Social structure, social cognition, and physical activity: a test of four models

17
Social structure, social cognition, and physical activity: A test of four models Gaston Godin 1 *, Paschal Sheeran 2 , Mark Conner 3 , Ariane Be ´langer-Gravel 4 , Maria Cecı ´lia B. J. Gallani 5 and Bertrand Nolin 6 1 Canada Research Chair on Behaviour and Health, Faculty of Nursing, Laval University, Quebec, Canada 2 Department of Psychology, The University of Sheffield, UK 3 Institute of Psychological Sciences, University of Leeds, UK 4 Research Group on Behaviour and Health, Faculty of Nursing, Laval University, Quebec, Canada 5 Department of Nursing, Faculty of Medical Sciences, State University of Campinas, Sao Paulo, Brazil 6 Institut National de Sante ´ Publique du Que ´bec, Canada Objective. This study investigated the combined influence of social structural factors (e.g. income) and cognitions in predicting changes in physical activity. Four models were tested: (a) direct effects (social structural factors influence behaviour controlling for cognitions), (b) mediation (cognitions mediate social structural influence), (c) moderation (social structural factors moderate cognition–behaviour relations), and (d) mediated moderation (cognitions mediate the moderating effects of social structural position). Design. Baseline and 3-month follow-up surveys. Methods. A random sample of 1,483 adults completed self-report measures of physical activity at baseline and 3-month follow-up. Measures of age, gender, education, income, material and social deprivation, intention, perceived behavioural control (PBC), and intention stability also were taken. Results. Apart from age, social structural factors exhibited very small or marginal effects on behaviour change, and only education moderated the intention–behaviour relation. In contrast, the magnitude of direct effects of the social cognition variables was comparatively large and intention stability mediated the moderating effect of education. Conclusions. Stable intentions and PBC are the key predictors of changes in physical activity. Consequently, our findings would suggest the value of focusing on cognitions rather than social structural variables when modelling the determinants of physical activity. * Correspondence should be addressed to Professor Gaston Godin, Canada Research Chair on Behaviour and Health, Faculty of nursing, Laval University, Paul-Comtois Building, 4108-A, Quebec, Canada G1K 7P4 (e-mail: [email protected]). The British Psychological Society 79 British Journal of Health Psychology (2010), 15, 79–95 q 2010 The British Psychological Society www.bpsjournals.co.uk DOI:10.1348/135910709X429901

Transcript of Social structure, social cognition, and physical activity: a test of four models

Social structure, social cognition, and physicalactivity: A test of four models

Gaston Godin1*, Paschal Sheeran2, Mark Conner3,Ariane Belanger-Gravel4, Maria Cecılia B. J. Gallani5 andBertrand Nolin61Canada Research Chair on Behaviour and Health, Faculty of Nursing,Laval University, Quebec, Canada

2Department of Psychology, The University of Sheffield, UK3Institute of Psychological Sciences, University of Leeds, UK4Research Group on Behaviour and Health, Faculty of Nursing,Laval University, Quebec, Canada

5Department of Nursing, Faculty of Medical Sciences, State University of Campinas,Sao Paulo, Brazil

6Institut National de Sante Publique du Quebec, Canada

Objective. This study investigated the combined influence of social structural factors(e.g. income) and cognitions in predicting changes in physical activity. Four models weretested: (a) direct effects (social structural factors influence behaviour controlling forcognitions), (b) mediation (cognitions mediate social structural influence), (c) moderation(social structural factors moderate cognition–behaviour relations), and (d) mediatedmoderation (cognitions mediate the moderating effects of social structural position).

Design. Baseline and 3-month follow-up surveys.

Methods. A random sample of 1,483 adults completed self-report measures ofphysical activity at baseline and 3-month follow-up. Measures of age, gender, education,income, material and social deprivation, intention, perceived behavioural control (PBC),and intention stability also were taken.

Results. Apart from age, social structural factors exhibited very small or marginaleffects on behaviour change, and only education moderated the intention–behaviourrelation. In contrast, the magnitude of direct effects of the social cognition variables wascomparatively large and intention stability mediated the moderating effect of education.

Conclusions. Stable intentions and PBC are the key predictors of changes in physicalactivity. Consequently, our findings would suggest the value of focusing on cognitionsrather than social structural variableswhenmodelling the determinants of physical activity.

* Correspondence should be addressed to Professor Gaston Godin, Canada Research Chair on Behaviour and Health, Faculty ofnursing, Laval University, Paul-Comtois Building, 4108-A, Quebec, Canada G1K 7P4 (e-mail: [email protected]).

TheBritishPsychologicalSociety

79

British Journal of Health Psychology (2010), 15, 79–95

q 2010 The British Psychological Society

www.bpsjournals.co.uk

DOI:10.1348/135910709X429901

A key starting point for the development of social cognition models of health behaviour

such as the health belief model (Rosenstock, 1966) and the theory of planned behaviour

(Ajzen, 1991)was the observation that although social structural factors (e.g. age, gender,

and socio-economic status) are reliably associated with health actions, it is usually

difficult, and sometimes impossible, to modify these factors. Thus, in order to generate

interventions that will change behaviour, researchers began to identify modifiable

individual characteristics that (a) were strongly associated with behaviour and (b)reflected differences in socialization that accrue fromoccupying different positions in the

social structure. Health cognitions (beliefs about health behaviours that are shared by

some individuals but not by others) were identified as these characteristics. Accumulated

evidence indicates that health cognitions have strong associations with behaviour

(for reviews, see, Abraham, Sheeran, & Johnston, 1998; Conner & Norman, 2005; de

Ridder & deWit, 2006), and that interventions which change health cognitions engender

changes in subsequent behaviour (Bandura, 2000; Webb & Sheeran, 2006). However,

little research has examined the assumptionmade by health behaviour models that socialstructural factors no longer influence behaviour once relevant health cognitions have

been taken into account. The present research provides an overdue test of this mediation

assumption, and examines four models that delineate how social structural factors and

health cognitions combine to influence physical activity.

Social structural factors and physical activitySocial structural position refers to individuals’ standing in the social hierarchy and is

measured by factors such as age, gender, income, and indices of deprivation. Socialstructural factors should influence levels of physical activity because these variables

capture the roles, status, and expectations associated with the membership of particular

social categories as well as the resources and opportunities that accrue from such

membership (Stryker, 1980, 1983). Evidence that social structural factors are associated

with physical activity comes from reviews by Sallis and Owen (1999) and updated in

2002 (Trost, Owen, Bauman, Sallis, & Brown, 2002; see also Humpel, Owen, & Leslie,

2002). Findings showed that age has a ‘repeatedly documented negative relationship

with physical activity’ (i.e. the 1999 and 2002 reviews both found consistent negativeassociations), whereas gender, education, and income/socio-economic status each have

a repeatedly documented significant relationship with physical activity (Trost et al.,

2002). These reviews indicate that young people, men, the better educated, and those

belonging to higher social classes are more likely to be physically active compared with

their counterparts. Analyses of neighbourhood-level indices of deprivation offer the

same conclusion about the positive relationship between socio-economic status and

physical activity (Cubbin et al., 2006; Sundquist, Malmstrom, & Johansson, 1999).

Although accumulated research thus indicates that social structural factors showconsistent associations with levels of physical activity, it is notable that the evidence to

date is almost entirely cross-sectional (Trost et al., 2002). Longitudinal studies that

control for past behaviour are needed in order to demonstrate that social structural

factors are associated with changes in physical activity.

Social cognition models and physical activityPerhaps, the most widely used and best validated social cognition model of health

behaviour is the theory of planned behaviour (TPB). According to the TPB, the most

80 Gaston Godin et al.

immediate and important predictor of behaviour is the person’s decision or intention to

engage in it (e.g. ‘I intend to engage in regular physical activity in the next year’).

Intentions should be translated into behaviour provided (a) people possess the requisite

abilities, resources, and opportunities to initiate action (i.e. have ‘actual control’ over

the behaviour) and (b) intentions do not change (i.e. remain stable) during the interim

between intention formation and execution of the behaviour. To take account of theextent of volitional control over action, the TPB includes the concept of perceived

behavioural control (PBC; e.g. ‘For me to engage in regular physical activity would be

easy/difficult’) as an additional direct predictor of behaviour alongside intentions.

Several meta-analyses attest to the predictive validity of intentions and PBC in predicting

physical activity (Downs & Hausenblas, 2005; Godin & Kok, 1996; Hagger,

Chatzisarantis, & Biddle, 2002). To capture the role of changes in intention, researchers

typically measure the temporal stability of intention (e.g. using absolute differences

between intention scores taken at two time-points; Conner, Sheeran, Norman, &Armitage, 2000). Findings support the idea that stable intentions better predict

behaviour when compared with unstable intentions (Conner & Godin, 2007; Conner

et al., 2000; Sheeran & Abraham, 2003; Sheeran, Orbell, & Trafimow, 1999).

Combining social structural and social cognition factors: Four modelsTPB is construed as a sufficient model of health behaviour in the sense that (stable)

intentions and PBC are considered the only variables that directly determine behaviour

(Ajzen, 1991). A strict interpretation of this theory is that other variables (e.g. attitudes,

norms, personality characteristics, and social structural factors) have no direct effect on

behaviour (i.e. these variables do not influence behaviour after intentions and PBC have

been taken into account; a direct effectsmodel; see Figure 1, path a). However, additional

variables could have effects on behaviour that are mediated by other variables in the TPB

(Ajzen, 1991). In addition, it has been suggested that examining potential moderators ofthe intention–behaviour relationship could inform us both about when prediction of

behaviour by intentions could be maximized and about the boundary conditions of such

relationships (Conner & Sparks, 2005; Sheeran, 2002). This reasoningwould suggest that

social structural factors should only influence behaviour in two ways, namely, by

influencing the strength of physical activity intentions and PBC (a mediation model;

Figure 1, paths bi and bii), or by influencing the weight attached to intentions and PBC in

predicting behaviour (amoderationmodel; Figure 1, path c). For instance, income could

affect physical activity by influencing people’s perceptions of behavioural control that inturn affect behaviour (mediation), or by influencing people’s ability to translate their

intentions into action (moderation). However, the TPB assumes that income does not

directly influence on behaviour after controlling for intention and PBC.

Figure 1. Four models of the influence of socio structural variables and cognitions on behaviour.

Cognitions and social structural factors 81

A fourth possibility for the impact of social structural variables on physical activity is a

mediated moderation model (Figure 1, path d; e.g. Muller, Judd, & Yzerbyt, 2005).

Sheeran and Abraham (2003) illustrated the nature of this model. Findings showed that

temporal stability of intention, anticipated regret, and self-schemas each had significant

interactions with intentions in predicting exercise behaviour (i.e. participants who had

more stable intentions, those who anticipated regret if they did not exercise, andparticipants whowere schematic for exercise weremore likely to translate their exercise

intentions into behaviour compared with their counterparts). However, findings also

showed that the intention £ intention stability interaction term mediated the impact of

other moderators of the intention–behaviour relation (i.e. the other interactions were no

longer significant when the intention £ intention stability interaction term was taken

into account). In the present context, the mediated moderation of social structural

factors would be observed if findings showed that interactions between intentions and

social structural factors (e.g. intention £ education) were mediated by social cognitionvariables. Previous research would suggest intention stability as the key mediator of any

moderation effects of social structural variables, although we also tested the effects of

intentions and PBC here (Sheeran & Abraham, 2003).

These four models of influence – direct, mediation, moderation, and mediated

moderation – reflect differences in the importance that different theorists attach to

social structural factors versus health cognitions as determinants of behaviour. Theorists

with a social structuralist orientation consider income and similar factors as key

determinants of physical activity. Evidence that social structural factors have substantialdirect effects on physical activity or moderate the impact of intentions or PBC on

behaviour would be consistent with this theoretical perspective. Theorists who hold a

social cognition orientation, on the other hand, see beliefs as having the greatest

influence on behaviour (Conner & Norman, 2005). Thus, findings showing that

social/health cognitions have substantial effects, mediating the impact of social

structural variables, or mediating any moderating effects of these variables would

support the social cognition perspective. The aim of the present research was to

provide evidence that permits evaluation of the tenets of the social structuralist versussocial cognition perspective. In particular, we provide the first combined test of four

models that describe how key social structural factors (age, gender, education, income,

material deprivation, and social deprivation) and key social cognition variables

(intentions, PBC) together influence physical activity using a longitudinal design and

that also takes account of past behaviour.

Method

Sample and data collectionAt Time 1, a sample of 2,153 individuals, aged 15 years or older, was randomly selected

from a pool of 24,127 respondents to a national health survey. This survey used a

stratified design to obtain a representative sample of the Province of Quebec, Canada

(Daveluy, Pica, Audet, Courtemanche, & Lapointe, 2000). In this survey, all participants

had completed a questionnaire that measured their health habits and behaviours,including physical activity. Three months later (Time 2), 75.4% of these 2,153

individuals were successfully contacted by telephone to report their physical activity

(Nolin, Prud’homme, Godin, & Hamel, 2002). For the purposes of the present study,

pregnant women, and respondents younger than 18 years and older than 80 years were

82 Gaston Godin et al.

excluded. Consequently, 1,483 respondents were included in the present analyses. This

study was approved by the ethics committee of Sante Quebec and was carried out in

accordance with universal ethical principles.

Social cognition measuresBefore answering the questionnaire, physical activity was defined to participants as any

physical activities practised in leisure time. Intention was measured by askingparticipants, ‘Do you intend to participate regularly in physical activities for 20–30min

per session within the next year?’ Responses were on a five-point scale (definitely

no–definitely yes). The test–retest reliability of this measure is high (r ¼ .65–.77) and its

validity is well established (Godin, Valois, Shephard, & Desharnais, 1987; Valois, Godin,

& Bertrand, 1992). PBC was measured by the item, ‘For me, practising regular physical

activity for 20–30min per session in my leisure time during the next year would

be : : : difficult–easy (five-point scale). The test–retest reliability of the PBC measure is

also high (r ¼ .66; Godin, Valois, & Lepage, 1993) and its validity has been demonstratedpreviously (Gagne & Godin, 2007). Based on previous research, temporal stability of

intention was measured by the absolute difference in intention scores between Time 1

and Time 2 (Conner et al., 2000).

Measures of social structural factorsLevel of education (the number of school years completed), family income (the total

income of members of the household), gender, and age were assessed in the Time 1

questionnaire. Two objective measures of participants’ living conditions were also

taken, namely, material deprivation and social deprivation. These indices are derivedfrom the most basic geographical unit in Canada, i.e. the enumeration area (EA) which is

formed, on average, by 750 people and can be determined using postal codes. These

indices have been validated for the Province of Quebec (Pampalon & Raymond, 2000).

According to Townsend (1987), indices of deprivation measure social inequalities in

health. Material deprivation involves deprivation of the goods and conveniences that are

part of modern life and is based on a composite score of three indicators: the proportion

of individuals living in the EAwho have no high school diploma, the rate of employment,

and the average income of the EA. This index thus reflects variations in education,employment, and income at neighbourhood level. Social deprivation is closely related to

the concept of social capital and is also based on a composite score of three indicators:

the proportion of individuals in the EA who are separated, divorced or widowed, the

proportion of single-parent families in the EA, and the proportion of individuals in the

EA living alone. Both deprivation scores are computed by ranking EAs from least to most

deprived and dividing the distribution into quintiles (quintile 1 represents the least

deprived residential areas whereas quintile 5 represents the most deprived areas).

Measures of past and future behaviourTo assess past behaviour, respondents were asked how often they had participated in

one or more physical activities for 20–30min per session during free time in the last 3

months (seven-point scale; never – four times or more per week). The reliability and

validity of this measure of physical activity is well established (Gionet & Godin, 1989;

Godin, Jobin, & Bouillon, 1986; Godin & Shephard, 1986).

Cognitions and social structural factors 83

To ensure that shared method variance did not overestimate the strength of past

behaviour–future behaviour relations (see Ajzen, 1991, for discussion of this problem;

see Conner, Warren, Close, & Sparks, 1999, for an empirical demonstration), we used a

different measure of behaviour at Time 2 compared to Time 1. Physical activity at follow-

up was assessed by an adaptation of a questionnaire developed by Taylor et al. (1978)

and further validated by Jacobs, Ainsworth, Hartman, and Leon (1993). In brief, theparticipants first indicated if they practiced (participated in) one or more of 30 physical

activities (type) during their leisure time (yes or no) over the last 3 months. If yes,

information on frequency, duration, and intensity (three levels: low, moderate, and high)

was obtained and used to compute a total energy expenditure score (kcal/kg/week).

Based on these four dimensions of physical activity, an algorithm was created to classify

as active only the respondents who met public health recommendations for physical

activity (Kesaniemi et al., 2001). Thus, respondents could be classified in one of the

following four levels of physical activity: inactive (1), somewhat active (2), moderatelyactive (3), and active (4).

Results

Sample characteristicsAt baseline, 26.0% of the respondents reported being physically active at least three times a

week during their leisure time in the previous 3months. Intentions (M ¼ 4.08, SD ¼ 1.09)

and PBC (M ¼ 3.55, SD ¼ 1.06) were both positive. A majority of the respondents had

completed a high school level of education (65.5%), reported a family incomeabove 30,000

Canadian dollars (53.1%), and were women (59.4%). Themean age of the samplewas 44.5

years (SD ¼ 17.0). For the indices of deprivation, a near equal distribution was observed

per quintile for both material and social deprivation. At three-month follow-up, thepercentage of participants who were sedentary, somewhat active, moderately active, and

very active during their leisure time were 28, 16, 15, and 41%, respectively.

Direct and mediated effects of social structural factorsWe first examined whether social structural factors have direct effects on physical

activity or whether cognitions mediate social structural influences using procedures

recommended by Baron and Kenny (1986) and Preacher and Hayes (2008). Statistical

software used for all analyses was SAS version 9.1 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).

The mediated moderation was tested by a SAS macro developed by Preacher and Hayesfor multiple mediator models available at http://www.comm.ohio-state.edu/ahayes/

SPSS%20programs/indirect.htm.

To this end, zero-order correlations were computed between the study variables

and future behaviour (see Table 1). Significant associations were observed for all of the

variables except social deprivation. Past behaviour and the cognitions (intention, PBC,

intention stability) showed the strongest relationships with behaviour. Physical activity

was more likely among participants who had engaged in physical activity in the past,

had a stronger activity intention, had higher PBC, had more stable intentions, hadgreater education and income, were younger, were men, and experienced lower

material deprivation. Because social deprivation was not related to physical activity,

this factor was not considered further. Correlations among the predictors were of small

to medium magnitude and did not engender concerns about multicollinearity

(Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001).

84 Gaston Godin et al.

Table

1.Correlationsbetweenbehaviour,pastbehaviour,cognitions,andsocialstructuralfactors

(N¼

1,483)

Variables

12

34

56

78

910

11

1.Behaviour

–.44***

.37***

.37***

.25***

.16***

.10**

2.17***

2.06*

2.07**

2.00

2.Pastbehaviour

–.57***

.54***

.28***

.11***

.05*

2.04

2.04

2.04

2.03

3.Intention

–.57***

.34***

.22***

.11***

2.18***

.02

2.05

2.02

4.Perceivedbehaviouralcontrol

–.26***

.12***

.05*

2.11***

2.08**

2.03

.00

5.Intentionstability

–.13***

.14***

2.12***

2.00

2.08**

2.00

6.Levelofeducation

–.30***

2.37***

2.06*

2.19***

2.01

7.Family

income

–2.16***

2.15***

2.22***

2.26***

8.Age

–.07**

2.01

.08**

9.Gender

–2.03

.07**

10.Materialdeprivation

–2.08**

11.So

cialdeprivation

Note.*p

,.05;**p,

.01;***p

,.001.

Cognitions and social structural factors 85

Hierarchical multiple regression analyses were conducted to provide formal tests of

the direct and indirect (mediated) effects of social structural factors on physical activity.

Past behaviour entered the equation on the first step because we were interested in

behaviour change. Cognitions (intention, PBC, and intention stability) were entered on

the second step. Each of the social structural variables that showed significant bivariate

correlations with physical activity (education, income, age, gender, and materialdeprivation) were then entered one at a time in successive three steps (Baron & Kenny,

1986). We were interested in whether social structural factors retained a significant

effect on physical activity after controlling for the cognitive variables and in the size of

this effect (i.e. evidence of direct unmediated effects). Also of interest was whether the

effect of each social structural factor was significantly mediated by the cognitive

variables (evidence of indirect mediated effects). This mediation analysis was tested in

one multiple mediators model by means of bootstrapping procedures developed by

Preacher and Hayes (2008) to estimate a total mediated effect and to compute a 95%confidence interval for this effect (i.e. a significance test for mediation similar to a Sobel

test). This procedure allowed us to examine also the 95% confidence interval for each

individual mediator comprised in the global model to determine which cognitions were

important in mediating particular effects (see the upper panel of Table 2).

Table 2 shows the results of these analyses. Past behaviour explained 19.6% of the

variance in behaviour at Step 1, and cognitions contributed an increment of 4% of the

variance at Step 2. Past behaviour, intention, PBC, and intention stability all had

significant beta coefficients at the second step. The addition of education at Step 3aexplained a small but significant increment in the variance in physical activity indicating

that education had a significant direct effect on behaviour that is not explained by

cognitions (0.7% additional variance). The total mediated effect of education on physical

activity was also significant (B ¼ 0.011, SE ¼ 0.002, 95% CI ¼ 0.006–0.016), with each

of the three cognitions demonstrating significant mediation. Thus, education has both a

direct effect on changes in physical activity, and an indirect effect that is mediated

significantly by intention, PBC, and intention stability.

A similar pattern of results emerged for the effects of income and age. For income,there was a significant direct effect on behaviour change accounting for 0.3% additional

variance, and a significant total mediated effect (B ¼ 0.018, SE ¼ 0.005, 95%

CI ¼ 0.009–0.031). Intention and intention stability were significant mediators. For

age, there was a significant direct effect that explained incremental variance of 1.4%,

and a significant total mediated effect (B ¼ 20.012, SE ¼ 0.003, 95% CI ¼ 20.018–

20.008). All three cognition variables were significant mediators.

Gender andmaterial deprivation showed a slightly different pattern. For both of these

social structural factors, the direct effect was only marginally significant (p ¼ .06) and ofsmall magnitude (0.2% increase in explained variance). The total mediated effect of

gender (B ¼ 20.003, SE ¼ 0.016, 95% CI ¼ 20.033–0.029) and material deprivation

(B ¼ 20.008, SE ¼ 0.005, 95% CI ¼ 20.019–0.001) was not significant. In sum,

education, income, and age, each showsmall direct effects on changes in physical activity,

whereas gender and material deprivation had marginal effects; in each case, there was

also evidence that cognitions mediate the impact of these social structural variables.

Moderating effects of social structural factors and temporal stability of intentionAs recommended by Aiken and West (1991), a series of three-step hierarchical

regressions were used to test whether the six social structural variables and intention

86 Gaston Godin et al.

Table

2.Hierarchicalregressionofphysicalactivity

onpredictors:Testsofdirecteffectsandmediationofsocialstructuralfactors

bycognitions

Step/variable

entered

Model1

Model

2Model3a

Model

3b

Model3c

Model3d

Model

3e

Regressionanalyses

1–

Pastbehaviour

.44***

.29***

.29***

.29***

.30***

.29***

.29***

2–

Intention

.10**

.08*

.09**

.07*

.10**

.10*

Perceivedbehaviouralcontrol

.13***

.13***

.13***

.13***

.13***

.13***

Intentionstability

.10***

.09**

.09**

.09**

.10***

.09***

3a–Levelofeducation

.08**

3b–Family

income

.05*

3c–Age

2.12***

3d–Gender

2.04†

3e–Materialdeprivation

2.04†

R2

.196

.236

.242

.238

.249

.237

.237

DR2

–.040

.007

.003

.014

.002

.002

DF

–25.66***

13.10**

5.57*

27.27***

3.66*

3.63*

Mediationanalyses

BCa95%CI

Total

(.006;.016)

(.009;.031)

(2.017;2

.007)

(2.032;.029)

(2.020;.001)

Intention

(.001;.008)

(.002;.013)

(2.009;2

.001)

(.002;.031)

(2.008;.001)

Perceivedbehaviouralcontrol

(.001;.006)

(2.002;.009)

(2.007;2

.002)

(2.037;2

.003)

(2.007;.004)

Intentionstability

(.001;.007)

(.004;.018)

(2.007;2

.001)

(2.010;.017)

(2.012;2

.001)

Note.

†p¼

.06;*p

,.05;**p,

.01;***p

,.001.BCa95%CI;biascorrectedandaccelerated95%confidence

intervals.

Cognitions and social structural factors 87

stability moderate intention–behaviour and PBC–behaviour relations. Behaviour was

regressed on the respective cognition at Step 1, the social structural variable factor was

entered on the second step, and the social structural variable factor £ intention

interaction term entered the equation on the third step. Out of the 12 tests of

moderation by social structural variables, only one interaction term was significant: the

level of education moderated the impact of intentions on behaviour (b ¼ 0.06,p , .05).1 Simple slopes were computed at low (M 2 1SD) and high (M þ 1SD) levels of

the moderator, and showed that intentions better predicted physical activity among

more educated (B ¼ 0.490, SE ¼ 0.043, p , .001) as compared with less educated

participants (B ¼ 0.352, SE ¼ 0.035, p , .001).

As expected, the intention £ intention stability interaction term proved significant

after intention and intention stability had entered the regression equation (b ¼ 0.19,

p , .001). Simple slope analyses confirmed that more stable intentions better predicted

behaviour (B ¼ 0.603, SE ¼ 0.042, p , .001) compared with less stable intentions(B ¼ 0.257, SE ¼ 0.033, p , .001).

Mediation of moderating effects of social structural variablesA two-step hierarchical regression analysis was used to test whether intention stability

or the other cognitions mediate the observed moderation of the intention–behaviour

relation by education. Behaviour was regressed on past behaviour, cognitions,education, and the intention £ intention stability interaction term on the first step. On

the second step, the intention £ education interaction term was added to the equation.

Table 3 shows that all of the predictors had significant beta coefficients in the first

equation. Including the interaction between education and intention in the regression

equation did not improve the fit of the model, and the interaction term was not

significant (b ¼ 0.08, ns). Preacher and Hayes’ (2008) bootstrapping procedures

indicated that although the total mediated effect was not significant (B ¼ 0.008,

SE ¼ 0.007, 95% CI ¼ 20.006–0.021), three cognitions – PBC, intention stability, andthe interaction between intention and intention stability – significantly mediated the

moderating effect of education. In sum, social structural variables generally did

not moderate intention–behaviour or PBC–behaviour relations, and the one significant

moderating effect (intention £ education) appeared to be mediated by cognitive

factors, and in particular by the intention £ intention stability interaction term.

Discussion

The present study examined a key – but apparently little tested – assumption made by

social cognition models of health behaviour that structural factors such as gender, age,

and socio-economic status affect health behaviours entirely through their influence on

behaviour-relevant beliefs among an adult population. To provide a comprehensive test

of this assumption, four models of social structural and social cognition influence were

assessed: (a) a direct effects model (social structural factors influence behaviour over

and above the effects of cognitions), (b) a mediation model (cognitions mediate socialstructural influence), (c) a moderation model (social structural factors influence how

1 A table describing the moderated regression analyses for each social structural variable is available from the first author.

88 Gaston Godin et al.

well cognitions predict behaviour), and (d) a mediated moderation model (cognitions

mediate the moderating effects of social structural position). Key social structural

factors were measured at the level of the individual (gender, age, and education), family(income), and neighbourhood (material and social deprivation); both indices of

deprivation were measured objectively. The key cognitions included in the study were

intention and PBC (or self-efficacy) because these variables are construed as the most

immediate and important beliefs predicting behaviour in several theories, including the

theory of planned behaviour (Ajzen, 1991), protection motivation theory (Rodgers,

1983), and social cognitive theory (Bandura, 2000). A seemingly unique feature of the

present study was that tests of social structural factors involved a longitudinal design

that controlled for past behaviour – and therefore permitted inferences about socialstructural influence on behaviour change (Weinstein, 2007).

Do the findings support a social structuralist or a social cognition perspective?The present findings provided modest support for the idea that social structural factors

have a direct effect on physical activity. Support can be characterized as ‘modest’

because even though education, income, age, gender, and material deprivation

significantly (or marginally significantly) predicted behaviour change after cognitions

were taken into account, the amount of variance attributable to these factors was very

small or even negligible. In fact, the increment in variance explained by four out of the

five factors was less than three-quarters of 1%, and in three cases was less than one-thirdof 1%. It is also notable that the social deprivation index was not associated with

physical activity change. The only social structural factor that accounted for more than

1% of the variance in change in physical activity was age. Older people were less likely to

engage in physical activity when compared with younger people. There are several

Table 3. Hierarchical regression of physical activity on predictors: Test of mediated moderation

Step/variables entered Model 1 Model 2

Regression analyses1 – Past behaviour .29*** .28***

Intention .08* 2 .06Perceived behavioural control .13*** .13***Intention stability .09** .08**Level of education .08** .08**Stability £ intention .12***

2 – Level of education £ intention .08R2 .2422 .2517DR2 – .0095DF – .99

Mediation analyses BCa 95% CITotal (2 .006; .020)Intention (2 .019; .008)Intention stability (.001; .003)Stability £ intention (.004; .010)PBC (.002; .007)

Note. *p , .05; **p , .01; ***p , .001.

Cognitions and social structural factors 89

plausible mechanisms for such direct effects of age including biomedical factors (e.g.

illness rates, increased infirmity) and social expectations (reduced activity is associated

with the elderly stereotype; see Bargh, Chen, & Burrows, 1996).

The present findings were also consistent with partial mediation – the idea that

social structural factors influenced physical activity in part because of their influence on

cognitions. The finding that all five social structural variables that had significantassociations with behaviour also (a) had significant associations with at least one of the

cognition variables and (b) were significantly mediated by the cognition variables speak

to this interpretation (Baron & Kenny, 1986).

Even though it seems intuitively plausible that social structural factors would

influence people’s capacity to translate their intentions and PBC into action, the present

study found little support for this moderation model. Age, gender, income, and material

deprivation did not moderate cognition–behaviour relations. The only significant

finding from 12 moderator analyses was that greater education was associated withimproved consistency between intentions and subsequent physical activity. However,

temporal stability of intention did significantly moderate intention–behaviour relations –

and also mediated the effect of the education £ intention interaction on physical

activity. That is, greater education was associated with improved intention–behaviour

consistency because greater education was associated with more stable intentions.

These findings do not support the idea that social structural position is an important

determinant of how well cognitions guide physical activity; however, the present

findings contribute to evidence indicating that temporal stability of intention is a keyindicator of ‘strong’ intentions – more stable intentions better predicted behaviour

(Conner et al., 2000; Sheeran et al., 1999), and mediated the effects of other moderating

variables here (Sheeran & Abraham, 2003).

Overall, the present findings better support the social cognition perspective than the

social structural perspective. Apart from age, social structural variables offer little

additional predictive power after considering intentions and PBC when modelling the

determinants of physical activity. Indeed, the magnitude of the direct effects of social

structural factors was very small (DR2 ¼ .002–.014), and intentions and perceivedcontrol together explained 2.85–20.0 times more variance compared with each

social structural factor. Thus, the present findings suggest that the assumption made by

social cognitions models that social structural factors no longer influence behaviour

once relevant health cognitions have been taken into account is, strictly speaking,

accurate. The small/marginal effect sizes obtained for social structural factors here is

consistent with the social cognition view that behaviour-relevant beliefs capture the

most important influences on change in physical activity.

Possible objectionsTwo possible objections to the present analyses should be considered. First, it might be

argued that controlling for past behaviour is not legitimate, or that this type of analysis

served to obscure the influence of social structural factors. Weinstein (2007) pointed

out that controlling for past behaviour is a conservative strategy and may underestimate

other influences on behaviour, whereas failing to control for past behaviour is also likelyto be misleading, and overestimate how influential are the focal predictor variables. To

limit the attenuation associated with integrating past behaviour, we used two different

measures to assess physical activity levels at baseline and follow-up. Doing so ensures

that the strong association between past and future behaviour is not due to shared

90 Gaston Godin et al.

method variance (Conner et al., 1999). On the other hand, the use of two different

measures could lead to an underestimation of the effect of past behaviour as a result of

the measurement of two different aspects of a given behaviour. Given that health

psychologists are not usually in a position to intervene before participants have had the

opportunity to engage in physical activity, and thus, almost inevitably, are concerned

with behaviour change, we believe that controlling for past behaviour is the preferable(albeit conservative) analytic strategy. It is also the case that controlling for past

behaviour in the present analyses did not obscure the effects of social structural factors

or privilege the role of cognitions. For instance, a hierarchical regression of behaviour at

Time 2 on intention and PBC at Step 1, followed by age at Step 2 (the best social

structural predictor in the original analyses), indicated that age explained less – not

more – variance when past behaviour was not controlled (1.4% vs. 1.0%).

A second potential objection to the present analyses might be that the effect size for

social cognition variables was smaller than expected (intentions and PBC explained 3%of the additional variance in behaviour change), and seem to be out of line with

published meta-analytic findings. In fact, intentions and PBC explained 17% of the

variance in behaviour when past behaviour was not controlled for – these values are

only slightly lower than those reported for application of the TPB for health-related

behaviours (e.g. Armitage & Conner, 2001; Godin & Kok, 1996) including physical

activity (Downs & Hausenblas, 2005; Hagger et al., 2002). We also reanalysed data from

the Ouellette and Wood’s (1998) meta-analysis of the influence of intentions on future

behaviour (controlling for past behaviour) to further test the representativeness of thepresent findings. Ouellette and Wood’s (1998) data pertained to behaviours that likely

come under the control of habits (i.e. behaviours that are frequently performed in stable

contexts, as is the case for physical activities). These analyses showed that intentions

and PBC together explained 5% of the variance in behaviour when past behaviour was

taken into account.2 Thus, findings from the present study are not out of line with the

results of previous meta-analytic reviews. Rather, the findings are consistent with

evidence indicating that intentions and PBC have a small-to-medium, but important,

impact on behaviour change (Webb & Sheeran, 2006).

Limitations of the present study and directions for future researchLimitations of the present research should be acknowledged. First, although the

sample used in the present study was representative of the population from whichit was drawn, further empirical work is needed to determine whether the present

findings generalize to other samples and populations. Second, the present research

used single-item measures of intention and PBC to reduce participant burden and

optimize response rates. These measures used here proved reliable and valid in

previous research (Gagne & Godin, 2007; Godin et al., 1987, 1993; Valois et al.,

1992); however, it would have been desirable to test reliability in the present study

(e.g. using multiple items). Finally, the measures of past and future behaviour, as

well as measures of key social structural variables (e.g. income) relied on self-report.Corroboration of the present findings using more objective indices for both sets of

variables would be desirable.

2 A table describing the regression analyses based on correlations presented in Table 2 of Ouellette and Wood’s (1998)meta-analysis can be obtained from the first author.

Cognitions and social structural factors 91

The present research also leaves open several important questions to which future

research might profitably be directed. For instance, the present findings indicate that

social structural factors influence physical activity in part by influencing behaviour-

relevant beliefs. However, it is not yet clear what are the processes by which social

structural position influences cognitions. For instance, are cultural and social networks

or lack of amenities and opportunity responsible for the findings showing that incomeengenders weaker intentions to be physically active, or that material deprivation and

lack of education serve to undermine intention stability. The present study also did not

examine features of the physical environment (e.g. access to footpaths and green

spaces, distance to sports grounds and gymnasia, calibres of recreational facilities; see

Spence & Lee, 2003; for a review), and thus the (potentially complex) interplay between

social structure, social cognition, and environmental features in determining rates of

physical activity remains to be investigated in future studies.

Finally, the present study included only two explicit cognition measures (intentionand PBC), and thus overlooked the possibility that other cognition variables (such as

attitudes and norms), or implicit measures of cognitions, might be important. For

instance, evidence indicates that images of the type of person who exercises predict

exercise behaviour over and above the effects of past behaviour, intention, and PBC

(Rivis & Sheeran, 2003), and a recent meta-analysis showed that implicit measures

capture a significant increment in the variance explained in behaviour after controlling

for explicit measures (Poehlmann, Uhlmann, Greenwald, & Banaji, 2007). Thus,

although the present study possesses limitations and leaves important questionsunanswered, it suggests several useful directions for further research.

In conclusion, this study made an important first step in delineating different routes

by which social structural and social cognition factors combine to influence physical

activity. The use of a large, representative sample, and a longitudinal design that also

controlled for past behaviour provided a stricter test of four models of influence (direct

effects, mediated, moderation, and mediated moderation) than has been afforded

heretofore. Findings indicated that the magnitude of the direct influence of social

structural factors was small both in absolute terms and compared with influence bycognitions; moreover, social structural factors did not moderate cognition–behaviour

consistency. Thus, the present findings are more consistent than not with the

assumption that social structural factors have little influence on behaviour once

cognitions have been taken into account, and support the idea that cognitions are the

key predictors of behaviour change.

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Received 31 October 2008; revised version received 18 February 2009

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