Political Interactions on Social Media: Increasing the Divide

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Political Interactions on Social Media: Increasing the Divide Matthew Sommerfeld George Mason University Professor Mayer Fall 2014

Transcript of Political Interactions on Social Media: Increasing the Divide

                         

Political  Interactions  on  Social  Media:  Increasing  the  Divide      

Matthew  Sommerfeld  George  Mason  University  

Professor  Mayer  Fall  2014  

                                                   

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Politics  and  Social  Media  

  The  2014  election  saw  more  than  a  twofold  increase  in  the  number  of  

Americans  who  obtained  political  information  about  politics  via  social  media  than  

had  been  the  case  in  the  2010  elections,  and  over  the  past  decade  the  percentage  of  

Internet  users  who  use  social  media  has  increased  from  8%  in  2005,  to  75%  in  

2014.1  While  politicians  have  made  various  attempts  to  harness  new  technologies  

for  their  own  electoral  benefit,  researchers  have  been  examining  its  impact  on  

democratic  behavior.  Recent  scholarship,  for  instance  has  examined  social  media’s  

impact  on  voter  turnout,  political  engagement  and  mobilization  efforts,  campaign  

finance,  and  information  consumption.2  Opinions  are  mixed  as  to  the  democratic  

implications  of  social  media,  with  critics  bemoaning  the  rise  of  ‘slaktivisim’,  while  

more  optimistic  interpretations  point  to  the  ability  of  websites  like  Facebook  to  

motivate  individuals  to  get  to  the  polls  out  of  social  obligation.3  This  analysis  

contributes  to  the  evolving  scholarship  by  examining  interactions  among  individuals  

on  social  media  platforms  and  its  impact  on  the  intensification  of  partisan  loyalties.    

A  deliberative  democracy  relies  on  a  broadly  informed  public  and  a  healthy  

ecosystem  of  competing  ideas;  if  individuals  are  exposed  exclusively  to  people  or  

facts  that  reinforce  their  pre-­‐existing  beliefs,  democracy  suffers.4  However,  are  

individuals  utilizing  the  interactive  functions  of  social  media  to  engage  in  genuine,  

enlightened  debate,  or  are  they  merely  interacting  with  co-­‐partisans  in  ‘echo  

chambers’,  or  ‘trolling’  cross-­‐partisans,  thus  strengthening  their  ideological  and  

                                                                                                               1  Smith  (2014)  2  Bond,  et  al.  (2012);  Howard.  and  Hussain  (2011);  Morozov  (2009);  Gladwell  (2010)  3  See  Bond,  et  al  (2012)  4  Sunstein  (2002)  

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partisan  predispositions  in  the  process?  In  other  words,  what  exactly  is  the  impact  of  

‘liking’,  ‘commenting’,  or  ‘defriending’  on  Facebook  or  other  social  media  platforms?  

Does  it  polarize  people  to  the  point  where  it  is  difficult  for  the  ‘democratic  dream’  to  

finally  be  realized?5  With  these  questions  guiding  the  subsequent  analysis,  the  

following  hypothesis  is  put  forward:  Individuals  who  are  interactively  engaged  in  

politics  on  social  media  hold  stronger  partisan  and  ideological  attachments  than  those  

who  refrain  from  interacting  on  social  media  about  politics.    

This  analysis  demonstrates  that  one’s  level  of  interactivity  is  positively  

correlated  with  identifying  strongly  with  a  political  party  and  ideology,  while  

controlling  for  other  factors  typically  associated  with  polarization.  While  individuals  

who  are  already  sorted  may  be  more  inclined  to  interact  about  politics  on  social  

media,  it  is  the  contention  here  that  they  become  more  sorted  as  a  direct  

consequence  of  these  interactions.  The  subsequent  sections  describe  the  theoretical  

foundations  for  the  hypothesis,  outline  the  data  and  methodology  employed,  before  

finally  suggesting  future  research  endeavors  and  the  implications  for  social  media  

and  democracy.    

Polarization  and  Partisan  Sorting  

  Much  has  been  written  in  recent  decades,  in  the  mainstream  media  and  in  the  

academic  literature,  on  the  increasing  ideological  differences  between  Republicans  

and  Democrats.6  Indeed,  simply  looking  at  a  map  of  the  country  on  election  night  

reveals  an  apparent  divide  in  this  country  between  ‘red  states’  in  the  Midwest  and  

                                                                                                               5  Barber  (2004)  6  McCarty,  Poole,  and  Rosenthal  (2013);  Abramowitz  and  Saunders  (2008);  Fiorina  and  Abrams  (2008);  Silver  (2012)  

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the  South,  and  ‘blue  states’  on  each  of  the  coasts.  Likewise,  the  number  of  

battleground,  ‘purple’  states  has  significantly  diminished  since  the  1960s,  leaving  

fewer  states  in  which  presidential  candidates  direct  their  attention  during  

campaigns.7  Similarly,  fewer  congressional  districts  have  been  deemed  ‘competitive’  

in  recent  elections  when  compared  to  past  decades,  as  a  higher  proportion  of  

incumbents  currently  reside  in  ‘safe  seats’.8    

Many  have  inquires  as  to  the  media’s  role  in  contributing  to  this  partisan  and  

ideological  divide.  The  non-­‐partisan  voices  of  Walter  Cronkite  and  Tom  Brokaw  

have  given  way  to  the  likes  of  Rachel  Maddow  and  Bill  O’Reilly,  who  cater  to  their  

loyal  followers  by  demonizing  political  opponents.9  As  the  Internet,  and  particularly  

social  media,  has  become  the  primary  source  for  political  information  for  a  new  

generation  of  voters,  the  potential  for  further  polarization  becomes  a  more  probable  

reality.  The  following  provides  brief  overview  of  polarization  in  Congress  and  

partisan  sorting  within  the  mass  electorate,  followed  by  a  review  of  relevant  

findings  regarding  the  Internet  and  social  media’s  role  in  these  trends.  

  McCarty  et  al.  provide  the  most  widely  accepted  empirical  evidence  

regarding  the  increase  in  Congressional  polarization  over  the  past  40  years.10  Based  

on  their  analysis  of  roll  call  voting,  the  distance  between  the  ‘mean  scores’  of  

Republican  and  Democrats  are  reaching  levels  not  experienced  since  the  Civil  War.  

For  the  first  time  in  recent  history,  there  is  literally  zero  ideological  overlap  between  

the  most  conservative  Democrat  and  the  most  liberal  Republican  in  either  the  House  

                                                                                                               7  See  Abramowitz  and  Saunders  (2008)  8  See  Silver  (2012)  9  Sobieraj  and  Berry  (2011)  10  See  McCarty,  Poole,  and  Rosenthal,  p.  15-­‐32  (2006)  

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or  the  Senate.  Determining  the  factors  that  caused  this  trend  has  captured  the  

interest  of  various  congressional  scholars  over  the  past  few  decades,  with  theories  

ranging  from  the  crystallization  of  the  Southern  realignment,  geographical  sorting  

trends,  institutional  reforms,  and  even  the  ‘Gingrich  effect’.11  The  foregoing  

explanations  point  to  various  developments  that  have  altered  the  incentive  

structure  of  politicians  in  Washington  towards  political  homogeneity  within  their  

respective  party  caucuses,  and  away  from  moderation  and  compromise.  A  lingering,  

and  unsettled  debate  remains  as  to  whether  this  elite-­‐level  polarization  has  

percolated  down  to  the  masses.  

  The  primary  point  of  contention  regarding  the  existence  of  polarization  in  

the  electorate  comes  down  to  methodology  and  conceptualization.  At  the  center  of  

the  debate  are  Abramowitz  and  Fiorina,  the  former  contending  that  the  electorate  is  

coming  further  apart,  while  the  latter  arguing  that  rather  than  polarization,  the  

phenomenon  we  are  experiencing  can  be  better  characterized  as  ‘partisan  sorting’.12  

Fiorina  concedes  that  voters  have  become  more  ideologically  consistent  and  tend  to  

identify  more  strongly  with  a  party  than  they  had  in  the  past;  however,  he  argues  

that  the  extremity  of  their  views  is  not  necessarily  more  pronounced  than  in  past  

decades.13  Depending  on  the  issue,  Fiorina  finds,  the  electorate  has  either  shifted  to  

the  right  or  left  collectively,  but  not  necessarily  more  extreme  on  the  ends,  aside  

from  a  few  issues.  That  being  the  case,  there  is  no  need  to  sound  the  alarmist  bells  

                                                                                                               11  Polsby  (2004);  Bishop  (2009);  Theriault  and  Rohde  (2009)  12  See  Fiorina,  Abrams  and  Pope  (2008)  and  Abramowitz  and  Saunders  (2008)  for  their  responses  to  each  other.    13  See  Levendusky  (2009)  for  further  explanation  of  the  ‘partisan  sort’.    

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that  the  population  at  large  is  on  the  brink  of  tearing  each  other  apart  over  political  

differences.    

  In  any  case,  scholars  tend  to  agree  that  at  the  very  least,  a  significant  increase  

in  partisan  sorting  has  been  taking  place  in  recent  decades.14  A  2014  Pew  Report  

underscores  these  trends,  finding  that  both  Republicans  and  Democrats  become  

more  ideologically  consistent  in  the  past  20  years,  with  each  others’  perceptions  

regarding  the  other  also  growing  more  negative  in  the  process.  While  it  is  unclear  

whether  individuals  in  the  mass  public  hold  stronger  views  on  an  issue-­‐by-­‐issue  

basis  than  they  did  in  the  past,  the  evidence  is  clear  that  politics  has  become  more  

tribal  in  recent  decades.    

Explanations  for  partisan  sorting  vary  as  well.  For  instance,  McCarty  et  al.  

find  that  voters  are  more  likely  to  vote  on  economic  issues  than  they  did  in  the  past,  

a  trend  largely  attributable  to  rising  inequality  that  began  to  take  off  in  the  early  

1980s.15  Levendusky  attributes  partisan  sorting  to  elite  polarization,  with  a  causal  

process  similar  to  that  of  Katz  and  Lazrsfeld’s  influential  two-­‐step  flow  model  of  

media  effects.16  He  argues  that  polarized  elites  contribute  to  voters  becoming  more  

loyal  to  their  partisan  identification  (and  more  adversarial  to  the  opposite  side)  with  

the  language  they  use  and  the  bills  proposed  in  Congress.  Levendusky’s  causal  

process  centers  on  two  diverging  routes  that  voters  may  take  to  become  more  

sorted:  altering  their  ideology  to  conform  to  their  partisanship,  or  altering  their  

partisanship  to  match  their  ideology.    

                                                                                                               14  Pew  Research  Center  (2014)  15  See  McCarty,  Poole,  and  Rosenthall,  p.  71-­‐114  (2006)  16  See  Levendusky,  p.  12-­‐37  (2009);  Katz  and  Lazarsfeld  (2005)  

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Media’s  Role  in  Polarization  and  Partisan  Sorting  

  Scholars  have  also  examined  the  impact  that  the  media  has  on  intensifying  

the  political  views  of  the  electorate,  with  particular  attention  geared  toward  the  rise  

of  partisan  media  since  the  mid-­‐1980s.  Sobieraj  and  Berry  for  instance,  provide  a  

thorough  content  analysis,  finding  that  ‘outrage  discourse’  was  found  in  100%  of  

cable  TV  episodes,  98.8%  of  talk  radio  programs,  and  82.8%  of  blog  posts.17  On  

average,  examples  occurred  once  during  every  90  to  100  seconds  of  political  

programming  on  TV  and  even  more  often  on  radio.  These  findings  support  Prior’s  

theory  regarding  the  evolving  nature  of  media  environments  over  the  decades  and  

its  impact  on  polarization  among  individuals.18  When  individuals  merely  had  

network  news  or  radio  at  their  disposal,  their  views  were  moderated  by  the  more  

objective  reporting  disseminated  by  these  stations,  a  phenomenon  often  referred  to  

as  ‘by-­‐product’  learning.19  As  cable  news  sources  proliferated  (to  be  followed  by  

Internet  news),  only  the  genuinely  interested  (and  more  inherently  partisan)  

remained  attuned  to  politics  of  the  day,  resulting  in  increased  demand  for  more  

partisan  and  extreme  commentary  in  the  media  (those  who  were  not  genuinely  

interested  have  opted  for  entertainment  programming,  an  option  that  was  not  

available  in  the  ‘pre-­‐cable  era’).  While  the  polarizing  effect  on  the  latent  public  may  

not  be  that  pronounced,  according  to  Prior,  those  who  have  maintained  interest  in  

political  news,  despite  other  entertainment  options,  have  become  more  polarized  

over  time.  Contributing  to  the  polarizing  phenomenon,  the  consumers  of  partisan  

                                                                                                               17  See  Sobieraj  and  Berry  (2011)  18  Prior  (2007)  19  Downs,  p.  223  (1957)  

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political  news  are  also  more  likely  to  participate  in  the  selection  of  candidates  for  

office,  leaving  the  disengaged  ‘moderates’  to  choose  between  the  two  extremes.  

Prior’s  theories  provide  a  thorough  analysis  of  the  potential  for  the  mass  media  to  

polarize  the  electorate.  However,  writing  in  2007,  his  analysis  concludes  just  as  the  

use  of  social  media  networks  for  political  newsgathering  were  becoming  more  

widespread  in  the  electorate.  As  mentioned  previously,  since  2005,  the  percentage  

of  Internet  users  who  use  social  media  on  a  regular  basis  has  increased  from  8%  to  

75%.  One  would  expect  this  change  in  the  media  environment  to  have  similar  effects  

on  consumers  of  political  information,  as  did  the  proliferation  of  television  channels  

in  the  early  1980s.    

  Regardless  of  age  group,  more  people  are  gathering  political  news  and  

following  candidates  on  social  media  with  each  passing  election.  First,  do  social  

media  exacerbate  the  tendency  of  cable  news  media  towards  the  fragmentation  of  

news  audiences  and  the  ‘echo  chamber  effect?’  A  majority  of  the  initial  research  on  

Internet  newsgathering  reveals  an  affirmation  to  the  foregoing  inquiry,  with  Bennett  

and  Iyengar  finding  an  ever  increasing  fragmented  audience  for  political  news.  20  

They  find  that  in  the  ‘new  era  of  minimal  effects’,  selective  exposure  tendencies  are  

likely  to  increase,  as  the  Internet  provides  an  even  easier  means  for  political  junkies  

to  siphon  off  information  that  fails  to  conform  to  their  preconceived  biases.  

Hargittai,  et  al.,  for  instance,  find  that  political  blogs  primarily  link  to  other  blogs  of  

similar  ideological  persuasions.21  Similarly,  Baum  and  Groeling  collect  data  from  

Reuters  and  AP’s  “top  political  news”  sections  in  order  to  uncover  in  variance  in  the                                                                                                                  20  Bennett  and  Iyengar  (2011)  21  Hargittai,  Gallo,  and  Kane  (2008)  

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types  of  stories  deemed  ‘newsworthy’  by  those  more  established  news  

dissemination  institutions  and  partisan  blogs.  He  finds  greater  filtering  on  the  part  

of  the  blogs,  further  exacerbating  the  silo  effect  of  partisan  blog  reading.22  Similarly,  

Lawrence,  et  al.  examine  the  readership  of  blogs,  intuitively  finding  that  the  

consumers  of  left-­‐wing  and  right-­‐wing  blogs  are  ideologically  far  apart  from  one  

another,  while  adding  that  blog  readers  tend  to  be  more  extreme  in  their  views  than  

non-­‐blog  readers.23    

More  specifically  to  social  media,  Itai  et  al.  analyze  political  activity  on  

Twitter  during  the  weeks  preceding  the  2010  election,  finding  users’  ‘clusters’  are  

characterized  by  similar  ideological  views  and  are  linked  to  like-­‐minded  information  

sources.  Particularly  troubling  is  the  trend  on  the  part  of  younger  news  consumers  

to  gravitate  away  from  neutral  news  reporting  and  towards  more  partisan  

sources.24  They  find  that  when  individuals  do  engage  with  ideological  adversaries,  

the  ensuing  interactions  tend  not  to  involve  meaningful  dialogue.  This  last  point  is  

supported  by  the  findings  of  Conover  et  al.,  who  examine  ‘retweet’  trends  and  finds  

that  when  individuals  do  venture  out  of  their  partisan  silos,  they  do  so  to  interject  

partisan  content  into  a  thread  of  political  adversaries,  otherwise  known  as  

‘trolling’.25  Itai,  et  al.,  however,  analyze  inter-­‐partisan  dialogues  between  right  and  

left-­‐wing  bloggers,  finding  that  although  the  arguments  are  typically  shallow  (use  of  

                                                                                                               22  Baum  and  Groeling  (2008)  23  Lawrence,  Sides,  and  Farrell  (2010)  24  Itai,  McCeery,  and  Smith  (2013)  25  Conover,  Ratkiewicz,  Francisco,  Goncalves,  Flammini,  and  Menczer  (2011)  

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straw-­‐men),  the  fact  that  they  are  engaging  each  other  does  demonstrate  the  

potential  of  social  media  for  cross-­‐partisan  dialogue.26    

  Despite  the  abundance  of  scholarship  on  the  effects  of  political  news  

consumption  online,  and  particularly  via  social  media,  few  researchers  have  

attempted  to  isolate  the  impact  of  interacting  with  others  online.  A  2012  Pew  report  

finds  that  38%  of  users  are  ‘surprised’  to  discover  their  friends’  political  leanings  

online,  47%  have  ‘liked’  a  political  comment  they  agreed  with,  38%  have  

commented  positively  in  response,  while  9%  have  even  blocked,  ‘unfriended’,  or  

hidden  someone  because  they  posted  something  objectionable  about  politics.27  This  

Pew  report  underscores  various  unanswered  research  questions:  does  this  

interactivity  offered  by  social  media  simply  crystallize  the  tendencies  cable  news  and  

partisan  online  content  –  further  intensifying  partisan  loyalties?  The  scholarly  

evidence  thus  far  supports  this  notion,  and  thus  the  hypothesis  of  this  analysis,  

restated  there:  Individuals  who  are  interactively  engaged  in  politics  on  the  social  

media  hold  stronger  partisan  and  ideological  views  than  those  who  refrain  from  such  

activities.  

Data  and  Methods  

  Data  utilized  to  compile  the  variables  in  the  analysis  are  extracted  from  a  

Pew  survey  (2012)  on  social  media  habits  and  political  views  of  individuals  in  the  

electorate.28  The  survey  was  conducted  from  January  20-­‐February  19,  2012,  and  

included  2,253  adults,  with  901  cell  phone  interviews.    

                                                                                                               26  See  Hargittai,  Gallo,  and  Kane  (2008)  27  Rainie  and  Smith  (2012)  28  Rainie  and  Smith  (2012)  

  11  

In  order  to  measure  the  relationship  between  an  individual’s  partisan  and  

ideological  consistency  and  level  of  interactivity  on  social  media,  an  ordinary  least  

squares  statistical  test  is  conducted.  A  number  of  control  variables  that  have  been  

found  to  contribute  to  partisan  sorting  have  been  added  to  the  model  in  order  to  

isolate  the  effect  of  interactivity  on  the  dependent  variable,  partisan  and  ideological  

consistency.    

  Similar  to  the  strategy  employed  by  Levendusky,  Fiorina,  and  others  

attempting  to  capture  polarization  and  sorting,  the  dependent  variable  in  question,  

partisan  and  ideological  sorting,  is  measured  by  combining  two  questions:  three-­‐

category  partisan  ID  (Republican,  Democrat,  and  Independent)  and  five-­‐category  

ideology  (very  conservative,  conservative,  moderate,  liberal,  very  liberal).  This  six-­‐

category  index  was  then  collapsed  into  three  categories,  placing  the  two  extreme  

ends  (conservative  Republican  and  liberal  Democrat)  into  a  single  category,  strongly  

sorted.  Individuals  who  indicated  that  they  were  both  moderate  and  Independent  are  

labeled  not  sorted,  with  the  remaining  respondents  who  answered  with  a  

combination  of  those  answers  on  the  survey  as  moderately  sorted  (Table  1).    

 

  An  index  is  also  created  in  order  to  measure  the  primary  independent  

variable  in  the  model,  social  media  interactivity.  The  index  was  created  by  combining  

12  dichotomous  (some  recoded)  different  questions  from  the  survey  that  capture  

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the  frequently  and  the  nature  of  one’s  social  media  habits,  with  particular  attention  

to  whether  they  interact  with  others  about  politics  through  social  networking  sites  

(see  appendix  for  further  explanation  of  index  creation).  For  instance,  questions  ask  

the  importance  social  media  plays  in  discussing  politics  with  others,  how  often  they  

post  about  politics  on  social  networks,  and  whether  they  respond  when  they  

disagree  with  another’s  post  about  politics  (see  appendix  for  survey  and  further  

explanation  of  the  index).  The  index  ranges  from  0-­‐12,  with  12  being  the  most  

interactive,  and  0  the  least  interactive  (Figure  1).  

Figure  1:  Social  Media  Interactivity  

 

  Relevant  control  variables  that  have  been  found  to  be  influential  in  affecting  

individual  level  partisan  and  ideological  loyalty  have  also  been  added  to  the  model.  

Various  research  points  to  education  as  a  highly  correlative  (if  not  causal)  variable  

to  polarization.29  This  variable  is  measured  on  a  seven-­‐point  scale,  ranging  from  0  to  

1-­‐8  years,  to  graduate  or  professional  degree.  Likewise,  Baldassarri  and  Bearman’s  

                                                                                                               29  See  Abramowitz  and  Saunders  (2008)  

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findings  regarding  wealthier  individuals  demonstrate  that  income  may  correlate  

with  higher  levels  of  partisan  and  ideologically  loyalty,  particularly  to  that  of  

Republicans.30  Income  is  measured  on  a  nine-­‐point  scale,  ranging  from  less  than  

$10,000  per  year,  to  $150,000  or  more.  Similar  to  the  effects  of  education  and  

income,  various  researchers  have  found  that  partisan  attachments  tend  to  grow  

with  age,  as  voting  preferences  become  habitual  over  time.31  Thus  age  is  added  to  

the  model  to  control  for  these  effects.    

  Finally,  dummy  variables  are  included  for  both  gender  and  race.  Recent  

election  trends  reveal  that  white  males  have  been  increasingly  moving  towards  the  

Republican  Party,  with  women  and  minorities  gravitating  towards  Democrats.32  

Including  these  variables  enhances  the  model’s  ability  to  isolate  the  effect  that  

interactivity  has  on  the  strength  of  partisan  and  ideological  attachment.    

Results  

  Table  2  summarizes  the  results  of  the  OLS  regression.  The  entire  model  

predicts  more  than  16  percent  of  the  variation  (R2  =  0.162)  on  the  dependent  

variable,  partisan  and  ideological  sorting.  All  of  the  variables  are  statistically  

significant,  with  the  exception  of  income  (99%  confidence).  Interestingly,  

interactivity  is  the  second  most  explanatory  variable,  behind  education,  both  of  

which  are  statistically  significant  at  99.9%  confidence  levels.  A  ‘one-­‐point’  increase  

in  one’s  interactivity  results  in  .07  increase  in  partisan  and  ideological  strength.  In  

other  words,  as  individuals  move  from  low  levels  of  interactivity  (a  ‘2’  on  the  scale)  

                                                                                                               30  Baldassarri  and  Bearman  (2007)  31  Sunquist  (2011)  32  Rouse,  Swers,  and  Parrott  (2013)  

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to  high  levels  of  interactivity  (10),  their  corresponding  partisan  and  ideological  

strength  increases  by  more  than  half  of  a  category  (or  a  17%  increase  in  sorting).  

Likewise,  a  one-­‐category  increase  in  education  (from  high  school  to  some  college)  

increases  one’s  partisan  and  ideological  strength  by  0.146  units  on  the  index.  The  

difference  between  a  high  school  graduate  and  someone  with  an  advanced  degree  is  

almost  0.6  units  on  the  partisan  and  ideology  strength  index.    

 Polarization  =  (.07)  interactivity  +  (.146)  education  +  (.005)  age  +  (.143)  gender  +  (.216)  race  

 As  expected,  age,  gender,  and  race  all  increase  the  predictive  ability  of  the  

model,  although  the  latter  two  in  counterintuitive  directions.  Women  actually  

harbor  stronger  partisan  and  ideological  feelings  than  men,  a  surprising  result,  

given  some  of  the  results  of  other  research  mentioned  previously.33  Likewise,  non-­‐

whites  are  more  ideologically  and  partisan  sorted  than  whites,  all  else  being  equal.  

Perhaps  the  gravitation  of  women  and  minorities  toward  the  Democratic  Party  in  

                                                                                                               33  See  Rouse,  Swers,  and  Parrott  (2013)  

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recent  elections  explains  this  trend,  as  their  shift  trumps  the  effect  of  white  males  

becoming  more  conservative  and  Republican  during  that  same  duration.  Socially  

conditioned  responses  may  also  explain  why  women  and  minorities  have  an  easier  

time  self-­‐identifying  as  liberals  than  white  males  do.    

Discussion  

  Certainly  many  factors  contribute  to  the  strengthening  of  one’s  partisan  and  

ideological  identity;  the  results  here  indicate  support  for  the  hypothesis:  As  

individuals  become  more  interactive  on  social  media  about  politics,  they  grow  stronger  

ideological  and  partisan  identities.  Although  education  explains  a  higher  proportion  

of  the  variation  on  one’s  partisan  and  ideological  attachments,  social  media  

interactivity  is  more  predictive  than  other  established  variables  like  age,  gender,  

race,  and  income.  A  number  of  scholars  have  demonstrated  the  potential  polarizing  

effects  of  the  Internet,  and  particularly  social  media.  These  results  take  the  next  

theoretical  step  by  identifying  and  isolating  the  key  characteristic  of  social  media  

that  contributes  to  its  polarizing  nature.  By  interacting  online,  both  with  co-­‐

partisans  and  cross-­‐partisans,  individuals  develop  stronger  in-­‐group  loyalty  to  a  

political  party  and  ideology.  Rather  than  engage  in  thoughtful  dialogue  that  

encourages  feelings  of  empathy  and  understanding,  interacting  with  others  about  

politics  via  comment  threads  and  political  posts  seems  to  further  alienate  the  

electorate.    

Limitations  and  Future  Research  

Although  the  results  here  are  illuminating,  caution  must  be  exercised  before  

placing  undue  weight  on  the  cause  and  effect  of  the  variables  in  question.  One  may  

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make  the  case  that  individuals  who  already  hold  strong  ideological  and  partisan  

feelings  are  more  likely  to  interact  about  politics  on  social  media  networks  (i.e.  

reverse  causality).  In  other  words,  the  same  people  are  engaged  in  politics  outside  

of  the  virtual  world  are  likely  to  be  drawn  towards  the  interactive  nature  social  

media  provides.  Certainly  individuals  who  are  predisposed  to  partisan  and  

ideological  sorting  are  more  likely  to  seek  out  political  interactions  online;  however,  

the  contention  here  is  that  by  doing  so,  they  develop  even  stronger  attachments.  Put  

another  way,  it  is  highly  unlikely  that  individuals  who  have  little  interest  in  politics  

finds  themselves  engaging  in  a  back  and  forth  on  a  comment  thread  debating  

economic  policy,  thus  becoming  more  partisan  or  ideological  in  the  process.  Rather,  

someone  who  is  perhaps  a  moderate  Democrat  or  Republican  (or  liberal  or  

conservative)  may  gravitate  to  these  types  of  activities,  and  upon  interacting  with  

co-­‐partisans  (who  pile  on  the  trash  talking  about  ‘the  other  side’)  or  with  cross-­‐

partisans  (who  insult  one  another  uncivilly),  begin  to  more  positively  associate  with  

their  in-­‐group  and  more  negatively  with  the  out-­‐group.  In  that  sense,  interacting  

about  politics  on  social  media  is  a  confounding  variable,  that  when  combined  with  

other  factors  contributing  to  polarization  (education,  interest  in  politics,  etc.),  

enhances  the  strength  of  partisan  and  ideological  attachments.  More  sophisticated,  

mixed  method  approaches  are  necessary,  however,  to  uncover  the  underlying  

foundations  of  interactivity  on  the  web  and  its  impact  on  partisan  identity.      

  An  additional  limitation  with  the  analysis  is  a  methodological  one.  The  

variables  employed  to  measure  partisanship  and  ideological  strength  are  admittedly  

simplistic,  relying  entirely  on  self-­‐placement  questions.    Although  this  is  one  of  the  

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means  by  which  other  scholars  have  attempted  to  capture  this  phenomenon,  studies  

in  which  polarization  is  the  primary  dependent  variable  typically  include  attitudinal  

measures  on  particular  issues  such  as  abortion,  taxes,  healthcare,  and  race,  and  

subsequently  categorize  individuals  themselves  based  on  their  responses.34    Relying  

on  self-­‐placement  tends  to  skew  responses  to  ‘moderate’  and  ‘Independent’  because  

of  socially  conditioned  motivations  to  present  oneself  as  ‘blindly  partisan’.35  

Unfortunately,  data  limitations  constrain  the  measurement  of  the  dependent  

variable  to  the  two  self-­‐placement  variables,  as  the  polarization  question  will  have  

to  wait  for  future  research.  

Conclusion  

Despite  these  limitations,  the  findings  here  contribute  to  the  growing  field  of  

research  on  social  media  and  its  effects  on  political  discourse.  Controlling  for  other  

sources  of  partisan  and  ideological  sorting,  interacting  on  social  networks  about  

politics  increases  one’s  loyalty  to  political  and  ideological  identifications.  The  

implications  support  the  contentions  put  forward  by  Prior  and  others  regarding  the  

changing  media  environment  and  its  effect  on  political  attitudes.  As  was  the  case  

with  the  proliferation  of  both  news  and  entertainment  options  provided  by  cable  

television  (followed  by  the  Internet),  individuals  are  becoming  more  fragmented  

into  more  like-­‐minded  subgroups.  Whether  the  subgroup  represents  Ron  Paul  or  

Bernie  Sanders  supporters,  or  decorative  spoon  collecting  enthusiasts,  the  Internet  

acts  as  a  double-­‐edged  sword  that  simultaneously  brings  people  together  and  

divides  them.  Social  media  and  politics  just  happen  to  be  a  perfect  storm  of  ‘us  vs.                                                                                                                  34  See  Abramowitz  and  Sanders  (2008)  35  Robinson  and  Fleishman  1988  

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them’,  combined  with  fragmentation  and  interactivity,  thus  facilitating  partisan  and  

ideological  sorting  (and  potentially  polarization).    

What  does  this  tell  us  about  the  future  of  political  information  on  social  media  

and  the  Internet?  Following  Gutenberg’s  printing  press,  each  subsequent  

technological  advancement  has  altered  the  way  in  which  society  consumes  

information  and  interacts  with  one  another.  Unlike  the  newspapers,  the  radio,  or  

even  television,  Internet  for  the  first  time  provide  the  means  for  millions  of  

individuals  to  communicate  directly  with  one  another,  bypassing  elite  power  

structures  that  have  been  entrenched  for  centuries.  Barber  and  other  proponents  of  

the  ‘strong  democracy’  school  are  likely  optimistic  of  the  potential  the  interactivity  

that  social  media  platforms  hold.36  For  the  first  time  in  history,  anyone  can  

essentially  shout  their  opinion  from  the  rooftops,  while  simultaneously  inviting  

others  to  join  in.  If  the  elites  refuse  to  undertake  an  issue,  the  masses  can  speak  

their  mind,  forcing  policymakers  to  reconsider  their  stance,  as  was  the  case  with  

Obama  and  the  Internet  privacy  debate  over  SOPA  and  PIPA.37  Detractors,  however,  

are  quick  to  point  out  that  elite  opinion  leaders  are  likely  to  co-­‐opt  the  interactive  

capabilities  of  the  Internet  and  deploy  it  as  a  means  to  enhance  their  already  

advantageous  standing  in  society.38  After  all,  in  the  absence  of  motivation,  

established  media  figures  will  continue  to  hold  considerable  sway  in  public  

discourse,  despite  the  fact  that  the  ability  and  opportunity  for  mass-­‐level  

                                                                                                               36  See  Barber  (2004)  37  Franzen  (2012)  38  Stromer-­‐Galley  (2014)  

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involvement  has  reached  unprecedented  levels.39  This  two-­‐step  flow  model,  while  

no  longer  as  much  of  a  necessity,  does  not  appear  to  be  relinquishing  its  usefulness  

in  the  near  future.  There  is  little  doubt  that  social  media  interactivity  has  the  

potential  to  facilitate  a  positive  democratic  force  in  public  discourse,  the  question  is:  

will  society  take  advantage  and  realize  Barber’s  dream  of  a  strong,  informed  

electorate?      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                               39  Carpini  and  Keeter  (1996)  

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Appendix  

Questions  from  survey  and  recoding  details:  

Interactivity  Index:  

Q18   About  how  often  do  you  visit  social  networking  sites?  

[INTERVIEWER  NOTE:  IF  R  HAS  MORE  THAN  ONE  SNS  ACCOUNT  AND  ASKS  WHICH  ONE  TO  THINK  ABOUT,  READ:  the  social  networking  site  with  the  profile  or  account  you  use  most  often]  

1   Several  times  a  day  2   About  once  a  day  3   3  to  5  days  a  week  4   1  to  2  days  a  week  5   Every  few  weeks  (OR)  6   Less  often  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  *Recoded:  2-­‐6=1;  1=2;  name:  frequency_use  

Q20   Overall,  how  important  are  social  networking  sites  to  you  personally  when  it  comes  to...[INSERT,  RANDOMIZE]?  [READ  FOR  FIRST  ITEM,  THEN  AS  NECESSARY:  Are  they  very  important,  somewhat  important,  not  too  important  or  not  at  all  important?]  

a.   Keeping  up  with  political  news  b.   Debating  or  discussing  political  issues  with  others  c.   Finding  other  people  who  share  your  views  about  important  political  issues  d.   Recruiting  people  to  get  involved  with  political  issues  that  matter  to  you  

CATEGORIES  

1   Very  important  2   Somewhat  important  3   Not  too  important  4   Not  at  all  important  5   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  do  this/Don’t  use  SNS  to  do  this  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  *All  Recoded:  3-­‐5=1;  1-­‐2=2;  names:  a)  social_imp_pol;  b)  social_imp_debating;  c)  social_imp_shareview;  d)  social_imp_involved  

Q21   Thinking  about  everything  YOU  HAVE  POSTED  recently  on  social  networking  sites,  such  as  status  updates,  comments,  or  links  to  news  stories  —  about  how  much  of  what  you  have  posted  is  related  to  politics,  political  issues  or  the  2012  elections?  [READ  1-­‐5]  

1   All  or  almost  all  of  it  2   Most  3   Some  4   Just  a  little  (OR)  5   None  at  all  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  

*Recoded:  3-­‐5=1;  1-­‐2=2;  name:  post_political  Q22   How  about  the  people  you  are  friends  with  on  social  networking  sites?  How  much  of  what  THEY  

  24  

SHARE  AND  POST  is  related  to  politics,  political  issues  or  the  2012  elections?  [READ  1-­‐5]  

1   All  or  almost  all  of  it  2   Most  3   Some  4   Just  a  little  (OR)  5   None  at  all  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  

*Recoded:  3-­‐5=1;  1-­‐2=2;  name:  post_friends_political  Q24   When  one  of  your  friends  posts  something  about  POLITICS  on  a  social  networking  site  that  you  

DISAGREE  with,  how  do  you  USUALLY  respond?  Do  you  usually...[READ  AND  ROTATE  1-­‐2]  

1   Ignore  the  post  you  disagree  with  (OR)  2   Respond  to  it  by  posting  a  comment  or  posting  something  of  your  own  (OR)  3   (DO  NOT  READ)  It  depends  (VOL.)  4   (DO  NOT  READ)  Neither/Something  else  (VOL.)  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  

*Recoded:  1=1;  2=2;  name:  respond_disagree  Q26   When  you  yourself  have  posted  something  political  on  a  social  networking  site,  have  you  ever  

gotten  a  strong  NEGATIVE  reaction  from  a  friend  or  someone  who  follows  you  –  or  has  this  never  happened?  

1   Yes,  have  ever  gotten  a  strong  negative  reaction  2   No,  has  never  happened  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  

*Recoded:  2=1;  1=2;  name:  negative_response  IF  SNS  USER  (WEBaACT87=1  or  WEBbACT87=1,2):    Q29   Have  you  ever  done  any  of  the  following  on  a  social  networking  site?  (First/Next),  have  you  

ever...[INSERT,  RANDOMIZE],  or  have  you  not  done  this?  

a.   Friended  or  followed  someone  because  they  SHARE  YOUR  POLITICAL  VIEWS  b.   Clicked  the  “like”  button  in  response  to  POLITICAL  comments  or  material  posted  by  

someone  else  c.   Posted  a  positive  comment  in  response  to  a  POLITICAL  post  or  status  update  from  

someone  else  

CATEGORIES  

1   Yes,  have  done  this  2   No,  have  not  done  this  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  

 *All  Recoded:  2=1;  1=2;  names:  a)  friended;  b)  liked;  c)  positive_comment    

 

  25  

Polarization  Index:    ASK  ALL:  PARTY   In  politics  TODAY,  do  you  consider  yourself  a  Republican,  Democrat,  or  

independent?  

1   Republican    2   Democrat    3   Independent    4   No  preference  (VOL.)  5   Other  party  (VOL.)  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused  

 *Recoded:  1=R;  2=I;  3=D;  name:  party_3  ASK  ALL:  IDEO   In  general,  would  you  describe  your  political  views  as...  [READ  1-­‐5]  

1   Very  conservative  2   Conservative  3   Moderate  4   Liberal  (OR)  5   Very  liberal  8   (DO  NOT  READ)  Don’t  know  9   (DO  NOT  READ)  Refused    

*Recoded:    1-­‐2=1;  3=2;  4-­‐5=3;  name:  ideology3