Environmental decision-making under uncertainty using intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy...
Transcript of Environmental decision-making under uncertainty using intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy...
ORIGINAL PAPER
Environmental decision-making under uncertainty usingintuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IF-AHP)
Rehan Sadiq Æ Solomon Tesfamariam
Published online: 28 November 2007
� Springer-Verlag 2007
Abstract Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is a utility
theory based decision-making technique, which works on a
premise that the decision-making of complex problems can
be handled by structuring them into simple and compre-
hensible hierarchical structures. However, AHP involves
human subjective evaluation, which introduces vagueness
that necessitates the use of decision-making under uncer-
tainty. The vagueness is commonly handled through fuzzy
sets theory, by assigning degree of membership. But, the
environmental decision-making problem becomes more
involved if there is an uncertainty in assigning the mem-
bership function (or degree of belief) to fuzzy pairwise
comparisons, which is referred to as ambiguity (non-spec-
ificity). In this paper, the concept of intuitionistic fuzzy set
is applied to AHP, called IF-AHP to handle both vagueness
and ambiguity related uncertainties in the environmental
decision-making process. The proposed IF-AHP method-
ology is demonstrated with an illustrative example to select
best drilling fluid (mud) for drilling operations under
multiple environmental criteria.
Keywords Analytic hierarchy process �Intuitionistic fuzzy set � Vagueness � Ambiguity �Drilling fluids � Environmental decision-making
List of symbols
Ai (i = 1, 2,..., m) Possible courses of actions or
alternatives
A, B Intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS)
a01; b01; c01
� �; lA
� ��;
a1; b1; c1ð Þ; tA½ �iTriangular intuitionistic
fuzzy set
Cj (j = 1, 2, ..., n) Performance criteria or
attributes��FAi Intuitionistic fuzzy AHP score��Gk Intuitionistic fuzzy global
preference weights��J Intuitionistic fuzzy judgment
matrix��jij Pairwise comparison index in
intuitionistic fuzzy judgment
matrix
K Number of levels in a
hierarchical structure
wLIi ;w
UIi
� �Lower and upper interval
weights
ðwiÞLIa ; ðwiÞUI
a Lower and upper normalized
interval weights
W = (w1, w2, ..., wn) Weight vector��W ¼ ð ��wi; i ¼ 1; 2; . . .; nÞ Intuitionistic fuzzy weight
vector
X Universe of discourse
xd Discrete points defined over
the universe of discourse
xij Performance rating of
alternative Ai for criterion Cj
�xðAiÞ Generalized mean of an
alternative Ai (a reduced
fuzzy set)
Dl, DlL and DlU fuzzification factors
px Degree of non-determinacy
tx Non-membership function
of x
R. Sadiq (&) � S. Tesfamariam
Urban Infrastructure Program,
National Research Council Canada—Institute for Research
in Construction, Ottawa, ON, Canada K1A 0R6
e-mail: [email protected]
123
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
DOI 10.1007/s00477-007-0197-z
tA and tB Non-membership function of
IFS A and B
lA and lB Membership function of IFS A
and B
lL and lU Lower and upper bound of
membership function lx
lx Membership function of x
r(Ai) Standard deviation of an
alternative Ai (a reduced
fuzzy set)
1 Introduction
Environmental decision-making is a process of weighting
alternatives and selecting the most appropriate alternative,
by integrating results of risk assessment with social, eco-
nomic, political and engineering data to reach a rigorous
decision. Decision-making tools help in the selection of
prudent, technically feasible, and scientifically justifiable
actions to protect the environment and human health in a
cost-effective way (Sadiq 2001). The main challenge in
environmental decision-making is that alternatives (Ai) are
multiple and diverse in nature, and often have conflicting
criteria. Multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM)
methods are employed where alternatives are predefined
and the decision-maker(s) ranks available alternatives
based on the evaluation of multiple criteria. A typical
MCDM problem with m alternatives and n criteria can be
written as:
C1 C2 … Cn
A1 x11 x12 … x1n
A2 x21 x22 … x2n
M M M M M
Am xm1 xm2 … xmn
(1)
where Ai (i = 1, 2, ..., m) are possible courses of actions or
alternatives; Cj (j = 1, 2, ..., n) are criteria; and xij is a
performance rating of alternative Ai with respect to a cri-
terion Cj. Therefore the environmental decision-making
can be viewed as the process of selecting most appropriate
alternative (A1 or A2 or ... or Am), based on numerous
performance criteria Cj (j = 1, 2, ..., n).
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is one of the most
commonly used utility-based methods for environmental
decision-making (Sadiq 2001). The AHP uses objective
mathematics to process the subjective and personal pref-
erences of an individual or a group in decision-making
(Saaty 2001). The AHP works on a premise that decision-
making of complex problems can be handled by structuring
it into a simple and comprehensible hierarchical structure.
Once the hierarchical structure is developed, a pairwise
comparison is carried out between two selected criteria.
The levels of the pairwise comparisons may range from 1
to 9, where ‘‘1’’ represents that two criteria are equally
important, while the other extreme ‘‘9’’ represents that one
criterion is absolutely more important than the other
(Table 1). Solution of the AHP hierarchical structure is
obtained by synthesizing local and global preference
weight to obtain the overall priority (Saaty 1980). The AHP
can be summarized into three main steps:
1. Structure the problem into a hierarchy consisting of a
goal (objective), criteria, layers of sub-criteria and
alternatives,
2. Establish pairwise comparisons between elements in
each hierarchal layer, and
3. Synthesize and establish the overall priority to rank
the alternatives.
Uncertainty is an unavoidable and inevitable component
of any environmental decision-making process. The
typology and definition of uncertainty within engineering
community is vast and often conflicting (Parsons 2001).
Klir and Yuan (1995) have broadly categorized uncertainty
into vagueness and ambiguity (Fig. 1). The AHP inherently
involves both vagueness and ambiguity in assigning pair-
wise comparisons and evaluating alternatives. Vagueness
(imprecision) refers to lack of definite or sharp distinction,
Table 1 Linguistic measures of importance used for pairwise com-
parisons (Saaty 1980)
Relative
importance
Importance degree Explanation
1 Equal importance Two activities contribute
equally to objective
3 Weak importance Experience and judgment
slightly favour one activity
over another
5 Essential or strong
importance
Experience and judgment
strongly favour one activity
over another
7 Demonstrated
importance
One activity is strongly
favoured and demonstrated
in practice
9 Extreme importance The evidence favouring one
activity over another is of
highest possible order of
affirmation
2, 4, 6, 8 Intermediate values
between two adjacent
judgments
When compromise is needed
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whereas ambiguity is due to unclear distinction of various
alternatives, which is further divided into discord (conflict)
and non-specificity. The taxonomy of uncertainty shown in
Fig. 1, albeit to a different degree, is reflected in the
environmental decision-making process. Henceforth,
both terms ambiguity and non-specificity are used
interchangeably.
Many attempts have been reported in literature to
incorporate different types of uncertainties in the formal
AHP framework. Table 2 provides a summary of various
uncertainty management formulations considered for the
extension of AHP. For example, Ozdemir and Saaty (2006)
accounted for missing information by adding new decision
variable in the pairwise comparison. Beynon et al. (2001)
and Beynon (2002, 2005) proposed the use of Dempster–
Shafer theory in AHP formulation to account for missing
and non-specific information. Yager and Kelman (1999)
proposed the use of ordered weighted averaging (OWA)
operators in AHP, which introduces the dimension of
decision-maker’s attitude in the aggregation. But over the
last 20 years, the most common uncertainty management
formulation used for the extension of AHP is fuzzy logic
(Table 2).
The pairwise comparisons require qualitative assess-
ment of human beings. Consequently, vagueness dominates
the decision making process. The vagueness is best
described by fuzzy set theory (Zadeh 1965). Fuzzy-based
techniques are generalized form of an interval analysis. A
fuzzy number describes the relationship between an
uncertain quantity x and a membership function lx. In the
classical set theory, x is either a member of set A or not,
i.e., {0, 1}, whereas in fuzzy set theory x can be a member
of set A with a certain membership function lx [ [0, 1].
The non-membership is simply a complement of lx, i.e.,
tx = 1 - lx.
A crisp degree of membership lx assigned to any given
value of x over the universe of discourse may also be
subjected to uncertainty. This refers to non-specificity,
which is associated with the membership lx of fuzzy sets.
Zadeh (1975) extended the fuzzy set theory to incorporate
non-specificity through interval-valued fuzzy sets, which
captures non-specificity by an interval [lL, lU], where lL
and lU represent lower and upper bounds of membership
function lx, respectively. Atanassov (1986, 1999) defined a
non-membership function tx in addition to the membership
function lx through an intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS), such
that the non-specificity (degree of non-determinacy) is an
interval [lx, 1 - tx]. Gau and Buehrer (1993) have
explored similar concept, but called it vague sets (VS).
However recently, Bustince and Burillo (1996) showed that
the vague sets are essentially IFS. Further, Cornelis et al.
(2004) have proved equivalence between interval-valued
fuzzy sets and IFS. Therefore, both vague sets and interval-
valued fuzzy sets can be handled using IFS formulation.
There are some reported applications of IFS in MCDM,
e.g., Liu and Wang (2006), Li (2005), Atanassov et al.
(2002), and Hong and Choi (2000). Recently, Silavi et al.
(2006a, b) have demonstrated the possibility of extending
AHP using IFS.
The main objective of this paper is to quantify vague-
ness and ambiguity uncertainties in AHP using IFS for
environmental decision-making problem. The proposed
technique is used for selecting the best generic drilling fluid
VaguenessThe lack of definite or sharp distinctions
Discord (conflict) Disagreement in choosing among several alternatives
Non-specificity Two or more alternatives are left unspecified
Uncertainty
Ambiguity One-to-many relationships
Fig. 1 Typology of uncertainty (modified after Klir and Yuan 1995)
Table 2 Uncertainty management techniques and formulations used
for the extension of AHP
Techniques References Comments
Fuzzy sets Kreng and Wu (2007),
Arslan and Khisty
(2006), Tesfamariam
and Sadiq (2006),
Bozbura and Beskese
(2006), Yu (2002),
Leung and Cao
(2000), Deng (1999),
Zhu et al. (1999),
Weck et al. (1997),
Levary and Wan
(1998), Chang (1996),
Buckley (1985) and
van Laarhoven and
Pedrycz (1983)
•The vagueness in
pairwise comparisons
is incorporated using
fuzzy numbers. The
standard AHP is
extended using fuzzy
arithmetic operations
• Different ways of
generating fuzzy
weights are illustrated
Intuitionistic
fuzzy sets
Silavi et al. (2006a, b) • Expert provided
membership and non-
membership values
are introduced in the
judgement matrix
Dempster–
Shafer theory
Beynon (2002, 2005)
and Beynon et al.
(2001)
• The incomplete and
partial information
(ambiguity) of
pairwise comparisons
are handled using
belief functions
Interval values Sugihara et al. (2004)
and Wang et al.
(2005)
• The uncertainty in the
pairwise comparison
is defined using
interval values
Ordered
weighted
averaging
operators
(OWA)
Yager and Kelman
(1999)
• Used OWA operators
to incorporate
decision maker’s
attitude
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 77
123
among three available alternatives. The drilling fluid
example used in this paper is modified from Sadiq et al.
(2003), and Tesfamariam and Sadiq (2006), who employed
standard (crisp) AHP and fuzzy AHP (F-AHP), respec-
tively. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows:
Sect. 2 provides background information on intuitionistic
fuzzy arithmetic operations. Section 3 discusses a step-by-
step framework for proposed intuitionistic fuzzy analytic
hierarchy process (IF-AHP). Section 4 discusses the effi-
cacy of IF-AHP through an illustrative case study of
selecting a generic drilling fluid, and finally in Sect. 5
conclusions are presented.
2 Intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IFS)
This section outlays basic definitions of IFS to comprehend
the implementation of IF-AHP, which is described in the
following section. The definitions in this section are mainly
taken from Atanassov (1999). An IFS ‘A’ can be defined as
A ¼ ðx; lx; txÞjx 2 Xf g ð2Þ
The membership (lx) and non-membership (tx) functions
for an element x are defined as:
lx : X ! ½0; 1�; and tx : X ! ½0; 1� ð3Þ
where X defines the possible range of values for a variable
x, and ‘A’ is an IFS defined over X using membership and
non- membership functions [ [0, 1]. For any value of x in
an IFS ‘A’, the expression 0 B (lx + tx ) B 1 holds true.
However, if the expression reduces to (lx + tx ) = 1, the
IFS becomes an ordinary fuzzy set. For IFS, the degree of
non-determinacy px (or non-specificity) of the element x in
IFS ‘A’ is defined as follows:
px ¼ 1� lx � tx; px : X ! ½0; 1� ð4Þ
Therefore, for ordinary fuzzy sets the degree of non-
determinacy px = 0. Figure 2 provides a schematic repre-
sentation of IFS ‘A’.
Now consider two triangular IFS A and B in Fig. 3.
These triangular IFS can be written as A ¼a01; b
01; c01
� �; lA
� �; a1; b1; c1ð Þ; tA½ �
� �and B ¼
a02; b02; c02
� �; lB
� �; a2; b2; c2ð Þ; tB½ �
� �: Three vertices of tri-
angular IFS represented by (ai
0, bi
0, ci
0) and (ai, bi, ci ) are
defined over a universe of discourse X. The three vertices
represent minimum, most likely, and maximum values over
X. Membership lx and non-membership functions tx
belong to the most likely values in triangular IFS, i.e., bi
0
and bi, respectively. The membership functions lA and lB
are used to derive the lower bounds of membership lL for
IFS A and B, where the upper bounds of memberships lU
are derived by taking the compliment of non-membership
functions tA and tB, respectively. Four common arithmetic
operations for intuitionistic fuzzy sets, addition, subtrac-
tion, multiplication and division, are demonstrated using
the triangular IFS A and B (Fig. 3).
2.1 Addition (A + B)
Aþ B ¼ a01; b01; c01
� �; lA
� �; a1; b1; c1ð Þ; tA½ �
� �
þ a02; b02; c02
� �; lB
� �; a2; b2; c2ð Þ; tB½ �
� �
¼ a01 þ a02; b01 þ b02; c
01 þ c02
� �; minðlA; lBÞ
� ��; ;
a1 þ a2; b1 þ b2; c1 þ c2ð Þ; maxðtA; tBÞ½ �i
0
1
X
µ x
1 − νx
µx(xo)
xo
1 − νx(xo)
Fig. 2 An intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) (Gau and Buehrer 1993)
X
1 − νB
a1 a'1
µA
1 − νA
b1= b'1
µB
c'1 c1 a2 a'2 b2 = b'2 c'2 c2
Fig. 3 Two triangular intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IFS) A and B
78 Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
123
2.2 Subtraction (A - B)
A� B ¼ a01; b01; c01
� �; lA
� �; a1; b1; c1ð Þ; tA½ �
� �
� a02; b02; c02
� �; lB
� �; a2; b2; c2ð Þ; tB½ �
� �
¼ a01 � c02; b01 � b02; c
01 � a02
� �; minðlA; lBÞ
� ��;
a1 � c2; b1 � b2; c1 � a2ð Þ; maxðtA; tBÞ½ �i
2.3 Multiplication (A 9 B)
A� B ¼ a01; b01; c01
� �; lA
� �; a1; b1; c1ð Þ; tA½ �
� �
� a02; b02; c02
� �; lB
� �; a2; b2; c2ð Þ; tB½ �
� �
¼ a01 � a02; b01 � b02; c
01 � c02
� �; minðlA; lBÞ
� �;
�
a1 � a2; b1 � b2; c1 � c2ð Þ; maxðtA; tBÞ½ �i
2.4 Division (A/B)
A=B ¼ a01; b01; c01
� �; lA
� �; a1; b1; c1ð Þ; tA½ �
� �
� a02; b02; c02
� �; lB
� �; a2; b2; c2ð Þ; tB½ �
� �
¼ a01=c02; b01=b02; c
01=a02
� �; minðlA; lBÞ
� �;
�
a1=c2; b1=b2; c1=a2ð Þ; maxðtA; tBÞ½ �i
The intuitionistic fuzzy arithmetic operations provided
above can be further simplified if we assume that a1 = a01,
c1 = c01 and a2 = a02, c2 = c02. In this paper, the above
arithmetic operations are used to develop proposed IF-AHP
approach.
3 Intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process
(IF-AHP)
A step-by-step approach for the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic
hierarchy process (IF-AHP) is provided in Fig. 4. To
develop the IF-AHP approach, an example for environ-
mental decision-making is provided using four alternatives
(Ai, i = 1, 2, 3, 4). Three performance criteria (Cj, j = 1, 2,
3), namely, environmental impacts (C1), cost (C2), techni-
cal feasibility (C3) are used to evaluate all alternatives and
select the best alternative among them. For each alterna-
tive, assume that the importance rating with respect to each
criterion is obtained from a decision maker in a generalized
linguistic form (Table 3). The reciprocal values of com-
parison are derived from the pairwise comparisons defined
by a decision maker.
3.1 Step 1: Develop a hierarchical structure
In this example, a hierarchical structure consisting of three
levels is developed (Fig. 5). Level 1 represents a goal or an
objective (selecting the best alternative) based on overall
system index (SI). The system index is estimated based on
three criteria (Cj, j = 1, 2, 3), which are shown at Level 2.
There are no sub-criteria defined for any criterion Cj in this
hierarchical structure. Therefore at Level 3, the four alter-
natives (Ai, i = 1, 2, 3, 4) are identified.
3.2 Step 2: Develop pairwise comparisons using
intuitionistic fuzzy judgment matrix
Intuitionistic fuzzy judgment matrix ð ��JÞ is generated using
pairwise comparisons ð ��jijÞ: For example, for a pairwise
comparison between C1 and C2 with respect to the system
index, assume that a decision maker assigns a weak
importance (Table 1), i.e., ‘‘C2 is three times more
important than C1’’. In F-AHP, instead of a ‘‘crisp’’ value
of 3 (as in standard AHP), a triangular fuzzy number (TFN)
expressed by three vertices (a, b, c) can be used. The
vertices of the TFN correspond to (minimum, most likely,
maximum) values over the universe of discourse X (on the
scale of 1–9). Therefore, the weak importance in case of
F-AHP refers to a value, say, between 2.5 and 3.5 with the
Start
End
Step 1: Formulate the hierarchical structure
Step 2: Create intuitionistic fuzzy pairwise comparison matrix JJ
Step 3: Check for consistency index CI for the most likely value
CI < 0.10?No
Yes
Adjust the pairwise comparisons
Step 4: Calculate the intuitionistic fuzzy weights
iwiw
Step 5: Refine intuitionistic fuzzy weights iwiw
Step 6: Establish hierarchical layer sequencing to estimate global weights
Step 7: Determine similarity measures for intuitionistic fuzzy sets
Step 8: Rank the alternatives
AiF
Fig. 4 Proposed step-by-step approach for implementing IF-AHP
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 79
123
most likely value being 3. A fuzzy pairwise comparison can
be written as a vector (2.5, 3, 3.5). To generalize this
concept, the vagueness is expressed using a fuzzification
factor Dl. Therefore, the above pairwise comparison can be
generalized as (3 - Dl, 3, 3 + Dl), where Dl = 0.5 is
assumed. The minimum and maximum values of a pairwise
comparison have membership value of zero and the most
likely value has a membership of 1.
In case of IFS, however, an interval-valued member-
ship [lL, lU] needs to be assigned to every point over the
universe of discourse. During the evaluation, in addition
to vagueness, the decision maker can specify his/her
Table 3 Importance matrices used for environmental decision-making
System index C1 C2 C3
C1 Equal importance Equal to weak importance
C2 Weak importance Equal importance Weak importance
C3 Equal importance
C1 A1 A2 A3 A4
A1 Equal importance Weak importance Equal to weak importance
A2 Equal importance Weak to essential importance
A3 Equal to weak importance Equal importance
A4 Equal to weak importance Equal to weak importance Equal importance
C2 A1 A2 A3 A4
A1 Equal importance Equal to weak importance
A2 Equal to weak importance Equal importance Weak importance Equal importance
A3 Equal importance
A4 Weak importance Weak to essential importance Equal importance
C3 A1 A2 A3 A4
A1 Equal importance Equal to weak importance
A2 Weak importance Equal importance Equal to weak importance Weak to essential importance
A3 Equal to weak importance Equal importance Weak importance
A4 Equal importance
Shaded boxes represent that the pairwise comparisons, which are derived based on decision-maker’s evaluations using reciprocal of the provided
pairwise comparison
System index (SI)
Environmental impact (C1) Cost (C2) Technicalfeasibility (C3)
A1 A2 A4A3
Fig. 5 Evaluating system index (SI)—an example of environmental
decision-making, a IFS weight for w2 using arithmetic operations,
b IFS weight w2 after normalization
80 Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
123
degree of belief for the pairwise comparisons. Assume
that the decision maker’s belief is 80% for his/her eval-
uation of weak importance. This belief is represented by a
membership function lx = lL = 0.80, i.e., a subnormal
fuzzy set. Therefore, the lower bound of triangular IFS
can be written as 3� DlL; 3; 3þ DlL� �
; lx ¼ 0:80� �
: We
assume that the decision-maker does not provide any
further information about his degree of non-belief about
his evaluation. Therefore, for triangular IFS, the non-
membership function tx is assumed to be zero and the
upper bound membership is lU = 1 - tx = 1.0. This
refers to normal fuzzy set. Similarly, a fuzzification factor
DlU is introduced, which may or may not have the same
value as of DlL. Therefore, a pairwise comparison of
weak importance in terms of triangular IFS can be written
as �3. The upper and lower bounds of memberships can be
determined from triangular IFS at any point over the
universe of discourse, i.e., �3 ¼ 3� DlL; 3; 3þ DlL� �
;��
lx ¼ 0:80�; 3� DlU ; 3; 3þ DlU ; tx ¼ 0� �
i: Therefore, at
the most likely value, i.e., 3, the interval-valued mem-
bership is [0.8, 1]. At any other point in the IFS, this
interval-valued membership is determined from two nes-
ted triangles as shown in Fig. 3.
Therefore for n criteria, the intuitionistic fuzzy judgment
matrix ��J can be written as:
��J ¼
��j11��j12 � � � ��j1n
��j21��j22
��j2n
..
. . .. ..
.
��jn1��jn2 � � � ��jnn
2
66664
3
77775ð5Þ
For diagonal entries i ¼ j; ��jij ¼ 1: Upper right-hand
triangle entries ��jij are pairwise comparisons that need to be
defined by a decision maker, whereas lower left-hand
triangle entries are derived taking a reciprocal, i.e.,��jji ¼ 1= ��jij: Through the importance scale given in
Table 1, a pairwise comparison is sought for the SI with
respect to the three criteria, (Cj, j = 1, 2, 3) (Fig. 5).
Assume that the level of importance (or dominance) of C2
over C1 is a triangular IFS �3;C1 over C3 is �2; and C2 over
C3 is �3: Hence the judgment matrix is generated as follows:
C1 C2 C3
��J ¼C1
C2
C3
�1 1=�3 �2
�3 �1 �3
1=�2 1=�3 �1
2
64
3
75
The interpretation of triangular IFS for each ��jij is same
as defined earlier in the discussion. To further simplify the
problem, for each ��jij we assume DlL = 0.50 and DlU = 1
to account for vagueness, and a membership interval of
[0.8, 1.0] to account for non-specificity. Similarly for all
alternatives, the pairwise comparisons are performed for
each criterion based on qualitative importance rating
provided in Table 3.
3.3 Step 3: Check for consistency
Often, the pairwise comparisons in the judgment matrix
are subjected to inconsistency. For example, in a pairwise
comparison, if we say A/B = 2, A/C = 4, therefore it
implies that B/C = 2. However, if the pairwise compari-
son, B/C = 2, there is apparent inconsistency. The AHP
utilizes consistency index (CI) and consistency ratio (CR)
to discern if there is any inconsistency in the fuzzy
judgment matrix ��J: The threshold of the CR is 10%. For
brevity, the calculation procedures are not presented in
this paper.
3.4 Step 4: Calculate the intuitionistic fuzzy set
weights
Various techniques can be used to compute the final
fuzzy weights, such as, computation of the eigenvector,
arithmetic mean, and geometric mean. Preliminary inves-
tigation carried out the authors showed no significant
difference. Consequently, for simplicity, the geometric
mean is used to compute the intuitionistic fuzzy weights.
Appropriate intuitionistic fuzzy arithmetic operations are
used as described earlier. For each row ��Ji; first taking the
geometric mean, and then normalizing it leads to intui-
tionistic fuzzy weights ��wiði ¼ 1 to nÞ :
��Ji ¼ð ��ji1 � � � � � ��jinÞ1=n
��wi ¼ ��Ji � ð ��J1 � � � � � ��JnÞ�1ð6Þ
For each criterion, calculations of the intuitionistic fuzzy
weights ��wi are illustrated below.
��J1¼ð��1�1=��3���2Þ1=3
¼
ð1;1;1:5Þ�1=ð2:5;3;3:5Þ�ð1:5;2;3:5Þð Þ1=3;h
minð0:8;0:80;0:80Þ�;
ð1;1;2Þ�1=ð2;3;4Þ�ð1;2;3Þð Þ1=3;maxð0;0;0Þh i
* +
¼ð1;1;1:5Þ�ð1=3:5;1=3;1=2:5Þ�ð1:5;2;3:5Þð Þ1=3;
h
0:80�; ð1;1;2Þ�ð1=4;1=3;1=2Þ�ð1;2;3Þð Þ1=3;0h i
* +
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 81
123
��J2¼ð��3���1���3Þ1=3
¼
ð2:5;3;3:5Þ�ð1;1;1:5Þ�ð2:5;3;3:5Þð Þ1=3;h
minð0:8;0:80;0:80Þ�;
ð2;3;4Þ�ð1;1;2Þ�ð1;2;3Þð Þ1=3;maxð0;0;0Þh i
* +
Thus, the intuitionistic fuzzy weight ��wi can be com-
puted by normalizing the most likely value of ��Ji (Eq. 6)
��w1 ¼ ��J1 � ð ��J1 � ��J2 � ��J3Þ�1
¼ 0:15; 0:25; 0:41ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:11; 0:25; 0:54ð Þ; 0½ �h i
��w2 ¼ ��J2 � ð ��J1 � ��J2 � ��J3Þ�1
¼ 0:39; 0:59; 0:88ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:28; 0:59; 1:20ð Þ; 0½ �h i
��w3 ¼ ��J3 � ð ��J1 � ��J2 � ��J3Þ�1
¼ 0:09; 0:16; 0:30ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:08; 0:16; 0:38ð Þ; 0½ �h i
Sum of the most likely values of intuitionistic fuzzy
weightsP
��wi; equals to 1 (=0.25 + 0.59 + 0.16) at
lx = 0.80 and tx = 0, which complies with the basic
axiom of AHP. The intuitionistic fuzzy weights will reduce
to simple fuzzy weights, if lx = 1.0 and tx = 0, i.e.,
DlL = DlU. It will further reduce to crisp weights,
if lx = 1.0 and tx = 0, and DlL = DlU = 0. Therefore,
both F-AHP and crisp AHP weights become the special
cases of intuitionistic fuzzy weights.
3.5 Step 5: Refine intuitionistic fuzzy weights
The intuitionistic fuzzy weights computed in Step 4, are
normalized based on the most likely values. However, the
fuzzy arithmetic operations generally do not guarantee an
overall normalized TFN. To handle this problem, Wang
and Elhag (2006) have proposed a procedure to check for
normality using Eq. (7). If it is not satisfied, they suggested
a normalization method as provided in Eq. (8). Wang and
Elhag (2006) first performed the normalization for interval
values and extended it to the triangular fuzzy set using the
concept of a-cut. In this paper, the work of Wang and
Elhag (2006) is extended to triangular IFS.
The IFS can be viewed as a nested TFN, such that
normalization is performed on two nested TFNs. For
each weight wi (i = 1,..., n) in a vector W ¼ðw1;w2; . . .;wnÞ; ðwiÞa¼0 ¼ wLI
i ;wUIi
� �and 0�wLI
i �wUIi .
For example, as illustrated in Fig. 6, at a = 0, the lower
and upper interval weights of the IFS are wLIlL;wUI
lL
h i¼
½a; d� ¼ ½0:39; 0:88� and wLIlU;wUI
lU
h i¼ ½b; c� ¼ ½0:28; 1:2�:
��J3 ¼ ð1=��2� 1=��3� ��1Þ1=3
¼1=ð1:5; 2; 2:5Þ � 1=ð2:5; 3; 3:5Þ � ð1; 1; 1:5Þð Þ1=3;minð0:8; 0:80; 0:80Þ
h i;
1=ð1; 2; 3Þ � 1=ð2; 3; 4Þ � ð1; 1; 2Þð Þ1=3;maxð0; 0; 0Þh i
* +
¼ð1=2:5; 1=2; 1=1:5Þ � ð1=3:5; 1=3; 1=2:5Þ � ð1; 1; 1:5Þð Þ1=3; 0:80
h i;
ð1=3; 1=2; 1Þ � ð1=4; 1=3; 1=2Þ � ð1; 1; 2Þð Þ1=3; 0h i
* +
b) IFS weight w2 after normalization
0.0
0.5
1.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5
w2
µ
α a b c d
0.0
0.5
1.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5w2
µ
a) IFS weight for w2 using arithmetic operations
Fig. 6 Illustration of a-cuts on
IFS
82 Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
123
The check for the normality should satisfy the following
conditions (Wang and Elhag 2006):
Xn
i¼1
wLIi þmax
jwUI
j � wLIj
� �� 1 and
Xn
i¼1
wUIi �max
jwUI
j � wLIj
� �� 1
ð7Þ
If the normality is not satisfied, the following normali-
zation procedure for a dependent fuzzy number can be
adopted (Wang and Elhag 2006):
ðwiÞLIa ¼ max ðwiÞLI
a ; 1�Xn
j 6¼i
ðwiÞUIa
( )
and
ðwiÞUIa ¼ min ðwiÞUI
a ; 1�Xn
j 6¼i
ðwiÞLIa
( ) ð8Þ
First the check for normality Eq. (7), and then perform
normalization using Eq. (8). The above normalization for
upper interval weights wLIlU;wUI
lU
h iof an IFS is described
below. Following IFS weights ��w1; ��w2 and ��w3 were
computed in Step 4 using arithmetic operations:
��w1 ¼ 0:15; 0:25; 0:41ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:11; 0:25; 0:54ð Þ; 0½ �h i��w2 ¼ 0:39; 0:59; 0:88ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:28; 0:59; 1:20ð Þ; 0½ �h i��w3 ¼ 0:09; 0:16; 0:30ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:08; 0:16; 0:38ð Þ; 0½ �h i
At lU = 1 (i.e., tx = 0) and a = 0, the upper interval
weights are ðw1Þa¼0 ¼ 0:11; 0:54½ �; ðw2Þa¼0 ¼ 0:28; 1:20½ �;ðw3Þa¼0 ¼ 0:08; 0:38½ �:
Using Eq. (7), it can be shown that the maxj
wUIj � wLI
j
� �
value is max(0.43, 0.91, 0.30) = 0.91, and the corre-
sponding constraints are:
Xn
i¼1
wLIi þmax
jwUI
j � wLIj
� �
¼ 0:47þ 0:91 ¼ 1:39 [ 1 ðNot satisfiedÞ and
Xn
i¼1
wUIi �max
jwUI
j � wLIj
� �
¼ 2:12� 0:91 ¼ 1:21 [ 1 ðSatisfiedÞ
Since the normality is not satisfied, the upper interval
weights can be normalized using Eq. (8). The final results
are:
ðw1ÞUIa¼0 ¼ 0:54; ðw2ÞUI
a¼0 ¼ 0:81; and ðw3ÞUIa¼0 ¼ 0:38
With this new set of normalized weights, Eq. (7) is satis-
fied:Pn
i¼1 wLIi þmax
jwUI
j � wLIj
� �¼ 0:47þ 0:53 ¼ 1:
Similarly, same procedure is repeated for lower interval
weights. The final normalized IF-AHP weights are:
��w1 ¼ 0:15; 0:25; 0:41ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:11; 0:25; 0:54ð Þ; 0½ �h i
Table 4 A intuitionistic fuzzy weights for computing system index and selection of alternatives
SI C1 C2 C3��W1
C1�1 1=�3 �2 ��wC1 ¼ 0:15; 0:25; 0:41ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:11; 0:25; 0:54ð Þ; 0½ �h i
C2�3 �1 �3 ��wC2 ¼ 0:39; 0:59; 0:76ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:28; 0:59; 0:81ð Þ; 0½ �h i
C3 1=�2 1=�3 �1 ��wC3 ¼ 0:08; 0:16; 0:38ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:09; 0:16; 0:30ð Þ; 0½ �h i
C1 A1 A2 A3 A4��W2ðC1Þ
A1�1 �3 �2 1=�2 ��wC1;A1 ¼ 0:18; 0:32; 0:59ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:13; 0:32; 0:76ð Þ; 0½ �h i
A2 1=�3 �1 1=�2 �4 ��wC1;A2 ¼ 0:12; 0:22; 0:42ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:10; 0:22; 0:52ð Þ; 0½ �h iA3 1=�2 �2 �1 1=�2 ��wC1;A3 ¼ 0:11; 0:21; 0:43ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:08; 0:21; 0:55ð Þ; 0½ �h iA4
�2 1=�4 �2 �1 ��wC1;A4 ¼ 0:14; 0:25; 0:41ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:10; 0:25; 0:55ð Þ; 0½ �h i
C2 A1 A2 A3 A4��W2ðC2Þ
A1�1 1=�2 �2 1=�3 ��W1ðX1
1;0ÞA2
�2 �1 �3 �1 ��wC2;A2 ¼ 0:22; 0:34; 0:52ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:15; 0:34; 0:68ð Þ; 0½ �h iA3 1=�2 1=�3 �1 1=�4 ��wC2;A3 ¼ 0:06; 0:10; 0:17ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:05; 0:10; 0:21ð Þ; 0½ �h iA4
�3 �1 �4 �1 ��wC2;A4 ¼ 0:27; 0:40; 0:60ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:20; 0:40; 0:73ð Þ; 0½ �h i
C3 A1 A2 A3 A4��W2ðC3Þ
A1�1 1=�3 1=�2 �2 ��wC3;A1 ¼ 0:09; 0:16; 0:30ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:07; 0:16; 0:39ð Þ; 0½ �h i
A2�3 �1 �2 �4 ��wC3;A2 ¼ 0:29; 0:47; 0:69ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:21; 0:47; 0:76ð Þ; 0½ �h i
A3�2 1=�2 �1 �3 ��wC3;A3 ¼ 0:16; 0:28; 0:49ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:12; 0:28; 0:66ð Þ; 0½ �h i
A4 1=�2 1=�4 1=�3 �1 ��wC3;A4 ¼ 0:05; 0:10; 0:18ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:05; 0:10; 0:23ð Þ; 0½ �h i
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 83
123
��w2 ¼ 0:39; 0:59; 0:76ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:28; 0:59; 0:81ð Þ; 0½ �h i and
��w3 ¼ 0:08; 0:16; 0:38ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:09; 0:16; 0:30ð Þ; 0½ �h i
The normalized IFS weights of the hierarchical structure
are given in Fig. 5 and summarized in Table 4.
3.6 Step 6: Establish hierarchical layer sequencing
to estimate global weights
The intuitionistic fuzzy weights at each level are aggre-
gated to obtain final ranking orders for the alternatives.
This computation is carried out from alternatives (bottom
level) to the goal or objective (top level). As shown in
Fig. 5, each of the four alternatives (Ai,; i = 1, 2, 3, 4)
provided at Level 3 are aggregated through Level 2 to Level
1 (goal). Therefore, by following the hierarchical structure
(Fig. 5) at each level l, the intuitionistic fuzzy global
preference weights ð��GlÞ are computed by:
��Gl ¼ ��Wl � ��Gl�1 ð9Þ
The final intuitionistic fuzzy AHP score ð ��FAiÞ; for each
alternative Ai is obtained by carrying out intuitionistic
fuzzy arithmetic sum over each global preference weights
as follows:
��FAi ¼XK
l¼1
��Gl ð10Þ
where K is number of levels in a hierarchical structure.
Consequently, the final IF-AHP scores ð ��FAiÞ are computed
to be:
��FA1¼ 0:071;0:203;0:549ð Þ;0:80½ �; 0:040;0:203;0:828ð Þ;0½ �h i
��FA2 ¼ ð0:129; 0:329; 0:774Þ; 0:80½ �h ;
0:071; 0:329; 1:123ð Þ; 0½ �i��FA3 ¼ ð0:052; 0:153; 0:455Þ; 0:80½ �h ;
0:032; 0:153; 1:714ð Þ; 0½ �i��FA4 ¼ ð0:129; 0:315; 0:678Þ; 0:80½ �h ;
0:072; 0:315; 0:973ð Þ; 0½ �i
The final IF-AHP score for alternative A1ð ��FA1Þ is
plotted in Fig. 7. Similarly, results of the remaining
alternatives can be plotted. To interpret the results and
estimate the ranking order of alternatives, the IF-AHP
scores ð ��FAiÞ are then processed further.
3.7 Step 7: Determine the similarity measures
for intuitionistic fuzzy AHP scores ð ��FAiÞ
The similarity measures can be used to reduce the number
of alternatives by grouping different alternatives into a
single class/cluster when they are ‘‘significantly’’ identical.
This will help reducing the number of possible alternatives
to be ranked. This step is important because of inherent
vagueness and ambiguity in the IF-AHP scores ��FAi: Any
intuitionistic defuzzification method used to find repre-
sentative crisp value of IFS ��FAi does not guarantee the best
ranking order. Therefore, the ranking is performed only for
those alternatives (and/or clusters), which are significantly
different.
A similarity measure is a measure to estimate the degree
of similarity between two (intuitionistic) fuzzy sets.
Therefore, smaller the distance between two IFS, say A and
B, the higher will be the similarity (resemblance) and vice
versa. The proposed similarity measure is used to group
different alternatives into one class when they are ‘‘sig-
nificantly’’ identical. Consequently, the ranking can be
done over the clusters/classes rather than individual
alternatives.
Various techniques are available to determine similarity
measures for IFS (e.g., Hung and Yang 2004). Li et al.
(2007) carried out comparative analyses of 12 different
techniques to determine similarity measures for IFS, and
provided advantages and shortcomings for each technique.
For brevity, the similarity measure S(A,B) between two IFS
is performed as proposed by Li et al. (2007):
SðA;BÞ ¼ 1�Pn
d¼1 SAðxdÞ � SBðxdÞj j4n
�Pn
d¼1 lAðxdÞ � lBðxdÞj j þ mAðxdÞ � mBðxdÞj j4n
ð11Þ
where SA(xd) = lA(xd) - mA(xd) and SB(xd) = lB(xd) -
mB(xd). The xd shown in Eq. (11) represents the values
0.0
0.5
1.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Alternative A1
µ
∆ µU = 1, µ U = 1
Fuzzy set
discretization=0.04
∆ µ L = 0.5, µ L = 0.80
IFS
Fig. 7 Reduction of intuitionistic fuzzy AHP score ��FA1 to a fuzzy set
84 Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
123
selected through discretization over the universe of
discourse (Fig. 7). The calculated similarity measures
between four alternatives are:
SðA1;A2Þ ¼ 0:961; SðA1;A3Þ ¼ 0:972; SðA1;A4Þ ¼ 0:967
SðA2;A3Þ ¼ 0:960; SðA2;A4Þ ¼ 0:964; SðA3;A4Þ ¼ 0:965
Selecting an acceptable threshold for a similarity
measure is arbitrary and context dependent. In the above
example, to illustrate the use of similarity concept a
threshold value e = 0.97 is selected. Consequently, this
threshold generates three clusters, and suggested that
alternatives A1 and A3 are similar and can be grouped
together. Therefore, ranking should be performed only for
alternatives (or clusters) (A1 or A3), A2 and A4.
3.8 Step 8: Rank the alternatives
The intuitionistic defuzzification entails converting the final
IF-AHP score ��FAi into a crisp value which leads to their
ranking order. A two-step process of intuitionistic defuzz-
ification to determine ranking order is outlined below:
3.8.1 Step (8a): Type reduction of IFS into a fuzzy set
Mendel (2004) proposed a method to reduce IFS into a
fuzzy set by taking an arithmetic mean of interval-valued
memberships [lL, lU] at each xd, representing predefined
discrete points over the universe of discourse. In our
example, the ‘‘reduced fuzzy set’’ FAi is derived by
selecting discrete points xd at an interval of 0.04 (Fig. 7).
3.8.2 Step (8b): Compute mean and standard deviation
of the reduced IFS
Lee and Li (1988) and Chen and Hwang (1992) have
proposed the use of generalized mean and standard devi-
ation to rank fuzzy numbers (sets). In this method, equal
importance is assigned to each vertex of the fuzzy set. The
definitions of generalized mean �xðFAiÞand standard devia-
tion rðFAiÞ are as follows:
�xðFAiÞ ¼R b
a x lFAiðxÞ dx
R b
a lFAiðxÞ dx
ð12Þ
rðFAiÞ ¼R b
a x2 lFAiðxÞ dx
R ba lFAi
ðxÞ dx� �xðFAiÞ� �2
" #1=2
ð13Þ
where a and b are the lower and upper bounds when the
membership is not equal to zero. The denominator in the
above equations accounts for the area under the reduced
fuzzy number FAi: Once �xðFAiÞ and rðFAiÞ are computed,
the ranking orders of alternatives (and/or clusters) can be
determined. The general rule is to rank first with respect to
mean value �xðFAiÞ; but if two mean values are equal, then
rank them based on standard deviation rðFAiÞ (Table 5).
The ranking based on generalized mean �xðFAiÞ and
standard deviation rðFAiÞ is discussed below. On a reduced
fuzzy set FA1; the mean and standard deviation are com-
puted as ð�xðFA1Þ; rðFA1ÞÞ ¼ ð0:350; 0:155Þ using Eqs. 12
and 13, respectively. Similarly, �xðFAiÞ and rðFAiÞ of the
remaining alternatives are obtained and final ranking orders
is derived (Table 6).
4 Hypothetical case study of selecting a generic drilling
fluid—environmental decision making using IF-AHP
Sadiq et al. (2003) formulated a methodology of environ-
mental decision-making for the selection and evaluation of
three generic types of drilling fluids (muds) using the AHP.
Tesfamariam and Sadiq (2006) extended the methodology
to fuzzy AHP (F-AHP) to incorporate vagueness in the
pairwise comparisons. In this paper, the same example is
extended to IF-AHP to incorporate ambiguity (non-speci-
ficity) in addition to vagueness in the pairwise comparisons.
The composition of drilling muds is based on a mixture of
clays and additives in a base fluid. There are three generic
types of base fluids—water-based (WBFs), oil-based
(OBFs), and synthetic-based (SBFs). The composition of
drilling muds used in a particular application depends on the
well conditions and requirements of the environmental reg-
ulatory compliance. Water-based muds or fluids are
Table 5 Ranking technique based on �xðFAiÞ and rðFAiÞ (Chen and
Hwang 1992)
Relation of �xðFAiÞand �xðFAjÞ
Relation of rðFAiÞand rðFAjÞ
Ranking order
�xðFAiÞ[ �xðFAjÞ — Ai [ Aj
�xðFAiÞ ¼ �xðFAjÞ rðFAiÞ\rðFAjÞ Ai [ Aj
Table 6 Ranking orders for final intuitionistic fuzzy set scores ��FAi
Alternatives ð�xðFAiÞ;rðFAiÞÞ Ranking orders
A1 (0.350, 0.155) 3a
A2 (0.496, 0.204) 1
A3 (0.294, 0.137) 3a
A4 (0.447, 0.173) 2
a A1 and A3 both belong to the same cluster and difference between
them is not significant because their similarity measure S(A1, A3) [e = 0.97. Therefore, they are assigned same ranking order
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 85
123
relatively environmentally benign, but drilling performance
is better with oil-based fluids. Implementation of advanced
drilling techniques sometimes demands a fluid with better
lubricating characteristics than WBFs can provide. Hence,
this unfolds a typical MCDM problem where the decision
maker has to select among the three alternatives that may
have conflicting criteria, levels of environmental friendliness
and performance enhancement (Sadiq et al. 2003).
Drilling wastes associated with SBFs are less dispersible
in marine water than WBFs and tend to sink to the seafloor
where they pose a potential environmental threat to the
benthic community (settling and dispersion characteristics
depend in part on the relative amount of adhering fluids). It
is believed that environmental impacts include smothering
by the drill cuttings, changes in grain size and composition,
and anoxia caused by the decomposition of organic matter
(US EPA 1999). The environmental impacts associated
with the zero discharge of OBFs can be more harmful than
the discharge of SBFs due to non-water quality environ-
mental impacts, like air pollution and ground water
pollution in the case of incineration and land-based dis-
posal, respectively.
gnillird tseb eht gnitceleS
,epyt diulfX
10 ,1
,seitilibaiL
X ’2
1, 1,stcap
mi lanoitarepO
X 2
1 ,4,stcap
mi cimonoc
EX
’21,2
,stcapmi ecruose
RX
’ 21,3
,gnillirD
X3
4,4
/egrahcsid )erohsffo( etisnO
,lortnoc dilosX
34 ,3
,las opsid erohsnO
X3
4, 1 ,noitatropsnart dna gnidao
LX
34, 2
Occupational, X 416,4
Public, X 415,4
Environmental, X 414,4
Energy use, X 413,4
Occupational, X 412,3
Public, X 411,3
Environmental, X 410,3
Energy use, X 4’9,3
Occupational, X 48,2
Public, X 47,2
Environmental, X 46,2
Energy use, X 4’5,2
Occupational, X 44,1
Public, X 43,1
Environmental, X 42,1
Energy use, X 4’1,1
Accidents, X524,16
Chemical exposure, X523,16
Air emissions, X522,15
Chemical exposure, X518,12
Water column, X516,10
effects
Benthic effects, X514,10
Air emissions, X521,14
Spills, X520,14
Accidents, X519,12
Bioaccumulation and ingestion, X5
17,11
Bioaccumulation, X515,10
Chemical exposure, X512,8
Accidents, X513,8
Spill, X59,6
effects
Air emission, X57,6
Water emission, X58,6
Chemical exposure, X55,4
Accidents, X56,4
Air emission, X54,3
Ground water contamination, X53,3
Air emission, X52,2
Ground water contamination, X51,2
Water emission, X511,7
Accidents, X510,7
Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 (Alternatives)
Level 2Level 1 (Goal)
sF
BO
sF
BW
sF
BS
Fig. 8 Hierarchical structure
for comparing generic drilling
fluids
86 Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
123
A hierarchical structure of the risks involved in the
selection of three different types of drilling fluids is shown in
Fig. 8. The hierarchical structure is comprised of six levels,
in which the first level (goal) refers to the selection of best
type of generic drilling fluid. At the second level, four major
criteria including operational, resource, economics and lia-
bilities impacts are evaluated. In the next level, only
operational factors are divided into four major impacts (sub-
criteria) including drilling, discharge offshore and onshore,
and loading and transportation. At 4th and 5th levels, each of
these sub-criteria is further divided into basic items. The final
(sixth) level refers to three drilling fluid alternatives, namely,
OBFs, WBFs and SBFs. The nomenclature adopted for each
item in the hierarchical model is Xki,j, where i is the order of
the child at the level/layer k, and j is the parent of the child.
The apostrophe on any intermediate item (element, factor,
sub-criterion) Xi,jk0 indicates that the element does not have
dependent children (Sadiq et al. 2004).
To incorporate vagueness, fuzzification factors DlL and
DlU are assumed equal to 0.5 and 1, respectively. The
ambiguity (non-specificity) is introduced using fixed degree
of belief of 0.8 for all pairwise comparisons. But the
method is general enough to incorporate different degrees
of beliefs for pairwise comparisons. In this example, the
non-specificity is defined by an interval-valued member-
ship function [0.8, 1.0], which corresponds to most likely
values of pairwise comparisons.
After the hierarchical structure is established the IF-
AHP methodology is applied on this case study. For each
alternative and criteria, Sadiq et al. (2003), and Tesfama-
riam and Sadiq (2006) used an approach to derive pairwise
comparisons from associated risks. For brevity the method
is not repeated here. A pairwise comparison of the first
level (X11,0) is summarized in Table 7. At level 2, the
pairwise comparisons are carried out among the criteria,
liability ðX20
1;1Þ; economic impact ðX20
2;1Þ; resource impact
ðX20
3;1Þ and operational impact (X24,1). The corresponding
intuitionistic fuzzy weights are computed and summarized
in Tables 8 and 9. The rest of the judgment matrix com-
parisons are not included in this paper. The corresponding
fuzzy weights, and corresponding intuitionistic fuzzy
weights, ��wi; i ¼ 1; 2. . .5 are summarized in Table 10. The
intuitionistic fuzzy weights are aggregated as outlined in
Step 6, and the final results are obtained. The final results
of the three drilling fluids are plotted in Fig. 9. The final IF-
AHP scores ��FAi for OBFs, WBFs and SBFs are:
OBF ¼ 0:067; 0:204; 0:695ð Þ; 0:80½ �;h0:044; 0:204; 1:118ð Þ; 0½ �i
WBF ¼ 0:180; 0:411; 1:091ð Þ; 0:80½ �;h0:127; 0:411; 1:705ð Þ; 0½ �i
SBF ¼ 0:157; 0:370; 1:064ð Þ; 0:80½ �;h0:110; 0:370; 1:614ð Þ; 0½ �i
The sum of the most likely values is equal to one (0.204
+ 0.411 + 0.370), whereas the sum of minimum values
are \ 1 and sum of maximum values are [ 1. The differ-
ence between sum of minimums and sum of maximums
represents the vagueness, and the degree of belief of 0.8
represents ambiguity (non-specificity) in the overall deci-
sion-making process. The similarity measures for the three
alternatives are:
SðOBF;WBFÞ ¼ 0:949; SðOBF; SBFÞ ¼ 0:953;
SðOBF; SBFÞ ¼ 0:955
Since the similarity measure are below the arbitrary
threshold value e = 0.97, each alternative is considered as a
cluster its and required to be ranked separately. The type
reduction of intuitionistic fuzzy set to an ordinary fuzzy set
for all alternatives is shown in Fig. 9. The results of de-
fuzzification are summarized in Table 10. The WBFs are
found to be the most desirable option, followed by SBFs
and OBFs.
In earlier studies by Sadiq et al. (2003) and Tesfama-
riam and Sadiq (2006), the SBF was found to be the most
desirable option. This emphasizes that ambiguity in
assigning degree of beliefs to pairwise comparisons plays
an important role in environmental decision-making. The
authors strongly recommend performing extensive sensi-
tivity analyses before making any final decisions.
5 Conclusions
AHP is inherently a subjective process, which involves
uncertainties in the evaluation and affects the process of
Table 7 A weighting scheme for major impacts ð ��w1Þ
X11,0 X20
1;1 X20
2;1 X20
3;1 X24,1
��W1ðX11;0Þ
X20
1;1�1 �3 �2 �2 ��wX1
1;0;X20
1;1¼ 0:29; 0:43; 0:59ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:21; 0:43; 0:64ð Þ; 0½ �h i
X20
2;1 1=�3 �1 �1 �1 ��wX11;0;X20
2;1¼ 0:13; 0:18; 0:23ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:13; 0:18; 0:26ð Þ; 0½ �h i
X20
3;1 1=�2 1=�1 �1 1=�2 ��wX11;0;X20
3;1¼ 0:11; 0:16; 0:27ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:10; 0:16; 0:31ð Þ; 0½ �h i
X24,1 1=�2 1=�1 �2 �1 ��wX1
1;0;X2
4;1¼ 0:16; 0:23; 0:34ð Þ; 0:80½ �; 0:14; 0:23; 0:41ð Þ; 0½ �h i
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 87
123
Ta
ble
8L
ow
erin
terv
alfu
zzy
wei
gh
ts� � w
iði¼
1;2
...5Þ
Lev
el2
W1
Lev
el3
W2
Lev
el4
W3
Lev
el5
W4
W5
(OB
Fs)
W5
(WB
Fs)
W5
(SB
Fs)
X4,1
20
.29
0.4
30
.59
X4,4
30
.28
0.4
20
.60
X16,4
40
.15
0.2
20
.32
X24,1
65
0.4
70
.67
0.7
80
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X23,1
65
0.2
20
.33
0.5
30
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X15,4
40
.34
0.4
80
.64
X22,1
55
1.0
01
.00
1.0
00
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X14,4
40
.14
0.2
00
.27
X21,1
45
0.6
60
.75
0.8
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X20,1
45
0.1
90
.25
0.3
40
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X13,4
40
0.0
70
.11
0.1
90
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X3,4
30
.17
0.2
70
.44
X12,3
40
.15
0.2
20
.32
X19,1
25
0.4
70
.67
0.7
80
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X18,1
25
0.2
20
.33
0.5
30
.12
90
.20
00
.36
10
.30
80
.40
00
.49
00
.30
80
.40
00
.49
0
X11,3
40
.34
0.4
80
.64
X17,1
15
1.0
01
.00
1.0
00
.37
00
.42
90
.48
80
.10
80
.14
30
.20
20
.37
00
.42
90
.48
8
X10,3
40
.14
0.2
00
.27
X16,1
05
0.3
10
.40
0.4
90
.37
00
.42
90
.48
80
.10
80
.14
30
.20
20
.37
00
.42
90
.48
8
X15,1
05
0.1
30
.20
0.3
60
.37
00
.42
90
.48
80
.10
80
.14
30
.20
20
.37
00
.42
90
.48
8
X14,1
05
0.3
10
.40
0.4
90
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
3
X9,3
40
0.0
70
.11
0.1
90
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
3
X2,4
30
.10
0.1
60
.28
X8,2
40
.15
0.2
20
.32
X13,8
50
.47
0.6
70
.78
0.0
64
0.0
77
0.1
01
0.5
92
0.6
92
0.7
57
0.1
80
0.2
31
0.3
07
X12,8
50
.22
0.3
30
.53
0.0
81
0.1
11
0.1
68
0.5
33
0.6
67
0.7
59
0.1
60
0.2
22
0.3
10
X7,2
40
.34
0.4
80
.64
X11,7
50
.22
0.3
30
.53
0.1
08
0.1
43
0.2
02
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
X10,7
50
.47
0.6
70
.78
0.1
62
0.2
00
0.2
56
0.4
88
0.6
00
0.6
76
0.1
62
0.2
00
0.2
56
X6,2
40
.14
0.2
00
.27
X9,6
50
.31
0.4
00
.49
0.0
64
0.0
77
0.1
01
0.5
92
0.6
92
0.7
57
0.1
80
0.2
31
0.3
07
X8,6
50
.13
0.2
00
.36
0.1
08
0.1
43
0.2
02
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
X7,6
50
.31
0.4
00
.49
0.0
67
0.0
77
0.0
90
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
X5,2
40
0.0
70
.11
0.1
90
.06
70
.07
70
.09
00
.43
30
.46
20
.49
10
.43
30
.46
20
.49
1
X1,4
30
.10
0.1
50
.23
X4,1
40
.15
0.2
20
.32
X6,4
50
.47
0.6
70
.78
0.0
52
0.0
53
0.0
58
0.4
63
0.4
74
0.4
82
0.4
63
0.4
74
0.4
82
X5,4
50
.22
0.3
30
.53
0.0
67
0.0
77
0.0
90
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
X3,1
40
.34
0.4
80
.64
X4,3
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.0
67
0.0
77
0.0
90
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
X3,3
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.1
08
0.1
43
0.2
02
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
X2,1
40
.14
0.2
00
.27
X2,2
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.0
67
0.0
77
0.0
90
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
0.4
33
0.4
62
0.4
91
X1,2
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.1
08
0.1
43
0.2
02
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
0.3
70
0.4
29
0.4
88
X1,1
40
0.0
70
.11
0.1
90
.06
70
.07
70
.09
00
.43
30
.46
20
.49
10
.43
30
.46
20
.49
1
X3,1
20
0.1
30
.18
0.2
3
X2,1
20
0.1
10
.16
0.2
7
X1,1
20
0.1
60
.23
0.3
4
88 Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91
123
Ta
ble
9U
pp
erin
terv
alfu
zzy
wei
gh
ts� � w
i(i
=1
,2
...
5)
Lev
el2
W1
Lev
el3
W2
Lev
el4
W3
Lev
el5
W4
W5
(OB
Fs)
W5
(WB
Fs)
W5
(SB
Fs)
X4,1
20
.21
0.4
30
.64
X4,4
30
.20
0.4
20
.69
X16,4
40
.13
0.2
20
.39
X24,1
65
0.3
70
.67
0.7
90
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X23,1
65
0.2
10
.33
0.6
30
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X15,4
40
.26
0.4
80
.69
X22,1
55
1.0
01
.00
1.0
00
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X14,4
40
.12
0.2
00
.32
X21,1
45
0.6
30
.75
0.8
20
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X20,1
45
0.1
80
.25
0.3
70
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X13,4
40
0.0
60
.11
0.2
20
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X3,4
30
.13
0.2
70
.57
X12,3
40
.13
0.2
20
.39
X19,1
25
0.3
70
.67
0.7
90
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X18,1
25
0.2
10
.33
0.6
30
.12
40
.20
00
.40
30
.25
70
.40
00
.58
10
.25
70
.40
00
.58
1
X11,3
40
.26
0.4
80
.69
X17,1
15
1.0
01
.00
1.0
00
.33
10
.42
90
.54
40
.10
40
.14
30
.21
60
.33
10
.42
90
.54
4
X10,3
40
.12
0.2
00
.32
X16,1
05
0.2
60
.40
0.5
80
.33
10
.42
90
.54
40
.10
40
.14
30
.21
60
.33
10
.42
90
.54
4
X15,1
05
0.1
20
.20
0.4
00
.33
10
.42
90
.54
40
.10
40
.14
30
.21
60
.33
10
.42
90
.54
4
X14,1
05
0.2
60
.40
0.5
80
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
3
X9,3
40
0.0
60
.11
0.2
20
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
30
.33
3
X2,4
30
.10
0.1
60
.33
X8,2
40
.13
0.2
20
.39
X13,8
50
.37
0.6
70
.79
0.0
61
0.0
77
0.1
10
0.5
42
0.6
92
0.7
79
0.1
60
0.2
31
0.3
48
X12,8
50
.21
0.3
30
.63
0.0
76
0.1
11
0.1
86
0.4
52
0.6
67
0.7
92
0.1
32
0.2
22
0.3
64
X7,2
40
.26
0.4
80
.69
X11,7
50
.21
0.3
30
.63
0.1
04
0.1
43
0.2
16
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
X10,7
50
.37
0.6
70
.79
0.1
53
0.2
00
0.2
79
0.4
42
0.6
00
0.6
93
0.1
53
0.2
00
0.2
79
X6,2
40
.12
0.2
00
.32
X9,6
50
.26
0.4
00
.58
0.0
61
0.0
77
0.1
10
0.5
42
0.6
92
0.7
79
16
00
.23
10
.34
8
X8,6
50
.12
0.2
00
.40
0.1
04
0.1
43
0.2
16
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
X7,6
50
.26
0.4
00
.58
0.0
66
0.0
77
0.0
93
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
X5,2
40
0.0
60
.11
0.2
20
.06
60
.07
70
.09
30
.41
00
.46
20
.51
80
.41
00
.46
20
.51
8
X1,4
30
.09
0.1
50
.27
X4,1
40
.13
0.2
20
.39
X6,4
50
.37
0.6
70
.79
0.0
52
0.0
53
0.0
59
0.4
53
0.4
74
0.4
92
0.4
53
0.4
74
0.4
92
X5,4
50
.21
0.3
30
.63
0.0
66
0.0
77
0.0
93
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
X3,1
40
.26
0.4
80
.69
X4,3
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.0
66
0.0
77
0.0
93
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
X3,3
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.1
04
0.1
43
0.2
16
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
X2,1
40
.12
0.2
00
.32
X2,2
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.0
66
0.0
77
0.0
93
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
0.4
10
0.4
62
0.5
18
X1,2
50
.50
0.5
00
.50
0.1
04
0.1
43
0.2
16
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
0.3
31
0.4
29
0.5
44
X1,1
40
0.0
60
.11
0.2
20
.06
60
.07
70
.09
30
.41
00
.46
20
.51
80
.41
00
.46
20
.51
8
X3,1
20
0.1
30
.18
0.2
6
X2,1
20
0.1
00
.16
0.3
1
X1,1
20
0.1
40
.23
0.4
1
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2009) 23:75–91 89
123
environmental decision-making. The notion of IFS can
handle both vagueness and ambiguity (non-specificity) type
of uncertainties. The use of IF-AHP can help a decision
maker to make more realistic and informed decisions based
on available information, without making strong assump-
tions about the state of knowledge. Concept of IFS in AHP
is introduced through pairwise comparisons. The proposed
IF-AHP methodology is developed using a simple example
of environmental decision-making, which later applied to a
hypothetical case study of drilling fluid selection.
In any MCDM setting, rank preservation and rank
reversal of alternatives is a major concern. Sensitivity
analyses should be carried out to identify the critical factors
in the use of IFS that merit further investigations. The
proposed IF-AHP methodology is demonstrated using fixed
vagueness and ambiguity (non-specificity) in establishing
pairwise comparisons, however, further research is needed
to explore the impact on final decisions using different
values of fuzzification factors and degrees of belief for
different pairwise comparisons.
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Beynon MJ (2002) DS/AHP method: a mathematical analysis,
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140:148–164
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Reasoning 44(2):124–147
0.00.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
0.5
1.0
OBFs
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
SBFs
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
WBFs
µµ
0.0
0.5
1.0
µ
0.0
0.5
1.0
Fig. 9 Evaluation for drilling
fluids (OBFs, WBFs, SBFs)
using IF-AHP
Table 10 Ranking orders for
three drilling fluidsAlternatives ð�xðFAiÞ;rðFAiÞÞ Ranking order
Present
study
Sadiq
et al. (2003)
Tesfamariam
and Sadiq (2006)
OBFs (0.433, 0.218) 3 3 3
WBFs (0.709, 0.316) 1 2 2
SBFs (0.664, 0.302) 2 1 1
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