Tugas OM Forecasting Dan Capacity Planning

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Forecasting Dan Capacity Planning

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  • PERBANDINGAN ANTARA PERAMALAN DENGAN 3 MINGGUAN DAN 5 MINGGUAN MASING-MASING KOTA

    -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 Week40 45 38 30 58 37 Atlanta

    42.0 3 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 3 WEEKEXP 0.2ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.2

    42.2 5 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 5 WEEKEXP 0.4ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.4

    -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 Week40 62 18 48 40 35 Boston

    35.33333 3 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMAD

  • MAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 3 WEEKEXP 0.2ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.2

    41.6 5 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 5 WEEKEXP 0.4ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.4

    -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 Week40 62 22 72 44 48 Chicago

    46 3 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 3 WEEKEXP 0.2ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPE

  • DEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.2

    48 5 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 5 WEEKEXP 0.4ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.4

    -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 Week40 42 35 40 64 43 Dallas

    46.33333 3 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 3 WEEKEXP 0.2ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.2

    44.2 5 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPE

  • DEVIATIONRSFETS 5 WEEKEXP 0.4ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.4

    -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 Week40 43 40 54 46 35 LA

    46.66667 3 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 3 WEEKEXP 0.2ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS EXP 0.2

    44.6 5 weekABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATIONRSFETS 5 WEEKEXP 0.4ABS-DEVSUMABS-DEVMADMAPEDEVIATION

  • RSFETS EXP 0.4

  • PERBANDINGAN ANTARA PERAMALAN DENGAN 3 MINGGUAN DAN 5 MINGGUAN MASING-MASING KOTA

    1 2 3 4 5 6 733 45 37 38 55 30 1842 43 38 38 40 43 41

    8.67 2.33 1.33 0.33 15.00 13.33 23.008.67 11.00 12.33 12.67 27.67 41.00 64.008.67 5.50 4.11 3.17 5.53 6.83 9.140.22 0.14 0.10 0.08 0.14 0.17 0.23

    -8.67 2.33 -1.33 -0.33 15.00 -13.33 -23.00-8.67 -6.33 -7.67 -8.00 7.00 -6.33 -29.33-1.00 -1.15 -1.86 -2.53 1.27 -0.93 -3.21

    41 40 43 38 38 43 418.00 5.07 6.13 0.07 16.73 13.00 22.678.00 13.07 19.20 19.27 36.00 49.00 71.678.00 6.53 6.40 4.82 7.20 8.17 10.240.20 0.16 0.16 0.12 0.18 0.20 0.26

    -8.00 5.07 -6.13 -0.07 16.73 -13.00 -22.67-8.00 -2.93 -9.07 -9.13 7.60 -5.40 -28.07-1.00 -0.45 -1.42 -1.90 1.06 -0.66 -2.74

    42 39 41 42 38 42 418.60 5.80 3.60 4.00 17.00 11.60 23.008.60 14.40 18.00 22.00 39.00 50.60 73.608.60 7.20 6.00 5.50 7.80 8.43 10.510.22 0.18 0.15 0.14 0.20 0.21 0.26

    -8.60 5.80 -3.60 -4.00 17.00 -11.60 -23.00-8.60 -2.80 -6.40 -10.40 6.60 -5.00 -28.00-1.00 -0.39 -1.07 -1.89 0.85 -0.59 -2.66

    40 38 42 39 40 45 377.12 6.84 4.52 1.16 14.60 14.80 18.967.12 13.96 18.48 19.64 34.24 49.04 68.007.12 6.98 6.16 4.91 6.85 8.17 9.710.18 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.17 0.20 0.24

    -7.12 6.84 -4.52 -1.16 14.60 -14.80 -18.96-7.12 -0.28 -4.80 -5.96 8.64 -6.16 -25.12-1.00 -0.04 -0.78 -1.21 1.26 -0.75 -2.59

    1 2 3 4 5 6 726 35 41 40 46 48 5541 34 32 34 39 42 45

    15.00 1.33 9.00 6.00 7.33 5.67 10.3315.00 16.33 25.33 31.33 38.67 44.33 54.6715.00 8.17 8.44 7.83 7.73 7.39 7.81

  • 0.36 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.19-15.00 1.33 9.00 6.00 7.33 5.67 10.33-15.00 -13.67 -4.67 1.33 8.67 14.33 24.67

    -1.00 -1.67 -0.55 0.17 1.12 1.94 3.1635.27 38.00 33.93 33.80 35.20 40.13 43.47

    9.27 3.00 7.07 6.20 10.80 7.87 11.539.27 12.27 19.33 25.53 36.33 44.20 55.739.27 6.13 6.44 6.38 7.27 7.37 7.969.27 3.07 2.15 1.60 1.45 1.23 1.14

    -9.27 -3.00 7.07 6.20 10.80 7.87 11.53-9.27 -12.27 -5.20 1.00 11.80 19.67 31.20-1.00 -2.00 -0.81 0.16 1.62 2.67 3.92

    41 33 33 35 35 38 4214.60 1.60 7.60 4.60 10.60 10.40 13.0014.60 16.20 23.80 28.40 39.00 49.40 62.4014.60 8.10 7.93 7.10 7.80 8.23 8.91

    0.35 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.21-14.60 1.60 7.60 4.60 10.60 10.40 13.00-14.60 -13.00 -5.40 -0.80 9.80 20.20 33.20

    -1.00 -1.60 -0.68 -0.11 1.26 2.45 3.7238.96 34.76 34.04 36.44 37.24 39.64 41.7612.96 0.24 6.96 3.56 8.76 8.36 13.2412.96 13.20 20.16 23.72 32.48 40.84 54.0812.96 6.60 6.72 5.93 6.50 6.81 7.73

    0.31 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.18-12.96 0.24 6.96 3.56 8.76 8.36 13.24-12.96 -12.72 -5.76 -2.20 6.56 14.92 28.16

    -1.00 -1.93 -0.86 -0.37 1.01 2.19 3.64

    1 2 3 4 5 6 744 34 22 55 48 72 6255 45 42 33 37 42 58

    10.67 11.33 20.00 21.67 11.00 30.33 3.6710.67 22.00 42.00 63.67 74.67 105.00 108.6710.67 11.00 14.00 15.92 14.93 17.50 15.52

    0.23 0.23 0.30 0.34 0.32 0.37 0.33-10.67 -11.33 -20.00 21.67 11.00 30.33 3.67-10.67 -22.00 -42.00 -20.33 -9.33 21.00 24.67

    -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -1.28 -0.63 1.20 1.5946.40 52.53 43.07 38.00 37.67 39.20 47.73

    2.40 18.53 21.07 17.00 10.33 32.80 14.272.40 20.93 42.00 59.00 69.33 102.13 116.402.40 10.47 14.00 14.75 13.87 17.02 16.630.05 0.22 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.36 0.35

  • -2.40 -18.53 -21.07 17.00 10.33 32.80 14.27-2.40 -20.93 -42.00 -25.00 -14.67 18.13 32.40-1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -1.69 -1.06 1.07 1.95

    50 46 46 38 41 41 465.60 12.00 24.00 16.60 7.40 31.40 15.805.60 17.60 41.60 58.20 65.60 97.00 112.805.60 8.80 13.87 14.55 13.12 16.17 16.110.12 0.19 0.30 0.31 0.28 0.34 0.34

    -5.60 -12.00 -24.00 16.60 7.40 31.40 15.80-5.60 -17.60 -41.60 -25.00 -17.60 13.80 29.60-1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -1.72 -1.34 0.85 1.84

    48.00 47.36 41.20 36.40 45.04 43.56 53.164.00 13.36 19.20 18.60 2.96 28.44 8.844.00 17.36 36.56 55.16 58.12 86.56 95.404.00 8.68 12.19 13.79 11.62 14.43 13.630.09 0.18 0.26 0.29 0.25 0.31 0.29

    -4.00 -13.36 -19.20 18.60 2.96 28.44 8.84-4.00 -17.36 -36.56 -17.96 -15.00 13.44 22.28-1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -1.30 -1.29 0.93 1.63

    1 2 3 4 5 6 727 42 35 40 51 64 7049 45 37 35 39 42 52

    22.00 2.67 2.33 5.33 12.00 22.00 18.3322.00 24.67 27.00 32.33 44.33 66.33 84.6722.00 12.33 9.00 8.08 8.87 11.06 12.10

    0.46 0.26 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.23 0.25-22.00 -2.67 -2.33 5.33 12.00 22.00 18.33-22.00 -24.67 -27.00 -21.67 -9.67 12.33 30.67

    -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -2.68 -1.09 1.12 2.5445.67 44.60 44.13 36.87 35.73 41.40 46.4018.67 2.60 9.13 3.13 15.27 22.60 23.6018.67 21.27 30.40 33.53 48.80 71.40 95.0018.67 10.63 10.13 8.38 9.76 11.90 13.57

    0.39 0.22 0.21 0.17 0.20 0.25 0.28-18.67 -2.60 -9.13 3.13 15.27 22.60 23.60-18.67 -21.27 -30.40 -27.27 -12.00 10.60 34.20

    -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -3.25 -1.23 0.89 2.52

    45 42 42 42 37 39 4617.80 0.20 6.80 2.20 13.60 25.00 23.6017.80 18.00 24.80 27.00 40.60 65.60 89.2017.80 9.00 8.27 6.75 8.12 10.93 12.74

    0.37 0.19 0.17 0.14 0.17 0.23 0.27

  • -17.80 0.20 -6.80 -2.20 13.60 25.00 23.60-17.80 -17.60 -24.40 -26.60 -13.00 12.00 35.60

    -1.00 -1.96 -2.95 -3.94 -1.60 1.10 2.7943.72 37.68 41.88 39.08 41.32 42.84 49.0016.72 4.32 6.88 0.92 9.68 21.16 21.0016.72 21.04 27.92 28.84 38.52 59.68 80.6816.72 10.52 9.31 7.21 7.70 9.95 11.53

    0.35 0.22 0.19 0.15 0.16 0.21 0.24-16.72 4.32 -6.88 0.92 9.68 21.16 21.00-16.72 -12.40 -19.28 -18.36 -8.68 12.48 33.48

    -1.00 -1.18 -2.07 -2.55 -1.13 1.25 2.90

    1 2 3 4 5 6 732 43 54 40 46 74 4045 38 37 43 46 47 53

    13.00 5.33 17.33 3.00 0.33 27.33 13.3313.00 18.33 35.67 38.67 39.00 66.33 79.6713.00 9.17 11.89 9.67 7.80 11.06 11.38

    0.28 0.20 0.26 0.21 0.17 0.24 0.25-13.00 5.33 17.33 -3.00 0.33 27.33 -13.33-13.00 -7.67 9.67 6.67 7.00 34.33 21.00

    -1.00 -0.84 0.81 0.69 0.90 3.11 1.8544.33 42.40 38.73 40.13 42.40 45.73 52.1312.33 0.60 15.27 0.13 3.60 28.27 12.1312.33 12.93 28.20 28.33 31.93 60.20 72.3312.33 6.47 9.40 7.08 6.39 10.03 10.33

    0.27 0.14 0.20 0.15 0.14 0.22 0.22-12.33 0.60 15.27 -0.13 3.60 28.27 -12.13-12.33 -11.73 3.53 3.40 7.00 35.27 23.13

    -1.00 -1.81 0.38 0.48 1.10 3.51 2.24

    44 41 41 42 41 43 5111.60 1.60 12.60 2.00 5.20 31.00 11.4011.60 13.20 25.80 27.80 33.00 64.00 75.4011.60 6.60 8.60 6.95 6.60 10.67 10.77

    0.25 0.14 0.19 0.15 0.14 0.23 0.23-11.60 1.60 12.60 -2.00 5.20 31.00 -11.40-11.60 -10.00 2.60 0.60 5.80 36.80 25.40

    -1.00 -1.52 0.30 0.09 0.88 3.45 2.3640.76 38.96 42.04 46.44 41.20 42.88 55.40

    8.76 4.04 11.96 6.44 4.80 31.12 15.408.76 12.80 24.76 31.20 36.00 67.12 82.528.76 6.40 8.25 7.80 7.20 11.19 11.790.19 0.14 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.24 0.26

    -8.76 4.04 11.96 -6.44 4.80 31.12 -15.40

  • -8.76 -4.72 7.24 0.80 5.60 36.72 21.32-1.00 -0.74 0.88 0.10 0.78 3.28 1.81

  • 8 9 10 11 12 13 Average58 47 37 23 55 40 4034 35 41 47 36 38

    23.67 11.67 4.00 24.33 19.33 1.6787.67 99.33 103.33 127.67 147.00 148.6710.96 11.04 10.33 11.61 12.25 11.44

    0.27 0.28 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.2923.67 11.67 -4.00 -24.33 19.33 1.67-5.67 6.00 2.00 -22.33 -3.00 -1.33-0.52 0.54 0.19 -1.92 -0.24 -0.12

    36 39 38 40 42 4021.60 7.93 0.67 17.20 12.53 0.4793.27 101.20 101.87 119.07 131.60 132.0711.66 11.24 10.19 10.82 10.97 10.16

    0.29 0.28 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.2521.60 7.93 -0.67 -17.20 12.53 0.47-6.47 1.47 0.80 -16.40 -3.87 -3.40-0.55 0.13 0.08 -1.52 -0.35 -0.33

    36 40 42 38 37 4422.40 7.20 4.60 15.00 18.40 4.0096.00 103.20 107.80 122.80 141.20 145.2012.00 11.47 10.78 11.16 11.77 11.17

    0.30 0.29 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.2822.40 7.20 -4.60 -15.00 18.40 -4.00-5.60 1.60 -3.00 -18.00 0.40 -3.60-0.47 0.14 -0.28 -1.61 0.03 -0.32

    32 45 43 40 32 4426.20 2.44 5.68 16.76 23.00 3.9694.20 96.64 102.32 119.08 142.08 146.0411.78 10.74 10.23 10.83 11.84 11.23

    0.29 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.30 0.2826.20 2.44 -5.68 -16.76 23.00 -3.96

    1.08 3.52 -2.16 -18.92 4.08 0.120.09 0.33 -0.21 -1.75 0.34 0.01

    8 9 10 11 12 13 Average18 62 44 30 45 50 4250 40 45 41 45 40

    31.67 21.67 1.00 11.33 0.33 10.3386.33 108.00 109.00 120.33 120.67 131.0010.79 12.00 10.90 10.94 10.06 10.08

  • 0.26 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.24-31.67 21.67 -1.00 -11.33 -0.33 10.33

    -7.00 14.67 13.67 2.33 2.00 12.33-0.65 1.22 1.25 0.21 0.20 1.22

    46.73 43.33 44.67 44.80 39.07 45.2728.73 18.67 0.67 14.80 5.93 4.7384.47 103.13 103.80 118.60 124.53 129.2710.56 11.46 10.38 10.78 10.38 9.94

    1.32 1.27 1.04 0.98 0.86 0.76-28.73 18.67 -0.67 -14.80 5.93 4.73

    2.47 21.13 20.47 5.67 11.60 16.330.23 1.84 1.97 0.53 1.12 1.64

    46 41 46 45 42 4028.00 20.60 1.80 15.40 3.20 10.2090.40 111.00 112.80 128.20 131.40 141.6011.30 12.33 11.28 11.65 10.95 10.89

    0.27 0.29 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.26-28.00 20.60 -1.80 -15.40 3.20 10.20

    5.20 25.80 24.00 8.60 11.80 22.000.46 2.09 2.13 0.74 1.08 2.02

    47.20 34.80 49.64 45.08 39.24 43.0829.20 27.20 5.64 15.08 5.76 6.9283.28 110.48 116.12 131.20 136.96 143.8810.41 12.28 11.61 11.93 11.41 11.07

    0.25 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.26-29.20 27.20 -5.64 -15.08 5.76 6.92

    -1.04 26.16 20.52 5.44 11.20 18.12-0.10 2.13 1.77 0.46 0.98 1.64

    8 9 10 11 12 13 Average28 27 95 35 45 47 4761 54 39 50 52 58

    32.67 27.00 56.00 15.00 7.33 11.33141.33 168.33 224.33 239.33 246.67 258.00

    17.67 18.70 22.43 21.76 20.56 19.850.38 0.40 0.48 0.46 0.44 0.42

    -32.67 -27.00 56.00 -15.00 -7.33 -11.33-8.00 -35.00 21.00 6.00 -1.33 -12.67-0.45 -1.87 0.94 0.28 -0.06 -0.64

    59.07 54.13 48.60 50.20 47.00 50.8731.07 27.13 46.40 15.20 2.00 3.87

    147.47 174.60 221.00 236.20 238.20 242.0718.43 19.40 22.10 21.47 19.85 18.62

    0.39 0.41 0.47 0.46 0.42 0.40

  • -31.07 -27.13 46.40 -15.20 -2.00 -3.871.33 -25.80 20.60 5.40 3.40 -0.470.07 -1.33 0.93 0.25 0.17 -0.03

    52 53 47 57 49 4623.80 26.00 47.60 21.80 4.40 1.00

    136.60 162.60 210.20 232.00 236.40 237.4017.08 18.07 21.02 21.09 19.70 18.26

    0.36 0.38 0.45 0.45 0.42 0.39-23.80 -26.00 47.60 -21.80 -4.40 1.00

    5.80 -20.20 27.40 5.60 1.20 2.200.34 -1.12 1.30 0.27 0.06 0.12

    52.52 42.28 42.60 66.44 48.08 47.6424.52 15.28 52.40 31.44 3.08 0.64

    119.92 135.20 187.60 219.04 222.12 222.7614.99 15.02 18.76 19.91 18.51 17.14

    0.32 0.32 0.40 0.42 0.39 0.36-24.52 -15.28 52.40 -31.44 -3.08 -0.64

    -2.24 -17.52 34.88 3.44 0.36 -0.28-0.15 -1.17 1.86 0.17 0.02 -0.02

    8 9 10 11 12 13 Average65 55 43 38 47 42 4862 66 63 54 45 43

    3.33 11.33 20.33 16.33 1.67 0.6788.00 99.33 119.67 136.00 137.67 138.3311.00 11.04 11.97 12.36 11.47 10.64

    0.23 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.24 0.223.33 -11.33 -20.33 -16.33 1.67 -0.67

    34.00 22.67 2.33 -14.00 -12.33 -13.003.09 2.05 0.19 -1.13 -1.08 -1.22

    55.33 62.33 64.07 59.27 51.07 45.679.67 7.33 21.07 21.27 4.07 3.67

    104.67 112.00 133.07 154.33 158.40 162.0713.08 12.44 13.31 14.03 13.20 12.47

    0.27 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.269.67 -7.33 -21.07 -21.27 -4.07 -3.67

    43.87 36.53 15.47 -5.80 -9.87 -13.533.35 2.94 1.16 -0.41 -0.75 -1.09

    52 58 61 59 54 5013.00 3.00 18.00 21.40 7.20 7.60

    102.20 105.20 123.20 144.60 151.80 159.4012.78 11.69 12.32 13.15 12.65 12.26

    0.27 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.26

  • 13.00 -3.00 -18.00 -21.40 -7.20 -7.6048.60 45.60 27.60 6.20 -1.00 -8.60

    3.80 3.90 2.24 0.47 -0.08 -0.7055.84 57.20 56.80 53.80 50.84 51.32

    9.16 2.20 13.80 15.80 3.84 9.3289.84 92.04 105.84 121.64 125.48 134.8011.23 10.23 10.58 11.06 10.46 10.37

    0.23 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.229.16 -2.20 -13.80 -15.80 -3.84 -9.32

    42.64 40.44 26.64 10.84 7.00 -2.323.80 3.95 2.52 0.98 0.67 -0.22

    8 9 10 11 12 13 Average35 45 38 48 56 50 4653 50 40 39 44 47

    18.33 4.67 2.00 8.67 12.33 2.6798.00 102.67 104.67 113.33 125.67 128.3312.25 11.41 10.47 10.30 10.47 9.87

    0.27 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.21-18.33 -4.67 -2.00 8.67 12.33 2.67

    2.67 -2.00 -4.00 4.67 17.00 19.670.22 -0.18 -0.38 0.45 1.62 1.99

    50.67 49.67 48.73 39.60 41.07 46.1315.67 4.67 10.73 8.40 14.93 3.8788.00 92.67 103.40 111.80 126.73 130.6011.00 10.30 10.34 10.16 10.56 10.05

    0.24 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.22-15.67 -4.67 -10.73 8.40 14.93 3.87

    7.47 2.80 -7.93 0.47 15.40 19.270.68 0.27 -0.77 0.05 1.46 1.92

    51 47 48 46 41 4415.80 2.00 10.00 1.60 14.80 5.6091.20 93.20 103.20 104.80 119.60 125.2011.40 10.36 10.32 9.53 9.97 9.63

    0.25 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.21-15.80 -2.00 -10.00 1.60 14.80 5.60

    9.60 7.60 -2.40 -0.80 14.00 19.600.84 0.73 -0.23 -0.08 1.40 2.04

    46.84 44.48 46.20 44.00 47.04 47.1211.84 0.52 8.20 4.00 8.96 2.8894.36 94.88 103.08 107.08 116.04 118.9211.80 10.54 10.31 9.73 9.67 9.15

    0.26 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20-11.84 0.52 -8.20 4.00 8.96 2.88

  • 9.48 10.00 1.80 5.80 14.76 17.640.80 0.95 0.17 0.60 1.53 1.93

  • * KOTA ATALANTA MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTING 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA BOSTON MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA CHICAGO MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING 0.2

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -5.00

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA DALLAS MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    * KOTA LOS ANGELES MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -5.00

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA ATALANTA MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTING 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA BOSTON MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA CHICAGO MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING 0.2

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -5.00

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * KOTA DALLAS MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    * KOTA LOS ANGELES MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -5.00

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • -6 -5 -4 -3 -2Atlanta 40 45 38 30 58Boston 42 62 18 48 40Chicago 47 62 22 72 44Dallas 48 42 35 40 64LA 46 43 40 54 46TOTAL 223 254 153 244 252

    MA 3 WeekMA 5 WeekEXP 0.2EXP 0.4

  • -1 1 2 3 4 5 637 33 45 37 38 55 3035 26 35 41 40 46 4848 44 34 22 55 48 7243 27 42 35 40 51 6435 32 43 54 40 46 74

    198 162 199 189 213 246 288

    216.3333333333 231.3333 204 186.3333 183.3333 200.3333 216225.2 220.2 201.8 211 200 192.2 201.8

    212.6667 217.4667 203 186.8667 189.2667 209.4667214.32 196.92 200.68 202.2 205.2 213.72

    ABS-DEV 69.33 5.00 2.67 29.67 45.67 72.00SUMABS-DEV 69.33 74.33 77.00 106.67 152.33 224.33MAD 69.33 37.17 25.67 26.67 30.47 37.39MAPE 0.31 0.17 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.17DEVIATION -69.33 -5.00 2.67 29.67 45.67 72.00RSFE -69.33 -74.33 -71.67 -42.00 3.67 75.67TS 3 WEEK -1.00 -2.00 -2.79 -1.58 0.12 2.02ABS-DEV 50.67 18.47 14.00 26.13 56.73 78.53SUMABS-DEV 50.67 69.13 83.13 109.27 166.00 244.53MAD 50.67 34.57 27.71 27.32 33.20 40.76MAPE 0.23 0.16 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.18DEVIATION -50.67 -18.47 -14.00 26.13 56.73 78.53RSFE -50.67 -69.13 -83.13 -57.00 -0.27 78.27TS EXP 0.2 -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -2.09 -0.01 1.92ABS-DEV 58.20 2.80 22.00 13.00 53.80 86.20SUMABS-DEV 58.20 61.00 83.00 96.00 149.80 236.00MAD 58.20 30.50 27.67 24.00 29.96 39.33MAPE 0.26 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.18DEVIATION -58.20 -2.80 -22.00 13.00 53.80 86.20RSFE -58.20 -61.00 -83.00 -70.00 -16.20 70.00TS 5 WEEK -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -2.92 -0.54 1.78ABS-DEV 52.32 2.08 11.68 10.80 40.80 74.28SUMABS-DEV 52.32 54.40 66.08 76.88 117.68 191.96MAD 52.32 27.20 22.03 19.22 23.54 31.99MAPE 0.24 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.14DEVIATION -52.32 2.08 -11.68 10.80 40.80 74.28RSFE -52.32 -50.24 -61.92 -51.12 -10.32 63.96TS EXP 0.4 -1.00 -1.85 -2.81 -2.66 -0.44 2.00

  • 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 AVG18 58 47 37 23 55 40 22255 18 62 44 30 45 5062 28 27 95 35 45 4770 65 55 43 38 47 4240 35 45 38 48 56 50

    245 204 236 257 174 248 229

    249 259.6667 245.6667 228.3333 232.3333 222.3333 226.3333227 236.2 239.2 243.8 246 223.2 223.8

    230.4 248.2 248.5333 243.7333 234.0667 220.6667 227.4667236.28 234.2 223.32 237.92 249.08 217.2 233.12

    4.00 55.67 9.67 28.67 58.33 25.67 2.67228.33 284.00 293.67 322.33 380.67 406.33 409.00

    32.62 35.50 32.63 32.23 34.61 33.86 31.460.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.14

    -4.00 -55.67 -9.67 28.67 -58.33 25.67 2.6771.67 16.00 6.33 35.00 -23.33 2.33 5.00

    2.20 0.45 0.19 1.09 -0.67 0.07 0.1614.60 44.20 12.53 13.27 60.07 27.33 1.53

    259.13 303.33 315.87 329.13 389.20 416.53 418.0737.02 37.92 35.10 32.91 35.38 34.71 32.16

    0.17 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.1414.60 -44.20 -12.53 13.27 -60.07 27.33 1.5392.87 48.67 36.13 49.40 -10.67 16.67 18.20

    2.51 1.28 1.03 1.50 -0.30 0.48 0.5718.00 32.20 3.20 13.20 72.00 24.80 5.20

    254.00 286.20 289.40 302.60 374.60 399.40 404.6036.29 35.78 32.16 30.26 34.05 33.28 31.12

    0.16 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.1418.00 -32.20 -3.20 13.20 -72.00 24.80 5.2088.00 55.80 52.60 65.80 -6.20 18.60 23.80

    2.43 1.56 1.64 2.17 -0.18 0.56 0.76 * BILA DIPUSATKAN KE SATU DAERAH DENGAN TOTAL ORDER, MAKA METODE YANG TERBAIK ADALAH8.72 30.20 12.68 19.08 75.08 30.80 4.12 DENGAN METODE SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    200.68 230.88 243.56 262.64 337.72 368.52 372.6428.67 28.86 27.06 26.26 30.70 30.71 28.66 * KEUNTUNGAN DENGAN AGREGAT DEMAND, POLA FORECASTINGNYA LEBIH JADI MUDAH DI ANALISA KARENA

    0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.13 TIDAK MENJADI SPESIFIC.8.72 -30.20 12.68 19.08 -75.08 30.80 -4.12

    72.68 42.48 55.16 74.24 -0.84 29.96 25.84 * KERUGIAN DENGAN AGREGAT DEMAND, KEPUTUSAN YANG DIPEROLEH BELUM TENTU TEPAT DENGAN KARAKTER2.54 1.47 2.04 2.83 -0.03 0.98 0.90 DI SETIAP DAERAH.

    * MUNGKIN HAL LEAD TIME PENGANTARAN MENJADI FAKTOR YANG DAPAT DIPERTIMBANGKAN DENGAN MENGUBAHMULTIPLE DISTRIBUTORS MENJADI SINGLE DISTRIBUTOR SAJA.

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * BILA DIPUSATKAN KE SATU DAERAH DENGAN TOTAL ORDER, MAKA METODE YANG TERBAIK ADALAH DENGAN METODE SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE 3 WEEK

    * KEUNTUNGAN DENGAN AGREGAT DEMAND, POLA FORECASTINGNYA LEBIH JADI MUDAH DI ANALISA KARENATIDAK MENJADI SPESIFIC.

    * KERUGIAN DENGAN AGREGAT DEMAND, KEPUTUSAN YANG DIPEROLEH BELUM TENTU TEPAT DENGAN KARAKTERDI SETIAP DAERAH.

    * MUNGKIN HAL LEAD TIME PENGANTARAN MENJADI FAKTOR YANG DAPAT DIPERTIMBANGKAN DENGAN MENGUBAHMULTIPLE DISTRIBUTORS MENJADI SINGLE DISTRIBUTOR SAJA.

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • * BILA DIPUSATKAN KE SATU DAERAH DENGAN TOTAL ORDER, MAKA METODE YANG TERBAIK ADALAH

    * KEUNTUNGAN DENGAN AGREGAT DEMAND, POLA FORECASTINGNYA LEBIH JADI MUDAH DI ANALISA KARENA

    * KERUGIAN DENGAN AGREGAT DEMAND, KEPUTUSAN YANG DIPEROLEH BELUM TENTU TEPAT DENGAN KARAKTER

    * MUNGKIN HAL LEAD TIME PENGANTARAN MENJADI FAKTOR YANG DAPAT DIPERTIMBANGKAN DENGAN MENGUBAH

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    -4.00

    -3.00

    -2.00

    -1.00

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    TS 3 WEEKTS EXP 0.2TS 5 WEEKTS EXP 0.4

  • Bradford Manufacturing - Planning Plant Production

    1,000 case units. Quarter (Week Numbers)1st (1-13) 2nd (14-26)

    Forecast Demand 2,000 2,200Ending Inventory Target 338 385

    Planning Data Numbers Units of measureInitial number of employees 60 employeesEmployees per line 6Standard production rate (each line) 450 Cases per hourEmployee pay rate $20.00 per hourOvertime pay rate $30.00 per hourStandard hours per shift 7.5 hoursMaximum overtime per day 2 hoursInventory carry cost $1.00 per case (per year)Stockout cost $2.40 per caseEmployee hiring and training cost $5,000.00 per employeeEmployee layoff cost $3,000.00 per employee

    Aggregate Production PlanningQ1 Q2

    v 200 338Demand Forecast 2000 2200Production Requirement 2138 2247Expected Ending Inventory 338 385

    Production Plan I (Exact Production, Vary Workforce)Q1 Q2

    Production Requirement 2138 2247Number of Weeks in a Quarter 13 13Number of Days in a Week 5 5Number of Hours in a Day 7.5 7.5Number of Line 10 11Number of Workforce 60 66Actual Production With Number of Line 2194 2413Employee Hiring and Training Cost 0 30000Employee Layoff Cost 0 0Employee Wage 624000 686400Total 624000 716400

    Production Plan II (Exact Production, Vary Inventory&Stockout)(avoid stockout)Beginning Inventory 200 475Production Requirement 2138 2247

  • Number of Weeks in a Quarter 13 13Number of Days in a Week 5 5Number of Hours in a Day 7.5 7.5Number of Line 11 11Number of Workforce 66 66Actual Production With Number of Line 2413 2413Ending Inventory 475 641Inventory Carry Cost 119 160Stockout Cost 0 0Employee Wage 686400 686400Total 686519 686560(unavoid stockout)Beginning Inventory 200 256Production Requirement 2138 2247Number of Weeks in a Quarter 13 13Number of Days in a Week 5 5Number of Hours in a Day 7.5 7.5Number of Line 10 10Number of Workforce 60 60Actual Production With Number of Line 2194 2194Ending Inventory 256 203Inventory Carry Cost 64 51Stockout Cost 0 0Employee Wage 624000 624000Total 624064 624051

    Production Plan III (Constant Workforce, Overtime)Beginning Inventory 200 256Production Requirement 2138 2247Number of Weeks in a Quarter 13 13Number of Days in a Week 5 5Number of Hours in a Day 7.5 7.5Number of Hours of Overtime 0.0 0.0Number of Line 10 10Number of Workforce 60 60Actual Production With Number of Line 2194 2194Ending Inventory 256 203Overtime Cost 0 0Employee Wage 624000 624000Total 624000 624000

    THE BEST METHOD IS PRODUCTION PLAN II WHICH PUT EXACT PRODUCTION AND VARY STOCKOUT AND INVENTORY

  • Quarter (Week Numbers)3rd (27-39) 4th (40-52) 1st (Next Year)

    2,500 2,650 2,200408 338

    per case (per year)

    Q3 Q4 Q1 (next year)385 408 3382500 2650 22002523 2580 2200408 338 338

    Q3 Q4 Q1 (next year)2523 2580 220013 13 135 5 57.5 7.5 7.512 12 1172 72 662633 2633 24130 0 00 0 18000748800 748800 686400

    748800 748800 704400

    641 531 3652523 2580 2200

  • 13 13 135 5 57.5 7.5 7.511 11 1166 66 662413 2413 2413531 365 578133 91 1440 0 0686400 686400 686400

    686533 686491 686544

    203 -127 -5132523 2580 220013 13 135 5 57.5 7.5 7.510 10 1060 60 602194 2194 2194-127 -513 -5190 0 0304 1231 1246624000 624000 624000

    624304 625231 625246

    203 166 722523 2580 220013 13 135 5 57.5 7.5 7.51.0 1.0 0.010 10 1060 60 602486 2486 2194166 72 661950 1950 0624000 624000 624000

    625950 625950 624000

    THE BEST METHOD IS PRODUCTION PLAN II WHICH PUT EXACT PRODUCTION AND VARY STOCKOUT AND INVENTORY

  • NotesEach number is a 13 week forecast.This is calculated based on 6 weeks of future forecast demand.

    3542400

    avg prod. Requirement = 2338

  • number of line = 11number of work force = 66

    3432647

    number of line = 10number of work force = 60

    3122896

    3123900

    THE BEST METHOD IS PRODUCTION PLAN II WHICH PUT EXACT PRODUCTION AND VARY STOCKOUT AND INVENTORY

  • Each number is a 13 week forecast.This is calculated based on 6 weeks of future forecast demand.

  • Bradford Manufacturing - Planning Plant Production

    1,000 case units. Quarter (Week Numbers)1st (1-13) 2nd (14-26)

    Forecast Demand 2,000 2,200Ending Inventory Target 338 385

    Planning Data Numbers Units of measureInitial number of employees 60 employeesEmployees per line 6Standard production rate (each line) 450 Cases per hourEmployee pay rate $20.00 per hourOvertime pay rate $30.00 per hourStandard hours per shift 7.5 hoursMaximum overtime per day 2 hoursInventory carry cost $1.00 per case (per year)Stockout cost $2.40 per caseEmployee hiring and training cost $5,000.00 per employeeEmployee layoff cost $3,000.00 per employee

    Simulation Worksheet Qtr Wk Lines Scheduled

    1st

    1 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 15

    10 1511 1512 1513 15

    2nd

    14 1515 1516 1517 1518 1519 1520 1521 1522 1523 15

  • 2nd

    24 1525 1526 15

    3rd

    27 1528 1529 1530 1531 1532 1533 1534 1535 1536 1537 1538 1539 15

    4th

    40 1541 1542 1543 1544 1545 1546 1547 1548 1549 1550 1551 1552 15

    Actual CostsQtr Wk Regular Production Co

    1st

    1 720002 720003 720004 720005 720006 720007 720008 720009 72000

    10 7200011 7200012 7200013 72000

  • 2nd

    14 7200015 7200016 7200017 7200018 7200019 7200020 7200021 7200022 7200023 7200024 7200025 7200026 72000

    3rd

    27 7200028 7200029 7200030 7200031 7200032 7200033 7200034 7200035 7200036 7200037 7200038 7200039 72000

    4th

    40 7200041 7200042 7200043 7200044 7200045 7200046 7200047 7200048 7200049 7200050 7200051 7200052 72000

  • Quarter (Week Numbers)3rd (27-39) 4th (40-52) 1st (Next Year)

    2,500 2,650 2,200408 338

    per case (per year)

    Overtime Scheduled (hours) Beginning Inventory Scheduled Production2 200 320.6252 403 320.6252 603.15 320.6252 800.025 320.6252 991.625 320.6252 1178.95 320.6252 1361 320.6252 1538.775 320.6252 1710.275 320.6252 1873.5 320.6252 2028.45 320.6252 2175.8375 320.6252 2314.6625 320.6252 2446.6375 320.6252 2571.475 320.6252 2692.175 320.6252 2808.45 320.6252 2922.0125 320.6252 3033.575 320.6252 3143.85 320.6252 3252.8375 320.6252 3362.9625 320.6252 3469.225 320.625

  • 2 3573.3375 320.6252 3676.3 320.6252 3778.825 320.6252 3881.625 320.6252 3982.7 320.6252 4088.05 320.6252 4198.675 320.6252 4315.575 320.6252 4438.4625 320.6252 4566.9125 320.6252 4701.6375 320.6252 4841.925 320.6252 4986.0625 320.6252 5134.05 320.6252 5284.175 320.6252 5437.4375 320.6252 5592.4125 320.6252 5749.1 320.6252 5907.7875 320.6252 6068.7625 320.6252 6230.3125 320.6252 6391.725 320.6252 6552 320.6252 6709.7125 320.6252 6865.575 320.6252 7017.1625 320.6252 7165.1875 320.6252 7308.9375 320.6252 7447.4125 320.625

    Overtime Production Cost Inventory Carrying Cost Stockout Cost27000 7750 027000 11599.0384615385 027000 15385.0961538462 027000 19069.7115384615 027000 22672.1153846154 027000 26173.0769230769 027000 29591.8269230769 027000 32889.9038461538 027000 36028.8461538462 027000 39008.6538461538 027000 41843.0288461538 027000 44512.7403846154 027000 47050.7211538462 0

  • 27000 49451.4423076923 027000 51772.5961538461 027000 54008.6538461538 027000 56192.5480769231 027000 58337.9807692308 027000 60458.6538461538 027000 62554.5673076923 027000 64672.3557692308 027000 66715.8653846154 027000 68718.0288461538 027000 70698.0769230769 027000 72669.7115384615 027000 74646.6346153846 027000 76590.3846153846 027000 78616.3461538462 027000 80743.75 027000 82991.8269230769 027000 85355.0480769231 027000 87825.2403846154 027000 90416.1057692308 027000 93113.9423076923 027000 95885.8173076923 027000 98731.7307692308 027000 101618.75 027000 104566.105769231 027000 107546.394230769 027000 110559.615384615 027000 113611.298076923 027000 116706.971153846 027000 119813.701923077 027000 122917.788461539 027000 126000 027000 129032.932692308 027000 132030.288461538 027000 134945.432692308 027000 137792.067307692 027000 140556.490384615 027000 143219.471153846 027000 145767.307692308 0

  • NotesEach number is a 13 week forecast.This is calculated based on 6 weeks of future forecast demand.

    Forecast Demand Expected Ending Inventory153.8461538462 366.7788461538153.8461538462 569.7788461538153.8461538462 769.9288461538153.8461538462 966.8038461538153.8461538462 1158.4038461539153.8461538462 1345.7288461539153.8461538462 1527.7788461539153.8461538462 1705.5538461539153.8461538462 1877.0538461539153.8461538462 2040.2788461539153.8461538462 2195.2288461539153.8461538462 2342.6163461539153.8461538462 2481.4413461539169.2307692308 2598.0317307692169.2307692308 2722.8692307692169.2307692308 2843.5692307692169.2307692308 2959.8442307692169.2307692308 3073.4067307692169.2307692308 3184.9692307692169.2307692308 3295.2442307692169.2307692308 3404.2317307692169.2307692308 3514.3567307692169.2307692308 3620.6192307692

  • 169.2307692308 3724.7317307692169.2307692308 3827.6942307692169.2307692308 3930.2192307692192.3076923077 4009.9423076923192.3076923077 4111.0173076923192.3076923077 4216.3673076923192.3076923077 4326.9923076923192.3076923077 4443.8923076923192.3076923077 4566.7798076923192.3076923077 4695.2298076923192.3076923077 4829.9548076923192.3076923077 4970.2423076923192.3076923077 5114.3798076923192.3076923077 5262.3673076923192.3076923077 5412.4923076923192.3076923077 5565.7548076923203.8461538462 5709.1913461539203.8461538462 5865.8788461539203.8461538462 6024.5663461539203.8461538462 6185.5413461539203.8461538462 6347.0913461539203.8461538462 6508.5038461539203.8461538462 6668.7788461539203.8461538462 6826.4913461539203.8461538462 6982.3538461539203.8461538462 7133.9413461539203.8461538462 7281.9663461539203.8461538462 7425.7163461539203.8461538462 7564.1913461539

    Hiring and Training Cost Layoff Cost150000 0

    0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0

  • 0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0

  • Each number is a 13 week forecast.This is calculated based on 6 weeks of future forecast demand.

    Expected Weeks-of-Supply Actual Production Rate (cases/hour)2.3840625 4803.7035625 4765.0045375 470

    6.284225 4647.529625 458

    8.7472375 4529.9305625 446

    10.9043606557 44011.8072741935 434

    12.630297619 42813.3771757813 42314.0556980769 418

    14.6630625 41415.3520056818 41116.0896818182 40816.8029090909 40617.4899886364 40518.1610397727 40518.8202727273 40619.4718977273 40719.6688944444 41019.8637554348 41320.0289574468 417

  • 20.1756302083 42120.3102142857 426

    20.43714 43220.8517 438

    21.37729 44421.92511 45022.50036 45623.10824 463

    23.747255 46824.415195 474

    24.8670940594 47925.3384901961 48325.8201699029 48726.3118365385 49026.8047238095 49327.3037028302 49428.0073537736 495

    28.776009434 49529.5544764151 49430.3441650943 49231.1366745283 489

    31.928509434 48632.7147641509 48133.4884481132 47734.2530566038 47134.9966933962 46635.7228537736 46036.4280424528 45436.4280424528 447

    Total For Week Cumulative 256750 256750

    110599.038461538 367349.038461538114385.096153846 481734.134615385118069.711538462 599803.846153846121672.115384615 721475.961538462125173.076923077 846649.038461538128591.826923077 975240.865384615131889.903846154 1107130.76923077135028.846153846 1242159.61538462138008.653846154 1380168.26923077140843.028846154 1521011.29807692143512.740384615 1664524.03846154146050.721153846 1810574.75961538

  • 148451.442307692 1959026.20192308150772.596153846 2109798.79807692153008.653846154 2262807.45192308155192.548076923 2418000157337.980769231 2575337.98076923159458.653846154 2734796.63461538161554.567307692 2896351.20192308163672.355769231 3060023.55769231165715.865384615 3225739.42307692167718.028846154 3393457.45192308169698.076923077 3563155.52884615171669.711538462 3734825.24038462173646.634615385 3908471.875175590.384615385 4084062.25961538177616.346153846 4261678.60576923

    179743.75 4441422.35576923181991.826923077 4623414.18269231184355.048076923 4807769.23076923186825.240384615 4994594.47115385189416.105769231 5184010.57692308192113.942307692 5376124.51923077194885.817307692 5571010.33653846197731.730769231 5768742.06730769

    200618.75 5969360.81730769203566.105769231 6172926.92307692206546.394230769 6379473.31730769209559.615384615 6589032.93269231212611.298076923 6801644.23076923215706.971153846 7017351.20192308218813.701923077 7236164.90384615221917.788461539 7458082.69230769

    225000 7683082.69230769228032.932692308 7911115.625231030.288461538 8142145.91346154233945.432692308 8376091.34615384236792.067307692 8612883.41346154239556.490384615 8852439.90384615242219.471153846 9094659.375244767.307692308 9339426.68269231

  • Actual Demand (1,000 Cases) Actual Production Actual Ending Inventory139 342 403139 339.15 603.15138 334.875 800.025139 330.6 991.625139 326.325 1178.95140 322.05 1361140 317.775 1538.775142 313.5 1710.275146 309.225 1873.5150 304.95 2028.45154 301.3875 2175.8375159 297.825 2314.6625163 294.975 2446.6375168 292.8375 2571.475170 290.7 2692.175173 289.275 2808.45175 288.5625 2922.0125177 288.5625 3033.575179 289.275 3143.85181 289.9875 3252.8375182 292.125 3362.9625188 294.2625 3469.225193 297.1125 3573.3375

  • 197 299.9625 3676.3201 303.525 3778.825205 307.8 3881.625211 312.075 3982.7211 316.35 4088.05210 320.625 4198.675208 324.9 4315.575207 329.8875 4438.4625205 333.45 4566.9125203 337.725 4701.6375201 341.2875 4841.925200 344.1375 4986.0625199 346.9875 5134.05199 349.125 5284.175198 351.2625 5437.4375197 351.975 5592.4125196 352.6875 5749.1194 352.6875 5907.7875191 351.975 6068.7625189 350.55 6230.3125187 348.4125 6391.725186 346.275 6552185 342.7125 6709.7125184 339.8625 6865.575184 335.5875 7017.1625184 332.025 7165.1875184 327.75 7308.9375185 323.475 7447.4125186 318.4875 7579.9

  • SINGLE MOVING & EXP SMOOTHINGBEST OPTION (COMPARISON)AGGREGATE PLANNINGAGGREGATE PLAN (WITH SOLVER)