VISI INDONESIA 2045

Menteri Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional/Kepala Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional

Disampaikan dalam Orasi Ilmiah Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis - Universitas IndonesiaJakarta, 26 September 2017

REPUBLIK INDONESIA

2

Materi Paparan

Visi Indonesia dan Impian Indonesia 2015 2085

Demografi Indonesia

Skenario Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia 2016 - 2045

Pembangunan SDM dan Penguasaan IPTEK

Pembangunan Ekonomi Berkelanjutan

Pemerataan Pembangunan

Ketahanan Nasional dan Tata Kelola Kepemerintahan

REPUBLIK INDONESIA

melindungi segenap bangsa Indonesia dan seluruh tumpah darah

Indonesia

memajukan kesejahteraan umum

mencerdaskan kehidupan bangsa

ikut melaksanakan ketertiban dunia berdasarkan kemerdekaan, perdamaian

abadi, dan keadilan sosial

3

Visi Indonesia dan Impian Indonesia 2015 - 2085

REPUBLIK INDONESIA

1 2 3 4

PANCASILA

MEGA TREN DUNIA

4

Pilar Visi Indonesia 2045

VISI 2045

2

3

4

Pembangunan SDM dan Penguasaan IlmuPengetahuan danTeknologi

Pembangunan EkonomiBerkelanjutan

Pemerataan Pembangunan

Ketahanan Nasional danTata Kelola

Kepemerintahan

1

REPUBLIK INDONESIA

5

Megatren Dunia

MegatrenDunia

2045

Demografi Dunia

Urbanisasi Global

Perdagangan Internasional

Keuangan Global

Kelas Pendapatan Menengah

Persaingan Sumber Daya

Alam

Perubahan Iklim

Kemajuan Teknologi

Perubahan Geoekonomi

PerubahanGeopolitik

REPUBLIK INDONESIA

6

PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK DUNIATahun 1960 -2100

-1

-0,5

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100Ra

ta2 P

ertu

mbu

haan

(%/ta

hun)

DuniaAfrikaAsiaEropaLatin & KaribiaAmerika UtraOceania

Tahun 2045

175

177

200

238

295

318

362

381

1375

1674

0 500 1000 1500 2000

Congo

Ethiopia

Bangladesh

Brasil

Pakistan

Indonesia

Nigeria

USA

China

India

Tahun 2085

215

240

253

322

339

363

436

658

1087

1722

0 500 1000 1500 2000

Brasil

Ethiopia

Tanzania

Indonesia

Congo

Pakistan

USA

Nigeria

China

India

PENDUDUK DUNIATahun 2015, 2030, 2045, 2050, 2100

Penduduk (Juta)

2015 2030 2045 2050 2100

Dunia 7349 8501 9454 9725 11213

Afrika 1186 1679 2268 2478 4387

Asia 4393 4923 5218 5267 4889

Eropa 738 734 714 707 646

Amerika Latin & Karibia 634 721 774 784 721

Amerika Utara 358 396 425 483 500

Oceania 39 47 54 57 71

PENDUDUK DUNIATahun 2015, 2030, 2045, 2050, 2100

Penduduk (Juta)

2015 2030 2045 2050 2100

Dunia 7349 8501 9454 9725 11213

Afrika 1186 1679 2268 2478 4387

Asia 4393 4923 5218 5267 4889

Eropa 738 734 714 707 646

Amerika Latin & Karibia 634 721 774 784 721

Amerika Utara 358 396 425 483 500

Oceania 39 47 54 57 71

Pertumbuhan tertinggi di Afrika, tapi jumlah terbanyak masih di Asia.

Migrasi antar-negara tinggi terutama dariAfrika, Timur Tengah, Asia Selatan keAmerika Utara, Eropa, dan Asia Timur

Demografi Global

10 NEGARA PENDUDUK TERBESAR TAHUN 2045 DAN 2085 (juta)

#5#7

9,45miliar

Penduduk dunia tahun 2045

Chart1

1.80009247972.21209841871.92410224470.98472213462.73726158871.75201779612.2122461908

2.00871118332.52657366532.31484743720.82104487622.69212237381.24372023822.234729643

1.88741956092.71548057862.15983850380.54395841492.38109547680.96103849181.5546282419

1.80568709722.82662113862.00606232480.38563806862.04377482920.99349807531.6178083843

1.44143214952.57006407761.4941733550.07354758151.66045031581.12089399071.4242079227

1.23938340262.52002398921.16317749410.12304870311.30486819920.92932130821.5995843011

1.13564682052.52725197760.98311724510.05872449291.0596603370.76199129141.4698261003

0.91830549932.28195882780.6840238026-0.07863108770.78999330060.65402061421.1770260063

0.74665256182.07930386190.4401483994-0.17265982990.53364899290.49566329150.9679049543

0.60352330611.84775092360.2365819628-0.20372770490.30816334060.39518977480.823812833

0.46237797321.59567625140.0439280033-0.25422107440.11053600760.36413164560.6879139403

0.35150522321.3590010368-0.0988825168-0.2592631345-0.06739539740.34661159080.5597017031

0.27033773351.1367092087-0.1869794756-0.1797838515-0.21058461980.29127513530.446719623

0.19994676630.9253680968-0.2425664546-0.1100981803-0.30791382620.23629445620.3396906225

0.14204931950.7312003925-0.2597860239-0.1016327217-0.36095085770.20278614120.2550566136

Dunia

Afrika

Asia

Eropa

Latin & Karibia

Amerika Utra

Oceania

Rata2 Pertumbuhaan (%/tahun)

PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK DUNIATahun 1960 -2100

Instructions

Please note the following:

The information you requested is divided in 3 different sheets: Instructions, Data and Notes.

When opening in Microsoft Excel, the names of the respective sheets are displayed at the lower left corner.

Suggested citation:

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, custom data acquired via website.

Data

Total Population by sex (thousands)

Location1950196019701980199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100

World2 5251493 0183443 6824884 4396325 3096686 1266226 9297257 7581578 5007669 1572349 72514810 18429010 54798910 83663511 05527011 213317000

More developed regions8129899149511 0076821 0818441 1444631 1888121 2333761 2663601 2839201 2879351 2864221 2811571 2751521 2735231 2755521 277379

Less developed regions1 7121612 1033932 6748063 3577894 1652054 9378105 6963496 4917977 2168477 8692998 4387268 9031339 2728379 5631129 7797189 935938

Least developed countries1957252410733088703931725100586643868472551 0706801 3256941 6047251 8969212 1906442 4745412 7373762 9698923 167116

Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries1 5164361 8623212 3659362 9646173 6551474 2734244 8490945 4211165 8911536 2645756 5418056 7124886 7982956 8257356 8098266 768822

Less developed regions, excluding China1 1583151 4452031 8475272 3568422 9842133 6386854 3246525 0573565 7695156 4433737 0609077 5985058 0494098 4165418 7021358 910082

High-income countries8003839120071 0194221 1136051 2026981 2806731 3656431 4312151 4745571 4995241 5124961 5159971 5143931 5132261 5131851 512091

Middle-income countries1 5938301 9480612 4630903 0728283 7818224 4176435 0029545 5970996 0988496 5073856 8224767 0319417 1553817 2188947 2363987 224894

Lower-middle-income countries7688939419361 1880541 5059631 9009462 3050312 7087113 1284673 5319993 8916354 2008424 4497984 6392184 7760324 8663104 916720

Upper-middle-income countries8249371 0061251 2750351 5668641 8808752 1126122 2942442 4686312 5668502 6157492 6216352 5821432 5161622 4428612 3700882 308174

Low-income countries1301031571881985892516383232274259935583337266969238871 1465661 3862011 6322231 8739592 1001502 3012522 471875

Africa2289022848873656264779656316148140631 0441071 3401031 6793012 0630302 4775362 9025003 3219683 7194924 0783744 38659100

Asia1 3940181 6866982 1204302 6255843 2024753 7144704 1698604 5984264 9228305 1438505 2668485 2900305 2379535 1408345 0174874 8886530

Europe5490896056196572216938597210867264077353957397257339297213557067936890296713726593996521756455770

Latin America and the Caribbean1688442211902884943650354468895268905998236665027210677604847842477929597876317712017477817212240

Northern America1716152041672310292542172806333137243441293712693962784163644331144491464649594786814901135001430

Oceania126821578419688229722697131068364114213147361521505660960626641066702869340711290

196019701980199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100

Dunia1.80009247972.00871118331.88741956091.80568709721.44143214951.23938340261.13564682050.91830549930.74665256180.60352330610.46237797320.35150522320.27033773350.19994676630.1420493195

Afrika2.21209841872.52657366532.71548057862.82662113862.57006407762.52002398922.52725197762.28195882782.07930386191.84775092361.59567625141.35900103681.13670920870.92536809680.7312003925

Asia1.92410224472.31484743722.15983850382.00606232481.4941733551.16317749410.98311724510.68402380260.44014839940.23658196280.0439280033-0.0988825168-0.1869794756-0.2425664546-0.2597860239

Eropa0.98472213460.82104487620.54395841490.38563806860.07354758150.12304870310.0587244929-0.0786310877-0.1726598299-0.2037277049-0.2542210744-0.2592631345-0.1797838515-0.1100981803-0.1016327217

Latin & Karibia2.73726158872.69212237382.38109547682.04377482921.66045031581.30486819921.0596603370.78999330060.53364899290.30816334060.1105360076-0.0673953974-0.2105846198-0.3079138262-0.3609508577

Amerika Utra1.75201779611.24372023820.96103849180.99349807531.12089399070.92932130820.76199129140.65402061420.49566329150.39518977480.36413164560.34661159080.29127513530.23629445620.2027861412

Oceania2.21224619082.2347296431.55462824191.61780838431.42420792271.59958430111.46982610031.17702600630.96790495430.8238128330.68791394030.55970170310.4467196230.33969062250.2550566136

Data

Dunia

Afrika

Asia

Eropa

Latin &