they have increased the amount
of power they buy from others. Cars spew toxics out of the
tail pipe, and you often hear the analysis that this car
has less emissions out of the tail pipe than this other car
but not how much emissions comes from making the two cars
or how much electricity or how much greenhouse gases are
released in buiiding buildings as opposed to operating
them. Part of it is to look at the life-cycle analysis and
not limit it or segment it to one section.
Okay. We've talked about Indonesia. Brazil is
another example. The soil, the sugar production is not
occurring -- where they're making ethanol is not occurring
in the rainforest, but they're rapidly expanding
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agricultural areas and forcing other crops to move into
their Amazon rainforest. So although the ethanol is not
directly contributing to greenhouse gas releases, it's
indirectly attributing to greenhouse gas releases.
One of the great areas of uncertainty deals with
agricultural lands. The last area tackled by the EPA on
water pollution is non-point source pollution. It just
runs off fields and out to seas, damaging reefs and water
systems. Greenhouse gas emissions are the same way. They
are the least understood when they come from agricultural
sources.
And we often hear two faulty assumptions: one, that
biofuels are carbon neutral; and two, the fossil fuels
should have a carbon tax of nothing. And it's nothing for
the carbon tax, is the way we currently plan electricity in
the IRP process on Maui, Kauai, the Big Island, and Oahu.
Economic input/output models are used by DBEDT and
economic planners to look at how -- when you go to the
store and buy something, how it ripples throughout the
entire economy. Obviously some of it is used to pay for
employees. Some of it goes to stockholders. Some of it
goes for rent. The store has to replace whatever you
bought. There are economic ripples throughout society,
And there are economic tables that say that a dollar
invested here will have two or three dollars of economic
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activity. We need to
for greenhouse gases.
throughout
emissions
actually b
around the
begin thinking
how
the economy and
result from
2gun to loo
world who
The second is li
Dr. Surles mentioned
that
k at
are b
f e-cy
this .
an action
what the
action.
that, and
about the same thing
in one place ripples
total greenhouse
And the Japanese
there are other
eginning to think of this.
cle analysis, and I'm glad
This deals with looking
gas
have
playerrs
that
at a
product from the time you take it out of the ground, you
mine it, you process it, you make whatever you're doing,
and you landfill it or you recycle it.
And this example comes from Carnegie Mellon where they
analyzed the energy use and the toxic use from cars over
the lifetime of their vehicle. And you can look more at
this from the slide presentation when they're posted up.
This looks at how the life-cycle impacts of cars, electric
cars, depending on whether the electricity comes from coal,
liquefied natural gas, or hydro, because it's not just
making the car, but it's how you power the car if it comes
from electricity.
So I want to look at three different scenarios from
this kind of a context. The fossil fuel scenario, we take
fossil fuel from Indonesia or anywhere around the world,
and we refine it at Chevron or Tesoro. They're ranked 5th
and 8th, respectively, in toxic emissions in Hawai'i. Then
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the we burn it at a power plant. Kahe ranks number one in
state in emissions according to EPA.
Ethanol, we could make it from Kauai Ethanol. They
propose that each gallon of ethanol they make uses 4.18
pounds of imported Australian coal. And the coal accounts
for 60 percent of the energy content of the ethanol, but
the ethanol is 100 percent green under state law.
The third is ocean power using a combination of
seawater air-conditioning and ocean thermal energy
conversion. Then under state law the first is entirely
fossil fuel. The second and third are entirely renewable,
even though all three systems use fossil fuel, and all
three systems emit greenhouse gases.
So a life-cycle analysis would say, let's look at
number of the major processes that are used in each of
scenarios. And let's look at the greenhouse gases emitted
in each of those steps. And let's create a common unit:
tons of C02 equivalence per megawatt hour of electricity
produced or displaced over the life cycle of the facility
or process. By doing that, we have a basis for compari
the real impact from different scenarios.
I like this quote from Carl Sagan: Anything else
you're interested in is not going to happen if you can'
a
the
ng
breathe the air and drink the water. Don't sit this one
out. Do something. You are by accident of fate alive at
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an absolutely critical moment in the history of our planet,
Remember during the iast -- all ice ages this planet has
ever had, nothing larger than a house cat has survived.
And this is how you can contact us for more information.
Thank you.
THE MODERATOR: Henry, great Power Point presentation
MR. CURTIS: Thank you.
THE MODERATOR; I'd also like to recognize Senator
Russell Kokubun who's joined us this morning.
The next speaker is Robbie Aim from Hawaiian Electric
Company. He's going to give us a utility perspective.
Robbie.
A UTILITY PERSPECTIVE
Mr. Robb ie Aim, Hawai ian E l e c t r i c Con^any, I n c .
MR. ALM: Thank you. Good morning. I want to begin
by saying that our board of directors and our management
team fully accept the challenge of global warming and our
role in the work that lies ahead. Specifically, the
company accepts the reality of global warming and the
responsibility we as a company have to take direct action
to reduce the contributions that electricity production
makes to global warming, which it clearly does.
We supported adoption of the greenhouse gas
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legislation this year. We will assist the work of that
task force in any way we can. And we firmly believe that
the work that we all engage in in coming years lies -- in
that work lies a great opportunity for Hawai'i to reduce
and ultimately eliminate our dependence on overseas fossil
fuel sources. We must act expeditiously, and we must act
with skill in terms of how the greenhouse gas law will
impact our people and our way of life. We do not have to
chose between speedy action and skillful action because we
actually have the resources as a community to make this
happen.
First, as many have said, including John this morning
and including Maurice Kaya in the past, we need to continue
to do everything we're currently doing in terms of renewal
of energy and energy efficiency. Maurice and John have
both used the term a no-regret strategy. That is
absolutely true. There is no calculation on greenhouse
gases that does not make work in energy efficiency and
renewable energy valuable work. So we need to continue
that. We could do that at full speed while the task fprce
looks at other activities.
So as we look at the next few years, what things do we
perceive? Right now there are four wind farms on our
system. We expect between two to six more wind farms
joining our system in the coming years. We do expect to
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place into service in 2009 a fully a biofueled power plant.
We expect to substitute biodiesel for petroleum diesel in
our Maui system, thus converting the core on the Maui
system from oil to renewable. We do expect an expansion of
geothermal on the Big Island, initially by 8 megawatts, and
later the discussion is of an additional 22 megawatts.
We believe there is substantial power available in the
forests on the Hamakua Coast, and we would hope to see that
potential realized. We expect to see an additional amount
of power derived from the waste stream on Oahu as Oahu
completes the bidding process to decide on the future
H-Power. We are also working with both ocean and current
energy developers to see what is available in our oceans
and to exploit that, and I think we are going to -- we need
to continually aggressively examine the opportunities for
energy storage such as to those that come from battery or
from pump hydro systems. There's literally hundreds of
megawatts of renewable energy that lie in our future.
Though it will not necessarily be easy, we must
overcome NIMBY-ism. We must accept alternative energy
resources in each of our communities. This is not somebody
else's problem. We must find beauty in the look of devices
that get us away from oil. And that really is on each of
us, and none of us should shirk from the task. When
renewable energy proposals are made, it is in everybody's
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interest to speak up in favor of them.
Along with renewable energy generation, we have great
resources for the substitution of generation such as
seawater air-conditioning. There is a proposal that is
working its way through to install a good-sized facility in
downtown Honolulu. That project needs to go forward.
We've been supportive of it. We're signing up for it. We
have urged our clients to sign up for it. If you have any
influence on any building in the downtown area, urge them
to sign up for it. And then there are the critical energy
efficiency programs. From solar roof to rebates for energy
efficient equipment to the use of compact fluorescent
bulbs, we can all do our part in that action whether we're
talking about commercial enterprises or residences.
Secondly, beyond the direct action of our no-regrets
work with renewable energy and energy efficiency, we need
to look at general mitigation strategies such as
reforestation, the greening or regreening of Hawai'i. We
have a climate for it, and studies have suggested if you're
gonna plant a forest, you want to plant it in a place like
this, not in other places on the planet where it actually
may not be a plus; it may even be a negative. It will add
obviously to the quality of our life, to the attractiveness
of this place, but it should also add to our water
resources and have so many other benefits.
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There are some uses, some greenhouse gas emitters we
are really going to struggle in dealing with. One of them
is jet fuel. There simply is no way for us as a state to
directly impact jet fuel, and yet our state's emission
count includes jet fuel. So if we're going to mitigate, we
can't just mitigate directly at the uses we have. We have
to figure out some broader mitigation strategy that can
lower our overall number.
Third, we need to take across-the-board action at all
greenhouse gas emissions. We must go after all emitters
and make them responsible for their actions. And in
Hawai'i one of the key areas, as the numbers you saw
earlier show, is transportation. Transportation simply
cannot be let off the hook. That one's going to require
work. It deals with our favorite automobiles, and that
means it involves each and every one of us. The number of
cars on this island, on all of our islands, is a real
challenge.
Our diesel fleet truck use is B20, a biodiesel blend.
A lot of the company cars we drive are very high mileage
Neons. We all have to think about the individual choices
we make in the cars we drive. You know, it would be great
to ask everybody in this room, who drives either a hybrid
or a high mileage vehicle or uses public transportation or
bikes or walks as a regular activity? That's great.
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That's about half the room. The day should come when every
single hand in this room goes up. The fact that we drive
some of the vehicles we do when most of us drive a few
miles a day at speeds which can never really exceed about
55 or 60, just because we don't have the ability to drive
at those speeds because of the traffic around us, suggests
that we're buying a lot of vehicles for which there' s
absolutely no use except perhaps our own ego.
We need to look at our home consumption of fossil
fuels. We are driven in this state more by residential use
than most places, so much of the answer must therefore lie
in our homes as well.
How do you change behavior? What combination of
education and incentives will make this happen? We believe
in education and have taken to the media with programs
designed it do exactly that, but much more needs to be
done. We are going to the schools beginning this fall to
work directly on the issue with young people. Harnessing
the power and commitment of the youth of Hawai'i -- excuse
me -- is one of our strongest assets. Not only is their
influence over parents and grandparents very strong, but if
they grow up with a different attitude towards energy use,
in other words, the absolute requirement to use less, those
habits will carry throughout their lives.
Four -- and here is the expressly skillful part -- we
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need to design our law with great regard for how it impacts
us. One of the impacts of greenhouse gas regulation that
is clearly intentional is to raise the price of fossil fuel
uses in order to truly price their impact, as Henry noted,
but also to discourage their use.
How wili this impact different people? What we don't
want to do is balance this equation on the backs of poor
people. That's not good enough for us as a community, and
the law clearly requires that be examined. We need to
provide ways that the incentives for action that reduce our
fossil fuel reward those who reduce it in such a way as to
mitigate those additional costs. That sounds like a big
circle, but what we really need are that if you as an
individual choose to be energy smart, the incentive
structure created under our law should reward you so that
the impact to you of those rising costs is lessened. If
you choose not to live energy smart and to waste energy,
then the full weight of price increases should fall on you.
And that's a matter of design. That's a matter of design
of regulation. It's a matter of design of incentives. One
of the core responsibilities of the task force in that new
law is that work, and we should get on it with it.
Fifth, we want to ensure that the capital accumulated
by greenhouse gas regulation stays here. We are a capital
poor community, and we send already too much money offshore
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to buy fuel and food. As we raise additional sums through
regulation, carbon tax, cap-and-trade, whatever system we
use is going to increase the amount of money we collect.
We need to make sure that that money is spent here, that it
is recirculated into our economy.
Let me give you one example. It's been said that if
we spend money on reforestation, it doesn't matter whether
we spend it here or in a forest halfway across the globe.
That's not true. We want, as we reforest, if that's one of
the things we choose to do, to buy our plants, hopefully
native plant, from Hawai'i nurseries, planted by Hawai'
people, maintained by Hawai'i people, greening our lands
and helping our water table. And we can do this, but
again, it takes deliberate action in the way we structure
our regulations and our incentive structures. But we want
the money we raise from people here to stay here in this
economy.
Sixth, and finally, we have a great advantage in the
work that lies ahead, and I think sometimes we forget this
one in this community, and we shouldn't in this case. We
have the University of Hawai'i. Some of the talent that's
on the programs today and that we will find in -- some of
that talent is on the program today. But we're gonna find
in the coming days and months that we actually have an
extraordinary, talented group of scientists and
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professionals who are world leaders in their fields
gathered here in this room. Whether by accident or design,
some of the best minds on the planet to deal with issues of
greenhouse gas and what we should do, we actually already
have here. Outgoing UH Chancellor Denise Konan established
a Manoa Climate Commission. Look at the membership on that
list. It is -- it is an immensely talented group. And I
believe that if we find the right ways as a community to
call upon that talent, Hawai'i really can both lead the
world in the way we look at this and hopefully lead the
world in the way we approach it.
It is a great work that lies ahead of us. It is a
great work in terms.of the amount of work. It is also a
great work in terms of what we need to do. It's critical
for our way of life. It's critical for our very fragile
land, which Chip showed about as well as anybody can. It
is also work which we have the skill to accomplish. The
question, as always, with this kind of work is do we have
the will to action accomplish it. And that's very much
dependent on the people in the room. That's dependent on
each one of us individually, and we pledge our part in
doing this. Thank you.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks very much, Robbie.
We're gonna go ahead and move on to Representative
Mina Morita. As I said earlier, she's been a great
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champion both of energy efficiency and renewable energy,
but also looking at the whole climate change issue. Sq a
legislative perspective from the Chair of the House
Committee on Energy and Environmental Protection. Mina!.
A LEGISLATIVE PERSPECTIVE
Representative Hermina M o r i t a Chair of the House Committee
on Energy and Environmental P r o t e c t i o n
REP. MORITA: Thank you. Good morning. My
presentation is really short. I was -- I wanted to be here
to field questions. It's really interesting because when I
first started looking at energy issues in 2001, I did not
agree with anything someone from HECO would be saying, and
I think it sounded like I wrote Robbie's speech.
But I think the biggest challenge from a legislative
perspective is climate change and energy policies are
long-term strategies, and how do we sustain the political
will to meet the policy objectives and implementation road
map to achieve the desired goals, because we're looking at
a road map that will take us 50 years or more out to get us
to where we want to go in Hawai'i.
And, you know, I think the legislative perspective
should also be the moral perspective. I remember when we
were discussing the bottle bill in 2001. There were three
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students from Moloka'i -- and I tell this story
often 'cause it really was a turning point in my
legislative career. There were three students for Moloka'i
that were 10 and 11 years old. They were fifth and sixth
graders from Kualapuu School. And there was a room full of
adults. Mostly the room was crowded by lobbyists
representing national lobbying groups like the National
Soft Drink Association, Anheuser-Busch, just really, really
big names. And this ten-year-old girl got up, and she
looked everybody in the eye, and she said, when I grow up,
I don't want to be stuck with your problems. And, you
know, this is the issue. We're trying to change that. We
have an obligation, a moral obligation, as all of us
probably saw Inconvenient Truth, to future generations in
not leaving them with our problems. So -- so the political
will -- and the biggest challenge is how to sustain this
political will for moving in this direction.
The legislature took action this year, and thanks to
many of the legislators in this audience. Senator Hooser,
Senator Kokubun, and I think Senator Sakamoto worked in
getting some guidance dealing with greenhouse gas emissions
to the passing of House Bill 22 6. And the bill can be
broken down into several core sections. One is the policy
statement. And the policy statement by January 1st, 2023
should reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels. So
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update the 1990 greenhouse gas emissions inventory; the
formation of a task force to see how to do this in the
smartest way possible; and then the rule-making process, to
implement meeting the policy objective.
And, you know, this -- this was a small step, a small
effort in the right direction. But if you look at all of
the other legislative issues that are -- that are tied linto
climate change — disaster preparedness, drought
mitigation, coastal preservation and addressing coastall
hazards and wastewater management or water management in
general -- you know, all of these are pending -- are
related to this very topic in some way. So, you know, it's
overwhelming. So it's, you know, always a constant
reminder of how to sustain the political will to move in
this direction in a really complicated subject matter.
You know, in -- a lot of this is linked to technology,
and a lot of it is linked to how do we deal with these
kinds of complex issues in a new way. Definitely what I we
see here emerging, it's not a new way, but it's sort of a
reaffirmation of the critical link between the University,
policy makers, and the private sector in resolving this
issue.
You know, on the national/international stage, we're
looking at new forms of governments that -- regional
management of emissions. We're looking at what will -|- a
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global perspective of this problem and, you know, how
public policy is linked to research and development. You
know, so it's -- it's a little bit more complicated, and it
will take the legislative initiative to set out the policy
guidelines to get everybody moving in the same direction
and addressing these issues. But I think we keep moving in
the same direction by recognizing that this is the moral
issue of our generation, that -- that it will take unique
partnerships now to get everybody focused.
So as that ten-year-old from Moloka'i so wisely
advised all of us, that when they grow up, they don't want
to be stuck with our problems. Thank you.
THE MODERATOR; Thanks very much, Mina. I really
appreciate your sentiments on that.
The final speaker of this group is Dr. Jim Roumasset
from the UH Economic Research Organization and the
Department of Economics at the University. And Jim's gonna
give us — I guess it's an economist's perspective as
opposed to an economic perspective. Jim.
AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE
Dr. Jim Roumasset, UH Department of Economics & UHERO
DR. ROUMASSET: I'd like to thank HECO and the
Advisory Group for organizing this informative session, and
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I wanted to acknowledge Dr. Burnett and Chris Wada sitting
in the third row there who helped me put together this
presentation.
I was asked to give an economic perspective, and since
economics is a policy science, it's natural for me to focus
on a couple of legislative initiatives. First one that
Representative Morita just mentioned is HB 226 to reduce
carbon emissions to 1990 levels by 2020.
By the way, I haven't heard anybody raise the issue of
why Hawai'i should be doing this. There will be no impact
within our lifetimes for what we do, and then there will be
no noticeable impact on what we do since we're such a tiny
part of the carbon emissions of the planet, and it's the
planet emissions that matter. So the case for taking
action is, one, a moral one. It's the right thing to do.
And -- if one believes that. And the other one is a matter
of leadership, that California decided to take the bull by
the horns and proceed with a -- this kind of a program so
maybe if Hawai'i does it and a few other states, we'11
start a movement in that direction.
These are the aspects of the bill that Representative
Morita already mentioned, the membership of the task force
and what they're assigned to do. Notice that one of the
requirements is that the strategy that the task force is to
come up with is to articulate cost-effective rules and
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market-based instruments. That's gonna be important as we
move forward. It's the DOH that will implement this,
establish the limits, and monitor and enforce compliance
and work with DBEDT to update the inventory.
Now one issue is. What do we mean by update? I think
that's an important issue for the task force to consider,
and it's important that political considerations don't
become part of that process. There's a big temptation for
firms to get their 1990 benchmark moved up a little bit.
Now whenever you have a market-based incentive for
carbon reduction -- and we have the experience with Kyoto
Protocol and the leadership of the European Union and now
California that have gone in the cap-and-trade direction,
you really have two instruments to use that are market
based: tax or quantity.
The trouble with a carbon tax is if we're shooting for
1990 emission levels, we don't know what price to set; and
for this reason, most entities are going toward the
cap-and-trade approach. So what you do is set a quantity
for the identifiable sources of emissions, gradually reduce
that cap to the 1990 level, and let people trade. Those
that choose to emit more than their cap have to buy the
permits on the market. And the market sets the price, so
we don't have to know what it is in advance, since we don't
know.
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I mentioned already how to do the inventory is one
important issue.
Now another issue is -- a choice to be made is do you
give away the initial allocation? One problem with that is
suppose that an industry has already reduced emissions
because of the desire to be more energy efficient. So are
you going to give them entitlements according to 1990
levels if they've already reduced below that? If you do,
they'll get windfall profits.
The reason that this cap-and-trade is advocated is
that we automatically get cost-effective compliance, that
you equalize marginal avoidance costs across firms. Now
the other option is -- which is politically more difficult,
very attractive for taxpayers, is to auction the permits,
and the revenue can be used to reduce other taxes. So if
we're gonna pay cap-and-trade with the regulated sources,
here's some of the regulated sources that you might think
of. One of the difficulties becomes with small business,
how small do you go? So there has to be a line, and
there's going to be some unregulated sources.
So now we have three ways of meeting the 1990 target.
One is reduce emissions among regulated sources. The other
is reduce emissions among unregulated sources. One of the
things that's done in the Kyoto Protocol is that a country
wishing to reduce or comply with its target can develop a
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program with, say, China to reduce their emissions. Since
it has the same effect globally, it's efficient for them to
get credit for that. The administration of this kind of
program, of course, is a little more difficult. How do
you -- the benchmarking requirement, if it's already
difficult to benchmark emissions, this one is a little bit
more difficult.
Similarly, for -- if you want to have incentives to
offset credits -- to give offset credits for sequestration,
again, the benchmarking is very important. You want to
incentivize someone to plant a forest, go into renewable
forestry, sequester carbon that way, but you need to
benchmark. And there's kind of a tricky issue of what if
they were going to do that anyway? Should they have credit
for it or not? Right now the legislation -- the language
doesn't distinguish these three, so I'm not sure that would
be a topic further legislation, something for the task
force to take up.
Another legislative initiative I presume which is now
law is the renewable portfolio standards. We're trying to
read this the last week. It's not easy to make sense out
of it, but the requirement is that by 2020, 20 percent of
net electricity sales must be represented by renewable
energy, and the "represented" is tricky. So it turns out
that only 10 percent of the -- half of that 20 percent
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comes from actual generation, for example, H-Power. The
rest can come from, quote, renewable savings, heat pumps,
solar water heaters and so on that replace energy-using
devices.
Now unlike the benchmarking system, it turns out liere
that you can count solar water heaters, for example, that
were already installed 20 years ago as part of the
compliance. So by 2010 you have to do half — you get
halfway there, so only 5 percent from generation. And
we're actually already there, it looks like; that renewable
generation of electricity is around 6 percent, and if
renewable savings of the type I just described is at least
4 percent, then we've already made the target. And if the
initiatives that Robbie Aim was talking about go through,
we'll actually be quite ahead of the target.
Now what an economist would say as opposed to
mandating reforms is efficiency pricing, and this has been
already mentioned. One technique is that you want to
incentivize individuals by charging the marginal costs of
generation and transmission to the marginal units. If they
are facing that marginal costs, then they'll be
incentivlzed to do renewable generation to some extent
The other thing I wanted to throw in is just have
transparent billing. I think both the -- your water bill
and your electricity bill are kind of hard to figure out so
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or something, then you say, well, it's okay to turn my
refrigerator off. Now there's various ways to do this and
with various appliances. One way is with a flat rebate.
You just get $3 per month if you sign up for this program
for a water heater, $5 for -- if you have central air in
Mililani, you can sign up for that. It's a little bit
uncertain from the consumer point of view.
Another option is to give them proportional rebate at
either preset prices, or if you really went the full
economic route, you would give them the peak-load prices
that actually reflect the -- for example, the generator
being off line. You could call it emergency pricing. That
would be more attractive for the consumer and incentivize
more energy-saving technology and also generate profits
that allow the utility to do what we call block pricing.
That is, the important thing for incentives is that this
second block, that the marginal unit you're buying is equal
to the full marginal cost. Now for lower units it's okay
to charge less. That won't have any problems for
incentives. So this is a convenient way when a utility is
generating excess profits without causing a hardship to
consumers and still facing them with the full incentives.
We mentioned net metering. There's a couple of
interesting features about this. One of them is when you
have PV for your house and you choose to stay on the grid.
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so your meter — and you elect the option of net metering,
your meter runs backwards when you're putting electricity
into the system. One kind of limitation of this is if you
have, for example, a September 30th ending date for your
so-called reconciliation period and you generated a lot of
surplus in the summer because of a lot of sunshine and you
were careful about the air-conditioner, then you would end
up with a surplus that you don't get to bank. So it's
little bit of a disincentive in the system.
And then just to mention the monthly fixed customer
charge, from economic point of view should really be the
variable costs of things like reading the meter and
billing, and this might vary from consumer to consumer.
Seven dollars would seem to be reasonable if you lived on
Hawai'i Loa ridge, but if you're in Klmberiy's apartment
with -- where the -- couple of guys can read the meters in
five minutes for 15 units, then you're charging $105. It's
not clear that's appropriate, especially for low income and
middle income.
So I just wanted to end with the economic perspective
of Adam Smith, which is, you have to be careful about
unfunded mandates even when the -- you're trying to be
even when you have good intentions. He said, the man of
system is enamored with the supposed beauty of his own
ideal plan. He seems to imagine that he can arrange the
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different members of a great society with as much ease as
the hand arranges the different pieces upon a chessboard.
He does not consider that in the great chessboard of human
society, every single piece has a principle of motion of
its own altogether different from that which the
legislature might choose to impress upon it.
So I think in -- with reference to the initiatives we
discussed, the 3185 is largely redundant. And that's
actually good news with unfunded mandates because the bad
news is you often get unintended consequences and waste and
excess taxpayer revenues. I think in the case of 2025, the
devil's in the details, and we'll have to see if the task
force does an adequate job. If they do, then I think that
can be useful legislation. So thank you very much.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks very much, Jim.
And I really want to thank the panelists. We're a
minute ahead of schedule here so far. We're going to take
that minute and give our court reporter a chance to stand
up and stretch, and then we're going to take questions, and
Leo and the others are -- Gary's over there collecting the
green sheets. And as those of you who know, it's a first
come, first served basis. These are the ones that were
leftover from last time.
(Whereupon, a brief recess was taken.)
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POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR HAWAII
Question and Answer S e s s i o n
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Actually, one question for
Henry came in before he spoke, so -- somebody got a look at
his Power Point, I guess.
We've always thought of the ocean as a carbon sinli.
Now we're told acidification of the ocean is affecting
corals and the life in the ocean. Comments, please?
Henry.
MR. CURTIS: Both the ocean and soil can act as either
a sink or a source, and we have to look at the total impact
if we are to make meaningful change.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Henry.
This is for Jim Roumasset. If good economics have
energized the depletion of natural sources, why would
current economic theory which excludes life-cycle or
energy-efficient models solve any of the environmental
problems, solve any environmental problems?
DR. ROUMASSET: Thank you, Tom.
Good economics means what we call looking at the
environomy. The economy is embedded in nature. If you
look at the full system, then you need to account for the
externalities that Henry was mentioning before. And the
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job of regulation is to make individuals and firms face the
true costs of their action, including depleting natural
capital and including pollution. So the theory is not a
problem. Sometimes measurement is one of the difficulties.
That -- there's been a lot of advancement, for example, on
the damage costs of global warming. And certainly we've
been working on the cost of sulfur for a lot longer. So it
is possible to expand a set of incentives to have an
efficient system.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Jim.
This is for Robbie regarding his remark encouraging
using the law to keep the money -- regulations to keep the
money here in Hawai'i. If the problem we face is global
warming, shouldn't we allow any money raised through
regulation -- should we allow it to flow to the areas in
our world where the benefits are the most efficient and
effective instead of to artificially keep the money here if
they're not the best to help solve the problem, the global
problem? This sounds like another economist.
MR. ALM: You know, that's a -- that's a legitimate
point of view. I think the challenge that a number of us
see in Hawai'i is the way our economic structure is anyway,
we have a very significant have/have-not problem as it is
already. And we're going to, in one form or another, add
on to that taxes or -- or permitting costs for -- for
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carbon, which are gonna raise prices even higher. I think
the equation then becomes even more difficult for people
who are struggling to survive in the economy as it is. So
the notion of trying to ensure that the money fiows back
in, in both incentives to people to take positive action,
but also into the economy in the form of jobs or other
kinds of activities here, has other -- has other value.
So, I mean, it's a legitimate choice to say, send it
anywhere you want on the planet. I just struggle with the
reality of what this state's challenges are in greenhouse
gases but also in the way our economy is structured, in the
types of jobs we have, in the possibilities for new
industries or businesses that are related to doing the
right thing by our planet and desiring that that money stay
here. So, you know, I understand the other view. I just
feel strongly that we have -- we have people to take care
of here and that we should make that a priority.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Robbie.
This is for either Mina or for Jim. It's a little bit
off the subject, but not entirely. Do you support
pay-at-the-pump with basic no-fault insurance included in
the cost of gasoline? It would be revenue neutral to the
commuter and promote fossil-efficient cars with greater use
of mass transit. It's basically taking care of the
no-fault problem and increasing the cost of gasoline so
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people drive less.
DR. ROUMASSET: Yeah, I mean, pricing at the pump is
one way to -- certainly the -- for pricing carbon, you
can -- suppose you have a cap-and-trade system. Then the
refiner, let's say, at the refining level or at the
wholesaling level, they're going to be paying for those
carbon permits which is going to get into the price anyway.
So actually, if you had cap-and-trade, it would be more
effective to do it at the larger level.
If you have a tax system and you're going after
carbon, then taxing at the pump is fine. That doesn't
really -- it's not a very effective instrument for
congestion because somebody driving at peak time periods is
causing a lot more social cost than somebody driving at
non-peak periods. So we need probably a different
instrument for that one.
THE MODERATOR: Mina, you want to take that one?
REP. MORITA: I think this has something to do -- I
was the only legislator that voted against the -- the
general excise tax on gasoline bill. I think, you know,
pay-at-the-pump serves an important model that we should be
looking at in trying to deal with energy policies and
environmental issues. So it shouldn't be overlooked, and,
you know, I would support looking at pay-at-the-pump as a
mechanism to address these kinds of issues.
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THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Mina.
Another question for Robbie. If we can find an
effective means of carbon sequestration of existing power
plants -- and this should probably go to Carlito who's
left — will the PUC allow HECO and the IRC to pass that
cost of implementation on to the ratepayers?
MR. ALM: The basic regulatory structure of the state
passes on all legitimate costs to ratepayers. So, I mean,
that portion of it is probably easier to answer. You Icnow,
the work is really being done to figure out ways to
capture, to sequester carbon, or to make use of it. You
know, the question earlier about whether we can either use
ocean sequestration -- the possibilities for land
sequestration here in Hawai'i are obviously very
different -- you know, we're not sending it into our
aquifers -- than on mainland states when they're sending it
into salt caverns or other kinds of formations.
But, you know, you're going to hear some about it
later today. I mean, you know, one of the possibilities
that's really being looked at is the use of that carbon as
part of the growth of, say, marine algae; that carbon is --
the C02 is a growth medium for marine algae. So could you
take -- could you capture it off our stack and essentially
inject it into a bed of algae and then be able to use the
biodiesel that came out of that back into our plant. I
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would certainly think if that equation was created that the
Public Utilities Commission would support our doing it for
a whole variety of reasons, I mean, because it would
address a lot of the issues we're talking about today but
also address a number of others.
THE MODERATOR; Okay. Thanks, Robbie.
This is for Mina Morita. Can Hawai'i get legislation
passed to promote rebates to the consumer so that Hawai'i
roofs, both residential and commercial, have solar panels
for electricity generation to the level achieved in
Germany? I don't know what that level is, but --
REP. MORITA: Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think we
already authorized the PUC to deal with these kinds of
issues. I think the issue of these rebates are better
addressed at the regulatory level than the legislative
level.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Mina.
Another question for any or all: How might a carbon
tax affect tourism in Hawai'i, the number of arrivals,
length of stay, visitor spending, isle visitation packets?
Anybody want to take a shot that one?
MR. CURTIS: First, the carbon tax would not apply to
the flight over, which is under federal regulation. It
would only apply to what happens within the state. Second,
the whole idea is to reduce our use of fossil fuels. If we
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invent a strategy that maintains our use or increases our
use, we're going backwards, or forwards faster to climate
change.
MR. ALM: I think at one level the answer would be
that -- and I don't disagree with Henry. The issue is you
would add on to the cost of products, presumably including
jet fuel sold here, whatever cost you wanted to associate
with the carbon in that jet fuel, however you did it. You
know, it could be passed on at the refinery level, at the
cap-and'trade system, or even in a carbon tax. So if you
had a jet fuel price increase, will that affect tourism?
That's a question for someone else to answer, but that s
the essence of -- the question is, the Hawai'i vacation may
become more expensive. On the other hand, you know, this
is a worldwide issue, and hopefully the taxes or the prices
on carbon will rise worldwide, and so hopefully it isn t a
marginal decision made there between two places.
THE MODERATOR: Good.
Another question for Robbie. I think he answered this
one in his presentation, but is there any hope of Oahu
getting -- no, he didn't say this. Is there any hope of
Oahu getting a majority of its power from renewable sources
in the foreseeable future?
MR. ALM: I think the answer to that is -- is yes.
And back to something I said, it's gonna require that a lot
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1 of us get on board. There are definitely wind resources on
2 this island. They are on the -- clearly on the North Shore
3 and the Kahuku area and around the corner, and that's --
4 it's the upper windward side that is at this point our wind
5 resource. There are ocean resources, you know, seawater
6 air. Most of the OTEC proposals we've ever heard of are
7 off Kahe, cabled onto the islands. You know, we'll have --
8 we'll continue to have this argument, but we do think that
9 we can substitute biodiesel or biofuel crops for petroleum
10 and that that's a plus. Certainly it counts today.
11 There's significant savings still to be achieved by
12 solar roofing, by energy efficiency. You know, per capita
13 we're the best solar roof state in the United States, and
14 we should feel very proud of that. But the reality is it's
15 still one in four single homes, and it should be half of
16 all single-family and single residence or three-quarters or
17 eventually every home or nearly every home. So there's
18 lots of room to add that to the equation.
19 You know, so you start to add up the ocean, the wind,
20 the fuel-switching, the garbage-to-energy increases, yes, I
21 think that an awful lot of Oahu can get there, but we're
22 gonna have to say yes. We're gonna have to say yes to
23 those kinds of facilities in our neighborhood. We're gonna
24 have to say yes to -- yes to the look and feel and -- and
25 whatever consequences or however you want to describe
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the -- the impacts of some of our renewable resources, that
we need to be okay with it. We need to say to ourselves,
whether or not you think a windmill is the most beautiful
thing in the world, it's more beautiful than a barrel pf
oil.
You know, and we need to find the right equations for
ourselves as a community. We do value beauty here. We
clearly value natural beauty. We clearly are very
aesthetically interested people. We always have been.
think it's spectacular that we have no billboards in
Hawai'i. I mean, there's been more attention paid probably
in Hawai'i to aesthetics than most places. Having sale
that, you know, we need to also say to ourselves that our
sense of aesthetics needs to incorporate a sense of what
the future of the planet is and that things that, you know,
we might feel a little uncomfortable with become far
different if you -- if you calculate that in.
We had a similar experience to -- to the one that Mina
talked about. When we were looking at the wind farm on the
west side of Oahu, the strongest proponents for it were the
students at Nanakuli High School. And part of the reason
they were strong proponents for it is they said, you know,
much like what Nina said, is from the future's standpoint,
they look just fine to us.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Robbie.
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Another one for Mina; Why did the legislature allow
the redefining of renewable energy to include energy
efficiency instead of real renewable energy, which most
people interpret as generation from wind, solar, ocean,
et cetera? Are there plans to fix the definition?
REP. MORITA: I think, you know, we have to look at --
you know, it's a real balancing act, and nothing is set in
stone. But what was realistic to take us out into the
future, the near future, as we work on these kinds of
issues, definitely there are some really good technology
that would fall more on the efficiency side than would fall
on the renewable side that we wanted to incorporate. And
so, you know, legislation is not set in stone, but this was
a good beginning for us to meet the challenges that are
unique to Hawai'i.
And again, some of the challenges that are unique to
Hawai'i is we have really small grid systems, so, you know,
we have to look at that interaction of each island as a --
really almost a separate utility and that uniqueness of the
state. You know, these kinds of technological issues might
be easier to be solved on the mainland. So, you know, we
have to be flexible in -- in crafting the RPS renewable
portfolio legislation. But again, it's not like it's set
in stone, but this is the first good step for us to get in
the right direction.
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THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Mina.
Question for Robbie: To encourage conservation, will
HECO calculate and print the — I guess it's the user's
carbon footprint, the ratepayer's carbon footprint? If
not, why not?
MR. ALM: Well, we -- excuse me. Could you --
THE MODERATOR: I think the question is -- Doc Barrie,
correct me if I'm wrong. I think this was asking if HECO
would be willing to calculate the carbon footprint of its
ratepayers in terms of doing an audit. Is that the
question, Doctor?
DR. BARRIE: Printed on the bill.
THE MODERATOR: Oh, printed on the bill.
MR. ALM: We could clearly calculate our C02
emissions. We do anyway. We can clearly calculate the
amount of fuel we use. We can calculate a variety of ways.
The legislature asked us, for example, to print on your
bill the amount of energy that's renewable versus that
which comes from fossil fuel sources, so we do that right
now once a year. So yes, we can calculate and put on your
bill a variety of things.
It's our intent though to -- based on some experience
we've had with the folks in West Oahu to whom we give a
series of reports annually at their insistence, to begin to
publish a lot more about the numbers on our system. You
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know, what's the footprint of our -- of our own units?
What's the footprint of the IPPs, the independent power
producers, because I think we're going to have a number of
critical decisions to make as a community in the coming
years about various kinds of resources and, you know, what
the system looks like. So I think we have to be
increasingly transparent in what the impacts of particular
parts of the system are.
But I think we're also all joining registries. The
State of Hawaii is, has already made that commitment. So
facilities are going to increasingly around the country
essentially be registered, certainly by their greenhouse
gas components. And that's -- that's a good thing. I
mean, let's get this information on the table and have it
as part of the discussion.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thanks, Robbie.
This one's for Jim. For C02 emissions, why can't you
regulate all sources through an upstream cap-and-trade
policy that controls the distribution of fossil fuels?
DR. ROUMASSET: Cap-and-trade automatically does that.
You don't want to have double counting. So if you're doing
those sources I mentioned and -- for example, you have --
you have a cap for the refiners and the -- anybody that
brings in refined product, so the cap is there. And then
you don't want to put it anywhere else. Otherwise that
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would be double counting just for the fossil fuel. So
that's the kind of principle.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Thanks, Jim.
This one's for Henry. The head of NASA says climate
change can be beneficial. Is this the new fossil fuel
propaganda?
MR. CURTIS: It certainly sounds that way.
I want to also make one other comment. If you look at
only fossil fuel, you do not count, for example, releases
from soil when you grow things. A world-famous soil expert
said that currently soil could account for one-third of the
total amount of 002 released equivalence as all fossil fuel
worldwide. So soil could act as a sink or a source. But
if you don't look at other factors besides just the fossil
fuel component, you'11 get the wrong answer.
THE MODERATOR; Good. Thanks, Henry.
This is a long one. I'm not sure I can read the
handwriting. If everything is a top priority -- this is
for Robbie. If everything is a top priority, nothing is.
If greenhouse gas, slash, climate change is the problem,
shouldn't that remain the focus of the regulatory scheme,
of regulatory schemes? It's a laudable goal to minimize
local economic and consumer benefits by forcing
renewables -- forcing revenues from carbon taxes or other
regulatory fees to protect local jobs, to address social
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issues. However, as a global problem with grave local
impacts in sea level rising, how can not counting
sequestration and climate credits elsewhere be counted --
be encouraged.
MR. ALM; Again, I don't have any problem with the --
the formulation that the question-writer had. I just think
we can do better than that. You know, we can do both. We
can both help this planet and attend to our people. And
I -- I don't see why we should start out with the notion
that we should ignore what its impacts are to Hawai'i. You
know, maybe -- you know, maybe you wind up there, but why
wouldn't you in the attempt to design it see if you can't
do two-fer or three-fer or four-fer-one and do both?
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Robbie.
That's the end of the questions from this particular
round. And the logistics of getting people from last
round -- since some of them have left, I can't give those
to them. But I want to thank -- I want to ask you to help
me thank these speakers for both their presentations as
well as for the -- as well as for the overhead and the
questions. And also I want to thank all the speakers from
this morning.
(Whereupon, the luncheon recess was taken from
11:51 a.m. to 1:00 p.m.)
THE MODERATOR; I think we better get started. We
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have two panels this afternoon. The first one, the first
panel this afternoon is Options and Strategies for
Controlling Greenhouse Gas Emissions. We have five
speakers and a question-and-answer session.
I'd just like to ask the speakers, some of whom
couldn't make it this morning -- we have a court recorder
here, and we'd ask you to speak slowly and articulate so
she can hear it. And then I'd also like to ask folks to
try to stay to the 15 minutes because we've got a lot to
get through this afternoon.
I hope those of you who saw the movie enjoyed it.
was involved with those folks before they made that, jiist
before they made that movie.
The speakers this afternoon, we have Dave Rezachek
with the Hawaii Renewable Energy Association. He's gonna
talk about renewable energy. And Brian Kealoha, he's with
Energy Industries. His boss is actually active on the
forum and chairs one of our committees. Brian's going to
talk about energy efficiency. Shanah Trevenna from the
Sustainable Saunders program at the University of Hawai'i,
she'll be joining us, and she's going to talk about what
each of us can do. I think this is sort of a
50-ways-to-save-the~planet presentation. Jeff Mikulina
from Sierra Club, who's also been involved with us on the
forum, is going to talk about From Belief to Behavior;
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Motivating Change, which was something that was talked
about a little bit this morning. And then Barry Raleigh is
going to talk about Feedstock for the Future, and he's
talking about renewable energy and algae.
So with that, David, why don't you go ahead and lead
off.
OPTIONS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONTROLLING GHG EMISSIONS
RENEWABLE ENERGY
Dr. Dave Rezache)c, Hawaii Renewable Energy Association
DR. REZACHEK: Okay. Good afternoon. I'm filling in
this afternoon for Warren Bolimeier who's the president of
HREA. I'm actually with Hawai'i -- Honolulu Seawater
Air-Conditioning, so you'll see a little slight focus on
seawater air-conditioning in this presentation.
Okay, Basically what I want to do is look at
renewable energy, what it is, why it's needed, the
different types of resources that we have in the state and
also on Oahu, the development potential on Oahu as I see
it, status of the various conversion technologies,
something called learning curve analysis, and then, as
Henry mentioned and a couple other speakers, life-cycle
energy and greenhouse gas emissions benefits and be looking
at a source to end use pathway analysis. And then finally.
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I'll show a little comparison of the benefits of various
renewable energy technologies.
Okay. Well, what is renewable energy? I'm not a big
fan of the renewable energy definition in the statute, so I
prefer the definition that you see here. It's an energy
derived from resources that are regenerative or for al'.
practical purposes cannot be depleted.
And why do we want to use renewable energy? Well,
it's abundant, and, as you'11 see, it's very diverse.
Hawai'i's got a lot of different types of renewable energy
resources. It's available locally, which is very
important; reduces the need for fossil fuels; and then the
topic of this hearing is that it reduces greenhouse gas and
other emissions.
These are the types of renewable energy resources that
are available in the state; combined biomass and biofuels
in one category; geothermal, and a lot of you may not know
it, but even Oahu has some geothermal resources, a lower
temperature resource, but there is some resource here;
hydroelectric, Oahu doesn't have much of this, but the ire's
a small amount; municipal solid waste, Oahu's got a lot of
this and a lot of landfill gas; ocean thermal, which
consists of both sea water air-conditioning and OTEC, ocean
thermal energy conversion; and solar, which is electric,
there's two forms of that, electric as a photovoltaic, and
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then there's thermal, which could either be water heating
or some sort of process heat; and then there's wave energy
and wind energy.
A number of factors affect the development of global
energy anywhere you go. These include resource
availability. You have to look at two aspects of that: a
spatial characteristic, where is it available; and a
temporal characteristic, when it is available. For
instance, solar is available all over the state, but it's
not available in the same quantities in different areas.
There are cloudy areas that have a lot less solar, and
there's sunny areas that have a lot more solar. And then
temporal, and again, if you look at solar, that's available
during the day but not during the night whereas something
like ocean thermal energy conversion, which is also a solar
technology, is also available 24 hours a day.
So it's very important to look at when that renewable
energy resource is available; then resource intensity, and
again, I mentioned solar that -- for instance, maybe Hilo
you don't have the intensity that you have in the Ewa plane
here; and then there's the status of the conversion
technology. Some of these technologies are mature, and
some are early in the development stage; and then we have
to look at cost. What is the current cost of each of these
technologies and then what is the future cost? And so I'll
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get into a little something called learning curve analysis
which shows how costs reduce as technology becomes more
developed.
We have to look at the status of the conversion
technologies. Some of these are in just the research stage
right now. They're not that well developed. Some are in
the demonstration. I would guess -- characterize wave
energy as being in the demonstration stage. There are some
small wave power plants throughout the world, some even in
the megawatt range, but it's not largely developed, anc
it's not widespread. And then there are other technologies
that are commercially availability; for instance, wind or
sea water air-conditioning or solar thermal in the form of
solar water heating.
Why do we need to look at learning curves? Well,
learning curves or learn-by-doing curves or experience
curves provide a means for assessing future potential cost
reductions in a particular technology. A technology
learning curve defines the present unit cost of a given
technology as a function in a cumulative production. And I
show an equation there, and that's basically how it's laid
out.
This shows some learning curves for typical consumer
products. And basically what it shows, that -- for
instance, cellular phones or microwave ovens, the initial
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costs of those technologies was very high. There were very
few of them. They had to recapture their development
costs- There wasn't a widespread market for them. But as
the market developed and as the number of units increased
through production and demand, those costs dropped rapidly.
You can see a cellular phone in the late eighties was very,
very expensive. Then when you get into the late nineties,
it's dropped by a couple orders of magnitude in cost.
You can get a similar type of learning curve for
renewable energy technologies, and what I've shown here is
photovoltaics. Now the difference between the curve I
showed just before and this curve is that this curve a log
basis - So you can see that instead of a linear scale on
the left-hand side, we have a log scale. So back in, say,
1976 the cost of 1 watt of photovoltaics is maybe 70 or 80
dollars a watt. When we get to 2001, it's dropped down to
about six or seven dollars. And these costs continue to
drop as you -- the efficiency of the technology increases
and the demand for the technology and the amount of
installed units of that particular technology increase.
And as you can see, this curve is a pretty straight line so
that there's been continuous increases in costs on PV
system for at least the last 30 years and substantial --
and that's because there's much more installed capacity,
and a lot of work has been done in manufacturing
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capabilities, efficiency in the processes, that type of
thing.
You can see there's a learning curve here. Basically
for photovoltaics, every time you double the amount of
installed capacity, you reduce the cost by about 20 to 30
percent. So this shows a grad -- or a continual decrease
in cost with increase in the amount that's installed.
Now if you take these learning curves and we look at
them, which is the upper set of lines here -- and this
shows how, for instance, if you had a residential PV system
on Kauai, a 2 kilowatt system, which is a typical size
system, right now it might cost you 69 cents per kilowatt
hour for that system; but as the technology advances, that
cost continually drops until -- like the year 2017, you
might be down to 33 cents. At the same time, we're having
an increase in utility costs primarily because of the cost
of oil. So on Kauai you might have a 31 cents or 30 cents
per kilowatt hour cost now, so you can see that the cost of
electricity from PV is about twice what it is replacing.
So that's not a good economic situation. It doesn't make
much sense to do PV unless you can narrow that gap through
either tax credits or some other incentive.
But as you see, as we go along and the cost of energy
goes up and the cost of the technology goes down, there's a
point where they cross over. There's three curves on each
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of these things, and one is -- the center one is probably
the average cost, and the upper one is the higher rate of
decrease or the higher rate of increase. And so they cross
in the year 2012. The convention here is the years you see
on the bottom are the end of the year. So sometime in 2012
to 2015, which is these two intersection points, you'll get
grid parity on PV systems, residential PV systems on Kauai,
meaning that at that point in time you won't need any
subsidies. The cost of electricity will be sufficient to
pay for the system.
This shows a similar picture on a small scale utility.
This is a 5 megawatt system. And you can see that sometime
in the 2012 to 2016 time frame you get grid parity on Oahu.
And this assumes that all these things continue at the same
level. But it shows that PV has got a great potential, but
that potential may be five to ten years down the road. And
I'll show you why I think that's important for everybody to
use this type of analysis on all renewable technologies.
The reason that is, is we only have a limited amount
of money that we can devote to development or incentivize
different renewable energy technologies. So what makes the
most sense is to put that money into technologies that have
the most near-term potential and use some of the money for
development of those other technologies but not, for
instance, put all of our money into, say, PV or any single
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technology that may not be ready yet. So you need to lay
out a program of where you get the most bang for the buck
based on where the technology is and how much you need to
incentivize it.
So I kind of laid out a system here that shows the
technologies that I believe are mid term, near term, and
long term. Solar thermal's already cost effective. Wind
is cost effective. Seawater air-conditioning are all cpost
effective. And biomass in the form of municipal solid
waste is cost effective. There may be some possibilities
of doing coal firing of biomass with the coal in the
current AES power plant. And then biofuels, I'm not sure
that they're cost effective, but they're getting a great
deal of subsidized -- subsidies.
In the mid term, as I said earlier, wave is really in
kind of a pilot or demonstration phase, but in five to ten
years it should be in a commercial stage and close to cost
effective. So it would be a technology to shoot for in
that mid term.
Residential intertied -- utility intertied PV on
neighbor islands -- I showed the case of the PV in Kauai --
would be grid parity somewhere in the 2013, 2015 area;
commercial scale PV, again, the Oahu example; and then
smaller OTEC plant, ocean thermal energy conversion, 5 to
10 megawatts; in the long term, a 100 megawatt OTEC,
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perhaps residential utility intertied PV on Oahu or utility
scale PV on Oahu.
So what does that mean? It means that if you select
the right technologies and you select them at the right
time that you can do it in a very cost-effective manner.
And this is just one possible layout of potential --
renewable energy potential on Oahu. And I think you can
see OTEC is number one because it's a base load power
plant, provides 24-hour-a-day electricity; the same as the
municipal solid waste; then seawater air-conditioning which
has enormous potential for Oahu. My company, Honoiuiu
Seawater, is putting in a 25,000 ton system for downtown
Honolulu. We think there's at least four systems on Oahu
alone. Then solar thermal, right now there's probably 60
— 50 -- 60,000 systems on Oahu, 50,000 maybe. You should
double that number of systems by 2020. And then the wind,
Oahu, we don't have sufficient land to have a really large
system. So maybe you can only develop 50 megawatts in the
North Shore. Wave, again, because of the time it's gonna
take to develop that technology by 2020, we may have 25
megawatts. And then PV, because of the cost now and the
time between now and the time that it develops as a grid
parity, maybe 20 megawatts. But as you can see, we're able
to meet the RPS standard for Oahu just with these
technologies by 2020 easily. And this doesn't include some
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of the other technologies that they include in that, energy
efficiency and some of the other nonrenewable type things
that are listed as renewables.
As Henry said earlier, in order to see what the impact
is of these different technologies, we have to look at
life-cycle analysis, energy and greenhouse gas emissions.
We have to look at from-the-cradle-to-the-grave type
approach for each of these technologies. And we can do
this through pathway analysis. You can determine what the
total fossil fuel energy displacement and greenhouse gas
emissions reductions of a particular energy system is from
the fuel source to the end use.
So we've done this system -- or we've done this
analysis with seawater air-conditioning. And what you
looked at is you look at crude oil at the source, meaning
at the well head. And then you look at the efficiency
losses throughout that chain. And, for instance, here we
can show the production of that crude oil and the
shipping -- or at least the production of the oil. It
takes some energy to produce the oil, to pump it out of the
ground, whatever. That might be 90 and a half percent
efficient. And then you need to ship that to Oahu, and
that might be 98 percent efficient. Then you need to
refine that into the products that you use, whether it's
residual fuel oil or gasoline or whatever it is. And then
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that would be maybe 90 percent efficient. And then you put
that that the power plant, and that has an efficiency of
around 32 percent. And then you have electricity at the
power plant. And then you have to ship that electricity to
end users. And you have transmission and distribution
losses, so you have about 88.8 percent that comes to the
end user ultimately. So that means for every one unit the
end user uses, you have to put in 4.42 units of energy to
give him that one unit. So that has to be taken into
account when you're determining both the energy benefits
and the carbon dioxide emissions benefits.
The other thing that it points out is that if you have
an end user that uses, say, photovoltaics.on their home or
solar water heating system, they actually provide for
benefits than you have for a utility powered -- or utility
scale wind or some other system because you don't have
those transmission and distribution losses. So it's a
distributed generation type thing where you avoid the 68.8
percent situation there.
So I've done this analysis, and I've looked at what
are the benefits of doing a 100,000 tons of seawater
air-conditioning. Well, we could save about 344 million
kilowatt hours per year. That's about 4 percent of HECO's
output, so reduce fossil fuel energy use by about 4.6
trillion BTUs, which is the equivalent to almost 800,000
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barrels per year of imported oil, or oil from the source,
and reduced greenhouse gas emission by about 377,000 tons.
Well, that doesn't really mean much to most people,
but what is that equivalent to? It's equivalent to about
123 megawatts of utility scale wind energy. As I said
earlier, we maybe can do 50 megawatts or maybe 80 megawatts
of wind on Oahu. It's also equivalent to about 187
megawatts of utility scale photovoltaics or 87,000
residential PV systems or 60 megawatts of utility scale
waste-to-energy. Right now the system we have is 60
megawatts, so it would be equivalent to having another
municipal solid waste system on Oahu. And then we could
take another equivalency. It's equivalent to taking 62,000
SUVS off the road or buying and using 115,000 Prius HEVs.
And there's been a big push towards doing ethanol, and
we took a look at what is the equivalency of ethanol. If
we look at corn-based ethanol, which has a relatively small
net energy benefit, this production or reduction in energy
use is equivalent to 247 million gallons of imported
corn-based ethanol. We need about 40 to 45 million to
produce 10 percent ethanol. It's also equivalent to about
88 ruillion gallons of local cellulose-based ethanol per
yeaj:. But what that says is that it's much better to
produce that ethanol locally from a cellulose feedstock
than it is to make it from corn. So when you're doing your
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policy determinations, you want to obviously produce this
stuff locally and produce it with a maximum efficiency or
better efficiency.
And finally, it's equivalent to about 123,000
residential solar water heating systems, which is about
50 percent more than the systems that we have in the state.
Each ton of seawater air-conditioning is equivalent to
about one solar water heating system.
So basically what you need to do is not just look at a
whole variety of renewable energy technologies. You need
to look at them in a systematic manner. You need to
identify those that have the best potential in the near
term, mid term, and long term and divide the money, the
limited resources that you have, among those technologies
to get the best bang for the buck in the nearest term. And
this is one approach, and I hope that this IRP process will
use a similar approach to look at the benefits and look at
the things that we should be doing over these three time
ranges.
THE MODERATOR: Good. Thank you very much. That was
excellent.
Okay. Our next speaker is Brian Kealoha, and he's
gonna talk about energy efficiency. Brian is with Energy
Industries.
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ENERGY EFFICIENCY
Mr. Brian Kealoha, Energy Industries
MR. KEALOHA: This court reporter in makes me nervous.
I'm half Portuguese, so I naturally talk very fast, so I'll
make a conscious effort here to slow down.
Okay. So my presentation today is really to focus on
energy efficiency and how energy efficiency can really help
reduce the carbon emissions around the planet, and no more
so than here in Hawai'i. Because the majority of our
generation really being fossil fuel dependent, a kilowatt
hour saved has a much larger impact than some of the
national average numbers I'm going to be going through
today in our presentation.
So before we can get into efficiency, we first have to
better understand how buildings use energy and how we use
energy as a society. This slide really illustrates how
much U.S. commercial buildings across the nation utilize in
terms of their percentage of electricity. So you can see
here that 72 percent of all electric consumption is really
used by commercial buildings. And then again, on the
mainland where there's more natural gas, you see 54 percent
of that consumption, as well as 38 percent of the carbon
dioxide emissions. And that's pretty huge when you look at
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the fact that the U.S. -- commercial buildings in the U.S.
produce more carbon emissions than any other country, their
combined emissions in the world, other than China. So the
significance of our energy footprint is very large.
Breaking that down a little further, the two pie
charts there on your right, you'll see the difference
between commercial and residential. And again, these are
more national numbers than they are specific to Hawai'i,
but you can see the different end uses in terms of how we
use our energy. Cooling is one of the largest loads. And
then when you're in the commercial sector, the next is
lighting, followed by water heating, plug load,
refrigeration. On the residential side air-conditioning
and heating end up being the highest amount of electrical
and gas usage, which results as well in the C02 emissions.
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illustrate the dramatic effect that emissions can be
reduced by pursuing energy efficiency. When you look at
all the different renewable energy resources combined, it
still does not up to as much as energy efficiency can
provide. So it seems very clear that it's low-hanging
fruit. There's a lot of potential out there.
The question is then. Why aren't we doing it? Well,
we're going to get into that a little bit, but the first
thing when we're looking at the hierarchy in terms of what
you should pursue, the common industry assumption is you're
gonna do efficiency first. And no matter if you're gonna
be looking at renewable energy systems, what you want to do
is make your building as efficient as possible before you
get started. And then, as you can see here, the next piece
of the hierarchy is really looking at on-site renewable
energy and then switching to cleaner fuels. Again, that
comes back it the cost effectiveness, as well as the pure
economics for what you want to size your renewable energy
systems to be.
The potential, this graph really illustrates where
we're gonna be with business as usual utilizing our
electricity as we are now without making any changes. But
I think what is most significant is that we cannot only
stem our growth, but actually reduce the amount of
electricity that needs to be produced in this country by
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simply implementing energy efficiency, whether it be in
measures that we can implement in our home or our business
or by policies that governments can institute to really
promote and push energy efficiency.
So how much does it all cost? That's always the key.
Who can tell me how much this cost?
AUDIENCE MEMBER: About a dollar.
MR. KEALOHA: A dollar?
AUDIENCE MEMBER: Yeah.
MR. KEALOHA: What about this?
AUDIENCE MEMBER: Three dollars.
MR. KEALOHA: Three dollars?
AUDIENCE MEMBER: Before the rebates.
MR. KEALOHA: And that's typically how we look at
things. But I'll tell you that this actually costs you
$102, and this costs you $30. Let me show you how.
When you look at the cost for a year, if you were to
burn both of these lamps for one year -- sure, I went on
the high side. I said $6, and I went 50 cents to even make
this analysis more conservative. But you can see that even
though see the initial cost is significantly greater, over
time when you're using the amount of kilowatt hours that
you're using to power both of these lamps, your actual cost
and replacement cost as well as energy, is very
significant.
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And that's pretty much one of the biggest barriers to
achieving greater energy efficiency. Most businesses and
consumers are first cost driven, so we're looking at ways
to value engineer systems to take out the initial costs of
buildings. However, that is probably the worst thing that
you can do because over the long term you're costing your
facility a lot of extra money. In addition, it's requiring
a lot more generation that's going to be required to be
produced on this island. Couple that with the amount of
emissions that's produced. In addition, initial capital
outlay can be tough to come up with. You know, if you're
going to the store, you have ten dollars in your pocket,
and you need to by ten light bulbs, you're probably gonna
buy these. So it's very tough sometimes to come up with
the initial capital outlay even if you know it's a
no-brainer to move forward.
Another challenge is there's a lot of products out
there that don't live up to the hype. Being that energy
costs are so high right now, there's a lot of different
things and technologies out there that claim to be able to
do a lot of things. As a result, there are people who are
buying into some of the hype that's out there. It really
can dampen a market because people have been burned. They
don't see the savings on the bill that they expected.
But once again, a case in point is when the CFLs
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first came out, compact fluorescents first came out. When
they first came out it was really a challenge because there
was a lot of low quality product out there. And I'm sure a
lot of you remember that when the first generation of these
CFLs, they would blink on six or seven times. My wife
hated it. She said. Get those lamps out of our house. But
along the way technology has advanced, and the product has
become better. And as result, people who may have been
burned by that first situation of CFL that didn't work so
well may be reluctant to purchase efficient products as
they go forward.
And lastly, as we all know, it's really expensive to
live here in Hawai'i. The cost of products, to have them
shipped out there, is expensive. And probably more
importantly, the availability is sometimes difficult. If a
piece of equipment fails, what happens? You need to
replace that right away. Well, if the efficient equipment
isn't stocked here locally, the less efficient equipment
gets put in.
So what can be done to facilitate more energy
efficiency here in Hawai'i? Well, of course, education. I
mean, that's the first step, the fact that we're all here
today to hesu: about what we can do to reduce carbon
emissions. It starts, number one, with efficiency. The
second is really looking for state tax credits and state
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incentives to help promote energy efficiency in addition to
renewable energy. You saw the pie chart. The significance
of what energy efficiency can be in terms of reducing
carbon emissions is large. Federal tax deductions are
available, but we have nothing on a state level in terms of
energy efficient credits.
We talked about here a little bit the initial first
cost, and a lot of times that's a big barrier for people or
companies to move forward with projects, so finding ways to
finance these energy efficient upgrades and bringing them
at zero or low interest through either DSM funds or through
a special purpose revenue bond. There's ways to help
facilitate the implementation of these measures.
And, you know, a lot of the state agencies capture the
benefit of energy efficiency products. A lot of the
different departments here have an electrical budget, but
they're not going to be real aggressive in pursuing
electrical efficiency because they're afraid that once
they've made those reductions, their electrical budget in
the following year is gonna be reduced, so they don't see
the benefits of it, and they don't get to keep the rebates
that are associated with these projects. So we need to
have incentives in place to really push and promote all of
our state agencies to be aggressive in energy efficiency.
And one of the first steps was pursuing the in all new
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buildings the LEED silver is requirement, and that's a good
first step because energy is a component of LEED, and LEED
encompasses a lot of other things. But we're getting there
on the new building side. We need to really look at
policies that can be done on an existing building side.
So what can you do when you go home today? Probably
the most significant thing is if you don't have a solar
water heater, go do it. Now there's never been a better
time. There's state tax credits available, federal tax
credits available, large rebates from HECO. There's new
programs coming out to do the pay-as-you-you-save so you
don't have to -- the payments mark your savings. There
really hasn't been a better time to do it. So if you
haven't doing this already, you should be doing it.
The second is what we talked about already: compact
fluorescent lamps, $100 versus the $30, huge difference,
not to mention the lamp life over the course of 10,000
hours versus 1,000 hours for incandescents. And if you're
air-conditioning your home, there's a lot less heat than
that's generated from incandescents, so that reduces the
amount of electricity that needed to be generated.
Probably number three is just the use of Energy Star
appliances. I think you've all seen these labels on
different appliances or even on buildings. But when you're
looking to replace appliances, look for the Energy Star
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logo. Naturally, these are all measures that you can ••-
that you need to invest in. But I think as a whole,
behaviorally, there's obviously a lot of things you can do,
those are the no-brainers: turning off the lights when
you're not in a room, all the simple things that are easy
to do that we often forget just out of ease. Using fans
instead of air-conditioning, there's a lot of simple things
our behaviors can modify as well.
On the commercial side, you know, the game plan really
it's being aggressive in finding energy savings is to do
commissioning and studies. There's a lot of buildings with
great energy efficient technologies already employed, but
over the years the program and the logic behind them have
changed or things have been changed in terms of how the
buildings operate; and therefore, the systems aren't
maximized towards efficiency. So recommissioning
buildings, looking at studies, finding ways to reduce
energy usage through the different end uses that are in the
building. And that's really what's outlined here. You
know, lighting retrofitting, it's a no-brainer. It's a
low-hanging fruit. Energy management systems to use only
what you need to use, drives, motors, pumps,
air-conditioning, it goes on and on. And similarly, these
are just some other examples that you can look for in your
commercial building.
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I want to close with, you know, really the most
expensive thing we can do is nothing. And expensive can
mean whether it be dollars, the amount of energy that
we're -- dollars we're spending in terms of energy. It can
be in the amount of carbon emissions that we're producing.
By doing nothing and continuing down the path we're going
now is not a road that I think any of us wants to go down,
and efficiency can be a big portion of what we do first.
We really are all responsible for the solutions out there.
And that's my presentation.
THE MODERATOR: Great presentation, Brian. Thanks.
Our third speaker is Shanah Trevenna from the
Sustainability Saunders program on the UH Manoa campus.
Shanah.
WHAT EACH O F US CAN DO
Ms. Shanah Trevenna, Sus tainable Saunders
MS. TREVENNA: Well, I'm Italian, so I'm going to
speak quickly and talk with my hands, so I hope that works
with you.
THE MODERATOR: She's got to be able to write it down.
MS. TREVENNA: Okay. I'll do my best to be clear.
First of all, I just wanted to say it's an honor to be
up here. It's my first panel. And there's a lot of people
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on this panel and in the room who've been working for
years, if not decades, just to bring us to the point of
even having this conversation in Hawai'i. So thank you so
much for the work that you've done to pave the way for
this.
We've been talking a lot today about the big picture,
and I just wanted to propose for a moment think back to
maybe the beginning of your day with your morning routine
and what you're doing this weekend just to get back in
touch with your life here, individual flow of your day, and
that's because I'm going to be talking about what each of
us can do, individual actions we can take to add up to
collective difference.
Now I also want to ask you to take any thoughts of
images or conversations that you've had that have maybe
formed a belief that sustainable is sacrifice and just
suspend that belief for a moment. And then I'd like to
propose that sustainability could be perceived as
simplicity and streamlining your life so that you have 'more
time and money and energy to do the things you love,
connect with yourself, each other, and the world that we
live in, the land, and also any feelings that you have of
being overwhelmed. There's been a lot said today. There's
lots of different choices and -- bound to happen.
There's a way of approaching this that I've developed
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for myself that I call the six-pack, the sustainability
six-pack, picking six things that you can work on. And the
reason I picked six is because people can actually look at
six items and see six. They can look and see three. They
can look and see five. Once it's beyond six, they have to
start counting. So six just seems to be a manageable scope
for people.
And I'd like to break that even further into a bit of
pyramid: three things that you can do and choices in your
own life; two things that -- sorry, I just have to look
here -- two ways to interconnect your community, and that's
kind of a different angle that I'll get into in a moment;
and the third is to support one renewable energy of your
choice. If you do those six things, you'11 be connected to
yourself, the middle picture, and the big picture in a way
that's really manageable.
So I'm gonna go through a bit of a smorgasbord. And
just go by what jumps out at you, what feels like a pull
and not a push. That's another philosophy we use at the
university. If it's a push, it feels like sacrifice. It
feels like a lot of hard work, and you get resentful, and
you don't keep up the steam to keep it going. If it feels
like a pull, then you .feel excited. You feel like that's a
really cool idea. It'll save me a lot of money. So see
what feels like a pull to you. And there's enough of us
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1 that if we all do different things, it will add up.
2 So first, I'm gonna start with personal choices. Try
3 to pick three that jump out at you. The first is to -- the
4 first section is to lead a non-disposable life. And we
5 know that we're, you know, sort of a throw-away society.
6 Things come into our world. We dispose of it. It all goes
7 in a landfill. But a really interesting thing about
8 Hawai'i is anything that we use to replace it, we're
9 pulling in. We're actually shipping here. It's taking a
10 lot of fossil fuels to get here. So, for example, I went
11 to one juice joint on the island. I asked them how many
12 cups they go through. They go through a thousand --
13 (Discussion off the record.)
14 MS. TREVENNA; So I'm just going to continue then!
15 So I was saying, juice joints in Hawai'i, one of them
16 uses a thousand 24-ounce cups a day. I can see how a
17 thousand 24-ounce cups would be a lot to capture. So by
18 making a choice of bringing a cup, bringing a plate,
19 bringing utensils, you're making an impact right there In
20 Beijing they're banning one-time-use chopsticks, for
21 example. It's happening in other parts of the world. In
22 Canada there's 750 million cell phones in landfill. So if
23 you're like me and you only know that you have a 3.1
24 megapixel phone only when you hit the wrong button, it
25 annoys you, in a couple years when my contract comes up and
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they want to give me a 7 megapixel phone, I probably will
pass it. And so that's a really easy one for me. It's
like falling off a log, simple.
So another section is how you move yourself around.
And obviously if we could bike and if we could walk, there
would be a lot less carbon emissions. Most -- 50 percent
of trips are made within three miles of your home, so if
you just make an agreement with yourself to do a walk or a
bike ride for those threes miles, you'd -- we'd get rid of
50 percent of our trips.
If you idle, if you're going to be idling for more
than 30 seconds, it's worth it to turn your car off. That
gets over the idea that, you know, it takes a lot of energy
to start it up again.
And this is an interesting one. Intense braking and
starting wastes a lot of energy, that, you know, rush to
get where you're going. They've actually measured that
it's only 4 percent of your time that gets shaved off, and
it actually uses 40 percent more fuel.. Fifty percent of
the gas used in the city is used for accelerating. That's
an interesting one. And, of course, all that's lost in
braking, which brings me to hybrids, which are just the
coolest thing. All -- most of that energy in the braking
is returned to the battery, so it's captured again. With
the new solar roofs that have come out for hybrids, they're
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in
some
at 125 miles per gallon.
And if you use your air-conditioning on a hot day
your car, then you're using an extra 10 percent as well.
If you keep the air in your tires, your air filter
change, and you use the right oil, 20 percent better gas
mileage as well. So there's a few things you can do.
In your home -- I know for Saunders -- and we saw
different stats -- 80 percent of the electricity use is for
air-conditioning and lighting, Yet when we do focus groups
with people, they said that they -- like the thing that
they would like the most is natural ventilation and natural
lighting.
So I'd like to start with ventilation, the opposing
window idea. When you open up the driver's side and the
passenger's side, it's way better crosswind. You can do
that in your house with a fan facing outwards. It can
suction the air across. And I won't get into the mechanics
of fans, but if you have two fans going at 50 percent the
power, that actually uses less energy than one fan going at
100 percent of the power. So you can use different fans
and use less energy. A lot of people don't know about
that.
And then jumping to daylighting, so daylighting is a
great thing because students that use daylighting have
to 25 percent higher test scores. And also our eyes are
20
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not adapted to go from isolated light to no light at all.
So uniform light in a room is very important for the human
experience. So to bring daylighting in, the biggest bang
for your buck is a light shelf. It's kind of like a visor
for your window. It just above the sight line. It divides
the window into two halves. The top part has the light
reflect off and come to the -- into the room, bouncing off
the ceiling. Painting the ceiling with a highly reflective
paint will then diffuse the light down into the room, and
the wall that's opposite of the lighting as well.
Interior rooms, you can bring lighting in by knocking
out part of the wall if possible or putting glass, a glass
window. They also have solar collectors that take --
THE MODERATOR: Shanah, slow down.
MS. TREVENNA: -- oh, thanks, yeah -- that take fiber
optics, and the sunlight comes through the fiber optics
into the center of the room. So you can actually kind of
pipe in sunlight.
So if you do have lights -- I won't get too much into
this 'cause we covered that replacing an incandescent with
CFL is definitely the way to
incandescent lights all over
country that's
incandescents.
If you do
go.
the
moving towards ab
completely having
have fluorescent
In Canada
place. So
they
that
solutely banning
none .
lights. you can
re
's
do
banning
a whole
-- you
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can drop the whole ballast down about 18 inches, cover the
bottom, and have all the light reflect up to the ceiling.
And then that light will then diffuse down into the room,
creating that whole uniform lighting I was speaking of.
That actually saves about 75 percent of the energy. It
goes from needing 2 watts per square foot down to ,7 watts
per square foot. So then if you can find three things in
there, I hope three things jumped out at you.
And then interconnecting with your community is a big
one. And this is why in Denmark businesses that were
neighbors got together and wrote down all the inputs arid
all the outputs that were coming into the businesses. And
one found that they were paying for a chemical to be
imported from Spain while the company next door was paying
for that exact same chemical to be disposed of. So they
were able to just make that match, save a lot of importing
and exporting, and everyone made a lot more money.
In British Columbia -- this is a little stray -- a pig
farmer went to a neighborhood theater and said. Can we use
your extra popcorn to feed the pigs? No problem, except
that the pig farmer, organic farmer, so they needed organic
popcorn. So then the theater owner went to a corn
producer, asked them if they would make organic corn. They
went to the bank and said, I have a guaranteed market; can
you give me a loan to go organic? So all these win-win-win
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situations when you know your neighbor.
And we know this in personal experience, I'm sure. If
you drive across town to drop off your kids at daycare, to
go to the yoga class or take a cooking class, if you know
your neighbors, you might find out that people right in
your community could do ail of those things for you. So
that -- that really helps to grow a local economy as well.
For a thriving community economy, a dollar should pass
between all the people in the community five times before
it leaves. They know this in Salt Spring Island off of the
coast of British Columbia where they have Salt Spring
dollars where you actually buy the dollars, and you can
only pay -- use them in Salt Spring. Tourists come in and
take those, and that money stays in Salt Spring. So
there's an island which created a local economy with local
currency, which would be an opportunity here, I think, as
well- So then the -- and so if you could find two ways to
do that.
And then the third would be to support your favorite
renewable energy of choice. We've gone -- I won't go
through them all since they've already been covered
beautifully. But my favorite is ocean wave given that
there's -- it's 800 times the density of air, water. And
I've stood in the wind, and I've stood in the waves, and
one really pushes me over harder. I feel like there's a
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lot of energy there that's waiting to be harnessed in a way
that's not intrusive to the coastline. So with great minds
working together, I feel like that could be the energy that
fuels the future.
So with making three choices in your personal life,
two new ways of interconnecting your community, and
supporting one renewable energy, you'll feel great; you'll
have more money, more time, more energy for yourself and
your community; and I believe you'll also be part of a very
important, very big positive movement. Thank you.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Shanah. Sorry for insisting
on the breaks going on.
Our next speaker is Jeff Mikulina. Jeff's with the
Sierra Club, and he's been very active in the Energy Policy
Forum. Jeff's gonna talk to us about Motivating Change,
From Belief to Behavior. Jeff.
FROM BELIEF TO BEHAVIOR: MOTIVATING CHANGE
Mr. Jeff MDculina, Sierra Club
MR- MIKULINA: Thanks, Mike. How's this? All right
I really appreciate this opportunity to talk about
this fun subject. There won't be any math involved in
presentation, fortunately, on Friday afternoon here.
I heard an ad the other day on the radio that I
my
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thought was absolutely terrible. It was trying to motivate
behavior change on another very serious subject, drunk
driving. You may have heard this ad on the radio. It's
brought to you by the Department of Transportation. Three
things stood out of why it was so bad. It started by
having some kind of upbeat music in the background, and an
announcer who sounded like he just finished a spot for a
used car lot said, if you drink and drive, you may get in
an accident or cause some harm or something. And the spot
ended with him saying, Don't let drunk driving happen to
you.
The three things that stood out, number one, just
delivering that information without any sort of strong
emotional pull really made it ineffective. Secondly, that
ending piece saying don't let drunk driving happen to you
removed you from the equation. It was something that, oh,
it happened again. How did it happen? It wasn't a
decision you made with clear consequences. And finally,
the third, those consequences weren't very clear. We know
drunk driving, you can kill yourselves. You can kill
someone you love. And if you want to change behavior, we
have to make that very clear that that could result from
your decision.
Those are the three areas that I want to explore today
relating to climate change. The first is this idea that
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knowledge is everything. We're smarter than we ever have
been on this issue, but it hasn't seemed to be motivating
behavior nearly as much as we'd like. Nobody marched on
Washington because of a pie chart. We really have to evoke
those emotional responses in people if we want -- if we
expect to have them make those big changes in their lives.
The second one, one which we talked quite a bit about today
is the idea of barriers. It's not easy being green, and
there are a lot of barriers to doing the right thing when
it comes to moving to higher efficiency or renewable energy
or changing life-style and behavior. And finally, I want
to talk a bit about those sequences and how do we pay the
price, the right price, the accurate price. We're human.
We respond to pain and pleasure. We're animals in that
way, and we shouldn't lose sight of that when looking for
solutions to motivating behavior.
The first idea of this, knowledge is power. Let's
take a look at a recent Gallup Poll in April of Americans.
Sixty percent of Americans believe that global warming has
begun to affect the climate. So we made quite a bit o::
progress on this issue, and certainly over the past year
there's been -- we see change in how folks view climate
change. People are more aware of this than ever. This
number actually increased about 8 percent over the prior
year. Sixty-two percent believe that climate change will
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cause major or extreme changes in climate during the next
50 years. So folks are, again, aware of the problem. They
know it's happening.
Now 20 percent of those questioned said they either
use renewable energy or they're participating in green
pricing programs. So folks are claiming they want to be
perceived as doing the right thing at this time. The fact
of the matter is fewer than 4 percent actually participate.
So although that knowledge is there, folks aren't really
responding in their day-to-day lives, at least at this
level in doing energy sorts of things.
Since we're talking about Americans, a poll at the
same time, a Roper Poll, actually showed that 17 percent
believe in alien abductions. This is a point reference for
America.
This chart is terribly important. It talks about --
it shows the acidification that's occurring in the ocean
that's going to probably change things in Hawai'i like the
reefs or the basis of our marine food chain, but it doesn't
inspire a lot of emotion. Similarly with this, this is a
fairly dry thing, nothing to argue here. This is what's
happening on the ground globally, but it doesn't inspire
the same sort of heart-string emotion as maybe this image
does, the actual effects of a warming globe. Or this one,
penguin party barge, but these guys are actually in bad
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shape.
Similarly, a fact here from National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, as the water temperature
increases from a warmer globe, the wind velocity increases,
and storm moisture content increases. We know warmer water
means stronger hurricanes now, but that doesn't nearly
inspire the same emotion as looking at Hurricane Katrina
come across the warm waters in the gulf and turn into that
new storm that struck two years ago. This was an event
that definitely shook the American people and invoked that
sort of emotion. It wasn't the chart. It was seeing these
sorts of pictures of what actually happened in New Orleans,
again, about two years ago. This is what can motivate
behavior, when people see the consequences emotionally of
action.
Talk about barriers now, things that get in the waiy of
us doing the right thing. Once you have that knowledge
you feel emotionally drawn. You want to do the right
thing. And all of a sudden you find out you want to go one
direction but you just can't. There are barriers in place.
It could be as simple as cost, economics. It could be
habit- There are a lot of things that make it difficult to
do the right thing, move from -- we heard from Brian --
from incandescents to compact fluorescents, or to get
someone out of this and put them into this. Or better yet.
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have them carpool. Or even better, put them on the bus.
Or the best, get them on a bike. Of course, there are a
lot of hurdles and barriers to doing so. Biking, maybe the
lack of bike lanes in this town is probably one of the
biggest barriers. I know for me personally, if I have a
meeting, I think about am I gonna be sweaty? What am I
gonna do? You have to think of a lot if you're gonna ride
your bike that day, how far you have to go, what's the
weather doing. So there are barriers.
Similarly, we want to convert this roof to this roof
or, even better, this roof. There's a huge cost hurdle
involved there. So there are barriers to doing the right
thing even if people have the knowledge and feel
emotionally pulled.
Some of the barriers are pretty stupid. We have some
homeowner associations that prevent the use of
clotheslines, something that saves a bunch of money, a
bunch of C02 if folks can get in the habit of using a
clothesline on sunny days instead of a dryer. Some of
them, people are just lazy. We have to acknowledge that.
If it's not your job, it's not your job.
Speaking of being lazy, this brings up a great example
with our garbage situation on this island. We know we have
a solid waste crisis. We don't seem to be very good at
responding to it. The vast majority of waste components on
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this island can be recycled or composted or dealt with
besides a landfill or incinerator, but we recycle very
little of it. It's no surprise though when the City comes
to your house not once, but twice a week to pick up your
trash. So think about those two choices. Do you recycle,
or do you just throw it away? Well, you know if you throw
it away, you can just take it to the curb and they'll deal
with it. If you want to recycle though, you actually have
to get in your car, find a high school, go to a redemption
center, a lot of things in the way of doing the right thing
as opposed to doing the not sustainable thing. However, if
you turn one of those weeks -- one of those pickups into
curbside recycling, it will really lower that barrier for
folks doing the right thing. You can take your pickle jars
and newspapers to the curb and they pick them up.
This is critically important because in the past seven
years, believe it or not, per capita waste production on
this island has increased 26 percent, which is from the
most recent study that the City commissioned. Despite all
this reduce, reuse, recycle, despite the best intentions,
we're getting worse and worse at dealing with our trash and
our trash production, yet still no curbside program for
this island. It's unclear when we'll get it. So that'
one of the barriers.
Getting back to climate change, another barrier to
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taking action is this idea that we have an effect on what's
happening. The social scientist Helen Ingram said if we
want people to respond to a problem, we need to have three
ingredients. The first is the problem and the impact of
the problem has to occur soon. It has to be something
that's going to occur in the near term. Second, the issue
has to be salient to the person. And finally, it has to be
certain. So we have to be clear that this is what's gonna
result from this action.
The thing about global climate change, why some like
James Hansen calls it the public policy from hell is
because it doesn't have these three ingredients right now.
It's unclear when the impacts are really going to occur.
How much can I really impact it? How salient is it to me?
What is the impact? And isn't there still some uncertainty
about exactly what's gonna happen? It makes it very
difficult for us, for community members, for policymakers
to do the right thing. If your house is on fire, you know
how you're gonna respond. We don't have that sort of
urgency right now with global climate change.
Public opinion polls show that people believe that
global climate change is confusing. They don't see how it
relates to them in a day-to-day way. It won't affect them
personally, most people believe. It's a problem for the
future, not now. And finally, probably a bigger one, is
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they can't -- they can't really be affective by their
individual actions because the problem is just so big. As
Al Gore says, folks often move from despair to denial
without stopping in the middle and actually taking action
that's effective. This is a barrier to taking action, all
of these .things where folks particularly feel as though
their actions don't have the effectiveness they would like.
It's just a drop in the bucket. It's not going to make a
difference.
Current attitudes towards this issue, people are
unclear on climate change, the causes or solutions. So
that is somewhat of an information problem. We have to cut
through the clutter and get the right information out.
People don't think it will affect them personally. The
issue is pretty negative and depressing, and because of it,
people don't include climate change in the -- as an
important issue in making the day-to-day decisions, which
is handy for humans to basically ignore the problem.
This is where we'd like to be though, the ideal
attitudes where folks understand climate change and its
causes - They see the impact it may have in their lives and
their kids lives, and you feel empowered to take action and
finally integrate that into your daily decision-making
This is the challenge that we have.
There's some strategies to do this, and there's a
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1 whole host of literature on human psychology behind getting
2 people to change their behavior in this way, but some of
3 them -- real briefly, one is this idea of prompts where
4 you're constantly reminding people of the issue and the
5 solution because, as we all know, out of sight, out of
6 mind. Making public commitments or commitments that are
7 visible to others, people are much more likely to follow up
8 on and respond to because all of us want to be viewed as
9 someone who follows through with what they say and that
10 they're consistent that way. And the most powerful
11 probably is the idea of normative social pressure or peer
12 pressure where we respond to how others around us are
13 behaving. I like to call this conspicuous conservatlonism,
14 folks that are visibly outward in a conservation behavior
15 as a way of kind of gaining acceptance. There's a group, a
16 local group called Kanui Hawai'i who's trying to invoke
17 some of these strategies in making change. I encourage you
18 to check them out.
19 Finally, consequences, and this is do our actions have
20 clear consequences? With global climate change it's so
21 difficult because the consequence might be something that
22 occurs a hundred years from now; it might not. It's really
23 unclear. Certain behaviors, if you make it clear what the
24 consequence is, people will respond.
25 Another solid waste example really quick, three years
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ago we recycled about 25 percent of our bottles and cans in
this state. As soon as we tacked a nickel on to each of
those containers, the recycling rate, incredibly, over
three or four short months tripled. Just a small change
made a big difference in that case. Now we've recycled
about a billion bottles and cans since it took effect in
January of 2005. This chart is actually a littie bit
dated. It's dropped down a little bit, but nonetheless,
we've still pretty much tripled the recycling rate due to
the bottle laws.
It's not unique to Hawai'i. This happens all over.
This is a graph showing the redemption rates, basically the
return rates at different levels of deposit. About 20
percent with no deposit, that's just a background volunteer
recycling rate; 70 to 80 percent for a five cent deposit.
Michigan has a ten cent deposit. Their return is about 90
percent. And if you go to Germany, you'll be paying a
quarter Euro on bottles and cans. They recycle at 99.8
percent of bottles and cans. So people respond to this
economic driver even if it's small change like a nickel on
a soda bottle.
You're already paying the price for our actions
involving global climate change. You know what gas costs
now. But is it enough to really change behavior like we'd
like to see behavior changed? People are taking action.
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We're seeing some major players pushing some of the these
solutions to save people money. Like Wal-Mart's selling
compact fluorescents. But is it really enough to get us
where we need to be?
One solution to address the future cost of climate
change is to have a carbon tax, and this is something that
has been batted around. I think New Zealand has passed
one. Boulder Colorado has one. But it's a way to kind of
capture those future costs of climate change today and help
inspire people to make the right decisions. It's something
that people kind of first looked at the idea of a tax. You
can also view it the other way as making it easy to do the
right things because whatever we collect on the carbon
side, we help subsidize the sustainability sorts of
measures, efficiency, sequestration, things like that.
Just a real world example would be the idea of a
rebate. California's currently debating such a measure.
We had a discussion in this building a number of times
where Hummers pay for hybrids. A heavier, more expensive,
less efficient vehicle would have a small tax on it, and
that would be applied to a rebate for a more efficient
vehicle, just a way, again, of trying to shift behavior
through economic consequence. And we think things like
this make sense, just the example of people making sure we
pay a full price and change behavior that way. That is.
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ultimately, if people don't respond to the emotional pull,
to the other ways, if you hit them in the pocketbook,
people will change behavior.
So just to summarize those kind of three ideas, again,
back to that radio ad that was so disturbing -- it's still
running. You might have a chance to hear it. It does
nothing to change behavior because knowledge alone isn
power. It really needs to have an emotional component
Feelings buttressed by facts work far better.
We have to eliminate barriers to doing the right
thing. And that's really a role for policy and for
everyday behavior change. One of those barriers is this
perception that you cannot change the problem. And that's
going to be the biggest issue that I think we'll have to
tackle with global climate change. Each of us is -- can
make a difference. Global climate change doesn't happen to
us. It's something that we can actually affect.
And finally, making saving the planet saving money.
And that might require new tools with a carbon tax, shift
behavior, hitting people in the pocketbook. But let's all
remember what Winston Churchill said: People and nations
behave wisely once they've exhausted all other
alternatives. Bear this in mind when moving forward.
Thanks.
THE MODERATOR: That last one was inspiring, Jeff.
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Thanks.
Our final speaker before the Q & A is going to be
Dr. Barry Raleigh with the University of Hawai'i. Barry
came here to become Dean of the School of Ocean and Earth
Sciences and Technology, and now he's a recovering dean
back in research mode and also doing some pretty exciting
things. Barry.
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FEEDSTOCK FOR THE FUTURE
Dr. Barry Raleigh, University of Hawaii
DR. RALEIGH: Yes, excuse me. Thank you.
The elephant that's in the room that nobody has quite
talked about even in our discussions of policy is that the
world has, according to all the scientists in the earth
sciences that I know who can claim some knowledge about the
oil resources of the world believe that there's a peak now
occurring in the actual global production of oil, that we
will not see a rise in the future again of the total annual
production of oil. That's a -- that's an alarming fact if
it's true. Personally, I believe that it is. But if it is
true, the other side of the room has another elephant in
it, and that is the fact that the population of the world
is not leveling off. It's going up. And the demand for
petroleum will increase probably something in the
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the
on
neighborhood of 3 percent a year.
So what do we do? Well, most energy uses actually
don't require oil. There are ways to get around the
problem. Conservation is the most obvious, of course.
Don't use as much. But on the other hand, there's coal
There's nuclear power. However, if you're interested In
getting from here to there on wheels, you need oil. You
need something that's liquid that has high energy density,
easily transportable, and there aren't many substitutes yet
for that. Hydrogen certainly is not one of them.
By the year 2030, according to Royal Dutch Shell,
demand for petroleum will exceed the supply by 10 billii
barrels per year. The current global production is only a
little over 30 billion barrels a year. This represents an
increase in demand above what we believe to be the peak
level of supply by about a 30 percent level.
Chevron Oil Company makes some predictions about how
we're going to accommodate between 2005 and about 2 030 the
extra demand. Shale oil, believe it or not, that terrible
idea back in the eighties to actually dig up Colorado and
extract the oil from the shale is even listed here.
There's biofuels which constitutes in their estimate
probably in the neighborhood of about 5 million barrels a
day, which is a substantial. That's the order of about
2 billion barrels a year. Gas to liquids, that's where you
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take natural gas and make liquid fuels out of it. It's a
very expensive process, but there's a lot of gas around.
It's a good idea. Extra heavy oil and bitumen, that really
means the tar sand that you all have read about somewhere,
I'm sure, in Athabasca and also Venezuela. The problem --
and the problem is that that's really the easiest to get at
and the most expensive in terms of carbon dioxide
production to extract. It takes -- it takes three barrels
of oil mined to get one barrel that you can actually take
to market and sell. And that extra oil is used in burning,
in effect, to make the heat to extract the tar. It is
not -- it's not a nice solution.
By 2025, 2 billion barrels a year will come from tar
sand. That will be 2 billion tons per year more of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere unless there's found a way to
extract it, strip it, and store it. The gas to liquid
plants will yield about 700 million barrels a year. That
would be about 250 million tons more per year of carbon
dioxide. And to compare it with something, all the U.S.
coal-fired plants right now currently produce 2 billion
tons per year of carbon dioxide. So we're not looking at a
decreasing supply of carbon dioxide. If anybody wants it,
there's gonna be plenty of it.
The world consumption by region of coal -- and this is
a problem that puts everything else in the shade. The
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expectations by the International Energy Agency are that
the total consumption of coal between 2003 and about 25
years later or so, 2030, will -- globally will increase by
5 -- almost 5 billion tons per year. That -- the fact is
that coal -- a ton of coal makes about three and a half
tons of carbon dioxide, so you can do the math yourself
That's almost doubling the carbon dioxide. Well, it's
another 60 percent of increase in carbon dioxide over that
that goes into the atmosphere today.
The — well, I said that already.
What do you do about it? Well, there's sequestration.
Strip it out of the stack and then pipe it over somewhere
or somehow transport the carbon dioxide from the power
plant to a deep well where it's injected into a saline
aquifer and then monitored to make sure it doesn't come
sneaking and bubbling back out somewhere. That process
costs somewhere between 30 to 60 dollars per ton of carbon
dioxide sequestered. So you can imagine if you're -- if
you're going to try simply to accommodate this extra
18 billion tons per year of C02 at a cost of -- call it $40
a ton -- that's an enormous amount of money. And the
question is can we afford the electricity that that
increase in cost would -- would provide us with? So
there's -- people suggested deep ocean, put it in coal
mines.
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And then, of course, there's biology. And you've all
heard, you know, the guy who owns Virgin Airlines, Richard
Branson. He's offered a 25 million dollar prize if you can
figure out how to strip a billion tons of carbon dioxide
out of the atmosphere. Well, I have a solution, very easy,
called photosynthesis. And if you just simply plant the
state of South Dakota in switchgrass for a year, that will
take a billion tons out of the atmosphere. But remember,
that's 3 percent of the total we put in the atmosphere
every year. So it's a good idea. It's not likely to
happen very soon, unfortunately.
How about trees? This comes under the heading of one
of those really happy solutions to a problem. Trees take
carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere. They make wood out
of it, and later you can cut the tree down and burn the
wood and start all over again. It's a wonderful thing to
do. So just how many trees will it take? And sort of the
bottom line is that to get to the point in 2030 when we've
increased this burning coal by 5 billion tons a year, we
will have had to plant 13,000 trees per second starting now
every second, day and night, of the year for 25 years just
to stay even. And, you know, that's -- that's a lot of
trees, and it would take about four times the land area of
the United States to accommodate those trees. It's a great
solution, but it's not gonna do it for us.
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Then, of course, biomass fuels, we all talked a lot of
about ethanol. We've read about it. Frankly, there's an
ethical question about using good agricultural land anc
fresh water to grow fuel to put in your SUV. But there
are -- there are ways to make ethanol from waste biomass
products, from waste paper, sugar cane bagasse. It's
expensive, but it's -- it will get better. We will be able
to use ethanol at least for a fraction of our
transportation fuel needs. How much? Maybe 10 to 20
percent, I would hope. But I don't think it's gonna be
much more than that just from the waste biomass technology.
Anyway, go on with that.
Biodiesel I currently like very much. And when I
resigned from being dean and I spent a year trying to
figure out what we were gonna do about energy, ethanol had
a number of problems. One was relatively low energy
density. And biodiesel looked good. But it's -- it
confronts many of the same problems that ethanol does.
Mainly, you don't want to plant a lot of good agricultural
land, like we're doing with corn to make ethanol now, which
is kind of a scandal, in -- in something that makes fuel.
It's not a great idea. Population's growing. We don ' t
want people starving to death because of our greed for
filling our SUVs.
The best plant in the land, actually, is an oil palm.
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It's a lot better than seed crops. But even for the oil
palm, the best land plant, it would take all of Oahu and
Kauai covered in oil palm to provide our ground
transportation fuel in Hawai'i alone. So it may make a
difference, but it's ecologically not a great idea.
I'm going to skip through this fairly quickly because
my time is running short.
But the point about algae is they're kind of the Holy
Grail of the biodiesel world simply because algae reproduce
so fast and produce so much biomass in such a short time
compared to land plants and that if you can find a way to
grow them rapidly, you can extract the oil, which is about
30 percent by weight, and you actually you can use the rest
of the biomass remaining for energy production by making
biogas. And so -- so the actual net energy after you put
all of the costs of planting and -- planting and building
and doing all the work or operations you need, the relative
net energy for biodiesel from algae, if you include the
biogas produced from the remainder of the biomass, is about
100 times that of the best land plants for biodiesel and
for -- frankly, for ethanol.
So more capitally intensive. You have to build ponds.
This is Mauna Laia. It's a kind of a mock-up. This hasn't
happened. We would like it to, see it happen, of course.
This is a little plant from which the oil and which the oil
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is extracted from the algae. This is the power plant. It
feeds you carbon dioxide, which is one of the best things
that algae do. They love concentrated carbon dioxide.
They absorb it all. They take the nitrous oxides out of
the effluent gas from the power plant. They feed you back
something you can actually burn in the power plant again,
so the carbon could actually be burned several times rather
than just once or twice. It's a wonderful way to reduce
002 in the atmosphere.
And then quickly, this is my personal opinion. The --
what can the government do? Well, I think a revenue
neutral tax on gas guzzlers, just exactly as Jeff
described, where the Hummers cost a lot more, and the
benefits from -- to the people who buy gas -- buy efficient
cars actually come from the overage that people pay for the
Hummers, I think instead of offering incentives to its
agencies, the State needs to mandate energy retrofits of
the government buildings. Just do it. Don't -- you know,
don't try to make it pretty for them. Just tell them they
have to do it. Solar water heating on all new
construction, it's a slam dunk. Tax gasoline, but make it
revenue neutral so that people who do take the bus actually
can save -something on their income tax as well as not
having to pay for expensive gas. There's a much longer
list. Outlaw incandescent light bulbs. Forget about it.
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Don't try to give people incentives. Those are -- those
are the issues that all focus on conservation right now.
In the long-term, the fuel issues, how we drive our
cars or our ships or our trains is still going to rely on
finding a renewable fuel that succeeds in avoiding
occupying agricultural land and destroying potential food
sources in the future. I like algae. Of course, we
started a company to make it work, and we're working very
hard on that, and we have significant negotiations now with
people who want to do this. So I think it is the wave of
the future. How much land does it take? If you supplied
all the diesel fuel needs for the United States, it would
take the -- about one-third of the Gadsen Purchase lands.
And I hope you all remember geography from the fifth grade
when you learned about the Gadsen Purchase. It's not a lot
of land. It looks like a lot, but it's really all that
much.
Thanks very much.
This little thing right here -- my favorite website is
Google Earth. That's Lake Tahoe. If it's a hundred meters
deep, all the oil the world will ever burn will fit in that
little blue spot. It's a wonderful thing to think about,
isn't it? All these wars we fight over something that fits
into a small little space like that. Well, anyway, that's
energy density. Thank you very much.
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THE MODERATOR; Thanks a lot, Barry.
OPTIONS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONTROLLING GHG EMISSIONS
Q u e s t i o n and Answer S e s s i o n
THE MODERATOR; Okay. We've got questions -- for
those of you who weren't here this morning, in the back' of
your packet there are these green sheets for questions.
And there are folks in the aisles or on the sides that are
collecting these. We'11 go through as many as we can.
We'll take them in order, so it's first come, first served.
First question is for Brian Kealoha. You suggested
turning lights off when not in the room. If the lights are
needed frequently, does it save electricity to frequently
turn off and on lights, or does it actually use more
electricity.
MR. KEALOHA; Yeah, that's a myth that's been out
there for quite a while. It's actually -- if you're not --
if the lamp isn't on, you're not using electricity, so you
should turn if off when you're not in the room. The
only -- the only thing that comes into play there is with
fluorescent lamps you want to make sure that the burn
hours -- you can reduce the life of the lamp, but there is
ballasts out there that acknowledge that. So the general
rule of thumb is if you're not in the room and you're not
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using the space, turn out the light.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Brian.
For saltwater -- this is for David. For saltwater
air-conditioning, what is the seawater pipe diameter and
length and depth, and what type of public hearing or EIS
process will be involved with seawater air-conditioning?
MR. REZACHEK: Well, we're limited on the seawater
pipe to a about 63-inch diameter pipe. That's pretty much
the state of the art for high density polyethylene and for
the suction limits on the pipe. We're gonna -- that type
of pipe would supply enough air-conditioning --
MR. HASHIRO: Could you speak into the microphone.
The mic, please.
That type of pipe would supply enough
air-conditioning for all the buildings in downtown or about
25,000 tons. Just to give you an idea of what a ton is,
it's an antiquated measure of one ton of ice melting over
24 hours. But say a hotel room might be half a ton, and
your average home might be 2 to 5 tons. That gives you an
idea of what a ton is.
DR. RALEIGH
MR. KEALOHA
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already reviewed, but they're waiting for some information
on approval for that site.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, David.
This is for Jeff Mikulina. With the probability of an
increase in hurricanes, should we allow an increase in the
density for the population near the shoreline?
MR. MIKULINA: I don't know if I like this approach
where the questions don't come from the person. Don't you
get to see your accuser?
But it's a great question though, and that's something
that I don't know how much it's been discussed today.
Inevitably there are going to be consequences of globa..
climate change, and we're going to have to respond. The
IPCC environmental panel on climate change calls for an
approach called managed retreat from our coastlines. When
you think of the alternative, unmanaged retreat or letting
nature do it for us, it's much more attractive to have
policies in place where we build further away from the
coastline. This is something that, regardless of climate
change or not, it make senses both for recreation, for
visual beauty, for the -- just the environment itself. But
it will be more important, and we'll be working with the
legislature hopefully to increase our setbacks from the
coastline a couple hundred feet or at least in a way that
it's actually linked to the science of erosion. I'm sure
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Chip talked about that this morning, erosion-rate-based
setback. So it's not arbitrary. It's actually related to
what's happening in nature, and we need to get away from
the o c e a n .
THE MODERATOR: Actually, Chip said the beaches were
gonna be gone, and he was going to do a change of careers,
gonna become a groundwater hydroioglst because of the
increasing sea level.
This is for David. Isn't OTEC already available as a
technology and not 20 years in the future? And what's the
source of future energy eventually in the long term?
MR. REZACHEK: Well, as you can see from the -- one of
the slides I had, I think that OTEC probably has the
greatest promise for Oahu. Yes, OTEC is available now, but
it's not available in the hundred megawatt scale size. So
we need to probably do a 5 megawatt OTEC plant and then
scale up to a hundred megawatts from there. Certainly we
could accelerate that process. Virtually every component
in the system is off-the-shelf now. The only concern that
some people have is the pipe size, which has to be very
large. There are a number of developers out there who have
solutions to that, so I think, yes, it could be done much
sooner than 20 years, probably the next 10 years.
THE MODERATOR: And the second question was. What do
you think the long-term energy source is?
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on
ng
give
MR. REZACHEK: Well, I think we need a mix of all
different energy sources. I don't think we can depend
any one source as we're doing right now. We're dependi
mainly on fossil fuels. We have to have a mix. You saw
the equivalencies of all the different technologies. 1
wasn't saying any particular -- any particular technology
was more important than the other. In fact, I would
promote the use of all those technologies, which would
us much more than 20 percent by 2020.
THE MODERATOR: Thank you.
Another one for Jeff; Why isn't population growth
being addressed since human beings are the cause of global
warming? And since population is growing exponentially,
all the source production will have to increase. Is the
energy, quote, renewable sources exponentially benefit
infinite.
MR. MIKULINA: Again, you know, that's an excellent
question. I don't know if it's — it hasn't probably been
addressed today, and it's not being addressed. That is,
the foundation of all of these issues is really population
growth. There is a glimmer of hope in that equation
though. Some of the predictions in the seventies we've
seen haven't come true. Some of the population curves
leveled off. In fact, some of the -- we'll say developed
countries -- Scandinavian countries, for example, are
have
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actually experiencing negative population growth. Their
population pyramids are inversed so much so that the
government in Denmark is a little bit worried about their
future and a couple years ago had an ad campaign
encouraging couples to take the afternoon off and go home
and see what happens.
But no, it's certainly a concern because we're seeing
obviously a huge development, huge growth in population in
countries we'll call developing, and they all have a hunger
for the same sort of life-style that we're enjoying. So I
think our challenge is to have them leapfrog the painful
evolution we went through and hopefully get right to the
low carbon solutions that don't mean a lot of sacrifice but
are definitely different than what we've experienced.
But population is at the root of that. The Sierra
Club has a strong position on population growth. We have a
partnership with Planned Parenthood called Planet for the
Planet- And it certainly is, again, the big driver behind
most of these issues.
THE MODERATOR: So Sierra Club's not advocating people
take the afternoon -- couples take the afternoon off?
MR. KEALOHA: Well, go ahead and do so, but do it
wisely.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. This one's for Barry. The
problem with using trees as carbon sinks is they can burn,
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returning C02 into the atmosphere. Climate change is
causing drier conditions in some regions. How is this
challenge being addressed?
DR. RALEIGH: If you step back from the microphone a
little bit, I have a trouble hearing you because of the
echo. Say it again.
THE MODERATOR: The problem with using trees — trees
as carbon sinks is they can burn -- or they can burn,
returning 002 to the atmosphere. Climate change is causing
drier conditions in some regions. How is this challenge
being addressed?
DR. RALEIGH: I don't know. Jeff, why don't you try
that.
MR. MIKULINA: Actually, I don't think Shanah has
responded yet.
DR. RALEIGH: Okay.
MS. TREVENNA: It's true.
It seems that that can be addressed thinking about
carbon credits in a way.
Of course. Somewhere my grandfather who's been
telling me to slow down for 30 years is smiling.
So it seems like there's two questions in there. But
with using trees as carbon sinks, when we -- I guess when
money is spent to offset your carbon use, it's now being
encouraged, but to go with -- use -- invest in renewable
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energy. So that's one -- that's one thing we're turning
away from. But as far as actually absorbing carbon in
another way, I actually don't know another way besides
that. If -- does anyone else in the panel? Right. So I
guess the best you can do is if you're doing carbon oxiding
is to invest in renewable energy rather than replanting.
But it doesn't -- doesn't feel intuitive, I have to admit.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks Shanah.
Now this is for Barry again. Doesn't coal have
enormous social, labor, and environmental impacts other
than greenhouse gas emissions?
DR. RALEIGH; You'll have to tell me again. I'm
sorry. My hearing's not good.
THE MODERATOR; I said. Doesn't coal have enormous
social, labor, and environmental impacts other than
greenhouse gas emissions?
DR. RALEIGH; Oh. Yes.
THE MODERATOR: Thank you, Barry.
DR. RALEIGH; In a word, it's — in West Virginia
you -- some of the places you really don't want to go
anymore. It's a beautiful state. There is -- there is a
big environmental price to pay for mining coal at the rates
and volumes that we're mining it. It doesn't mean that it
isn't reparable, but it's a long time before it can
recover, the landscape can recover to something like a
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normal landscape. What else are you gonna do I guess is
the issue. So nuclear power doesn't seem to be any more
palatable for a whole host of different reasons.
THE MODERATOR: Okay, On that note, this is for
Shanah. And I've asked her to speak slowly, and I won't do
it for 30 years. Do you see Sustainable Saunders as
extendable to the entire Manoa campus? Also, why aren'
all the buildings on campus metered, both for electricity
and water?
MS. TREVENNA: Thank you so much for asking that
question. I definitely believe Saunders should be a model.
The buildings are divided into different categories, so
there are some buildings that are labs that use actually a
bit more energy, but a lot of them are very similar to
Saunders, first of all.
And metering is the key, in my opinion. If we can
show communities the information they need to make
decisions in their lives, and if we can take the savings
that occur and put them into revolving fund that then is
invested back into the community, even -- either in the
form of incentives or in revolving funds for grants for
more sustainable projects, then the community actually has
in its hands the power and the incentive to make decisions.
So a metered building where that information is shown on a
daily basis -- you can walk in and see it on a screen or
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kiosk -- would give people in the community a reason if
there's -- being able to see the energy data would give
people incentive, would give them the tool to know where
they're at and how their behavior can -- is reducing the
amount of energy use in their room or their floor.
If the money that they actually save goes back into
their hands, I think that's the most powerful way of
getting people to change their behavior. Once we show and
prove that behavior modification makes the impact that I
think it will, I think other buildings will adopt that, and
I think a dollar incentive will be one that other buildings
are excited about as well.
MR. MIKULINA: I'd like to add something else to that
as well because I think you're right on. And the other
portion of it is really the structure of these different
buildings. You know, the study that was done for
Sustainable Saunders pointed out a lot of opportunities
there for efficiency. But how do we get -- how do we move
forward on that? And the first part of that is looking at
the longer range benefits of being, you know, more
efficient and more renewable and appropriating those funds
for the longer term, which will include also the metering
so people can see behaviorally what they're doing, coupled
with the infrastructure of the building, will really help
making Saunders really a demonstration model for the rest
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of the campus that can be easily employed.
THE MODERATOR; Good. Thanks. Thanks very much.
This is for anybody on the panel. Rumor has it that
all of the recyclable material -- all recycling materials
are burned or shipped off island ostensibly to the third
world -- to third world landfills. What happens when we
drop a bottle in the blue bin? If it ends up in the power
plant what's the point?
MR. MIKULINA: I don't know why you're looking at 'me.
Seventeen percent of Americans also believe in alien
abduction.
But it is true we do recycle offshore. Most of the
recycling happens either in China or in California, anc
we're probably not going to see any heavy recycling
industry here. Most of that stuff though is shipped. It's
not sent to H-Power, regardless of what the current mayor
is suggesting, that incineration is recycling. True
recycling is taking place, albeit in California or
elsewhere. There are -- there are other issues obviously
surrounding recycling plastics, recycling aluminum. It's
energy intensive, and there's probably other moral
questions about who is actually doing the work, but that's
the situation that we're in now.
But it does save energy. I think the calculation s
about 5,000 bottles or cans is about a ton of energy or
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greenhouse gas savings. There's a minor cost for shipping,
but the marine cost, these boats are going back largely
empty anyways, so it's not that large in the equation. But
chat's the current situation we have. Recycling is still
far beneficial than throwing it in our landfill or
incinerators.
THE MODERATOR: The person with this handwriting must
be Jeff's straight person because it was another question.
I was wondering if you would talk more about the structural
and institutional barriers to change, like corporations or
racism or class or corporate-owned media. You mentioned
Wal-Mart, for example.
MR. MIKULINA: Okay. How much time do we have?
Wal-Mart's a great example, actually. And we beat up
on them for a lot of reasons, rightfully, but they're the
big, hundred pound gorilla. They contracted with Rocky
Mountain Institute to look at how they can save some
energy. One of the impacts is they move so many goods.
This is a company that does what, 300 billion dollars in
revenue a year. They move so many goods across the country
that just small changes to their trucks, putting on
baffling on the semi-trucks to make them more aerodynamic,
saves them a huge amount of money.
Similarly, on their products that they sell side, as
soon as they started carrying compact fluorescents and
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promoting those, you reached a whole 'nother spectrum of
the audience that Sierra Club probably isn't gonna reach
and maybe some of the folks here even have difficulty
reaching because they don't spend a lot of time at
Wal-Mart. So in that way they can be huge change agent's-
Structural and other problems, yeah, everywhere.
Again, these barriers, it's not -- it doesn't take a rocket
scientist to realize some of the barriers that exist that
prevent people from doing the right thing.
One story, it's kind of stale now, but about five
years ago there was a clear institutional barrier at the
Department of Education here. Someone can correct me if
I'm going astray, but they wanted to do daylighting in
of the schools. They showed, as Shanah talked about,
daylighting is great for a lot of reasons, lower energy
costs. They've even shown higher test scores in schools
when people had natural light. But as soon as they went
out and tried to do this, the Department of Education came
back and said. We have a rule of no holes in our roof,
we can't do daylighting. And it was a rule that was
written down somewhere probably for expense reasons at
point in time, but it was a huge hurdle, and it prevented a
very good idea from taking root, and I don't know if that
ever got resolved.
But those are some barriers that can make doing the
some
so
some
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right thing very difficult. There's infinite others, but
it would take all afternoon.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. We'll give Jeff a break.
I think this is probably for Brian. Is there a
problem recycling or disposing of compact fluorescent
lights?
MR. KEALOHA: That's probably the biggest issue that
we've found, that California.-- Canada's looking into that.
It's the same thing that's coming up in California, that
there is a mercury content within compact fluorescent
lamps. And are we ready to handle, if we were to outlaw
incandescents, the amount of recycling that would be
required? So it is an issue. I guess with every good
thing there's a little bit of bad. They are beginning --
you know, manufacturers are moving forward and putting in
low mercury lamps to try to get around this problem. But
as it exists today, if you were to outlaw a technology
completely, you would have some recycling issues.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Brian.
This one's for Barry. It's about algae for biofuels.
Would you use local algae, native or local algae? Would
you use -- would it be genetically modified? And how would
you keep it separate from native species if it is imported
or modified?
DR. RALEIGH: Well, at least in our own case, we're
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not -- we're not using anything except for very normal
algae that -- the species that we've used so far actually
come -- were collected in Hawai'i.
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory actually
sponsored a program back in the eighties for producing
biodiesel or diesel feedstock from algae. And it was a
huge program, 25 million dollars. They collected algae, a
lot from warm climates because they seem to do better here,
as you -- if you have a swimming pool, you well know. And
consequently, that collection, subsequent to the closing of
the program, actually has arrived -- has been at the
University of Hawai'i. So we had access to ail the algae
that were collected at that time. And the ones we're using
right now that we're screening have come from Hawai'i
itself. But there are others -- there are others that have
come from other states or other places and sort of the
subtropical United States that hopefully could be useful in
the future.
We have not developed, nor are we working on
developing, a gene-spliced organism. And a GMO -- the GMO
is an inaccurate description for what you do, but what it
really means is it's a chimera. You take genetic material
from some other organism and stuff it into another one, and
you -- you develop a creature that you're nervous about
because you don't know what it might do. And we -- we re
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not doing that. That's kind of a no-no. Just -- it avoids
too many -- it raises too many problems, and we're just not
gonna do it-
THE MODERATOR: Thanks, Barry.
This is addressed to Shanah, but I think it could be
Shanah or Jeff. It's questionable that the present
generation of leaders are going to be able to reverse
global warming. Our best hope may be the world's youth.
What do you feel is the best way to get them involved in
positive action?
MS. TREVENNA: There's a quote from a student in
California who's 25, and he said. It's no longer time for
empty protests and frustration and anger. It's just time
to step up and do every small thing we can to make a
difference. And it seems to be what's echoing across
campuses, that there are student leaders on every campus
that are rising up in a way that we -- that's different
from the sixties. We're united through the Internet and
through MySpace, that sort of technology. We all have cell
phones. We can reach each other. We are able to travel to
see each other and get together. And the vibe is really
constructive.
So I think that, you know, even in the U-N.'s
step-by-step protest to evolve a community, they say the
first thing to do is to unite the fire souls, and those are
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the people that just are really passionate. And when they
find each other, it's almost like a little cluster of
light. They create a beacon and somehow -- I've only
been -- I moved here from Canada in August, and already
we've formed a large student group on campus called the
HUB, standing for "help us bridge," not watch us protest.
You know, it's a different -- it's a different energy. So
it's happening really, really, really fast by -- I would
say the only thing that needs to happen on campuses is
we get given the green light as much as possible. Ever
that
time that happens, it seems to be really, really successful
and move quickly. The only time there's ever a lag is when
there's a rule, kind of like Jeff was talking about.
For instance, why don't we have solar on every roof on
the campus? There's one small rule in procurement that
we're working on right now to figure out. So it's only
when we're blocked. So I would say allow the students to
unite, allow them to communicate and travel to see each
other and give them the green light as much as possible.
MR. MIKULINA: Let me follow up. You mentioned this
current generation of leaders, and I think the underlying
thought behind that is that we somehow have these leaders
that will be in there for the next number of years, and we
forget that we're fortunate that we live in this democracy
where in the next two to four years we can have a whole
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brand new set in every level of government. So it's really
up to the people, up to us to select those leaders.
I think with this issue things are happening so
quickly, there's just, like I said, a sea change, support
that's growing behind this issue, and particularly through
young people looking at the future and seeing how this is
going.to impact their lives in a dramatic way. I think
it's going to be just controlling that flood of interest
and getting the right people in office.
Just as a side note, I've been going around giving a
talk -- I see some other people in the room -- the Gore
talk of the Inconvenient Truth presentation, given it about
20 times. Two audiences stand out as being the best by
far. One was the Kahala Nui senior center. It was an
afternoon talk, and it was an hour of a hundred percent
attention, a lot of incredible questions, just really
involved, great. I don't know if it was the medications
that day or what, but it was impressive. Their questions
were. What can we do about it? I'm 85 years old. What can
I possibly do? Give us money.
The earlier one was Punahou School, and it was the
sophomore class at Punahou School right before lunch, and I
was dreading it because I remember being a sophomore in
high school, and the last thing I want is some dude giving
a Power Point- But it was fascinating. I mean, the
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questions that were asked were beyond me, just all eyes
glued. And it was kind of taken back. Steve Meeter
[phonetic], who some people might know, his son was
actually in the audience, and I didn't realize it, and
later Steve told me that his son brought up the talk and
said. This guy was talking about climate change. We get it
already. Just tell us what to do. So that was kind of
encouraging that, you know, no longer do we have to be
going through the charts and talking about the science.
They get it. What do you do next? What's the next step?
What are the best solutions? How can we be effective? So
that's how they respond.
MS. TREVENNA: I just have to quickly agree with that.
Never in one conversation with any of the student groups on
campus has there had to be a debate whether climate change
is real or not. So we're just starting on a unified
platform of let's just get something done in any way
possible. And no one has lost steam. These students have
taken on projects because we use that whole pull philosophy
of push, and we really try to reposition sustainability as
something that's fun, something that's really progressive
and -- and even one of our logos is Sustainability Is Sexy,
which got a whole article written up in the paper when
someone wore one of our T-shirts on the Big Island and got
questioned about where that T-shirt came from. Just make
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it fun, and just
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The Moderator.)
THE MODERATOR: Okay. If everybody could have their
seat, we're getting into the home stretch. And we have
three speakers and then some final closing remarks from the
folks from Hawaiian Electric. And while everybody's
sitting down, because -- because Mike Hamnett had a prior
engagement at a toga party, as for those of you who
remember me from this morning, I'm Terry Surles from Hawaii
Natural Energy Institute. So with that, I think we'll get
underway.
Carl Freedman -- again, all the biographies are in the
back of the materials you all have received. Carl Freedman
is the first speaker. Carl.
INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO THE IRP PROCESS
HOW DOES THE REGULATORY PROCESS WORK WITH GREENHOUSE GAS?
Mr. Carl Freedman, Hai)cu Design and Analysis
MR. FREEDMAN: Hello everyone. Can you hear me oliay?
AUDIENCE MEMBER: Aloha.
MR. FREEDMAN: I was having a little trouble hearing.
I'll give my sympathy here to the court reporter. It was
challenging for me. If somebody can't hear, just give me a
little wave back there.
I'm going to keep my comments focused on a very narrow
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aspect of all of this, and I'm also going to treat it in a
cursory manner, so things should be concise, I hope. I'm
going to focus on Act 226, which is the house greenhouse
emissions bill, and I'm going to focus on the interaction
that that has with the Integrated Resource Plan process and
the utilities in particular.
House Bill 226, as I understand it, has not been
signed by the governor, but we don't know that it will be.
It doesn't have an act number, yet so I'm just going to
call it House Bill 226 for now, but it's our greenhouse
emissions bill. It sets out a very clear policy about
greenhouse emissions. We're gonna -- Hawai'i is to reduce
emissions to 1990 levels by the year 2020. As far as
policy goes, that's about as clear as you can get. It sets
out a process and some criteria that describe how that
policy is gonna be implemented.
The criteria are to divide -- to determine the maximum
practically and technically feasible and cost-effective
reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, and it identifies a
process that forms a task force that is to prepare reports
and recommendations to the legislature to -- for analysis
and gather information and ultimately, by the year 2012,
after this has been perhaps acted on further by the
legislature and rules have been drafted by the Department
of Health, should result in some sort of mandates and
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rules.
Now to some of us in the IRP process, who have been in
the IRP process, some of these elements and approach seem
rather familiar. We're starting with a policy. In the IRP
process we start with identifying what the objectives are
and what the criteria we're going to use to determine what
resource mix or what plans will be selected, and then
there's an information-gathering phase where we look at
demand forecasts and supply options and demand-side
management options. There's an analysis section where
we're doing some analysis. And ultimately, there's a
recommendation made about a plan, and then it goes on for
review by decision-making and then implementation. So
there's some parallel approach here in terms of policy
then analysis, decision-making, and implementation.
And, of course, there are some differences that I
to highlight. First of all, the state policy in Act 226 is
regarding reductions in all sectors. And the IRP process,
of course, involves the utility sector. And, of course, we
know that a substantial portion of greenhouse emissions are
other than utility. Act -- or House Bill 226 also
addresses greenhouse gases in particular with consideration
of other factors whether -- where IRP addresses a whole
list of factors, one of which may be greenhouse gases.
The venues are different. The statewide process is
and
want
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gonna be done by a task force, and decisions will be made
ultimately by the legislature and the Department of Health
and rule-making whereas the IRP process is the utility
process implemented by the utilities, and ultimately
decisions are made by the PUC. But these -- these
similarities and differences are important to understand
the relationships between House Bill 226 and the IRP
process.
So I want to talk about a few ideas, and I don't want
to pretend to have done any exhaustive -- exhaustive
analysis of all of this. In preparation for this, I read
the statute carefully and scratched my head and thought
about what I knew about the IRP process. But I haven't
actually talked to very many people out there about what --
how this all may spin out. And in my experience, really,
that's that you have to do to figure out how things are
gonna work, is to get a lot of people's ideas. So I feel
like I'm talking a little blind. So maybe some of you will
take me up in the questions and enlighten me about some of
this.
But here are some thoughts. I think it's clear that
House Bill 226 eventually may provide some specific
mandates to the IRP process and to the utilities, but we're
not there yet. Right now HB 226 has established a policy,
and although that policy is very clear, it still does not
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get to any specific mandates that need to be met by utility
sector. It has policy, criteria, and a process, but th
analysis section and the decision-making and the rules
are -- they're still gonna happen. So in terms of the
short term, we have -- we have no clear mandate to the PUC
or no clear mandate to the utilities as to do anything
particular in particular now. An example, the state
policy, of course, is a statewide mandate, but it has not
been determined what percentage of that will be met by the
utility sector.
In the near term, I think one thing Integrated
Resource Planning can do is inform the task force, I mean,
regarding that particular issue. How should reductions be
allocated to the different sectors? And a corollary
question that you have to ask is. What is the cost of unit
production by sector? You know, is it cheaper for the
utilities to reduce greenhouse gases than it is for the
transportation sector? Or how much reduction can be
obtained in these different sectors? Those are questions
that the task force needs to answer. And I think the
Integrated Resource Planning process can inform that
decision. The -- it's an optimization type of analysis
where you look -- you can look at different scenarios. You
can figure out if we were to do this, it would cost that
much. You can provide information that way that could be
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valuable to -- to the task force.
So basically I guess what I'm trying to get across
here is I think that Integrated Resource Planning is a good
venue for analysis. It provides a lot of good information.
Integrated Resource Planning is also a venue for
implementation and enforcement. And regarding House Bill
226, I think the first role it has to play, I'm suggesting,
would be to provide some information to the process,
provide information to the task force. And ultimately,
when the task force has something to say about -- about
that reductions must be taken into account, then Integrated
Resource Planning process -- it would be an effective way
to implement that.
I want to talk a little more particularly now about
greenhouse gases in the IRP process itself. And I -- I
want to make the point right off that I'm throwing some
ideas out there. There are a lot of different ways this
could go, and certainly the Public Utilities Commission has
an enormous amount of discretion about this. The PUC could
sit in the back seat on this issue until it has to do
something, or the utility -- or the Commission could be a
real policy driver. Without any further requirement by the
legislature, the PUC could push the issue. That's up to
them, similarly with the utility. The utility doesn't have
quite as much discretion as the PUC. They have to do what
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the PUC says in most cases, but the PUC -- but the utility
can push this process along. I mean, we're all here today
at the initiative of the utility, as I understand it, to
look at this issue.
So in the IRP process we start with the objectives and
the criteria that we're gonna -- that are used to evaluate
plans. And those -- those objectives are usually
identified by the utility. And they have always included
gas emissions, and I think carbon emissions have been
identified as a list of criteria along with cost,
minimizing cost, reliability, environmental impact,
economic effects, a whole list of criteria.
And one thing is I think the Commission also could
step in and identify some objectives. In fact, in the IRP
framework it explicitly says that the Commission can
identify specific objectives at the beginning of the IRP
process. I don't think it's ever done this explicitly. I
haven't seen the most recent orders that have come out so
I don't know if they have in the most recent round.
The other -- the other aspect of objectives and
criteria is that they can be — they can either be things
to be optimized in the process, like which one of these are
the cheapest, or which has the least environmental effect,
or how much can we reduce carbon emissions? They can also
be stated as specifications. In other words, all plans
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will meet these specifications. Like system reliability is
treated that way, for example. All the plans that are
looked at in IRP provide reliable service to all the
customers.
And, you know, greenhouse gas emissions, if they
become a mandate, could graduate from something to be
optimized to something that's simply specified. All the
plans will meet the greenhouse emissions targets that are
set by whomever in the future when those are -- when those
are set.
And similarly, in the IRP process we can look at
different scenarios. We've looked at many different types
of definitions of candidate plans or scenarios to meet
particular things. You know, what wouid happen if we were
to maximize the use of renewables? How much would that
cost? approaches like that to answer questions. And
certainly one thing, and perhaps in the next round of IRP
or as a separate study parallel to the IRP or using the IRP
tool -- analysis tools, that type of information could be
looked at to aid the task force. How much will it cost per
unit of reduction using various of those strategies? And
along that line, even aside from the IRP process, the
utility, using some of the IRP tools, could address
specific questions.
And the last -- the last specific part of the IRP
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framework -- I mean, there's part of the IRP framework says
that all utility plans shall comport with normally adopted
state and county plans. I mean, it sounds like I'm
reciting that verbatim. That's a. paraphrase, And the PUC
has not felt compelled in the past to obey policies unless
it's mandatory. But clearly if 226 graduates to the point
of being mandatory, it's clear that the IRP framework would
follow any mandates on the state and county level.
So in addition to the IRP process, the Public
Utilities Commission could open a separate investigative
docket. I'm not recommending anything here. I'm just kind
of going through options. And actually, there are some
things that could happen outside of the PUC's jurisdiction,
I want to mention, that wouldn't be done by the PUC. One
example, I know a number of people have talked about carbon
taxes. And one option that we explored in a study for the
forum was to take the existing taxes on utilities that are
on revenues and take the same amount of taxation, you know,
revenue neutral, but denominate it by carbon. So you take
the same amount of money, but instead of per dollar, it's
per amount of carbon. And that amounts to about 1.1 cents
per kilowatt hour. So you'd be shifting -- you'd be giving
an incentive then to non-carbon-emitting solutions of about
a penny, little over a penny a kilowatt hour.
And I think the moderator's walking. I've got one
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minute.
I guess the last thing I want to leave you all with, I
have it down here as "just worms" as the last topic, as the
last topic. I feel sometimes talking about greenhouse gas
issues that we're on a veneer of analysis that's suspended
over a huge can of worms. And I think Henry pointed out,
made some good points about the need to look at some
details of the analysis. You need to look at details. And
if you just say emissions and you just look at tail pipes
and smokestacks and you don't dig any deeper, you may not
look deep enough to make sure that we're really doing
something constructive about global warming. You do need
to look at details, and I think this is gonna be a
challenge to the legislators, a challenge to the agency
administrators and the PUC to look at enough details for
the analysis to be meaningful, and yet if you really look
at the details and you dig deep enough, it's very difficult
not to get into a whole morass of details about how -- how
do you scope out the limits of all the different things?
How far do you take the impacts of carbon back to the mine
mouth or back to the workers in Indiana? Or, you know, how
far do you push the scope of this analysis? And I think
the challenge to the regulators is to look at the details
to get meaningful analysis, but don't get mired and lose
sight of the prize, which is to really -- really implement
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some forward-looking policy. Thank you.
THE MODERATOR: Thank you, Carl. And thank you for
being timely, too.
And now for a man who needs no introduction, because
he was introduced this morning, John Tantlinger.
HOW DOES THE STATE GOVERNMENT PLAY A ROLE?
Dr. John Tantlinger, DBEDT
DR. TANTLINGER: Well, hello again, and let's see if I
can get this up.
For anyone that was not here for my presentation t'his
morning, thank you very much for joining us this afternoon.
For those of you who were here for my presentation this
morning, thank you very much for joining us again this
afternoon. This is just as tough a crowd as it was this
morning.
AUDIENCE MEMBER: Yea.
DR. TANTLINGER; Actually, you know, I'11 be very
honest. I wasn't even prepared to do a Power Point
presentation this afternoon, but Henry Curtis inspired
In fact, I'll be brutally honest. I had not even prepared
this afternoon's presentation, but I'd given it
considerable anxious thought. And the name of the panel is
Incorporating Climate Change Into the IRP Process, and my
me.
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presentation was invited to provide comments on the
question. How does the state government play a role?
And I'd been considering talking with you about how
the state statutes assign different state agencies, you
know, their various missions and functions that would
support the state government's various roles in energy and
in BUS and IRP; and, for example, the Public Utilities
Commission as the quasi-judicial regulatory and
decision-making body; the Consumer Advocate's role of being
the representative of the ratepayers' interest in
regulatory proceedings and so forth; and those agencies and
other agencies, how they take their mission and functional
guidance on climate change and greenhouse gas policies from
any related laws that the legislature or even the federal
government might enact. And then assuming DBEDT would have
a role under those statutes, because of DBEDT's existing
statutory role with the Director as their state energy
resources coordinator, DBEDT would then also do its part in
implementing that policy guidance.
Then, as I was walking back to the office at lunchtime
from this morning's session, I had what I've heard referred
to in the past as a BFO -- a BFO, that's Bravo, Foxtrot,
Oscar -- a blinding flash of the obvious. And, you know,
maybe it's just my age. Maybe it's my memory going, but
state agencies actually are and have been involved in
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attempting to incorporate greenhouse gas reduction policies
into the IRP process for quite some time. And from this
point, what I'll do is be speaking about this from DBEDT's
perspective.
DBEDT's participated in all of the utility IRP
processes since IRP was adopted in this state. And DBEDT,
along with several other energy stakeholders, some of whom
are here today, advocated for and participated in the
development of Hawai'i's IRP framework. Since that time
our agency's primary role has been to assess, analyze,
provide information or recommendations and aims
specifically at encouraging and influencing the Hawai'i
utility, the utility IRPs, to comport with, as Carl said,
Hawai'i's state energy policy objectives, because that's
consistent with the IRP framework. And even absent IRP,
these state energy policy objectives are state law.
So this morning I presented background on the state's
greenhouse gas inventory estimates project. And then I
also showed you the findings of our recent preliminary
recalculation of those emission estimates. And what I
didn't cover this morning though were some of the outcomes
that might be directly or indirectly attributed to that
project as well as the phase two component of that project
where a variety of recommendations were contained to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions in the Climate Change Action Plan
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that was developed. In the interest of time, and frankly,
because I did run out of time putting this together, I'm
only gonna touch on a few. And I look forward to more
discussion after the panel presentations.
First, the greenhouse gas inventory project spanning
1994 to 1998 was a DBEDT initiative. But it became a
strategic partnership with DOH, UH Environmental Center,
DLNR, Department of Agriculture, PUC, counties and numerous
others. At the time only 12 other states had developed
greenhouse gas inventory estimates. And as I mentioned,
the two grants that we received from the EPA were
competitive awards. So Hawai'i's proposals had to compete
against several other states for the funding. DBEDT's
role -- and it has been and it continues to be one of
coordination, analysis, information, and initiatives to
develop and propose energy policy and planning initiatives
and advocate projects that have been evaluated and found to
be supportive of those state energy policy objectives.
And I think that the state's energy program,
particularly under Maurice Kaya's leadership, has done its
best to itself be a leader in these areas. And this means,
however -- you know, leadership means understanding one's
limitations and cooperating with others in order to
leverage their strengths and leverage their actions. An
example of that was how the greenhouse gas inventory
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project and the climate change action plan recommended
adding greenhouse gas reduction language to Hawai'i state
laws. However, getting that recommendation adopted was
something that actually took a great deal of cooperativt
effort and ultimately then the decision by the legislature
and the governor. And the result is shown on this and the
next slide thereafter.
In 2002 the legislature did enact a change to the
Hawaii Revised Statutes. Chapter 226-l8(a) easily state's
energy policy objectives, and you note up here -- if I can
get the pointer -- planning for state facility systems with
regard to energy be directed toward achievement of the
following objectives given due consideration to all. This
is one them: reducing, avoiding, sequestration of
greenhouse gas emissions from energy supply and use.
And this is a summary of the next level of detail in
that statute. And you can see them down here. These were
also adopted in 2002. This was just one of the
recommendations in the DOH/DBEDT Climate Change Action
Plan, development of which was due to the participation of
all those others stated. DBEDT's analytic review and
comments on Hawai'i utility IRPs from the very -- from the
time this began, these policy and policy objectives are
among the criteria that we use when we look at our IRPs and
provide comments back.
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Paraphrasing one of the speakers this morning, results
don't necessarily get accomplished by mandates, especially
when the mandates are not adequately funded. Now that's a
fact. But on the other hand, when it comes to changing
behavior in a society and an economy based on the rule of
law, I think it's at least a good place to start.
Now I've been with the state energy program for nearly
20 years. Prior to the greenhouse gas inventory project
and an enactment of these statutes, I don't recall
greenhouse gas emission estimates ever appearing in the
utilities' analyses of their own resource options in their
own plans. So from DBEDT's perspective, our role of
analysis, information, coordination, and development of
partnerships within the ER -- within the IRP process to
advance these objectives, I think they appear to be -- it
appears to be a useful role. It's important to emphasize
that our role includes in these partnerships the utilities
themselves. Because our perspective really is that our
constituencies, our customers, if you will, really
encompass all the energy stakeholders in the state, we
believe that it's consistent with the role that's been
designated to the Department and to the energy program
under the structure of the law that outlines the ERC's
functions and responsibilities.
Now in 2006 several very important energy laws were
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enacted. Again, in the nearly 20 years Maurice and I have
been with the state energy program, this energy legisla
was absolutely the most comprehensive ever. And those
tion
laws
reflect, we think, pretty much in some form the majority of
the energy -- the administration's energy policy proposal
in 2006. That was labeled Energy for Tomorrow. Prior to
that, the RPS law was also something that DBEDT played
part in. And many of these policies directly relate to
utility IRP processes, and to the extent that they reduce
greenhouse gases, they certainly relate.
Again, using greenhouse gas and carbon emissions as a
method of assessment, we did a conservative estimate of
what the governor's policy initiative would have produced
by the year 2020 in terms of benefits. And you can see
here that this is one of the major focus of that effort.
We think that the laws that were enacted in 2006 can
achieve similar benefits as you see estimated here as long
as they're implemented effectively and adequately
resourced.
Now — so from the State's — from DBEDT's
perspective, the State's role in IRP is to advance these
policies and other policies that relate that are passed by
the legislature, and we will continue, to the extent that
we are able and so chartered, to participate in the IRP
advisory process and other processes to advance those
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policy objectives.
So, again, thank you very much for this opportunity to
speak with you. And again, thanks to HECO for inviting
DBEDT. Thank you.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Thanks, John.
And now Darren Kimura is here, who's agreed to
summarize all the preceding 14 talks with his. Only
kidding, Darren. So Darren Kimura from Energy Industries.
WHAT KINDS OF THINGS CAN U T I L I T I E S BE DOING?
Mr. Darren Kimura, Energy Industries
MR. KIMURA: Okay. Let's see here. Can
everybody hear me okay?
Just a little bit of background on myself, I've been
doing energy in Hawai'i for about 14 years now, so a lot of
what we've done has been in efficiency. We've also done
some renewable energy development. But aside of that,
we've also done a lot of projects with utilities from
across --
THE MODERATOR: Darren, because we do have — sorry.
We do have a court recorder here, you got to slow down.
MR. KIMURA; Slow down. So I'm speaking faster than
she was.
Okay. But the point that I was trying to make with
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that is we have a lot of other experiences with other
utilities -- still too fast -- with other utilities across
the country as well as internationally. So my task was to
try and summarize what utility -- what kinds of things that
utilities can be doing to help prevent greenhouse gases,
and that is big task. That's quite a challenge. Now being
that we've sat through 14 different discussions already,
I'm gonna assume that you're all experts on the cause of
greenhouse gases and what's been -- what's going on out
there. So I'm not going to talk about any of that stuff in
my presentation here.
So what I wanted to do was really summarize it as four
major categories that utilities -- what utilities can be
doing to help combat greenhouse gases. Now, of course,
this is a big topic. Quite frankly, this is gigantic. And
there's a lot of different things: carbon sequestration,
different things with scrubbers. I've decided not to talk
about any of that, so I'm pretty much going to be focussing
on the support of clean green energy.
The four topics are projects, green power pricing
renewable energy certificates, and the feed-in tariff; on
the utility side, power purchase agreement and
interactions; on the education side, consumer outreach'; and
in investment, projects and companies. But at the core of
these four major things comes back to one major topic. and
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that's corporate transparency, letting us know what
utilities — not necessarily just Hawaiian Electric, but
utilities in general are trying to do, want to do, and will
allow us to do with them.
So the first thing that I did here was really kind of
identify what other utilities are doing out there. I took
a look at the Energy Information Agency and really found
that most utilities are doing something with regards to
green power selling.
Here's an example of a utility in Seattle, Seattle
City Light, where they have two major programs. One
program is called Green Up. That program allows consumers
to purchase green power, a percentage of green power
monthly for a fixed cost. That monthly charge then goes
back to a renewable energy developer to help them offset
the additional cost of producing power with their renewable
energy resource, whether it be wind or solar, geothermal or
other. So this additional cost that is on top of your
existing bill helps to incentivize other green projects to
occur in that utility territory. In Seattle I actually do
this for my place in Seattle. You can pay $3 and get 25
percent of your bill offset by green power all the way up
to 100 percent per month for $12. Again, that money is
being used to help build future green renewable energy
projects in those territories.
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Now on the other side, Seattle City Light is also
doing something very interesting. They also have a
voluntary program where you can donate any amount of money
that you want. That money goes into a fund which is
similar to a grant, and that fund is used to do community
outreach, community education, community type projects,
So, for example, they've actually done the installation of
photovoltaic on community centers, on parks. They use that
money to help incentivize that type of activity. So this
is already being done by Seattle City Light, as well as a
handful of other utilities around the country today.
Now another thing that can be done is the utility
facilitating the use of renewable energy certificates. Now
renewable energy certificates are also known as RECs.
Sometimes they're called green tags. Essentially, it's a
separate commodity. When you buy -- when you're an energy
project developer, you create your power from your -- let's
say we're talking about a wind project. You create your
power from your wind. On top of that you also have your
environmental goodwill, which is your REC. You can use
that REC and sell it to the public markets or to the local
and state markets if there's a commodities-based market
established. And you use that additional money to help
you -- basically help the economics of your projects. That
REC makes your project better. And I've got a slide which
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will show how that works.
So what I really wanted to do was really kind of have
this thing hit home, so what I decided to do was I
calculated all of the energy that I used in building this
presentation: the air-conditioning, the time, the gas to
get to the office, the electricity from the laptop
computer. Then I went to a website to purchase a REC. I
put it into the website in a very, very easy form, put the
kilowatt hours that I was using in, and basically was able
to purchase on line this certificate. So the presentation
that I'm delivering to you today is actually powered by
green power. I paid something like $57. I got the offset,
the renewable energy certificate, which went to a project
developer, to help me offset the cost of energy and the
emissions ultimately that I used to build this
presentation.
Now, of course, there are other things that you can
do. You can offset your car travel. You can offset your
air travel. I've actually been in airports where there are
kiosks similar to ATMs where you can actually go there,
input the designation to where you're going, pay a fee, and
you will then be using or purchasing an offset to help
incentivize, again, that problem to deliver the -- whether
it be reforestation or sequestration or green power
generation that is helping to basically offset your travel.
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Another thought that I had was, you know, I did this
for my presentation. Could these kind of things be done
for things like this, conferences like this? Yes. I was
at Sun Power 2006, and the entire conference was offset via
REC by a trader, and that was done in San Jose. So these
are the kinds of things that are being done by utilities
right now to help incentivize projects, green power
projects.
Now here's a slide I talked about earlier. How does
buying a green tag help a renewable energy project
developer? Well, essentially here's what it is. In this
case I picked a utility that was similar in size to
Hawaiian Electric. This utility is Atlantic City Electric.
They're also investor owned, about the same size as
Hawaiian Electric. They currently have a program where you
can purchase power from four different independent power
producers at a preset amount; in the case of the first
yellow box, 1.3 cents per kilowatt hour, which roughly
equates to about $9.10 a month for the offset from that
utility.
Now what does that mean for the energy project? Well,
essentially, if you were doing a 10 megawatt solar project,
at 13 cents per kilowatt hour, your revenues is about
2.3 million dollars. Not bad. Could be better, obviously,
if the -- excuse me -- the cost per kilowatt hour went up
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At 13 cents per kilowatt hour, it doesn't make a lot of
sense for a lot of green power producers to build their
projects. Generally speaking, you want to be at about
15 cents per kilowatt hour to make your projects make
sense.
Now when you add that green tag, that 1.3 cents per
kilowatt hour on top of the 13 cents per kilowatt hour, it
becomes a lot more economical. So at the end of the day,
what that means for the energy project developer is an
additional $236,000 a year. Now that's 10 percent for that
energy project developer. From a project developer's
standpoint, on a pro forma basis, that's huge. Most
utilities, most businesses struggle to get a one percent
profit out of their business. Here, by one cent, we' re
helping them get 10 percent. This makes a pro forma work.
This helps project developers build projects.
Now a lot has been done outside of the United States
to help incentivize green power or clean energy. One of
the biggest things, if you ask any project developer out
there, is the feed-in tariff. What exactly is a feed-in
tariff? Well, essentially, it allows renewable energy
projects to tie directly into the grid and sell their power
for a very, very high rate. At the end of the day, the
rate could be very high, as high as 60 cents per kilowatt
hour. So, for example, in Germany where they have a very
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famous feed-in tariff, people are installing photovoltaic
systems on their rooftops, selling back the power to the
utilities, and actually becoming net minus fuel emitters of
carbon. They're actually being -- they're actually selling
back all the environmental goodwill into the grid.
Here's an example of how the feed-in tariff works or
what it did, essentially. The yellow box there shows you
the landscape in Europe before feed-in tariff. When
feed-in tariff went into effect, it basically paid more for
green energy. As you can see, the bars go up. A lot more
people are doing it, and not just on the large scale, not
just on the utility scale, but also on the home scale. So
it essentially helped to kick-start the marketplace there.
And as a result of the European feed-in tariff, other
countries have also jumped in, Ontario being the last, but
also Portugal and Spain having very, very popular feed-in
tariff mechanisms now.
Now to make a feed-in tariff work, the utility has to
want to want it to work. At the end of the day, it doesn't
work if the utility is not going to work with the
government to make the feed-in tariff work. But this is
one of those kinds of things that utilities can be doing
today to help incentivize green power.
One of the other, I think, important things that heeds
to be done is good education to the consumer level, and not
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just the consumer, but the industry professionals as well.
We've got great programs like the Jade Moon commercials and
radio ads and you see print ads as well that you see now.
These are great, but they don't necessarily educate. They
do a great job of showing a bunch people in the audience
with compact fluorescents. But we need to educate. We
need to take it one step further. And I think the utility
has an opportunity to take a leadership role here in really
explaining what can be done from the installation of that
compact fluorescent lamp; workshops, for example, seminars,
public outreach events, taking it to the public to really
help them understand what can be done when you change that
compact fluorescent or when you install that photovoltaic
system up there.
Now the other big thing is we need to clear up the
misconceptions. There's a lot of propaganda circulating
out there, and at the end of the day, propaganda kills
projects. We need to make sure that everybody understands
the real economics, the real factors behind these energy
projects, these green energy projects, to allow them to
work. And ultimately, we need to get the public involved.
So what kinds of things can the utility be doing, helping
the consumers understand what we need, where we stand
today, and what their effect can be from doing some green.
Now from an energy project developer's perspective.
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ell
an
an
one of the most important things is your power purchase
agreement. That is your contract with the utility to s
your power directly into the utility grid. This is an
onerous process as it currently stands. Right now it's
11-page non-utility generator followed by a 93-page
Power Point on basically everything under the sun from
independent power producer's standpoint, and then you wait
two years. It's a long process that challenges the energy
project developer simply because a lot of times what we
need to make projects work is the investment tax credit,
the federal tax credits that help to offset the cost.
Those tax credits are generally a year to two years out.
When the NUG or the PPA takes two years to execute and
investment tax credit is up in a year, you really struggle
to try and get your project financing together.
One of the things that we can do here to streamline
this is to basically make it standardized. You know, help
us understand exactly the steps and the time lines between
that. I'm not necessarily saying make it shorter in time,
but help us understand the true economics behind what it
takes to get a PPA. So I'm suggesting the standardization
or even a guide to a PPA, if you will, that gets out there
to the energy project developer.
What else can utilities be doing? Well, a follow-up
to the PPA is what's known as the standard -- the
the
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interconnection agreement; that is, tying your system into
the utility grid. Generally speaking, when you do this,
every time you do this, you have to reinvent the wheel, and
that's a challenge. It's a cost factor, and it's a
variable cost. You don't necessarily know where you stand,
and you don't necessarily know a lot of factors as to how
long it will take from the utility side to get back to you
with regard to their work, and that's a challenge.
One of the things, again, we can do here is to
standardized this process and come up with possibly some
very simple metrics behind it. If you're installing a 50kw
PV system, here is your standard interconnection agreement,
and here's what you need to do. Here's exactly how much
you're going -- it is going to cost you. And I'm not even
suggesting it get that pinpointed. We could actually have
more of a generalized standards. But I think a set of -- a
standard system would be a really good next step in this,
standardizing interconnection agreements.
Another thing that utilities out there are doing a lot
of is they're investing in projects. They're actually
putting their money where their mouth is. They're not
just buying the green power. They're actually helping to
build the green power project. A good example, as you see
there, is a solar project that's been around for over 20
years in the California desert and generates 354 megawatts
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of power. That project is owned by Florida Power & Light.
That utility is a very dirty utility. They burn a lot of
coal and other things to generate their power. So now
they're creating a renewable energy practice to help offset
their dirty practices.
Another project that you see next to that is a wind
farm, again owned by Florida Power & Light, and that power
is sold to Austin Energy. And it's a relatively large
system, 280 megawatts of power.
It's happening internationally as well. In Spain,
four mega projects similar to that solar collector field
you see there are going up for a gigawatt of power. That' s
a lot of power. And those projects are also owned by
Spanish utilities. So these are things that are being
now.
done
Now Hawaiian Electric has a Renewable Hawai'i which
helps to do that, but I've also circled from the website
the last date that any kind of information has come out of
them. It was back in March of 2005. So these are the
kinds of things that could be done or continue to be done.
Or if it not, let us know where you stand with things pf
this nature.
Also in investment and research, we need -- we
understand that Hawai'i has a very unique grid. We have a
different kind of a peak period than most utilities have
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across the country. We understand we have seasonality. We
understand we're heavily based on tourism. So we need to
know, the community needs to know what kinds of renewable
energy systems work the best within the -- within the
overall grid that we face here in Hawai'i.
So to kind of wrap it up, what I did very, very
quickly was I went through a series of different utilities,
and I wanted to find out what they were doing in green
power. So I went to these utilities' sites, websites, and
I typed in buying -- buy green power. I went after the
investor-owned utilities because I wanted to see what the
effect was of the utilities that were adopting green
practices as it relates to their bottom line. And I went
after the larger utilities. Dark green was they -- I found
some very relevant information by doing this search. Kind
of light green is somewhat relevant information by doing
this search. And gray was not relevant by doing this
search.
Pacific Gas & Electric, five -- and I took the top
five search items that I found, five great things on
renewable energy, five great things on doing education for
the public, helping to green up the city. Oh, and by the
way, five great green things also means revenue went up and
profits went up.
Florida Power & Light, three green things, two
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somewhat green things, one not-so-green thing, somewhat
self-promoting. But also revenues went up; profits went
up.
Southern California Edison, five green things;
revenues went up; profits went up.
Duke Energy, one of the dirtiest utilities in the
country, five green things. Revenues went down, but
profits went up by 2 percent. And when you're as large as
Duke Energy, 2 percent of revenues going up are -- is
multimillions of dollars. That's a lot of money.
And^ of course, Hawaiian Electric, one green thing,
one somewhat green thing, three not-so-green things.
Revenues went down; profits went down. So I think there's
a direct correlation between doing what's good and also
what's green. And also, by the way, profits is green. So
I think that there's some kind of a correlation to be found
there.
So in summary, what can utilities be doing? Well
obviously, the first thing you should be doing is support
energy efficiency, the low-hanging fruit. But then
ultimately, support renewable energy by green programs,
Support complementary renewable technologies. Educate
public as well as professionals. And ultimately, be
transparent. Tell us what you really want. Don't say
thing -^ and I'm not suggesting this is happening, but
the
one
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utilities have a tendency to do this. Just tell us what
you want, and we can go out there and make it happen. You
can empower us to make something happen, something good
happen.
So I guess with that being said, I'll -- I'll wrap it
up and turn it back to Terry.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Thanks very much.
Okay. And again, my thanks to the court reporter.
We'11 give her a minute, and then we'11 start taking some
questions.
(Whereupon, a brief recess was taken.)
THE MODERATOR: By the way, before people start
sneaking out, I'd like to give you all a round of applause
for the majority of you staying here today, so thanks very
much. And thanks again to HECO, to Mina Morita for hosting
this event. I think it's incredibly useful.
INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO THE IRP PROCESS
Question and Answer S e s s i o n
THE MODERATOR; Okay. The first question, to John
Tantlinger: What is DBEDT recommending to the governor
concerning HP 226? Sign? Veto? Let pass without her
signature? That's the first of three, John, by the way.
DR. TANTLINGER: First of three?
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THE MODERATOR: Questions.
DR. TANTLINGER: Repeat the question?
THE MODERATOR: Oh, you want me to repeat the
question?
DR. TANTLINGER: No, no, no, no, no. I'm saying,
the three questions the same, whether DBEDT recommended
are
the
governor --
THE MODERATOR: I think — no, no, no. You won't get
off that easily.
DR. TANTLINGER: That's really a tough question, and
I'll tell you why. Let me put it this way: I'm really not
in a position to be able to answer that question, and
I'm -^ I have to be very honest. I mean, the comments and
recommendation -- this is my understanding, and if I'm
wrong, I will provide the information back to the folks who
were here through HECO. But my understanding -- and maybe
even someone in the audience who may know better than I, an
attorney, for example, with the State. But my
understanding is that the comment and recommendation sheets
that are provided between the agencies and governor are
considered working decision papers until such time as the
decision is rendered. Now if I'm wrong -- and I'm getting
a nod. So, unfortunately, I'm not in a position to answer
that question. I'm staff. I'm not a policymaker. That is
a policy question. And that's really not what I'm -- I'm
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here to respond to.
THE MODERATOR: So -- so in other words, the brief
answer would have been, to quote Mongo from Blazing
Saddles, that you were simply a pawn in the game of life.
DR. TANTLINGER: No, no, that's not what I'm saying.
THE MODERATOR: That — okay. John, John --
DR. TANTLINGER: And I resent that type of
characterization —
THE MODERATOR: No, hey, John --
DR. TANTLINGER: -- even though it's a feeble attempt
at humor.
THE MODERATOR: Yeah, okay.
DR. TANTLINGER: And let me -- and I -- which I do
respect because I love humor. And I got a laugh. Ha, ha.
Okay.
Anyway, let me -- let me try and do it this way. I
will say this; Throughout the legislative session DBEDT
was very actively involved in providing testimony,
participating in working groups regarding the various
greenhouse gas bills. For those of you who have -- who
have endured the entire day, I think you can see that DBEDT
is committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and doing
it in a way that is cost effective, that's equitable to the
people of Hawai'i, that doesn't penalize us unfairly, that
does it from a scientifically and very solid analytic base.
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1 These are the kinds of suggestions that were made during
2 the legislative session throughout it.
3 We believe, as I mentioned this morning, the
4 estimates, for example, on our emissions -- these are the
5 models that were developed to do that. The EPA itself, who
6 developed those models, concedes they were never developed
7 for regulatory purposes. Therefore, we suggested a lot
8 more analysis needs to go into it. The current bill has in
9 it a provision for a significant amount of analysis. We
10 think that's very responsive to the testimony and comments
11 that we've provided. We said that any effort like this
12 needs to be adequately resourced. We actually suggested
13 1.1 million dollars over two years. I believe it's 500,000
14 per year, so a million over two years, for the first two
15 years. And so that, I think, is responsive to the
16 comments.
17 We believe that it's responsive inasmuch as it allows
18 for some flexibility and does not immediately set a target
19 and -- or rather, it does not immediately tie regulations
20 to a definitive target before the analysis is done. And a
21 very complicated and, I think, rigorous analysis is well
22 outlined in that statute. So from that perspective I think
23 you can tell that we believe that the current version of
24 the bill responded in many ways to the testimony that DBEDT
25 provided. But in addition, it did not respond to some of
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the other comments that we provided. So I think that sort
of characterizes --
THE MODERATOR: Is there any decisions --
DR. TANTLINGER: -- our thoughts.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Second part is, are there any
decisions that have been made about who would be in charge
of this, should it become law, within -- within DBEDT?
DR. TANTLINGER: Oh, that's easy. Oh, within DBEDT.
Oh, I thought you meant who was gonna be in charge of
it, 'cause that's in the law.
No. Well, yeah, wait a minute. What am I saying?
It's in the law: the DBEDT director --
THE MODERATOR: Okay.
DR. TANTLINGER: -- of course, or his designee.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Carl, will the IRP wait to
specify mission reductions until the state mandate takes
effect?
MR. FREEDMAN: Oh, I'd be guessing. I think what I
was trying to say is that there's no mandate at this time.
I was trying to also stress that the Commission has a great
deal of discretion, and I'm not gonna guess where the
Commission's gonna go or where the utility is gonna go.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Carl, another one: Should --
did the IRP identify the operational economic trade-offs
between greenhouse gases and other electrotechnologles such
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as ice storage which may not reduce greenhouse gases?
MR. FREEDMAN: I missed the first word. Should or'
THE MODERATOR; Should, yes. Should the IRP identify
the operational economic trade-offs between greenhouse
gases and electrotechnologles which may not reduce
greenhouse gases?
MR. FREEDMAN: Okay. Well, I mean, "should," I'll go
back to the IRP framework here. The intention and the
requirement is that all resources that are feasible within
the time frame of the analysis should be examined. And the
extent to which you look at all those has to do with which
objectives you identify. So if you're gonna identify
the -- as one of your objectives, you know, greenhouse
emissions, then you should be looking at all the different
resource options. And this is up in the information, you
know, characterization phase. You want to figure out for
all potential resource options, how they're going to meet
or address all of the objectives that are identified.
Now how specific do you get? You know, whether or not
that type of analysis in IRP is gonna be -- provide
valuable information to the task force is gonna be
determined by, you know, the depth of the analysis we're
looking at. And hopefully there's gonna be some iteration,
I think, so that the task force and the utilities' efforts
in whatever venue, you know, are helping each other and
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looking at each other.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. And this is for anyone. Any
thoughts on utilities backing green energy with coal to
produce stability?
DR. TANTLINGER: What?
THE MODERATOR; Well, I think the implication is if
you're -- actually, I'm reading into the -- here's the
question again, and I could offer some implication. Any
thoughts on utilities backing green energy with coal to
provide stability? Coal, C-O-A-L.
MR. KIMURA: I don't understand the question.
DR. TANTLINGER: Yes.
MR. FREEDMAN: I think the panel doesn't know how to
answer that question.
THE MODERATOR: You're talking coal and, you know -- I
think coal is -- the implication was that if you have green
power possibly being intermittent, what do you -- what
might you use for baseline?
DR. SURLES: Oh, I see.
THE MODERATOR: I'm -- I'm inferring, if somebody
wants to
MR.
you need
try that.
FREEDMAN:
to look at
I mean, in
the
energy is intermittent.
load in terms of biomass
system
When
, use
any utility
operations.
photovoltaic
planning
and some
-- s ome
process
green
is base
of fuels. So some types of
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intermittent resources need to be backed up. And if you're
gonna use coal to do that, then you're going to be perhaps
diversifying your portfolio by getting away from oil, but
you're also going to be increasing your carbon-per-kilowatt
hour in that quotient.
MR. KIMURA: Well, I'd like to take a stab at that as
well.
You know, I think when we -- when you talk about -- in
the description you made, coal would not be a good way to
base-load or work against green energy. There are other
technologies that you could integrate which have a lower
carbon footprint than coal. Coal is one of the dirtiest
fuels we have that we can burn to create power. So I
wouldn't nec ~- 1 would say to the question that -- kind of
how you rephrased it, Terry, is that, no, that's not a good
suggestion. There are other options out there. Also there
are other kinds of renewable energy technologies.
And I kind of mentioned it in my presentation that
when you take the right technologies and you puzzle them
together, you actually can make this thing work. If you
have a whole bunch of wind, that necessarily isn't the best
way to go. But you match wind up again -- and depends upon
the wind profile -- against certain types of other solar
technologies, possibly with geothermal, and possibly
with -- I'm getting the nod, the indication to slow down
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again -- with hydro, maybe now you have a workable system,
so no -- no to coal.
THE'MODERATOR: Okay. So Darren, since — a question
is to you. What prompted or prompts utilities to make real
changes and go green? This is from your observations.
What would you suggest Hawai'i can do to move our utilities
to be more green?
MR. KIMURA: Well, at the end of the day, a lot of --
a lot of what happens here is -- is driven by economics.
There's been a lot of talk at the federal level for a
cap-and-trade system. A cap-and-trade system would
essentially put a limit on the amount of emissions that
entities like utilities can emit. And once they reach that
level, they have to figure out a way to offset that. So it
essentially enables market factors to play a role.
For example, in Europe now, if you're a dirty
business, you could buy carbon offsets to basically offset
your own dirty footprint. They're trading at about 330 a
metric ton now. Now that ton will go back to somebody
who's creating green power and -- and help incentivize
their business.
So I guess what I'm saying is it has to be economic.
This is -- a lot of the utilities in the United States are
investor owned, so they have a board of directors and
shareholders which they have to report to, dividends which
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they have to give out. So we have to figure out a way to
economically incent them, whether it be on the state level,
on the federal level, or any other possibility, if that's
an adequate answer.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Another one for Darren; Are --
are RECs, FITs, power purchase agreements, PPAs,
et cetera -- and I put in quotes here -- Enronomlcs with
green food coloring?
MR. KIMURA: Well, Enronomlcs, I'm not sure exactl|y
what that is supposed to infer. But let me take a stab at
it anyway. And that's actually a pretty deep question with
power purchase agreements. And the reason -- the reason
it's deep is some utilities unbundle them, meaning that you
can sell power, and you have the ability to sell your green
energy goodwill on the side. Some utilities put them
together, and you cannot separate them, which -- which is a
problem because you don't get the additional dollars of
cents per kilowatt hour for that green aspect. In some
states they are -- they do participate with things like the
Chicago Climate Exchange which, in effect, removes some
ability to do green tagging with in-lieu-of carbon trading.
So, in other words, you can do one or the other. However,
some other markets are now allowing both to occur.
So -- so with that very complicated, probably not very
specific answer, I don't know. I think the market in
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itself is still being developed. The United States, as we
are not part of Kyoto, we're very much independent. Each
state has their own policy, and that in itself lends to
some trouble with being able to sell green tags and having
a fair market value for that or carbon certificates or
whatever the case may be. Enronomlcs, I don't know.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. The next one's for John. And
I'm having problems with the -- with the verb here. I
can't seem to read it. But your presentation, I guess,
mentioned ECAC as rate-sharing. However, it seems that
ECAC shifts all the risk-taking into ratepayers. Isn't
this counterproductive? It seems that because of ECAC, the
utilities lack motivation to lower fuel costs.
DR. TANTLINGER: Yes. Yes. We agree. And that was
the reason that the bill actually -- it began looking at
requiring, actually requiring that you -- costs be shared
by the utilities for fuel. And it was -- eventually
evolved into a situation where it now requires the PUC to
examine that, to study that, as I understand it. And now
forgive me if I don't remember it exactly, but the point
is, they are to develop a way in which the pass-through is
not a complete pass-through, but, rather, develop other
methods so that the risk is not borne strictly by the
consumer for cost -- or fuel cost variability and
increases.
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THE MODERATOR: Okay. Thanks.
Carl, you speak of the PUC and the IRP process as the
vehicle to realize House Bill 266 [sic]. Why do you see
this as a PUC responsibility rather than one that is
primarily or solely for Department of Health?
MR. FREEDMAN; Well, simply that I think that to the
extent that any law or requirement affects the utilities,
it's gonna come across the PUC's desk and will be reviewed
by the Consumer Advocate. So if you're gonna require the
utility -- let's say there's even a county law. You know,
you could have a county law that would require different
resources or something that might affect resource
development. Anything that's mandatory, that the utility
must do, is gonna affect the Integrated Resource Plans. So
clearly, if the utilities are required by House Bill 226 to
reduce greenhouse emissions, then this needs to be taken
into account in the Integrated Resource Planning process,
and it's gonna have some PUC review.
Now there's — there is also the upstream potential
there that the PUC, you know, could on its own say, hey, we
have HB 226 coming down the pike. As an interim measure
let's have the utilities roll their own emissions -- you
know, come up with some plans that roll their own emissions
back to 1990's to -- either as an investigation of what
it's gonna cost or put together some plans in anticipation
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of what might be coming down. But basically the PUC
oversees all aspects of utility planning. So anything
that's gonna affect their plans is gonna come across the
PUC desk.
THE MODERATOR: Okay. Thanks. And if -- that was the
last question, so if we could have -- oh, Carl.
MR. FREEDMAN: I was just gonna offer a comment that
Darren might say, you know, at the end of the day, you
really have to say it's the end of the day.
THE MODERATOR: Thanks very much guys.
And now before I turn it over to Gary Hashiro, I --
first of all, once again, I'd like to thank the audience
and that there are forms to provide comments to Hawaiian
Electric on today's meeting, and they're available out at
the registration table. So with that, Robbie was unable to
come back, so here's Gary Hashiro.
CLOSING REMARKS
MR. HASHIRO: Hi there. There was a lot of tremendous
information provided today by all the speakers. And more
importantly, the information is specific to Hawai'i and our
unique situation here. For that, I'd like to thank all of
the speakers today. Would you join me in thanking them?
You know, it would be a terrible shame if at the end
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of today when we all go home that this information, this
wonderful information, sort of fell by the wayside. And to
help us not have that happen, today we have our wonderful
court reporter who managed to hang in there throughout the
entire day. Let's give her a round of applause.
And I see quite a few of our advisory group member's
for the Integrated Resource Planning process. This is the
group of folks that advise the utility on how to do our
long-range planning. I'd like to thank you for hanging in
there throughout today.
And last, but not least, I'd like to thank you, the
audience, who with your questions have greatly increased
the information exchange today. So on behalf of
Hawaiian Electric, thank you very much.
I'd like to close by just sort of. What next? What
next here is we're gonna take this information that we
received today, and we're gonna work with our advisory
group members in updating our long-range resource plan over
the next coming months, and that will ultimately be filed
with the Public Utilities Commission for their approve'..
You may see all of the presentation material that's
provided to us. We'll put it up on our website, along with
the transcripts for today. And the website is on the
handout on the last page, as well as an e-mail address if
you have any further comments you'd like to submit to us
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regarding today's meeting.
With that, aloha, and thank you all for coming today.
(Whereupon, at 4:12 p.m., the hearing was concluded.)
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STATE OF HAWAI'I ) )
CITY AND COUNTY OF HONOLULU ) SS
I, Valerie Mariano Swiderski, C.S.R,, a Notary Public
in and for the State of Hawai'i, do hereby certify:
That on Friday, June 8, 2007, at 8:34 a.m., the
foregoing proceedings were had before me; that the
proceedings were taken in computerized machine shorthan
me and were thereafter reduced to print under my
supervision; that the foregoing represents, to the best of
my ability, a correct transcript of the proceedings had in
the foregoing matter.
d by
Dated: QIMA^MS^
irie Mariano Swiderski, C.S.R. #353 Certified Shorthand Reporter State of Hawai'i
CARNAZZO COURT REPORTING COMPANY, LTD. (808) 532-0222
^Olelo's Programming Schedule of the Climate Change / Global Warming Sessions:
Background on Climate Change Issues (Part 1 Date Time
July 3' 8:00 PM July ll*" 9:30 AM July 19^^ 2:30 PM July 24 *" 7:00 PM
Channel 49 - FOCUS 52 - OAHU 52 - OAHU 49 - FOCUS
Policy Implications for Hawaii (Part 2) Date Time
July 10^^ 6:00 PM July 18" ^ 9:00 AM July 26* ^ 9:00 AM Aug. 7 ^ 6:00 PM
Channel 49 - FOCUS 52 - OAHU 52 - OAHU 49 - FOCUS
Date July 10^^ July 18" ^ July 31^' Aug. 7^
Time 8 11 6 8
00 00 00 00
PM AM PM PM
Options and Strategies for Controlling Greenhouse Gas Emissions (Part 3)
Channel 49 - FOCUS 52 - OAHU 49 - FOCUS 49 - FOCUS
Incorporating Climate Change into the IRP Process (Part 4) Date Time Channel
July 18^^ 1:00 PM 52 - OAHU July 26'^ 1:00 PM 52 - OAHU July 31^' 8:00 PM 49 - FOCUS Aug. 14*" 6:00 PM . 49 - FOCUS