Decision Tree for Merck data in RBW - Microsoft

11
Predictive Revenue Assurance

Transcript of Decision Tree for Merck data in RBW - Microsoft

Predictive

Revenue

Assurance

Industries face constant pressure of maintaining a healthycash flow by using financial policies and processes to surviveand enable growth even in difficult times.

Effective management of Accounts Receivable and overallfinancial performance of firms are positively correlated.

With B2B transactions increasing in volume and complexity,poor management of AR can lead to unnecessary expensesand cash flow problems

An efficient AR management and collections strategy is nowmust to avoid cash flow problems, unnecessary added costsassociated with uncollected receivables and putting futureinvestments at risk.

Business

Overview

Accounts Receivable Process

Create &send invoice

Account Overdue ?

Write offCollection Complete

Dunning Process

Final Demand

Invoice Paid ?

Full Payment

?

Payment Reminder

Payment Received

?

No

Yes

No

Yes

Yes

No

No

Final Demand

Yes

Incorrect InvoicesDelay in Invoice

Approval by Business

AP of customers affected by delay in their own AR

Customers receiving the invoice too late to process payment on established credit terms

Inadequate staff in credit department

Manual cash collection process

Top Reasons for Payments Delays

DID YOU KNOW?

Of credit departments do not have adequate staff to manage workload

Of time spent on gathering information and prioritizing activities for collection

Of collections budget wasted because of poor portfolio definition and segmentation

25%

40%

30%

US, Mexico & Canada Western Europe

B2B sales made on credit 52.6% 60.4%

Value of receivables past due 25.3% 28.9%

Receivables remaining past due after 90 days 5.2% 4.6%

Value of receivables lost when not paid within 90 days 51.9% 35.0%

Value of receivables written off as bad debt 3.2% 2.2%

Average DSO increased (from ~35) to 48 Days 50 Days

➢ The most common credit management techniques

used in Europe are manual assessment of the

customers’ creditworthiness and dunning letters

➢ The hardest hit by late payments from B2B customers

is the wholesale/retail/distribution sector

Infosys Solution Overview

Analyses historical payment patterns to generate insights

Predicts risk of each overdue invoice and assigns ranking based on chances of recovery.

Prioritizes invoice / customer to be followed up for pending payments to allow for faster and higher revenue assurance

Helps to identify risk and optimize collection resources and effort

Leverages custom application of Machine Learning to optimize AR management and collections process

Uses SAP ECC or S4HANA systems for source data collection

Data Flow

ECC / S4HANAData Sources

BW on HANA /

BW4HANA

Account Receivables Source Data can be taken

from ECC / S4HANA or BW / BW4HANA or any

Non-SAP or Cloud based platforms like Azure

Model is created in Azure Marketplace - Python ML

library for prediction and assignment of ranking for

each overdue invoice based on chances of recovery.

Invoice and Customer specific

features are taken as input to analyze

historical payment behavior

Visualization is done on Power BI or SAC

where prediction results and insights on

historical/current data can be analyzed

Azure SQL DB /

DWCloud Non SAP

Visualization

Data Manipulation & Preparation,

Feature Selection, Scale and Reduce

Import and Save Data in Azure

Table Storage / SQL DB

Split data into Training and

Testing Datasets

Build ML Model using Python / R

Publish Model for consumption

Azure Cloud Predictive Analytic Services | Azure Machine Learning Studio

Microsoft AZURE

Secure tunnel

Fire

wa

llD

ata C

en

terThird Party

SAP Gateway*

Cloud

connector

SAP ECC

oData

Data Lake

Prediction Data

Power BI

Ingestio

n an

d

Transfo

rmatio

n

Azure Machine Learning

UsersP

resentatio

n

Data

Azure Architecture

1. Customer Order

Solution Implementation

Predict ranking based on chances

of recovery

Data Cleaning

and Wrangling

Apply ML Algorithm

• Invoice No

• Invoice Status

• Customer

• Posting Date

• Payment Due Date

• Actual Payment Date

• Days to Pay

• Days Taken for Payment

• Payment Late By

• Overdue By

• Risk Class

• AR Amount

Invoice Factors as

Input

Predicted Ranking for collection prioritization

Invoices with Overdue Amount > $5000 are considered for input.

9

Solution Output – DashboardSolution Output – Dashboard

Business Benefits

Classification of 7000+ customers, as per Risk

based Ranking Prediction

Customer Risk Classification

Identification of 1000+ customers for negotiation of

more suitable terms for payment and delivery.

Payment TermsThis solution is able to

prioritize overdue invoices for recovery with 91% accuracy

Accuracy

With this Solution, business is able to improve revenue

collection by 30% YoY.

Revenue Assurance

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