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Estimation of Local Recreational Value of Hakgala Botanic Gardens
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Transcript of Estimation of Local Recreational Value of Hakgala Botanic Gardens
Estimation of the local recreational value of the Hakgala Botanic Garden Sri Lanka
C T Jayaratne and UADP Gunawardene ,Unversity of Sri Jayewardenapura Nugegoda,Sri Lanka
Abstract
The Botanical garden at Hakgala
is one of the oldest ex-situ
conservation areas in Sri
Lanka. It is a unique
environmental asset, nationally
as well as globally. An economic
study was carried out in the
Hakgala Botanic Garden to
estimate its local recreational
value. The economic approach
used to estimate the
recreational value was the
travel cost method. The travel
cost approach is a way to value
unpriced goods. The surrounding
areas were divided into
concentric zones of increasing
distance, which represented
increasing levels of travel
cost. A survey of users was
conducted at the garden to
determine the zone of origin,
visitation rates, travel costs
and various socio economic
characteristics. The data
generated were used to regress
visitation rates, the total
travel cost and urban population
fraction of each zone. With
respect to the multiple trips
cost component to visit Hakgala
was differentiated based on
distances. Demand curve based on
visitation rates were
constructed using these data to
estimate the consumer surplus
from the site. Estimated minimum
total cost experienced by the
visitors
at the current entrance fee (Rs.
200) was Rs. 6,943,520. When
this amount is subtracted from
the total consumer surplus
(total welfare) of Rs.
228,493,714 the estimated
consumer surplus is Rs.
221,550,194. This figure can be
used to demonstrate the
contribution of a botanic garden
to the economy and to attract
more funds to develop
infrastructural facilities
inside the garden from the
government allocations.
Introduction
Sri Lanka is one of the
economically poorest and
ecologically richest countries
in the world. It has been
designated as a biological hot
spot of global importance due to
its high biological richness and
endemicity. Biodiversity must
certainly have considerable
economic value. An important
aspect of biodiversity that goes
unrecognized in national
accounting is its aesthetic
value. The methodologies for
valuing biodiversity are still
evolving, but studies have been
made elsewhere in the world on
how biodiversity value can be
incorporated in to the process
of decision-making on investment
projects. The establishment and
management of ex-situ
conservation is carried out in
limited ways in Sri Lanka. Three
botanical gardens at
Peradeniya,Hakgala and
Henerathgoda, house around 5500
plant species of which 1967 are
2
endemic to Sri Lanka.
(Rathnayaka and Kariyawasam,
2002). Other than ex-situ
conservation of biodiversity
these botanical gardens have
provided and continue to provide
recreation and eco touristic
services to Sri Lankan and
foreign visitors.
The Botanical garden at Hakgala
is one of the oldest ex-situ
conservation areas in Sri Lanka.
It is a unique environmental
asset, nationally as well as
globally, due to its
conservation, recreation,
historical, cultural and
educational and other existence
values.
The economic value of something
is measured by the summation of
many individual’s willingness to
pay (WTP). It reflects
individual’s preferences for the
good in question. So, economic
valuation in the environmental
context is about ‘measuring the
preferences’ of people for an
environmental good or against an
environmental bad. Valuation is
therefore preferences held by
people. The resulting valuations
are in money terms because of
the way in which preference
elevations sought i.e. by asking
what people are willing to pay.
Or by inferring their WTP
through other means. Moreover,
the use of money as the
measuring rod permits the
comparison that is required
between ‘environmental values’
3
and ‘development values’
(Pearce,1993).
Many people believe that there
are intrinsic values in
environmental assets. They are
of values of themselves and are
not of human beings, values that
exist not just because
individual human beings have
preferences for them. There is
no reason to reject the idea of
intrinsic values because the
idea of measuring preference is
adopted. What are being assessed
are two different things; the
value of preferences of people
for or against environmental
change (economic values) and the
value that intrinsically resides
‘in’ environmental assets
(intrinsic values).Economic
valuation is essentially about
discovering the demand curve for
environmental goods and services
the values which human beings
place on the environment. The
use of money as the measuring
rod is for
convenience. It happens to be
one of the limited number of
ways in which people use to
measure economic value or their
willingness to pay
(Hufschmidt,1990).
Once it is accepted that both
forms of value exist, the issue
becomes one which value should
inform and guide the process of
making public choices. The
answer is that since both values
are ‘legitimate,’ both are
relevant to decision making.
4
Making decisions on the basis of
economic value alone neither
describes real world decision
making, nor would it be
appropriate given that
governments and other agents
involved in the development
process have multiple goals. But
one difference between the
economic and intrinsic value
approach is that economic values
can, in practice, be measured
while intrinsic values cannot
(Hufschmidt,1990 and
Kulla,1995).
The practical problem with
economic valuation is one
deriving credible estimates of
that value in contexts where
there is either no apparent
market or very imperfect
markets. If it is possible to
derive such values, then it may
well be that some measures of
individuals preference will, in
any event, capture at least part
of what might be called
intrinsic value. This will be so
if the people expressing values
for the environmental change in
question themselves posses some
concept of the intrinsic value
of things. They may be partly
valuing ‘on behalf’ of the
environment as an entity itself
(Freeman, 1993).
Many of the environmental assets
that people generally feel are
very important are in the
developing word. Notable
examples include the tropical
rain forests, ecologically
5
precious wetlands, and many of
the world’s endangered species.
Many people believe that these
environmental assets have
intrinsic value. They may
express that view by speaking of
the immorality of activities
that degrade these resources,
and of the ‘rights’ to existence
of trees and animal species
(Pearce,1993).
Such discussions are important,
but at the practical level the
‘development and environment
debate is frequently about the
very high value placed on
development in a context of
malnourishment and
underemployment. The environment
will often be viewed as a luxury
to be afforded later, not now
while the struggle for
development is under way
Bringing discussions of rights
and intrinsic values into the
policy dialogue can be
counterproductive in such
context: honoring them is
perceived as forgoing the
benefits of development
(Sherman,1990).
If on the other hand,
conservation and the sustainable
use of resources can be shown to
be of economic value, then the
dialogue of developer and
conservationist may be viewed
differently, not as one
necessary opposites, but of
potential complements
6
(Hufschmidt,1990 and
Perman,1996).
Total Economic Value
Conceptually, total economic
value (TEV) of an environmental
resource consists of its use
value (UV) and non use value
(NUV). A use value is much as it
sounds usual value arising from
an actual use made of a given
resource. This might be the use
of a forest for timber, or of a
wetland for recreation or
fishing and so on. Use values
are further divided into direct
use values (DUV), which refer to
actual uses such as fishing,
timber extraction etc.
Indirect use values (IUV), which
refer to the benefits deriving
from ecosystem functions such as
a forest’s function in
protecting the watershed; and
option values (OV),which is a
value approximating an
individual’s willingness to pay
to safeguard an asset for the
option of using it at a future
date. This is like an insurance
value (Pearce and Moran),1994.
Non use vales (NUV) are slightly
more problematic in definition
and estimation, but are usually
divided between a bequest values
(BV) individual from the
knowledge that others might
benefit from a resource in
future. The latter are unrelated
to current use values, or
option values, deriving simply
from the existence of any
7
particular asset. An
individual’s concern to protect,
for example, the blue whale
although he or she has never
seen one and is never likely to,
could be an example of existence
value(Randal and Stoll, 1983
cited in Pearce and
Morgan,1994). Thus the total
economic value is,
TEV=UV+NUV=(DUV+IUV+OV)+(XV+BV)
Anthropocentric view of
biological resources offers a
convenient ‘window’ for economic
analysis over alternative value
paradigms such as ‘intrinsic
value’. Values in themselves
and, nominally anyway, unrelated
to human use. Intrinsic values
are relevant to conservation
decisions, but they are
generally not measurable. As
such they do not help to define
action in the context where
choices have to be made against
the backdrop of scare
conservation funds. Economic
value does not capture, nor is
it designated to capture
intrinsic value (Pearce,1994).
However, it is tempting to think
that economist have captured all
there is to know about economic
value in the concept of TEV. But
this is obviously not correct.
First they are not calming to
have captured all values, merely
economic values. Second, many
ecologists say that total
economic value is still not the
whole economic story. There
are some underlying functions of
8
ecological systems that are
prior to the ecological
functions (watershed protection
and so on) (Pearce,1994).Turner
(1992) calls them ‘primary
values’ (PV) ,. TEV may fail to
encapsulate the total secondary
value (TSV) provided by an
ecosystem. Because in practice
some of the functions and
processors are difficult to
analyze (scientifically) as well
as to value in monitory terms.
In addition (TEV) fails to
capture the (PV) of ecosystems,
indeed this or ‘glue’ value
notion is very difficult to
measure in direct value terms
since it is a non- preference,
but still instrumental, type of
value (Barbier, 1993).
It is believed that this primary
and secondary ecosystem value
classification goes some way
towards satisfying many
scientists’ concerns about the
‘partial’ nature of the
conventional economic valuation
approach (Ehrlich,1992 and
Barbier,1993).
More formally.
Each ecosystem provides a source
or stock of primary value i.e.
Total Primary Value (TPV) or
‘glue’ value of the ecosystem.
The existence of a ‘ healthy’
ecosystem (i.e. one that is
stable and/or resilient)
provides a range of services
that is known as Total Secondary
9
Value (TSV). Total Ecosystem
value s (TV).
TV = TPV+TSV;
TSV=TEV (Total Economic Value);
TEV= UV (use value) +NUV (non-
use value);
What is clear is that the
components of the TEV (use and
non use values) cannot simply be
aggregated. There are often
tradeoffs between different
types of use value and between
direct and indirect use values.
Smith (1992) has also pointed
out that the partitioning of use
and non use values may be
problematic, if it is the case
that use values may well depend
on the level of services
attributed to non-use values.
The TEV approach has to be used
with care and with a full
awareness of its limitations
(Barbier,1993).
Zonal travel cost model
In actual practice, the travel
cost approach is site specific
and measures the benefits from
one particular site and not from
recreation in general (Freeman,
1979). The recreation site
is identified, and the
surrounding area is divided into
concentric zones of increasing
distance, which represents
increasing levels of travel
cost. A survey of users is
conducted at the recreation site
to determine zone of origin,
visitation rates, travel costs,
10
and various socio economic
characteristics. The information
from this sample of visitors is
then analyzed, and the data
generated are used to regress
visitation rates on travel cost
and various socioeconomic
variables.
Q1=f(TC<X1…….Xn)
Where Q1 is the demand curve is
(number of visitors from zone i
per 1000 population in the zone
i), TC is travel cost, and X1………
Xn are number of socioeconomic
variables including income,
level of education, urban
population percentage and other
appropriate variables.
This regression will test the
hypothesis that travel costs do
in fact have an impact on
visitation rates. The inclusion
of other variables helps to
include the effects of non
travel cost related components
of total visitation rates.
The first step leads to the
creation of a so called “whole
experience” demand curve based
on visitation rates, not the
actual days spent at the site.
To estimate the consumer
surplus, or benefits, from the
site, this demand curve can be
used to estimate actual numbers
of visitors and how the numbers
would change with increases in
admission price-in-effect,
creating a classic demand curve.
The base information about total
visitation from all travel cost
11
zones define s one point on
the demand curve for the
recreation site under study
(Freeman, 1979). I.E. it defines
the point of intersection of the
present nominal or zero price
line with the true economic
demand curve. In figure 2.5 this
would be point A if the
admission charge were zero.
M
B
1.00
O
A
Demand curve for outdoor
recreation
(Source: Hufschmidt,1990
and pearce, 1993)
The remainder of the demand
curve is derived by assuming
that visitors would respond in
the same way to increases in
admission costs as to equal
increases in travel costs. For
each incremental increase in
admission cost, the expected
visitation rate from each origin
zone is calculated.
These values are assumed across
all travel origin zones to find
the predicted number of
visitors at the new admission
price. A $ 1 increase in
admission charges until the
entire demand curve, AM, is
traced. The area under the curve
is an estimate, therefore of the
12
total consumer’s surplus enjoyed
by present users of the
recreation site, assuming an
original access price of zero.
2.3.4 Assumptions in Travel Cost
Method
To use the travel cost approach,
a number of assumptions must be
made about individual behavior
and about the variables measured
(Sinden and Worrel, 1979). They
are as follows:
1. The consumer’s surplus of
the marginal user is zero
2. Travel cost is a reliable
proxy for price. This in
turn, rests on assumptions
that the disutility of
overcoming distance derives
monitory costs alone.
3. People in all distance
zones would consume the
same quantities of the
activity at given monitory
costs. That is the demand
curves for all distance
zones have the same
slopes .
The discussion of the
theoretical concept of the
travel cost approach is in
recreation analysis, but on
the valuation of an
unpriced good. A
recreational good is just a
one of a number of goods in
this category (Hufschmidt,
1990).
METHODOLOGY
13
Method of estimating
recreational value
Even though visitors who came to
the recreation site pay a
nominal entrance fee, value
placed by visitors on the
recreational site may be higher
or lower than the fee. An
approximate value can be
estimated considering the total
cost of the visitor for both
travel and opportunity cost of
time. This reflects the value of
scenic beauty of the site. This
approach is used in technique
called travel cost method
(Hotelling,1949 cited in
Claswon,1959). Main objective of
the study was to assess the
recreational value of the
Hakgala Botanic Garden. Zonal
travel cost was used to assess
the recreational value. As
Hufscmidt (1990) says travel
cost approach is the best method
to value unpriced goods like
recreation. The zonal travel
cost is applied by collecting
information on the number of
visits to the site from
distances. Because the travel
time and cost will improve with
distance, this information
allows the researcher to
calculate the number of visits
‘purchased’ at different
‘prices’. This information was
used to construct the demand
function for site, and estimate
the consumer surplus, or
economic benefits, for the
recreational services of site.
14
Process of data
collection
The data for the study were
collected from both primary and
secondary sources. Following
paragraphs give a detail
description about sources and
techniques of data collection.
Primary data collection
Survey technique was used to
find out consumer’s hypothetical
valuation of the site. A
Survey technique was undertaken
with the aid of a questionnaire,
amongst total adult visitors who
are employed. Only one person
was interviewed in a group.
Random sampling technique was
used. I.e. every other person
was interviewed who are going
out of the garden. 210
respondents were interviewed
from 8.00 a.m. to 5.00 p.m.
during 10th Thursday, 11th Friday
and 12 th Saturday in April and
18th Friday, 19th Saturday and 20th
Sunday in July 2003.The month of
April comes within the season
and July is off season. Survey
was conducted in Sinhala and
English medium.
Questionnaire is attached to
appendix 4. It included 20
questions. Question 1-4 included
socio economic characteristics
such as home town of the
visitor, occupation, monthly
income, age, education and
15
members in the group. It also
included questions on whether
respondent had visited this
place before, whether he/she had
a special interest to visit
Hakgala Botanic Garden. Those
two had no interest were
excluded (10 questionnaires).
Cheshire and Stabler (1976)
states meanderers, who derive
utility from journey, should be
excluded because including them
may overestimate he benefits.
Question 7 was whether the
visitor was a member of any
organization related to nature.
Question 9-14 included details
about travel costs such as total
distance traveled up to Hakgala,
mode of transport, cost per
kilometer/hire cost/travel
expenditure to find out round
trip travel cost, whether that
was the only place visited,
other places visited during the
trip, relevant distances to each
place from the starting point up
to the end of the trip, time
spent to reach the garden, time
spent at the garden, time to
reach the next place and other
positive expenditure due to the
trip. Question 15 was about the
interesting places inside the
garden and question 16 asked
whether the visit is worth for
money. Question 17 was about the
maximum amount a visitor was
willing to pay as the entrance
fee. Question 18 was about the
visitor’s attitude on the
existing facilities. Question 19
was on the visitor’s suggestions
to improve the qualities of the
16
garden. Question 20 asked the
maximum amount the visitor was
willing to pay after improving
the qualities of the garden.
Secondary data
collection
Secondary data was manly
obtained from the rerecords
maintained by the garden. It was
about the total number of
visitors annually, from 1997-
2002 and monthly visitors during
the year 1997- 2002.
Administration reports of the
Department of Agriculture from
1999-2002 was used to get
information about income
collected by the garden from
sale of plants, entrance fees
and other sources which is
credited to the treasury. It
also provided information about
the funds received by the garden
from various sources as
recurrent, capital, Farmer’s
Trust fund and Botanic Garden’s
Trust Fund.
Statistical abstracts of the
Department of Census and
Statistics was used to obtain
data such as total population in
each district, total urban
population in Sri Lanka and in
Colombo, Gampaha, Kandy,
Kurunegala, Kaluthara,Galle,
Badulla and Nuwara Eliya
districts for year 2002.
Zoning
17
In the usual practice of travel
cost study, the surrounding area
is divided in to concentric
zones of increasing distance,
which represents increasing
level of travel cost
(Freeman,1979). However these
zones may be concentric zones
radiating from site, or they
might be ‘local government
administrative districts’. Zonal
models may include travel costs
and socio economic variables
averaged for zones (Lansdell and
Gangadharan,2001).
Zoning was done by allocating
the visitors under the
respective districts where the
visit was originated. Travel
distances were obtained from a
road map published by the Survey
Department. Since the travel
distances to places visited or
to be visited and total travel
cost incurred was obtained in
the questionnaire, total travel
cost was apportioned according
to the distance in the case of
hired and own vehicles and
direct ravel expenses to places
were taken on the case of public
transport. Thereby travel cost
component relevant to visit
Hakgala Botanic Garden was
separately calculated. Data
entering and the above
calculations were done using a
excel spread sheet.
Obtaining visitor rates
for each zone
18
According to Hanley and Spash
(1993) Population levels of
zones must be included in zonal
models. Visitation rate is the
number of visitors from a
particular zone per 10000
population in that zone
(Hufschnidt,1990).
Using the information on the
number of sampled visitors from
each zone, total number of
visitors to the garden for a
year was calculated since the
garden does not keep records of
the origin of the visitors.
Number of sampled visitors in
the each zone, total number of
visitors to the garden for a
year was calculated since the
garden does not keep records of
the origin of the visitors.
Number of sampled visitors in
the each zone, sample size,
annual number of visitors in
each zone and population in the
each zone was used to calculate
the visitation rate per 1000
population in each zone using
equation 1.
Visits/1000/year=(vi/n)N*1000
…………(1)
P i
Vi = visits from ith zone
n = Sample size
N = Total number of visitors per
year
Pi = Population in the ith zone
Obtaining total travel
cost
19
Smith, Desvousges and Mc Givney
(1983) found that relevant price
of a visit to a site was the sum
of money travel cost and a
proportion of the total time per
visit (round trip travel time
and time spent on site). This
proportionately factor depend
upon the wage rate attached to
the money and time. In other
words, the total travel cost was
considered to comprise cost of
traveling and the opportunity
cost of time of traveling.
Total travel cost = Travel cost +Opportunity
cost of time ……………………(2)
Cost of traveling was considered
as direct expenses incurred by
visitors in getting to and from
the site for fuel and fairs.
This was obtained by deriving an
average travel cost figure for
each zone per person. Entrance
fee was included in the average
travel cost per zone.
Opportunity cost of traveling
was considered as value of time
spent on the round trip and
value of time spent at the
garden.
Opportunity round time
Cost = Trip + spent*value of time
Of travel at
Time time garden
…………….(3)
.
20
Round trip travel time and
time spent at the garden was
obtained by calculating the
average figure for each zone per
person.
Cesario (1976) says one third of
the wage rate should be attached
to money and time. Therefore,
one third of the wage was taken
as the rate to calculate the
value of time. The value of time
was calculated using following
formulae.
Value of time Rs/hour
= (MI /20) *1/3
8
MI = Average
monthly income
per person for
each zone
20= Average
number of
working days
per month
08 = Average
number of
working hours
per day
Estimation of urban
population fraction
Since the education level
influence the visitation rate
(Abeygunawardhana and
Kodituwakku,1993) the regional
education index has been
calculated by Marasinghe (2001).
Since the urban population
21
places higher values for natural
resources (Ekanayake and
Abegunawaredena, 1994) the
percentage urban population also
has been calculated by
Marasinghe (2001) which reflects
the regional income also
(Gunathilaka and Vieth, 1998).
It has been noted by Marasinghe
(2001) that percentage urban
population shows higher
correlation with visitation rate
than the regional education
index. So the regional education
index has been dropped from his
model. Therefore in this study
urban population fraction was
used instead of urban population
percentage for accuracy in
subsequent transformations.
Based on data published by the
Department of Census and
Statistics, urban population for
each district was obtained and
total urban population in Sri
Lanka was calculated for 2002.
Based on that, considering urban
population in districts of
Colombo, Kurunegala, Kandy,
Badulla, Nuwara Eliya, Gampaha,
Galle, and Kalutara urban
population fractions for each
above stated districts were
calculated.
Regression Analysis
According to Hufschmidt (1990)
are used to regress visitation
rates on travel cost and the
22
various socio economic
variables.
Qi = f(TC < X1,………………….Xn)
Where Qi is the visitation rate
(number of visitors from zone i
per 1000 population in zone i),
TC is travel cost, and X1…………….Xn
are a number of socioeconomic
variables including income,
level of education, urban
population fraction and other
appropriate variables.
This regression will test the
hypothesis that travel costs do
in fact have an impact on
visitation rates. The inclusion
of other variables helps to
include the effects of non
travel cost related components
of total visitation rates.
Computer simulated statistical
system MINITAB 12 for windows
was used in this study to
estimate multiple linear
regression functions. Multiple
linear regression model is
represented by the following
equation;
Y = β0+β1x1+β2X2+…………………….+βKXK +€
………………………………(5)
Where y is the dependent
variable, X1,X2……..XK are
independent variables. βo,β1,
………..βk are the co efficients,
and € is the error variable.
In the regression analysis
carried out in this study,
Visitation Rate (VR) for each
zone (visits/1000/year) was
considered as the dependent
variable. Sum of the value of
23
travel time and cost (TTC) for
each zone, average annual house
hold income from each zone (I)
according to the sample and
urban population fraction (UF)
in each zone was considered as
independent variables.
According to the questionnaire
survey, there were respondents
from 18 districts. They were
Colombo, Kurunegala, Gampaha,
Kandy, Kalutara, Badulla, Nuwara
Eliya, Galle,
Hambanthota, Kegalle, Matale,
Ampara, Puttlam, Polonnaruwa,
Jaffna, Rathnapura. Anuradhapura
and Monaragala. However
respondents from only 8 zones
(Colombo,
Kurunegala,Gampaha,Kandy,
Kalutara, Badulla, Nuwara Eliya
and Galle) had come from all the
three modes (own, public and
hired). It was assumed in this
study that modes own, public and
hired represented high, low and
middle income categories.
Therefore it was justifiable to
derive an average travel cost
figure for each zone by
averaging travel cost figures
represented by all three modes
together instead of using a
weighted average.
Due to the above stated reason
only 8 zones represented all
three modes were used to obtain
the regression function.
Necessary transformations such
as log, square, square root was
done to dependent as well as
independent variables in order
24
to obtain a higher co- efficient
of determination (R2). There is
a quantitative test to evaluate
the models. Best model was
selected by considering the R2
value and residual distribution.
Construction of the
demand curve
As Hufsmidt (1990) states, so
called “whole experience” demand
curve should be derived based on
visitation rates, to estimate
the consumer surplus, or
benefits, from the site. This
demand curve can be used to
estimate actual numbers of
visitors and how the numbers
would change with increases in
admission price.
The base information about total
visitation from all travel cost
zones defines one point on the
demand curve for the recreation
site under study (Freeman,
1979). I.e. it defines the point
of intersection of the present
nominal or zero price line with
the true economic demand curve.
If the visitation rates of the
garden users can be shown as a
function of ‘price’ paid for
which the travel cost is proxy,
the relationship can be taken a
‘demand curve’ for recreational
value at Hakgala Botanic
Gardens.
Zonal visitation rate per
thousand populations with
respect to travel costs and
urban population fraction was
25
used to estimate the regression
equation to derive the demand
curve. Zonal visitation rate per
thousand populations was
calculated for 0,20,200 and
increasing entrance fee in
rupees of interval of 200.
Actual numbers of visitors were
calculated by multiplying the
visitation rate by zonal
population in thousands for each
entrance fee. Entrance fee was
increased in the calculations
until zero number of visitors
was obtained. Total number of
visitors for each entrance fee
was calculated and this value
was plotted against respective
entrance fee to derive the
demand curve. Area under the
demand curve was calculated to
obtain the value of recreation
per year or ‘consumer surplus’
of the garden at zero entrance
fee. The area under this curve
was calculated assuming that the
demand curve is linear between
any two points. In absence of an
entrance fee, the area under
that demand curve is considered
as the consumer’s surplus and
that is equal to the
recreational value. In the real
scenario there is an entrance
fee of Rs. 20 and hence area
under the demand curve is not
equal to the recreational value
or consumer’s surplus. According
to the figure 3.1 consumer
surplus is the area under the
demand curve above the price
line. To obtain the actual
consumer surplus, calculated
value assuming zero entrance fee
26
was deducted from the nominal
value of the garden per year at
the entrance fee of Rs. 20
Nominal value was obtained by
multiplying the total number of
visitors at Rs. 20. by Rs. 20.
Final figure arrived was the
recreational value of the garden
per year.
Demand curve for recreational site
Source: (Hufschmidt, 1990)
RESULTS
Initially the visitor
perception on the benefits of
the Hakgala Botanic Garden,
weakness of Hakgala Botanic
Garden are provided in tabular
and graphical analysis. Secondly
the recreational value of
Hakgala Botanic are provided in
tabular and graphical analysis.
Secondly the recreational value
of Hakgala Botanic Garden is
estimated using the travel cost
method.
Visitor perception
27
Price
Number of visitorsEntrance Fee
Consumer surplus
Visitor perception was gathered
from the Questions 15-
20.Questionnarie is attached to
Appendix 3. This section
provides data obtained from the
questionnaire which was analyzed
qualitatively. Question number
15 was whether the visit to
Hakgala Botanic garden is worth
for money they spent as the
entrance fee. Among the total
sample of 200, many visitors
(87%,174) said current entrance
fee is worth. However, (13%, 26)
said that what they pay as
entrance fee is not worth since
they did not get much
satisfaction.
Attitude on entrance fee
26, 13%
174, 87%
worthnot worth
Figure 4.1 : Attitude on
entrance fee
Question number 15.1 asked
whether the respondent thought
visit is worthy more than what
he/she had paid, what was the
new entrance fee that he/she was
willing to pay. From the sample
of 200, 75 respondents agreed to
pay more. While 13 agreed to pay
25 rupees, 15 were willing to
pay 30 rupees, 3 agreed to pay
35 rupees, 30 respondents agreed
to pay 50 rupees and only 3 were
willing to pay 100 rupees.
28
W illingness to pay
13 15
3
11
30
305101520253035
25 30 35 40 50 100m axim um am ount w illing to pay
numbe
r of res
pond
ents
Figure 4.2 : Willingness to pay
Question 16 asked whether the
respondent was satisfied with
the existing facilities for
visitors. 59% of the visitors
(119) were satisfied with the
existing facilities provided by
the garden whereas 41% (81) were
not satisfied with the existing
facilities.
Level of satisfaction on facilities am ong visitors
81, 41%
119, 59%
not satisfiedsatisfied
Figure 4.3: Level of
satisfaction on facilities among
visitors
Question 18.1 asked if some
improvement is done, whether
they were willing to pay a
higher amount. Majority of
visitors agreed to pay higher
amount than existing entrance
fee if the facilities are
improved. 145 of visitors (72%)
agreed to pay a higher amount,
while 55 (28%) disagreed.
29
Num ber of Respondents willing to pay more after im proved facilities
145, 72%
55, 28%agreeddisagreed
Figure 4.4. : Number of respondents willing to pay more after improved facilities.
Question 19 asked what was the
increased entrance fee they
would like to pay after
improvements to facilities made.
This was an open ended question.
Table 4.1 represents number of
respondents and respective
amounts they were willing to
pay.
Table 4.1 Willingness to pay after improved facilities
Willingness Number of
to pay Respondents
25 19
30 30
35 3
40 14
45 1
50 50
60 4
70 3
75 2
100 13
150 2
200 4
Following graph shows
willingness to pay as new
entrance fee after facilities at
the garden are improved vs.
respective number of respondents
under each entrance fee.
30
W illingness to pay after im proved facilities
1930
314
1
50
4 3 213
2 40102030405060
Num ber of Respondents
Figure 4.5: Willingness to pay
after improved facilities
Question 14 asked what were the
interesting things they have
seen in the garden. Most
favorite site of the respondents
was rose garden. Other than that
glass house, other flower beds,
large trees, fernery, landscape
and dalia garden were the other
preferred sites by the
respondents.
Preffered sites at the garden
020406080
Site
Number of respondents
Figure 4.6: Preferred sites at
the garden
Question number 7 asked whether
respondent was a member of any
organization or society related
to nature. Majority of
respondents, 155 (77%) were not
members in any organization
related to nature. 45 out of
2000 (23%) were members in
organizations related to nature.
31
W hether respondents had m em bership in an organisation related to nature
yes, 45, 23%
no, 155, 77%
yesno
Figure 4.7: Whether respondent
had membership in an
organization related to nature
166 questionnaires were filled
in sinhala medium and 34
questionnaires were filled in
English medium.
Medium of Response
Sinhala, 166, 83%
English, 34, 17%
SinhalaEnglish
Figure 4.8 : Medium of response
Visit Data
Based on the analysis of
secondary data during past 6
years (1997-2002) it was found
that visits peaked during April
and August. Following graph
represents average annual visits
by local adults during the 12
months of the year according to
the visitor figures during past
6 years.
Average num ber of local adult visitors during (1997-2002)
010002000300040005000
M onth
Number of visitors
32
Figure 4.9 : Average number of
monthly local adult visitor
during (1997-2002)
Following graph represents the
total local adult visits during
1997 to 2002. During the year
1997, 303,065 local adult
visitors had visit Hakgala.
During 1998 it was 327,104, and
in 1999 it was 314,817. During
the year 2000, 326,560 local
adult visitors had visited,
whereas in 2001, it declined to
297,562 and in year 2002 it was
only 297,442 local adults
visited Hakgala.
Total local adult visitors during 1997-2002
280000290000300000310000320000330000340000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Figure 4.10: Total local adult visits during (1997-2002)
Many respondents (133) had visited Hakgala before whereas 67 respondents had not.
Previousely visited or not
not visited, 67, 34%
visited, 133, 66%
not visitedvisited
Figure 4.11 : Previously visitedor not
Among 200 respondents, 83 (42%)
had sole purpose to visit
Hakgala garden, while 117 (58%)
had intention to visit other
places as well.
33
Types of visit
Single purpose trips,
83, 42%m ulti prpose trips, 117,
58%
Single purpose tripsm ulti prpose trips
Figure 4.12 : Type of visit
Respondents were categorized
into three modes of transport.
They are own, hired, and public
vehicles. Amongst the 200
respondents 58 (29%) had come by
own vehicles, 86 (43%) by hired
vehicles and 56 (28%) by public
transport.
Mode of transport
Public, 56, 28%
hired, 86, 43%
own, 58, 29%
Publichiredown
Figure 4.13 : Mode of transport
Socio economic data
Sample of 200 respondents
represented 18 districts.
Following graph shows the origin
of the visit. 65 respondents
came from Colombo, 12 from
kurunegala, 4 from Hambanthota,
15 from Kandy, 17 from Badulla,
18 from Nuwara Eliya, 32 from
Gampaha, 2 from Kegalle, 8 from
Galle, 9 from Kalutara, 1 from
Matale, 1 from Ampara, 2 from
Puttalam, 3 from Pollonnaruwa, 2
from Jaffna, 4 from Rathnapura,
34
3 from Anuradhapura and 2 from
Monaragala.
Zone of Origine
010203040506070
Zone of Origine
Figure 4.14: Zone of origin
Question number 2 asked what the
respondent’s monthly income was.
Using those figures average
monthly income per person was
calculated for each zone as
presented in Table 4.2. and
figure 4.15.
Table 4.2. Average monthly
income per person in each zone
Zone oforigin
Income/person/month (Rs.)
Colombo 12990
Kurunegala 6777
Hambanthota
5193
Kandy 7005
Badulla 4646
NuwaraEliya
6082
Gampaha 10670
Kegalle 6150
Galle 7005
Kalutara 8328
Matale 5632
Ampara 6418
Puttlam 7433
Polonnaruwa
6857
Jaffna 6418
Rathnapura 5649
Anuradhapura
7763
Monaragala 4839
35
Incom e/person/month (Rs.)
02000400060008000100001200014000
Colom
boKurunegala
Hambanthot
Kandy
Badulla
Nuwara Eliya
Gampaha
Kegalle
Galle
Kalutara
Matale
Ampara
Puttlam
Polonnaruwa Jaffna
Rathnapura
Anuradhapur
Monaragala
zone/district
average monthly
income
Figure 4.15 : Average monthly
income per person in each zone
Among 200 respondents 8 (4%)
were upper executives, while 34
(17%) were middle managers, 93
(46.5%) of them were
teachers/clerks and related
employees, 20 (10%) were minor
employee/laborer/office
attendants, 13 (6.5%) were
engaged in self employment in
major scale and 32 (16%) were
engaged in self employment in
minor scale.
Em ploym ent status of visitors
051015202530354045
uppe
rex
ecuti
ve
midd
lema
nage
rs
teac
her/c
lerk/
relat
ed
drive
r/offic
eatten
dant/
mino
rem
ploy
ee
self
employ
ment
(majo
r sca
le)
self
employ
ment
(mino
r sca
le)
nature of em ploym ent
visito
rs %
Figure 4.16 : Employment status of the visitors
Many visitors were less than 30
years (90,45%). Whereas 65
(32.5%) visitors were 31-40
years old. 24 (12%) belonged to
the age class 41-50, while 15
(7.5%) belonged to age class 51-
60 and only 6 (3%) were more
than 60 years old.
With respect to education status
of the visitors 2 (1%)
respondents had only passed
grade 8, while 38 (19%) had
passed only O/L, 104 (52%) had
passed A/L and 31 (15.5 %) were
graduates whereas 10 (5%) were
post graduates and 15 (7.5%)
were professionally qualified.
36
Educational status of visitors
0102030405060
Passedgrade 8
passed O/L Passed A/L Graduate postgraduate
pofessional
educational status
visits %
Figure 4.17: Education status ofthe visitors
Many visitors were less than 30
years (90,45 %). Whereas 65
(32.5%) visitors were 31-40
years old. 24 (12%) belonged to
the age class 41-50, while 15
(7.5%) belonged to age class 51-
60 and only 6 (3%) were more
than 60 years old.
Age distribution of visitors
01020304050
18-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 60<age class (years)
visitors %
Figure 4.18: Age distribution of
visitors
Estimation of visitation
rates
Visitation rates are annual
visits per 1000 population of
each zone were calculated using
the formula number 1 in section
3.4. Table 4.3 represents the
visitation rates of each zone.
37
Table 4.3: Visitation rates of
each zone
Zone/district
Wage rate
Travel cost (Rs)
Colombo 27.06 502
Kurunegala 14.12 238
Hambanthota 10.82 30
Kandy 14.59 206
Badulla 9.68 131
Nuwara Eliya 12.67 50
Gampaha 22.23 338
Kegalle 12.81 147
Galle 14.59 776
Kalutara 17.35 719
Matale 11.73 146
Ampara 13.37 91
Puttlam 15.49 285
Polonnaruwa 14.29 148
Jaffna 13.37 1275
Rathnapura 11.77 125
Anuradhapura 16.17 422
Monaragala 10.08 78
Estimation of wage rates
and travel costs
Based on the data obtained from
the sample survey, the average
zonal per individual wage rate
per hour was calculated for each
zone by using formula number 4.
Using the information collected
in the sample survey average
travel cost per zone was
calculated which is relevant to
return trip to Hakgala garden,
Following table represents wage
38
rates and respective travel
costs of each zone.
Table 4.4: Wage rate and Travel
cost per each zone
Zone/district
Wage rate
Travel cost(Rs)
Colombo 27.06 502
Kurunegala 14.12 238
Hambanthota 10.82 30
Kandy 14.59 206
Badulla 9.68 131
Nuwara Eliya 12.67 50
Gampaha 22.23 338
Kegalle 12.81 147
Galle 14.59 776
Kalutara 17.35 719
Matale 11.73 146
Ampara 13.37 91
Puttlam 15.49 285
Polonnaruwa 14.29 148
Jaffna 13.37 1275
Rathnapura 11.77 125
Anuradhapura 16.17 422
Monaragala 10.08 78
Estimation of total
travel costs
According to formula 2 in
section 3.5 total travel cost is
the sum of travel cost and
opportunity cost of time per
39
person. According to formula 3
and 4 it is the sum of time
spent at the garden and round
trip travel time valued at third
of average monthly income per
person for each zone. According
to the questionnaire survey,
there were respondents from 18
districts (figure 4.14). They
were Colombo, Kurunegala,
Gampaha, Kandy, Badulla,
Kandy.Kaluthara, Badulla, Nuwara
Eliya,Galle, Hambanthota,
Kegalle, Matale,Ampara,Puttlam,
Polonnaruwa, Jaffna, Rathnapura,
Anuradhapura and Monaragala.
However, respondents from only 8
zones (Colombo,
Kurunegala,Gampaha,Kandy,Kalutar
a,Badulla,Nuwara Eliya and
Galle) had come from all three
modes( own, public and hired).
It was assumed in this study
that three modes (own,public and
hired) represented high, low and
middle income categories of the
society. Therefore it was
justifiable to derive an average
travel cost figure for each zone
by averaging travel cost figures
represented by all three modes
together instead of using a
weighted average. Therefore in
further analysis only these
zones will be dealt with. As a
result in calculation of total
travel cost only those 8 zones
were considered.
Table 4.5 represented calculated
total travel cost to the Hakgala
Botanic Garden from selected 8
zones.
40
Table 4.5: Total travel costs to Hakgala botanic garden from different zones
ZoneTravel cost
Time at Garden Round trip wage
opportunity Total
travel time rate Cost travel
cost
Colombo 502.34 1.64 6.75 27.06 227.08 729.42
Kurunegala 238.41 1.67 4.57 14.12 88.08 326.48
Kandy 205.81 1.6 3.11 14.59 68.7 274.51
Badulla 131.07 2.06 1.64 9.68 35.83 166.9
Nuwarael;iya 50.02 1.92 0.18 12.67 26.55 76.56
Gampaha 337.78 1.63 5.71 22.23 163.15 500.93
Galle 775.59 2.31 10.64 13.97 180.98 956.57
Kaluthara 718.62 1.75 7.14 17.35 154.29 872.9
Regression equations estimated
using all the above stated
variables. In all those
equations income appeared to be
insignificant at 95% probability
level. I.e. P value was higher
than 0.05. Therefore income was
not considered in the subsequent
estimations. Equations obtained
without any transformations had
low co-eficient of determination
(R2). Therefore transformation
(log, square, square root) were
done in order to obtain a
higher (R2). Following equation
was selected as the best model
since it has the highest
adjusted (R2) and a scattered
residual distribution with no
pattern.
LogVR=2.49-.0516
LOGttc+1.20UF………………………………(6)
R-Sq = 86.4% R-Sq (adj) =
81.0%
In the estimated equation total
travel cost is negatively
correlated with visitation rate
and urban population fraction is
negatively co- related with
visitation rate. All the
variables in the equation are
significant at 95% probability
level. I.e. P value <0.05.
Construction of the demand
curve
According to equation (5),
dependent variable is the log
visitation rate (Log VR). In
order to do subsequent
calculations visitation rate
(VR) had to be calculated using
Log VR. However, theoretically
there is no point where Log VR
and VR becomes zero
simultaneously. Therefore, this
equation had to be neglected.
This illustrated in figure 4.20
Figure 4.20 : Relationship of
log VR vs. VR
following model represented the
highest R2 and it was selected to
construct the demand curve. It
has a residual distribution
which is scattered and with no
pattern.
VR= 28.9-1.35sqr ttc +69.1 SQR
UF……………………….(7)
R-Sq=81.1% R-Sq (adj) =
73.6%
VR
Log VR
In the estimated regression
equation (6), square root of
total travel cost is negatively
correlated with Visitation Rate
(VR) and has a positive
relationship to square root of
urban population fraction (UF).
All variables in the equations
are significant at 95%
probability level. I.e. P value
< 0.05.
The average total cost per
person per visit, urban
population fraction for each
zone from Table 4.4 were
substituted in equation (7) To
obtain visits per 1000
population per year for each
zone (VR) at increasing entrance
fee. Population in thousands for
each zone was obtained from the
statistical abstracts published
by the Department of Census and
Statistics. It was used to
calculate the number of visitors
per year for each zone at
various levels of entrance fee
are provided in Table 4.7. Table
4.8 shows total number of
visitors under increasing
entrance fee.
Table 4.7 Visitors per year at various levels of increasing entrance fee.
District UF Population/ TTCTotal number of visitors (Q) under increasing entrance fee(Rs.)
1000 0 20 200 400 600 800 1000
Colombo 0.5469 2234.18 729 709 729 929 1129 1329 1529 1729
(178737) (165249) (97301) (86805) (77392) (68784) (60800)
Kurunegala 0.0239 1451.936 326 306 326 526 726 926 1126 1326
(22882) (21779) (12215) (4356) (44556) (4756) (4956)
Kandy 0.1233 1272.888 275 255 275 475 675 875 1075 1275
(40227) (39172) (30216) (23023) (16837) (11327) (6309)
Badulla 0.0684 774.598 167 147 167 367 567 767 967 1167
(23706) (22871) (16351) (11484) (7424) (3866) (661)
Nuwara Eliya 0.0615 699.46 77 57 77 277 477 677 877 1077
(25071) (23914) (16485) (11577) (7631) (4237) (1212)
Gampaha 0.1459 2066.481 501 481 501 701 901 1101 1301 1501
(53080) (51821) (40401) (30525) (21696) (13639) (6182)
Galle 0.1116 991.221 957 937 957 1157 1357 1557 1757 1957
(10566) (10131) (6011) (2233) 0 0 0
Kalutara 0.1063 1060.648 873 853 873 1073 1273 1383 1529 1729
(12726) (12238) (7642) (3458) (1296) 0 0
Figures in brackets indicate respective number of visitors under each total travel cost with increasing entrance fee.
contd……….Table 4.7 Visitors per year at various levels of increasingentrance fee.
DistrictTotal number of visitors (Q) under increasing entrance fee (Rs.)
1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000
Colombo 1929 2129 2329 2529 2729 2929 3129 3329 3529 3729
(5332
3) (46268)(3956
9)(3317
8)(2705
9)(2117
4)(1550
4)(1002
3)(471
5) 0
Kurunegala 1526 1726 1926 2126 2326 2526 2726 2926 3126 3326
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kandy 1475 1675 1875 2075 2275 2475 2675 2875 3075 3275
(1672
) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Badulla 1367 1567 1767 1967 2167 2367 2567 2767 2967 3167
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nuwara Eliya 1277 1477 1677 1877 2077 2277 2477 2677 2877 3077
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gampaha 1701 1901 2101 2301 2501 2701 2901 3101 3301 3501
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Galle 2157 2357 2557 2757 2957 3157 3357 3557 3757 3957
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kalutara 1929 2129 2329 2529 2729 2929 3129 3329 3529 3729
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Figures in brackets indicate respective number of visitors under each total travel cost with increasing entrance fee.
Table 4.8: Total number of visitors under increasing entrance fee
DistrictTotal number of visitors under increasing entrance fee
0 20 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
Colombo 178737 165249 97301 86805 77392 68784 60800 53323 46268
Kurunegala 22882 21779 12215 4356 0 0 0 0 0
Kandy 40227 39172 30216 23023 16837 11327 6309 1672 0
Badulla 23706 22871 16351 11484 7424 3866 661 0 0
Nuwara Eliya 25071 23914 16485 11577 7631 4237 1212 0 0
Gampaha 53080 51821 40401 30525 21696 13639 6182 0 0
Galle 10566 10131 6011 2233 0 0 0 0 0
Kalutara 12726 12238 7642 3458 1296 0 0 0 0
Total 366996 347176 226623 173461 132276 101853 75164 54995 46268
Contd……..Table 4.8: Total number of visitors under increasing entrance fee
DistrictTotal number of visitors under increasing entrance fee
1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000
Colombo 39569 33178 27059 21174 15504 10023 4715 0
Kurunegala 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kandy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Badulla 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nuwara Eliya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gampaha 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Galle 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kalutara 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 39569 33178 27059 21174 15504 10023 4715 0
Information from Table 4.8 was
used to estimate a demand curve
for recreational benefits
provided by Hakgala botanic
garden. It was obtained by
plotting varying entrance fee
vs. total visitors per year from
each zone.
0200400600800100012001400160018002000
- 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000
Total visitorrs/year
Increasing entrance fee (Rs.)
Figure 4.22: User demand curve for recreational benefits provided by Hakgala botanic garden.
The area under the demand curve
is the recreational value of the
Hakgala Botanic Garden based on
travel cost approach. The area
under the demand curve gives
total consumer surplus/total
welfare enjoyed by the users of
the garden assuming original
access price of zero. The area
under the demand curve was
calculated using simple
approximation
illustrated in figure 4.23 and
Table 4.9. This approximation
assumes that demand curve is
linear between any two points.
0200400600800100012001400160018002000
- 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000
Total visitorrs/year
Increasing entrance fee (Rs.)
Figure 4.23 : Graphical
explanation of area under the
demand curve
Table 4.9: Calculation of total consumer surplus
Section
Entry Total
Delta Q
Delta P
Delta Pfor
Area triangle Area Total
Section
Entry Total
DeltaQ
Delta P
Delta Pfor
Area triangle Area Total
Feevisits
for Trangle
rectangle
rectangle area
0 036699
6 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 2034717
6 19820 20 0 198199 0 198199
2 20022662
312055
2 180 200 10849722241104
9 13260771
3 40017346
1 53162 200 200 5316249106324
98 15948747
4 60013227
6 41185 200 400 4118462164738
46 20592308
5 80010185
3 30424 200 600 3042361182541
65 21296526
61000 75164 26689 200 800 2668898
21351181 24020078
71200 54995 20169 200 1000 2016884
20168836 22185720
81400 46268 8726 200 1200 872646
10471754 11344400
91600 39569 6699 200 1400 669885
9378395 10048280
180 102259
Estimated minimum total cost
experienced by the visitors at
the current entrance fee (Rs.
20.00) was Rs. 6,943,520.00.
When this amount was subtracted
from the total consumer surplus
(total welfare) of Rs.
228,493,714 the estimated
consumer surplus is Rs.
221,550,194 per year.
DISCUSSION
The present study attempted to
assess the recreational value of
the Hakgala Botanic Garden.
Objectives of this chapter are
to discuss the issues involved
with survey, methodology,
research barriers and importance
of the study in terms of
implications of policy. There
were some problems inherent to
the adopted methodology, but
some difficulties were case
specific.
Survey
Lack of market prices or
incomplete information may make
it impossible to use the market
and surrogate market techniques.
This is often the case where
goods never enter the market and
surrogate market techniques.
This is often the case where
goods never enter the market
like recreation. If market
prices or surrogate market
prices cannot be obtained, it
may be possible to question
people directly how they would
react to a given situation as in
this case. Based on their
answers, the value of a good can
be determined and then
extrapolated to determine the
aggregate effect on every one
affected. These survey based
approaches have been largely
developed in industrialized
countries and are the subject of
considerable academic debate.
Although their usefulness in
developing countries is limited,
careful done they can yield
useful information. In fact,
this method is one of the few
ways to place monitory estimates
on certain intangible effects
(Sherman,1990).
Remuneration of data
In this study, survey was
carried out to collect primary
data. Personnel interviews were
conducted with respondents
during the period of April 10 th
Thursday, 11th Friday, 12th
Saturday and July 18th Friday 19th
Saturday and 20th Sunday in the
year 2003. During the season
(April) there was large number
of visitors, which made it easy
to do the survey, especially in
the week ends. Even in July (off
season) there were quite a lot
of visitors. Based on the
quantitative analysis of
secondary data during past six
years (1997-2002) it was found
that visits peaked during April
and August (figure 4.9). This
may be mainly because these two
months are considered as the
“season” at Hakgala. It could
have been better if the
interview was conducted during
all the 7 days of the week.
However, it was difficult to
carry out the survey during all
the seven days of the week due
to financial and time constrains
of the author.
Average length of the interview
was approximately about five
minutes which made many visitors
willing to answer. Yet some were
reluctant to answer mainly due
to linguistic barrier.
Questionnaire was conducted in
Sinhala and English medium.
However, some visitors could not
communicate in either language
but in Tamil.
Respondents were selected
randomly, i.e. every other
person who was going out of the
garden was interviewed. Sample
size was restricted to 210 local
adult respondents. Children were
excluded since it is a well
organized norm that their
decisions do not carry a
significant weight. Foreigners
had to be excluded since it was
difficult to differentiate their
travel cost component to Hakgala
round trip. Most of them had
visited many other South Asian
countries linked to a travel
package and therefore they had
paid for the whole journey.
Similarly meanderers i.e. those
who derive utility from
traveling were ignored from the
sample since Hufschmidt, (1990)
reveals inclusion of them may
lead to overestimation of
benefits of recreation.
Meanderers were differentiated
from pure visitors by question
number 6 of the questionnaire,
which asked whether the
respondent had a special
interest to visit botanic
garden. 10 questionnaires had to
be rejected due to this reason.
As Sherman, (1993) states, this
survey based approach create
substantial conceptual and
operational difficulties. When
considering the survey, it was
very difficult to obtain the
realistic income of the
respondents since the main
objective of the study was
stated as estimating the
recreational value of the garden
using ‘travel cost.’ To get real
income figure, detail
explanation of the methodology
was required. Despite of the
effort, some respondents did not
understand the real scenario and
they neglected answering. In
such cases income had to be
predicted according to the
occupation. Similar difficulties
had to undergo in order to find
age, education level and
occupation.
Multiple visits
It was difficult to obtain the
exact travel expenditure
incurred to Hakgala trip when
respondent had multiple visits.
Most of the visitors that had
come from their own vehicle had
pumped ‘full tank’ by incurring
a certain cost. Therefore, they
could not differentiate exact
travel cost to Hakgala. In this
case cost per kilometer was used
to get the travel cost figure.
When visitors had hired a
vehicle, for multiple trips,
similar difficulties had to be
faced with. In such
circumstances traveling
expenditure had to be
apportioned according to the
distance they traveled to reach
each and every destination as
stated in Smith and Kopp (1980)
and Sturgess (1999). However,
shoeckl (1993) has allocated
travel costs according to the
time spent at the Site and
Bennet (1995) had divided the
total cost of the trip according
to visitor’s stated relative
importance of different
destinations visited and Hai and
Thanh (1993) allocated 30% of
the total cost to each
destination visited.
Question number 12 was extremely
difficult in terms of obtaining
realistic answers. It included
questions like;
b) Distance from the previous
place to this place.
c) Travel expenses incurred to
visit the previous place.
d) Travel expenses incurred to
visit the garden from that
place.
e). Distance from garden to
next place.
f) Travel expenses from the
garden to next place.
In situations where it was
difficult to obtain the most
accurate answer, road map
published by the Survey
Department had to be used to
differentiate distances to each
and every place in order to
allocate costs to such places.
It was very difficult to obtain
a clear answer on other
expenditure in the specific trip
to Hakgala (Question 14) as
well. The answer expected was
incremental expenditure in
addition to their normal
expenditure on meals,
accommodation etc. Since most of
the trips were multi purpose
trips, respondents could not
give an exact answer for other
expenses for specific Hakgala
trip.
Visitor perceptions
According to the questionnaire
survey most interesting place of
the garden was the rose garden.
In addition, glass house,
fernery, dalia garden, landscape
and other flower beds were
highly appreciated by the
respondents.
Many visitors (174,87%) thought
that this visit is worth for
money and few respondents
(26.13%) had the perception that
what they have paid is not
worth.
Many visitors were satisfied
with the existing facilities
(119,59%) and some were not
(81,41%). According to the views
of the visitors dissatisfaction
was due to the following
reasons.
There is no properly named
paths in the garden.
Although there is a map at
the entrance, it does not
provide clear directions
for the observer to
identify the places inside
the garden. There is no
published leaflet for the
convenience of the visitors
to identify the places.
There is not enough taps
inside the garden for the
visitor use and drinking
purpose. Most of the
visitors complained that
numbers of toilets are also
not enough.
Rainy season prevails
throughout the year at
Hakgala. Therefore there
should be substantial
number of huts for the
visitors to stay when it is
raining. According to the
visitor perception existing
numbers of huts are not
substantial for them to
rest.
There are not enough
garbage bins inside the
garden as well. This leads
to haphazard disposal of
polythene and other waste
material by visitors.
Maintenance of the garden
is also not so favorable.
In some places it is
clearly visible that long
grasses have not been
cleared for a long time.
According to the
administration of the park
this is due to inadequate
workers to keep the garden
clean.
Some visitors complained
for having not enough
regulations to control the
visitor behavior. It was
visible during the period
of survey that some people
came to the garden with
bottles of liquor. This may
be a major disturbance to
the normal visitors.
Most of the visitors (145,72%)
were willing to pay a higher
amount after these problems
are solved. Only 55 (28%) out
of 200 respondents were
disagreed to pay more even
after facilities are improved.
According to the curator of
the garden, lack of finance is
a major constrain to proper
management of the garden. He
further said low worker
efficiency has lead to the
poor maintenance of the
garden. He further said low
worker efficiency has lead o
the poor maintenance of the
garden. Lack of security is
another problem faced by the
administration. Police
officers are working inside
the garden to look after its
condition only during the
season. (April and August).
Curator also stated that a
restaurant may not be
profitable inside the garden
since higher number of
visitors cannot be seen during
every month of the tear/ He
further mentioned that, higher
noise, misbehavior, littering
and stealing of plants are
some of the serious problems
faced y the administration.
Methodological issues
This section discusses the
issues related to the
methodology. Some issues were
case specific where as some
issues were inherent to adopted
methodology.
Zonation
Zonal travel cost method was
used to measure the recreational
benefits of the Hakgala Botanic
Garden. According to travel cost
method, the recreation site is
identified and the surrounding
area is divided into concentric
zones of increasing distance,
which represents increasing
levels of travel costs
(Hufscmidt,1990). However, in
this study administrative
districts had to be used instead
of concentric zones radiating
from the site. In some
international travel cost
studies, as Lansdell and
Gangadharan (2001)has used
administrative districts other
than concentric zones. Since
administrative districts were
used other than concentric
zones, there may be a bias due
to identification of two
separate districts at equal
distances ( in this case zones)
which is located in north and
south from Hakgala, which would
otherwise come under one
concentric zone.
Multiple Trips
With respect to the destinations
traveled by visitors, unlike
other studies carried out in Sri
Lanka as presented in table 2.3,
in this study multiple
destination trips were not
excluded and instead the cost
component relevant to visit
Hakgala was considered in the
present study.
Time Cost
Cesario (1976) reviewed a number
of travel time and
transportation cost studies in
an effort to determine a shadow
price for time. His conclusion
suggested that the value of time
with respect to non work travel
should be between one- quarter
and one half of the wage rate.
However according to Freeman
(1993) it has long been
recognized that the time spent
in travel to a site should be
included as a component of
travel cost for purposes of
estimating the demand for
visits, but it has not been
clear what price of time should
be used to convert the time cost
of travel to its monetary
equivalent. After reviewing
evidence from transportation and
urban commuting studies Cesario
(1976) concluded that the
scarcity value of time was
approximately one- third of the
average wage rate. In the
calculation of opportunity cost
of travel, in order to calculate
the value of time instead of
taking the full wage rate one
third of wage rate was used in
this study.
Assumptions in travel
cost method
One of the assumptions in travel
cost method is that people in
different zones take the same
quantity of recreation at the
same monitory cost
(Hufschmidt,1990). This
assumption was criticized by
Seckler (1966), who argued that
the demand curves of users from
different zones might not be
comparable if there were
systematic variations of income
and utility functions between
zones. However, no identified
taste differences could be
identified taste differences
could be identified among the
different districts in Sri Lanka
which justifies the claim of
Seckler. However no attempt was
made to identify any minor taste
differences which are possible
among groups of people.
Another assumption in travel
cost method is that, travel cost
is a reliable proxy for price
(Hufschmidt, 1990). It assumes
that when traveling from home to
a recreational place only cost
that will be incurred is travel
cost. However, according to
Winpenny (1999) in a country
like Sri Lanka, traveling in an
own vehicle is a source of
prestige and not a cost. Hence
it can be considered as a
benefit to the traveler.
A basic assumption in the
Claswan (1976) method is that,
visitors will react in the same
way to increases in entrance
feee and a rise in travel cost.
However if a visitor travels to
two similar sites where the
nearby site has a much higher
entrance fee and distant site
both costs become equal, visitor
may prefer to visit the distant
site.
Factors affecting
visitation rates
According to Hanley and Spash
(1993) population levels of
zones must be included in zonal
models. Visitation rate is the
number of visitors from a
particular zone per 10000
population in that zone
(Hufschmidt, 1990). Using the
information on the number of
sampled visitors from each zone,
total number of visitors to the
garden for a year was calculated
since the garden does not keep
records of the origin of the
visitors. Number of sampled
visitors in each zone,sample
size, annual number of visitors
in each zone and population in
the each zone using equation 1
as stated in chapter 3 section
3.4. Highest visitation rate was
recorded from Colombo (45.25).
This may be due to the high
buying power of the people in
Colombo due to high per capita
income per month that is Rs.
12,990 (Anonymous,2002).
Regression analysis
It has been noted by Marasinghe
(2001) that percentage urban
population shows higher
correlation with visitation rate
than the regional education
index. So the regional education
index has been dropped from this
model. Therefore in the present
study urban population fraction
was used instead of urban
population percentage for
accuracy in subsequent
transformations.
According to Hufschmidt (1990)
data generated are used to
regress visitation rates on
travel cost and the variouse
socio economic variables.
Visitation rate was regressed
with total travel cost
(TTC),average income per zone
(I) and urban population
fraction (UF). In the regression
equations estimated using all
the above stated variables
income appeared to be
insignificant at 95% probability
level. I.e. P value was higher
than 0.05. This could be avoided
if much larger sample was taken
instead of 200. Due to this
reason, income was not
considered in the subsequent
regression analysis. However
income has an indirect effect in
calculating the opportunity cost
of time. Finally, Visitation
Rate was regressed with total
travel cost (TTC), and Urban
population Fraction (UF).
Travel Cost
Many travel cost studies carried
out out side Sri Lnka argue that
the costs used in a travel cost
model should be consumers
perceived costs rather than the
actual costs./ (Seller,Stoll and
Chavas, 1985) and Beal and Ward
(2000)). These studies have
incurred cost of petrol plus
insurance, depreciation and
maintenance cost must be
included to cost of petrol.
However, in reality it is a
cumbersome task.
According to the questionnaire
survey, there were respondents
from 18 districts (figure 4.14).
They were Colombo,
Kurunegala,Gampaha,Kandy,Kalutar
a,Badulla,Nuwara Eliya, Galle,
Hambanthota,Kegalle,
Matale,Ampara,
Puttlam,Polonnaruwa,Jaffna,
Rathnapura, Anuradhapura and
Monaragala. However respondents
from only 8 zones
(Colombo,Kurunegala,Gampaha,Kand
y,Kaluthara,Badulla,Nuwara Eliya
and Galle)had come from all
three modes(own, public and
hired). It was assumed in this
study that modes of own, public
and hired represented high, low
and middle income categories.
Therefore it was justifiable to
derive an average travel cost
figure for each zone by
averaging travel cost figures
represented by all three modes
together instead of using a
weighted average. Therefore in
regression analisisonly zones
which represented all three
modes were considered. These 8
zones represented 176
respondents out of 200 (88%).
Other 24 respondents from other
zones had to be excludedwhich
was only 12%since the zones they
were originated did not
represent all three modes. In
most of other studies, carried
out in Sri Lanka, e.g. Silva
(1996), De Silva(1996),
Weerakoon (2000), Sooriyabandara
(2002), Rathnayaka (2000) and
Marasinghe (20001)had also used
to regress only selected number
of zones. This problem could
have been avoided if much larger
sample size was used which
represent all three modes for
all the zones.
Functional forms
There are number of functional
forms that are consistent with
economic theory. The linear form
is the most commonly estimated
(Ward and Beal,2000). However,
there are many examples of other
functional forms being used.
Almost all the Sri Lankan
studies based on travel cost
method has used linear form.
Choosing a linear form implies
that as travel cost increase
visits per year decrease by a
constant amount. The double log
form is commonly used as it
accounts for extreme
values( Ward and Beal 2000).
Beal (1995)chose to use the
double log form. Ward abd Beal
(2000) used reciprocal form for
their study to estimate
recreational value in Kakadu
islands.
Conclusion
The Biotanic Garden at Hakgala
one of the oldest ex-situ
conservation areas in Sri Lanka.
It is a unique environmental
asset, nationally as well as
globally, due to its
conservation, recreation,
historical,cultural and
educational and other values.
The objectie of the study was to
accesses the local recreational
value of the Hakgala botanic
garden. The economic approach
used to estimate the
recreational value was the zonal
travel cost method. It has been
widely used to value recreation
benefits.
A survey of 200 respondents was
conducted at the Hakgala garden
to collect primary data.
Personnel interviews were
conducted to collect primary
data.
Secondry data was mainly
obtained from records maintained
by the garden. It was about the
total number of visitors
annually, from 1997-2002 and
monthly visitors during the
years 1997-2002. Administration
reports of the Department of
Agriculture from 1999-2002 was
used to get information about
the income collected by the
garden. Statistical abstracts of
the Department of Census and
Statistics was used to obtain
data such as total population in
each district, total urban
population in Sri Lanka and
urban population in Sri Lanka
and urban population in selected
districts. These data was
obtained for year 2002.
With respect to multiple trips,
cost component to visit Hakgala
was differentiated based on
distances to particular
destinations travelled. Zoning
was done by allocating the
visitors under the respective
districts where the visit was
originated. Number of sampled
visitors in each zone, sample
size, annual number of visitors
in each zone and population in
each zone was used to calculate
the visitation rate per 1000
population in each zone. Total
travel cost was considered to
comprise cost of travelling and
the opportunity cost of time of
travelling.
Eight districts namely Colombo,
Kurunegala, Gampaha, Kalutara,
Nuwara Eliya, Badulla, Galle and
Kalutara were selected as zones
of increasing distance, which
represented increasing levels of
travel cost. The data generated
were used to regress visitation
rates, the total travel cost and
urban population fraction of
each zone. This regression was
used to test the hypothesis that
travel costs do infact have an
impact on visitation rates.
Necessary transformations such
as log, square, square root was
done to dependent as well as
independent variables in order
to obtain a higher co-efficient
of determination (R2). Residual
distribution was obtained by
plotting standard vs. fitted
values. Best model was selected
by considering the R2 value and
residual distribution.
Demand curve based on visitation
rates, was constructed using
these data to estimate the
consumer surplus, or benefits,
from the site. Estimated minimum
total cost experienced by the
visitors at the current entrance
fee (Rs.20.00) was Rs.
6,943,520. When this amount is
subtracted from the total
consumer surplus of Rs.
228,493,714 the estimated
consumer surplus was Rs.
221,550,194 which represents the
local recreational value of
Hakgala Botanic garden per year.
This figure can be used to
attract more funds to develop
infrastructural facilities
inside the garden from the
government allocations. This
figure is also helpful to
demonstrate the contribution of
a botanic garden to the economy.