27 Maret, 2019 - miraeasset.co.id · KRAS: KPK: Krakatau Steel harus penuhi LHKPN jika ingin...
Transcript of 27 Maret, 2019 - miraeasset.co.id · KRAS: KPK: Krakatau Steel harus penuhi LHKPN jika ingin...
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
27 Maret, 2019
Market Index
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
JCI 6,470.0 0.9 -1.8 3.3
MSCI Indonesia 25.8 0.6 -3.2 -3.1
MSCI EM 1,050.4 0.3 -1.3 -11.6
HANG SENG 28,566.9 0.2 -0.8 -7.4
KOSPI 2,148.8 -0.4 -3.8 -12.4
FTSE 7,196.3 0 1.0 2.5
DJIA 25,657.7 0.6 -1.8 7.0
NASDAQ 7,691.5 0.7 1.1 9.0
Valuation
2018F P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%)
JCI 15.6 2.3 17.7
Key Rates
Last Trade Chg (bps) MoM YoY
BI 7-Day RR 6.00 0 25 -100
3yr 6.98 -3 -25 81
10yr 7.62 -3 -19 79
FX
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
USD/IDR 14,173 -0.1 1.4 3.3
USD/KRW 1,134 -0.1 1.3 5.9
USD/JPY 111 0.6 -0.3 5.0
USD/CNY 7 -0.1 0.1 7.0
Commodities
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
WTI 59.9 1.9 5.3 14.3
Gold 1,315.7 -0.5 -0.3 -2.2
Coal 93.2 -0.4 -1.7 -3.5
Palm Oil 2,036.0 -1.3 6.0 -15.2
Rubber 140.4 -2.0 2.9 10.8
Nickel 13,080.0 0.9 0.2 906.2
Copper 6,340.0 0.4 -2.4 -4.0
Tin 21,300.0 -0.2 -1.2 2.3
JCI Index VS MSCI Emerging Markets
Market commentary
Hariyanto Wijaya CFA, CPA (Aust), CMT ([email protected])
IHSG rebound +0,9% setelah meredanya panic selling oleh investor domestik pada
hari Senin. Investor asing melanjutkan pembelian dengan mencatatkan pembelian
bersih IDR338milyar. Kami memperkirakan IHSG akan diperdagangkan lebih tinggi
hari ini. Analis bank kami mengeluarkan review 1M19 di sektor bank. Menurutnya
sektor perbankan Indonesia membukukan hasil operasinal yang inline dengan
ekspektasi. Oleh karena itu, ia merekomendasikan Overweight call untuk sektor
bank dengan BBCA dan BBNI sebagai top picks.
Indeks AS naik pada Selasa karena saham energi melonjak dan sektor keuangan
pulih karena yield treasury AS stabil di atas posisi terendah selama 15-bulan. Yield
10-year note AS stabil setelah mencapai posisi terendah 15-bulan pada hari Senin.
Harga minyak mentah WTI ditutup 1,9% lebih tinggi seiring dengan Rusia
menyatakan saat ini masih on track untuk mencapai pengurangan produksi yang
dijanjikan sebesar 228.000 barel per hari pada akhir bulan.
Banks - 1M19 review: In-line results, expected seasonality
Lee Young Jun ([email protected])
Untuk Januari 2019, industri perbankan secara keseluruhan mencatat pendapatan
bunga bersih sebesar IDR31.2tr (+2.6% YoY) dan laba bersih sebesar IDR13.4tr
(+18.2% YoY). Kami menjaga rekomendasi Overweight kami pada industri
perbankan, karena hasil terbaru sesuai dengan ekpektasi kami.
Operational highlights for January 2019
Loan growth: Pada bulan Januari, buku pinjaman industri perbankan mencatat
pertumbuhan -2.0% atau +12.0% YoY menjadi IDR5,186.6tr, karena korporasi (-
3.0% MoM) sekali lagi menundah pinjaman di awal tahun. Kami masih
mempertahankan target pertumbuhan pinjaman kami sebesar 9-11% untuk
2019F.
NIM: Sementara komposisi pinjaman Rupiah meningkat dan yield spread melebar,
NIM menurun 22bps MoM dan 27bps YoY. Meskipun NIM tetap tertekan, kami
pikir uptrend kemungkinan akan dimulai, mengingat bahwa yield spread melebar
dan suku bunga kredit konsumen akhirnya mengubah arah downtrend tujuh bulan
mereka.
Asset quality: NPL naik 19bps MoM tetapi turun 30bps YoY. Berdasarkan
perubahan YoY, kami sangat yakin bahwa peningkatan kualitas aset bank-bank
Indonesia tetap berada di jalur yang benar.
Maintain Overweight; Top picks are BBCA and BBNI
Secara keseluruhan, kami mempertahankan rekomendasi overweight industri
perbankan kami, mengingat bahwa: 1) NIM kemungkinan akan membaik; 2)
pertumbuhan kredit diperkirakan akan tetap solid; dan 3) dividen tepat di
tikungan. Pilihan utama kami tetap Bank Central Asia (BBCA/Trading
Buy/IDR32,000) dan Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI/Buy/IDR11,450).
550
800
1,050
1,300
1,550
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
01/1607/1601/1707/1701/1807/1801/19
JCI (pt) (pt)
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Local flashes
BBRI: BRI bantah dapat pinjaman US$ 700 juta. Direktur Utama PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia
(Persero) Tbk (BBRI) Suprajarto membantah pihaknya dapat pinjaman dari 30 lembaga
keuangan internasional senilai US$ 700 juta. "Tidak ada itu. Info dari mana ya? Kalau
pinjaman bilateral ya memang biasa di industri perbankan," Mengutip Bloomberg, BRI
dikabarkan mendapatkan tiga fasilitas pinjaman dengan perincian, Tranche A senilai US$ 200
juta dengan jangka waktu pinjaman 359 hari, Tranche B senilai US$ 235 juta dengan waktu 3
tahun dan Tranche C senilai US$ 265 juta berjangka waktu empat tahun.(Kontan)
KRAS: KPK: Krakatau Steel harus penuhi LHKPN jika ingin berbenah. Komisi
Pemberantasan Korupsi (KPK) berharap PT Krakatau Steel dapat memenuhi kepatuhan
dalam menyerahkan Laporan Harta Kekayaan Penyelenggara Negara (LHKPN) sebelum 31
Maret 2019. Juru bicara KPK Febri Diansyah menuturkan, jika perusahaan plat merah
tersebut berkomitmen untuk berbenah ke dalam maka diperlukan keseriusan dalam
pelaporan LHKPN para pejabatnya. (Kontan)
JSMR: Jasa Marga percepat pembangunan jalan tol Cengkareng-Batuceper-Kunciran. PT
Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk, melalui anak usahanya PT Jasamarga Kunciran Cengkareng (JKC),
mendapatkan kredit sindikasi dana talangan tanah senilai Rp 4 triliun. Pendanaan ini akan
digunakan untuk pembebasan lahan Jalan Tol Cengkareng- Batuceper- Kunciran sepanjang
14,19 km dan akan menjadi bagian dari Jaringan Jalan Tol Jakarta Outer Ring Road Tahap 2
(JORR2). Perjanjian kredit sindikasi dana talangan tanah proyek pembangunan Jalan Tol
Cengkareng- Batuceper- Kunciran ini sendiri ditandatangani di Kantor Pusat Jasa Marga,
Jakarta, Selasa (26/3). (Kontan)
TLKM: Telkom siapkan belanja modal 27% dari pendapatan. PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
Tbk atau Telkom menyiapkan belanja modal sekitar 27% dari perolehan pendapatan di 2018.
Direktur Keuangan Telkom Harry M Zen mengungkapkan nantinya 45% belanja modal bakal
diperuntukkan untuk pengembangan bisnis mobile. "Mobile related business 45% sisanya
lain-lain," katanya pada Selasa (26/3). Nah, mobile related business yang dimaksud adalah
untuk memperkuat Telkomsel. Telkomsel sendiri punya pencatatan belanja modal sendiri.
Tapi, kata Harry, sebagian dicatat di Telkom (Kontan)
ADHI: Adhi Karya bantah return on assets (ROA) dan return on equity (ROE) turun. PT
Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk bantah return on assets (ROA) dan return on equity (ROE)
sepanjang 2018 turun. Entus Asnawi, Direktur Keuangan PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk
memastikan bahwa ROA dan ROE perusahaannya tidak turun. Sayangnya ia enggan
menyampaikan secara detil. Sayangnya ia enggan memaparkan berapa besaran ROA dan ROI
perseroan sepanjang tahun 2018 lantaran pihaknya baru akan merilis laporan keuangan
tahunan mereka dalam waktu dekat (Kontan)
DYAN: DYAN tidak akan menambah jumlah hotel lagi. PT Dyandra Media International Tbk
(DYAN) akan melapas fokus pada salah satu pilar bisnisnya yakni sektor perhotelan. Adapun
hal tersebut lantaran pihaknya akan fokus pada bisnis utamanya yakni event dan convention
yang juga merupakan arah dalam evaluasi perusahaan. Maryamto Sunu, Corporate Secretary
DYAN menyebutkan bahwa berdasarkan evaluasi yang dilakukan pihaknya diputuskan
bersama sektor hotel akan keluar dari pilar binis perususahaan sehingga sejak tahun lalu
sektor tersebut direstrukturisasi dengan melakukan penjualan hotelnya. (Kontan)
27 Maret, 2019
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-515-1140 [email protected]
Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) – Test Resistance at 6,492
IHSG akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada pola uptrend jangka
pendek.
IHSG saat ini berada diluar pola uptrend jangka jangka pendek dimana korelasi
pergerakkan indeks ini masih relatif valid (r-squared = 0.8902) sejak 117 hari terakhir
dimana bergerak normal dalam rentang +/- 1.60 std.deviasi dari centerline. Peluang
IHSG bergerak di luar pergerakan normal sekitar +10.98% atau sekitar 13 bar chart.
Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan IHSG secara harian saat ini antara +0.47% / -
0.46 % atau +29.76/ -29.76 point (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif selama
periode analisis) sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 1.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (March 26, 2019) 6,470(+0.92%) Trading range 6,433 - 6,492
8Average index performance (%) 3.65 Target
Period 117 - Daily 6,492
r-squared 0.8902 - Weekly 6,513
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.47/ -0.46 - Monthly 6,610
Volatility (+/-, point) +29.76/ -29.76 Stop loss 6,395
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 1. Daily , Short term trend – Uptrend
4 - 6,161 Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,492.0
_____ 6,433.1
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 6,441 High: 6,478 Low: 6,440 Close: 6,470 Vol. 8,792,560,640
Prev. Avg. Price: 6,462.5
R-Squared: 0.8902
Period: 117
Std.Dev: 1.60
Volatility (+) : 0.0046
Volatility (-) : -0.0046
V-Ratio : 1.00
Chg.: 0.92%
6,470
6,460.86
6,395.2
6,341.71
6,489.08
6,635.31
6,635.31
6,781.54
6,875.43
Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar
^JKSE - Volume = 8,792,560,640.00, MA(Volume,10) = 11,009,463,296.00
8,792,560,640
11,009,463,296
27 Maret, 2019
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Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar mulai tertahan dan volatilitas indeks naik mulai terlihat
Pada Figure 2, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi terakhir pada periode daily indikator MFI
optimized menguji support trendline dengan kecenderungan menguat dan indicator
W%R optimized cenderung naik .Pada periode weekly ,indikator MFI optimized masih
cenderung naik dan indikator RSI optimized akan menguji support trendline. Daily
resistance terdekat di 6,492 dan support di 6,433. Cut loss level di 6,395.
Figure 2. Daily, Short term trend, MFI optimized & W%R optimized
X` x`x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 51.29
51.2917
^JKSE - Will%R Smoothed = -33.84
-33.8374
_____ 6,492.3_____ 6,433.9
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 6,441 High: 6,478 Low: 6,440 Close: 6,470 Vol. 8,792,560,640
Prev. Avg. Price: 6,462.5
R-Squared: 0.8902
Period: 117
Std.Dev: 1.60
Volatility (+) : 0.0046
Volatility (-) : -0.0044
V-Ratio : 1.04
Chg.: 0.92%
6,470
6,460.86
6,341.71
Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar
^JKSE - Volume = 8,792,560,640.00, MA(Volume,10) = 11,009,463,296.00
8,792,560,640
11,009,463,296
27 Maret, 2019
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Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Figure 3. Weekly Trend – Uptrend, MFI optimized & RSI optimized
A
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
IHSG akan coba bertahan diatas level 6,463
Pada pergerakkan daily, rata-rata kenaikkan normal sekitar +0.46% saat ini di +0.92%
Sementara itu pada pergerakan weekly kenaikkan normal rata-rata sekitar +1.03%,
sementara saat ini di level -0.85%. Pada pergerakan monthly saat ini di level +0.41%,
normal kenaikkan di +2.50%. Dengan demikian diperkirakan hari ini terlihat potensi
penguatan lebih lanjut. Pada Figure 4,5 dan 6 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range
untuk masing-masig periode.
Figure 4. Daily : 6,433 – 6,492 Figure 5. Weekly : 6,350 – 6,513 Figure 6. Monthly : 6,257– 6,610
x
x x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 50.69
50.6929
^JKSE - RSI Smoothed = 54.83
54.8328
_____ 6,513.0
_____ 6,350.0
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 3/26/2019 Open: 6,474 High: 6,478 Low: 6,392 Close: 6,470 Vol. 19,573,647,360
Prev. Avg. Price: 6,446.5
R-Squared: 0.8514
Period: 30
Std.Dev: 1.45
Volatility (+) : 0.0103
Volatility (-) : -0.0150
V-Ratio : 0.69
Chg.: -0.85%
6,470
6,433.99
6,256.38
6,247.35
6,471.81
6,590.04
6,590.04
6,746.09
Jul Oct 2018 Apr Jul Oct 2019
^JKSE - Volume = 19,573,647,360.00, MA(Volume,8) = 45,329,289,216.00
19,573,647,360
45,329,289,216
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,492.0
_____ 6,433.1
6,462.5
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open:
Prev. Avg. Price: 6,462.5
R-Squared: 0.8902
Period: 117
Std.Dev: 1.60
Volatility (+) : 0.0046
Volatility (-) : -0.0046
V-Ratio : 1.00
Chg.: 0.92%
6,470
18 25
^JKSE - Volume = 8,792,560,640.00
8,792,560,640
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,513.0
_____ 6,350.0
6,446.5
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 3/26/2019 Open:
Prev. Avg. Price: 6,446.5
R-Squared: 0.8514
Period: 30
Std.Dev: 1.45
Volatility (+) : 0.0103
Volatility (-) : -0.0150
V-Ratio : 0.69
Chg.: -0.85%
6,470
15 Mar 15
^JKSE - Volume = 19,573,647,360.00
19,573,647,360
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,609.6
_____ 6,257.5
6,448.4
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 3/26/2019 Open:
Prev. Avg. Price: 6,448.4
R-Squared: 0.8481
Period: 45
Std.Dev: 1.44
Volatility (+) : 0.0250
Volatility (-) : -0.0296
V-Ratio : 0.84
Chg.: 0.41%
6,470
Jul Oct 2019
^JKSE - Volume = 172,314,656,768.00
172,314,656,768
27 Maret, 2019
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Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Stocks on our focus list
PP Property (PPRO) – Daily , Trading Buy
Harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend channel
Secara umum harga saham ini berada diluar pola uptrend channel periode daily dimana
korelasi pergerakkan harga masih relatif valid (r-squared = 0.880) selama 115 hari
terakhir yang bergerak normal dalam rentang +/- 1.56 std.deviasi dari center line.
Peluang harga keluar dari pergerakan normal sekitar +11.98% (sekitar 13 bar chart ).
Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara +2.49%/-1.99% atau
+3.78 rupiah/ -3.02 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama
periode analisis) sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 7.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (March 26, 2019) 152 (+0.66%) Trading range 149 - 156
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) (0.48) Target
β (beta) 1.89 - Daily 156
Corelation 0.96 - Weekly 160
Period 115 - Monthly 173
r-squared 0.880 Stop loss 148
Volatility (+/-, %) +2.49/ -1.99
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +3.78/-3.02
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 7. Daily trend – Uptrend
ource: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 155.4
_____ 148.7
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
PPRO.JK [ PPRO.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 150 High: 153 Low: 150 Close: 152 Vol. 9,324,700
Prev. Avg. Price: 151.7
R-Squared: 0.8802
Period: 115
Std.Dev: 1.56
Volatility (+) : 0.0249
Volatility (-) : -0.0199
V-Ratio : 1.26
Chg.: 0.66%
152
150
149.019
155.332
158.376
171.863
171.863
185.351
193.726
Oct Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar
PPRO.JK - Volume = 9,324,700.00, MA(Volume,4) = 18,843,650.00
9,324,700
18,843,650
27 Maret, 2019
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Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar mulai terbatas dan volatilitas harga naik mulai terlihat
Pada Figure 8, terlihat dari hasil optimasi pada indikator MFI optimized akan menguji
support trendline dan RSI optimized masih cenderung naik. Daily support 149 dan
resistance di 156. Cut loss level di 148.
Figure 8. Daily, MFI optimized & RSI optimized
X`Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
PPRO.JK - MFI Smoothed = 17.81
17.8058
PPRO.JK - RSI Smoothed = 23.84
23.8448
_____ 155.4
_____ 148.7
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
PPRO.JK [ PPRO.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 150 High: 153 Low: 150 Close: 152 Vol. 9,324,700
Prev. Avg. Price: 151.7
R-Squared: 0.8802
Period: 115
Std.Dev: 1.56
Volatility (+) : 0.0249
Volatility (-) : -0.0199
V-Ratio : 1.26
Chg.: 0.66%
152
149.019
155.332
Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar
PPRO.JK - Volume = 9,324,700.00, MA(Volume,4) = 18,843,650.00
9,324,700
18,843,650
27 Maret, 2019
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Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area). Pada pergerakkan daily harga
saat ini di level +0.66%. Normal kenaikkan +2.49%. Pada pergerakkan weekly koreksi
normal di level -4.12% namun sudah masuk minggu ke dua.,saat ini di level -3.18%.
Sementara itu pada pergerakan monthly saat ini di -3.18% dan normal koreksi -9.63%.
Dengan demikian potensi kenaikkan secara umum masih terlihat pada pergerakkan
daily.Pada Figure 9,10 dan 11 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-
masing periode.
Figure 9. Daily : 149 – 156 Figure 10. Weekly : 147 – 160 Figure 11. Monthly : 142 – 173
x`x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 155.4
_____ 148.7
151.7
PPRO.JK [ PPRO.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019
Prev. Avg. Price: 151.7
R-Squared: 0.8802
Period: 115
Std.Dev: 1.56
Volatility (+) : 0.0249
Volatility (-) : -0.0199
V-Ratio : 1.26
Chg.: 0.66%
152
18 25
PPRO.JK - Volume = 9,324,700.00
9,324,700
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 159.9
_____ 146.7
153.0
PPRO.JK [ PPRO.JK ] - Weekly - 3/26/2019
Prev. Avg. Price: 153.0
R-Squared: 0.8552
Period: 129
Std.Dev: 1.46
Volatility (+) : 0.0452
Volatility (-) : -0.0412
V-Ratio : 1.10
Chg.: -3.18%
152
15 Mar 15
PPRO.JK - Volume = 42,043,400.00
42,043,400
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 172.5
_____ 141.9
157.0
PPRO.JK [ PPRO.JK ] - Monthly - 3/26/2019
Prev. Avg. Price: 157.0
R-Squared: 0.8513
Period: 31
Std.Dev: 1.45
Volatility (+) : 0.0988
Volatility (-) : -0.0963
V-Ratio : 1.03
Chg.: -3.18%
152
Jul Oct 2019
PPRO.JK - Volume = 483,351,296.00
483,351,296
27 Maret, 2019
9
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa (RALS) – Daily , Trading Buy
Harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend channel
Secara umum harga saham ini masih berada diluar pola uptrend channel pada
pergerakkan daily dimana korelasi pergerakkan harga masih relatif valid (r-squared =
0.892) selama 76 hari terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.61 std.deviasi
dari center line. Peluang harga keluar dari pergerakan normal sekitar +10.83% (sekitar
8 bar chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara +1.67% /-
1.58 % atau +42.12 rupiah / -29.48 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif /
negatif, selama periode analisis) sebagaimana sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 12.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (March 26, 2019) 1,755(+2.33%) Trading range 1,715 - 1,785
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 9.27 Target
β (beta) 1.89 - Daily 1,785
Corelation 0.96 - Weekly 1,830
Period 76 - Monthly 1,980
r-squared 0.892 Stop loss 1,680
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.67/ -1.58
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +42.12/ -29.48
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 12. Daily – Uptrend
x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
,
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,785.1
_____ 1,714.0
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk [ RALS.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 1,720 High: 1,755 Low: 1,720 Close: 1,755 Vol. 2,674,900
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,743.3
R-Squared: 0.8917
Period: 76
Std.Dev: 1.61
Volatility (+) : 0.0240
Volatility (-) : -0.0168
V-Ratio : 1.42
Chg.: 2.33% 1,755
1,712.05
1,692.88
1,775.83
1,778.39
1,863.82
1,863.82
1,951.81
2,015.58
Dec 2019 Feb Mar
RALS.JK - Volume = 2,674,900.00, MA(Volume,6) = 6,125,716.50
2,674,900
6,125,717
27 Maret, 2019
10
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana masuk dan volatilitas harga naik masih terlihat.
Pada Figure 13, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi indikator MFI optimized dan RSI
optimized masih cenderung naik. Daily support di 1,715 sementara itu daily
resistance di 1,785. Cut loss level di 1,680.
Figure 13. Daily , MFI optimized & RSI optimized
,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
RALS.JK - MFI Smoothed = 32.80
32.7981
RALS.JK - RSI Smoothed = 47.21
47.2117
_____ 1,773.4_____ 1,715.3
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk [ RALS.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 1,720 High: 1,755 Low: 1,720 Close: 1,755 Vol. 2,674,900
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,743.3
R-Squared: 0.8917
Period: 76
Std.Dev: 1.61
Volatility (+) : 0.0173
Volatility (-) : -0.0161
V-Ratio : 1.07
Chg.: 2.33%
1,755
1,692.88
1,778.39
Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar
RALS.JK - Volume = 2,674,900.00, MA(Volume,6) = 6,125,716.50
2,674,900
6,125,717
27 Maret, 2019
11
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga saat ini akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing
periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area) . Lebih lanjut potensi kenaikkan
normal harga pada pergerakkan daily sekitar +2.40% saat ini di level +2.3. Sementara
itu pada pergerakkan weekly kenaikkan normal sekitar +5.39% saat ini harga di level
+1.45. Pada pergerakan monthly kenaikkan normal sekitar +11.56% saat ini di +0.29.
Dengan demikian diperkirakan potensi kenaikkan masih terlihat. Pada Figure 14,15 dan
16 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing periode.
Figure 14. Daily : 1,715 – 1,785 Figure 15. Weekly : 1,670 – 1,830 Figure 16. Monthly : 1,625 – 1,980
, x`
x
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,785.1
_____ 1,714.0
1,743.3
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk [ RALS.JK
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,743.3
R-Squared: 0.8917
Period: 76
Std.Dev: 1.61
Volatility (+) : 0.0240
Volatility (-) : -0.0168
V-Ratio : 1.42
Chg.: 2.33%
1,755
18 25
RALS.JK - Volume = 2,674,900.00
2,674,900
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,832.1
_____ 1,667.5
1,738.3
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk [ RALS.JK
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,738.3
R-Squared: 0.8145
Period: 30
Std.Dev: 1.32
Volatility (+) : 0.0539
Volatility (-) : -0.0407
V-Ratio : 1.32
Chg.: 1.45%
1,755
15 Mar 15
RALS.JK - Volume = 6,964,700.00
6,964,700
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,982.0
_____ 1,625.9
1,776.7
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk [ RALS.JK
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,776.7
R-Squared: 0.6913
Period: 50
Std.Dev: 1.01
Volatility (+) : 0.1156
Volatility (-) : -0.0849
V-Ratio : 1.36
Chg.: 0.29%
1,755
Oct 2019
RALS.JK - Volume = 141,028,288.00
141,028,288
27 Maret, 2019
12
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI) – Daily , Trading Buy
Harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend channel.
Secara umum harga saham ini masih berada diluar pola uptrend channel dimana
korelasi pergerakkan harga masih relatif valid (r-squared = 0.85) selama 71 hari terakhir
dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/- 1.61 std.deviasi dari centerline. Peluang harga
keluar dari pergerakan normalnya sekitar +10.93% (sekitar 7 bar chart ). Rata-rata
volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara +19.90%/ -16.78% atau +19.90
rupiah / -16.78 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama periode
analisis) sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 17.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (March 26, 2019) 1,005 (-4.74%) Normal trading range 995 – 1,050
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 9.29 Target
β (beta) 0.58 - Daily 1,050
Corelation 0.85 - Weekly 1,070
Period 71 - Monthly 1,130
r-squared 0.891 Stop loss 980
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.98/ -1.67
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) 19.90/ -16.78
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 17. Weekly Trend – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
,
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,048.7
_____ 1,011.1
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 1,055 High: 1,085 Low: 995 Close: 1,005 Vol. 21,439,200
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,028.3
R-Squared: 0.8907
Period: 71
Std.Dev: 1.61
Volatility (+) : 0.0198
Volatility (-) : -0.0167
V-Ratio : 1.18
Chg.: -4.74%
1,005
995
981.931
1,063.32
1,071.63
1,129.1
1,129.1
1,186.56
1,263.19
Dec 2019 Feb Mar
MAPI.JK - Volume = 21,439,200.00, MA(Volume,10) = 13,666,660.00
21,439,200
13,666,660
27 Maret, 2019
13
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar dan volatilitas harga turun mulai terbatas dengan kecenderungan
menguat.
Pada Figure 18, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi. Indikator MFI optimized dan indkator
W%R optimized akan menguji support trendline. Dengan demikian diperkirakan potensi
koreksi mulai terbatas dengan kecenderungan menguat. Perkiraan daily support di 995
dan daily resistance di 1,050. Cut loss level di 980.
Figure 18. Weekly ,MFI optimized & W%R optimized
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
MAPI.JK - MFI Smoothed = 25.61
25.6055
MAPI.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -88.24
-88.2354
_____ 1,048.7
_____ 1,011.1
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Daily - 3/26/2019 Open: 1,055 High: 1,085 Low: 995 Close: 1,005 Vol. 21,439,200
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,028.3
R-Squared: 0.8907
Period: 71
Std.Dev: 1.61
Volatility (+) : 0.0198
Volatility (-) : -0.0167
V-Ratio : 1.18
Chg.: -4.74%
1,005
981.931
1,073.75
Oct Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar
MAPI.JK - Volume = 21,439,200.00, MA(Volume,10) = 13,666,660.00
21,439,200
13,666,660
27 Maret, 2019
14
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area) . Jika dilihat lebih lanjut potensi
koreksi pada pergerakkan daily sekitar -1.67%, saat ini di level -4.74%. Pada pergerakkan
weekly potensi koreksi normal sekitar -3.39%, saat ini di level -6.94% dan telah
memasuki minggu ke dua. Sementara pergerakkan monthly saat ini level -5.19%
sementara koreksi normal di -7.40%. Dengan demikian potensi koreksi pada pergerakkan
daily sementara akan tertahan dengan kecenderugan menguat. Pada Figure 19,20 dan
21 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing periode.
Figure 19. Daily : 995 – 1,050 Figure 20. Weekly : 990 – 1,070 Figure 21. Monthly : 960 – 1,130
,,
x` x,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Relative Avg.Price Performance to JCI (%) : Persentase kenaikan harga saham dari rata-rata sejak IHSG memulai uptrend-nya β (beta) : Indikator sensitivitas harga saham terhadap IHSG, beta diatas 1 berarti harga makin sensitif terhadap pergerakan IHSG dan sebaliknya Correlation : Ukuran kuat hubungan (korelasi) pergerakan harga saham dibanding dengan pergerakan IHSG selama periode analisis. Period : Periode uptrend / downtrend yang valid dari pergerakan harga saham. r-squared : Koefisien determinasi, menunjukkan persentase gerakan yang dapat dijelaskan dengan regresi linier.Nilai R2 terletak antara 0 – 1, dan kecocokan model dikatakan lebih baik kalau R2 semakin mendekati 1 (validitas uptrend atau downtrend makin valid) Volatility (+/-%) : Besaran volatilitas normal positif/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama harga saham bergerak normal pada trend channel dalam persentase. Volatility (+/- point or Rp) : Besaran volatilitas normal positifl/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama harga saham bergerak dalam periode analisis.
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,048.7
_____ 1,011.1
1,028.3
994.2
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Daily
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,028.3
R-Squared: 0.8907
Period: 71
Std.Dev: 1.61
Volatility (+) : 0.0198
Volatility (-) : -0.0167
V-Ratio : 1.18
Chg.: -4.74%
1,005
18 25
MAPI.JK - Volume = 21,439,200.00
21,439,200
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,068.8
_____ 993.4
1,028.3
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Weekly
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,028.3
R-Squared: 0.7393
Period: 30
Std.Dev: 1.12
Volatility (+) : 0.0394
Volatility (-) : -0.0339
V-Ratio : 1.16
Chg.: -6.94%
1,005
15 Mar 15
MAPI.JK - Volume = 49,230,300.00
49,230,300
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 1,128.6
_____ 963.0
1,040.0
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Monthly
Prev. Avg. Price: 1,040.0
R-Squared: 0.4180
Period: 30
Std.Dev:
Volatility (+) : 0.0852
Volatility (-) : -0.0740
V-Ratio : 1.15
Chg.: -5.19%
1,005
Oct 2019
MAPI.JK - Volume = 239,099,392.00
239,099,392
27 Maret, 2019
15
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 22. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 23. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 24. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM) Chart 25. Energy price
V
Note: The latest figure for India are March 25th, 2019
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 26. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 27. Precious metal price
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
13,800
14,200
14,600
15,000
15,400
5,400
5,800
6,200
6,600
12/26 1/23 2/20 3/20
(IDR) (pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R)
0.9
-0.2 -0.9
4.2
0.7 1.5
0.2
15.6
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
1D 1W 1M 1Y
Absolute Relative(%, %p)
-41
27 24 21 7
-96
746
470
47
-27
43
994
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Korea Taiwan Indonesia Thailand Philippines India
1 Day 5 Days (USDmn) (USDmn)
80
90
100
110
6/27 7/25 8/22 9/19
CPO WTI Coal(D-3M=100) (D-3M=100)
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
12/26 1/23 2/20 3/20
CPO WTI Coal(D-3M=100)
90
100
110
120
130
12/18 01/19 02/19 03/19
(D-3M=100) Copper Nickel Tin
85
95
105
115
125
12/18 01/19 02/19 03/19
(D-3M=100) Silver Gold Platinum
27 Maret, 2019
16
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Table. Key valuation metrics
Company Name Ticker Price Market Cap Price Performance (%) P/E(X)* P/B(X)* ROE(%)*
(IDR) (IDRbn) 1D 1W 1M 1Y FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19
Jakarta Composite Index JCI 6,470 7,382,125 0.9 -0.2 -0.9 4.2 15.6 14.0 2.3 2.1 17.7 6.8
FINANCIALS
Bank Central Asia BBCA 27,325 673,698 0.3 -0.6 -1.8 16.5 24.8 26.3 4.2 4.5 18.3 18.3
Bank Mandiri Persero BMRI 7,375 344,167 2.1 -0.3 2.4 -7.8 13.8 14.3 1.9 1.9 14.4 13.9
Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero BBRI 4,060 500,784 1.5 1.8 4.9 12.8 13.8 15.4 2.4 2.7 18.5 18.4
Bank Negara Indonesia Persero BBNI 9,375 174,831 1.4 0.5 5.9 1.9 10.9 11.4 1.5 1.6 14.5 14.6
Bank Tabungan Negara Persero BBTN 2,480 26,263 1.6 2.5 -0.8 -32.4 21.5 20.9 1.8 2.1 9.8 10.5
CONSUMER
HM Sampoerna HMSP 3,800 442,009 1.3 1.6 -0.5 -8.2 32.0 33.5 12.2 12.6 39.0 38.2
Gudang Garam GGRM 84,200 162,008 2.9 -6.4 -2.8 19.1 19.9 16.8 3.6 3.2 18.6 19.8
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur ICBP 9,550 111,371 1.6 -7.5 -8.4 14.0 26.7 25.2 5.6 5.0 22.2 20.9
Indofood Sukses Makmur INDF 6,900 60,585 1.8 -5.5 -7.7 -3.5 15.7 15.2 1.9 1.8 12.8 12.2
Kalbe Farma KLBF 1,520 71,250 0.3 -1.9 0.0 5.6 29.1 27.3 4.9 4.5 17.5 16.9
Unilever Indonesia UNVR 48,250 368,148 0.5 -2.2 -1.5 -3.5 38.0 46.1 45.7 58.3 142.9 139.8
AGRICULTURAL
Astra Agro Lestari AALI 11,300 21,749 -1.3 -7.4 -10.3 -18.3 15.8 14.6 1.2 1.2 7.7 7.6
PP London Sumatera Indonesia LSIP 1,080 7,369 -0.5 -6.5 -13.9 -17.2 25.5 14.3 1.0 0.9 4.0 5.8
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana SSMS 1,075 10,239 1.9 0.5 -3.6 -25.3 18.2 30.7 2.3 2.2 12.8 7.3
INFRASTRUCTURE
XL Axiata EXCL 2,690 28,751 4.3 1.5 12.1 6.7 N/A 749.1 1.2 1.3 -16.5 0.3
Jasa Marga JSMR 5,400 39,193 3.8 1.9 2.9 18.7 14.1 17.4 1.8 2.2 13.8 12.6
Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS 2,370 57,452 1.7 -3.7 -7.8 -0.4 11.2 15.2 1.4 1.3 9.7 8.2
Tower Bersama Infrastructure TBIG 4,150 18,805 3.8 12.2 -3.3 -25.9 20.8 18.1 5.8 5.3 27.3 28.9
Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM 3,820 378,418 1.3 1.1 -2.3 8.3 19.4 16.9 3.9 3.6 19.6 20.5
Soechi Lines SOCI 156 1,101 2.0 0.0 -4.3 -39.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Garuda Indonesia GIAA 462 11,960 -13.6 -21.7 -11.2 55.0 N/A N/A 0.8 1.1 -19.1 -12.0
BASIC-INDUSTRIES
Semen Indonesia SMGR 13,875 82,300 3.5 5.9 10.1 40.2 32.7 29.1 2.7 2.6 8.3 8.8
Charoen Pokphand Indonesia CPIN 7,900 129,544 2.6 3.3 3.9 146.9 28.8 26.7 6.8 5.9 25.3 22.9
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa INTP 21,400 78,778 3.0 9.9 11.3 23.0 59.3 73.8 2.9 3.6 4.8 5.3
Japfa Comfeed Indonesia JPFA 2,150 25,212 0.0 -1.8 -3.2 47.3 11.5 10.7 2.6 2.3 24.5 22.1
MINING
Indo Tambangraya Megah ITMG 23,975 27,090 0.5 4.9 10.6 -18.9 5.8 7.2 1.6 1.9 27.1 27.0
Adaro Energy ADRO 1,365 43,661 0.0 -4.9 -0.7 -33.1 6.4 7.4 0.7 0.8 11.7 11.8
Aneka Tambang ANTM 915 21,988 -0.5 -4.7 -11.2 18.1 21.0 27.8 0.9 1.2 4.6 3.9
Vale Indonesia INCO 3,420 33,982 0.3 -3.7 -9.3 20.8 36.8 34.4 1.2 1.3 3.3 4.0
Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam PTBA 4,250 48,963 2.4 5.7 3.7 44.1 9.0 9.6 2.8 2.9 33.9 35.3
TRADE
United Tractors UNTR 27,150 101,273 -0.7 -1.3 -1.6 -15.2 9.2 9.0 1.9 1.9 22.4 22.1
AKR Corporindo AKRA 4,780 19,190 6.2 -0.8 -10.7 -16.9 24.0 21.6 2.1 2.3 20.7 13.1
Global Mediacom BMTR 330 4,953 -1.2 -11.3 -19.9 -40.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Matahari Department Store LPPF 3,930 11,467 -1.8 -2.0 -29.2 -64.0 14.9 6.8 8.8 3.6 53.0 65.7
Media Nusantara Citra MNCN 740 10,564 -1.3 -11.4 -24.9 -46.6 7.5 6.5 1.0 0.9 14.1 14.9
Matahari Putra Prima MPPA 272 2,048 0.7 -10.5 -30.3 -33.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Surya Citra Media SCMA 1,675 24,491 -2.0 -4.3 -4.0 -38.2 15.9 14.7 5.6 5.0 34.7 33.6
Siloam International Hospital SILO 3,500 5,690 -1.4 -5.4 4.5 -56.8 360.8 119.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.8
PROPERTY
Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE 1,485 28,581 3.8 4.9 8.8 -14.2 15.6 13.0 1.0 1.0 6.7 7.6
Adhi Karya ADHI 1,545 5,502 1.0 -1.6 1.0 -27.8 7.0 5.6 0.9 0.7 11.8 13.1
Alam Sutera Relaty ASRI 312 6,131 0.6 -1.3 -5.5 -18.8 5.6 4.8 0.6 0.6 11.2 12.5
Ciputra Development CTRA 1,035 19,210 2.5 10.7 13.7 -9.6 18.6 18.2 1.3 1.2 7.0 6.8
Lippo Karawaci LPKR 294 6,788 2.8 1.4 1.4 -38.8 8.9 5.9 0.3 0.3 3.3 5.6
Pembangunan Perumahan PTPP 2,010 12,462 0.8 -4.7 -2.0 -26.6 7.5 7.9 0.9 0.9 12.4 12.5
Pakuwon Jati PWON 710 34,193 5.2 4.4 10.9 16.4 11.7 15.0 2.4 2.7 22.2 19.1
Summarecon Agung SMRA 970 13,994 3.2 4.3 -1.0 6.6 39.5 35.8 2.1 1.9 5.4 5.7
Wijaya Karya WIKA 1,970 17,671 1.0 -1.5 7.9 16.2 8.6 11.6 1.0 1.2 12.6 10.8
Waskita Karya WSKT 1,905 25,858 2.1 -0.8 -0.5 -25.6 6.3 6.7 1.2 1.0 19.5 15.7
MISCELLANEOUS
Astra International ASII 7,150 289,457 1.4 -2.1 -5.9 -2.1 15.4 13.0 2.4 2.1 16.6 16.5
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
*Note: Valuation metrics based on Bloomberg consensus estimates
27 Maret, 2019
17
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Sector performance Top 10 market cap performance
Name Index Chg (%) Ticker Price Market Cap (IDRbn) Chg (%)
Agricultural 1,472.5 0.3 BTEK IJ 176 8,145 33.33
Mining 1,871.7 0.5
BBMD IJ 1520 6,217 10.5
Basic-Industry 917.9 1.8 BNLI IJ 985 27,622 8.8
Miscellaneous Industry 1,265.7 1.0 INPP IJ 830 9,281 6.41
Consumer Goods 2,620.8 1.2 AKRA IJ 4780 19,190 6.22
Property & Construction 461.8 1.0
PWON IJ 710 34,193 5.19
Infrastructure 1,159.0 0.5 EXCL IJ 2690 28,751 4.26
Finance 1,255.4 0.9 BSDE IJ 1485 28,581 3.85
Trade 819.3 0.2 JSMR IJ 5400 39,193 3.85
Composite 6,470.0 0.9 TBIG IJ 4150 18,805 3.75 Source: Bloomberg
Top 5 leading movers Top 5 lagging movers
Name Chg (%) Close Name Chg (%) Close
BBRI IJ 1.5 4,060 FREN IJ -4.1 328
BMRI IJ 2.1 7,375 GIAA IJ -13.6 462
HMSP IJ 1.3 3,800 SMMA IJ -2.8 8,750
TLKM IJ 1.3 3,820 TCPI IJ -5.5 3,780
GGRM IJ 2.9 84,200 MAPI IJ -4.7 1,005 Source: Bloomberg
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
6:00am AUD RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks
8:00am NZD RBNZ Rate Statement
8:00am NZD Official Cash Rate 1.75% 1.75%
3:00pm EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks
4:00pm CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations -16.6
Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction 0.12|2.5
6:00pm GBP CBI Realized Sales 5 0
7:30pm CAD Trade Balance -2.3B -4.6B
7:30pm USD Current Account -130B -125B
7:30pm USD Trade Balance -57.5B -59.8B
9:00pm CHF SNB Quarterly Bulletin
9:30pm AUD CB Leading Index m/m 0.1%
9:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.1M -9.6M
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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