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EXAMINATION OF FACTORS LEADING TO THE GROWTH OF BANKS: THE
CASE OF CRDB, STNBIC, BARKLAYS, NMB AND NBC IN THE PERIOD
BETWEEN 2006 TO 2012
BY
Ramadhan Kisuda Lesso
SEPTEMBER 2014
i
The work contained within this document has been submittedby the student in partial fulfillment of the requirement
for the Degree of Masters of Science in Finance andInvestment of Coventry University.
Author: Ramadhan Kisuda Lesso
Student ID: MSC-FI/0204/T.2013
Course Title: Masters of Science in Finance and
Investment (MSC-FI)
Module: Dissertation
Date: SEPTEMBER 2014
Thesis submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement
for the Award of the Degree of Master of Science Finance
ii
and Investment – of the Institute of Accountancy Arusha
(IAA) in collaboration with the Coventry University
iii
CERTIFICATION
I, the undersigned certify that I have read and hereby
recommend for acceptance by Coventry University the
dissertation entitled: the contribution of microfinance
institutions to the development of SMES in fulfillment of
the requirements for the degree of Masters of Science in
finance and investment (MSC-FI) offered in collaboration
between Institute of Accountancy Arusha and Coventry
University.
…………………………………………………….
Boniface Michael
(Supervisor)
Date ………………………………
iv
DECLARATION
I, Ramadhan Kisuda Lesso declare that this dissertation is
my own original work and that it has not been presented and
will not be presented to any university for similar or any
other degree award.
Signature…………………………………………
Date…………………………………..
v
COPYRIGHT
© Copyright
This paper should not be reproduced by any means, in full
or in part, except for short extract in a fair dealing, for
research or private study, critical scholarly review or
discourse with an acknowledgement. No part of this
dissertation may be reproduced, stored in any retrieval
system, or transmitted in any form or by any means without
prior written permission of the author or Coventry
University.
vi
DEDICATION
I dedicate this dissertation to my parents; my dad the late
Mzee Kisuda-Mussa Lesso and my Mum Zena Selemani Mukhandi
who took care of, raised me up and oriented me in
excellence investment.
vii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I am highly grateful to the almighty ‘Allah’ for giving me
the opportunity to attend this precious programme and to
enabled me to successfully complete this great learning
course at Coventry University
I am highly indebted to my supervisor, Mr. Boniface Michael
for his time, guidance and tireless support in research
skills which has contributed a lot in positively changing
my intellect.
I would also like to express my sincere gratitude to my
colleagues, relatives and classmates especially Mr. Edward
and Walter Edgar who assisted me in one way or anotherviii
during the course of my research work, May lord continue to
bless them.
My special thanks to my lovely; family, my wife, Rose-Koku,
and my son Mussa-Kisuda for their kindness, moral support
and patience in my absences during the research, I must
also thank my employer FBME Bank Ltd and co-workers
especially my line manager; the Head of Branch Operations
Mr. Nassor Dachi, the Head of Human Resources Ms. Lucie
Qorro and my Arusha office predecessor Mr. Haidar
Mwinyimvua for their moral and financial support during the
entire course.
ix
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
BOT Bank of Tanzania CRDB Cooperative Rural Development Bank ES Efficiency Structure GDP Gross Domestic Product NBC National Bank of Commence NMB National Microfinance Bank NPC Non Performing Loans SAP Structural Adjustment Program SSA Sub Saharan Africa
x
ABSTRACT
The study was about assessment of factors that lead to thegrowth of commercial banks in Tanzania. The study attemptedto find out general trends of growth of commercial banks inTanzania in the period of 2006 to 2012, and identifyfactors positively affecting the upward trend of thebanking industry in Tanzania,
Chapter one is about setting the problem, chapter two isabout literature review, chapter three is about researchmethodology, chapter four is about data analysis andchapter five is about conclusion and recommendations.Qualitative and quantitative methodologies have beenapplied. The qualitative methodology probed feelings andperceptions of respondents on the research theme, and thequantitative approach made the study capable of producingand presenting numerical information in figures.Questionnaire and interview guide were the key tool fordata collection. Data were analyzed using (SPSS)Statistical Packaging for Social Sciences programme,Microsoft office excel and special table as shown in theresearch methodology.
Findings shows from 2006 to 2012 banks have been growing asindicated by increase of operation income, net income,total assets, total deposits, number of customers andnumber of employees. The growth of banks have been partlycontributed by internal and external factors and legal andregulatory environment. Regarding internal factor effectiveinternal operations, reliable human resources, availabilityof facilities and advertisement have been crucial inachieving bank growth. On the other part external factorssuch as fair national economy, availability of supportive
xi
services, reasonable labor environment and attractiveinvestment environment have led to tremendous bank growth.Both external factors could have done nothing if therecould not be good legal and regulatory environment.
Thus the study concluded that generally commercial banks inTanzania are growing drastically. Findings show that theaforementioned internal and external factors together withregulatory authority have contributed a lot on bank growth.Key recommendation given is that since bank need tomaximize profits the following are recommendations;Regarding internal factors leading to bank growth banksneed to improve their performance by shifting its attentionto the current need that forecast challenges rendered byglobalization.
xii
TABLE OF CONTENT
Certification IvDeclaration VCopyright ViAcknowledgement Vii
iDedication IxList of abbreviations XAbstract XiTable of Content XiiList of Tables XivList of Figures Xv
Chapter One: Problem Setting 11.11.2
Introduction Background to the problem
13
1.3 Statement of the problem 31.4 Research question 31.5 Research objectives 31.6 Significance of the study 41.71.81.9
Justification and purpose of the studyLimitations and delimitations of the studyScope of the study
455
1.10
Brief discussion of dissertation 6
Chapter Two: Literature Review 62.1 Introduction 62.2 Foreign direct investment in Tanzania 62.3 Empirical literature review 142.4 Conceptual framework 17
Chapter three: Research Methodology 193.1 Introduction 193.23.3
Research Paradigm Type of the study
1919
3.4 Study Area 193.5 Study population 21
xiii
3.6 Unity of analysis 213.7 Variables and their measurement 213.8 Sample size and sampling techniques 223.9 Type and sources of data 223.10
Data collection methods 22
3.11
Reliability and validity 23
3.12
Ethical consideration 23
3.13
Data analysis methods 23
Chapter Four: Presentation, Analysis and Discussion of Findings
24
4.1 Introduction 244.2 Personal information 244.3 General growth trends of commercial banks in
Tanzania between 2006 to 201226
4.4 Internal factors that led to the growth of commercial banks in Tanzania
30
4.5 External factors that led to the growth of commercial banks in Tanzania
33
4.6 Role of legal and regulatory framework in supporting the growth of banks in Tz.
35
Chapter Five: Conclusion and Recommendations 355.1 Introduction 365.2 Conclusion 365.3 Recommendations 365.4 Policy implications 37
xiv
LIST OF TABLES
Table 3.1 Sample size 22Table 4.1 Operation income from 2006 to 2012 27Table 4.2 Net income from 2006 to 2012 28Table 4.3 Total assets from 2006 to 2012 28Table 4.4 Total deposits from 2006 to 2012 29Table 4.5 Number of employees from 2006 to 2012 30Table 4.6 Operational factors leading to bank
growth
30
Table 4.7 Human resources factors leading to bank
growth
32
Table 4.8 Facilities factors leading to bank
growth
32
Table 4.9 Advertisement factors leading to bank
growth
32
Table 4.10 National economy as a factor leading to
bank growth
33
Table 4.11 Supportive services as a factor leading
to bank growth
33
Table 4.12 Labour environment as a factor leading
to bank growth
34
Table 4.13 Investment environment as a factor
leading to bank growth
34
Table 4.14 Legal and regularity framework
supporting bank growth
35
xvi
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 2.1 Conceptual map 1
7Figure 4.1 Respondents by gender 2
4Figure 4.2 Respondents by age 2
5Figure 4.3 Respondents by marital status 2
6Figure 4.4 Respondents by level of education 2
6
xvii
CHAPTER ONE
PROBLEM SETTING
1.1 Introduction
The banking industry is facing a number of challenges in
its growth; issues like sovereign debt crises are blocking
the financial markets from its growth trend globally in the
economy
The challenges that banks face today are of the highest
order. Most of the developed countries are facing inactive
growth economically such as growth in unemployment, high
inflation rates, capital and liquidity accessibility are
not easy and manageable. On the other hand, there is the
issue of Politicians and regulators who are imposing and
reviewing financial regulations at a very high frequency.
Other factors facing financial institutions from growth are
competition among themselves which is currently very tough;
clients now have knowledge on the newly developed products,
they are therefore highly arduous and complicated they thus
demand more sophisticated products and a world class
service, the large area of competition nowadays is all
about a banker – customer relationship.
If banks want to maintain growth and overcome the range of
challenges they are facing, they need to ensure that their
business are modernized ,are up to date with technologies
and customers relationship enhanced. Failure to that, they1
are more likely to lag behind. Their failure will not
necessarily be on insolvency or illiquidity but failure to
meet customer demands, revenue collection and profit
maximization, and the most important to meet shareholders
expectation (Oracle Financial Services Thought Leadership
Paper February 2012). I would like to economically discuss
the aspect of issues influencing the growth of Commercial
banks in Tanzania in post trade liberalization and
enactment of banking and financial institution act (1991).
1.2 Background to the Problem
Banking industry can be traced back to the year 1694 with
the establishment of the bank of England. Initially the
bank was established by a few people who in reality were
money lenders with an aim of lending money to get interest
(Lim & Tang, 2000). The banking industry was therefore
traditionally old-fashioned because of its traditional
management methods and legal limits (Lim & Tang, ibid). In
Tanzania the banking system can be traced from colonial era
to the time of socialism regime and now to the market
oriented economy. Banks contribute to economic growth
through their financial intermediation role.
We can gauge the level of banks’ operations by its service
resource supply and demand and in part by legal
restrictions. The main financial capital for bank is2
derived from shareholders contribution and customer
deposits. Bank facing a form outside the region, adding to
their deposits are increasing the supply of loans (Bies,
1971). These additional loans, in turn, help to generate
further economic growth in the area (Bies, 1971). Bank size
is also affected by a number of factors such as bank
structure, laws and regulations governing the banks
operations such as restricting banks operations to certain
location, rates of interests paid on deposits, or rates
interests charges on loans and overdrafts, demands for
banking services. These restrictions may place banks in one
location at a competitive disadvantage with banks in other
areas (Bies, 1971).
For the past 20 years African banks have experienced a
significant changes gearing at improving reforms. Before
going to these reforms it is necessary to note that
initially banks industry in Africa were owned and dominated
by government (Beck and Cull, 2013). Regarding bank reforms
in 1980s which included regulation in interests’ rate
ceilings, credit quotas, financial liberalization,
institutional regulatory upgrades and globalization, the
face of bank systems and other financial institutions
across the region have changed (Beck and Cull, ibid).
3
In Tanzania these reforms have been implemented from mid-
1980s according to Wangwe (2004) This happened during trade
liberalization privatization of state owned led economy.
The industry was again underwent various changes following
the enactment of the Banking and Financial Institutions Act
1991 whereby the state owned banks were restructured,
privatized and foreign private banks were licensed to carry
out banking business. Financial sector reforms according to
Wangwe (2004) caused broader economic reforms which led to
decontrolling of interest rates restructuring and
privatization of government banks and entrance for foreign
private banks into the country.
Despite the above reforms according to ESFR (2009) in
Tanzania the banking industry competition was not
there ,the banking services did not reach the large
population most of whom live in rural areas following this
situation, there was a number of challenges such as banks’
failure to expansion and diversification of their
investment potentials and opportunities, inadequate
resources mobilization reduces lending activities and
accelerates external financing barriers and thus limits
bank growth. However, the banking system in Tanzania,
which dominates the financial system, is liquid, well
capitalized, and resilient to most shock (ESFR, 2009). This
4
study is an attempt to identify factors leading to the
growth of banks in Tanzania.
1.3 Statement of the Problem
Following the enactment of the legislation that allowed the
operations of the private owned banks in Tanzania in 1991,
the BOT has reported an increase of private owned banks
from three to above fifty by 2012.Empirical studies on
growth factors according to De Melo et al.; (1996),
Havrylyshyn (2001), Berg et al. (1999) the differences in
economic growth rather than examining factors that
influence such growth. Most of the studies are on
developed countries and to our knowledge non cover Tanzania
or this region. Therefore studying factors that influence
bank growth in our region and Tanzania in particular is
very pertinent. Interestingly, banks in Tanzania continued
to grow in terms of capital and expansion through opening
up more branches in the country (Ernst & Young, 2010).
1.4 Research Questions
1.4.1 General Question
What are the factors that lead to the growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania?
1.4.2 Specific Question
5
i. What are the general trends of growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania between years 2006
to 2012?
ii. What are the internal factors that led to the
growth of commercial banks in Tanzania?
iii. What are the external factors that led to the
growth of commercial banks in Tanzania?
iv. What is the role of legal and regulatory
framework in supporting the growth of banks in
Tanzania?
1.5 Research Objectives
1.5.1 General Objective
To assess factors that lead to the growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania
1.5.2 Specific Objectives
v. To find out general trends of growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania between 2006 to 2012
vi. To identify internal factors that led to the
growth of commercial banks in Tanzania.
vii. To identify external factors that led to the
growth of commercial banks in Tanzania.
viii. To evaluate the role of legal and regulatory
framework in supporting the growth of banks in
Tanzania.6
1.6 Significance of the Study
The study examined the factors leading to the growth of the
banking industry in Tanzania in the period between 2006 and
2012; what were the internal and external factors, the
regulatory framework that favored the growth of commercial
banks in the country. Study findings are expected to
provide an insight in the banking industry on what to be
done in order to overcome challenges that are likely to
hinder smooth growth of bank industry. The bank industry
will also use these findings to improve bank management. On
the other part the study has strengthened researchers’
skills capacity regarding banking industry. Hence the
research is now more competent regarding banking industry.
Finally the study had made massive contribution to the
existing banking literature especially on the factor and
challenges facing growth of bank sector in Tanzania.
1.7 Justification and Purpose of the Study
Commercial banks play important role in the economic
resource allocation in any countries. They channel funds
from depositors to investors. Nevertheless, this is
possible if banks are generating necessary income to cover
their operational cost they incur in the due course
(Ongore, 2013). Alternatively bank can facilitate financial
services if they are financially growing. Also banks have7
intermediation functions and their performance which is
determined by their level of growth significantly implies
the trend of economic growth of the relative countries. If
bank are not well organized and are retarding rather than
growing can have negative impact to the national economy.
Since bank failure can lead to negative repercussions on
the economic growth the study to analyze growth of bank
industry in the country is justifiable.
1.8 Limitations and delimitation of the Study
The study faced limitations like timeframe, data
accessibility and financial factors. These limitations were
solved as follows. The research accessed published data so
as to minimize time and financial cost. Also the researcher
ignore multiple banks, even though such comparisons could
have been valuable, in order to allow more depth of
understanding regarding the banks because of complexity in
accessing data.
1.9 Scope of the Study
The scope of the study is restricted to the assessment of
the internal and external factors leading to bank growth
from 2006 to 2012 using five commercial bank that are CRDB,
STANBIC, BARCLAYS, NMB and NBC banks.
1.10 Brief of Dissertation8
The study engages in participant-observation over eight-
week period, from 7 July to 31 August for approximately
four hours per week. The study examined the bank’s annual
financial and other important reports. The study examined
the major commercial banks in Tanzania for the period of
2006 to 2012. The study is divided into five chapters as
follows. Chapter one is an introduction chapter. It has
presented the background to the problem. Further an
explanation of the research problem, formulation of the
research objectives and research questions were taken into
consideration. Chapter two discusses conceptual
definitions, reviewed the supporting theories and presented
an empirical analysis of relevant studies. Chapter three
discusses the research methodology to be used on the study.
The discussion covered the following; research paradigm,
research design, research area, population of the study,
sampling techniques, data collection methods and tools and
data analysis. Chapter four present the findings of the
study thus fulfill the objectives. Chapter five present a
summary of the study, conclusion and necessary
recommendations.
9
CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Introduction
Banking sector has undergone tremendous changes especially
in recent years. This chapter has attempted to show changes
undergone that were gearing at improving the banking sector
globally and in Tanzania. This chapter has reviewed
literature related to general trends of growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania and growth of commercial banks
in sub-Sahara Africa, factors contributing to commercial
bank growth, bans economic environment, bank loans and bank
deposit and assets growth, empirical literature review and
conceptual framework.
2.2 Theoretical literature review
2.2.1 General Trends of Growth of Commercial Banks
Both in the developed and developing world, the Banking
sector acts as a financial intermediary for mobilizing
funds from depositors and lending the same to investors
hence it is a very crucial in facilitation of commercial
transaction and completion of major projects requiring both
small and huge capital in the modern business. This
increasing phenomenon of globalization has made the concept
of efficiency more important both for the non-financial and
financial institutions and banks are the part of them.
Banks largely depends on competitive marketing strategy10
that determines their success and growth. The modalities of
the banking business have changed a lot in the new
millennium compared to the way they used to be in the last
years (Hussain and Bhatti, 2010).
During the 21st century the world economy has been
experiencing bank becoming big and complex financial
industry offering numbers of services to international
markets and in return banks are controlling billions of
currencies and asserts. Technology growth has supported
banks and now it is the banks duty now to work on business
potentials identification and develop products that will
meet customers demand. They must also ensure implementation
of innovative strategies and large market share.
Globalization also plays the role of broadening,
consolidation, deregulation and diversification of the
financial industry, the banking sector will become even
more complex.
Throughout the world, banks operates in terms of
commercial banking whereby they play the role of financial
intermediation by covering crucial services such as cash
transactions, cash management and fund transfers, payment
services, lending in real estate loans and commercial loans
in terms of working capital, account maintenance for
11
savings and current accounts and services of foreign
financial exchange.
Most commercial banking provides commercial lending like
long term loans and overdraft facilities for working
capital purposes. Investment banking on the other hand
deals with provision of services like asset securitization,
coverage of mergers, acquisition and corporate
restructuring to security underwriting, equity private
placement and placement of debt securities with
institutional investors. During the past ten years it has
been experienced that an interaction of the commercial and
investment banking activities in the financial markets and
financial consultancy works contribute highly in the global
economy.
Apart from those functions nowadays banking brought about a
wider business diversification. In developed world banks
are now engaged in insurance, portfolio management and
security underwriting. Due to this development banks have
advanced to the high Importance institutions businesswise
in the world. Many studies have indicated that Commercial
banks play a vital role in the economic resource
allocation. Funds are channeled from depositors to
investors continuously (Flamini et al., 2009). However, for
the banks to be able to do that, they must ensure that they
12
improve income generation, profit maximization and cost
reduction to be sustainable in the market. .
Apart from financial intermediation role, the banks another
critical role positively affecting the country’s economic
growth is that effective and profitable banks provide
provides investment returns to the shareholders and owners
accordingly thus attracting more investment hence adding
value and instigating more sparks in the country’s economic
growth while the non-performing banks prompts financial
crisis which brings about adverse results in the economy.
2.2.2 Characteristics of Banks in Sub-Saharan Africa
An understanding of banking system in Sub-Saharan Africa
will widen the scope of understanding generally bank growth
in Sub-Saharan African and particularly in Tanzania. To
begin with, it has been documented that in Sub-Saharan
Africa financial sectors including banking sector is
generally underdeveloped. Banks in Sub-Sahara Africa have
been expanding geographically and private sector
contribution to GDP have been increasing drastically over
the past decades (Kasekende, 2010). Despite these
tremendous achievements the scale of financial
intermediation and access to financial services is low as
compared with developing countries (Cihak et al 2012).
According to World Bank the World’s developing regions have
13
lowest dimension of financial development such as
efficiency of financial institutions (Cihak et al ibid).
Most of financial institutions in Sub-Saharan African are
totally small in size and are characterized by low deposit
ration and most of larger shares of assets are held in the
form of government securities and liquid assets
(Milachilaet al 2013).
In Sub Saharan Africa, financial institutions, banking in
particular are found in the cities and townships, local
banks are outnumbered by foreign banks, bank charges and
borrowing costs are relatively on the high level. having
recovered market share as banking systems were restructured
and state banks privatized under reform programs in the
1980s and 1990s (Milachila et al 2013). An important aspect
is that banking systems in Sub-Saharan Africa are
characterized by modest reach in terms of providing
financial services to the population which is very large
with small and medium enterprises which is constrained in
their access to any form of credit. The banking system is
characterized by small size, low income levels, large
informal sectors, and low levels of financial literacy;
weak contractual frameworks for banking activities,
including weak creditor rights and judicial enforcement
mechanisms; and political risk (Beck et al., 2011). Other
characteristics of bank in Sub-Saharan Africa according to
Milachla et al (2013) include excess liquidity, ineffective14
monetary policy, the system rely on the domestic economy
for their funding base and funding from non residents have
a very minor sources of funds in almost all cases.
2.2.3 Growth of Commercial Banks in Sub Sahara Africa
Africa has experienced tremendous financial sector changes
of the past two decades, from state owned banks since
colonial era to the late 19 century during trade
liberalization underwent through by a number of African
countries Tanzania being among them. The state owned banks
were subject to restrictive regulations such as control on
interest rates and credit quotas. This phenomenon was
changed by globalization and financial liberalization
whereby new institutional regulation were upgraded in the
region
(Honohan and Beck, 2007 and Beck et al., 2011).Today, most
countries have deeper and more stable financial systems,
though challenges of concentration and limited competition,
high costs, short maturities, and limited inclusion
persist.
Following the introduction of Structural Adjustment
Programs (SAP) in the late 1980’s, the banking sector
worldwide has experienced major transformations in its
operating environment. Countries have eased controls on
interest rates, reduced government involvement and opened15
their doors to international banks (Ismi, 2004). Due to
this reform, firms of the developed nations have become
more visible in developing countries through their
subsidiaries and branches or by acquisition of foreign
firms. More specifically, foreign banks’ presence in other
countries across the globe has been increasing
tremendously. Since 1980’s, many foreign banks have
established their branches or subsidiaries in different
parts of the world.
In the last two decades or so, the number of foreign banks
in Africa in general and Sub-Saharan Africa in particular
has been increasing significantly (Claessens and Hore,
2012.). These have attracted the interests of researchers
to examine bank performance in relation to these reforms.
There has been noticed a significant change in the
financial configuration of countries in general and its
effect on the profitability of commercial banks in
particular. It is obvious that a sound and profitable
banking sector is able to withstand negative shocks and
contribute to the stability of the financial system
(Athanasoglou et al. 2005.).
In the modern business economic activities cannot be
sustainable without the presence of banks due to its
financial intermediation function for allocation and
facilitation of financial transaction for economic16
production and facilitation of resources movement from
depositors to investors thus enabling productive economic
activities to take place hence prompting economic
development in the respective countries. Financial
intermediation role played by the banks facilitates
movement of funds from those who have to those who don’t
have by way of cash deposits and loans provisions to those
who need to invest or working capital requirements for
regeneration of more funds through business and or projects
like industries . In return the banks earns income on
lending and services provided, the depositors also earn
interest on their deposits mean while the investors also
generate profits from investments, ultimately the
shareholders also receive returns from their investments.
On the other hand non-performing banks, most likely due to
reckless lending and poor cash management causes crisis due
to failure. Banking crisis could entail financial crisis
which in turn brings the economic meltdown as happened in
USA in 2007(Marshall, 2009.) Thus the central banks on
behalf of the relative sovereignty regulates the banking
sector to safeguard customers deposits and ensure solvency
condition of the banks for the country’s economic
protection and prevention of crises. (Heffernan, 1996;
Shekhar and Shekhar, 2007.) Thus, to avoid the crisis due
attention was given to banking performance.
17
2.2.4 Factors contributing to commercial banks growth
The 2008 Credit crunch showed how influential the banking
sector can be in determining investment and growth. If the
banks lose money and no longer want to lend, it can make it
very difficult for firms and consumers leading to a decline
in investment. Therefore banks need to be healthy and
sustainable so as to be able to play the financial
intermediation role. Factors that led to revolution of the
banking sector are among other factors; deregulation, that
is revising prevailed regulations and allowing the presence
of multibank operations in the economy and removal of
monopoly of the state owned banks, this brought about
competition among the banks. Technology advancement brought
about improved and innovative process through computerized
system that moved from old fashioned data process and
analysis and enhanced the banks capability of timely
service provision in increased volume and efficiency.
In addition, financial engineering and risk management,
coupled with the growth of new and broader derivatives
markets were believed to have improved banks’ risk
management capabilities( Barth et al. (2004, 2006, 2008).
Up until the middle of 2007, the general consensus appeared
to be that high performing banking systems, supported by
excess capital and state-of-the-art risk management
capabilities, bolstered by appropriate market-based
18
regulation would continue to finance investment and
stimulate economic growth at recent historical levels.
A more organized study of bank performance started in the
late 1980’s (Olweny and Shipho,2011) with the application
of Market Power (MP) and Efficiency Structure (ES) theories
(Athanasoglou et al., 2005.) The MP theory states that
increased external market forces results into profit.
Moreover, the hypothesis suggest that only firms with large
market share and well differentiated portfolio (product)
can win their competitors and earn monopolistic profit. On
the other hand, the ES theory suggests that enhanced
managerial and scale efficiency leads to higher
concentration and then to higher profitability. According
to Nzongang and Atemnkeng in Olweny and Shipho (2011)
balanced portfolio theory also added additional dimension
into the study of bank performance. It states that the
portfolio composition of the bank, its profit and the
return to the shareholders is the result of the decisions
made by the management and the overall policy decisions.
Basing on the above, it is possible to conclude that bank
performance is influenced by both internal and external
factors. According to Athanasoglou et al., (2005) the
internal factors include bank size, capital, management
efficiency and risk management capacity. The same scholars19
contend that the major external factors that influence bank
performance are macroeconomic variables such as interest
rate, inflation, economic growth and other factors like
ownership.
Commercial banks in Tanzania have gone into significant
changes after the linearization of the banking system. The
reforms removed barriers to entry of commercial banks and
supported the improvement of institutional framework and
more efficiently the performance of commercial banks, with
this it has affected the profitability of commercial banks
and increased banking competition. Profitability of
commercial banks is pro foundation for product innovation,
diversification and efficiency of the commercial banks
(Hempell, 2002). The stability of commercial banks as whole
in the economy depends on profitability level. More
profitability level has tendency to absorb risks and shocks
that commercial banks can face. Moreover profitability is
the perquisite condition for the efficiency of commercial
banks. Empirical evidence from Detriguache (1999) has
showed that the soundness of commercial banks performance
depends on profitability. Francis (2006) has indicated that
markets reforms in the sub-Saharan Africa has worsen the
profitability of commercial banks due to high level of non-
performing loans. This is contradictory to the early study
of Chijoriga (1997) who indicated that market20
liberalization is essential for high level profitability of
commercial banks. Profitability of commercial banks is
important for the efficiency of commercial banks.
According to the bank of Tanzania (2010), the commercial
banks profitability has improved to the greatest extent and
most of them are above the regulatory requirements, the
greatest profitability earned by these commercial banks
indicates that the internal factors has played a great role
toward this profitability. The banking industry in Tanzania
provides an insight into the development of commercial
banks industry. This was activated by the changed policies
from state owned (centralized) economy to more liberalized
economy under the banner of liberalization. Moreover, the
Bank of Tanzania Act of 1991 made a profound impact in
commercial banks investment that cropped up more than forty
three banking institutions.
The changing economic climate in Tanzania has meant
multiple opportunities for international commercial banks.
The banking sector constitutes the largest part of the
financial system in Tanzania, and the sector has been
increasing in size and scope of services over the past few
years, as more and more numbers of international banks move
in to the country.
In an effort to liberalize the banking sector, the Banking
21
and Financial Institution Act, 1991 was introduced to
provide the legal framework for banking operations in
Tanzania that will grant authorization of financial
institutions to receive money on current account subject to
withdraw by cheque. As a result of the Act, the entry of
new banks has enhanced financial competition resulting into
some improvement of the quality and quantity of the
financial services offered.
2.2.5 Banks Economic Environment
It is worth to note that that currently the economic
environment in which most commercial banks operate is
highly volatile and uncertain. The main cause of volatile
and uncertain is due to the high increase of financial risk
to commercial banks (Hillier, 2003). Financial risks has
been caused by increased market globalization which is seen
in increased exchange, interest, inflation rates
fluctuations as well as in high competition, demand levels
to mention few. Exchange rates are among financial risks
whereby the increased volatility is reflected to the
greatest extent and commercial banks are particularly
exposed to exchange rate fluctuation.
2.2.6 Bank loans and Bank Growth
Commercial banks are the dominant financial institutions in
most economies as they accelerate economic growth (Richard,
22
2011). The traditional role of a bank is lending and loans
make up the bulk of their assets (Njanike, 2009). Loans
therefore represent the majority of a banks’ asserts
(Saunders and Cornett, 2005). However, lending is not an
easy task for banks because it creates a big problem which
is called non-performing loans (Upal, 2009). Due to the
nature of their business, commercial banks expose
themselves to the risks of default from borrowers (Waweru
and Kalami, 2009). Following that over the years, there
have been an increased number of significant bank problems
in both, matured as well as emerging economies (Richard
(2011).
According to Alton and Hazen (2001) non-performing loans
are those loans which are ninety days or more past due or
no longer accruing interest. Hennie (2003) agrees arguing
that non-performing loans are those loans which are not
generating income. This is further supported by Fofack
(2005), who define non-performing loans as those loans
which for a relatively long period of time do not generate
income that is, the principal and or interest on these
loans have been left unpaid for at least ninety days. Non-
performing loans are also commonly described as loans in
arrears for at least ninety days (Guy, 2011).
23
According to Kroszner (2002) in Waweru and Kalami (2009),
non-performing loans are closely associated with banking
crises. Greenidge and Grosvenor (2010), argue that the
magnitude of non-performing loans is a key element in the
initiation and progression of financial and banking crises.
Guy (2011) agrees arguing that non-performing loans have
been widely used as a measure of asset quality among
lending institutions and are often associated with failures
and financial crises in both the developed and developing
world. Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) as cited in Louzis et al
(2011) point out that non-performing loan can be used to
mark the onset of a banking crisis. Despite on-going
efforts to control bank lending activities, non-performing
loans are still a major concern for both international and
local regulators (Boudriga et al, 2009).
For example borrowers from the commercial banks and other
financial institutions in Tanzania are already finding it
more expensive to indulge in the habit of borrowing
following a rapidly rising inflation rate, as well as
increased and irregular interest rates mainly on financial
instruments (BoT, 2011). According to Bank of Tanzania
(BoT) reports (2011), the weighted average interest rates
on money market instruments trended upwards. The three
major banks in Tanzania – National Micro-Finance Bank
(NMB), NBC limited and CRDB Bank – which together claim
24
49.4 per cent of the banking market share, were the major
contributors of higher profits and deposits in the banking
sub-sector.
However, the issue of Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) had
remained a big challenge to banking in the country.
Currently, the overall industrial rate has remained at nine
per cent, though some banks have recorded ten per cent of
gross NPL. This has been a wide problem banks have had been
indulged to take the requisite approach to mitigate the
situation. According to selected financial results, most of
the banks, both large and small recorded profit-after-tax
increases compared with the same quarter in 2011. The major
drivers of the relatively good performance were loans and
advances, followed by foreign exchange dealings and
transactions, as well as investments in government
securities.
Studies in other countries show that most of bank failures
have been caused by non-performing loans. Ahmad (2002), in
analyzing the Malaysian financial system, reported a
significant relationship between credit risk and financial
crises and concluded that credit risk had already started
to build up before the onset of the 1997 Asian financial
crisis, and became more serious as non-performing loans
25
increased. Li (2003) also found this relationship to be
significant. There is evidence that the level of non -
performing loans in the US started to increase
substantially in early 2006 in all sectors before the
collapse of the sub-prime mortgage market in August 2007.
In this regard, the institutions are urged to enhance their
credit risk management systems with special emphasis on
credit assessment, origination, administration, monitoring
and control standards (MPS, 2012). Fofack (2005) argues
that when left unsolved, nonperforming loans can compound
into financial crisis, the moment these loans exceed bank
capital in a relatively large number of banks.
2.3 Empirical literature review
Benito (2008) carried study of size, growth and bank
dynamics in Spanish the study had investigated the coverage
of financial services providers such as banks from a
dynamic perspective over the 1970-2006 periods. The study
observed that there was no strong relationship on the size-
growth. Changes depend on the competitive environment of
banks (liberalization, deregulation and integration). For
example the study identified that when Spanish banking was
highly regulated, smaller banks were growing faster than
their larger counterparts. Nevertheless the study pointed
out that larger banks grow at the same rate or faster than
smaller banks.
26
In the study carried out by Ngoc (2008) on financial
markets liberalization and the role of banks, the
researcher examined the development of financial
institutions trend following financial sector reforms and
deregulation that allowed entrance of foreign banks in the
Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland. The study ultimately
found out dates on which bank liberalization occurred in
each country that allowed foreign banks operations.
According to Timoth et al (2006). The short-term and long-
term impact of bank supervision on different categories of
loan growth that is commercial and industrial loans,
consumer loans, and real estate loans. The study finds
little evidence suggesting the effects of changes in any of
the components of ratings differ systematically from the
effects of changes in the composite.
David (2010) carried study on whether political connection
help firms gain access to bank credits in Vietnam. The
study established that one of the major contributing
factors to Vietnam’s macroeconomic instability has been the
massive growth of credit inflows and its often inefficient
allocations. Vietnam is in a state of economic transition
from state-planned to open market based. The private sector
has grown very rapidly but private firms’ demand for credit
is still largely crowded out by the state sector. The study
27
specifically focuses on the use and impact of political
connections by private firms to gain access to bank loans.
Ogilo (2012) carried study on the impact of credit risk
management on financial performance of commercial bank in
Kenya. The study analyzed the impact of credit risk
management on the financial performance of commercial banks
and also attempted to establish if there exists any
relationship between the credit risk management
determinants by use of CAMEL indicators and financial
performance of commercial banks in Kenya. A causal research
design was undertaken in this study and this was
facilitated by the use of secondary data which was obtained
from the Central Bank of Kenya publications on banking
sector survey. Furthermore bank performance is reflected by
accounting measures of profitability, net interest margin,
and operating costs. The results show a very limited effect
of the entry of Greenfield banks on domestic banking market
in the early transition period. In contrast, the foreign
entry by mergers and acquisitions of domestic banks exerts
significant impacts on bank performance.
Abera (2012) carried study on factors affecting
profitability on Ethiopa banking industry. The study
examined the bank-specific, industry-specific and macro-
economic factors affecting bank profitability for a total28
of eight commercial banks in Ethiopia, covering the period
of 2000-2011. Findings had shown a relationship between
capital strength, income diversification, bank size, gross
domestic product and bank profitability. Also the study had
shown close ling between liquidity risk, concentration and
inflation to be statistically insignificant. The study
recommends the focus of bank on key internal drivers that
would enhance the profitability as well as the performance
of the commercial banks in Ethiopia as well as
consideration of internal environment and the macroeconomic
environment that will improve growth or profit.
Javaid et al (2011) carried study on determinants of bank
profitability in Pakistan. The study had found that
financial sector plays a pivotal role in the economic
development. Furthermore the study had generally agreed
that a strong and healthy banking system is a prerequisite
for sustainable economic growth. The study had established
that banks in Pakistan have been undergoing major
challenges in the dynamic environment over the past few
years. However in order to resist negative shocks and
maintain financial stability, it is important to identify
the factors that mostly cause the general performance of
banks in Pakistan. The study used case of top 10 banks’
profitability in Pakistan over the period 2004-2008. The
empirical results have found strong evidence that mentioned29
parameters have a strong influence on the profitability.
However, the results show that higher total assets may not
necessarily influence higher profits due to diseconomies of
scales.
Athanasoghou et al (2008) assessed output and productivity
growth in banking industry in Greece. The study has
assessed the evolution of output and productivity in the
Greek banking industry for the period 1990-2006. Three main
categories of bank output were estimated based on modern
theoretical approaches. The results show that bank output
and labor productivity has increased significantly
throughout the period under examination, outpacing the
respective GDP growth and labor productivity of the Greek
economy. Capital output of the Greek banking industry have
also improved extremely mostly since 1999, as a result of
the structural changes that took place within the industry,
capital investments as well as improvement in the quality
of human capital.
Cornett et al (2005) carried out a study on long
performance of rival banks around bank failures in USA. The
study reveals that bank failures are associated with
changes in long-term performance at rival banks.
Nevertheless, the change in performance is not the same for
all banks. Additionally the study noted that if the bank 30
failure was the result of a problem that was similar to
other banks, rival banks performance increase after failure
and if bank failure was due to problem that is unique to
the failing bank rival bank performance decreases after the
bank failure.
Thi N. A. V (2009) carried out a study on banking market
liberalization and bank performance in Czech Republic. The
study considered two modes of foreign bank entry that were
entry by Greenfield investments and by foreign mergers and
acquisitions of domestic banks. The study measured bank
performance through accounting measures of profitability,
net interest margin, and operating costs. The results show
that minimal effect on entry of Greenfield banks on
domestic banking market in the early transition period.
Contrarily the foreign entry by mergers and acquisitions of
domestic banks exerts significant impacts on bank
performance. More importantly the study observed
significant declines in banks’ profits and net interest
margins, and a significant increase in operating costs.
2.4 Conceptual Framework
Expanding global markets and increasing competition in
financial services markets has affected the bank growth and
profitability of the banking industry. Bank growth is an
important function of banks as financial intermediately and31
profitability or banks can tolerate financial shocks. Thus
paying attention to bank growth implies paying attention to
bank profitability as an important indicator of evaluating
performances in banks and important role in making decision
about financing and allocation of resources is necessary.
Therefore, commercial banks must investigate factors
related to growth of its branches can increase ability of
competitions and adoptability with macro environment. This
study has identified internal factors, external factors and
regulatory environment as factors leading to bank growth.
Figure 2.1: Conceptual Map (Effective factors for bank
growth)
The relationship between variables is as follows. In order
to have effective bank growth there must be factors that32
Effective factors for
External factors
Internal factors
Macro environment
Feature of market
Policies and regulatory
Specific feature of
Policies and regulation
are influencing that growth. These factors are external
factors, internal factors and policies and regulatory
environment. While external factors are influenced by both
macro environment and feature of markets; internal factors
are influenced by specific feature of bank and policies and
regulatory environment is influenced by good policies and
regulations.
33
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Introduction
The study explores factors that lead to growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania. The research design covered
the reasons for selecting respondents, data sources, data
analysis and a brief note on assumptions and weaknesses.
This chapter covers the following issues. Research
paradigms, type of the study, study area, study population,
units of analysis, variable and their measurement, sample
size and sampling techniques and types and sources of data.
Other things covered include data collection methods,
reliability and validity of data and data analysis methods.
3.2 Research Paradigms
This study has considered views held by Balling et al
(2012) that there is a need for a paradigm shift in the
area of financial supervision. The paradigm need to
containing what was prevailing before financial crisis and
actions taken such as national concerns. The paradigm also
portray financial supervision by concluding that integrated
and stable financial markets can go hand in hand, and even
though it is quite a challenging task to make sure that
this is the case, it is nevertheless possible, and you do
not need a trail between integration and stability as long
as you have adequate cross border financial stability34
arrangements in place. This is what Tanzania banking sector
could try to build. Balling et al (2012) argues that we
cannot have integration and stability financial sector at
regional level if national supervisors remain fully in
charge and if their only mandate is to cater for the
protection of national consumers and for financial
stability at national level. We now all agree that there is
no such thing as national financial stability anymore.
Financial stability which determines bank growth has to be
international or it has to be at least regional.
3.3 Type of Study
The study used both qualitative and quantitative research
design.This explains types of Academic research of which
its results are based on documents analysis, literature
reviews and past research findings in drawing up
conclusions. The explanatory research design, adopted the
steps such as review of the related literature to know the
work already done by others, Survey of people who had
practical experience with the problems to be studied and
the analysis of insight stimulating examples.
3.4 Study Area
The study was carried out in five banks that are CRDB bank,
STANBIC bank, Barclays bank, NMB bank and NBC bank. CRDB
Bank Plc is a leading, wholly-owned private commercial bank35
in Tanzania. The Bank was established in 1996 and has grown
and prospered over the years to become the most innovative,
first choice, and trusted bank in the country. CRDB Bank
offers a comprehensive range of Corporate, Retail,
Business, Treasury, Premier, and wholesale microfinance
services through a network of 60 branches, ATMs, Depository
ATMs, Mobile branches, Point of Sales (POS) terminals and
scores of Microfinance partners institutions. The Bank also
operates through internet and Mobile banking services
Stanbic Bank in Tanzania came into being in May 1995 when
Standard Bank Group acquired the operations of Meridien
Biao Bank Tanzania Limited. They have nine branches and two
service centers in the country. Standard Bank Group is a
global bank with African roots. It is South Africa's
largest bank, distinguished by its extensive operations in
17 African countries. Outside the African continent,
Standard Bank Group's operations span to 15 countries, with
an emerging market focus
Barclays is a global financial services provider, engaged
in retail and commercial banking, credit cards, investment
banking, wealth management and investment management
services all over the world. With a vast, international
reach, Barclays offers innovative products and services to
meet the needs of its diverse base of customers and clients36
NMB is the largest bank in Tanzania, both when ranked by
customer base and branch network. With over 139 branches we
are located in more than 80% of Tanzania's districts. This
broad branch network distinguishes NMB from other financial
institutions in Tanzania. With our 139 branches we are
located in more than 80% of Tanzania's districts. This
broad branch network distinguishes NMB from other financial
institutions in Tanzania. We are committed to sustaining
and enhancing our branch network in order to provide access
to capital to citizens in all areas of Tanzania, including
the most remote
NBC Ltd. was formed on 1st April 2000 when NBC (1997) Ltd.
was privatized and sold to ABSA Group Ltd. of South Africa.
NBC (1997) Ltd. was itself born out of the nationalization
of banks and financial institutions in Tanzania in 1967.
NBC Ltd. is one of the largest commercial banks in
Tanzania, with a network of 53 branches and 6 business
centers strategically located in retail centers and other
major towns across the country. Having joined forces with
Africa's largest banking group, South African based Absa
Group Ltd, NBC Ltd. has given its clients access to a
global banking environment. Wherever you may be, NBC Ltd is
the solution to all your banking requirements
37
3.5 Study population
The population of this study includes all workers,
regularity boards, board of trustees and customer of the
selected five major commercial banks in Tanzania for the
period of 2006 to 2012.
3.6 Units of analysis
The unit of analysis is the core unity analyzed from the
population. The unity of analysis implies exactly thing to
be studied. In this study unity of analysis were bank
managers and bank officials at all rank.
3.7 Variable and their measurement
The study was about evaluation of factor leading to the
growth of banks in Tanzania. Bank growth is determined by
both external and internal factors. The growth trend from
2006 to 2012 will determine whether banks are growing or
not growing. Variables to be measured include size of
capital, increment of services, geographical coverage,
number of customers, improvement of technology, profits and
regulatory environment.
3.8 Sample size and sampling techniques
This study used purposely for sampling method by selecting
5 commercial banks operating in Tanzania in studying the
growth trends of commercial banks in the country. The38
sample for the study included 100 respondents from five
banks and one regulatory board as shown in table 3.1.
Simple random probability sampling and purposeful
techniques were used to draw a suitable sample of the study
for the purpose of providing equal chance for every
respondents of being selected and reduce selection bias.
Table 3.1 Sample Size (N=100)Category
SAMPLE SIZE AND SAMPLING METHOD
CRDB STANBIC
BARCLAYS
NMB NBC Total
Samplingmethod
Manager 1 1 1 1 1 5 Purposeful Bank officers
19 19 19 19 19 95 Random
Total 20 20 20 20 20 100Source: Survey data, 2014
3.9 Types and sources of data
Two types of data were collected from this study. Types of
data collected include secondary and primary data. Primary
data form first –form information that the researcher
collects for his/her particular study (Saunders, 2000).
Secondary data are normally data collected earlier for
different uses, and which are equally used in a current
study (Saunders, 2000).
3.10 Data collection methods
39
Data were collected from published reports, inquiries and
questionnaires form the various stake holders. Secondary
data were gathered from published banks reports. Primary
data were collected through the use of structured
questionnaire, physical interviews with the respondents and
self observation.
3.10.1 Interview
The research used open ended question in order to allow
respondents to be open and to express themselves freely.
The researcher had opportunities to discover new view and
perception regarding factors regarding growth of bank
sector. It was a face to face interview and prior to that
researcher met respondents introduced them the study and
seek appointment. Key areas expected to be coved were
discussed in the first meeting.
3.10.2 Questionnaire
An open ended and closed questionnaire was used in this
study. Questionnaires were expected to bring quantitative
information that enabled the researcher to come up with
frequencies, percentages and cross tabulated answers. The
researcher requested respondent to fill questionnaire in
his presence to avoid delays. In each bank all respondents
were gathered together after immediately after working
hours. In each bank the exercise took two days.40
3.11 Reliability and validity
Since interviews and questionnaires were used as the data
collection methods, it important to establish adequate
level of validity and reliability to the respondents. This
was done by using appropriate data collection methods
designed in the way that would measure an attitudes and
opinions of the participants on a subject matter related
with bank growth
3.12 Ethical Consideration
The study considered the following ethical issues. The
researcher has research permit and prior doing anything he
disclosed the permit to bank managers and was allowed to
continue with the research. The researcher considered
privacy of respondents and that is why research was done
after working hours. Data gathered are discussed and
interpreted in the manner that they bring relevant and
accurate conclusions. Moreover, the researcher protected
his work against plagiarism by make sure that all ideas
taken from diverse authors are accurately agreed with its
source citation and mentioned on list of references. In
other way around, a researcher reduced the extent of
plagiarism by using their own words that relate with the
borrowed ideas without losing the primary idea.
41
3.13 Data analysis methods.
The main tool which will be used for data analysis will
beStata, data analysis and statistical software such as
SPSS to calculate of percentages, Measures of central
tendency like Arithmetic mean, Mode, Median, Range and
Regression analysis where applicable.
CHAPTER FOUR
PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION OF FINDINGS
4.1 Introduction
Chapter four present, analyze and discuss quantitative and
qualitative data. This chapter addresses four sub-sections
that are general trends of growth of commercial banks in
Tanzania from 2006 to 2012, internal factors that led to
the growth of commercial banks in Tanzania, external
factors that led to the growth of commercial banks in
Tanzania and role of legal and regulatory framework in
supporting the growth of banks in Tanzania.
4.2 Personal Information
Personal information is an important aspect in research as
it determines accuracy of data provided. It is worth
noting that respondent’s gender, education and age
42
determines type of data. Determined by their gender women
and men might have different opinions on similar matter due
to their differences in feelings, perceptions and social
responsibilities. Age and education determines peoples’
wisdom and thinking capacity. Along this reflection age and
education of respondents might determine accuracy and
reliability of data. Therefore it is crucial to balance
respondents while conducting a research. Within this
framework personal information taken into consideration in
this study were gender, age, level of education and both
working department and experience for bank officers. Gender
is my point of departure as stipulated hereunder.
Figure 4.1: Respondents by gender
Source: Research findings, 2014.
Gender inequality generates wasted opportunities and
cognitive errors in knowledge. Research has shown that
43
gender bias has important implications for the content of
research itself. The integration of sex and gender analysis
in the research content increases the quality of research
and improves the acceptance of data. Thus in this study
gender balance was considered as there were 55(55%) male
and 45(45%) female. In some cases gender biasness in
working places has been reported and it is still an issue.
This means if we treat respondents with biasness to one
gender the possibility of getting biased data is higher.
Thus gender balancing is very important in order to get
unbiased data. That is why respondents for this study are
gender balanced. Gender balances were followed by
determining age of respondents which were as hereunder.
Respondents by age were as follows.
Figure 4.2: Respondents by Age
44
Source: Research Findings, 2014
The study assumed twenty years to be minimum year a person
could start working. Categorically, 30(30%) respondent
were between 25 to 35 years, 50(50%) respondent were
between 36 to 45 years, 12(12%) respondent were between 46
to 55 years and 8(8%) respondent were 56 and above years.
As seen in data, most of respondents are young and
energetic implying that bank workers are young people
probably capable of maneuvering with globalization
challenges. Level of education was another characteristic
considered and the distribution was as follows.
Figure 4.3: Respondents by marital status
Source: Research findings, 2014
Regarding marital status of respondents 67(67%) were
single, 31(31%) were married and 2(2%) were divorced.45
Regarding education level of respondents findings were as
hereunder.
Figure 4.4: Respondents by level of education
Source: Research findings, 2014Accordingly there were 14(14%) with diploma, 66(66%)
graduate and 20(20%) post graduate. Level of education is
very important indicator of quality data as it broadens
peoples thinking capacity hence enhance capacity of looking
at issues critically.
4.3 General growth trend of commercial banks in Tanzania
between 2006 to 2012
This section was an attempt to establish general growth
trend of commercial bank in Tanzania from 2006 to 2012.
Total Assets, Loans, and Deposits are perceived to have
more safety and such an advantage can be translated into
46
higher profitability and hence bank growth. This section is
the review of different bank document related to annual
financial reports. Factors considered in the section are
trends in operation income, net income, total assets, total
deposits and number of employees. It is important to note
that some data were not available as seen in below table.
However, accessed data were enough to determine the trend.
Table 4.1: Operation income from 2006 to 2012
Operation
income
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CRDB 94,4
18
106,
806
131,
133
147,26
2
175,3
80
186,9
97
278,3
42STANBIC NA 18,7
34
35,0
87
36,835 40,62
7
NA NA
BARCLAYS NA 1,43
5
1,61
0
1,126 1,390 1,686 NA
NMB 52,9
76
73,9
09
77,3
13
92,870 119,9
99
266,5
94
359,1
38NBC 75,0
75
100,
134
125,
174
134,15
4
106,5
20
129,2
10
131,8
78 Source: Research findings, 2014 (NA = NOT AVAILABLE)
Size of operation income is important factor to determine
bank growth. The increase of operation income implies that
bank is growing. Data above shows good growing trend in
47
operation income as there is annual increment for all banks
except Barclays bank in 2009 and NBC bank in 2010 where
there was a decline. The growth of operational income
implies that bank can perform its core function that is
providing loans to many customers factor suggesting its
growth. This is similar to Richard (2011) and Njanike
(2009) that commercial banks are the dominant financial
institutions in most economies as they accelerate economic
growth and the traditional role of a bank is lending and
loans make up the bulk of their assets (Njanike, 2009).
Regarding bank net income data are shown in table 4.2.
Table 4.2: Net income from 2006 to 2012Net
income
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CRDB 12,0
56
37,32
5
40,50
9
45,824 47,24
6
37,71
0
80,54
3STANBIC NA 8,797 10,54
2
7,141 10,18
7
NA NA
BARCLAYS NA 3,192 3,473 3,845 4,468 5,030 NANMB 35,0
76
38,83
5
48,70
7
47,550 53,98
1
71,83
9
97,40
1NBC 26,4
03
32,52
9
39,75
5
40,885 48,97
1
88,08
3
97,04
1 Source: Research findings, 2014 (NA = NOT AVAILABLE)
48
Concerning net income CRDB had net income fall in 2011 and
STANBIC 2009. Other years there is a growing trend of net
income to all banks. Growth of net income implies those
banks are making profit hence they are growing. The study
by Athanasoglou et al., (2005) stipulates that major
external factors that influence bank growth are
macroeconomic variables such as interest rate, inflation,
economic growth and other factors like ownership. Interest
rates increases is a factor justifying bank growth as
during interview one bank manager said that; “among other
things nat income is an indicator of whether or not bank is
growing.”
Table 4.3: Total assets from 2006 to 2012Total
assets
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CRDB 898,3
03
1,142,
670
1,449,
800
1,854,
867
2,305,
224
2,713,
641
3,074,
816STANBIC 321,0
97
502,01
7
469,55
6
576,23
6
NA 788,48
9
900,60
7BARCLAY
S
325,0
91
475,65
1
542,59
3
433,40
7
NA 607,30
6
577,59
7NMB 795,4
25
1,158,
301
1,384,
268
1.669,
333
2,110,
903
2,170,
250
2,795,
878NBC 810,4
42
962,63
4
1,135,
527
1,294,
606
1,468,
367
1,479,
907
1,517,
722
Source: Research findings, 2014 (NA = NOT AVAILABLE)
49
Number of assets determines size of institution or
organization. Alternatively an increase of number of assets
within institution implies institution growth and vice
versa. While in 2008 Stanbic bank had experienced fall of
asserts in 2009 Barclays bank had also experience fall in
assets. In the remaining years all banks have shown
relatively an increase of assets factor determining their
growth. Abera (2011) argued that bank performance is
influenced by internal factors related to internal
effectiveness and managerial decisions such as capital,
bank size, asset quality to mention few. The argument
suggests that an increase of quality assets in banks leads
to bank growth.
Table 4.4: Total deposits from 2006 to 2012Total
deposit
s
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CRDB 79,1,
531
1,013,
331
1,273,
082
1,621,
019
2,019,
394
2,408,
676
2,591,
033STANBIC 248,1
38
314,57
0
283,60
2
443,29
2
NA 610,11
0
698,09
2BARCLAY
S
198,9
19
249,89
3
402,43
3
349,30
0
NA 452,59
9
506,91
6NMB 688,0 1,012, 1,200, 1,459, NA 1,885, 2,439,
50
97 690 484 399 890 118NBC 681,4
38
787,39
2
901,55
1
1,130,
160
1,215,
287
1,293,
160
1,280,
835
Source: Research findings, 2014 (NA = NOT AVAILABLE)
Total Deposits has the positive and significant impact on
the profitability of the bank. Total deposits have positive
impact on profitability and banks depending on deposits for
funds can achieve better return on assets. With reference
to total deposits finding indicate that there is annual
increase of total deposits for all banks with exception of
Stanbic bank in 2008 and Barclays bank in 2009. According
to Semu (2012) net deposit and paid up capital have
significant relationship with banks’ growth measured in
terms of return on equity. New loan disbursement and
liquidity had relationship with banks’ growth measured in
terms of both return on asset and Return on Equity (ROE).
Table 4.5: Number of employees from 2006 to 2012Employees 200
6
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CRDB 996 1,15 1,24 1,311 NA 1,652 1,89851
3 9STANBIC 270 301 306 328 NA 433 588BARCLAYS 161 567 758 634 NA 571 519NMB 1,7
50
1,86
9
2,02
0
2,478 2,610 2,650 2,878
NBC 957 1,14
1
1,34
3
1,389 NA 1,441 1,474
Source: Research findings, 2014 (NA = NOT AVAILABLE)
Finally number of employees was also used to determine bank
growth. Under these consideration findings shows that with
exception of Barclays bank which number of employees
started declining from 2009 other bank numbers of employees
were increasing implying that these banks were growing.
4.4 Internal factors leading to the growth of commercial
banks in Tanzania
The internal factors are factors that are related to
internal efficiencies and managerial decisions. Efficiency
and portfolio theory highly assume that bank growth is
influenced by those internal factors that are related to
internal efficiencies and managerial decisions. Such
factors include operational factors, Human resource
factors, facilities factors and advertisement factors.
Operational factors are shown in Table 4.6 below.
52
Table 4.6: Operational factors leading to bank growth Operational factors Yes No Bank capital 97(97%) 3(3%)Bank size 97(97%) 3(3%)Asset quality 82(82%) 18(18%)Income diversification 85(85%) 15(15%)Liquidity risk 70(70%) 30(30%)Operational efficiency 94(94%) 6(6%)Diversified range of products
and services
73(73%) 27(27%)
Source: Research findings, 2014
Bank operations are among internal factors leading to bank
growth as 97(97%) said that bank capital determine bank
growth. Others 97(97%) declared bank size to be among
factors determining bank growth while other internal
determinants were mentioned as asset quality by 82(82%),
income diversification by 85(85%), liquidity risk by
70(70%), operation efficiency by 94(94%) and diversified
range of products and services by 73(73%). During interview
one bank manage declared that; “among others bank growth is
determined by two categories that are internal and
external. Internally, the bank’s profitability and
financial positions indicates the sector’s growth.”
Another factors determining bank growth were mentioned by
another bank manager as indicators such as loan, bank
53
size, capital, liquidity risk, operational efficiency, non-
interest income, deposit, level of nonperforming loans,
bank age and branch network.” Finally another manager
argued that; “size of the bank and capital have a
constructive effect on the bank growth even if the
contribution of size is not usually similar. The reason
behind a favorable relationship between capital and
profitability results mainly from the goodwill created
which in turn gives the banks the capability of borrowing
without collateral.”
Table 4.7: Human resources factors leading to bank growthHuman resources factors Yes No Bank train its staff 98(98%) 2(2%)Bank recruits expertise 97(97%) 3(3%) Source: Research findings, 2014
Human resource is another internal factor for bank growth
as 98(98%) declared that bank train its staff while 97(97%)
said bank recruits its expertise. (Abera 2012) argued that
cost to income ratio indicates that operational cost such
as staff salaries and other embedded staff benefits as
percentage of income. The increase number of human
resources implies that banks are able to incur costs
associated with increase number of human resources hence
they are growing. The increase of human resources should
54
also reflect the ability human resources in utilizing banks
financial and real investment resources to generate profits
(Alkassim 2005).
Table 4.8: Facilities factors leading to bank growthFacilities factors Yes No Bank invest in technology 90(90%) 10(10%)Bank construct new building
structure
70(70%) 30(30%)
Bank improve existing
facilities
81(81%) 19(19%)
Source: Research findings, 2014
Availability of bank facilities is another factor leading
to bank growth as 90(90%) have mentioned banking investment
in technology as factor contributing to bank growth while
70(70%) mentioning construction of new building structure
and 81(81%) mentioning bank improvement in existing
facilities. During interview CRDB manager declared that;
“in banking industry there is a need of innovating highly
demanded products and the higher we take risk the higher we
earn profit. So our focus is to come up with innovative
services which have minimum risks.
Table 4.9: Advertisement as a factor leading to bank growth
55
Advertisement factor Yes No Local and regional media 74(74%) 26(26%)International media 50(50%) 50(50%)Internet 96(96%) 4(4%)Trade fairs 96(96%) 4(4%)Local and international news
papers
92(92%) 8(8%)
Source: Research findings, 2014
Advertisement was another factors leading to bank growth.
While 74(74%) declared that they were advertizing in local
and regional media, 50(50%) were advertising in
international media, 96(96%) were advertising in internet,
96(96%) in trade fair and 92(92%) in local and
international news papers.
4.5 External factors that led to the growth of commercial
banks in Tanzania
Factors leading to the bank growth can be categorized into
internal and external. The external factors are factors
that are beyond the management reach, these factors include
economic and regulatory variables that affect the financial
sector daily operations. The determinants classified under
this category include variables such as the national56
economy, supportive service, labour environment and
investment environment. Regarding national economy findings
are shown in table 4.10.
Table 4.10: National economy as a factor leading to bank growthNational economy Yes No Tax system 88(88%) 12(12%)Technology 63(63%) 27(27%)Gross domestic product 89(89%) 11(11%)Exchange rate 65(65%) 25(25%)Source: Research findings, 2014
National economy is among external factors leading to bank
growth. Variables in national economy that are leading to
bank growth include good tax system as mentioned by
88(88%), importation new technology as stipulated by
63(63%), high gross domestic product as identified by
89(89%) and reasonable exchange rate of foreign currency as
declared by 65(65%). It has been observed that in the
strong national economy the associated risk and
profitability are very low and very high
respectively .Profitability also depend on the network
diversification, banks with wide network are more
profitable than banks with narrow network, the stability of
banking network is determined by strong country’s economy.
57
Table 4.11: Supportive service as a factor leading to bankgrowthSupportive services Yes No Electricity 70(70%) 30(30%)Transport 86(86%) 24(24%)Internet 99(99%) 1(1%)Customer services 81(81%) 19(19%)Access license and permits 75(75%) 25(25%) Source: Research findings, 2014
Again findings show that supportive services are the
factors that are leading to bank growth. Some of identified
supportive services are electricity by 70(70%), transport
by 86(86%), internet by 99(99%), customer services by
81(81%) and access to license and permits by 75(75%).
Table 4.12: Labour environment as a factor leading to bankgrowthLabor environment Yes No Free hiring 96(96%) 4(4%)Availability of skilled
labour
90(90%) 10(10%)
Fair cost of skilled labour 88(88%) 12(12%)Good productivity of skilled
labour
95(95%) 5(5%)
Source: Research findings, 2014
58
Labor environment is another external factor leading to
bank growth indicated by free hiring as stated by 96(96%),
availability of skilled labour as 90(90%) had declared,
fair cost of skilled labour as 88(88%) had stipulated and
good productivity of skilled labour as 95(95%) had
declared.
Table 4.13: Investment environment as a factor leading to bank growthInvestment environment Yes No Lack of conflicts 90(90%) 10(10%)Lack of robbery 90(90%) 10(10%)Lack of corruption 67(67%) 23(23%)Source: Research findings, 2014
Finally lack of conflict as mentioned by 90(90%)
respondents, lack of robbery by 90(90%) and lack of
corruption by 67(67%) were other external factors mentioned
as leading to bank growth.
4.6 Role of legal and regulatory framework in supporting
the growth of banks in Tanzania.
Legal and regulatory frameworks have crucial organs in the
growth of banks in Tanzania. Legal and regulatory systems
considered include supervisory systems and policies.
59
Regarding supervisory systems findings are shown in table
4.12.
Table 4.14: Legal and regulatory framework supportingbank growthLegal and regulatory systems Yes No Good legal system 77(77%
)
23(23%
)Good local authorities 64(64%
)
36(36%
)Good registration service bureau 97(97%
)
3(3%)
Good revenue authority 90(90%
)
10(10%
) Source: Research findings, 2014
Legal and regulatory frameworks that are supporting the
growth of banks in Tanzania were mentioned as good legal
system by 77(77%), good local authorities by 64(64%), good
registration services bureau by 96(97%) and good revenue
authority by 90(90%). Findings form interview shows that
legal and regulatory frameworks have big roles to play in
order to support bank growth. Among the roles mentioned
were provision of license, creation of good business
environment, improving security and provision of reliable
business environment. This implies those legal and
60
CHAPTER FIVE
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Introduction
Chapter five is about conclusion and recommendations. The
conclusion shows key issues emerging from research findings
and recommendation shows what need to be done as far as the
study findings are concerned.
5.2 Conclusion
The study was about assessment of factors that lead to the
growth of commercial banks in Tanzania. The study attempted
to found out general trends of growth of commercial banks
in Tanzania between 2006 to 2012, identify internal factors
that led to the growth of commercial banks in Tanzania,
identify external factors that led to the growth of
commercial banks in Tanzania and valuate the role of legal
and regulatory framework in supporting the growth of banks
in Tanzania.
Generally banks commercial banks in Tanzania are growing
drastically factor already identified by Beck and Cull
(2013) that African banks are more profitable than banks
outside Africa. The return on assets (ROA) stood at 2.1
percent in the median African country, while it was 1.5
percent outside Africa. The study concluded that there are
internal and external factors that are leading to bank62
growth although foreign banks are facing growth challenges.
The internal factors are associated with internal
performance and efficiency rendered by effective internal
operations, qualified human resources, quality facilities
and higher level of advertisement. Internal factors are
support rendered by government including strengthening
national economy, having good supervision mechanisms,
creating good labor environment and having good investment
environment. Also government should impose good legal
regulations and policies. Findings show that the
aforementioned internal and external factors together with
regulatory authority have contributed a lot on bank growth.
5.3 Recommendations
Since bank need to maximize profits the following are
recommendations. Regarding internal factors leading to bank
growth banks need to improve their performance by shifting
its attention to the current need that forecast challenges
rendered by globalization. On the other side regarding
external factor government need to improve its investment
and regulatory environment to ensure that bans, citizens
and government itself benefits from bank services.
63
5.4 Policy Implications
This study has a number of policy implications including
the following. Since bank is very import ant in the growth
of national economy its examination of its growth is vital
as it will display growth trend which will indicates its
performance hence relates the performance with growth of
national economy. Policy makers, government and non
government originations will use these study findings.
Policy makers are to find out mechanisms that will ensure
banks are performing better and are growing.
64
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