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Transcript of Making sense of complex industries
Digitized by the Internet Archive
in 2011 with funding from
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
http://www.archive.org/details/makingsenseofcom1149mcge
FACULTY WORKINGPAPER NO. 1149
o<<&
«*P•&
Making Sense of Complex Industries
John McGeeHoward Thomas
College of Commerce and Business AdministrationBureau of Economic and Business ResearchUniversity of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
BEBRFACULTY WORKING PAPER NO. 1149
College of Commerce and Business Administration
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
May, 1985
Making Sense of Complex Industries
John McGeeLondon Business School
Howard Thomas, ProfessorDepartment of Business Administration
Paper originally presented as an invited paper at the Prince BertilSymposium on Global Strategies, held to celebrate the 75th anniversaryof the Stockholm School of Economics, in November 1984. A revisedversion is forthcoming in Strategies in Global Competition (eds. D.
Schendel, N. Hood, J. E. Vahlne) (John Wiley & Sons Ltd.).
Preliminary Draft: October 1984. Do not quote.
Address for Correspondence:
John McGeeLondon Business SchoolSussex PlaceLondon, NW1 4SAENGLANDTelephone Number: 01-262-5050
Making .Sense of Complex Industries
Abstract
Many strategic management models either ignore or severly
underestimate the complexity present in most strategic
situations. This paper identifies some of the key sources of
complexity and suggests some ways in which this complexity can be
handled. It argues for the importance of the fine-grained
historical industry study in identifying key strategic dimensions
and suggests that is should be supplemented with the more
fashionable strategic groups analysis.
Introducej on
During the last two decades, in particular, a substantialbody of literature has been developed in the fields of strategicmanagement, strategic planning,, corporate and business policy andrelated topics. This literature, which is admirably reviewed inSchendel and Hofer (1979), owes much to the prior writings ofAlfred Chandler [1962, 1977] and the decades of case writing andresearch undertaken at the Harvard Business School.
MOre recent ly strategic management has been subject toscrutiny through a wide variety of disciplinary -lenses" andmodels, including Porter's influential volume (Porter (1980)) oncompetitive strategy.
These "partial" models have been borrowed from suchdisciplines as industrial organization, organizational behavior,international business, and decision theory. However, many ofthese "partial" models either ignore or severely underestimatethe complexity present in most strategic situations.
A careful review of sources of strategic complexity (seeBower (1982), Porter (1980)) will almost always give priority tothe international context, technical change, the competitiveenvironment and government/political intersections at or near thetop of the list.
The examination of strategic complexity through manydifferent "lenses" provides strategists with a series ofopportunities with which to better understand complex strategicsituations. Yet the very diversity of these disciplinary per-spectives means that strategists have to assess the implications
of using each approach and judge between the often conflicting
conclusions offered by the set of "partial" models.
This paper argues that many constituencies try to "make
sense" of complex industry environments. These range from
industrial organization researchers (such as Porter (1980, 1982),
Caves (1980), Teece (1984), Nelson and Winter (1982), Rumelt
(1981), Williamson (1975, 1981) and Schmalensee (1982)) who
attempt to develop richer economic theory through to firm-level
strategists and governmental policy-makers (e.g. anti-trust) who
try to understand the bases for competition in particular
industry environments.
In a paper written for an anti-trust symposium Porter, (1981:
449-451) stresses the value of in-depth industry histories in
understanding industry environments and identifying firms 1
strategic interactions on a longitudinal basis. He recognizes
four main advantages: (Porter, 1981:. 450).
"First, its emphasis is longitudinal, built arounda careful re-creation of competitive moves and otherevents in the sequence in which they occurred. Second,it is broad and quite detailed in its coverage of firmbehavior and industry events rather than focusing onone or a few elements of competitive behavior such asinvestment or pricing. Third, it emphasizes theuncertainties present in predicting the future thatbear on the decisions facing firms. Fourth, it placesgreat emphasis on a full and complete description ofeach major competitor, including its full range ofactivities in all markets in which it competes, and agreat deal of emphasis on "internal" factors such asthe identity and backgrounds of management, theevolving organizational arrangements in place, etcetera.
In the same paper (1981: 474) Porter also points out that
there is an increasing incidence of industries in which strategic
interaction is global. Such global industries must also be
studied in depth since they change the rules of the competitiveenvironment (Gluck (1983)). Thus, if f irms more clearlyunderstand the nature of global competition then they should bebetter able to re-formulate their competitive strategies.
Porter's strong endorsement of the industry history approachsupports an important proposition in this paper, namely, thatfurther "rich", fine-grained (Harrigan (1983)), in-depth,industry studies should be carried out with the aim of developingricher hypotheses and theories about strategic interaction,competitive strategy and global competition. Such studies shouldattempt to make sense of the set of complex, competitive environ-ments by careful questioning of a number of issues. For example,,what analogies or experiences (Porter, 1980, Chapter 3) domanagements draw upon in addressing particular strategicproblems? Do they develop strategies from insights gainedthrough "personal" experience or from the examination ofstrategies borrowed from other firms? Alternatively, do theyidentify competitive concepts and approaches as shared byindustry members and base their strategies on competitive norms?What are the external forces such as technology which lead tochange in the bases of an industry competition? what are theappropriate units of analysis? What are the industry andenvironmental conditions which affect strategy formulation andshape the cost of changing position within an industry? Thus,with complexity better integrated into the analysis more insightcan then be gained about what constitutes a global industry andhow global strategies may be formulated.
.
The purpose of this paper is firstly to provide a review of
various definitions and important concepts (such as value-added
chains) which will be used in the paper. The authors argue thatricher industry studies need to be written and draw from theirown recent experience with major contemporary industry studies.
This includes such industries as personal computers, repro-graphics and automobiles. Generalizations and common factorsemerging from a study of the reprographics industry are thenidentified. Some implications for theory development, researchdesign, methodology and data base construction will complete thepaper.
o
o
Literature Review
Introductory
There has been much discussion in the recent literature ofindustrial organization about whether the firm or industry orsome other intra-industry group stratification (the so-calledstrategic group (Porter (1980: 129)) is the appropriate unit foranalysis. it is clear that most business firms are multi-product, sell in more than one market and have grown bydiversification. The industry as conventionally understoodproduces a range of different products all of which are not closesubstitutes, and uses a variety of technical productionprocesses. it, therefore, becomes unclear where the boundariesof the industry should be drawn. Many economists have concludedthat the concepts of market and industry should be viewed as
complementary and the emphasis employed should reflectthe problems under consideration. According to Joan Robinson
(1956):
"Questions relating to competition, monooolv andoligopoly must be considered in terms of MarketsProgresT Voc f 1f^??^"9 1
/b0r
'profits
' technicalprogress, localization and so forth have ^^ k=considered in terms of industries."
be
The newer concept of strategic groups focuses upon theimportance of intra-industry strategic groupings in understandingdifferences across firms within an industry. it fits neatlybetween the supply idea of an industry and the demand idea of amarket The defining characteristics of strategic groups arisefrom the nature of the mobility barriers (Caves and Porter(1977)) and i solating mechanisms (Rumelt, 1981) which protect thegroups. The~ three s^rTes of mobility barriers most commonlyadvanced (McGee and Thomas (1984)) are market related strategies,general supply characteristics of the industry, and theorganizational and boundary choices of the firm - each of thembeing decision variables for the firm.
Strategic groups offer an opportunity for business policyresearchers and business strategists to enrich theirunderstanding of the nature of industries and the. strategicinteractions amongst firms. m particular, the concept offers adistinctive slant on the identification of relative competitiveposition and suggests a systematic and comprehensive way ofassessing strategic capability in terms of the framework ofrelative competitive advantage.
The literature review which follows builds upon this notionof assessing f irm strategic capability by reference to theindustries and environments in which firms operate. First, theauthors review the rich tradition of research in industry-based
studies and industry histories and conclude, inter alia, that
there is a lack of established methodologies for treating
complexity. Second, key sources of industry complexity are
identified including notions of mobility barriers, value chains
and global industries. Third, research in other areas of social
science, notably organizational behavior and psychology is
briefly reviewed. This is attempted in order to provide further
insights into how strategists may reason by analogy or imitate
other firm strategies in the context of strategic decision-
making. It is possible that better industry sense-making willresult from examination of these alternative perspectives. As an
example, the discussion of alternative perspectives is focussed
around the strategic group concept, a device formulated by Porter
(1980) to make sense of competition and competitive advantage.
The findings of recent empirical grouping studies are reviewed to
determine whether they provide useful insights for firm conduct
and competitive strategic interaction in the context of complex
industries.
Industry Studies
Many different intellectual traditions are represented in
industry-level studies. These range from business history to the
domain of industrial organization economics and involve numerous
researchers and research approaches. Table I lists some of the
main features and perspectives of each approach and providesreferences to researchers whose work is most closely associated
with those perspectives.
TABLE I ABOUT HERE
The main differences in the conduct of alternative types ofindustry studies are shown in Table I. m particular, they varyin terms of the aims and purposes of each type of study and theresearch methodology used by the investigator. For example, morenarrowly defined data sets (drawn from government and industry-level sources, and more refined and sophisticated analyticalapproaches (often using econometric techniques) are used to gainanswers to specific questions concerning industry-levelprofitability, efficiency and monopoly power. This more narrowpurpose and focus has been extensively used in traditionalindustrial organization studies, some anti-trust analyses and inassessing the economic impacts of technology and research anddevelopment in different industries. More detailed, broaderpurpose studies have been developed for case study a„a teachingpurposes, and have been evident in some more recent anti-trustcases (Sullivan (1981)) and industrial policy debates (Lawrenceand oyer ,1983 ,). ?ese studies generally .^^ ^^ ^^analysis and allow the writer selectivity in the choice of datainsights and phenomena reported. An underlying aim of thesebroader studies is to reflect the contextual complexity ofindustry studies. Therefore, they report a wide range of firm-level phenomena includinq is<snec ^^ «-9 lssue s of organizational design,leadership, and strategy to achieve firm objectives. The focusof many of these studies is on the firm as the unit of analysis,and seeks to enrich understanding about the strategic interactionand rivalry between competitors and on the role of the general
TABLE I: DIFFERENT FORMS OF INDUSTRY 9TimTF«;
MAJOR INTELEECTUALTRADITION
IndustrialOrganizationEconomics
BusinessHistory
PublicPolicy
Strategy
Technology
_PURPOSE
Study of IndustryStructure,Behavior,Performance,Judgment ofCompetition,Profitability,Efficiency andMonopoly Power.
Mapping industry/business evolutionthrough time.Insight intohistoricalevolution ofbusiness organi-zations and therole of strategist/entrepreneur.
_DATA_BASE
Typically publishedgovernment orindustry sourcedata
UNIT OF.ANALYSIS
Industry Level
Monitoring ofCompetitionPolicy-Anti-Trust '
-Mergers
Development ofIndustrial PolicyOrations
Case Developmen t
-Teaching
Industry Analysis-Firm Strategies-GenericStrategies
Impacts ofTechnology onIndustry
,
Diffusion ofInnovations,Economics ofR&D, First/Second MoverAdvantages?
Mix of Sources-GovernmentStatistics
-Annual Reports-Newspapers-Biographies-Published Speeches
Mainly industry butalso business focus.
GovernmentStatistics,Industry LevelInvestigation
Focussed studiesof companies usingAnnual Reports,Speeches, etc.
Mainly industrylevel.
Mix of Sources-Statistics-Annual Reports-BusinessPeriodicals
-Company Visits
Use of Compustat,PIMS Data Base
Industry LevelData Basesof Economic,
Patent and ResearchActivityPhenomena
Usually TailorMade
Firm Level
Finn and industrylevel
Mainly industrylevel
RESEARCH.APPROACHES
Mainly statistical/econometric.
Some case studiesbut rich traditionof Europeanresearchers inindustry casestudies.
...REFERENCES
Porter (196
Scherer (19
Shepherd (1
LongitudinalAnalysis-History-Content Analysis-Analysis ofSpeeches
-Newer StatisticalAnalysis
Adams (1977Shaw andSutton ( i
Bateman (198
Chandler (19
197
Cole (1959)
Mainly statisticalanalysis.
Some richer mapping,industry historystudies involvingfirm/organizationconduct.
Case writerselectivityParticipantobservation
Rich case observa-tions with statis-tical, matrixmapping analysis.
Mainly statistical,econometric.
More process,firm-level in thediffusion ofinnovations
Porter (1981)
Salop (1981)Sullivan (198
Lawrence and
Dyer (1933)Reich (1983)
Andrews (1971
Christensen,Andrews et a.
(1980)Clueck (1980)
30,Porter (1930,
19S2)
Harrigan (1983
Freeman (1983)
Kantrow (1982)
Mansfield (196!
1977)
Schendel,Cooper (1977
i
manager as the architect of organizational direction and purpose.Clearly, these industry studies offer many different, but
not always synthesized insights into the analysis of competitive-
advantage in complex industry settings. However, some generalconclusions emerge for the conduct both of future studies and fortheory development. First, there seem to be a lack of bothestablished metholodologies, and rules of evidence, for handlingproblem complexity and reporting complex phenomena in asystematic fashion in order to allow replication by otherresearchers. Second, in the more finely defined studies there isoften a denial of complexity (and the role of other informationand evidence) in formulating particular relatively narrowhypotheses and in establishing or refuting the validity of thesehypotheses. Third, the theoretical and methodological crosscurrents from the different disciplines do not seem to beintegrated effectively and thus do not lead to richer investi-gations of complex phenomena.! As a result it appears thatcurrent industry studies of complex phenomena do not make clearcontributions to the development of theory in the specialistdisciplines and intellectual traditions. While this is „continuing difficulty in the management research field, thesearch for a useful measure of reconciliation and synthesisamongst the various forms of industry studies can have boththeoretical and practical advantages in regard to the advancementof strategic management. Perhaps themes such as policy dialogue«h»«U984>) and triangulation in research strategy to achieve
Notable exceptions are Porter (1982} * n ,q u=, •Cl \ ± y°*J and Hamgan (1983).
10
convergence of conclusions (Denzin (1978), Jick (1979) mayfacilitate the search for mechanisms to enrich the newer inter-
disciplinary theories such as Rumelt's (1981) Strategic Theory of
the Firm and Nelson and Winter's (1982) Evolutionary theory ofthe firm.
Sources £f Complexity
A number of writers, particularly Aldrich (1979), Caves andPorter (1977), Galbraith and Schendel (1982), HcGee and Thomas(1984), Porter (1980: 127-128) and Rumelt (1981) have addresseda wide range of economic, organizational and environmentalsources of complexity affecting strategic decision-making at thefirm level. Table 2 provides a listing of sources of complexitydrawn mainly from these references. For example, concepts suchas mabiliix barrie r s (Caves and Porter (1977) and iiisliULilia
mzzhznlzms. (Rumelt (1981)) together define from primarilyeconomic perspectives, key strategies available to firms, orgroups of firms within industries, and link them to unique firmadvantages and characteristics such as the possession of animportant financial resource or technological advantage. Aldrich(1979), Ackoff (1970) and others have stressed the difficultiesof organizations' adapting to their environments and matchingstrategies to changing circumstances. They argue that complexityinvolves both controllable or, at least partially controllablevariables such as marketing, financial and production decisionsand uncontrollable variables such as changes in technology andgovernmental policy. while the former endogenous variables are
11
largely controllable by management, uncontrollable (exogenous)
variables influence strategy formulation but cannot be directlyhandled. The organization's ability to handle environmentalchange is perhaps the key challenge to strategists in the 1980's.
TABLE 2 ABOUT HERE
Drucker (1980) in his book entitled ilajLiaiJia in Turbu lPnflimfiS suggests that the trend towards global competitionrepresents the most significant structural change facingbusinesses and governments today. Porter, like Drucker, makes a
distinction between international competition and globalcompetition. 'A global industry is one in which the strategicpositions of competitors in major geographic or national marketsare fundamentally affected by their overall global positions"(Porte
(
r, 1980: 275).
Globalization, therefore, can be examined as a majorenvironmental change. How should organizations confrontingglobalization seek to modify their strategic positions? Kogut(1984). and Williams (1984), amongst others, endorse the viewpointthat the concept of the "value-added- chain is a useful frameworkwith which to understand the bases of industry membership andglobal competition and thereby develop adaptive corporatestrategies. Williams (1984: 2) defines "value-added" in thefollowing terms: "Loosely put, -value-added' is defined as whatis added to the product during its production. The "value-added-influences productivity achieved by a firm and its cost structureover time. The impact of the value added is reflected incompetitive behavior, and, in turn, the formation of strategic
12
TABLE 2
KEY SOURCES OF COMPLEXITY
Endogenous Factors
Organization andManagement
Issues
Ownership Structure-Single Business v. Multi-Business
Capital Structure-Leverage, Relationship to Parent
Organization Structure-Design of Organizational Systemsand Procedures
Aims
Firm aims to develop firmembodied skills such asunique resources, reputationimage, development of patents,etc
Competitors and Markets Competitors : Number, Type,Geographic Position
Markets: Geographic Coverage ofMarkets: Global/NationalMarket SegmentationProduct-Line and MarketingMix
Firm aims to develop a senseof competition and of sourcesof competitive advantage inmarket niches.
Product Initiation andDevelopment
Value Added Chain Length
Substituation Patterns
Vertical Integration and Dependen
Horizontal Relatedness
Scale Effects
R&D Capability
Nature of Manufacturing Process
ce
Firm aims to capture rents, valueadded where appropriate
Exogenous Factors
International Trade
Technology
Government
Issues
Globalization
Competitive/Comparative Advantage
Aims
Firms aims to assess the effectson the value chain of the linkagebetween national base distinctiveskills and internationalization.
Firm aims to assess effect onvalue chain of changes intechnology. Clear effects oncompetitive advantage.
Firm aims to assess effect onvalue chain of government
m„..„ ^, intervention.Note. This Table adopted from Aldrich H97f» a «. c.
Porter (1980) "^ (197°^ **off. Calbraith and Schendel (1982), Hufsi and Thomas (1984).
Inventions, Innovation, Technological
Government as Policy Formulator,Rule Setter, Owner/Purchaser
13
groups within an industry."
TABLE 3 ABOUT HERE
In Table 3, a modified version of Williams categorization of
industries in terms of "value-added- is presented to throw lightupon the linkage between "value-added" and globalization. Kogut
(1984) provides additional important insights although definingthe value-added chain in terms of contribution to the marketvalue of the firm. He argues that a measure of economic rents is
needed which identifies excess return on investment for each linkof the value-added chain. Firm strategies in country-centeredmarkets are, typically, based on specialization in specific linksof the value-added chain. However, in global markets strategiesrest on the exploitation of economics captured along and betweenvalue-added chains - (Kogut (1984): 2). Kogut thus adds theconcept of economies of scope (Teece (1980)), the sharing ofresources to achieve synergy, to economies of scale and learningeffects in order to capture the process of exploitation ofeconomic advantage along multiple value-added chains.
It should be noted that the use of the term "value-chains-is associated with the firm's decision process in relation tobusiness-unit competition. Firms have a set of alternativ"value-chains" from which they can choose and this choice resultin different competition sets and strategic postures. The firm's
strategic aim is to match its distinctive skills (or strategiccapabilities) with one of the alternative competition setsavailable in the environment. Once this strategic choice is made
14
TABLE 3
Definition of IndustryTypes
TAXONOMY OF INDUSTRIES BY VALUE-ADDED/PROniTrTTVTTV BASE
Characteristics and Focusof Competitive Advantage Examples
i
Sensitivity toGlobalization
Class I - Value Added isConstrained From Achieve-ment of Significant Cost-Based Productivity IncreaseThrough Economies of Scaleor Learning by Doing
Fragmented IndustriesCompetition in Terms of:Geography, Reputation ofIndividuals, Regulation,Individualized Service,Creative Skills, CustomEngineering
Computer Software,Entertainment,Investment Banking,Consulting,EmbryonicTechnologies
Low
Resistant to Clobalizattbecause numerous barrierto consolidation of suppand demand
Class II - Value AddedCharacterized byModest Cost-BasedProductivity ThroughLearning by Doing andEconomies of Scale
Low Cost RivalryDifferentiated Rivalry(Premium Price)Focused Rivalry(Specialization in Small"ub-Segments)
ManufacturingAssembly BasedIndustries-Steel, Glass,Tire, Appliances,Chemicals,Automated Services
Moderately susceptibleAutos - yesSome, but not all heavymanufacturing
Class III - Value AddedWhich is Subject toExtremely Rapid Cost-BasedProductivity Gains ThroughLearning by Doing andEconomies of Scale
Rapid Technolog icalChange and InformationTransferRivalry-Product Technology-Process Technology-Commodity Technology
Serai-ConductorsFiber-OpticsConsumer ElectronicsTelecommunications
Vulnerable to
globalization-Few global or culturalbarriers
Transition - Value AddedShifting Permanentlyfrom One ProductivityBase to Another
Hybrid - Value AddedCoupled in Two or MoreProductivity Bases
Fundamental Changein Bases of CompetitionThrough Deregulation,Patents, ManufacturingInnovations, etc.
Identification ofof CompetitiveAdvantageDifficult
Retail Banking(I -> II)
Telecommunications(I -> II -» III)Biotechnology(I -> III)
CAD/ CAMRoboticsPersonal computers
Dependent onstage of transition
Not clear, situationspecific
I
15
the examination of the forces which drive the "value chain" leadsfirms towards an understanding and definition of an "industry"(whether global or country-centered) within which competitiontakes place. Close examination of the final customers for eachvalue chain leads to the definition of markets and allows morecomplex analyses of competition and market segmentation to beundertaken.
It is proposed here that the value-added chain concept is animportant means of organizing firm-level understanding of complexsituations, Table 3, using "value chain" ideas, provides a
.framework both for forming strategic groups within industrysettings and for analyzing the potential sensitivity of eachindustry setting to the threat of globalization. Table 2 showsclearly that strategy formulation can become more complex inenvironments of global competition. Factors such as theinfluence of distinctive firm skills in particular countrymarkets, and the role of government policies in setting the"rules of the game" in many countries can complicate firms-strategic choices. Governments often operate strategically ininternational trade through the formation of state-owned enter-prises as competitors (Hafsi and Thomas (1984)) and theestablishment of quota control or subsidy policies for "home-based" enterprises.
Kogut (1984: 38, 39) shows that full awareness ofinternational competition does not follow simply from anextension of the strategic analysis of competition in country-centered markets. He believPQ <-k=,4- ™~Deiieves that more research should becarried out on under stand ina srr a f „'oing strategic groups in the
16
international domain and on managing the environmental variance
of world competition. He concludes by identifying some of the
parameters which are important in making sense of globalization
and global markets:
"Global positioning consists, therefore, of threeelements. First, is the transferring of strategicassets between different markets which permit theexploitation of the economies of scale, scope, learningand real options. Second is the differentiation ofproducts to adapt to national arenas and to exploit up-stream competitive advantages. The third element isthe flexibility and bargaining strength that a multi-national network provides in managing stakeholders indiverse environments."
In summary, the argument in this section of the literaturereview promotes the importance of the "value chain" in
understanding the bases for industry competition in settingsinvolving complexity (as shown in Table 2). The majorenvironmental structural force of globalization and the resultingformation of global industries is discussed as an example ofcomplexity and the role of the value chain in aiding strategyformulation is assessed (see Table 3).
In the next section some alternative cognitive andorganizational perspectives for making sense of industrycomplexity are discussed using the strategic groups concept as an
example.
gense-Ma Kinn and gfciatfigjg r.r^r ^
The term "strategic groups" was originally coined by MichaelS. Hunt in his doctoral dissertation (1972) to contribute to hisexploration of the performance of the white goods industry in the1960's. Porter (1980: 129) provides the accepted definition of
17
a strategic group in terms of the similarity of competitivebehavior:
TABLE 4 ABOUT HERE
The main studies in the area of strategic groups aresummarized in Table 4. Most of these studies are "data-driven".That is, they identify a number of key strategic dimensions drawnfrom Porter's (1980: 127) or McGee and Thomas (1984) listing ofkey strategic variables and typically use cluster analysis withdata bases such as COMPUSTAT to form groups of firms who"cluster" together in terms of their observed strategic behavior.Yet despite ten years of research there remains confusion aboutthe concept and its linkage to the strategic management of firms.Criticisms have been voiced about whether the observed groupsmake sense to strategists or other interested parties. Littlefollow-up with industry participants has been reported except inthe case of the continuum of rich studies of the beer industrycarried out at Purdue (Batten (1974), Batten and Schendel (1977)and Hatten and Batten (1984)). We have little knowledge to tellus why some firms position their strategies close to those ofother firms. A study of strategists' beliefs and perceptionsabout competition and competitors in particular industries isclearly needed to identify the frameworks they use incompetitive positioning. This would provide an awareness of
18
TABLE 4
STRATEGIC GROiJPs=__PR£vioiJS STTOIES
Studv
Hunt (1972)
Industry
"White Goods
Basis for Strate gic££ou_pForcation
Newman (1973,1978)
Porter (1973)
34 4 digit"Producer GoodsIndustries:Chemical Pmr.c,^38 3 digit"Consumer Goods
u -, Industries
Schendel (1977)
Hatten, Schendel Brewing IndustTv""and Cooper (1978)industry
Caves and Pugel(1980)
Ryans andWittink (1982)
U »S. Manufacturing.Industry—Sample19 Consumer GoodsIndustries fromCompustatAirline Industry
Baird andSudharsan(1983)
Office Equipment/Electronic Computing
Primeaux (1983)
Howell andPrazier (1983)
TextilesPetroleumMedical Supplyand Equipment
i
- degree of productdiversification
- differences in productdifferentiation
- extent of vgrticaj IntegraHnnDecree of Vertjj^ — n
Integration
Relative Size of Firm~ Leader/Follower Classification
Manufacturing Variables~ Number, Age, Capital Intensic
of Plants.Marketing VariahTpg" Number of brands, price, and
receivables/salesItruc tural Variablpg
8-firB concentration ratio.." firm sizp.Manufacturing, Marketing ,nH "
Financial V_ariables. (Leverage,Merger/Acquisition BghavtorRelative Size of Firm
Product Strategy- Advertising/Sales Ratio
Financial StratPtnrClustering of Residuals fromCapital Asset Pricing Model.(Security Returns)Financial S trategy V^TTm- Leverage, Current Ratio,
Return on Assets, DividendPayment Ratio, Times Interest
. Earned, SizeSizi
.Investmen t BehaviorCustomer Groups ServedCustomer Needs Served-(due to Abell (1980))
I
19
those key controllable strategic dimensions which strategists-
perceive to be important in formulating competitive strategy in
the industry. Thus, adding the perceptual data drawn fromindividual decision-makers to the economic models of competitionprovided by industrial organization economics perspectives shouldenable a more general framework for identifying importantstrategic variables to be developed. •
Although Porter (1980: 127/8) lists thirteen variables assources of strategic differences and variability, he suggeststhat maybe two to four strategic dimensions should be selectedfor close attention and that group maps or graphs involving twovariables at a time should be drawn to make sense of theparticular strategic dimensions at hand. Such mapping processesare a means of getting the strategists to "frame" the problemcorrectly (McCaskey (1982)), to sense the existence of strategicgroupings and to simplify the problem around a number of keystrategic dimensions. According to Spender (1981) and Huff(1982), strategists may also borrow "recipes" for strategies fromother firms in the industry, particularly strategic groups, andalso from a wider set of firms. Through examining these recipesand reasoning by analogy to other sets of experience, strategistsmay develop other bases for grouping firm behavior.
The search for taxonomies of strategy 2(Hambrick (1984))
also suggests that strategists need such models of competitivebehaviorjo provide benchmarks for strategy positioning. Hervis
2 Examples of such taxonomies are Miles and q„ ftu t e M(nD ,
^^modei oTg^ ^.SSffi" "W^i^Z^l20
and Rosen (1981) and other researchers in experimental psychology
express this need as the search for protypical and stereotypical
behavior. The firm closest to the prototype or stereotype then
becomes the focal member of the perceived strategic group and
provides the "benchmark" for identifying and evaluating key
strategic dimensions.
It should be noted that the concepts of mapping, of
taxonomies and of industry recipes together with economic theory
should lead to the better, and more "grounded" identification of
the key strategic dimensions (and sources of dissimilarity
between firms) for strategic group formation. Yet even if this
objective were to, be fully achieved, many problems would still
remain in linking the strategic groups concept to firm conduct
and the evolution of complex industry settings. In particular,
each of the following issues raises questions about the role of
strategic groups in analyzing competitive advantage. First,
which concept of strategy operat ional i zes the concept of
strategic groups? Is it strategy as intentions or strategy as
realizations? In other words we need to question whether many of
the factors which identify groups are in fact purposivelymanipulated by the organization. Borrowing from a biologicalperspective and an adaptive strategy viewpoint (Boudling (1956),
Pondy and Mitroff (1979) and Chaffee (1983)) it can be arguedthat group membership is merely an observable manifestation of
viable niches in the environment and the organization's abilityto adapt to them. Organizations which exhibit certain survivaltraits which cannot be known completely in advance remain.
Second, do significant performance differences exist between
21
strategic groups? Third, do stable strategic groups exist or do
their characteristics change over time? What are the
determinants of change in the membership of strategic groups?
Fourth, which external environmental forces "trigger" changes in
the character of strategic groups and their membership?
While each of these issues is an area of future research, it
is argued in this section that the strategic group concept is an
important device for making sense of competition and competitive
advantage. While there is much conceptual and practical
ambiguity surrounding the strategic groups notion, it does add
usefully to the vocabulary of competitive strategy. Indeed,
examining notions of strategic groups and patterns of competitive
behavior from the widest possible set of viewpoints is clearly
valuable.
Overall, the importance of using multiple frameworks is
stressed through the general, literature review. It is concluded
that by using better frameworks for identifying complexity, we
should be better able to synthesize and make sense of complex
industry settings particularly those global industries reviewed
in Table 3.
In the next section we use the concepts developed through
the literature review to argue for many "richer" industry-level
studies. Indeed, as an example, we present some insights from a
recent study carried out with a co-researcher at London Business
School, namely Agha Ghazanfar.
22
The. Notion q£ a. "Rich" Industry Study:The. Example Ql Office Reorographi r.^
It has been argued during this paper that the discipline of
strategic management offers a number of partial models and
insights for formulating firm-level strategies in complex
industries. Since the entire complexity of the industry is
important, we have proposed that rich industry studies should be
carried out both for theory development and for identifying key
strategic dimensions and bases for competition within industries.
Our proposition is consistent with Porter's (1981) plea for
industry Case- histories and Porter's (1982) thorough and .rich set
of causes on competitive strategy.
In studying the office reprographics industry a number of
different research lenses were used. For example, the history of
the industry in the U.K. was reviewed for the last one hundredyears to show how the industry has undergone a series of changes
as a result mainly of the influence of technological innovation.
Also, the strategic positions of firms were assessed in terms of
strategic behaviors along key dimensions. Simple strategic maps
were also used to assess methods for analyzing competitiveadvantage and for forming strategic groups.
The aim of this study was to examine an industrycharacterized by technological change in which it would be
possible to examine relationships between:
(i) technological change and "industry" and "market"boundaries
(ii) technological change and the strategic response offirms
ThankQfllV\
e£??
t0 ^ha Ghazanfar from whose thesis (GhazanfarU984)) this section derives its empirical strength.
23
The first stage of the study, using methodologies common inthe fields of business and economic history, concentrated uponthe growth of firms and industries. m particular it examinedthe strategies of firms relative to industry development anddeveloped a typology of firms to categorize the differentstrategic positions taken by industy participants.
TABLE 5 ABOUT HERE
For example, Table 5 shows the movement of the eight firmswho entered the reprographics industry as single-technologyfirms, or created a new industry, at different periods of timeover the 1880-1980 period. Some of these firms, - Xerox,Letraset, Ofrex and Ricoh, - started diversifying out of theirbasic business whilst it was still g C ow j l t1 g and became "relatedproduct diversifiers" in terms of Rumelt's (1974) taxonomy ofdiversification strategies. others such as Gestetner and Ozaliddiversified in a small way out of reprographics but remained"dominant product" firms.
The companies shown in Table 5 all started out as single-technology firms within the office reprographics industry. Thiswas not the case with the next set of firms which diversifiedinto the reprographics market from adjacent industries. Therewere four "Dominant-Product " firms . IBM# 011yattlf A^ Mck ^A.M. - that entered the reprographics market at different stages.The most important of these was IBM entering in the early 1970'swhen the plain-paper copying business was growing very rapidly.
The third set of firms who entered the industry was the
24
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^lated-Prodnrf Diversifies. Their diversification was relatedto their photo-chemical technology and the exploitation ofsynergistic links between the manufacture of optical equipment(cameras), photographic film or paper and'such supplies. Threeof these firms were American-based multi-national operations(Eastman Kodak, 3M and Nashua), one was European (Agfa-Gevaert)and three were Japanese (Canon, Minolta and Konishiroku).
The reprographics industry can be seen, thus, to havecomprised different kinds of firms. These are classified inTable 6. This classification suggests the following typology offirms:
(i) SINGLE TECHNOLOGY PIONEERS/INNOVATORS
(ii) SPECIALIZED SINGLE TECHNOLOGY FIRMS ENTERING LATEUii) DOMINANT-PRODUCT FIRMS ENTERING DURING GROWTH PERIODAND REMAINING DOMINANT-PRODUCT FIRMS °
WTH PERI0D
(IV) DOMINANT-PRODUCT FIRMS DIVERSIFYING FURTHER(V) RELATED PRODUCT FIRMS DIVERSIFYING ONLY RPfAncp nP
MARKET/TECHNOLOGY RELATEDNESSBECAUSE OF
(VI) UNRELATED PRODUCT FIRMS
TABLE 6 ABOUT HERE
in summary, it should be noted that there were three kindsof single technology firms: firstly, those which entered asPioneers and stuck to their technology. fiddly, those whoentered as pioneers but made strategic changes, and iMxdly thosethat tried to cater to a world market as specialized, low-costmanufacturers. The dominant category included a stable business(IBM) that had reached a settled position and those that were inthe process of diversifying further and were still groping for a
26
final shape to their portfolio. Related Product Firms did notdiversify further, suggesting a settled strategy based ontechnology and market relatedness. These characteristics areshown in Table 7.
TABLE 7 ABOUT HERE
The next stage of the study involved an analysis of thecontent of strategy at different levels within firms. Inparticular, it examined whether there is any association betweenthis classification of strategic posture at the corporate leveland the operational strategies of firms.
TABLE 8 ABOUT HERE
Table 8 gives a preliminary classification of the types ofstrategies observed at the corporate level. The businessstrategies of these firms will now be discussed briefly. Inparticular, there will be a focus upon whether the study showsany symmetry or linkage between:
(i) the SCOPE of activities of firms and
(ii) the FUNCTIONAL strategies of firms.
TABLE 9 ABOUT HERE
Table 9 lists some of the strategic elements of firms thatstarted off as single technology f irms . It can be seen that ofthe firms that started as single-technology companies, there werethree types of business strategies found in the 1970 's.
(i) The hardwareStrate
cdware manufacturers who pursued a Monopolisinggy using four entry barriers based upon thei r
28
TABLE 7
SINGLE-TECHNOLOGYFIRMS
CHARACTERISTICS OF ENTRANT. TVTn ... „,.gm gJ
Timing of Entry Nature of Entry Strategic change Vertica._ „_ Intenrati'
(i) First-in :
Pioneers
(ii) First-in :
Pioneers
(iii) During
Innovation' Remain the same V.I.
1
Innovation Become Related- V.I.Product
growthBf ed
°n C ° St " Remai* th * sames °^ cn advantage Notnecessary
DOMINANT-PRODUCTFIRMS
(iv) Early-secondDuringgrowth
(v) Late entrant:Duringgrowth
Appeal of brand Remain the same V.I.name
Marketing network Diversify further Not fu 11
RELATED-PRODUCTFIRMS
(vi) Early-second:Duringgrowth
rTechnology ormarketrelatedness
Remain the same Notnecessary
29
TABLE 8
TYPES OF STRATEGIES OBSERVED AT THE CORPORA LEVE L
TYPE OF FIRM
1. Pioneer of thepast.
2. DynamicInnovators
SpecialisedLow-costproducers
Powerfulbrand-nameentrant
Other entrantsattempting to.exploitbrand names
Entrantsexploiting•synergy
CORPORATE STANCE (STRATEGY)Description
Single-Technology firms thatpioneered new products andremained single-technologyfirms or became Dominant-Product
Single-Technology pioneersthat attempted to becomeRelated Product firms sometime after their innovationsSpecialised Single-Technologyfirms entering the industryduring growth period
Dominant-Product firms enter-ing industry during growthperiod and remainingDominant -Product
Dominant-Product firms"
entering industry duringgrowth period and qoing infor further diversification
Related-Product firmsdiversifying into industrybecause of market/technologyrelatedness, and notdiversifying further.
FIRMS IN CATEGC
GestetnerOzalidRotaprintColumbia
XeroxLetrasetOfrexRicoh
Mita KogyoCopyer
IBM
AM.
A.B.DickOlivetti
Agfa GevaertCanonMinoltaKonishiroku3MNashua
30
functional strategies (patents, marketing network,brand name, integration). This strategy was based onproduct differentiation. Those who had innovated newproducts were prone to following this strategy.
(ii) The low-cost manufacturers of hardware. This was astrategy of hardware. This was a strategy ofs^£cia_li2Linct in production and was not one ofdifferentiated marketing.
(iii) The suppliers of low-cost consumable products. Thiswas the siL2p_lle_s strategy in the pursuit of whichproduct differentiation could be important butmonopolizing posture was not adopted.
The next category of firms was that of the related productdiversifiers. These Related Product Firms diversified .into the
reprographics market because of marked and technology-relatedness. What distinguished them from the previous sets offirms was
££££&'. "" theY Were 2lready "lated-product(i)
(U).c^Slef "" "^ remained related product
(iii)
rtMbS'.that they did not follow the mon°P01 "i«g
The strategy of these firms was based on productdifferentiation, .and some of them (Canon, Minoita, Konishiroku)were also low-cost manufacturers. However, what distinguishedthem from the "monopolisers" was their policy towards
(i) patents
(ii) direct-selling networks
(iii) use of own-labels
(iv) vertical integration
(v) reliance on a single technology.
Along each of these strategic dimensions their policy wasdifferent from that of the single-technology firms discussed
32
earlier. This is shown in Table 10.
TABLE 10 ABOUT HERE
The discussion of content of strategy in the second stage of
the study can now be integrated to provide descriptors of firms:
a taxonomy of strategies. The taxonomy of firms (similar to
Vesper (1979)), and based mainly on supply-side characteristics);
that emerges from this industry is thus of:
(i) MONOPOLIZING - Eliminate competition, establishbarriers to entry, and controlresources.
(ii) COOPERATION - Join forces with competitor toensure survival and continuedeconomic performance.
(iii) SPECIALIZATION - Specialize in products and/orproduction process
(iv) SUPPLIES - supplier of low-cost consumableproducts
The taxonomy, which should help in identifying sensiblebases for strategic group formation is shown in Table 11.
TABLE 11 ABOUT HERE
The third stage of the study used both the historical
analysis and the strategy taxonomy to develop strategic maps, and
hence strategic groups of firms in the industry along important
strategic dimensions. Some of these maps are shown in Tables 12-
16.
TABLES 12 THROUGH 16 ABOUT HERE
In these strategic groups maps we have focussed upon
33
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34
TABLE 11
A TAXONOMY OF FIRMS ACCORDING TO THEIR SCOPE OFACTIVATES AND PURSUIT OF BUSINESS STRATEGIES
STRATEGY CLASSIFTCATTnxr
LEVEL OF ANALYSIS
SCOPE SINGLE & DOMINANT PRODUCT RELATED PRODUCT
D £GENERIC^ DIFFERENTIATION DIFFERENTIATION
TYPE
LOW COST
Z_\A
1DIFFERENTIATION
MONOPOLISING SPECIALISATION SUPPLIES^ ±.
CO-OPERATION
FIRMS IBM GestetnerXerox Ozalid
Rotaprint
MitaCopyer
3MAgfaLetrasetOfrexColumbia
AgfaNashuaRicohKonishirokuMinolta
35
TABLE 12
COMMITMENTTO
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.Sales
copy****,
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OFVERTICALINTcG^^tioN
36
TABLE 13
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'Xerox1975
Focu 5 StR3D
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R4D
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37
strategic dimensions and competitive barriers that seem to
reflect the characteristics of the main types of strategies
identified in Tables 8 through 11.
For example, Table 12 shows the firms mapped in relation to
the extent of vertical integration (the length of the value-added
chain) and the degree of committment of the firm to office
reprographics (a variable which differentiates between single
product and related product firms). We have characterized the
positioning of firms in the mapping space in terms of opportunism
versus risk. It is apparent that some of the single-technologye
firms, - Xerox, Rotaprint, Ozalid and Gestetner - are adopting
risky strategies relative to the more opportunistic risk-balanced«
strategy of Canon.
Table 13, which maps the firm's specialization ratio against
its R&D capability shows the very traditional, single-technology
firms, e.g. Gestetner as being vulnerable to product life cycle
decline relative to the focussed R&D strategies adopted by Canon,
IBM and latterly Xerox.
Table 14 and" 15 together link the value-added dimensions to
the scope of product line and R&D capability. Indeed, Table 15
categorizes the groups according to the nature of technology (old
versus new e.g. Gestetner v. Xerox), marketing companies (e.g.
Nashua and Savin) and manufacturing oriented, process innovation
types of companies (e.g. Canon, Ricoh). The arrows on Table 15
show the problems faced by the old technology companies in
determining which strategic moves they should follow. Should
they target movement to a manufacturing grouping, a technology
grouping or define a new grouping based on cooperation and
41
focussedness of skills?
Table 16 is a more speculative mapping in that it seeks tocapture the potential behavior of new entrants and competitors(i.e., competition acx^ as well as H Jth in industries) from awider -industry" setting-information technology. An entry pathfor Kodak is drawn in order to show a direction of entry. WhatBurroughs or NCR might do, or the positioning of Sharp on thisspace, provides creative, insightful questions for the strategistin developing strategic posture.
These strategic group maps, therefore, provide usefulcognitive frames for making sense of the sets of current andfuture strategic positions which are possible as thereprographics industry evolves.
in summary, it is clear that this type of "rich" industrystudy, although limited mainly to Britain, provides a valuablelongitudinal analysis rather than a cross-sectional snapshot ofcorporate strategies. This allows strategic patterns to beidentified (see Table 5) and- throws light upon the strategiccharacteristics of first-movers in technology i„ comparison tolater, perhaps more product-diversified entrants. r„ addition,types of strategies and kev strata,,*,, a*Y snra tegic dimensions can beidentified which, in turn, means i-h^
'means that m°re relevant strategic
groupings can be formed.
This studv also l ph 4-^ *.w~ ^y *±so led to the formulation of conclusionsregarding the behavior of firms in rj^i^jnrms in declining businesses, the formof new entry competition and the* r»™^or, c • -,ana tne process of industry evaluation.These are summarized as follows:
42
(i) Behavior of Firms in Declining Industries
When the threat of technology change is perceived, thefirst response of firms is to improve their old products.As a result the old technology reaches its peak after theadvent of the new technology. The need, however, is forsuch firms to re-define their business. It emerges that thesingle-technology reprographics firms of half a century agowhich failed to do so found themselves relegated to aninsignificant position, while the successful firms are thosethat continually re-defined their concept of their businessacross industries.
(ii) The Forms of New Entry
The process of new entry in this study was analyzedwithin the framework of the firm's strategic decisions andthe strategic groupings within and across industries. It isfound that firms may enter one or more market segments andfirms operating in one segment may move to another.Movement in or out of segments may be determined not so muchby the - industry-wide barriers'as* by mobility barrierssurrounding particular segments. This also provides theopportunity for firms to make a gradual entry into anindustry, treating each investment stage as an incrementaldecision.
(iii) The Process q£ Industry Evolution
Step-changes in technology lead to changes in marketstructure and competitive conditions and to the formation ofnew sets of competitors. The entry strategy chosen by thesecompetitors is also important in determining the change inmarket structure. The height of entry barriers changes,cost conditions change and new ways of segmentation becomeavailable to suppliers as the extent and nature of productdifferentiation changes.
Although market structure does influence the conduct offirms, this structure is itself, to a great extent, theoutcome of the strategic decisions of firms. It is thesestrategic moves, together with the technological changescausing disturbances in market structure, that lead to theformation and re-formation of "strategic groups".
Conclusion ?
The concept of research based upon "rich" industry histories
has been explored in this paper. The premise is that insights
about strategic interaction and the formulation of competitive
43
strategy within industries should be based upon examination not
only of current strategic conduct but also of the evolution ofindustry structure. The reprographics study suggests that thestudy of sources of complexity within industries, of the processof industry evolution, of the emergence of new strategies andcompetitors and of strategic groupings illuminates our ability tomake sense of competitive strategy. y e t no study can be "rich-enough or exhaustive enough in scope (whether geographical oranalytical) to address all problems. But it can highlight thedynamic nature of industry evolution, the range of strategies «dpositions occupied by firms over time and the sometimes temporarynature of market leadership by -f irst-movers^ or pioneers inmarkets.
What is needed now is a consolidation of research themes andthe development of richer theory at the firm level. Singleindustry studies focussed on competitive strategy must requirethe use of existing economic .theory as a benchmark model and alsoengineer the incorporation of the richness of firm-level behaviorinto the newer "strategic theories of the firm". Porter (1980and 1982), Porter and Spence (1982), Caves (1980), Teece (1980)and Rumelt (1981) are "first-movers" in this endeavor. They willclearly be further aided by additional industry studiesincorporating the strengths of the industry history approach.
44
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75E:'
MiU*^ «* ^^Mes, New York, NY: Free
^^^u^'j^^a^S^^r' °riginS' solution,
et seq.jQMrnaI ** ^cojiomis Literature 19, 1981, pp. 4
49