In search of the lost model
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Transcript of In search of the lost model
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IN SEARCH OF THE LOST MODEL Dr. Alfrdo L. Spilzinger (PhD) It all started a few years ago while I was sharing a “pastis” with my wife in Café de Flore , at number 172 Boulevard Sant Germain in Paris. I was sitting at the same table for years Jean Paul Sartre had gathered, back in the 30s of last century his intellectual friends to discuss about the man, his reality and despair. Having gone through college paths of various countries on accounting matters, economics , finance , sociology, epistemology and quantum dynamics the discovery of complex science had brought light to my intellectual life. I have understood what I was looking for. That was to understand man in his permanent mutation and being an instrument of change that would allow survive him in a highly competitive world. And understand that on that same table used by Sartre I could share some discussions with people that left to humankind a very special mark. And just as in that labyrinth of speaches of famous people I started to be a spectator and transcriber of discussions between those minds that has brightened us in recent centuries. Those discussions were trying to undress the man living in his actively solitude and fighting for his survival in an organization that we came to call democracy, an imperfect system that until now could not be replaced by anything better. Democracy that gave birth to capitalism as a beloved son to manage the resources of mother earth and distribute them, not equally, between the nearly 7 billion people that now populate this strange satellite spinning wildly around the sun. I did not look for complexity. On the contrary complex science met me in Santa Fe Associates, where I could interact with very special people who were working in that matter since 1940. And finally I could learn that every complex matter must be analyzed in four essential stages of implementation.
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To understand a complex system of any organization requires originally to establish the theory or philosophy of it ( be it a country or a simple home). A philosophy summarizing why we were interacting and what we want to achieve with that organization, setting values and objectives. That is defining its culture. Usually almost unchanged in the long term . From that defining step , the following must address to design the model. An array of actions and objectives that must be implemented to meet the defined culture. A model that while it may be amended, usually mutates following the beat and rhythm of life on earth. Upon this model we can after write the rules that will be the dimensions within which we will move to implement this model that could be changing as the need arises . And finally the behavior of their agents will give us feedback or options to modify the model or rules to allow those actors to live comfortably within the model. But what definitively we can not do is to write rules direclty form the philosophy without going through the model Until then everything seemed perfect. But when we spotted what happens in this XXI century complex world, we note that in every day life, we are suffering a reality that is not consistent with those principles. Because modern man was born, some 150,000 years ago when he started to walk out from the Boblos caverns in Africa to begin a journey towards Europe bordering the Mediterranean at a rate of one kilometer per year and fighting for his life. First he fought against animals, just for defense purposes and for food and shelter place . Then he had to fight against their own fellows to prevent from being deprived of what he had gotten. Threfore fight was his measure of life . He was born and developed himself in a forest that as Maturana says is autopoietic. Is self organized and self reproduced where no general manager exists and neither human resources director or finance manager. Large trees share the land with fungi, with roses and with shrubbery. Elephants, tigers
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and birds share the air with butterflies and insects. And everything seems to continue living without special rules just taking care to prevent oneself to be food for others. And so was the man’ s life since the antiquity to finally reach to the longed “demos – kratos”. That is the original Greek definition for democracy, the government for “the many”, for the benefit of “the many” and to make life easier. Democracy started in rhe XVIII century to bring peace to the permanent fight of the people. And that “demos kratos” once installed have created a special “oikos – nomos” . (the grieek wording for the organization of the house) . Democrcy was intended to be the best government creative organization that implemented an economic system that at its time led to his beloved son : capitalism. The system appeared to be very clear. But it was necessary to build up teams of leaders (“the few”) to manage and organize cities, countries and regions as to fulfill the mandate of their constituents , "the many" . But there was a different reality undressed . It was necessary to define how to choose “the few” that should govern “the many”. And there the Greek polis was enthroned in the system as an applicative form of politics. The organization of the city (polis ) the nation or the region demanded a team of “few” to receive mandate fm “the many” to govern. The group of few , understood that they could condcut “the many” just requiring in fact an exchange of powers. That exchange consisted in promissing “the many” not to continue fighting to assure their safety from the otherness and from the risks of nature since it would be their role in democracy. In change “the few” asked “the many” to give them their votes. Then they should not fight anymore. At the end, it was just a problem of set economies and was necessary to evaluate this process under the set theory. But “the many” were born and evolved based on their epigenetic principles tocontinue fighting . And they could not be defeated defending something. So in this interchange of powers “the few” agreed to leave to“the many” a stage in which they could continue fighting: the market. They would have said : Fight for survival in that space and download in that scenario all your existential adrenaline.
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And thus was adjusted to the existing reality. “The few” began to rule “the many” and the latter start to fight in the economic field. But those “few” also needed additional resources to continue governing and also survive . They needed financial resources that structured at the beggining in the form of taxes but needing more support “few sets” agreed alliances with power sets of the many with whom also interchange power for money . Thus coalitions were formed among “the few” and selected sets of “the many” to conduct the whole structure while in the meantime the many struggle to survive. The detailed terms of association between “the few” and associated sets is in the most remote corner of the lost secrets . And some of “the many” they could survive. Others did not. But for “the few” and their new associates that does not matter . They survive permanently transmitting power among them. That power is what the few had to dirct their interaction to the set of “the many” with specific direction.
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And this system is not working . Nowhere in the world. In the early twentieth century some intellectual movement tried to implement a new direction on this kind of government. Theories of Karl Marx gained some support in countries and they could apply a different model. Comunism. The aim was to subsititute individual decisions taken by “the many” for centralized decisions taken by the government, “the few”. To convince the people that state capitalism was more ethical than capitalism in the hands of “the few” and their associated sets . But that experiment ended in a resounding failure. As strong as the noise that produced the demolition of the Berlin Wall in 1989. No capitalism so conceived can succeed either in private hands or in the state ones. In all cases, “the many” remain outsider in every distribution of income. And even worst with less level of freedom. If one day a plane crashed against the Himalaya with 500 passengers on board, certainly the security forces would alert the world . If instead of one plane were 10 aircrafts in a same day, which would mean 5000 people dead, the alarm would be even more desperate. And if that tragic fact should occur every day during a month the United Nations, NATO and the world would put its security forces at disposal to find a solution. However in Africa 5000 children per day (approximately one every 17 seconds ) die
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from diseases like malaria and nobody has heard that one be carefully mobilized for that reason. Because the few have other reasons to be concerned of. The problem lies in defining how reelection could be produced at the end of their mandates and how they will transmit thier power to partners or in some cases to apparent enemies . Among “the few”, enemies is just a political word without a precise sense, becuase at the end they need each other. The abscence of complex thinking have reduced communities to deterministic and mechanicistic procedures. We push a button on this side and a product will automatically will be produced at the ther end. Inother words, you give me votes and I will pay you with services to protect yur life. Meanwhile, economists in the world have tried to make us understand through some complicated equations, which are or will be the reactions of “the many” on a special place they name “the market”. They believe their speculations could help “ the many “ to act in their dialy fight. Their way of thinking was : the market already exist so start fighting accoridngly with our assumptions on marginal propension, to demand and suply curves declination, or to statistics on what happened in the short past. Big mistake In first place, the market do not pre exist as an independent entity. It is just a space in which trnansactions take place one by one. The market is a way to transliterate transaction. It start to appear and to be active with each transaction and disappear at the end of each trasaction. It is not plane space but a curve one like the einstenian cosmological space and therefore suffer from the attraction forces of strange attractors that move each transaction in certain orentation, different from that of any other transaction. When some one say that works on the financial market, he is tremendously confussed. There is no such market. There exist some operations and interactions, one by one, that creates each time a market. Once a deal si closed, the market dissapear. The second issue is that persons are living , original , unique and unrepeatable entities and cannot be considered as variables of equations. Those experts did not considering that people are complex entities whose reaction does not fit into an equation at the style used by Ludwig Boltzmann for example. Since the beggining of the XX century, when Boltzmann wrote on his discoveries in the physical area he explained every event ithin the physical mechanic area through mathematical equations. And he wrote centuries of those equations. Therefore ot start an example of what scientists must do.
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The intellectuals community in different specialties entered into a vortex that we call bolzmannmania . No thesis or conclusions could be effective in the field of sciences and mostly in economics , if they dont had an equation to support them . People became for them fixed number of integrals and derivatives that would mark theeconomic sense of any interaction with the rest of “the many” and in some cases with “the few” Beyond those equations 5000 children continue dying every day in Africa , and thousands of Latin American and Southeast Asian people remain in poverty under the survival line. Was not taken into account by rhose equations the effect of fuzzy logic , that does not allow us to define precisely what does mean some assertions : many, few, rare or infinite as examples. They could not precise measures to cease with poverty of “the many” for instance. How many is many ? Because if there is a 23% of Bolivia 's population living with less than $ 2 daily income IMF says that survive under the poverty line . And it may seem like a big percentage. But in Mexico that figure is of 10.3 % of the population. It's little? Because in Tanzania is 89.9 % of the population and in Italy 8.7 % of its population. The overall average of 2,7 billion people worldwide who survive under the poverty line represents a 38.6 % of the world population living on less than $ 2 a day , while more than 850,000 people (1.25 % of the Earth's population) cannot be fed. Each year more people are dying due to hunger than those caused by malaria, tuberculosis and HIV together. For analysts, it is just some percentage of the totalpopulation, another figure, but for that eho dies the ratio is 100%. We are obviously speaking of fuzzy boundaries. Again beacuse human beings are not a number but a living entity complex, original, unique and unrepetable Meanwhile , who analyzes these figures and prescribes austerity measures, like the General Manager of the IMF earns an annual income of $ 565,000 per year ( plus other side benefits like air fares, cars, drivers, secretaries and the like) free of any tax. This is something like $ 2150 per working day. Meanwhile , “ the many” are exposed to the solitude of his daily struggle. Just because countries have not designed an economic policy that should define the model to allow these inequalities cease to exist. It has been a model at some point? The philosophy of democratic countries has been clear, but the model to define their application does not exist , at least for the consequences that we warn
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Instead of that rules were written, but without a supporting model behind them “The few” has perhaps decided the worst option , that is writing rules generated directly from philosophy, but without a model that could be generally agreed with the many. It's time that “the many” must defend its existence. Because quoting Grossberg, we might ask ourselves what if we dared to play as God ? I have been discussing with sicentist Eshel Ben Jacob an influential figure in establishing the now rapidly evolving Physics of Living Systems (Biological Physics and Physical Biology) disciplines, on how bacteria are evolving in such a way that they can transmit among them when danger is approaching
So in summary, if those bacteria as ben Jacb assures Bacteria can self-‐organize into hierarchically structured colonies of 109 to 1012 bacteria, each utilizing a great variety of biochemical communication agents, such as simple molecules, polymers, peptides, complex proteins, genetic material and also “cassettes of genetic information” such as plasmids and viruses, wht are we prevented to do the same?
Inside our organism, 100 billion of bacteria are currently living. It is a number several times bigger than the number of cells in our body. So if we dont want or we are not allowed to behave like a procariot is because we are not duly prepared to wint the life battle.
Great silence of disrespect, but need to understand that this symphony that we run together is unfinished. There is an absent model , like Schubert Symphony lacks of a final movement. The sets of living beings must necessarily understand that they operate within complex scenarios and our research gave us three new spaces to consider :
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1. interaction protocols , the way to understand to those who recieved interactions to understand properly what to do and getting the maximum value to the said effort. If instead of considering ourselves just an actor working alone within a set of many, we understand that we are a set of nodes in that network the value of the whole effort working togethr is much greater. It is like a fisherman net. Once a node is broken many of the fishes will escape for that hole and the effort willbe the same with less result that if the node of that net were safe, For those who still appreciate excessively equations could say that the value of a set of nodes on a network is , based on Einstein's relativity Interaction = m . c2 but in this case the mass which is the network of nodes is m = 2 n where n equals the number of nodes in the set therefore Value of the net N = 2 n . ( 299 752 458 m / s ) 2 ( if we discard the moment c 2 as a constant k ) Value of Interaction = 2 n . k If we compare as an example a network of 120 nodes with a value of 1 point each node by the time they interact just alone the total value of the said network would be equal to 120. But the value if acting as a set of 120 nodes would be = 1.329 . 10 36 (is 1.329 followed by 36 zeros ) Therefore the difference between acting individually (which would give an output of 120 units ) would become 1.107. 10 34 (is 1.107 followed by 34 zeros) that is
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1.107,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 times bigger than 120 points. Why then “the many” act as small individual groups , instead of firing our synapses intertwined and at the same time? To paraphrase Frank Rosenblatt, that we are loosing the big opportunity firing two shots of synapses at the same time producing more than double value proportional to wahr produces a single shot. We have applied the perceptron concept created by Rosenblatt jut for brain connections, to human interaction and the way to create bigger value from them.
The most important matter to be taken in mind is that the space in which we interact it is not just plane space. It is a round space therefore when we interact in certain mode the power of that interaction arrives bigger to its destiation.
That is the reason why a netwrok action is so different to individual actions.
In the above inserted graphic we can demonstrate that the X0 -‐ X1 line of action arrives with double effect as well as 2X1 arrives to destination as 4X0.
The Einstein space definition has changed all our concepts on how cases may have effects to third parties.
And this failure of gtting more profits with the same effort occurs simply because there is no model that allow us to produce interaction as a network . Nobody cares if “the many” have that possibility. 2. But even more , every living being generated for itself a metaprogram filtering interconnections received from abroad and decoding them according to its own
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epigenesis . And cnsidering that metaprogram with fuzzy logic intelligence we coudl say that by the time the time a person receives from outside an instruction to do or to understand something, that filter makes a negative statement that tells you must do or to understand the contrary. And it is because the interaction protocols have generated ahead a different interpretation of that synapse. When Iran states that only requires enrich uranium for medical and energy production purposes, the community interprets instead that Iran wants to produce nuclear weapons. When Hamas preaches peace, international community interprets they need time to launch more missiles against Israel When Russia states that recognizes the application of people self-‐determination, the community understands that indeed Russia wishes to take over the territories of Crimea When the United States provides 3 billion of dollars compensation to emerging countries for climate issues disorder, the community understands that the USA will not fail to emit carbon monoxide into the space.
When an Argentine economy minister says that the peso currency willnot be devauated against theUS currency, every argentine understand that it is itme to go to buy dollars becuase a devaluagtion will be in force in the short term.
3. To try to design the model, we must apply what you have called systemic breakdown . A deconstruction (in the terms of Jacques Derrida) of what exists but
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wthout breaking the whole and neither the parts. It refers to unbundling its parts to analyze the components how they interact with other parties . In this detailed analysis will certainly emerge the necessary changes of the model architecture to get the quality we require . It is definitely an evolution rather than a revolution. But we must be sure that model will defend the people philosophy and the necessary architectural decision. Once discover those qualities we could rebuild the model and make it work properly.
The task is not easy. But nothing is easy when it comes to complex systems. Trying to summarize in a few pages twenty years of research is a task more than complicated. Especially when it comes to complexity. What I can say is that we live in an incomplete stage. The Greek “demos kratos” has enabled a revaluation of living beings rights . But these rights are violated in the economic area. “The few” still defending its perennial rights, while “the many” are waiting for a new holistic approach enabling them to ascertain the missing model. The one that could count with “the many” consensus. The journey through the unfinished symphony that is developed in the book defending my thesis , has allowed me to introduce myself through music instruments in the space of interaction. And in this journey I want to emphasize the need to reconcile ourselves with otherness, those beings who still beside us sometimes are unnoticed because nobody
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look at them recognizing we are all of us “the other” for the rest of others. And we must remember that we exist because someone recognizes us as another. If we took the Biblical stories as a record fo human knowledge, we were said that God finished to build up the earth in seven days. But we wonder what hppened to Him on the eighth day? Has He disappeared ? Has He died as Nietzsche said ? I personally think that He sat in a first row of a theater where we, the characters, are walking in to the scenario through the left side backstages and we start to recite parliaments that nobody has written therefore so improvising speeches at all times.
In that sense we have to interact with other similar characters who dont know either how the play started but even worse how it will end up. All of us know that our time walking on the scenario is limited and we shall be definitively leaving the scenario through the right backstages. But God is stil seated on the first row admiring how we design the parliaments model, because that it is our own responsibility. It is therefore necessary to consider that if we had a model that makes us easier this way across the stage of life, we will be creating a better way to racks that tour. For all of us. That is the real purpose of the greek oikos nomos. The economy as it is named today. If we fail to design that model, we shall not fullfiling the object of our ives on the earth. And as Professor Andrea Pitasi expressed in his preface to my book, always very pleasent, my words could generate a Renaissance look, because as having worked 20 years on this matter, I have tried to cover our complex whole world and its implications towards the economic life. But it was necessary to support my thesis. Not more equations but instead more complex adaptive systems approach to resolve our dialy life. And with such an object I have tried to show the need to reduce inequality among “the few” and “the many” using complex instruments to play a complex musical score just to leave a better world to those who will receive from us the world to leave in.